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Global Automotive Report
Analysis of New Car Registrations
September 2018
2
Global Market Overview
Executive Summary
* Δ% in Volume September 2018 YTD / September 2017 YTD among markets with more than 1.000.000 New Car Registrations
Spain: Spain registered a +11,7% in new
registrations since January, the highest increase
within the five EU major markets
Top 3 Markets*
+15,6%Russia
Brazil: Brazil continued the trend registered in
2017, with a +10,8% in the first 3 quarters of
2018 (but still far from the volumes of New Car
Registrations of 2014: -600k registrations)
+10,8%Brazil
+11,7%Spain
Russia:As for 2017, in the first 3
quarters of 2018 Russia registered the
highest volume increase among BRIC
countries (+15,6% vs ’17YTD).
3
Analysis of New Car Registrations in Europe and Italy
* EU + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland); ** Δ% September 2018 / September 2017
Executive Summary
 Areas: Islands -12,0%, South -12,3%, Centre -20,1%, North-East -28,6% and North-West
-32,0% in volume in September 2018 compared to September 2017
 Customer segments: Fleet +3,2%, Business -4,0% and Retail -4,2% in volume in
September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD
 Brands: among the Top 15 by volume, high increases for Jeep +86,5%,Volkswagen
+12,2% and Citroen +8,3% in September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD
 Premium brands: among the Top 15, BMW -4,0%, Mercedes-Benz -7,0% and Audi -7,7%
in volume in September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD
 Top 3 Countries in new registrations: France -12,8%, Netherland -16,7% and Spain -
17,0% in volume in September 2018 compared to September 2017
 Top 3 Countries by market share: Germany 21,7% (+0,0), UK 15,5% (-1,7) and France
13,5% (+0,5) in September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD
 Brands: among the Top 15 by volume, high increases for Dacia +13,7%, Peugeot 8,4%
and Hyundai +7,1% in September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD
 Premium brands: BMW -1,8%,Audi -4,5% and Mercedes-Benz -5,5% in volume in
September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD
Europe*
Italy
-23,4%**
-25,4%**
4
Agenda
1 Global Market Overview
2 Europe
3 Italy
4 Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy (Hybrid and Pure Electric)
5 New Car Models Launches in Italy
5
Global Overview –Top 10 Markets and Europe*
Source: Arthur D. Little Analysis on IHS Global Insight Data and on market data
Global Market Overview
Highlights
2018YTD vs. 2017YTD, DeltaVolume vs. Delta Market Share, Market Size
Bubble Size – New Car
Registrations in 2018 YTD
∆ % Volume 18 vs. 17
∆ % Market Share
18/17
-10,0% -5,0% 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0%
1,5%
1,0%
0,5%
0,0%
-0,5%
* EU + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland)
-1,1%
6
Top 5 Brands analysis in major economies
Source: Arthur D. Little Analysis on IHS Global Insight and on market data
Global Market Overview
Italy and Europe* Major Economies*
5
2
1
4
3
M.S. % CML
(Top 5)
Total market
2018 YTD
Δ% 18/17 Top5
Brands
46%
15%
13%
6%
5%
2.691.474
**
2%
85%
India
21%
13%
11%
9%
6%
1.222.943
**
1%
60%
RussiaEU28+EFTA
11%
7%
6%
6%
6%
12.304.711
0%
36%
Italy
17%
8%
7%
7%
6%
45%
1.491.261
-2%
* Period January-September 2018; ** IHS Global Insight estimated value
18%
15%
13%
10%
9%
63%
1.711.847
**
1%
Brazil
14%
6%
6%
6%
5%
17.364.487
**
0%
35%
China
30%
16%
14%
11%
11%
3.341.796
**
0%
82%
Japan
13%
13%
12%
9%
8%
12.451.703
**
-1%
54%
US
*** Opel includes Vauxhall New Car Registrations
***
7
Top 3 Premium Brands analysis in major economies
Source: Arthur D. Little Analysis on IHS Global Insight and on market data
Global Market Overview
* Period January-September 2018; ** IHS Global Insight estimated value
3
1
2
M.S. % CML
(Top 3)
Total market
2018 YTD
Δ% 18/17 Top3
Prem. Brands
5,3%
5,0%
5,0%3,0%
3,3%
3,1%
1,2%
1,4%
1,3%
2,3%
2,1%
1,4%
1,1%
0,4%
0,3%
0,5%
0,5%
0,4%
Italy and Europe* Major Economies*
1,7%
1,8%
1,8%
2,5%
2,9%
2,8%
India RussiaEU28+EFTAItaly BrazilChina JapanUS
-0,4%
1,8%
-0,4%
5,8%
-0,9%
8,2%15,2%
-0,3%
1,4%
-0,2%+0,4%
5,3%
+0,2%
3,9%
-0,2%
9,4%
17.364.487
**
12.304.711
2.691.474
**
1.222.943
**
1.711.847
**
12.451.703
**
3.341.796
**
1.491.261
8
Agenda
1 Global Market Overview
2 Europe
2.1 Market Overview
2.2 New Car Registrations by Brand
3 Italy
4 Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy (Hybrid and Pure Electric)
5 New Car Models Launches in Italy
9
Top 10 European Markets* – September 2018 vs September 2017
Europe – Market Overview
Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis
EU New Car Registrations
1.123.184
1.466.243
2018 2017
-23,4%
##
#°
##
Ranking on September 2018 data
New Car Registrations in September 2018
Δ% Sep. 2018 / Sep. 2017
* EU + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland)
** World Harmonised Light Vehicle Test Procedure
-25,4
4°
124.976
-41,8
10°
17.194
-26,4
7°
27.312
2°
200.134
-39,7
9°
19.111-16,7
6°
29.527
-33,6
8°
27.145
-17,0
5°
69.129
-12,8
3°
148.750
1°
338.834
-20,5
-30,5
The strong decrease registered in September (-23%) around
Europe is due to the introduction in September of a new EU
testing scheme (WLTP**), which encouraged dealers to boost
registrations in July and August (+10% and +30% respectively)
10
-20
20
10
0
-10
In the first three quarters of 2018, demand for Passenger Cars in Europe has been sustained by the positive performance
of all the major markets with the exception of UK and Italy, which registered a decrease both in terms of volume and
Market Share
Top 10 European Markets* – September 2018YTD
Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Europe – Market Overview
Highlights Market Share
# Country
Sep.
