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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                      16th December 2011

                                                                    MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 28060. Incidentally,
                       Gold          Silver           Crude
                      (4 Feb-11)    (5 Mar-11)      (19 Dec-11)
                                                                    this was also the highest price for the day. It moved lower during the
                                                                    day to touch an intra-day low of 27287 on back of sustained selling
 Open                    28,060         54,248           5,200      pressure. It ended the day with heavy losses to close at 27531.
 High                    28,060         54,248           5,200
                                                                    The RSI and Stochastic remain placed below their respective
 Low                     27,287         52,316           5,021      averages, which would lead to further selling pressure. However,
 Close                   27,531         53,604           5,036      the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone and would lead to
                                                                    intermediate bouts of short covering. The ADX and +DI are moving
 Prev. Close             28,183         54,332           5,209
                                                                    sideways, while -DI line has witnessed a breakout and is placed at
 % Change                -2.31%        -1.34%           -3.32%      39.23, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces
                                                                    resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports
Source – MCX
                                                                    are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                    MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 54248.
                      15/12/2011    14/12/2011          % Chg.      Incidentally, this was also the highest price for the day. It moved
                                                                    lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 52316 on back of
 Gold (gms)             82,339.0      79,527.0           3.54%      sustained selling pressure. It ended the day with moderate losses to
 Silver (kgs)            3,583.2       3,558.1           0.71%      close at 53604.
 Crude (bbl)            22,533.0      24,395.9          -7.64%
                                                                    The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Source – MCX                                                        averages, which would lead to further selling pressure. However,
                                                                    the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone and intermediate
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                            bouts of short covering is likely to be witnessed at lower levels. The
                                                                    ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is moving higher
                      15/12/2011    14/12/2011          % Chg.      at 36.35, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces
Gold                 2,281,966.8   2,262,746.9           0.85%
                                                                    resistance at 54754, 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the
                                                                    supports are placed at 52725, 52365, 51226 and 50223 levels.
Silver               1,906,303.5   1,956,399.5          -2.56%

Crude                1,151,218.4   1,288,277.0         -10.64%
                                                                    MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened lower at 5200 level. It
                                                                    moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5368. Incidentally, this
Source – MCX                                                        was also the highest price for the day. It moved lower during the day
                                                                    to touch an intra-day low of 5021 on back of sustained selling
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                        pressure. It ended the day with large losses to close at 5036.
                      16/12/2011    15/12/2011          % Chg.
                                                                    The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Gold (oz)               1,583.10      1,575.90           0.46%      averages, which would lead to further selling pressure. However,
                                                                    the Stochastic is placed near the over bought zone, which would
Silver (oz)                29.36           29.23         0.43%
                                                                    lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The ADX and +DI line
Crude (bbl)                93.97           93.87         0.11%      are moving sideways, while -DI line is moving higher. It faces
Dollar Index               80.17           80.24        -0.08%      resistance at 5115, 5174 and 5200 levels, while the supports are
                                                                    placed at 5008, 4647 and 4156 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                  Intra-day Resistance                            Intra-day Support
  Commodities                      Close         Pivot Point            R1                 R2       R3             S1              S2         S3

 CRUDE DEC 11                       5036                5086           5150           5265        5444           4971            4907        4728

   GOLD FEB 11                     27531              27626          27965           28399       29172          27192          26853        26080

 SILVER MAR 11                     53604              53389          54463           55321       57253          52531          51457        49525


                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

       Friday                      Monday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday                     Thursday
       Dec. 16                     Dec. 19                      Dec. 20                      Dec. 21                       Dec. 22

Consumer Price Index      Housing Market Index          Housing Starts               Existing Home Sales           GDP Data

                          4-Week Bill                   ICSC-Goldman Store           EIA Petroleum Status
                                                                                                                   Jobless Claims
                          Announcement                  Sales                        Report
                                                                                     MBA Purchase
                          2-Yr Note Auction             5-Yr Note Auction                                          Consumer Sentiment
                                                                                     Applications




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
         th
        4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 161211

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 16th December 2011 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 28060. Incidentally, Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-11) (5 Mar-11) (19 Dec-11) this was also the highest price for the day. It moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 27287 on back of sustained selling Open 28,060 54,248 5,200 pressure. It ended the day with heavy losses to close at 27531. High 28,060 54,248 5,200 The RSI and Stochastic remain placed below their respective Low 27,287 52,316 5,021 averages, which would lead to further selling pressure. However, Close 27,531 53,604 5,036 the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone and would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The ADX and +DI are moving Prev. Close 28,183 54,332 5,209 sideways, while -DI line has witnessed a breakout and is placed at % Change -2.31% -1.34% -3.32% 39.23, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports Source – MCX are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 54248. 15/12/2011 14/12/2011 % Chg. Incidentally, this was also the highest price for the day. It moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 52316 on back of Gold (gms) 82,339.0 79,527.0 3.54% sustained selling pressure. It ended the day with moderate losses to Silver (kgs) 3,583.2 3,558.1 0.71% close at 53604. Crude (bbl) 22,533.0 24,395.9 -7.64% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Source – MCX averages, which would lead to further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone and intermediate Turnover (In Lacs) bouts of short covering is likely to be witnessed at lower levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is moving higher 15/12/2011 14/12/2011 % Chg. at 36.35, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces Gold 2,281,966.8 2,262,746.9 0.85% resistance at 54754, 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 52725, 52365, 51226 and 50223 levels. Silver 1,906,303.5 1,956,399.5 -2.56% Crude 1,151,218.4 1,288,277.0 -10.64% MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened lower at 5200 level. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5368. Incidentally, this Source – MCX was also the highest price for the day. It moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 5021 on back of sustained selling Global Market (Nymex - $) pressure. It ended the day with large losses to close at 5036. 16/12/2011 15/12/2011 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Gold (oz) 1,583.10 1,575.90 0.46% averages, which would lead to further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed near the over bought zone, which would Silver (oz) 29.36 29.23 0.43% lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The ADX and +DI line Crude (bbl) 93.97 93.87 0.11% are moving sideways, while -DI line is moving higher. It faces Dollar Index 80.17 80.24 -0.08% resistance at 5115, 5174 and 5200 levels, while the supports are placed at 5008, 4647 and 4156 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE DEC 11 5036 5086 5150 5265 5444 4971 4907 4728 GOLD FEB 11 27531 27626 27965 28399 29172 27192 26853 26080 SILVER MAR 11 53604 53389 54463 55321 57253 52531 51457 49525 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Dec. 16 Dec. 19 Dec. 20 Dec. 21 Dec. 22 Consumer Price Index Housing Market Index Housing Starts Existing Home Sales GDP Data 4-Week Bill ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status Jobless Claims Announcement Sales Report MBA Purchase 2-Yr Note Auction 5-Yr Note Auction Consumer Sentiment Applications Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com