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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
30 November 2015
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
DEC 9514 9540 9282 9360 -1.87 12670
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
9248
SUPP. 2
9136
PIVOT
9394
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9506
RES. 2
9652
CORIANDER
DEC 10467 10467 10203 10300 -1.17 4780
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
10180
SUPP. 2
10060
PIVOT
10323
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10444
RES. 2
10587
GUARGUM
DEC 6970 7080 6740 6780 -3.14 16357
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6653
SUPP. 2
6527
PIVOT
6867
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6993
RES. 2
7207
CASTORSEED
DEC 3871 3889 3830 3855 -0.28 80330
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3827
SUPP. 2
3799
PIVOT
3858
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3886
RES. 2
3917
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3855 3866 -0.28
CHANA 5005 5011 -0.12
CORIANDER 10300 10422 -1.17
GUARGUM 6780 7000 -3.14
JEERA 16105 16150 -0.28
MUSTARD
SEED
4687 4699 -0.26
SOYABEAN 3859 3887 -0.72
TURMERIC 9360 9538 -1.87
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CORIANDER 18-12-2015 10296.00 -134.00 -1.28%
TURMERIC 18-12-2015 9424.00 -74.00 -0.78%
SOYABEAN 18-12-2015 3852.00 -26.00 -0.67%
REFINED SOY OIL 18-12-2015 615.60 -2.90 -0.47%
JEERA 18-12-2015 16095.00 -25.00 -0.16%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
18-12-2015 4681.00 -4.00 -0.09%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
18-12-2015 1705.00 18.00 1.07%
CASTOR SEED NEW 18-12-2015 3864.00 13.00 0.34%
CHANA 18-12-2015 5000.00 3.00 0.06%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
There is no cause of concern about less area sown to wheat so far this
rabi season as the pace of planting is expected to pick up in coming days,
Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh said.Sowing of wheat, the main
rabi crop, starts in October and harvesting begins in April."The area sown
to wheat so far is lower than the year-ago period but there is no cause of
concern at present. Sowing operations will pick up soon in key growing
states like Punjab and Haryana," Singh said at an event to celebrate the
golden jubilee of Green Revolution.Wheat sowing normally continues till
December and there was no need to worry about less area been planted
during the start of the season as just 40 per cent of the total wheat area has
been covered so far, he said.Singh further said, "It is difficult to predict
weather conditions for three months down the line as we had unseasonal
rains and hailstorms last year that impacted wheat output."Farm scientists
said that wheat sowing has not yet picked up due to less soil moisture
following deficient monsoon rains. Also, the harvesting of kharif crops has
got delayed and farmers are in the process of preparing field by clearing the
residues of crops like rice.As per the Agriculture Ministry's data, area sown
to wheat was down by 36 per cent at 78.83 lakh hectares till last week of
the current 2015-16 rabi season, compared with 107.35 lakh hectares in the
year-ago period.Wheat output is estimated to have declined to 88.94
million tonnes in the 2014-15 crop year (July-June) as against a record
95.85 million tonnes achieved in the previous year.
With back to back drought years putting farmers under tremendous
stress, the Centre believes it's effort to bolster irrigation infrastructure and
disburse relief to farmers after extreme weather events are falling short
thanks to some states dragging their feet.Union agriculture ministry in its
periodic review of these schemes found many states not up to the mark
with minister Radha Mohan Singh asking them to pull up their socks while
emphasizing that central funds will not be a constraint as long as states do
their bit to improve the situation.Singh told a leading newspaper that he
reviewed many central schemes in presence of state agriculture secretaries
on Tuesday. "The Centre is extending all necessary helps to the states.
Soyabean settled up on higher demand for the bean in global export
market and on speculation of lower supply of the crop from Brazil.
Prices of the bean were supported United States Department of
Agriculture reported robust bean weekly export sales. As per USDA
weekly export sales report, Net sales for 2015-16 was around 1.7
million tons up by 39% from previous week and 23% from 4-week
average.Brazil's Soybean planting is 60% complete against 63% a year
ago and 71% on 5-year avg. U.S. oilseed production for 2015/16 is
projected at 116.1 million tons, up 0.7 million from last month on
increased soybean, cottonseed, and peanut production. Similarly, US
Soybean production is forecast at 3,935 million bushels, up 19 million
due to a higher yield forecast. The 2015/16 U.S. season-average
soybean price is projected at $8.40 to $9.90 per bushel, unchanged
from last month. Soybean meal prices are also unchanged at $310 to
$350 per short ton.The 4th estimate released by the GOI indicated
lower than the estimated production for Indian soybean. Signs of a
possible slowdown in purchases by China, due to weak economic
growth and deteriorating crush margins, will be limiting the upside
movement of soybean/soya oil in the medium term.
