3. QLFS Q2: 2018
UnemployedEmployed
16,3 6,1
2,9
12,6
Other NEA
Not Economically Active
discouraged
workseekers
15,5 million
ILO hierarchy – Employed first then unemployed
and the remainder is NEA (including discouraged
job-seekers). 3 mutually exclusive groups.
Cannot be in two groups at the same time
Labour force
22,4 million
37,8 million
People of working age in South Africa (15 – 64 year olds)
M
M
M
Employed Unemployed
South Africa’s
official
unemployment rate
stands at
27,2%
M
Increased by 0,5 ppt
between
Q1 2018 and Q2 2018
THE WORKING AGE POPULATION (15-64 YEARS) IN Q2: 2018 WAS 37,8 MILLION
6. QLFS Q2: 2018
14,4 M
16,3 M
0 M
5 M
10 M
15 M
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
45,8% 43,1%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Number
of
employed
*Absorption
rate
59,6%
60,5% 59,3%
59,1%
50%
55%
60%
65%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
*Labour
force
participation
rate
The number of employed people increased from
14,4 million in Q1:2008 to 16,3 million in Q2:2018.
Absorption rate decreased by 0,4 of a percentage point in Q2:2018 to
43,1% (q/q) and has not recovered to level of 45,8% since 2008
The labour force participation rate decreased by 0,2 of a percentage point to
59,1% in Q2:2018 from Q1:2018.
*Labour force participation rate is the proportion of the working-age population that is either employed or unemployed.
*Absorption rate is the proportion of the working-age population that is employed.
THE NUMBER OF EMPLOYED PERSONS DECREASED BY 90 000 TO 16,3 MILLION IN
Q2 2018
Labour Market Dashboard
Q2:2018
7. QLFS Q2: 2018
71,5%
83,0%
49,0%
33,2%
43,1%
-15,0 5,0 25,0 45,0 65,0 85,0
Other
tertiary
Graduates
Matric
Less than
matric
Total
16,6%
6,9%
28,3%
31,9%
27,2%
-15,0 5,0 25,0 45,0 65,0 85,0
85,6%
89,2%
68,3%
48,8%
59,1%
-15,0 5,0 25,0 45,0 65,0 85,0
Other
tertiary
Graduates
Matric
Less than
matric
Total
+0,8
+0,1
-1,0
+1,0
-1,1
+1,0
+0,8
+0,1
-1,0
+1,5
-0,1
+1,1
Unemployment rate Absorption rate Participation rate
Change: Percentage points
Q1 2018 to Q2 2018
LABOUR MARKET RATES VARY SIGNIFICANTLY DEPENDING ON EDUCATION LEVEL
Labour market rates by
education level
9. QLFS Q2: 2018
43,3%
30,6%
53,6%
56,9%
53,7%
0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0
Other
tertiary
Graduates
Matric
Less than
matric
Total
25,9%
8,8%
33,0%
39,6%
33,6%
0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0
Other
tertiary
Graduates
Matric
Less than
matric
Total
8,2%
4,4%
16,1%
23,4%
17,9%
0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0
Other
tertiary
Graduates
Matric
Less than
matric
Total
+3,3
+0,3
-2,9
-1,5
+0,5
0,0
-1,3
+2,6
+0,7
+0,1
-0,3
+0,1
15 – 24 years 25 – 34 years 35 – 64 years
Change: Percentage points
Q1 2018 to Q2 2018
Unemployment rate by
education level and age group
THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE AMONG THE YOUTH IS HIGHER IRRESPECTIVE OF
EDUCATION LEVEL
10. QLFS Q2: 2018
PROFILE OF THOSE NOT IN
EMPLOYMENT, EDUCATION OR
TRAINING
(NEET)
QLFS
Q2:2018
11. QLFS Q2: 2018
EducationWork
NEET
Those young people
(15-24 years) who are
categorised as NEET
are considered to be
disengaged from both
work and education.
Youth NEET rate is calculated as the total number of youth who are NEET as a proportion of the total youth-specific
working-age population
?