2018
∆ Vs
2017
1 Germany 21,7% 0,0%
2 UK 15,5% -1,7%
3 France 13,5% 0,5%
4 Italy 12,1% -0,6%
5 Spain 8,5% 0,7%
6 Belgium 3,7% 0,1%
7 Poland 3,3% 0,3%
8 Netherlands 2,9% 0,2%
9 Sweden 2,3% 0,0%
10 Austria 2,2% 0,0%
2,4
-7,5
-2,8
6,5
11,7
4,711,3
2,2
13,5
0,7 Market Share
∆ % Volume
Sep. 18/17
* EU + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland)
20%10%
New Car Registrations Sep. 2018 YTD
11
Top 15 – September 2018YTD
Europe – New Car Registrations by Brand
Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis
∆M.S.
18/17
0,06 0,03 -0,02 0,08 -0,06 -0,05 -0,02 -0,04 -0,08 0,05 0,05 0,06 0,07 -0,09 0,14
Vol.'18 1.385.157 885.733 777.919 753.473 701.069 650.886 617.031 610.493 580.081 562.529 561.338 470.845 425.854 411.278 405.619 12.304.711
M.S.'18 11,3% 7,2% 6,3% 6,1% 5,7% 5,3% 5,0% 5,0% 4,7% 4,6% 4,6% 3,8% 3,5% 3,3% 3,3%
6,3
3,1
-1,7
8,4
-6,2 -5,5
-1,8
-4,5
-7,9
4,8 5,5 6,0 7,1
-9,1
13,7
2,3
∆ %
18/17
Tot.
*
* Opel includes Vauxhall New Car Registrations
12
Agenda
1 Global Market Overview
2 Europe
3 Italy
3.1 Market Overview
3.2 Market Highlights
3.3 New Car Registrations by Brand
3.4 New Car Registrations by Group
3.5 New Car Registrations by Fuel Type
4 Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy (Hybrid and Pure Electric)
5 New Car Models Launches in Italy
13
Italian Market –Variation of New Car Registrations 2018 vs 2017
Italy – Market Overview
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis; * World Harmonised Light Vehicle Test Procedure ∆'17/'16 ∆'18/'17
As in July and August, September has been affected by the new EU testing
scheme (WLTP*) which has been introduced at the beginning of September.
The WLTP slowed registrations in all the EU countries and Italy is no
exception. All channels have suffered a slow down in registration but while
private registrations outperformed the market (-16%), fleet and business
channels registered a -38% and -35% respectively.
Also self-registrations are down if compared to September 2017 (dealers -16%
and OEMs -88%)
September 2018
July
-2,8%
April
3,4%
February MayMarch June
18,2%
OctoberAugust September November
-25,4%
December
10,1%
January
6,2%
-1,4%
8,1%
15,8%
-5,8% -4,6%
6,5% 8,2%
12,9%
-3,2%
-7,3%
5,9% 4,4%
9,5% 7,1% 6,8%
14
5,2
-6,4
-9,6
-14,7
-15,1
-15,5
-29,7
-43,2
-48,6
-51,2
Italian Market – September 2018 vs September 2017
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – Market Overview
2015
2014
Δ% September 2018 / September 2017
124.976
167.469
-25,4%
2017
2018
-32,0
North-West
27.154
-12,0
Islands
5.786
-28,6
North-East
26.101
-20,1
Centre
21.220
-12,3
South
11.291
##
aa
##
Region
New Car Registrations in September 2018
Δ% Sep. 2018 / Sep. 2017
Growth of the Top 10
brands by volumes
6
Being most of the registrations of
Toyota either Hybrid or Petrol, the
new EU regulations didn’t affect
them as much as other brands
15
Diesel
53,3%
Petrol
33,6% LPG
6,4%
CNG*
2,2%
EV*
4,5%
Other
13,1%
Italian Market – September 2018YTD vs September 2017YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – Market Highlights
Analysis by “Customer Segment” Analysis by “Fuel Type”
Analysis by “Geographical Area” Analysis by “Car Segment”
816.479
361.986
312.796
857.791
350.722 325.836
Retail Fleet Business
2017
-4,8% 3,2% -4,0%∆'18/'17
459.887
499.019
301.915
153.472
76.967
496.190 504.755
304.795
151.404
77.205
North-West North-East SouthCentre Islands
222.645
1.491.261
547.950
501.657
188.065 26.422 4.522
D FA TotalB C E
-13,9% -3,1% 3,2% -1,5% -11,0% 15,3%-7,3% -1,1% -0,9% 1,4% -0,3%
2018
2017
∆'18/'17 ∆'18/'17
2018
2017
-8,9
+36,7
+40,2
-3,1
+2,1
∆% Volume Mar. 2018 / Mar. 2017 (YTD)
* CNG: Compressed Natural Gas (Methane and Ethanol); EV: Electric Vehicle (Hybrid and Electric)
1.491.261 1.534.349
2017
2018
-2,8
16
New Car Registrations by Brand – September 2018YTD (1/3)
Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
259.954
125.623
102.191 100.573 83.551 74.277 67.009 65.431 65.391 49.024 46.271 45.998 44.404 44.336 40.496
-20,3
12,2
-3,0 -2,0
5,0
-6,3
2,9
8,3
-7,7 -7,0
2,2
-4,0
-11,0
-4,9
86,5
Volume
∆Volume
18/17 %
∆ M.S.
18/17 %
Market
Share %
-3,82 1,12 -0,02 0,05 0,42 -0,19 0,24 0,45 2,09 -0,17 -0,14 0,15 -0,03 -0,28 -0,05
17,43 8,42 6,85 6,74 5,60 4,98 4,49 4,39 4,38 3,29 3,10 3,08 2,98 2,97 2,72
17
New Car Registrations by Brand – September 2018YTD (2/3)
Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
37.519 37.408 35.262
24.109
19.608 19.389
16.015 15.438 13.501 13.205
8.259 6.926 6.879 4.603 3.964
2,6 6,5
-27,7
1,6
-6,6
10,2
20,5
-14,8
6,7
-8,3
4,6
70,1
-10,0
7,3
39,0
Volume
∆Volume
18/17 %
∆ M.S.
