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1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
05 October 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
OCT 7550 7570 7476 7492 -0.08 5985
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7455
SUPP. 2
7419
PIVOT
7513
Turmeric short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7549
RES. 2
7607
CORIANDER
OCT 11171 11296 11171 11182 -0.08 5570
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
11137
SUPP. 2
11091
PIVOT
11216
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11262
RES. 2
11341
GUARGUM
OCT 8200 8380 8100 8200 +0.49 14377
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8073
SUPP. 2
7947
PIVOT
8227
Guargum short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8353
RES. 2
8507
CASTORSEED
OCT 4117 4147 4107 4108 -0.32 36190
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4094
SUPP. 2
4081
PIVOT
4121
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4134
RES. 2
4161
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4108 4121 -0.32
CHANA 4952 4804 +3.08
CORIANDER 11182 11191 -0.08
GUARGUM 8200 8160 +0.49
JEERA 15670 15655 +0.10
MUSTARD
SEED
4562 4418 +3.26
SOYABEAN 3535 3439 +2.79
TURMERIC 7492 7498 -0.08
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
TURMERIC 20-10-2015 7492.00 -20.00 -0.27%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-10-2015 4108.00 -6.00 -0.15%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-10-2015 4562.00 142.00 3.21%
CHANA 20-10-2015 4952.00 145.00 3.02%
SOYABEAN 20-10-2015 3535.00 82.00 2.37%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
18-12-2015 1593.00 33.00 2.12%
REFINED SOY OIL 20-10-2015 605.90 8.40 1.41%
CORIANDER 20-10-2015 11182.00 22.00 0.20%
JEERA 20-10-2015 15670.00 10.00 0.06%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Rural development lender Nabard is offering a loan to the sum of Rs 147
crore to promote dairy farming in the country, a senior bank officer
said.Addressing a national conference on 'Dynamics of Sustainable Rural
Development' here, Nabard Chief General Manager P M Ghole said that
"at the moment Rs 147 crore loan is given to promote dairy
farming."Farmers and individual entrepreneurs not only can avail the
opportunity of getting loan besides they can also avail 25 to 30 per cent
subsidy on the same, he said.He said that Nabard is promoting various
projects such as dairy, producer's organisation, farmer's club in order to
have sustainable development.G S Shergill, professor, University of
Massey Auckland, New Zealand, on the occasion discussed the various
concept of rural development, strategies of sustainable development and
the experience which he has in regards to sustainable development in New
Zealand.As many as 87 papers were presented in the conference based on
sustainable development.Another topics covered in conference were
exploring the potential of rural and eco tourism, role of government
organisation in sustainable rural development, financial institutions as
harbinger of rural development, contribution of NGO in rural upliftment,
empowering rural India SEBI initiatives.
With the withdrawal of monsoon in the grain bowl states of Punjab and
Haryana, the weather department recorded scanty rains this year even as
good rainfall towards the end brought down the overall deficit.Chandigarh,
the common capital of the two states, also received poor rains this year,
with a deficit of 35 per cent, an official of the Chandigarh's Meteorological
Department told a leading newspaper.The monsoon withdrew from Punjab
and Haryana including Chandigarh on September 29, he said.The rain
deficit was hovering over 40 per cent in Punjab until a fortnight back, MeT
official said, adding that good amount of rains in the state later helped
bring down the deficit to minus 31 per cent.In Haryana, where many places
in northern parts received good rainfall recently, the overall deficit for the
state stands at 38 per cent, he said.
Mustard Seed settled down tracking weakness in spot demand amid
weakness in other oilseed counters. However, good demand from the
traders and stockists on anticipation of export demand for meal from
China capper further loss. According to sources, expectation of good
demand for crushing coupled with limited arrivals in market may
support prices. Meanwhile, weak meal demands keeping pressure on
prices. As per the latest SEA data, the shipment of rapeseed meal
exports fell to 49,788 tonnes in August from 1.12 lt in the year-ago
period.According to latest USDA report, global rapeseed production
forecast to decline to 64.7 mt in 2015/16 from 71.9 mt last year on
lower crop estimates from Canada, the EU, Australia, and Ukraine. As
per IGC, EU's 2016 rapeseed area 'unlikely' to rise and EU rapeseed
sowings have already fallen four times in the past five seasons,
shrinking by 5 lakh hectares from the 2010-11 high of 7.0m hectares.
