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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
30 June 2015
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1
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Hotline: +91 731 664 2300
Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
026 5309 0639
Our Presence
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
JULY 7060 7140 6986 7108 +1.02 9030
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7016
SUPP. 2
6924
PIVOT
7078
Turmeric short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7170
RES. 2
7232
CORIANDER
JULY 11890 12069 11765 11910 +0.03 29430
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
11760
SUPP. 2
11611
PIVOT
11915
Coriander short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12064
RES. 2
12219
GUARGUM
JULY 10860 11000 10610 10860 -0.37 11162
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
10848
SUPP. 2
10534
PIVOT
10924
Guargum short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11238
RES. 2
11314
CASTORSEED
JULY 4021 4070 4017 4058 +0.82 67800
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4027
SUPP. 2
3995
PIVOT
4048
Castorseed short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4080
RES. 2
4101
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4058 4025 +0.82
CHANA 4200 4177 +0.55
CORIANDER 11940 11906 +0.29
GUARGUM 10850 10900 -0.46
JEERA 16480 16475 +0.03
MUSTARD
SEED
4239 4152 +2.1
SOYABEAN 3597 3482 +3.3
TURMERIC 7092 7036 +0.8
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CORIANDER 20-07-2015 11915.00 -205.00 -1.69%
BARLEY 20-07-2015 1226.00 -12.00 -0.97%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-07-2015 1818.00 -7.00 -0.38%
REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 586.95 -1.10 -0.19%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3592.00 150.00 4.36%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-07-2015 4243.00 120.00 2.91%
JEERA 20-07-2015 16475.00 440.00 2.74%
TURMERIC 20-07-2015 7080.00 114.00 1.64%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-07-2015 4059.00 42.00 1.05%
CHANA 20-07-2015 4201.00 43.00 1.03%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
 The Food Corporation of India (FCI) is saddled with 27 million tonnes
of wheat. Since 90 per cent of grain procured this year were under relaxed
norms, these stocks have a shorter shelf life and must be used in 8 to 10
months. FCI, sources said, is releasing these stocks to the public
distribution system (PDS). This grain is shrivelled, broken and lacks lustre
and the challenge is to release the grain into the market in less than a
year,Officials said PDS needs roughly 20 million tonnes and FCI has to sell
the rest in the open market. But officials say they're worried over imports
of wheat, which sells cheaper than the government-fixed rates of FCI
wheat."If we allow more wheat to be imported by private players over and
above what they've already lined up, there'll be fewer takers for FCI grain.
This will result in huge waste and losses to the public exchequer,"The
government, he said, should come out with a norm stipulating that the price
of imported wheat can't be less than the price at which FCI is offering the
grain in the open market.TOI has learnt that private players have concluded
contracts to import about 5 lakh tonnes of wheat and so far about 67,000
tonnes have been imported. Another 50,000 tonnes are likely to reach India
soon. Going by this trend we feel imports would be around 5 lakh tonne in
this fiscal.
 To control spiralling prices of pulses and other essential food items, the
Centre will hold a meeting of all state food ministers on July 7 to chalk out
strategies to jointly tackle the crisis in the backdrop of possible deficient
rains this year. Pulses prices have risen by more than 60 per cent in most
parts of the country. Retail prices have already breached Rs 100 per kg
mark due to shortfall in domestic output by 2 million tonnes in 2014-15
crop year (July-June).Similarly, onion prices have increased by up to 40
per cent in metro cities. Retail prices of onion in Delhi has touched Rs
34/kg at present, as against Rs 24/kg a year ago. To rein in prices, the
government has tendered import of 5,000 tonnes of tur dal and is expected
to float another bid for import of 5,000 tonnes of urad. Besides, the
government is considering import of some quantities of onion to boost
domestic supply till the arrival of new kharif crop from mid-September.