18/17 %
Market
Share %
0,14 0,22 -0,82 0,07 -0,06 0,15 0,20 -0,14 0,09 -0,05 0,04 0,19 -0,04 0,03 0,08
2,52 2,51 2,36 1,62 1,31 1,30 1,07 1,04 0,91 0,89 0,55 0,46 0,46 0,31 0,27
18
New Car Registrations by Brand – September 2018YTD (3/3)
Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
2.918
2.500
2.172 2.030 1.838
919
534 504 360 328 157 51 37 18 2
4,6 12,9
-5,9 -9,7
9,4
-68,6
4,1 10,4
42,7
-17,8 -30,8
143,8
190,8
112,5 100,0
Volume
∆Volume
18/17 %
∆ M.S.
18/17 %
Market
Share %
0,02 0,03 0,00 -0,01 0,01 0,04 -0,01 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
0,20 0,17 0,15 0,14 0,12 0,06 0,04 0,03 0,02 0,02 0,01 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
19
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
New Car Registrations by Group – Top 15 – September 2018YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Group
26,9
15,1
14,1
9,8
6,9
5,2
4,7
4,4
4,0
3,0
1,6
1,4
0,9
0,6
0,5
Top 5: 72,7%
Top 10: 94,1%
-6,9%
-7,0%
-1,4%
-0,7%
-10,5%
-3,0%
1,6%
1,7%
7,2%
3,0%
-12,8%
9,0%
6,7%
4,6%
-10,0%
400.515
225.289
210.208
146.571
102.191
78.015
69.927
65.879
59.842
44.840
24.109
20.131
13.501
8.259
6.879
FCA
PSA
Volkswagen
Renault
Ford
Hyundai
Toyota
Daimler
BMW
Nissan
Suzuki
JLR
Volvo
Mazda
Honda
Market Share
(%)
DeltaVolume
'18 vs '17
VolumeGroup Brand
20
New Car Registrations by Fuel Type –Top 10 – Petrol and Diesel
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Fuel Type








































DieselPetrol
September 2018 2018YTD
 Ranking variation compared to previous period
7.454
2.157
2.078
1.798
1.469
1.419
1.408
1.353
1.250
1.243
61.072
24.883
24.223
17.824
14.881
13.822
12.368
11.889
11.773
10.497
28.771
28.597
24.634
22.961
22.924
21.346
20.798
17.797
17.704
17.435
2.288
1.973
1.941
1.896
1.336
1.325
1.259
1.250
1.240
1.177
PANDA
500
YPSILON
KARL
UP!
ECOSPORT
C3
FORTWO
AYGO
FIESTA
PANDA
500
YPSILON
POLO
FIESTA
C3
CLIO
208
FORTWO
AYGO
500X
COMPASS
RENEGADE
CLIO
TIPO
TIGUAN
QASHQAI
FIESTA
500L
3008
T-ROC
QASHQAI
RENEGADE
3008
PANDA
500X
FIESTA
CLIO
COMPASS
ECOSPORT
21
1.053
689
541
486
347
309
309
287
279
270
New Car Registrations by Fuel Type –Top 10 – LPG and CNG
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis




















CNGLPG
September 2018 2018YTD




















Italy – New Car Registrations by Fuel Type
 Ranking variation compared to previous period
8.079
7.350
7.037
5.824
5.765
5.628
5.511
4.253
4.177
3.774
7.336
5.721
3.644
2.679
2.286
2.190
1.675
1.205
999
766
319
233
132
121
104
55
51
49
39
19
YPSILON
PANDA
CORSA
KARL
MOKKA
500
i10
C3
PICANTO
500X
PANDA
YPSILON
CORSA
C3
500X
CLIO
TIPO
SANDERO
KARL
500L
GOLF
POLO
PANDA
UP!
OCTAVIA
PUNTO
IBIZA
QUBO
LEON
A3
PANDA
POLO
GOLF
PUNTO
UP!
QUBO
ASTRA
YPSILON
IBIZA
LEON
22
Overview of New Car Registrations by Segment
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment
Segments Growth in Market Share* Market Share andVolume**
-1,9%
+0,2%
D
«Executive»
-0,1%
B
«Supermini»
-0,2%
E
«Luxury»
+2,0%
C
«Medium»
+0,0%
F
«Ultra Luxury»
D
A
33,6%
Tot.
14,9%
B 36,7%
C
12,6%
1,8%E
0,3%F
100,0%
4.522
222.645
547.950
501.657
188.065
26.422
1.491.261
A
«Utility/City»
* Δ% September 2018 YTD / September 2017 YTD; ** Market Share and Volume September 2018 YTD
23
Segment A and Segment B – Top 10 – September 2018YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment
A
“Utility/City”
B
“Supermini”
88.830
33.066
13.794 12.569 12.491 10.497 8.556 7.800 7.183 6.802
PICANTOUP! AYGOKARLPANDA 500 FORTWO 110 TWINGO IGNIS
40.957
35.260
32.823 32.680 31.984
29.837 29.793
26.050
22.948 21.560
YARISYPSILONCLIO POLOC3 CAPTURFIESTA 208500L SANDERO
∆ Vol. %
18/17 YTD
∆ Vol. %
18/17 YTD
SegmentA (-13,9%YTD) registered another
strong decrease in September 2018 (-12,5% in
respect to September 2017). Segment B
decreased by 3,0% on anYTD basis and by
22% in respect to September 2017
-22,2% -26,3% 64,6% -11,3% 8,6% -0,6% -24,2% 25,7% 9,2% -5,3%
-4,2% -27,7% -11,6% -1,2% -3,7% -21,7% 10,4% -7,7% 6,6% -3,8%
24
Segment C and Segment D –Top 10 – September 2018YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment
C
“Medium”
D
“Executive”
41.202
35.588
32.175 30.540
28.397
23.580 21.781 20.749
18.783
15.321
DUSTER500X GOLFTIPO RENEGADE ECOSPORTCOMPASS QASHQAI 3008 GIULIETTA
24.001
13.502
10.549
9.297
7.584
6.508 6.461 6.114 6.000 5.830
GLAQ3TIGUAN OCTAVIAA4XIKUGA STELVIO GIULIA RAV4
∆ Vol. %
18/17 YTD
∆ Vol. %
18/17 YTD
15,8% -26,2% 13,0% N/A -8,6% -7,0% 48,6% 15,6% 53,8% -8,8%
6,6% -1,5% 111,4% -3,5% -14,4% -12,7% -10,9% -0,6% -18,7% 0,9%
Segment C and D were the most affected by
the new EU testing scheme regulations, losing
respectively -34% and -32% in respect to the
same month of the previous year (+3,2% and -
1,5%YTD respectively)
25
Segment E and Segment F –Top 10 – September 2018YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment
E
“Luxury”
F
“Ultra Luxury”
943
731
491
301 296
203 201 185 160 157
F-TYPE911 GHIBLI S CLASS MODEL SPANAMERA 7 SERIES A8 488 MODEL X
∆ Vol. %
18/17 YTD
∆ Vol. %
18/17 YTD
14,4% -18,4% -11,5% -17,3% -28,9% -17,2% -13,7% -26,9% 45,6% -9,2%
33,0% 10,4% 23,4% -15,0% -5,1% 1,5% 89,6% 72,9% 16,8% 7,5%
4.026
3.415
2.697
2.220
1.936
1.244
1.043 1.010 993 991
XC90X5F-PACE5 SERIES E CLASS A6 RANGE
SPORT
LEVANTE CAYENNE GLE
F segment is the segment which was less
affected by the new regulations (-2,2% vs Sep.
