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Daily Derivatives Outlook


                                                                                                   28 December 2012



Short Strangles & Straddles
    Sell Calls & Sell Puts
      Simultaneously
   Nifty( Jan, Feb, Mar)
    Highest Call OI at 6000                                 Bullish Call Option Trades
    Highest Put OI at 5800
      Equilibrium at 5900
        5900C & 5900P                                      Buy Tata Motors 320 CALL at 9
        6000C & 5800P
                                                                Buy Idea 105 CALL at 4.5
        6100C & 5700P
        6200C & 5600P                                       Buy Dr Reddy 1850 CALL at 48
        6300C & 5500P
        6400C & 5400P                                    Buy Tech Mahindra 940 CALL at 24
      Bank Nifty(Jan)
                                                               Buy Arvind 105 CALL at 3.5
   Highest Call OI at 12500
   Highest Put OI at 12000
    Equilibrium at 12500
       12500C & 12500P                                      Bearish Put Option Trades
       12700C & 12300P
       12900C & 12100P                                          Buy BHEL 220 PUT at 3.85
       13100C & 11900P
       13300C & 11700P                                             Buy IGL 240 PUT at 2.7
       13500C & 11500P
       USD/INR(Jan)                                         Buy Powergrid 110 PUT at 0.75
     Highest Call OI at 55
                                                                 Buy Cairn 320 PUT at 6.5
     Highest Put OI at 55
      Equilibrium at 55                                     Buy Hind Unilever 500 PUT at 4
          55C & 55P
       55.25C& 54.75P
        55.5C & 54.5P
       55.75C & 54.25P
          56C & 54P
       56.25C & 53.75P




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                      th
           The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
NOTES ON OPTION STRATEGIES :

1. Advantages of Options – Profit from Trading range Markets, High Leverage, Built-in
    Stop Loss, Higher Probability of Profit using Spread Trades and Increase in trading
    opportunities due to multiple legs.
2. Stop Loss : Use 50% stop loss for bought options and 100% stop loss for sold options.
3. Profit Taking : Book profits at 100% for bought options and 50% for sold options.
4. Put Call Ratio ( Open Interest) is bullish at levels between 0.8 to 1.2 and bearish
    between 1.75 to 2.
5. Equilibrium strike is with equal Call and Put Open interest with Highest Call Open
    interest strike as resistance and Highest Put Open interest as support.
6. Long Call and Long Put are Limited Risk and Unlimited Reward strategies.
7. Short Call and Short Put are Unlimited Risk and Limited Reward strategies.
8. Long Synthetic and Short Synthetic are Unlimited Risk and Unlimited Reward
    strategies used instead of futures to save margin.
9. Long Straddle ,Long Strangle and Long Guts are long volatility strategies ahead of
    events/results etc.
10. Short Straddle, Short Strangle and Short Guts are Short volatility strategies when
    range-bound action is anticipated.
11. Protective Put and Protective Call protect futures positions by buying options.
12. Collar is a combination of the Covered Call and the Protective Put or the Covered Put
    and the Protective Call.
13. Covered Call/Ratio Call Write Put and Covered Put/Ratio Put Write cover futures
    positions by selling options. They involve unlimited risk and limited reward.
14. Bull Call Spread , Ratio Bull Call Spread and Bull Call Ladder are bullish debit spreads
    which involve buying a lower call option and selling upper call options.
15. Bear Put Spread, Ratio Bear Spread and Bear Ladder are bearish debit spreads which
    involve buying a upper Put option and selling a lower Put option.
16. Bull Put Spread is a bullish credit spread which involves selling a upper put option and
    buying a lower put option.
17. Bear Call Spread is a bearish credit spread which involves selling a lower call option
    and buying a upper call option.
18. Long Iron Butterfly is a combination of the Bull Put Spread and Bear Call Spread while
    Short Iron Butterfly is a combination of the Bull Call Spread and Bear Put Spread.
19. Long Term Options can be used to create investment grade positions using spreads,
    synthetics and covered /protective positions.
20. Calendar/Diagonal Calls is a debit spread involving buying a long-dated call option and
    selling a short-dated call option against it ( Diagonal Calls involve different strikes).
21. Calendar/Diagonal Puts is a debit spread involves buying a long-dated put option and
    selling a short-dated put option against it ( Diagonal Puts involve different strikes).



