About 28,8% of the South African population is aged younger than 15 years and approximately 9,0% (5,3 million) is 60 years or older. Of those younger than 15 years of age, the majority reside in Gauteng (21,5%) and KwaZulu- Natal (21,1%). Of the elderly (those aged 60 years and older), the highest percentage 23,9% (1,27 million) reside in Gauteng. The proportion of elderly persons aged 60 and older is increasing over time. Download the full release here: http://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1854&PPN=P0302&SCH=7668

1. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
@StatsSA
#Population
Mid-year population
estimates 2019

2. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
Mid-year population estimates
uses the latest available data on
• Fertility
• Mortality
• Migration
to estimate the size of the
population of South Africa.

3. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
South Africa’s
population, mid-2019 is
58,78
million
Source: Mid-year population estimates 2019

4. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
2018 Births Net Migration Deaths 12/31/2011
Beginning HC Additions Deductions Ending HC
Millions
Impact of births, deaths and
migration on population, 2019
BIRTHS
NET
MIGRATION DEATHS+1,2M
+0,2M
-0,5M
57,9M*
58,8M
SA 2018 SA 2019
*data based 2019 series.
Births are the main driver of population growth in South Africa.
Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019

5. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
1,0
1,5
1,4
0,40
0,80
1,20
1,60
2,00
2002–2003
2003–2004
2004–2005
2005–2006
2006–2007
2007–2008
2008–2009
2009–2010
2010–2011
2011–2012
2012–2013
2013–2014
2014–2015
2015-2016
2016-2017
2017-2018
2018-2019
GrowthRate
Population growth rate over
time, 2002-2019
Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
The rate of growth for the SA population peaked in 2010/11 and has
steadily declined since that point.

6. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
15,17 M
11,29 M
6,84 M
6,71 M
6,00 M
4,59 M
4,02 M
2,89 M
1,27 M
Gauteng
KwaZulu-Natal
Western Cape
Eastern Cape
Limpopo
Mpumalanga
North West
Free State
Northern Cape
More than half the population live in 3 provinces (Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal and
Western Cape). GP remains SA’s most populated province with approximately 15,2 million people
(25,8%) living in this province.
Mid-year population estimates for
South Africa by province, 2019 Share of
National
Population
25,8%
19,2%
11,6%
11,4%
10,2%
7,8%
6,9%
4,9%
2,2%

7. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
15,2 M
0
5
10
15
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Millions
11,3 M
0
5
10
15
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Millions
6,8 M
0
5
10
15
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Millions
6,7 M
0
5
10
15
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Millions
6,0 M
0
5
10
15
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Millions
4,6 M
0
5
10
15
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Millions
4,0 M
0
5
10
15
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Millions
2,9 M
0
5
10
15
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Millions
1,3 M
0
5
10
15
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Millions
GP KZN
WC
LP
NW
MP
EC
NCFS
GP has shown the greatest increase in population numbers, largely due to both
interprovincial and international migration. KwaZulu-Natal is the province with the second largest
population, with an estimated 11,3 million people.
Mid-year population estimates for
South Africa by province, 2019

8. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Millions
1,0
-5
0
5
-0,3
-5
0
5
2,0
-5
0
5
3,0
-5
0
5
(3,4M)
(15,9M)
Adult
35-59
Youth
15-34
Children
0-14
Elderly 60+
2002
2019
2002
2019
2002
2019
2002
2019
(20,6M)
(17,0M)
(5,3M)
(11,4M)
(16,5M)
(15,0M)
Population growth rates by
selected age groups over time,
2002–2019
The estimated overall growth rate increased from approximately 1,0% for the period
2002–2003 to 1,4% for the period 2018–2019. The proportion of the elderly in SA is increasing

9. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
1,2
1,4
Age 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69 71 72 75 77 79
Millions
Children 0-14 Youth 15-34 Elderly 60+
Around 17 million are children (0-14 years), making up close to a third of SA’s total
population.
Population age structure by
single years, 2019
(17,0M) (20,6M) (5,3M)
Adult 35-59
(15,9M)
28,8% 35,1% 9,0%27,1%

10. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
33%
29%
24%
55%
62%
68%
11,3%
9,0%
8,3%
Eastern Cape
Limpopo
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
North West
Northern Cape
Free State
South Africa
Western Cape
Gauteng
Elderly (60+) within
each province
Children under 15 within
each province
Youth and Adult
EC has the highest proportions of both child and elderly populations.
Approximately 33% are 15 years or younger
Population by age category and
province, 2019

11. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
49
58,8 Mil
51%49%
FemaleMale
(30,1M)(28,7M)
There are more females than males in South Africa in 2019
South Africa’s population, mid-2019
*Percentages have been rounded to the nearest percentage point

12. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
0 0,01 0,02 0,03 0,04 0,05
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
0-4
10-14
20-24
30-34
40-44
50-54
60-64
70-74
80+
At older age groups there are more females than males.
Approximately 8,5% are 60 years and older.
SA age structure by 5 year
groups, 2019
Higher
proportion
of boys
born
Females are a higher
proportion of the
population from ages
40-44
Male Female

13. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
8,0% 6,0% 4,0% 2,0% 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0% 8,0%
0-4
10-14
20-24
30-34
40-44
50-54
60-64
70-74
80+
Higher proportion of elderly
and children in EC
compared to SA
EC has a higher proportion of elderly and children when compared to the national
population structure. Men are in higher proportion up to age 65.
EC vs SA Age structure by 5
year groups, 2019
SA
EC
MALE FEMALE

14. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
8,0% 6,0% 4,0% 2,0% 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0% 8,0%
0-4
10-14
20-24
30-34
40-44
50-54
60-64
70-74
80+
MALE FEMALE
GP vs SA Age structure by 5
year groups, 2019
Compared to the South African average, GP has a higher proportion of adults
aged 25-39.
SA
GP
Higher proportion of working age
and lower proportion of children
compared to SA

15. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
2019
WC
30 GP
29
NC
27
FS
27
NW
27
EC
24
MP
26
LIM
24
KZN
25
The median ages for LP and EC differ significantly to those of GP and WC
Provinces by age structure and
median age
MedianAge
The median
South African
age is 27
Pop Structure By 5 year Age
Groups
Each dot represents 1%

16. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
Total by
Population
Groups
COLOURED
BLACK AFRICAN
WHITE
INDIAN/ASIAN
(47,4 million)
(5,2 million)
(4,6 million)
(1,5 million)
*Due to rounding totals may not add up to 100%
The black African population is in the majority and constitutes approximately 81% of
the total South African population.
81%
9%
8%
3%
SA by population group, 2019

17. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80+
Black African
Black African
Proportion of Black Africans
compared to Whites.
0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 70-79 80+
There are pronounced differences between population groups in South Africa. The black
African population structure is more youthful compared to that of the white population. Population structures
are driven by fertility, mortality and migration.
Age structure by Population
group, 2019

18. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80+
Coloured
Coloured
0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 70-79 80+
There are pronounced differences between population groups in South Africa. Fertility
levels are lower amongst Indian/Asians compared to the Coloured population. Population structures are
driven by fertility, mortality and migration.
Age structure by Population
group, 2019
Proportion of Coloured compared
to Indian/ Asian

19. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
Fertility
(births)

20. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
On average, a
woman
will give birth
to 2,32
children in her
lifetime
* Provided that current fertility behaviour prevails

21. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
2,66
2,32
1,5
1,7
1,9
2,1
2,3
2,5
2,7
2,9
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
The total fertility rate peaked in 2008 at 2,66 and is declining, reaching 2,32
in 2019.
Total Fertility Rate, 2002-2019
TotalFertilityRate

22. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
EC LP KZN NC NW MP FS WC GP
2,88 2,87
2,71 2,67 2,65
2,54
2,35
2,00 1,91
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
EC LP KZN NC NW MP FS WC GP
More urbanised provinces of WC and GP have lower fertility rates than the South
African average of 2,32.
Total Fertility Rate by Province
SA Average
Fertility Rate is 2,32

23. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
Mortality
(Deaths)

24. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Year of death
671 812
541 493
Deaths peak in 2006, thereafter decreasing to the current value of 541 493 in 2019. The
highest number of deaths was estimated for the period 1 July 2006 to 30 June 2007.
Total number of deaths
estimated over time, 2002-2019

25. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
Male
61,5
64,7
Female
67,7
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Life expectancy by sex over
time, 2002-2019
Life expectancy (LE) has been increasing since 2007. Besides biological differences, the variance
in LE between males and females can also be attributed to a variety of social and behavioural dynamics.
LE

26. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
56,5
Infant Mortality Rate
22,1
79,0 Under-5 Mortality Rate
28,5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Mortalityrate
Infant and under-five mortality rates in SA continue to decline.
IMR and U5MR per 1000 live
births over time, 2002-2019

27. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
55
57
58
59
60
60
62
62
64
66
61
64
65
66
67
66
67
68
69
71
FS
KZN
NW
NC
EC
MP
LP
SA
GP
WC
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80
There is an average 6 year gap in life expectancy between males and females in SA.
Free State has a significantly lower life expectancy than the SA average
Life Expectancy by
province,2019
5Y
6Y
Males Females

28. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
The total number of people living with HIV is estimated at 7,97 million in 2019.
Improved access and uptake of ARVs in SA has enabled HIV positive people to lead healthier lives
and live longer.
Number of people living with
HIV, 2002-2019 (millions)
7,97M
Millions
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

29. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
Over time HIV prevalence amongst adults aged 15-49 increased substantially with
lack of treatment. Given increased levels of treatment, prevalence rates are now
declining. HIV prevalence among youth aged 15-24 has shown a steady decline.
WOMEN (15-49) ADULTS (15-49) YOUTH (15-24)
Prevalence of persons living
with HIV, 2002 - 2019
18,8%
22,7%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
16,3%
19,1%
0
5
10
15
20
25
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
8,2%
4,3%
0
5
10
15
20
25
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019

30. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
Migration

31. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
-353610
574314
-400000 -200000 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000
EC
LIM
KZN
FS
MP
NC
NW
WC
GP
Net Migration (Excluding Outside SA) shows that GP and WC receive the highest
number of net migrants
Net migration
2016 - 2021
-400000 -200000 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000
EC
LIM
KZN
FS
MP
NC
NW
WC
GP
GP has a net gain of over half a
million interprovincial migrants
over a 5-year period

32. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
-400000 -200000 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000
EC
LIM
KZN
FS
MP
NC
NW
WC
GP
Net migration (including outside SA) shows GP receiving around 50% of all
international migration into SA
Net migration
2016 - 2021
-314 453
1,07 M
-400000 -200000 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000
EC
LIM
KZN
FS
NC
MP
NW
WC
GP
-400000 -200000 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000
EC
LIM
KZN
FS
MP
NC
NW
WC
GP
International migration adds to
net gains of provincial migration
to GP, WC, NW and MP
International migration reverses some
losses in population in EC, LP, KZN and FS

33. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
GP
EC
LP
KZN
MP
NW
WC
FS
NC
Outside SA
GP
WC
NW
KZN
MP
LP
EC
FS
NC
Gauteng received the highest number of in-migrants for the period 2016 to 2021. The
economic strength of Gauteng influences its attractiveness to migrants
Net migration 2016-2021 GP as
a destination region
GP as destination region

34. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
GP
EC
LP
KZN
MP
NW
WC
FS
NC
Outside SA
GP
WC
NW
KZN
MP
LP
EC
FS
NC
WC as destination region
Western Cape received the second highest number of in-migrants for period 2016
to 2021. Opportunities of employment, study and quality of life play an important role amongst the
push-pull factors between EC and WC
Net migration 2016-2021 WC as
a destination region

35. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
RECAP
For 2019, Statistics
South Africa (Stats SA)
estimates the mid-year
population at
Estimated overall HIV
prevalence is 13,1%
among the SA population
58,78
Million
Gauteng comprises
the largest share of
the South African
population
15,17
Million
people in GP
Total life expectancy
at birth for 2019 for
SA is estimated at
64,7
SA Life
Expectancy
7,97
Million people
estimated to be
living with HIV

36. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018Stats SA: MID YEAR ESTIMATES 2019
Ndzi hela kwala!