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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
25 June 2015
HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia
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Phone.: +61 422 063855
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2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC)
Cell: +1 704 249 2315
Toll Free Number
1-800-200-9454
All queries should be directed to
Info@epicresearch.co
1
Epic Research India
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2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall
Indore (M.P.)
Hotline: +91 731 664 2300
Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
026 5309 0639
Our Presence
YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
JULY 6956 7190 6922 7084 +1.23 18230
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6941
SUPP. 2
6797
PIVOT
7065
Turmeric short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7209
RES. 2
7333
CORIANDER
JULY 12270 12300 11960 11984 -2.22 17940
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
11863
SUPP. 2
11741
PIVOT
12081
Coriander short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12203
RES. 2
12421
GUARGUM
JULY 9750 10220 9650 10220 +3.97 10698
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
9840
SUPP. 2
9460
PIVOT
10030
Guargum short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10410
RES. 2
10610
CASTORSEED
JULY 3975 3995 3920 3980 -0.15 70300
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3935
SUPP. 2
3890
PIVOT
3965
Castorseed short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days..RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4010
RES. 2
4040
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3980 3986 -0.15
CHANA 4170 4117 +1.29
CORIANDER 11984 12256 -2.22
GUARGUM 10220 9830 +3.97
JEERA 16090 15905 +1.16
MUSTARD
SEED
4082 4066 +0.39
SOYABEAN 3448 3483 -1.00
TURMERIC 7084 6998 +1.23
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CORIANDER 20-07-2015 12071.00 -169.00 -1.38%
SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3458.00 -21.00 -0.60%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
TURMERIC 20-07-2015 7090.00 118.00 1.69%
CHANA 20-07-2015 4173.00 64.00 1.56%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-07-2015 1824.00 27.00 1.50%
JEERA 20-07-2015 16050.00 145.00 0.91%
REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 583.50 3.50 0.60%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-07-2015 4087.00 23.00 0.57%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-07-2015 3985.00 10.00 0.25%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Even if cotton production declines by up to 15 per cent next season, the
adequate domestic stock position is likely to keep the prices stable during
cotton year (CY) 2015-16, according to rating agency ICRA."Domestic
cotton stock position to remain adequate even if the production declines by
up to 15 per cent in CY 2015-16. Hence domestic prices are expected to
remain stable in CY 2015-16," ICRA said in a report here.The cotton
prices, as typical of any other agricultural commodity, are driven by global
demand and supply dynamics,it said.With global cotton demand largely
being range-bound (negligible demand growth during last 5 years), the
supply remains the key driver of prices.The massive cotton procurement
undertaken by China during the cotton years from 2011-12 to 2013-14 at
higher support prices than the international prices resulted in increased
dependence of the Chinese mills on cheap imported cotton, thereby
resulting in increased imports by China and hence rising prices.The change
in the China's cotton policy to direct subsidy mechanism to farmers from
the earlier policy of supporting the prices through reserve purchase
program made domestic cotton available to mills in China at market rates
and reduced the import dependence.The release of the cotton stock by
China at market rates will further reduce the import requirement of China,
which will lead to higher cotton stock levels in both global and Indian
markets and further depress the international cotton prices, ICRA pointed
out.Cotton cultivation will remain attractive for the Indian farmers, which
will prevent any large shift towards alternate crops and hence mitigate
concerns of lower production, the agency said."The high support prices for
cotton still continue to keep cotton cultivation attractive for the farmers as
the profit per quintal for cotton remains high amongst the competing
crops," it added.ICRA said the consistent rise in domestic cotton
production without adequate domestic spinning capacities and declining
export demand remains a challenge.
Guarseed gained amid good bargain hunting yesterday. Prices have
dropped heavily in last few days as market players continued to track the
cues from monsoon. The IMD noted in its latest weekly update that
conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon
into remaining parts of north Arabian sea, Gujarat state, Chhattisgarh,
Jharkhand, entire Bihar, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu &
Kashmir, most parts of Madhya Pradesh and some parts of Uttar
Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and Rajasthan during
next 3-4 days. Some parts in Rajasthan continue to witness good rains
and traders took it as a good sign for the current season's harvest.
Guargum demand is fairly weak as well. However, good buying was
seen ready and futures market today and guarseed prices in Jodhpur are
trading at Rs 4255 per quintal, up Rs 40 per quintal on the day.
Stockists are keeping Jeera steady after latest correction. Spot Jeera
extended its losses amid thin demand and very less arrivals. The stocks
in ready market are poor and though the demand for Ramadan is
expected to support the commodity in near term, not much of buying
emerged yesterday. Spot Jeera is quoting at Rs 17050, up Rs 50 per
quintal on the day in Unjha. Total arrivals were just 1500 bags
yesterday.