                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                       th
            The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or
solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its
accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability
arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own
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grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying
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related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                            th
               The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322

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Daily Derivatives Outlook and Trading Strategies

  • 1. Daily Derivatives Outlook 28 December 2012 Short Strangles & Straddles Sell Calls & Sell Puts Simultaneously Nifty( Jan, Feb, Mar) Highest Call OI at 6000 Bullish Call Option Trades Highest Put OI at 5800 Equilibrium at 5900 5900C & 5900P Buy Tata Motors 320 CALL at 9 6000C & 5800P Buy Idea 105 CALL at 4.5 6100C & 5700P 6200C & 5600P Buy Dr Reddy 1850 CALL at 48 6300C & 5500P 6400C & 5400P Buy Tech Mahindra 940 CALL at 24 Bank Nifty(Jan) Buy Arvind 105 CALL at 3.5 Highest Call OI at 12500 Highest Put OI at 12000 Equilibrium at 12500 12500C & 12500P Bearish Put Option Trades 12700C & 12300P 12900C & 12100P Buy BHEL 220 PUT at 3.85 13100C & 11900P 13300C & 11700P Buy IGL 240 PUT at 2.7 13500C & 11500P USD/INR(Jan) Buy Powergrid 110 PUT at 0.75 Highest Call OI at 55 Buy Cairn 320 PUT at 6.5 Highest Put OI at 55 Equilibrium at 55 Buy Hind Unilever 500 PUT at 4 55C & 55P 55.25C& 54.75P 55.5C & 54.5P 55.75C & 54.25P 56C & 54P 56.25C & 53.75P Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. NOTES ON OPTION STRATEGIES : 1. Advantages of Options – Profit from Trading range Markets, High Leverage, Built-in Stop Loss, Higher Probability of Profit using Spread Trades and Increase in trading opportunities due to multiple legs. 2. Stop Loss : Use 50% stop loss for bought options and 100% stop loss for sold options. 3. Profit Taking : Book profits at 100% for bought options and 50% for sold options. 4. Put Call Ratio ( Open Interest) is bullish at levels between 0.8 to 1.2 and bearish between 1.75 to 2. 5. Equilibrium strike is with equal Call and Put Open interest with Highest Call Open interest strike as resistance and Highest Put Open interest as support. 6. Long Call and Long Put are Limited Risk and Unlimited Reward strategies. 7. Short Call and Short Put are Unlimited Risk and Limited Reward strategies. 8. Long Synthetic and Short Synthetic are Unlimited Risk and Unlimited Reward strategies used instead of futures to save margin. 9. Long Straddle ,Long Strangle and Long Guts are long volatility strategies ahead of events/results etc. 10. Short Straddle, Short Strangle and Short Guts are Short volatility strategies when range-bound action is anticipated. 11. Protective Put and Protective Call protect futures positions by buying options. 12. Collar is a combination of the Covered Call and the Protective Put or the Covered Put and the Protective Call. 13. Covered Call/Ratio Call Write Put and Covered Put/Ratio Put Write cover futures positions by selling options. They involve unlimited risk and limited reward. 14. Bull Call Spread , Ratio Bull Call Spread and Bull Call Ladder are bullish debit spreads which involve buying a lower call option and selling upper call options. 15. Bear Put Spread, Ratio Bear Spread and Bear Ladder are bearish debit spreads which involve buying a upper Put option and selling a lower Put option. 16. Bull Put Spread is a bullish credit spread which involves selling a upper put option and buying a lower put option. 17. Bear Call Spread is a bearish credit spread which involves selling a lower call option and buying a upper call option. 18. Long Iron Butterfly is a combination of the Bull Put Spread and Bear Call Spread while Short Iron Butterfly is a combination of the Bull Call Spread and Bear Put Spread. 19. Long Term Options can be used to create investment grade positions using spreads, synthetics and covered /protective positions. 20. Calendar/Diagonal Calls is a debit spread involving buying a long-dated call option and selling a short-dated call option against it ( Diagonal Calls involve different strikes). 21. Calendar/Diagonal Puts is a debit spread involves buying a long-dated put option and selling a short-dated put option against it ( Diagonal Puts involve different strikes). Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322