2017 and +15,3%YTD)
26
Agenda
1 Global Market Overview
2 Europe
3 Italy
4 Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy (Hybrid and Pure Electric)
5 New Car Models Launches in Italy
27
New Car Registrations of Hybrid vs Pure ElectricVehicles
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy
19.872
29.033
49.444
67.568
20172015 2016 2018
EV Registrations Trend
Volume, DeltaYoY, EV Market Share Sep. '18YTD
Hybrid and Pure ElectricVehicles Trend
Volume Sep. '18YTD
Delta
YoY
22,9% 46,1% 70,3% 36,7%
M.S. 1,7% 2,1% 3,2% 4,5%
CAGR
2016
5,9%
2018
96,7%
94,1%
97,1%
20172015
3,3%
2,9%
5,3%
94,7%
Electric Hybrid
+44,8%
+50,7%
28
Pure
Electric
Vehicles
Top 5 Hybrid and Pure ElectricVehicles – September 2018YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy
1.050
795
655
203 157
MODEL SLEAF FORTWO ZOE MODEL X
20.836
13.878
5.704 5.622
3.029
NIROYARIS C-HR RAV4 AURIS
Hybrid
Vehicles
 While diesel cars registered a
negative growth in 2018 (-9%)
and petrol one remained almost
stable (+2%) compared to the
previous year, hybrids sales
increased steadily in September
(up 33% compared to 2017), in
line with the results obtained in
the previous years
 Pure Electric vehicle continue
to obtain increases on a 3 digit
basis (+168%YTD)
29
Agenda
1 Global Market Overview
2 Europe
3 Italy
4 Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy (Hybrid and Pure Electric)
5 New Car Models Launches in Italy
30
New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2018 (1/5)
Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis
New Car Models Launches in Italy
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
A
B
C
D
F
Commercial Launch of New Model
Facelift / Technical Update
Premiere
Launch Concluded
Launch Postponed
Launch Anticipated
Giulietta
A7 SportbackA6
(P)
X5i8 Roadster
2 Series Active
& Gran TourerM3
Z4
(P)X4
DS7
Crossback
Duster
(P)
M5
Q3
(P)
RS5
Sportback
(P)
C5
Aircross
(P)
Q8
(P)
A1
(P)
DS3
Crossback
(P)
8Series
(P)
C4
(P)
Berlingo
(P)
E-tron
(P)
S8
(P)
Portofino
500X
31
New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2018 (2/5)
Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis
New Car Models Launches in Italy
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
F
G
H
I
J
K
Commercial Launch of New Model
Facelift / Technical Update
Premiere
Launch Concluded
Launch Postponed
Launch Anticipated
(P)
Fiesta ST
(P)
Mustang
Focus
(P)
Tourneo
Custom
Jazz NSX
Roadster
(P)
HR-V
CR-V
i30 Fastback Santa
Fe i20H1 Tucson i40
I-Pace
Renegade
Cee’d
(P)
Cherokee Wrangler
Sportage
Niro EV
(P)
QX50
Edge
32
New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2018 (3/5)
Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis
New Car Models Launches in Italy
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
L
M
Commercial Launch of New Model
Facelift / Technical Update
Premiere
Launch Concluded
Launch Postponed
Launch Anticipated
(P)
Urus
Range Rover
Sport Hybrid
Aventador S
Performante
(P)
Aventador S
Roadster
Huracan Spyder
Performante
(P)
Discovery
SVX
(P)
LS
(P)
RX L
2
CX-3 CX-5
6
MX-5
Ghibli Quattroporte
3
(P)
AMG GT4
G-Class
C-Class
CLS
Mini
(P)
33
Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis
Commercial Launch of New Model
Facelift / Technical Update
Premiere
Launch Concluded
Launch Postponed
Launch Anticipated
New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2018 (4/5)
New Car Models Launches in Italy
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
M
N
O
P
R
S
(P)
Juke
ASX
508
(P)
Eclipse
cross
Outlander
Outlander
PHEV
Leaf
Insigna GSi
508 SW
(P)
Cayman
GT4
(P)
911
GT3 RS
(P)
992
(P)
Macan
911 Carrera
T
Megan RS
Leon Cupra
R Ateca Cupra
(P)
Aranda
(P)
Kodiaq
sportline
Fabia
34
New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2018 (5/5)
Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis
New Car Models Launches in Italy
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
S
T
V
Commercial Launch of New Model
Facelift / Technical Update
Premiere
Launch Concluded
Launch Postponed
Launch Anticipated
(P)
Tivoli Actyon Sports
(P)
Smart Electric
Drive
Levorg
JimmySwift SportVitara
Land Cruiser Supra
(P)
XC40 S60
Touareg
(P)
Passat T-Cross
(P)
Arthur D. Little has been at the forefront of innovation since 1886.
We are an acknowledged thought leader in linking strategy, innovation
and transformation in technology-intensive and converging industries.
We navigate our clients through changing business ecosystems to
uncover new growth opportunities.We enable our clients to build
innovation capabilities and transform their organizations.
Our consultants have strong practical industry experience combined
with excellent knowledge of key trends and dynamics.Arthur D. Little is
present in the most important business centers around the world.
We are proud to serve most of the Fortune 1.000 companies, in
addition to other leading firms and public sector organizations.
