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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           4th January 2012

                                                                MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27448. It touched an
                       Gold         Silver        Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)   (19 Jan-12)
                                                                intra-day low of 27414. However, it managed to move higher on
                                                                back of buying support to touch an intra-day high of 27779. It ended
 Open                    27,448        51,493         5,332     the day with modest gains to close at 27656.
 High                    27,779        53,500         5,464
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Low                     27,414        51,493         5,332     averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
 Close                   27,656        53,109         5,442     Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to
                                                                intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and +DI are moving
 Prev. Close             27,382        51,330         5,325
                                                                sideways, while -DI line is moving lower but is still placed at 35.90,
 % Change                 1.00%        3.47%          2.20%     indicating sellers are covering their short positions. MCX GOLD
                                                                faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the
Source – MCX
                                                                supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 51493.
                        3/1/2012     2/1/2012       % Chg.      Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to
                                                                touch an intra-day high of 53500. It ended the day with large gains
 Gold (gms)             54,038.0      6,445.0      738.45%      to close at 53109.
 Silver (kgs)            2,552.0        261.8      874.85%
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above its average and would
 Crude (bbl)            21,299.6      2,044.7      941.70%
                                                                lead to buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed in the
Source – MCX                                                    over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit
                                                                taking. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is is
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                        moving lower but is still placed 34.54, indicating sellers are covering
                                                                their short positions. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53200, 54184,
                        3/1/2012     2/1/2012       % Chg.      56480 levels, while the supports are placed at 50410, 49809, 48477
Gold                 1,492,968.8    176,229.7      747.17%
                                                                and 45824 levels.

Silver               1,339,485.5    134,161.1      898.42%      MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened higher at 5400 level. It
Crude                1,152,305.0    108,471.9      962.31%
                                                                moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5434. However, it
                                                                managed to bounce back to touch an intra-day high of 5452. It
Source – MCX                                                    ended the day with handsome gains to close at 5442.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                    The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                averages, which would result in buying support. The ADX and -DI
                        4/1/2012     3/1/2012       % Chg.
                                                                line are moving sideways, while the +DI line is placed at 41.99
Gold (oz)               1,601.50     1,600.50         0.06%     indicating buyers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5464,
Silver (oz)                29.42        29.53        -0.40%
                                                                5475 and 5500 levels, while the supports are placed at 5380, 5200,
                                                                5174 and 5115 levels.
Crude (bbl)              102.84        102.96        -0.12%

Dollar Index               79.75        80.35        -0.75%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
          Commodities              Close         Pivot Point             R1             R2          R3            S1            S2          S3

         CRUDE JAN 12                  5442                   5413         5493          5545         5677          5361         5281        5149

              GOLD FEB 12            27656                  27616        27819          27981        28346        27454         27251       26886

         SILVER MAR 12               53109                  52701        53908          54708        56715        51901         50694       48687


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US Economic Calendar:

      Tuesday                    Wednesday                     Thursday                       Friday                       Tuesday
       Jan. 03                    Jan. 04                       Jan. 05                       Jan. 06                       Jan. 10
FOMC Meeting              Motor Vehicle Sales           Jobless Claims               Employment Situation          NFIB Small Business
Minutes                                                                                                            Optimism Index
Construction Spending     Factory Orders                ADP Employment               Monster Employment            Wholesale Trade
                                                        Report                       Index
ISM Mfg Index             MBA Purchase                  ISM Non-Mfg Index            Treasury STRIPS
                          Applications




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        4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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Keynote commodity daily report 040112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 4th January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27448. It touched an Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Jan-12) intra-day low of 27414. However, it managed to move higher on back of buying support to touch an intra-day high of 27779. It ended Open 27,448 51,493 5,332 the day with modest gains to close at 27656. High 27,779 53,500 5,464 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Low 27,414 51,493 5,332 averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the Close 27,656 53,109 5,442 Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and +DI are moving Prev. Close 27,382 51,330 5,325 sideways, while -DI line is moving lower but is still placed at 35.90, % Change 1.00% 3.47% 2.20% indicating sellers are covering their short positions. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the Source – MCX supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 51493. 3/1/2012 2/1/2012 % Chg. Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 53500. It ended the day with large gains Gold (gms) 54,038.0 6,445.0 738.45% to close at 53109. Silver (kgs) 2,552.0 261.8 874.85% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above its average and would Crude (bbl) 21,299.6 2,044.7 941.70% lead to buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed in the Source – MCX over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is is Turnover (In Lacs) moving lower but is still placed 34.54, indicating sellers are covering their short positions. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53200, 54184, 3/1/2012 2/1/2012 % Chg. 56480 levels, while the supports are placed at 50410, 49809, 48477 Gold 1,492,968.8 176,229.7 747.17% and 45824 levels. Silver 1,339,485.5 134,161.1 898.42% MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened higher at 5400 level. It Crude 1,152,305.0 108,471.9 962.31% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5434. However, it managed to bounce back to touch an intra-day high of 5452. It Source – MCX ended the day with handsome gains to close at 5442. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would result in buying support. The ADX and -DI 4/1/2012 3/1/2012 % Chg. line are moving sideways, while the +DI line is placed at 41.99 Gold (oz) 1,601.50 1,600.50 0.06% indicating buyers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5464, Silver (oz) 29.42 29.53 -0.40% 5475 and 5500 levels, while the supports are placed at 5380, 5200, 5174 and 5115 levels. Crude (bbl) 102.84 102.96 -0.12% Dollar Index 79.75 80.35 -0.75% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JAN 12 5442 5413 5493 5545 5677 5361 5281 5149 GOLD FEB 12 27656 27616 27819 27981 28346 27454 27251 26886 SILVER MAR 12 53109 52701 53908 54708 56715 51901 50694 48687 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Tuesday Jan. 03 Jan. 04 Jan. 05 Jan. 06 Jan. 10 FOMC Meeting Motor Vehicle Sales Jobless Claims Employment Situation NFIB Small Business Minutes Optimism Index Construction Spending Factory Orders ADP Employment Monster Employment Wholesale Trade Report Index ISM Mfg Index MBA Purchase ISM Non-Mfg Index Treasury STRIPS Applications Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com