 Jeera settled up due to slow sowing progress at the major producing
regions of Gujarat and Rajasthan. Further, limited arrivals in the spot
market too fuelled the uptrend. Though, some gains were limited by
decline in the export demand. Slow progress of sowing at the major
producing regions of Gujarat and Rajasthan keeping prices higher in
the spot market. Gujarat, the top cumin producing state, has planted
less cumin until now compared to last year sowing progress. In Gujarat,
jeera is planted in 46 per cent less area at 63,400 hectares compared to
1, 17,400 hectares last year same time.Geo-political trouble in two
major exporting countries – Syria and Turkey – seems to have failed to
spice up jeera exports from India due to higher domestic price.
According to govt data, exports for 2015-16 shows a decline trend
compared to last year until September.
5
Fundamental Watch : Cotton
COTTON PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
Cotton production estimates of India are revised down by ICAC at 6.27
million tons, around 0.5% lower when compared to the estimates of previous
week, which was 6.30 million tons. As compared to previous year, cotton
production in country is likely to fall by around 3.7%, as it was 6.51 million
tons previous season.
Government agencies have started the cotton procurement in Maharashtra.
The Maharashtra State CoOperative Cotton Growers Marketing Federation
(MSCCGMF), a sub agency of CCI has procured around 39641 quintals of
cotton from farmers at MSP in state so far. The agency at the commencement
of the season said that it may procure upto 100 lakh quintals of cotton in 2015-
16 against 27 lakh quintals it procured during previous season.
Interest Equalization Scheme, formerly known as the Interest Rate
Subvention Scheme, on preshipment and post-shipment of garments is
expected to enhance cotton textile exports from India, said R.K. Dalmia,
Chairman, Cotton Textiles Export Promotion Council (Texprocil). Following
the rise in cotton textile exports, demand of raw cotton too is expected to surge
in domestic market.
Gujarat state agriculture department has revised its first advance estimates
for area, production and yield of major Kharif crop in the state for the season
2015-16. Cotton production figures has been revised down in the latest
estimates at 92.57 lakh bales which was forecasted to be at 95.29 lakh bales in
the previous estimates.
CENTER 27-Nov-15 26-Nov-15 Change
RAJKOT 4420 4425 -5
BHIWANI 4500 4450 +50
ADAMPUR 4380 4340 +40
AHMEDABAD 4450 4450 UNCH
GONDAL 4450 4440 +20
GUNTUR NA NA -
RAICHUR 4300 4300 UNCH
Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER DEC ABOVE 10470 TARGET 10515 10665 SL
BELOW 10405
SELL GUARGUM DEC BELOW 6810 TARGET 6760 6690 SL
ABOVE 6870
SELL TURMERIC DEC BELOW 9346 TARGET 9302 9242 SL
ABOVE 9406
SELL CASTORSEED DEC BELOW 3840 TARGET 3815 3785 SL
ABOVE 3865
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 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT HIGHLIGHTS

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 30 November 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC DEC 9514 9540 9282 9360 -1.87 12670 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 9248 SUPP. 2 9136 PIVOT 9394 Turmeric short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 9506 RES. 2 9652 CORIANDER DEC 10467 10467 10203 10300 -1.17 4780 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 10180 SUPP. 2 10060 PIVOT 10323 Coriander short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 10444 RES. 2 10587 GUARGUM DEC 6970 7080 6740 6780 -3.14 16357 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 6653 SUPP. 2 6527 PIVOT 6867 Guargum short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 6993 RES. 2 7207 CASTORSEED DEC 3871 3889 3830 3855 -0.28 80330 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3827 SUPP. 2 3799 PIVOT 3858 Castorseed short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming day.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3886 RES. 2 3917
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 3855 3866 -0.28 CHANA 5005 5011 -0.12 CORIANDER 10300 10422 -1.17 GUARGUM 6780 7000 -3.14 JEERA 16105 16150 -0.28 MUSTARD SEED 4687 4699 -0.26 SOYABEAN 3859 3887 -0.72 TURMERIC 9360 9538 -1.87 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % CORIANDER 18-12-2015 10296.00 -134.00 -1.28% TURMERIC 18-12-2015 9424.00 -74.00 -0.78% SOYABEAN 18-12-2015 3852.00 -26.00 -0.67% REFINED SOY OIL 18-12-2015 615.60 -2.90 -0.47% JEERA 18-12-2015 16095.00 -25.00 -0.16% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 18-12-2015 4681.00 -4.00 -0.09% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 18-12-2015 1705.00 18.00 1.07% CASTOR SEED NEW 18-12-2015 3864.00 13.00 0.34% CHANA 18-12-2015 5000.00 3.00 0.06%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS There is no cause of concern about less area sown to wheat so far this rabi season as the pace of planting is expected to pick up in coming days, Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh said.Sowing of wheat, the main rabi crop, starts in October and harvesting begins in April."The area sown to wheat so far is lower than the year-ago period but there is no cause of concern at present. Sowing operations will pick up soon in key growing states like Punjab and Haryana," Singh said at an event to celebrate the golden jubilee of Green Revolution.Wheat sowing normally continues till December and there was no need to worry about less area been planted during the start of the season as just 40 per cent of the total wheat area has been covered so far, he said.Singh further said, "It is difficult to predict weather conditions for three