For further information please visit www.adlittle.com.
Copyright © Arthur D. Little 2018.All rights reserved.
Contacts:
Fabrizio Arena
Partner
Tel.: +39 06 68 882 344
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Arthur D. Little Global Automotive Report September 2018

  • 1. Global Automotive Report Analysis of New Car Registrations September 2018
  • 2. 2 Global Market Overview Executive Summary * Δ% in Volume September 2018 YTD / September 2017 YTD among markets with more than 1.000.000 New Car Registrations Spain: Spain registered a +11,7% in new registrations since January, the highest increase within the five EU major markets Top 3 Markets* +15,6%Russia Brazil: Brazil continued the trend registered in 2017, with a +10,8% in the first 3 quarters of 2018 (but still far from the volumes of New Car Registrations of 2014: -600k registrations) +10,8%Brazil +11,7%Spain Russia:As for 2017, in the first 3 quarters of 2018 Russia registered the highest volume increase among BRIC countries (+15,6% vs ’17YTD).
  • 3. 3 Analysis of New Car Registrations in Europe and Italy * EU + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland); ** Δ% September 2018 / September 2017 Executive Summary  Areas: Islands -12,0%, South -12,3%, Centre -20,1%, North-East -28,6% and North-West -32,0% in volume in September 2018 compared to September 2017  Customer segments: Fleet +3,2%, Business -4,0% and Retail -4,2% in volume in September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD  Brands: among the Top 15 by volume, high increases for Jeep +86,5%,Volkswagen +12,2% and Citroen +8,3% in September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD  Premium brands: among the Top 15, BMW -4,0%, Mercedes-Benz -7,0% and Audi -7,7% in volume in September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD  Top 3 Countries in new registrations: France -12,8%, Netherland -16,7% and Spain - 17,0% in volume in September 2018 compared to September 2017  Top 3 Countries by market share: Germany 21,7% (+0,0), UK 15,5% (-1,7) and France 13,5% (+0,5) in September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD  Brands: among the Top 15 by volume, high increases for Dacia +13,7%, Peugeot 8,4% and Hyundai +7,1% in September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD  Premium brands: BMW -1,8%,Audi -4,5% and Mercedes-Benz -5,5% in volume in September 2018YTD compared to September 2017YTD Europe* Italy -23,4%** -25,4%**
  • 4. 4 Agenda 1 Global Market Overview 2 Europe 3 Italy 4 Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy (Hybrid and Pure Electric) 5 New Car Models Launches in Italy
  • 5. 5 Global Overview –Top 10 Markets and Europe* Source: Arthur D. Little Analysis on IHS Global Insight Data and on market data Global Market Overview Highlights 2018YTD vs. 2017YTD, DeltaVolume vs. Delta Market Share, Market Size Bubble Size – New Car Registrations in 2018 YTD ∆ % Volume 18 vs. 17 ∆ % Market Share 18/17 -10,0% -5,0% 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 1,5% 1,0% 0,5% 0,0% -0,5% * EU + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) -1,1%
  • 6. 6 Top 5 Brands analysis in major economies Source: Arthur D. Little Analysis on IHS Global Insight and on market data Global Market Overview Italy and Europe* Major Economies* 5 2 1 4 3 M.S. % CML (Top 5) Total market 2018 YTD Δ% 18/17 Top5 Brands 46% 15% 13% 6% 5% 2.691.474 ** 2% 85% India 21% 13% 11% 9% 6% 1.222.943 ** 1% 60% RussiaEU28+EFTA 11% 7% 6% 6% 6% 12.304.711 0% 36% Italy 17% 8% 7% 7% 6% 45% 1.491.261 -2% * Period January-September 2018; ** IHS Global Insight estimated value 18% 15% 13% 10% 9% 63% 1.711.847 ** 1% Brazil 14% 6% 6% 6% 5% 17.364.487 ** 0% 35% China 30% 16% 14% 11% 11% 3.341.796 ** 0% 82% Japan 13% 13% 12% 9% 8% 12.451.703 ** -1% 54% US *** Opel includes Vauxhall New Car Registrations ***
  • 7. 7 Top 3 Premium Brands analysis in major economies Source: Arthur D. Little Analysis on IHS Global Insight and on market data Global Market Overview * Period January-September 2018; ** IHS Global Insight estimated value 3 1 2 M.S. % CML (Top 3) Total market 2018 YTD Δ% 18/17 Top3 Prem. Brands 5,3% 5,0% 5,0%3,0% 3,3% 3,1% 1,2% 1,4% 1,3% 2,3% 2,1% 1,4% 1,1% 0,4% 0,3% 0,5% 0,5% 0,4% Italy and Europe* Major Economies* 1,7% 1,8% 1,8% 2,5% 2,9% 2,8% India RussiaEU28+EFTAItaly BrazilChina JapanUS -0,4% 1,8% -0,4% 5,8% -0,9% 8,2%15,2% -0,3% 1,4% -0,2%+0,4% 5,3% +0,2% 3,9% -0,2% 9,4% 17.364.487 ** 12.304.711 2.691.474 ** 1.222.943 ** 1.711.847 ** 12.451.703 ** 3.341.796 ** 1.491.261
  • 8. 8 Agenda 1 Global Market Overview 2 Europe 2.1 Market Overview 2.2 New Car Registrations by Brand 3 Italy 4 Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy (Hybrid and Pure Electric) 5 New Car Models Launches in Italy
  • 9. 9 Top 10 European Markets* – September 2018 vs September 2017 Europe – Market Overview Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis EU New Car Registrations 1.123.184 1.466.243 2018 2017 -23,4% ## #° ## Ranking on September 2018 data New Car Registrations in September 2018 Δ% Sep. 2018 / Sep. 2017 * EU + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) ** World Harmonised Light Vehicle Test Procedure -25,4 4° 124.976 -41,8 10° 17.194 -26,4 7° 27.312 2° 200.134 -39,7 9° 19.111-16,7 6° 29.527 -33,6 8° 27.145 -17,0 5° 69.129 -12,8 3° 148.750 1° 338.834 -20,5 -30,5 The strong decrease registered in September (-23%) around Europe is due to the introduction in September of a new EU testing scheme (WLTP**), which encouraged dealers to boost registrations in July and August (+10% and +30% respectively)
