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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
17 June 2015
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1
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Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
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Our Presence
YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
JULY 7016 7186 7000 7070 -1.34 16185
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6985
SUPP. 2
6899
PIVOT
7085
Turmeric short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7171
RES. 2
7271
CORIANDER
JULY 12280 12444 12169 12410 1.61 18130
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
12238
SUPP. 2
12066
PIVOT
12341
Coriander short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12513
RES. 2
12616
GUARGUM
JULY 10630 10800 10510 10720 -1.74 10264
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
10553
SUPP. 2
10387
PIVOT
10677
Guargum short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10843
RES. 2
10967
CASTORSEED
JULY 4015 4089 4015 4049 0.42 44010
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4013
SUPP. 2
3977
PIVOT
4051
Castorseed short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days..RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4087
RES. 2
4125
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4048 4161 -2.72
CHANA 4496 4637 -3.04
CORIANDER 12300 12451 -1.21
GUARGUM 10910 11360 -3.96
JEERA 16230 16825 -3.54
MUSTARD
SEED
4150 4230 -1.82
SOYABEAN 3529 3673 -3.92
TURMERIC 7166 7464 -3.99
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
TURMERIC 19-06-2015 7048.00 -28.00 -0.40%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
19-06-2015 4098.00 -12.00 -0.29%
BARLEY 19-06-2015 1246.00 -2.00 -0.16%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
JEERA 19-06-2015 16375.00 265.00 1.64%
CORIANDER 19-06-2015 12159.00 100.00 0.83%
CASTOR SEED NEW 19-06-2015 3959.00 32.00 0.81%
CHANA 19-06-2015 4467.00 29.00 0.65%
REFINED SOY OIL 19-06-2015 609.00 3.20 0.53%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
The government has finalised modalities for import of key pulses and
state-run agencies such as MMTCBSE 0.12 % will soon float tenders for
overseas purchase of lentils, Agriculture Secretary Siraj Hussain said
yesterday."We have finalised the modalities for import of pulses. MMTC
and other state-trading agencies have been asked to float import tenders,"
Hussain told PTI. The import of pulses will boost domestic supply and
check rising prices, he added.Prices of pulses have risen by more than 64
per cent in the last one year as the domestic production fell by nearly two
million tonnes (MT) in 2014-15 crop year due to unfavourable weather
conditions.For instance in Delhi retail markets, tur prices have increased to
Rs 113/kg, urad to Rs 112/kg, moong to Rs 103/kg, masoor dal to Rs 94/kg
and gram to Rs 68/kg, as per the data maintained by the Consumer Affairs
Ministry. Last week, the Cabinet had expressed concern over rising prices
and decided to increase imports, among other measures."The government is
very serious on rising prices of pulses.
India's cotton production is expected to decline for the second
consecutive year to 37.5 million bales in 2015-16 marketing season, due to
a likely fall in yields on account of delayed sowing, weather and low price
realisation, according to USDA's latest report.For the 2014-15 marketing
season (August-July), the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has
forecast cotton output to be 38 million bales while the government has
projected 35.3 million bales."Production is forecast marginally lower on
reduced yields stemming from delayed sowing, weather, and price
realisation vis-a-vis other crops," USDA said in its latest report.India's
cotton production is forecast at 37.5 million on 12 million harvested
hectares, it said.In Gujarat and Maharashtra, sowing has commenced, but is
limited to fields with assured irrigation.Farmers' planting decision to
expand cotton acreage, according to the report, has become difficult as
prices of competing crops in various states have dropped.
 Turmeric futures extended the losses on short selling for the third
trading sessions on weak demand. The NCDEX turmeric for the July
delivery ended the day at Rs 7070, down Rs 96 or 1.34%. Weakness was
seen in turmeric market due to limited demand by exporters and rainfall
was reported in some parts of Andhra Pradesh. Traders are expecting the
total production in the range of 50-52 lakh bags in the current year,
down 20 lakh bags from the last year in the same period. Sources also
stated that around 75lakh bags of total stocks have been reported in local
Jeera settled down due to subdued demand from retailers and stockists
at higher levels amid adequate stocks position. There is concern over
production due to untimely rainfall in March in Gujarat and Rajasthan.