NOT IN EMPLOYMENT, EDUCATION OR TRAINING (NEET)
12. QLFS Q2: 2018
30,0%
28,9%
34,4% 34,4%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
32%
34%
36%
2017 Q2 2018 Q2
FEMALE NEET
MALE NEET
NEET (15-24 years) by sex
APPROXIMATELY 3,3 MILLION (31,6%) OUT OF 10,3 MILLION YOUNG PEOPLE AGED
15-24 YEARS, WERE NOT IN EMPLOYMENT, EDUCATION OR TRAINING (NEET). The
overall NEET rate declined by 0,6 of a percentage point in Q2:2018 compared to Q2:2017
Female NEET
Remained unchanged
Male NEET
Down by 1,1
Percentage Points
15-24 YEARS
14. QLFS Q2: 2018
34,6% 35,0%
43,4% 43,6%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
2017 Q2 2018 Q2
FEMALE NEET
MALE NEET
NEET (15-34 years) by sex
APPROXIMATELY 7,9 MILLION (39,3%) OUT OF 20,2 MILLION YOUNG PEOPLE AGED
15-34 YEARS, WERE NOT IN EMPLOYMENT, EDUCATION OR TRAINING (NEET).
The overall NEET rate increased by 0,4 of a percentage point y/y.
Female NEET
Up by 0,2 of a
percentage point
Male NEET
Up by 0,4 of a
percentage point
15-34 YEARS
15. QLFS Q2: 2018
Provincial NEET rate (Year –on – Year
Change Q2:2017 – Q2:2018)
THE NC PROVINCE HAS THE HIGHEST RATE OF YOUNG PEOPLE AGED 15-34
YEARS NOT IN EMPLOYMENT, EDUCATION OR TRAINING AT 44,5%. The rate
declined by 2,1 percentage points year-on-year.
30,7
37,1
37,2
37,3
39,3
40,2
43,1
43,2
44,1
44,5
WC
GP
LP
FS
RSA
MP
EC
KZN
NW
NC
( ) Y/Y Change
(-2,1)
(+0,9)
(+0,5)
(-0,5)
(-1,0)
(+0,3)
(-1,8)
(+0,9)
(+1,8)
(-0,7)
17. QLFS Q2: 2018
35 000 73 000 3 000
Agriculture
Private
households
Formal Sector
(Non agricultural)
Informal Sector
(Non agricultural)
22 000
(11,3 million jobs) (2,8 million jobs) (1,3 million jobs)(843 000 jobs)
decreased bydecreased by decreased by Increased by
NUMBER OF PERSONS EMPLOYED DECLINED BY 90 000 IN Q2 2018 TO 16,3 MILLION.
Q/Q Q/QQ/Q
Q/Q
18. QLFS Q2: 2018
0 5 10 15 20 25
Other
Utilities
Mining
Agriculture
Transport
Private households
Construction
Manufacturing
Finance
Trade
Services
Employment shares, Q2:2018
0,0%
1,0%
2,7%
5,2%
6,2%
8,0%
9,1%
10,7%
14,7%
19,8%
22,7%
0 5 10 15 20 25
Other
Utilities
Mining
Agriculture
Transport
Private households
Construction
Manufacturing
Finance
Trade
Services
Employment shares, Q1:2018
Share of
Nominal GDP
(Q1: 2018)
24%
15%
21%
13%
4%
10%
2%
7%
4%
CONSTRUCTION, TRADE AND AGRICULTURE HAVE HIGHER
EMPLOYMENT SHARES RELATIVE TO THEIR GDP CONTRIBUTION
Employment and GDP share
per industry
19. QLFS Q2: 2018
54
45
38
22
18
-3
-3
-57
-93
-105
Transport
Construction
Mining
Private households
Utilities
Finance
Agriculture
Trade
Services
Manufacturing
Quarter-on-quarter change (‘000)
132
80
60
13
8
4
1
-15
-46
-55
Services
Construction
Transport
Utilities
Agriculture
Finance
Mining
Private households
Trade
Manufacturing
Year-on-year change (‘000)
THE BIGGEST QUARTER-ON-QUARTER EMPLOYMENT LOSSES WERE
RECORDED IN MANUFACTURING, SERVICES AND TRADE INDUSTRIES
Employment changes by
industry
20. QLFS Q2: 2018
- 105 000
Q/Q Q/Q
- 57 000
Q/Q
Mainly driven by losses in:
Manufacturing of:
v Basic metals
v Food, food products,
beverages and tobacco
products
Manufacturing TradeServices
Mainly driven by losses in:
v Retail trade
v Sales, maintenance and
repair of motor vehicles
Mainly driven by losses in:
v Health and social work
v Other service activities
v Recreational, Culture and
sporting activities
v Public Administration and
Defense activities
- 93 000
EMPLOYMENT LOSSES WERE MAINLY DRIVEN BY THE MANUFACTURING, SERVICES
AND TRADE INDUSTRIES
Quarter-on-quarter employment
changes: Losses
21. QLFS Q2: 2018
54 000
Mainly driven by gains in:
v Other land transport.