  • 10. 10 -20 20 10 0 -10 In the first three quarters of 2018, demand for Passenger Cars in Europe has been sustained by the positive performance of all the major markets with the exception of UK and Italy, which registered a decrease both in terms of volume and Market Share Top 10 European Markets* – September 2018YTD Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis Europe – Market Overview Highlights Market Share # Country Sep. 2018 ∆ Vs 2017 1 Germany 21,7% 0,0% 2 UK 15,5% -1,7% 3 France 13,5% 0,5% 4 Italy 12,1% -0,6% 5 Spain 8,5% 0,7% 6 Belgium 3,7% 0,1% 7 Poland 3,3% 0,3% 8 Netherlands 2,9% 0,2% 9 Sweden 2,3% 0,0% 10 Austria 2,2% 0,0% 2,4 -7,5 -2,8 6,5 11,7 4,711,3 2,2 13,5 0,7 Market Share ∆ % Volume Sep. 18/17 * EU + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) 20%10% New Car Registrations Sep. 2018 YTD
  • 11. 11 Top 15 – September 2018YTD Europe – New Car Registrations by Brand Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis ∆M.S. 18/17 0,06 0,03 -0,02 0,08 -0,06 -0,05 -0,02 -0,04 -0,08 0,05 0,05 0,06 0,07 -0,09 0,14 Vol.'18 1.385.157 885.733 777.919 753.473 701.069 650.886 617.031 610.493 580.081 562.529 561.338 470.845 425.854 411.278 405.619 12.304.711 M.S.'18 11,3% 7,2% 6,3% 6,1% 5,7% 5,3% 5,0% 5,0% 4,7% 4,6% 4,6% 3,8% 3,5% 3,3% 3,3% 6,3 3,1 -1,7 8,4 -6,2 -5,5 -1,8 -4,5 -7,9 4,8 5,5 6,0 7,1 -9,1 13,7 2,3 ∆ % 18/17 Tot. * * Opel includes Vauxhall New Car Registrations
  • 12. 12 Agenda 1 Global Market Overview 2 Europe 3 Italy 3.1 Market Overview 3.2 Market Highlights 3.3 New Car Registrations by Brand 3.4 New Car Registrations by Group 3.5 New Car Registrations by Fuel Type 4 Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy (Hybrid and Pure Electric) 5 New Car Models Launches in Italy
  • 13. 13 Italian Market –Variation of New Car Registrations 2018 vs 2017 Italy – Market Overview Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis; * World Harmonised Light Vehicle Test Procedure ∆'17/'16 ∆'18/'17 As in July and August, September has been affected by the new EU testing scheme (WLTP*) which has been introduced at the beginning of September. The WLTP slowed registrations in all the EU countries and Italy is no exception. All channels have suffered a slow down in registration but while private registrations outperformed the market (-16%), fleet and business channels registered a -38% and -35% respectively. Also self-registrations are down if compared to September 2017 (dealers -16% and OEMs -88%) September 2018 July -2,8% April 3,4% February MayMarch June 18,2% OctoberAugust September November -25,4% December 10,1% January 6,2% -1,4% 8,1% 15,8% -5,8% -4,6% 6,5% 8,2% 12,9% -3,2% -7,3% 5,9% 4,4% 9,5% 7,1% 6,8%
  • 14. 14 5,2 -6,4 -9,6 -14,7 -15,1 -15,5 -29,7 -43,2 -48,6 -51,2 Italian Market – September 2018 vs September 2017 Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – Market Overview 2015 2014 Δ% September 2018 / September 2017 124.976 167.469 -25,4% 2017 2018 -32,0 North-West 27.154 -12,0 Islands 5.786 -28,6 North-East 26.101 -20,1 Centre 21.220 -12,3 South 11.291 ## aa ## Region New Car Registrations in September 2018 Δ% Sep. 2018 / Sep. 2017 Growth of the Top 10 brands by volumes 6 Being most of the registrations of Toyota either Hybrid or Petrol, the new EU regulations didn’t affect them as much as other brands
  • 15. 15 Diesel 53,3% Petrol 33,6% LPG 6,4% CNG* 2,2% EV* 4,5% Other 13,1% Italian Market – September 2018YTD vs September 2017YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – Market Highlights Analysis by “Customer Segment” Analysis by “Fuel Type” Analysis by “Geographical Area” Analysis by “Car Segment” 816.479 361.986 312.796 857.791 350.722 325.836 Retail Fleet Business 2017 -4,8% 3,2% -4,0%∆'18/'17 459.887 499.019 301.915 153.472 76.967 496.190 504.755 304.795 151.404 77.205 North-West North-East SouthCentre Islands 222.645 1.491.261 547.950 501.657 188.065 26.422 4.522 D FA TotalB C E -13,9% -3,1% 3,2% -1,5% -11,0% 15,3%-7,3% -1,1% -0,9% 1,4% -0,3% 2018 2017 ∆'18/'17 ∆'18/'17 2018 2017 -8,9 +36,7 +40,2 -3,1 +2,1 ∆% Volume Mar. 2018 / Mar. 2017 (YTD) * CNG: Compressed Natural Gas (Methane and Ethanol); EV: Electric Vehicle (Hybrid and Electric) 1.491.261 1.534.349 2017 2018 -2,8
  • 16. 16 New Car Registrations by Brand – September 2018YTD (1/3) Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis 259.954 125.623 102.191 100.573 83.551 74.277 67.009 65.431 65.391 49.024 46.271 45.998 44.404 44.336 40.496 -20,3 12,2 -3,0 -2,0 5,0 -6,3 2,9 8,3 -7,7 -7,0 2,2 -4,0 -11,0 -4,9 86,5 Volume ∆Volume 18/17 % ∆ M.S. 18/17 % Market Share % -3,82 1,12 -0,02 0,05 0,42 -0,19 0,24 0,45 2,09 -0,17 -0,14 0,15 -0,03 -0,28 -0,05 17,43 8,42 6,85 6,74 5,60 4,98 4,49 4,39 4,38 3,29 3,10 3,08 2,98 2,97 2,72
  • 17. 17 New Car Registrations by Brand – September 2018YTD (2/3) Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis 37.519 37.408 35.262 24.109 19.608 19.389 16.015 15.438 13.501 13.205 8.259 6.926 6.879 4.603 3.964 2,6 6,5 -27,7 1,6 -6,6 10,2 20,5 -14,8 6,7 -8,3 4,6 70,1 -10,0 7,3 39,0 Volume ∆Volume 18/17 % ∆ M.S. 18/17 % Market Share % 0,14 0,22 -0,82 0,07 -0,06 0,15 0,20 -0,14 0,09 -0,05 0,04 0,19 -0,04 0,03 0,08 2,52 2,51 2,36 1,62 1,31 1,30 1,07 1,04 0,91 0,89 0,55 0,46 0,46 0,31 0,27