As per Government data, 2.41 lakh hectare of cumin crop is damaged in
Rajasthan. As per third advance estimate of Gujarat State, production is
expected at 1.58 lakh tonnes in 2014-15 which is 54.3 per cent lower
compared to last years’ production of 3.46 lakh tonnes.According to
Gujarat government data released on 19th Jan 15, Jeera recorded 2.64
lakh hac, 42% less sowing compared to last year’s 4.54 lakh hac. Jeera
(cumin) exports have been 128,500 tonnes in the first nine months (Apr-
Dec) of 2014-15, a rise of 28% from the corresponding period of the
previous.
Chana prices were up 0.85 per cent to Rs 4,483 per quintal in futures
trading today as speculators took to creating fresh bets, taking positive
cues from the spot market on demand pick-up.Lower output estimates
also supported the upside.At the National Commodity and Derivatives
Exchange, chana for delivery in June rose Rs 38, or 0.85 per cent, to Rs
4,483 per quintal with an open interest of 1,960 lots.In a similar fashion,
the commodity for delivery in July contracts traded higher by Rs 24, or
0.53 per cent, to Rs 4,512 per quintal in 1,44,870 lots.
5
Fundamental Watch : Cotton
COTTON ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
Cotton consumption in India is likely to increase by around 5.09% in the
coming season i.e. 2015-16 to 5.606 million tones as compared to 5.334
million tones in the current season, said USDA. Consumption on global front
too is likely to increase by around 3.44% to 25.10 million tones in 2015-16 as
compared to 24.27 million tones in current season.
Cotton Corporation of India (CCI) has started floating the global tender for
cotton export to Bangladesh. The tender earlier did not attract the mush
attention as the prices quoted by CCI was 76-77 cents whereas the working
price of the exporters is 68-70 cents since the Rupee has appreciated to 62.15
from 62.70 against the dollar. CCI is now working on the better and revised
pricing strategy to drag down the price to 70 cents for the overseas buyers.
Around 14.3 lakh hectares of cotton has been sown so far throughout the
country, as on 12 June this year, which is around 17.5% lower when compared
to the sowing progress of last season during the corresponding period which
was 17.34 lakh hectares, according to Ministry of Agriculture.
World cotton production estimates for the season 2015-16 has been
upwardly revised by USDA. Cotton production on global front is likely to
stand around 24.238 million tons in the coming season around 0.07% higher
when compared to the estimates of previous month which was 24.222 million
tons and around 6.34% lower when compared to the production of current
month.
In its June estimates, USDA lowered the world cotton exports estimates for
the season 2015-16 by around 0.42% to 7.36 million tons as compared to the
estimates of previous month which was 7.329 million tons.
CENTER 16-June-15 15-June-15 Change
RAJKOT 4570 4620 -50
BHIWANI 4670 4670 UNCH
ADAMPUR 4770 4800 -30
AHMEDABAD 4550 4600 -50
GONDAL 4560 4555 5
GUNTUR 4050 3825 225
RAICHUR NA 4679 -
Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER JULY ABOVE 12543 TARGET 12568 12608 SL
BELOW 12513
SELL GUARGUM JULY BELOW 10600 TARGET 10550 10490 SL
ABOVE 10660
SELL TURMERIC JULY BELOW 7000 TARGET 6960 6900 SL
ABOVE 7060
SELL CASTORSEED JULYBELOW 4043 TARGET 4018 3988 SL
ABOVE 4073
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any
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Epic research daily agri report 17th june 2015

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 17 June 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC JULY 7016 7186 7000 7070 -1.34 16185 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 6985 SUPP. 2 6899 PIVOT 7085 Turmeric short term trend is down and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7171 RES. 2 7271 CORIANDER JULY 12280 12444 12169 12410 1.61 18130 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 12238 SUPP. 2 12066 PIVOT 12341 Coriander short term trend is up and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 12513 RES. 2 12616 GUARGUM JULY 10630 10800 10510 10720 -1.74 10264 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 10553 SUPP. 2 10387 PIVOT 10677 Guargum short term trend is down and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 10843 RES. 2 10967 CASTORSEED JULY 4015 4089 4015 4049 0.42 44010 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 4013 SUPP. 2 3977 PIVOT 4051 Castorseed short term trend is down and May continue in coming days..RESISTAN CE RES. 1 4087 RES. 2 4125