 Steady gains emerged in Chana today amid good demand for ready
daals and as traderseyed depleting stocks of the commodity in spot
markets. Traders were also wary of thelatest update from the Indian
Meteorological Department forecasting less than normalprecipitation
over the next two months, creating worries over the Kharif harvest as
thesemonths are considered to be critical for the sown crops. Strong
gains emerged in soybeansas lack of rains in next few weeks could
undone a good start to the sowing and keep a tabon the output of the
primary Kharif oilseed.India Meteorological Department statedthat the
rainfall could be deficient by eight and 10 per cent in July and
August,respectively, Monsoon has witnessed a good start this
season,despite worries over the course of rainfall before the start of the
season. The totalrainfall from June 1 to June 28 was 19% more than
normal. Import of pulses has increased in the country to fulfil domestic
consumption after a reduction in pulses production. pulses import has
increased more than 20% in May. India consumes around 253-240 lakh
ton pulses annually but in 2014-15 pulses production has fallen to 173
lakh ton from 193 lakh tons in 2013-14 due to unfavorable weather
which indi-cates more import in coming months.
 Guar slumped with the benchmark Guarseed futures sliding under
Rs4530 per quintal in intraday moves. The counter recovered thereafter
and trades at Rs 4645per quintal right now, down 0.21% on the day.
Guargum futures for October are down 0.35%at Rs 11440 per quintal.
According to the IMD, the Southwest monsoon further advanced
intosome more parts of Chhattisgarh, Odisha and Gangetic West
Bengal and remaining parts ofCoastal Andhra Pradesh and Bay of
Bengal on 19th; into some more parts of Chhattisgarh,remaining parts
of Odisha and West Bengal and some parts of Jharkhand on 21st; into
someparts of Gujarat region, Madhya Pradesh, most parts of
Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand and someparts of Bihar on 22nd; into some
more parts of north Arabian Sea, Gujarat state, MadhyaPradesh and
Bihar and remaining parts of Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand and some
parts of EastUttar Pradesh on 23rd.
5
Fundamental Watch : Castorseed
CASTORSEED ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
 Castor seed spot market traded slightly up taking clue from futures.
Stockists remain active in major mandis .However, planters showed lower
interest at current price. Overall sentiment for seed market remains weak.
Lower demand from planters and good sowing conditions in Gujarat have
impacted inner tone and seed market is expected to trade lower in the weeks
ahead. Sowing would pick up from mid July in Gujarat. Overall, 0.022
thousand ha. has been covered under castor seed so far,which is running ahead
by 0.004 thousand ha. till date. Castor Oil (First Grade) FOB Kandla (Export)
quotes decreased considerably by $15 per tonne in last one week. It decreased
from $1290 to $1275 per tonne last week. It is almost 3.54 percent lower than
June ,2014 price. It was ruling at $1445 per tonne in June 2014. Castor oil
FOB Kandla price in May 2015 was ruling at $1290. Castor meal (FAS)kandla
was increased from $110 to $114 per tonne last week. It is ruling 2.35 higher
than the quote seen in June , 2014.Castor meal export was registered
at29940.93 tonne in the third week of June till21st, at an Ave FOB price of
$129.58 per T. Agriculture statistics Division, DES has released Third Adv
estimates of Production of foodgrains for 2014-15 on 13.05 2015.It has revised
castor production estimate down by 87 thousand tonne to 18.24 lakh tonne. In
second Adv Est. castor production was estimated at 19.11 lakh tonne. The
minor decrease in third Adv . Est is mainly attributed to inclement weather and
yield loss.
 Major buyers like China, US and EU have restricted buying once again in
declining market. No major trade has been reported this week for commercial
oil. Buyer’s interest was seen at $1275 per tonne. Castor oil in Rotterdam
decreased from $1574 to $1445 per tonne in last two weeks and may trade
down in the weeks ahead.