  • 18. 18 New Car Registrations by Brand – September 2018YTD (3/3) Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis 2.918 2.500 2.172 2.030 1.838 919 534 504 360 328 157 51 37 18 2 4,6 12,9 -5,9 -9,7 9,4 -68,6 4,1 10,4 42,7 -17,8 -30,8 143,8 190,8 112,5 100,0 Volume ∆Volume 18/17 % ∆ M.S. 18/17 % Market Share % 0,02 0,03 0,00 -0,01 0,01 0,04 -0,01 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,20 0,17 0,15 0,14 0,12 0,06 0,04 0,03 0,02 0,02 0,01 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
  • 19. 19 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 New Car Registrations by Group – Top 15 – September 2018YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Group 26,9 15,1 14,1 9,8 6,9 5,2 4,7 4,4 4,0 3,0 1,6 1,4 0,9 0,6 0,5 Top 5: 72,7% Top 10: 94,1% -6,9% -7,0% -1,4% -0,7% -10,5% -3,0% 1,6% 1,7% 7,2% 3,0% -12,8% 9,0% 6,7% 4,6% -10,0% 400.515 225.289 210.208 146.571 102.191 78.015 69.927 65.879 59.842 44.840 24.109 20.131 13.501 8.259 6.879 FCA PSA Volkswagen Renault Ford Hyundai Toyota Daimler BMW Nissan Suzuki JLR Volvo Mazda Honda Market Share (%) DeltaVolume '18 vs '17 VolumeGroup Brand
  • 20. 20 New Car Registrations by Fuel Type –Top 10 – Petrol and Diesel Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Fuel Type                                         DieselPetrol September 2018 2018YTD  Ranking variation compared to previous period 7.454 2.157 2.078 1.798 1.469 1.419 1.408 1.353 1.250 1.243 61.072 24.883 24.223 17.824 14.881 13.822 12.368 11.889 11.773 10.497 28.771 28.597 24.634 22.961 22.924 21.346 20.798 17.797 17.704 17.435 2.288 1.973 1.941 1.896 1.336 1.325 1.259 1.250 1.240 1.177 PANDA 500 YPSILON KARL UP! ECOSPORT C3 FORTWO AYGO FIESTA PANDA 500 YPSILON POLO FIESTA C3 CLIO 208 FORTWO AYGO 500X COMPASS RENEGADE CLIO TIPO TIGUAN QASHQAI FIESTA 500L 3008 T-ROC QASHQAI RENEGADE 3008 PANDA 500X FIESTA CLIO COMPASS ECOSPORT
  • 21. 21 1.053 689 541 486 347 309 309 287 279 270 New Car Registrations by Fuel Type –Top 10 – LPG and CNG Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis                     CNGLPG September 2018 2018YTD                     Italy – New Car Registrations by Fuel Type  Ranking variation compared to previous period 8.079 7.350 7.037 5.824 5.765 5.628 5.511 4.253 4.177 3.774 7.336 5.721 3.644 2.679 2.286 2.190 1.675 1.205 999 766 319 233 132 121 104 55 51 49 39 19 YPSILON PANDA CORSA KARL MOKKA 500 i10 C3 PICANTO 500X PANDA YPSILON CORSA C3 500X CLIO TIPO SANDERO KARL 500L GOLF POLO PANDA UP! OCTAVIA PUNTO IBIZA QUBO LEON A3 PANDA POLO GOLF PUNTO UP! QUBO ASTRA YPSILON IBIZA LEON
  • 22. 22 Overview of New Car Registrations by Segment Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment Segments Growth in Market Share* Market Share andVolume** -1,9% +0,2% D «Executive» -0,1% B «Supermini» -0,2% E «Luxury» +2,0% C «Medium» +0,0% F «Ultra Luxury» D A 33,6% Tot. 14,9% B 36,7% C 12,6% 1,8%E 0,3%F 100,0% 4.522 222.645 547.950 501.657 188.065 26.422 1.491.261 A «Utility/City» * Δ% September 2018 YTD / September 2017 YTD; ** Market Share and Volume September 2018 YTD
  • 23. 23 Segment A and Segment B – Top 10 – September 2018YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment A “Utility/City” B “Supermini” 88.830 33.066 13.794 12.569 12.491 10.497 8.556 7.800 7.183 6.802 PICANTOUP! AYGOKARLPANDA 500 FORTWO 110 TWINGO IGNIS 40.957 35.260 32.823 32.680 31.984 29.837 29.793 26.050 22.948 21.560 YARISYPSILONCLIO POLOC3 CAPTURFIESTA 208500L SANDERO ∆ Vol. % 18/17 YTD ∆ Vol. % 18/17 YTD SegmentA (-13,9%YTD) registered another strong decrease in September 2018 (-12,5% in respect to September 2017). Segment B decreased by 3,0% on anYTD basis and by 22% in respect to September 2017 -22,2% -26,3% 64,6% -11,3% 8,6% -0,6% -24,2% 25,7% 9,2% -5,3% -4,2% -27,7% -11,6% -1,2% -3,7% -21,7% 10,4% -7,7% 6,6% -3,8%
  • 24. 24 Segment C and Segment D –Top 10 – September 2018YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment C “Medium” D “Executive” 41.202 35.588 32.175 30.540 28.397 23.580 21.781 20.749 18.783 15.321 DUSTER500X GOLFTIPO RENEGADE ECOSPORTCOMPASS QASHQAI 3008 GIULIETTA 24.001 13.502 10.549 9.297 7.584 6.508 6.461 6.114 6.000 5.830 GLAQ3TIGUAN OCTAVIAA4XIKUGA STELVIO GIULIA RAV4 ∆ Vol. % 18/17 YTD ∆ Vol. % 18/17 YTD 15,8% -26,2% 13,0% N/A -8,6% -7,0% 48,6% 15,6% 53,8% -8,8% 6,6% -1,5% 111,4% -3,5% -14,4% -12,7% -10,9% -0,6% -18,7% 0,9% Segment C and D were the most affected by the new EU testing scheme regulations, losing respectively -34% and -32% in respect to the same month of the previous year (+3,2% and - 1,5%YTD respectively)
  • 25. 25 Segment E and Segment F –Top 10 – September 2018YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment E “Luxury” F “Ultra Luxury” 943 731 491 301 296 203 201 185 160 157 F-TYPE911 GHIBLI S CLASS MODEL SPANAMERA 7 SERIES A8 488 MODEL X ∆ Vol. % 18/17 YTD ∆ Vol. % 18/17 YTD 14,4% -18,4% -11,5% -17,3% -28,9% -17,2% -13,7% -26,9% 45,6% -9,2% 33,0% 10,4% 23,4% -15,0% -5,1% 1,5% 89,6% 72,9% 16,8% 7,5% 4.026 3.415 2.697 2.220 1.936 1.244 1.043 1.010 993 991 XC90X5F-PACE5 SERIES E CLASS A6 RANGE SPORT LEVANTE CAYENNE GLE F segment is the segment which was less affected by the new regulations (-2,2% vs Sep. 2017 and +15,3%YTD)