v Railway transport
v Postal and related
courier activities
Transport MiningConstruction
Mainly driven by gains in:
Mining of:
v Non-ferrous ores
v Gold and Uranium ore
Mainly driven by gains in:
v Building complete
construction or parts
thereof; Civil engineering
v Building completion
38 00045 000
Q/Q Q/Q Q/Q
EMPLOYMENT GAINS WERE MAINLY DRIVEN BY THE TRANSPORT, CONSTRUCTION
AND MINING INDUSTRIES
Quarter-on-quarter employment
changes: Gains
22. QLFS Q2: 2018
0,4%
5,4%
6,1%
8,4%
8,7%
8,9%
10,5%
12,3%
16,2%
23,2%
Other
Skilled agriculture
Professional
Domestic worker
Operator
Manager
Technical
Clerk
Craft
Sales
Elementary
0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0 20,0 25,0
Elementary and domestic work
occupations
Employment share by
occupation, Q2:2018
CLOSE TO A THIRD (29,3%) OF ALL PEOPLE EMPLOYED IN Q2:2018 WERE
EMPLOYED IN ELEMENTARY AND DOMESTIC WORK OCCUPATIONS
23. QLFS Q2: 2018
Formal sector employment decreased by
144 000 to 11,2 million quarter-to-quarter
Formal sector employment has shown an
upward trend increasing from 9,9 million in
Q1:2008 to 11,4 million in Q3:2017
9,9 M
11,3 M
0 M
2 M
4 M
6 M
8 M
10 M
12 M
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Formal sector employment
FORMAL SECTOR EMPLOYMENT HAS SHOWN AN UPWARD TREND, INCREASING
FROM 9,9 MILLION IN Q1:2008 TO 11,3 MILLION IN Q2:2018
24. QLFS Q2: 2018
2,4 M
2,9 M
2,8 M
0 M
2 M
4 M
6 M
8 M
10 M
12 M
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Informal sector employment
INFORMAL SECTOR EMPLOYMENT HAS INCREASED FROM 2,4 MILLION IN Q1:2008
TO 2,8 MILLION IN Q2:2018
26. QLFS Q2: 2018
4,4 M
6,0 M
6,1 M
0 M
1 M
2 M
3 M
4 M
5 M
6 M
7 M
8 M
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
The number of unemployed people in South Africa increased from 4,4
million in Q1:2008 to 6,1 million in Q2:2018
Number of unemployed people
57,0%
68,5%
68,8%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
The proportion of those in long-term unemployment increased from 57,0%
in Q1:2008 to 68,8% in Q2:2018
Long term unemployment*
* Unemployed for a year or longer
LABOUR MARKET DASHBOARD
27. QLFS Q2: 2018
23,2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
30,9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
6,1 million
people were unemployed in Q2:2018
An increase of 102 000 q/q
9,6 million
people were unemployed in Q2:2018
An increase of 154 000 q/q
29,5%
25,3%
SA: 27,2%
41,2%
33,7%
SA: 37,2%
Expanded Definition includes the following
- Official unemployment (searched and available) 6,1 M
- Available to work but are/or
• Discouraged work-seekers 2,9 M
• Have other reasons for not searching 0,6 M
Official Unemployment Rate
27,2% (+0,5 % Point Change Q/Q)
Expanded Unemployment Rate
37,2% (+0,5 % Point Change Q/Q)
Q2:2018
Q2:2018
28. QLFS Q2: 2018
6,9%
11,8%
22,7%
30,1%
26,7%
8,0%
10,4%
23,3%
30,5%
27,2%
White
Indian/Asian
Coloured
Black African
Both sexes
Unemployment Rate
by Population Group
Q2:2018 Q1:2018
6,8%
11,5%
24,3%
27,9%
25,1%
8,5%
9,4%
23,6%
28,2%
25,3%
Male Unemployment Rate
By Population Group
Black women are the most vulnerable with
unemployment rate of over 30%.
7,1%
12,5%
21,0%
32,6%
28,8%
7,4%
12,2%
22,9%
33,2%
29,5%
Female Unemployment Rate
by Population Group
OFFICIAL unemployment rate
by population group and sex
BLACK WOMEN ARE THE MOST VULNERABLE WITH AN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE OF
OVER 30%.