Castorseed sowing has started on a good note amid steady progress in
monsoon. Last two years have seen farmers getting good returns on
castor and the acreage is expected to increase this year too. Stocks in
local mandies are limited and spot prices have dropped under Rs 4000
per quintal in Disa now. These are the lowest levels in last one month for
the commodity.
5
Fundamental Watch : Castorseed
CASTORSEED ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
Downward pressure continues on castor seed market with further smooth
advancement of monsoon and good rains fall in producing state like Gujarat.
Early sowing is expected right now and resultantly price of seed may decrease
more in the weeks ahead. Overall sentiment remains bearish.
Agriculture statistics Division, DES has released Third Adv estimates of
Production of foodgrains for 2014-15 on 13.05 2015.It has revised castor
production estimate down by 87 thousand tonne to 18.24 lakh tonne. In second
Adv Est. castor production was estimated at 19.11 lakh tonne. The minor
decrease in third Adv . Est is mainly attributed to inclement weather and yield
loss.
Castor Oil (First Grade) FOB Kandla (Export) quotes decreased
considerably by $15 per tonne in last one week. It decreased from $1290 to
$1275 per tonne last week. It is almost 3.54 percent lower than June ,2014
price. It was ruling at $1445 per tonne in June 2014. Castor oil FOB Kandla
price in May 2015 was ruling at $1290.
Castor meal (FAS)kandla was increased from $110 to $114 per tonne last
week. It is ruling 2.35 higher than the quote seen in June ,2014.
Major buyers like China, US and EU have restricted buying once again in
declining market. No major trade has been reported this week for commercial
oil. Buyer’s interest was seen at $1275 per tonne.
Castor meal export was registered at 9185.19 tonne in the first week of June
at an Ave FOB price of $123 per T. The highest and lowest quotes were seen in
$196 and $101.98 per T. Export volume has decreased from last week.
CENTER 24-June-15 23-June-15 Change
PATAN 3850 3850 UNCH
HARJI 3850 3860 -10
KADI 3855 3900 -55
DEESA 3800 3850 -50
BHABHAR 3850 3865 -15
MEHSANA 3850 3875 -25
RAJKOT 3755 3755 UNCH
Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 11920 TARGET 11895 11855 SL
ABOVE 11950
BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 10220 TARGET 10270 10330 SL
BELOW 10160
BUY TURMERIC JULY ABOVE 7120 TARGET 7160 7220 SL
BELOW 7060
BUY CASTORSEED JULY ABOVE 4010 TARGET 4035 4065 SL
BELOW 3980
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any
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reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.
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Epic research daily agri report 25th june 2015

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 25 June 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC JULY 6956 7190 6922 7084 +1.23 18230 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 6941 SUPP. 2 6797 PIVOT 7065 Turmeric short term trend is up and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7209 RES. 2 7333 CORIANDER JULY 12270 12300 11960 11984 -2.22 17940 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 11863 SUPP. 2 11741 PIVOT 12081 Coriander short term trend is down and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 12203 RES. 2 12421 GUARGUM JULY 9750 10220 9650 10220 +3.97 10698 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 9840 SUPP. 2 9460 PIVOT 10030 Guargum short term trend is up and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 10410 RES. 2 10610 CASTORSEED JULY 3975 3995 3920 3980 -0.15 70300 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3935 SUPP. 2 3890 PIVOT 3965 Castorseed short term trend is up and May continue in coming days..RESISTAN CE RES. 1 4010 RES. 2 4040
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 3980 3986 -0.15 CHANA 4170 4117 +1.29 CORIANDER 11984 12256 -2.22 GUARGUM 10220 9830 +3.97 JEERA 16090 15905 +1.16 MUSTARD SEED 4082 4066 +0.39 SOYABEAN 3448 3483 -1.00 TURMERIC 7084 6998 +1.23 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % CORIANDER 20-07-2015 12071.00 -169.00 -1.38% SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3458.00 -21.00 -0.60% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % TURMERIC 20-07-2015 7090.00 118.00 1.69% CHANA 20-07-2015 4173.00 64.00 1.56% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-07-2015 1824.00 27.00 1.50% JEERA 20-07-2015 16050.00 145.00 0.91% REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 583.50 3.50 0.60% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-07-2015 4087.00 23.00 0.57% CASTOR SEED NEW 20-07-2015 3985.00 10.00 0.25%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS Even if cotton production declines by up to 15 per cent next season, the adequate domestic stock position is likely to keep the prices stable during cotton year (CY) 2015-16, according to rating agency ICRA."Domestic cotton stock position to remain adequate even if the production declines by up to 15 per cent in CY 2015-16. Hence domestic prices are expected to remain stable in CY 2015-16," ICRA said in a report here.The cotton prices, as typical of any other agricultural commodity, are driven by global demand and supply dynamics,it said.With global cotton demand largely being range-bound (negligible