  • 26. 26 Agenda 1 Global Market Overview 2 Europe 3 Italy 4 Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy (Hybrid and Pure Electric) 5 New Car Models Launches in Italy
  • 27. 27 New Car Registrations of Hybrid vs Pure ElectricVehicles Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy 19.872 29.033 49.444 67.568 20172015 2016 2018 EV Registrations Trend Volume, DeltaYoY, EV Market Share Sep. '18YTD Hybrid and Pure ElectricVehicles Trend Volume Sep. '18YTD Delta YoY 22,9% 46,1% 70,3% 36,7% M.S. 1,7% 2,1% 3,2% 4,5% CAGR 2016 5,9% 2018 96,7% 94,1% 97,1% 20172015 3,3% 2,9% 5,3% 94,7% Electric Hybrid +44,8% +50,7%
  • 28. 28 Pure Electric Vehicles Top 5 Hybrid and Pure ElectricVehicles – September 2018YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy 1.050 795 655 203 157 MODEL SLEAF FORTWO ZOE MODEL X 20.836 13.878 5.704 5.622 3.029 NIROYARIS C-HR RAV4 AURIS Hybrid Vehicles  While diesel cars registered a negative growth in 2018 (-9%) and petrol one remained almost stable (+2%) compared to the previous year, hybrids sales increased steadily in September (up 33% compared to 2017), in line with the results obtained in the previous years  Pure Electric vehicle continue to obtain increases on a 3 digit basis (+168%YTD)
  • 29. 29 Agenda 1 Global Market Overview 2 Europe 3 Italy 4 Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy (Hybrid and Pure Electric) 5 New Car Models Launches in Italy
  • 30. 30 New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2018 (1/5) Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis New Car Models Launches in Italy Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec A B C D F Commercial Launch of New Model Facelift / Technical Update Premiere Launch Concluded Launch Postponed Launch Anticipated Giulietta A7 SportbackA6 (P) X5i8 Roadster 2 Series Active & Gran TourerM3 Z4 (P)X4 DS7 Crossback Duster (P) M5 Q3 (P) RS5 Sportback (P) C5 Aircross (P) Q8 (P) A1 (P) DS3 Crossback (P) 8Series (P) C4 (P) Berlingo (P) E-tron (P) S8 (P) Portofino 500X
  • 31. 31 New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2018 (2/5) Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis New Car Models Launches in Italy Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec F G H I J K Commercial Launch of New Model Facelift / Technical Update Premiere Launch Concluded Launch Postponed Launch Anticipated (P) Fiesta ST (P) Mustang Focus (P) Tourneo Custom Jazz NSX Roadster (P) HR-V CR-V i30 Fastback Santa Fe i20H1 Tucson i40 I-Pace Renegade Cee’d (P) Cherokee Wrangler Sportage Niro EV (P) QX50 Edge
  • 32. 32 New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2018 (3/5) Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis New Car Models Launches in Italy Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec L M Commercial Launch of New Model Facelift / Technical Update Premiere Launch Concluded Launch Postponed Launch Anticipated (P) Urus Range Rover Sport Hybrid Aventador S Performante (P) Aventador S Roadster Huracan Spyder Performante (P) Discovery SVX (P) LS (P) RX L 2 CX-3 CX-5 6 MX-5 Ghibli Quattroporte 3 (P) AMG GT4 G-Class C-Class CLS Mini (P)
  • 33. 33 Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis Commercial Launch of New Model Facelift / Technical Update Premiere Launch Concluded Launch Postponed Launch Anticipated New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2018 (4/5) New Car Models Launches in Italy Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec M N O P R S (P) Juke ASX 508 (P) Eclipse cross Outlander Outlander PHEV Leaf Insigna GSi 508 SW (P) Cayman GT4 (P) 911 GT3 RS (P) 992 (P) Macan 911 Carrera T Megan RS Leon Cupra R Ateca Cupra (P) Aranda (P) Kodiaq sportline Fabia
  • 34. 34 New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2018 (5/5) Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis New Car Models Launches in Italy Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec S T V Commercial Launch of New Model Facelift / Technical Update Premiere Launch Concluded Launch Postponed Launch Anticipated (P) Tivoli Actyon Sports (P) Smart Electric Drive Levorg JimmySwift SportVitara Land Cruiser Supra (P) XC40 S60 Touareg (P) Passat T-Cross (P)
  • 35. Arthur D. Little has been at the forefront of innovation since 1886. We are an acknowledged thought leader in linking strategy, innovation and transformation in technology-intensive and converging industries. We navigate our clients through changing business ecosystems to uncover new growth opportunities.We enable our clients to build innovation capabilities and transform their organizations. Our consultants have strong practical industry experience combined with excellent knowledge of key trends and dynamics.Arthur D. Little is present in the most important business centers around the world. We are proud to serve most of the Fortune 1.000 companies, in addition to other leading firms and public sector organizations. For further information please visit www.adlittle.com. Copyright © Arthur D. Little 2018.All rights reserved. Contacts: Fabrizio Arena Partner Tel.: +39 06 68 882 344 Fax: +39 335 123 2387 Mail: arena.fabrizio@adlittle.com Arthur D. Little S.p.A. Via Sardegna 40 00187 Rome – Italy Tel.: +39 06 68 882 1 Fax: +39 06 68 882 322 Corso Monforte 54 20122 Milan – Italy Tel.: +39 02 67 376 1 Fax: +39 02 67 376 251