CENTER 29-June-15 27-June-15 Change
SUMERPUR 240 400 -160
JODHPUR 80 80 UNCH
RAJKOT NA 120 -
GONDAL 238 198 +40
PATAN 2025 2250 -225
MAHESANA 800 960 -160
KADI NA 2400 -
Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER JULY ABOVE 12020 TARGET 12045 12085 SL
BELOW 11990
SELL GUARGUM JULY BELOW 10720 TARGET 10670 10600 SL
ABOVE 10780
BUY TURMERIC JULY ABOVE 7140 TARGET 7180 7240 SL
BELOW 7080
BUY CASTORSEED JULYABOVE 4070 TARGET 4095 4125 SL
BELOW 4040
Disclaimer
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responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
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Epic research daily agri report 30th june 2015

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 30 June 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC JULY 7060 7140 6986 7108 +1.02 9030 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 7016 SUPP. 2 6924 PIVOT 7078 Turmeric short term trend is down and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7170 RES. 2 7232 CORIANDER JULY 11890 12069 11765 11910 +0.03 29430 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 11760 SUPP. 2 11611 PIVOT 11915 Coriander short term trend is down and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 12064 RES. 2 12219 GUARGUM JULY 10860 11000 10610 10860 -0.37 11162 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 10848 SUPP. 2 10534 PIVOT 10924 Guargum short term trend is up and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 11238 RES. 2 11314 CASTORSEED JULY 4021 4070 4017 4058 +0.82 67800 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 4027 SUPP. 2 3995 PIVOT 4048 Castorseed short term trend is up and May continue in coming day.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 4080 RES. 2 4101
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 4058 4025 +0.82 CHANA 4200 4177 +0.55 CORIANDER 11940 11906 +0.29 GUARGUM 10850 10900 -0.46 JEERA 16480 16475 +0.03 MUSTARD SEED 4239 4152 +2.1 SOYABEAN 3597 3482 +3.3 TURMERIC 7092 7036 +0.8 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % CORIANDER 20-07-2015 11915.00 -205.00 -1.69% BARLEY 20-07-2015 1226.00 -12.00 -0.97% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-07-2015 1818.00 -7.00 -0.38% REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 586.95 -1.10 -0.19% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3592.00 150.00 4.36% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-07-2015 4243.00 120.00 2.91% JEERA 20-07-2015 16475.00 440.00 2.74% TURMERIC 20-07-2015 7080.00 114.00 1.64% CASTOR SEED NEW 20-07-2015 4059.00 42.00 1.05% CHANA 20-07-2015 4201.00 43.00 1.03%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS  The Food Corporation of India (FCI) is saddled with 27 million tonnes of wheat. Since 90 per cent of grain procured this year were under relaxed norms, these stocks have a shorter shelf life and must be used in 8 to 10 months. FCI, sources said, is releasing these stocks to the public distribution system (PDS). This grain is shrivelled, broken and lacks lustre and the challenge is to release the grain into the market in less than a year,Officials said PDS needs roughly 20 million tonnes and FCI has to sell the rest in the open market. But officials say they're worried over imports of wheat, which sells cheaper than the government-fixed rates of FCI wheat."If we allow more wheat to be imported by private players over and above what they've already lined up, there'll be fewer takers for FCI grain. This will result in huge waste and losses to the public exchequer,"The government, he said, should come out with a norm stipulating that the price of imported wheat can't be less than the price at which FCI is offering the grain in the open market.TOI has learnt that private players have concluded contracts to import about 5 lakh tonnes of wheat and so far about 67,000 tonnes have been imported. Another 50,000 tonnes are likely to reach India soon. Going by this trend we feel imports would be around 5 lakh tonne in this fiscal.  To control spiralling prices of pulses and other essential food items, the Centre will hold a meeting of all state food ministers on July 7 to chalk out strategies to jointly tackle the crisis in the backdrop of possible deficient rains this year. Pulses prices have risen by more than 60 per cent in most parts of the country. Retail prices have already breached Rs 100 per kg mark due to shortfall in domestic output by 2 million tonnes in 2014-15 crop year (July-June).Similarly, onion prices have increased by up to 40 per cent in metro cities. Retail prices of onion in Delhi has touched Rs 34/kg at present, as against Rs 24/kg a year ago. To rein in prices, the government has tendered import of 5,000 tonnes of tur dal and is expected to float another bid for import of 5,000 tonnes of urad. Besides, the government is considering import of some quantities of onion to boost domestic supply till the arrival of new kharif crop from mid-September.  