China rapeseed imports for 2015/16 are seen declining to 3.3 mt from
4.6 mt. According to latest USDA report, global rapeseed production is
forecast to decline 3.5 million tons in 2015/16 as a slight decrease in
area reduces total output to 68.1 million tons.
Jeera settled up on account of pickup in demand by the stockists and
traders against tight supplies from producing belts. However, some
gains were limited by lack of exports and expectation of better sowing
in the coming weeks. Currently, spot demand is steady as monsoon
rains lashed Gujarat and Rajasthan during last week. The jeera export
from India may be lower as Jeera from Syria and Turkey may come to
world market in October. As per Department of commerce data,
exports from India in first four months of FY 2015-16 is 31,419 MT.As
per latest spice board press release, cumin export is stood at 155,500
tonnes for 2014-15 period and earned foreign exchange worth Rs
1,838.20 crore while in 2013- 14, the figures stood at 121,500 tonnes
valued at Rs 1,600 crore. As per fourth advance estimate of Gujarat
State, production is expected at 1.58 lt in 2014-15, which is 54.3 %
lower.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Chana
CHANA PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
According to IBIS (provisional data), import of pulses in the last week (21
Sept-27 Sept) was around 69 Thousand tonnes at major ports in India, around
19% lower than previous week’s (14 Sept-20 Sept), import of 85 Thousand
tonnes. Chana, Kidney Bean and Pigeon Pea were imported higher this week
whereas Masoor, Moong, Green Pea, Cow Pea, Urad and Yellow Pea were
imported lower as compared to last week.
According to the first advance estimate 2015-16 by Ministry of Agriculture,
pulses Kharif production is estimated to be 5.56 MMT which is around 1%
lower than the fourth estimate of 2014-15 that was 5.63 MMT. Tur production
is estimated to decline to 2.61 MMT as compare to 2.71 MMT (4thestimate
2014-15) but Urad production is estimated to increase to 1.37 MMT from 1.27
MMT.
Area under Kharif pulses throughout the country stood 112.42 Lakh hectares
as on 18 September this year, around 12% higher when compared to the area
sown during corresponding period last year which was 100.72 lakh hectares,
according to Ministry of Agriculture.
Area under Kharif pulses in Andhra Pradesh stood 2.40 Lakh Hectares as on
16 September this year, around 53% higher as compared to the area sown
during corresponding period last year which was 1.57 Lakh hectares. The area
of Red Gram and Green gram has shown the highest increase as compared to
last year.
According to the statpub, Canada Lentil No. 1 variety harvest could increase
from 5% (last year) to 12 % this year and No.2 variety from 32% to 59% this
year whereas No.3 and sample grade decreased from 53% and 10% to 27%
and 2% respectively. Canadian lentil No. 2 variety is the FAQ (fair average
quality) variety.
CENTER 1-Oct-15 30-Sep-15 Change
AHMEDNAGAR 4950 4900 +50
ALWAR 4700 NA -
GWALIOR 4825 4700 +125
JAIPUR 5100 4900 +200
KANPUR 5250 5225 +25
NAGPUR 4800 NA -
VIJAYWADA NA 5400 -
6. Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER OCT ABOVE 11350 TARGET 11377 11457 SL
BELOW 11323
BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 8300 TARGET 8350 8420 SL
BELOW 8240
BUY TURMERIC OCT ABOVE 7600 TARGET 7644 7704 SL
BELOW 7540
SELL CASTORSEED OCT BELOW 4100 TARGET 4075 4045 SL
ABOVE 4125
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