months down the line as we had unseasonal rains and hailstorms last year that impacted wheat output."Farm scientists said that wheat sowing has not yet picked up due to less soil moisture following deficient monsoon rains. Also, the harvesting of kharif crops has got delayed and farmers are in the process of preparing field by clearing the residues of crops like rice.As per the Agriculture Ministry's data, area sown to wheat was down by 36 per cent at 78.83 lakh hectares till last week of the current 2015-16 rabi season, compared with 107.35 lakh hectares in the year-ago period.Wheat output is estimated to have declined to 88.94 million tonnes in the 2014-15 crop year (July-June) as against a record 95.85 million tonnes achieved in the previous year. With back to back drought years putting farmers under tremendous stress, the Centre believes it's effort to bolster irrigation infrastructure and disburse relief to farmers after extreme weather events are falling short thanks to some states dragging their feet.Union agriculture ministry in its periodic review of these schemes found many states not up to the mark with minister Radha Mohan Singh asking them to pull up their socks while emphasizing that central funds will not be a constraint as long as states do their bit to improve the situation.Singh told a leading newspaper that he reviewed many central schemes in presence of state agriculture secretaries on Tuesday. "The Centre is extending all necessary helps to the states. Soyabean settled up on higher demand for the bean in global export market and on speculation of lower supply of the crop from Brazil. Prices of the bean were supported United States Department of Agriculture reported robust bean weekly export sales. As per USDA weekly export sales report, Net sales for 2015-16 was around 1.7 million tons up by 39% from previous week and 23% from 4-week average.Brazil's Soybean planting is 60% complete against 63% a year ago and 71% on 5-year avg. U.S. oilseed production for 2015/16 is projected at 116.1 million tons, up 0.7 million from last month on increased soybean, cottonseed, and peanut production. Similarly, US Soybean production is forecast at 3,935 million bushels, up 19 million due to a higher yield forecast. The 2015/16 U.S. season-average soybean price is projected at $8.40 to $9.90 per bushel, unchanged from last month. Soybean meal prices are also unchanged at $310 to $350 per short ton.The 4th estimate released by the GOI indicated lower than the estimated production for Indian soybean. Signs of a possible slowdown in purchases by China, due to weak economic growth and deteriorating crush margins, will be limiting the upside movement of soybean/soya oil in the medium term.  Jeera settled up due to slow sowing progress at the major producing regions of Gujarat and Rajasthan. Further, limited arrivals in the spot market too fuelled the uptrend. Though, some gains were limited by decline in the export demand. Slow progress of sowing at the major producing regions of Gujarat and Rajasthan keeping prices higher in the spot market. Gujarat, the top cumin producing state, has planted less cumin until now compared to last year sowing progress. In Gujarat, jeera is planted in 46 per cent less area at 63,400 hectares compared to 1, 17,400 hectares last year same time.Geo-political trouble in two major exporting countries – Syria and Turkey – seems to have failed to spice up jeera exports from India due to higher domestic price. According to govt data, exports for 2015-16 shows a decline trend compared to last year until September.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Cotton COTTON PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update Cotton production estimates of India are revised down by ICAC at 6.27 million tons, around 0.5% lower when compared to the estimates of previous week, which was 6.30 million tons. As compared to previous year, cotton production in country is likely to fall by around 3.7%, as it was 6.51 million tons previous season. Government agencies have started the cotton procurement in Maharashtra. The Maharashtra State CoOperative Cotton Growers Marketing Federation (MSCCGMF), a sub agency of CCI has procured around 39641 quintals of cotton from farmers at MSP in state so far. The agency at the commencement of the season said that it may procure upto 100 lakh quintals of cotton in 2015- 16 against 27 lakh quintals it procured during previous season. Interest Equalization Scheme, formerly known as the Interest Rate Subvention Scheme, on preshipment and post-shipment of garments is expected to enhance cotton textile exports from India, said R.K. Dalmia, Chairman, Cotton Textiles Export Promotion Council (Texprocil). Following the rise in cotton textile exports, demand of raw cotton too is expected to surge in domestic market. Gujarat state agriculture department has revised its first advance estimates for area, production and yield of major Kharif crop in the state for the season 2015-16. Cotton production figures has been revised down in the latest estimates at 92.57 lakh bales which was forecasted to be at 95.29 lakh bales in the previous estimates. CENTER 27-Nov-15 26-Nov-15 Change RAJKOT 4420 4425 -5 BHIWANI 4500 4450 +50 ADAMPUR 4380 4340 +40 AHMEDABAD 4450 4450 UNCH GONDAL 4450 4440 +20 GUNTUR NA NA - RAICHUR 4300 4300 UNCH
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 BUY CORIANDER DEC ABOVE 10470 TARGET 10515 10665 SL BELOW 10405 SELL GUARGUM DEC BELOW 6810 TARGET 6760 6690 SL ABOVE 6870 SELL TURMERIC DEC BELOW 9346 TARGET 9302 9242 SL ABOVE 9406 SELL CASTORSEED DEC BELOW 3840 TARGET 3815 3785 SL ABOVE 3865
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