Steady gains emerged in Chana today amid good demand for ready daals and as traderseyed depleting stocks of the commodity in spot markets. Traders were also wary of thelatest update from the Indian Meteorological Department forecasting less than normalprecipitation over the next two months, creating worries over the Kharif harvest as thesemonths are considered to be critical for the sown crops. Strong gains emerged in soybeansas lack of rains in next few weeks could undone a good start to the sowing and keep a tabon the output of the primary Kharif oilseed.India Meteorological Department statedthat the rainfall could be deficient by eight and 10 per cent in July and August,respectively, Monsoon has witnessed a good start this season,despite worries over the course of rainfall before the start of the season. The totalrainfall from June 1 to June 28 was 19% more than normal. Import of pulses has increased in the country to fulfil domestic consumption after a reduction in pulses production. pulses import has increased more than 20% in May. India consumes around 253-240 lakh ton pulses annually but in 2014-15 pulses production has fallen to 173 lakh ton from 193 lakh tons in 2013-14 due to unfavorable weather which indi-cates more import in coming months.  Guar slumped with the benchmark Guarseed futures sliding under Rs4530 per quintal in intraday moves. The counter recovered thereafter and trades at Rs 4645per quintal right now, down 0.21% on the day. Guargum futures for October are down 0.35%at Rs 11440 per quintal. According to the IMD, the Southwest monsoon further advanced intosome more parts of Chhattisgarh, Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal and remaining parts ofCoastal Andhra Pradesh and Bay of Bengal on 19th; into some more parts of Chhattisgarh,remaining parts of Odisha and West Bengal and some parts of Jharkhand on 21st; into someparts of Gujarat region, Madhya Pradesh, most parts of Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand and someparts of Bihar on 22nd; into some more parts of north Arabian Sea, Gujarat state, MadhyaPradesh and Bihar and remaining parts of Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand and some parts of EastUttar Pradesh on 23rd.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Castorseed CASTORSEED ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKET National Market Update  Castor seed spot market traded slightly up taking clue from futures. Stockists remain active in major mandis .However, planters showed lower interest at current price. Overall sentiment for seed market remains weak. Lower demand from planters and good sowing conditions in Gujarat have impacted inner tone and seed market is expected to trade lower in the weeks ahead. Sowing would pick up from mid July in Gujarat. Overall, 0.022 thousand ha. has been covered under castor seed so far,which is running ahead by 0.004 thousand ha. till date. Castor Oil (First Grade) FOB Kandla (Export) quotes decreased considerably by $15 per tonne in last one week. It decreased from $1290 to $1275 per tonne last week. It is almost 3.54 percent lower than June ,2014 price. It was ruling at $1445 per tonne in June 2014. Castor oil FOB Kandla price in May 2015 was ruling at $1290. Castor meal (FAS)kandla was increased from $110 to $114 per tonne last week. It is ruling 2.35 higher than the quote seen in June , 2014.Castor meal export was registered at29940.93 tonne in the third week of June till21st, at an Ave FOB price of $129.58 per T. Agriculture statistics Division, DES has released Third Adv estimates of Production of foodgrains for 2014-15 on 13.05 2015.It has revised castor production estimate down by 87 thousand tonne to 18.24 lakh tonne. In second Adv Est. castor production was estimated at 19.11 lakh tonne. The minor decrease in third Adv . Est is mainly attributed to inclement weather and yield loss.  Major buyers like China, US and EU have restricted buying once again in declining market. No major trade has been reported this week for commercial oil. Buyer’s interest was seen at $1275 per tonne. Castor oil in Rotterdam decreased from $1574 to $1445 per tonne in last two weeks and may trade down in the weeks ahead. CENTER 29-June-15 27-June-15 Change SUMERPUR 240 400 -160 JODHPUR 80 80 UNCH RAJKOT NA 120 - GONDAL 238 198 +40 PATAN 2025 2250 -225 MAHESANA 800 960 -160 KADI NA 2400 -
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 BUY CORIANDER JULY ABOVE 12020 TARGET 12045 12085 SL BELOW 11990 SELL GUARGUM JULY BELOW 10720 TARGET 10670 10600 SL ABOVE 10780 BUY TURMERIC JULY ABOVE 7140 TARGET 7180 7240 SL BELOW 7080 BUY CASTORSEED JULYABOVE 4070 TARGET 4095 4125 SL BELOW 4040
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.