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Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
VIRTUAL	REALITY	
THE	PAST,	PRESENT,	AND	FUTURE	
IN	15	MINUTES	
	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel	
Advanced	SimulaDons
What	are	the	emerging	technologies	in	Market	Research?	
Ray	Poynter,	The	Future	Place	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
NewMR	2018	Sponsors	
PlaAnum	
Gold	
Silver	
CommunicaAon	
Your	name	here?	
SAll	Ame	to	be	a	
2018	NewMR	Sponsor
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Three	Things	To	Know	
VR	designed	as	an		
improvement	to	less	
precise	techniques	
An	ideal	tool	for	shopper	
research	–	defines	the	impact	
of	shopper	markeAng	and		
category	management	
Technology	enhancements	
will	conAnue	to	develop	-		
but	not	all	will	be	useful
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Happy	Birthday,	VR	
è 25th	year	as	a	markeAng	research	tool	
è Born	as	a	reacAon	to:	
→ In-store	observaAon	
→ Analysis	of	syndicated	sales	data	
→ ReacAve	and	inefficient	central	locaAon	methods	
→ Controlled	store	tests
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
ObservaDon/Analysis	
UPSIDES	 DOWNSIDES	
Hypothesis	generaAon	 Can	be	simplisAc	–	blinding	flash	of	
the	obvious	
Nuggets	to	be	found	 No	test	of	whether	it’s	right	
SomeAmes	simple	soluAons	
è  We	oZen	use	passive	measures	of	shopping	behavior	–	in-store	
observaAon,		shop-alongs,		or	analysis	of	syndicated	sales	data
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Need	BeTer	Science	
“There	are	lots	of	ways	of	
knowing	the	world	–	only	one	
of	them	is	science…and	a	
good	control	group	is	hard	to	
beat.”	
Bill	Bean	–	MaTel/PepsiCo/Kra
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Central	LocaDons	
è CreaAng	a	mock	shelf	in	a	
central	locaAon	and	asking	
shoppers	to	go	shopping	has	
never	been	a	realisAc	or	cost	
effecAve	way	to	get	at	shopper	
behavior
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Controlled	Store	Tests	
è Create	mulAple	store	panels,	each	receiving	one	level	
of	the	test	variable	
→ Need	10-15	stores	per	panel	
→ Need	3	or	more	purchase	cycles	for	the	category	
→ Analyze	with	analysis	of	covariance
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Central	LocaDon/Controlled	Store	
UPSIDES	 DOWNSIDES	
More	scienAfic	 Can	be	unrealisAc	(Central)	
Specific	answers	 Expensive	
Can	be	very	realisAc	(Ctrl	Store)	 Time	consuming	
Inefficient	(Central)	
Not	confidenAal	(Ctrl	Store)	
è  These	are	more	acAve	approaches	to	understanding	shopper	
behavior
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Birth	of	VR	
è VR	systems	were	built	to	overcome	these	issues	–	
wanted:	
→ Experimental	control	
→ ConfidenAality	
→ Much	lower	cost	
→ Quick	to	run
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Past	-	Visionary	Shopper	(1993)	
è First	VR	system	for	markeAng	
research	
→  CombinaAon	touch-screen	and	
trackball	
→  Cartoonish	look	
→  Difficulty	with	round	or	odd-
shaped	objects	
→  But	validated	well
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Past	and	Present	-	4D	Shopper(2003)	
è Environments	less	cartoonish	
→  Ability	to	create	walk-arounds	
→  Easier	navigaAon	for	shopper	
→  Fast	and	easy	to	execute	
→  Extensively	validated
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Today	-	4D	Shopper	Plus	(2017)	
è Photo-real	store	environments	using	
Azure	Knowledge’s	Digiwalks	system	
è Able	to	cut-in	test	categories	and	
make	them	shopable	
è Walk-around	and	shop	or	take	them	
to	the	shelves	we	are	interested	in
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Future	-	4D	Shopper	TrueVR	(?)	
è Shoppers	use	VR	headsets	to	move	
around	the	store	and	interact	with	
products	
è Can	be	done	today	but:	
→  Can	create	verAgo	
→  Sample	limited	to	those	who	
already	use	VR	headsets	
→  Not	validated
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Future	–	Eye	Tracking	
è We	have	the	capability	to	track	
eye-movements	in	Base	and	Plus	
→  3rd	party	merges	video	of	
screen	and	eye-tracking	
→  Codes	viewing	areas	
→  SAll	have	the	issue	of	whether	
VR	viewing	is	“real”	
0%	
10%	
20%	
30%	
40%	
50%	
60%	
70%	
80%	
90%	
100%	
0%	 10%	 20%	 30%	 40%	 50%	
VIRTUAL	STORE	%	FIXATING	
LIVE	STORE	%	FIXATING	
%	FIXATING	BY	BRAND	(r=.71)
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Future	–	Facial	Coding	
è We	have	the	capability	of	doing	
facial	coding	
è QuesAon	whether	we	should	
bother	when	tesAng	CPG/FMCG?	
è Do	shoppers	really	react	much	to	
products	and	shelf	sets?
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Future	–	MulDple	Senses	
è Auditory	–	can	do	now	
è Olfactory	–	can	do	but	very	obtrusive	
è HapAc	–	problemaAc	for	texture
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Future	–	Online	Shopping	
è Viable	in	theory,	but:	
→  IniAal	imaging	of	50,000	items	expensive	
→  Maintenance	is	doable,	but	a	logisAcal	nightmare	
→  No	evidence	[yet]	that	it	would	be	any	beper	(trial	or	retenAon)
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Three	Things	To	Know	
VR	designed	as	an		
improvement	to	less	
precise	techniques	
An	ideal	tool	for	shopper	
research	–	packaging,	
pricing,	promoAons,	shelf	
assortments/layouts	
Technology	enhancements	
will	conAnue	to	develop	-		
but	not	all	will	be	useful
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Thank	You!	
	
	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel	
Advanced	SimulaDons	
www.advancedsimulaDons.com	
drsteveasl@gmail.com	
+1-404-944-0248
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
Q	&	A	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel	
Advanced	SimulaAons	
Andrew	Jeavons	
Signoi
Virtual	Reality	–	The	Past,	Present,	and	Future	in	15	Minutes	
Dr.	Stephen	Needel,	Advanced	SimulaAons	
Festival of
#NewMR 2018
	
	
NewMR	2018	Sponsors	
PlaAnum	
Gold	
Silver	
CommunicaAon	
Your	name	here?	
SAll	Ame	to	be	a	
2018	NewMR	Sponsor

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