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Daily Commodity Outlook

                                                                                                                      11th November 2011

                                                                 MCX GOLD (DEC 11) - Gold opened lower at 28925. Incidentally,
                     Gold           Silver         Crude
                   (5 Dec-11)    (5 Dec-11)      (17 Nov-11)
                                                                 this was also the highest point of the day. It moved lower to touch
                                                                 an intra-day low of 28453. However, it managed to bounce to end
 Open                  28,925         57,338          4,860      the day on with modest losses to close at 28700.
 High                  28,925         57,550          4,953
                                                                 The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
 Low                   28,453         55,688          4,856
                                                                 support at lower levels. However, the Stochastic has breached its
 Close                 28,700         57,118          4,939      average. Moreso, both are also placed in the over bought zone,
                                                                 which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling
 Prev. Close           29,014         57,672          4,859
                                                                 pressure. The ADX and -DI line are moving sideways, while +DI
 % Change              -1.08%         -0.96%          1.65%      line is placed at 36.30 level, indicating buyers have an upper hand.
Source – MCX                                                     MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28825 and 29000 levels, while the
                                                                 supports are placed at 28152, 27954, 26768 and 26000 levels.
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                 MCX SILVER (DEC 11) - Silver opened lower at 57338. It moved
                   10/11/2011       9/11/2011        % Chg.      higher to touch an intra-day high of 57750. However, it moved
                                                                 lower to touch an intra-day low of 55688. It ended the day with
Gold (grms)          43,085.0        62,690.0       -31.27%
                                                                 modest losses to close at 57118.
Silver (kgs)           1,735.0        2,209.1       -21.46%

Crude (bbl)          19,846.3        29,140.4       -31.89%      The RSI and the Stochastic have breached their respective
                                                                 averages, which would lead to selling pressure at regular intervals.
Source – MCX                                                     Moreso, both are also placed in the over bought zone and would
                                                                 lead to profit taking. The ADX, -DI and +DI line are moving
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                            sideways indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces
                                                                 resistance at 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports
                   10/11/2011       9/11/2011        % Chg.
                                                                 are placed at 54754, 52725 and 52365 levels.
Gold               1,235,837.1   1,812,256.1        -31.81%

Silver              986,308.7    1,277,628.3        -22.80%
                                                                 MCX CRUDE (NOV 11) - Crude opened marginally higher at 4860
                                                                 level. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4856. However,
Crude               973,073.5    1,400,355.4        -30.51%      sustained buying support helped it to move higher. It touched an
Source – MCX                                                     intra-day high of 4953. It ended the day with moderate gains to
                                                                 close at 4939.
               Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                 The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective
                   11/11/2011    10/11/2011          % Chg.      averages, which would lead to further buying support. However,
                                                                 both are placed in the over bought zone which would lead to
Gold (oz)            1,767.90        1,759.60         0.47%
                                                                 intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and –DI line are
Silver (oz)             34.03         34.106         -0.22%      moving sideways, but +DI line is still placed at 43.57 indicating
Crude (bbl)             97.86            97.78        0.08%      buyers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5047 and 5098
                                                                 levels, while the supports are placed at 4879, 4618, 4493 and 4291
Dollar Index            76.61            76.67       -0.08%
                                                                 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                       Intra-day Resistance                           Intra-day Support
 Commodities                Close            Pivot Point          R1            R2              R3             S1             S2            S3

 CRUDE NOV 11                     4939                4916          4976           5013           5110           4879            4819        4722

 GOLD DEC 11                     28700               28693        28932           29165          29637          28460          28221        27749

 SILVER DEC 11                   57118               56785        57883           58647          60509          56021          54923        53061


                                                                Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

      Friday                       Monday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday                     Thursday
      Nov. 11                      Nov. 14                      Nov. 15                      Nov. 16                       Nov. 17
                          4-Week Bill
Consumer Sentiment                                      Producer Price Index         Consumer Price Index          Housing Statistic
                          Announcement

                          6-Month Bill Auction          Retail Sales                 Industrial Production         Jobless Claims

                                                        Empire State Mfg                                           Philadelphia Fed
                                                                                     Housing Market Index
                                                        Survey                                                     Survey
                                                                                     EIA Petroleum Status          EIA Natural Gas
                                                        Business Inventories
                                                                                     Report                        Report




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
         th
        4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 111111

  • 1. Daily Commodity Outlook 11th November 2011 MCX GOLD (DEC 11) - Gold opened lower at 28925. Incidentally, Gold Silver Crude (5 Dec-11) (5 Dec-11) (17 Nov-11) this was also the highest point of the day. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 28453. However, it managed to bounce to end Open 28,925 57,338 4,860 the day on with modest losses to close at 28700. High 28,925 57,550 4,953 The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying Low 28,453 55,688 4,856 support at lower levels. However, the Stochastic has breached its Close 28,700 57,118 4,939 average. Moreso, both are also placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling Prev. Close 29,014 57,672 4,859 pressure. The ADX and -DI line are moving sideways, while +DI % Change -1.08% -0.96% 1.65% line is placed at 36.30 level, indicating buyers have an upper hand. Source – MCX MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28825 and 29000 levels, while the supports are placed at 28152, 27954, 26768 and 26000 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (DEC 11) - Silver opened lower at 57338. It moved 10/11/2011 9/11/2011 % Chg. higher to touch an intra-day high of 57750. However, it moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 55688. It ended the day with Gold (grms) 43,085.0 62,690.0 -31.27% modest losses to close at 57118. Silver (kgs) 1,735.0 2,209.1 -21.46% Crude (bbl) 19,846.3 29,140.4 -31.89% The RSI and the Stochastic have breached their respective averages, which would lead to selling pressure at regular intervals. Source – MCX Moreso, both are also placed in the over bought zone and would lead to profit taking. The ADX, -DI and +DI line are moving Turnover (In Lacs) sideways indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports 10/11/2011 9/11/2011 % Chg. are placed at 54754, 52725 and 52365 levels. Gold 1,235,837.1 1,812,256.1 -31.81% Silver 986,308.7 1,277,628.3 -22.80% MCX CRUDE (NOV 11) - Crude opened marginally higher at 4860 level. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4856. However, Crude 973,073.5 1,400,355.4 -30.51% sustained buying support helped it to move higher. It touched an Source – MCX intra-day high of 4953. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 4939. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective 11/11/2011 10/11/2011 % Chg. averages, which would lead to further buying support. However, both are placed in the over bought zone which would lead to Gold (oz) 1,767.90 1,759.60 0.47% intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and –DI line are Silver (oz) 34.03 34.106 -0.22% moving sideways, but +DI line is still placed at 43.57 indicating Crude (bbl) 97.86 97.78 0.08% buyers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5047 and 5098 levels, while the supports are placed at 4879, 4618, 4493 and 4291 Dollar Index 76.61 76.67 -0.08% levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE NOV 11 4939 4916 4976 5013 5110 4879 4819 4722 GOLD DEC 11 28700 28693 28932 29165 29637 28460 28221 27749 SILVER DEC 11 57118 56785 57883 58647 60509 56021 54923 53061 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Nov. 11 Nov. 14 Nov. 15 Nov. 16 Nov. 17 4-Week Bill Consumer Sentiment Producer Price Index Consumer Price Index Housing Statistic Announcement 6-Month Bill Auction Retail Sales Industrial Production Jobless Claims Empire State Mfg Philadelphia Fed Housing Market Index Survey Survey EIA Petroleum Status EIA Natural Gas Business Inventories Report Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com