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Epic research daily agri report 17th june 2015
1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
17 June 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
JULY 7016 7186 7000 7070 -1.34 16185
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6985
SUPP. 2
6899
PIVOT
7085
Turmeric short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7171
RES. 2
7271
CORIANDER
JULY 12280 12444 12169 12410 1.61 18130
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
12238
SUPP. 2
12066
PIVOT
12341
Coriander short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12513
RES. 2
12616
GUARGUM
JULY 10630 10800 10510 10720 -1.74 10264
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
10553
SUPP. 2
10387
PIVOT
10677
Guargum short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10843
RES. 2
10967
CASTORSEED
JULY 4015 4089 4015 4049 0.42 44010
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4013
SUPP. 2
3977
PIVOT
4051
Castorseed short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days..RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4087
RES. 2
4125
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4048 4161 -2.72
CHANA 4496 4637 -3.04
CORIANDER 12300 12451 -1.21
GUARGUM 10910 11360 -3.96
JEERA 16230 16825 -3.54
MUSTARD
SEED
4150 4230 -1.82
SOYABEAN 3529 3673 -3.92
TURMERIC 7166 7464 -3.99
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
TURMERIC 19-06-2015 7048.00 -28.00 -0.40%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
19-06-2015 4098.00 -12.00 -0.29%
BARLEY 19-06-2015 1246.00 -2.00 -0.16%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
JEERA 19-06-2015 16375.00 265.00 1.64%
CORIANDER 19-06-2015 12159.00 100.00 0.83%
CASTOR SEED NEW 19-06-2015 3959.00 32.00 0.81%
CHANA 19-06-2015 4467.00 29.00 0.65%
REFINED SOY OIL 19-06-2015 609.00 3.20 0.53%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
The government has finalised modalities for import of key pulses and
state-run agencies such as MMTCBSE 0.12 % will soon float tenders for
overseas purchase of lentils, Agriculture Secretary Siraj Hussain said
yesterday."We have finalised the modalities for import of pulses. MMTC
and other state-trading agencies have been asked to float import tenders,"
Hussain told PTI. The import of pulses will boost domestic supply and
check rising prices, he added.Prices of pulses have risen by more than 64
per cent in the last one year as the domestic production fell by nearly two
million tonnes (MT) in 2014-15 crop year due to unfavourable weather
conditions.For instance in Delhi retail markets, tur prices have increased to
Rs 113/kg, urad to Rs 112/kg, moong to Rs 103/kg, masoor dal to Rs 94/kg
and gram to Rs 68/kg, as per the data maintained by the Consumer Affairs
Ministry. Last week, the Cabinet had expressed concern over rising prices
and decided to increase imports, among other measures."The government is
very serious on rising prices of pulses.
India's cotton production is expected to decline for the second
consecutive year to 37.5 million bales in 2015-16 marketing season, due to
a likely fall in yields on account of delayed sowing, weather and low price
realisation, according to USDA's latest report.For the 2014-15 marketing
season (August-July), the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has
forecast cotton output to be 38 million bales while the government has
projected 35.3 million bales."Production is forecast marginally lower on
reduced yields stemming from delayed sowing, weather, and price
realisation vis-a-vis other crops," USDA said in its latest report.India's
cotton production is forecast at 37.5 million on 12 million harvested
hectares, it said.In Gujarat and Maharashtra, sowing has commenced, but is
limited to fields with assured irrigation.Farmers' planting decision to
expand cotton acreage, according to the report, has become difficult as
prices of competing crops in various states have dropped.
Turmeric futures extended the losses on short selling for the third
trading sessions on weak demand. The NCDEX turmeric for the July
delivery ended the day at Rs 7070, down Rs 96 or 1.34%. Weakness was
seen in turmeric market due to limited demand by exporters and rainfall
was reported in some parts of Andhra Pradesh. Traders are expecting the
total production in the range of 50-52 lakh bags in the current year,
down 20 lakh bags from the last year in the same period. Sources also
stated that around 75lakh bags of total stocks have been reported in local
Jeera settled down due to subdued demand from retailers and stockists
at higher levels amid adequate stocks position. There is concern over
production due to untimely rainfall in March in Gujarat and Rajasthan.
As per Government data, 2.41 lakh hectare of cumin crop is damaged in
Rajasthan. As per third advance estimate of Gujarat State, production is
expected at 1.58 lakh tonnes in 2014-15 which is 54.3 per cent lower
compared to last years’ production of 3.46 lakh tonnes.According to
Gujarat government data released on 19th Jan 15, Jeera recorded 2.64
lakh hac, 42% less sowing compared to last year’s 4.54 lakh hac. Jeera
(cumin) exports have been 128,500 tonnes in the first nine months (Apr-
Dec) of 2014-15, a rise of 28% from the corresponding period of the
previous.
Chana prices were up 0.85 per cent to Rs 4,483 per quintal in futures
trading today as speculators took to creating fresh bets, taking positive
cues from the spot market on demand pick-up.Lower output estimates
also supported the upside.At the National Commodity and Derivatives
Exchange, chana for delivery in June rose Rs 38, or 0.85 per cent, to Rs
4,483 per quintal with an open interest of 1,960 lots.In a similar fashion,
the commodity for delivery in July contracts traded higher by Rs 24, or
0.53 per cent, to Rs 4,512 per quintal in 1,44,870 lots.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Cotton
COTTON ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
Cotton consumption in India is likely to increase by around 5.09% in the
coming season i.e. 2015-16 to 5.606 million tones as compared to 5.334
million tones in the current season, said USDA. Consumption on global front
too is likely to increase by around 3.44% to 25.10 million tones in 2015-16 as
compared to 24.27 million tones in current season.
Cotton Corporation of India (CCI) has started floating the global tender for
cotton export to Bangladesh. The tender earlier did not attract the mush
attention as the prices quoted by CCI was 76-77 cents whereas the working
price of the exporters is 68-70 cents since the Rupee has appreciated to 62.15
from 62.70 against the dollar. CCI is now working on the better and revised
pricing strategy to drag down the price to 70 cents for the overseas buyers.
Around 14.3 lakh hectares of cotton has been sown so far throughout the
country, as on 12 June this year, which is around 17.5% lower when compared
to the sowing progress of last season during the corresponding period which
was 17.34 lakh hectares, according to Ministry of Agriculture.
World cotton production estimates for the season 2015-16 has been
upwardly revised by USDA. Cotton production on global front is likely to
stand around 24.238 million tons in the coming season around 0.07% higher
when compared to the estimates of previous month which was 24.222 million
tons and around 6.34% lower when compared to the production of current
month.
In its June estimates, USDA lowered the world cotton exports estimates for
the season 2015-16 by around 0.42% to 7.36 million tons as compared to the
estimates of previous month which was 7.329 million tons.
CENTER 16-June-15 15-June-15 Change
RAJKOT 4570 4620 -50
BHIWANI 4670 4670 UNCH
ADAMPUR 4770 4800 -30
AHMEDABAD 4550 4600 -50
GONDAL 4560 4555 5
GUNTUR 4050 3825 225
RAICHUR NA 4679 -
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