29. QLFS Q2: 2018
9,8%
18,2%
27,5%
41,0%
36,7%
11,7%
16,4%
27,7%
41,5%
37,2%
White
Indian/Asian
Coloured
Black African
Both sexes
Expanded unemployment
rate by population group
Q2:2018 Q1:2018
8,8%
15,9%
28,4%
37,0%
33,2%
11,0%
13,4%
27,4%
37,6%
33,7%
0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0%
Male expanded
unemployment rate
11,0%
21,9%
26,6%
45,4%
40,6%
12,5%
21,4%
28,1%
45,8%
41,2%
Female expanded
unemployment rate
IRRESPECTIVE OF SEX, THE BLACK AFRICAN AND COLOURED POPULATION
GROUPS REMAIN VULNERABLE IN THE LABOUR MARKET
EXPANDED unemployment rate by
population group and sex
30. QLFS Q2: 2018
19,3%
20,7%
21,8%
26,1%
27,2%
28,9%
29,7%
33,2%
34,2%
34,4%
Limpopo
Western Cape
KwaZulu Natal
North West
South Africa
Northern Cape
Gauteng
Mpumalanga
Eastern Cape
Free State
(+1,0)
(+0,8)
(-0,5)
(-0,6)
(-0,6)
(+0,3)
(+1,6)
(-1,4)
(+0,5)
( ) Q/Q Change
(+1,1)
Provincial unemployment rate:
Official Q2: 2018
FOUR OUT OF NINE PROVINCES SHOWED DECREASES IN THEIR UNEMPLOYMENT
RATE BETWEEN Q1: 2018 AND Q2: 2018 (EC, NC, KZN AND LP)
Absorption rate
(the percentage of
people in
employment)
41,5%
33,1%
41,8%
49,8%
40,0%
43,1%
38,2%
37,4%
54,5%
38,5%
31. QLFS Q2: 2018
37,4%
23,2%
40,9%
43,4%
37,2%
42,4%
34,4%
41,7%
45,8%
40,1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Limpopo
Western Cape
KwaZulu Natal
North West
South Africa
Northern Cape
Gauteng
Mpumalanga
Eastern Cape
Free State
19,3%
20,7%
21,8%
26,1%
27,2%
28,9%
29,7%
33,2%
34,2%
34,4%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Limpopo
Western Cape
KwaZulu Natal
North West
South Africa
Northern Cape
Gauteng
Mpumalanga
Eastern Cape
Free State
18% Point Difference
19% Point Difference
17% Point Difference
Official Expanded
FS HAS THE HIGHEST UNEMPLOYMENT RATE BASED ON THE OFFICIAL DEFINITION
OF UNEMPLOYMENT. EC recorded the highest expanded unemployment rate while LP, KZN and NW
provinces all have more than 17% points difference between their expanded and official unemployment rate
Provincial unemployment rate:
Official vs Expanded Q2: 2018
33. QLFS Q2: 2018
Student
40,2%
Discouraged work seekers
18,5%
Home-maker
16,7%
Illness/disability; 9,7%
Too old/young to work; 9,4%
Q1: 2018 to Q2:
2018 % Change5 main reasons for NEA
NEA
M
M
M
M
15,5 M
Quarter-on-quarter changes
Thousand
Student 82
Homemaker 54
Illness/disability -56
Too young/too old to work 23
Discouraged work seekers 77
Other -39
Up 0,1 of a
% Point
Down 0,5
% Point
Q1:2018 to Q2: 2018
Change in Figures
Up 0,3 of a
% Point
Up 0,2 of a
% Point
Up 0,2 of a
% Point
15,5 MILLION PEOPLE AGED 15 – 64 YEARS WERE NOT ECONOMICALLY ACTIVE. This
is an increase of 141 000 q/q
Reasons why – Not economically
active (NEA)
34. QLFS Q2: 2018
RECAP
UNEMPLOYMENT
RATE
EMPLOYMENT
GAINS
EMPLOYMENT
LOSSES
NOT IN EMPLOYMENT,
EDUCATION AND
TRAINING
Unemployment rate
increased by 0,5 of a %
point to 27,2% while
absorption rate and
labour force participation
rate declined by 0,4 and
0,2 of a percentage point
respectively
Largest employment gains
were recorded in
Transport (54 000),
Construction (45 000) and
Mining (38 000).
Employment losses were
observed in
Manufacturing
(105 000), Community
and social service (93 000),
and Trade (57 000)
Of the 10,3 million
persons aged (15-24
years) 31,6% were
not in employment,
education or
training.
Q2:2018