demand growth during last 5 years), the supply remains the key driver of prices.The massive cotton procurement undertaken by China during the cotton years from 2011-12 to 2013-14 at higher support prices than the international prices resulted in increased dependence of the Chinese mills on cheap imported cotton, thereby resulting in increased imports by China and hence rising prices.The change in the China's cotton policy to direct subsidy mechanism to farmers from the earlier policy of supporting the prices through reserve purchase program made domestic cotton available to mills in China at market rates and reduced the import dependence.The release of the cotton stock by China at market rates will further reduce the import requirement of China, which will lead to higher cotton stock levels in both global and Indian markets and further depress the international cotton prices, ICRA pointed out.Cotton cultivation will remain attractive for the Indian farmers, which will prevent any large shift towards alternate crops and hence mitigate concerns of lower production, the agency said."The high support prices for cotton still continue to keep cotton cultivation attractive for the farmers as the profit per quintal for cotton remains high amongst the competing crops," it added.ICRA said the consistent rise in domestic cotton production without adequate domestic spinning capacities and declining export demand remains a challenge. Guarseed gained amid good bargain hunting yesterday. Prices have dropped heavily in last few days as market players continued to track the cues from monsoon. The IMD noted in its latest weekly update that conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into remaining parts of north Arabian sea, Gujarat state, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, entire Bihar, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, most parts of Madhya Pradesh and some parts of Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and Rajasthan during next 3-4 days. Some parts in Rajasthan continue to witness good rains and traders took it as a good sign for the current season's harvest. Guargum demand is fairly weak as well. However, good buying was seen ready and futures market today and guarseed prices in Jodhpur are trading at Rs 4255 per quintal, up Rs 40 per quintal on the day. Stockists are keeping Jeera steady after latest correction. Spot Jeera extended its losses amid thin demand and very less arrivals. The stocks in ready market are poor and though the demand for Ramadan is expected to support the commodity in near term, not much of buying emerged yesterday. Spot Jeera is quoting at Rs 17050, up Rs 50 per quintal on the day in Unjha. Total arrivals were just 1500 bags yesterday. Castorseed sowing has started on a good note amid steady progress in monsoon. Last two years have seen farmers getting good returns on castor and the acreage is expected to increase this year too. Stocks in local mandies are limited and spot prices have dropped under Rs 4000 per quintal in Disa now. These are the lowest levels in last one month for the commodity.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Castorseed CASTORSEED ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKET National Market Update Downward pressure continues on castor seed market with further smooth advancement of monsoon and good rains fall in producing state like Gujarat. Early sowing is expected right now and resultantly price of seed may decrease more in the weeks ahead. Overall sentiment remains bearish. Agriculture statistics Division, DES has released Third Adv estimates of Production of foodgrains for 2014-15 on 13.05 2015.It has revised castor production estimate down by 87 thousand tonne to 18.24 lakh tonne. In second Adv Est. castor production was estimated at 19.11 lakh tonne. The minor decrease in third Adv . Est is mainly attributed to inclement weather and yield loss. Castor Oil (First Grade) FOB Kandla (Export) quotes decreased considerably by $15 per tonne in last one week. It decreased from $1290 to $1275 per tonne last week. It is almost 3.54 percent lower than June ,2014 price. It was ruling at $1445 per tonne in June 2014. Castor oil FOB Kandla price in May 2015 was ruling at $1290. Castor meal (FAS)kandla was increased from $110 to $114 per tonne last week. It is ruling 2.35 higher than the quote seen in June ,2014. Major buyers like China, US and EU have restricted buying once again in declining market. No major trade has been reported this week for commercial oil. Buyer’s interest was seen at $1275 per tonne. Castor meal export was registered at 9185.19 tonne in the first week of June at an Ave FOB price of $123 per T. The highest and lowest quotes were seen in $196 and $101.98 per T. Export volume has decreased from last week. CENTER 24-June-15 23-June-15 Change PATAN 3850 3850 UNCH HARJI 3850 3860 -10 KADI 3855 3900 -55 DEESA 3800 3850 -50 BHABHAR 3850 3865 -15 MEHSANA 3850 3875 -25 RAJKOT 3755 3755 UNCH
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 11920 TARGET 11895 11855 SL ABOVE 11950 BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 10220 TARGET 10270 10330 SL BELOW 10160 BUY TURMERIC JULY ABOVE 7120 TARGET 7160 7220 SL BELOW 7060 BUY CASTORSEED JULY ABOVE 4010 TARGET 4035 4065 SL BELOW 3980
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.