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1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
15 June 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
JULY 7580 7596 7446 7464 -1.32 12045
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7475
SUPP. 2
7385
PIVOT
7535
Turmeric short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7624
RES. 2
7685
CORIANDER
JULY 12585 12700 12360 12451 -0.92 16160
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
12385
SUPP. 2
12202
PIVOT
12542
Coriander short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12725
RES. 2
12882
GUARGUM
JULY 11440 11480 11300 11500 -1.22 7504
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
11373
SUPP. 2
11247
PIVOT
11426
Guargum short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11553
RES. 2
11607
CASTORSEED
JULY 4156 4195 4136 4161 +0.14 70320
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4129
SUPP. 2
4103
PIVOT
4162
Castorseed short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days..RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4188
RES. 2
4281
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4079 4075 0.10
CHANA 4674 4713 -0.83
CORIANDER 12390 12183 1.70
GUARGUM 11420 11510 0.78
JEERA 16790 16850 -0.36
MUSTARD
SEED
4194 4184 0.17
SOYABEAN 3765 3783 -0.48
TURMERIC 7466 7490 -0.32
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CORIANDER 19-06-2015 12152.00 -217.00 -1.75%
TURMERIC 19-06-2015 7340.00 -88.00 -1.18%
SOYABEAN 19-06-2015 3767.00 -43.00 -1.13%
BARLEY 19-06-2015 1263.00 -1.50 -0.12%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
19-06-2015 1773.00 21.00 1.20%
CASTOR SEED NEW 19-06-2015 4035.00 34.00 0.85%
REFINED SOY OIL 19-06-2015 609.50 4.60 0.76%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
19-06-2015 4185.00 23.00 0.55%
JEERA 19-06-2015 16600.00 10.00 0.06%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Prices of vegetables, edible oil and milk have risen 5-10% in the past
month, with onion, tomato and lady's finger leading the pack with a 30-
50% rise. Traders say the situation can deteriorate if the monsoon does not
gain momentum.Chicken prices have also jumped 25-30% as the heat wave
sweeping India has killed about 2.4 crore birds in the past two weeks,
industry executives say, adding that rates may rise further if temperatures
continue to remain high.Monsoon has made a flimsy start, arriving late and
getting hit by a cyclone.This has caused ripples in financial markets despite
firm government steps to import pulses, crack down on hoarders and
implement contingency plans to combat the situation, like it did effectively
last year when June rainfall was among the worst in a century. So far,
rainfall in south India, where monsoon should have been active, is already
7% below average. Northeast India has surplus rain, but that makes little
difference to India's farm output.Vegetable traders are keenly watching the
monsoon, forecast to be 12% below average by the weather office. "The
water table in most vegetable growing areas is yet to deplete. But if these
areas do not get two to three heavy showers by the third week of June,
production will be affected, and prices may move northwards," says
Shriram Gadhave, president, All India Vegetable Growers Association.
The Karnataka government is exploring various avenues to pay arrears to
sugarcane growers with help from the Centre, Agriculture Minister Krishna
Byre Gowda said today."The central government has announced some
financial help through which we are exploring avenues to pay the arrears of
sugarcane growers of Karnataka," he told reporters here.Chief Minister
Siddaramaiah is making efforts to resolve the issue through regular
meetings with officials, Gowda said. The central government is taking
several steps to ease the burden, including an increase in sugar import duty
to 40 per cent, but sugarcane prices are showing no signs of going up,
Gowda said.
Prices of the bean were under pressure after India soymeal exports in
the month of April-May dropped 67.31% from a year earlier on higher
prices of the soybean in the local market, data released from Solvent
Extractors Association of India (SEA) showed. Soybean prices were also
under pressure on speculation of higher supply as farmers having
remaining stock of soybean would come to the markets with the beans
increasing arrival moderately.The United States department of
agriculture (USDA) maintained 2015-16 United States soybean
production forecast and trimmed its forecast for ending stockpiles, the
department said in its World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates
report.
Sources are expecting the total production in the range of 50-52 lakh
bags in the current year, down 20 lakh bags from the last year in the
same period. Turmeric growing regions like Madhya Maharashtra,
Coastal A.P, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka
received normal rainfall. Turmeric sowing likely to start in these regions.
Sources revealed that, in some parts of Maharashtra and Karnataka
Turmeric sowing already started. Sources also stated that around 75lakh
bags of total stocks have been reported in local mandies.The news of a
below monsoon forecast by the IMD came as a blessing for the buyers as
prices had turned significantly cheaper for initiating fresh purchases.
Turmeric market posted a decent recovery after long bearish phase.
Tight arrivals in major trading centres have kept Jeera buoyant in local
mandies. Harvesting has been affected on late rains in Rajasthan and
overall output could suffer. According to a latest update from the
Agriculture Ministry there has been an increase in the area under Rabi
crop coverage that was affected by unseasonal rainfall and hailstorms
from late February to early April.The revised figure on the basis of
State-wise data has more than doubled from the April 16 estimate of
93.82 lakh hectares (lh) and as stands at 189.81 lakh hectares (lh).
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Castorseed
CASTORSEED ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
Agriculture statistics Division, DES has released Third Adv estimates of
Production of foodgrains for 2014-15 on 13.05 2015.It has revised castor
production estimate down by 87 thousand tonne to 18.24 lakh tonne. In second
Adv Est. castor production was estimated at 19.11 lakh tonne. The minor
decrease in third Adv . Est is mainly attributed to inclement weather and yield
loss.
Castor seed market may recover soon as buyers return to buy seed at lower
level. Sellers have restricted selling. Cash market too followed the same trend
taking clue from futures. Actually some big players are active and trying to
pull and drag market in their own favour. Cash and futures markets are likely
to trade up in the short term. Fundamental remains same and we expect actual
firmness in the second half.
Castor Oil (First Grade) FOB Kandla (Export) quotes increased considerably
by $25 per tonne in last one week. It has moved up from $1280 to $1305 per
tonne upto last Friday. It is lower by 10.73 percent from June ,2014 quote. It
was ruling $1205 per tonne in the beginning of May, 2015.
Castor oil in Rotterdam increased from $1434 to $1574 per tonne in last one
week and may trade up in the weeks ahead.
Buyers like China,EU and US are active in the market and may start new
deals from mid June.
Castor meal export during 25 to 30 may,2015 was registered at 850.4 tonne
at average FOB quote of $118 per tonne. Major buyer was Taiwan. Meal has
been shipped from Mundra port.
CENTER 12-June-15 11-June-15 Change
PATAN 4875 4500 375
HARJI 1050 975 75
KADI 2560 1760 800
DEESA 1600 1200 400
BHABHAR 3375 3000 375
MEHSANA 640 800 -160
RAJKOT 335 210 125
6. Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 12307 TARGET 12282 12242 SL
ABOVE 12337
SELL GUARGUM JULY BELOW 11300 TARGET 11250 11190 SL
ABOVE 11360
SELL TURMERIC JULY BELOW 7412 TARGET 7372 7312 SL
ABOVE 7472
BUY CASTORSEED JULY ABOVE 4167 TARGET 4192 4222 SL
BELOW 4137
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