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 4048 4161 -2.72 CHANA 4496 4637 -3.04 CORIANDER 12300 12451 -1.21 GUARGUM 10910 11360 -3.96 JEERA 16230 16825 -3.54 MUSTARD SEED 4150 4230 -1.82 SOYABEAN 3529 3673 -3.92 TURMERIC 7166 7464 -3.99 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % TURMERIC 19-06-2015 7048.00 -28.00 -0.40% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 19-06-2015 4098.00 -12.00 -0.29% BARLEY 19-06-2015 1246.00 -2.00 -0.16% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % JEERA 19-06-2015 16375.00 265.00 1.64% CORIANDER 19-06-2015 12159.00 100.00 0.83% CASTOR SEED NEW 19-06-2015 3959.00 32.00 0.81% CHANA 19-06-2015 4467.00 29.00 0.65% REFINED SOY OIL 19-06-2015 609.00 3.20 0.53%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS The government has finalised modalities for import of key pulses and state-run agencies such as MMTCBSE 0.12 % will soon float tenders for overseas purchase of lentils, Agriculture Secretary Siraj Hussain said yesterday."We have finalised the modalities for import of pulses. MMTC and other state-trading agencies have been asked to float import tenders," Hussain told PTI. The import of pulses will boost domestic supply and check rising prices, he added.Prices of pulses have risen by more than 64 per cent in the last one year as the domestic production fell by nearly two million tonnes (MT) in 2014-15 crop year due to unfavourable weather conditions.For instance in Delhi retail markets, tur prices have increased to Rs 113/kg, urad to Rs 112/kg, moong to Rs 103/kg, masoor dal to Rs 94/kg and gram to Rs 68/kg, as per the data maintained by the Consumer Affairs Ministry. Last week, the Cabinet had expressed concern over rising prices and decided to increase imports, among other measures."The government is very serious on rising prices of pulses. India's cotton production is expected to decline for the second consecutive year to 37.5 million bales in 2015-16 marketing season, due to a likely fall in yields on account of delayed sowing, weather and low price realisation, according to USDA's latest report.For the 2014-15 marketing season (August-July), the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has forecast cotton output to be 38 million bales while the government has projected 35.3 million bales."Production is forecast marginally lower on reduced yields stemming from delayed sowing, weather, and price realisation vis-a-vis other crops," USDA said in its latest report.India's cotton production is forecast at 37.5 million on 12 million harvested hectares, it said.In Gujarat and Maharashtra, sowing has commenced, but is limited to fields with assured irrigation.Farmers' planting decision to expand cotton acreage, according to the report, has become difficult as prices of competing crops in various states have dropped.  Turmeric futures extended the losses on short selling for the third trading sessions on weak demand. The NCDEX turmeric for the July delivery ended the day at Rs 7070, down Rs 96 or 1.34%. Weakness was seen in turmeric market due to limited demand by exporters and rainfall was reported in some parts of Andhra Pradesh. Traders are expecting the total production in the range of 50-52 lakh bags in the current year, down 20 lakh bags from the last year in the same period. Sources also stated that around 75lakh bags of total stocks have been reported in local Jeera settled down due to subdued demand from retailers and stockists at higher levels amid adequate stocks position. There is concern over production due to untimely rainfall in March in Gujarat and Rajasthan. As per Government data, 2.41 lakh hectare of cumin crop is damaged in Rajasthan. As per third advance estimate of Gujarat State, production is expected at 1.58 lakh tonnes in 2014-15 which is 54.3 per cent lower compared to last years’ production of 3.46 lakh tonnes.According to Gujarat government data released on 19th Jan 15, Jeera recorded 2.64 lakh hac, 42% less sowing compared to last year’s 4.54 lakh hac. Jeera (cumin) exports have been 128,500 tonnes in the first nine months (Apr- Dec) of 2014-15, a rise of 28% from the corresponding period of the previous. Chana prices were up 0.85 per cent to Rs 4,483 per quintal in futures trading today as speculators took to creating fresh bets, taking positive cues from the spot market on demand pick-up.Lower output estimates also supported the upside.At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, chana for delivery in June rose Rs 38, or 0.85 per cent, to Rs 4,483 per quintal with an open interest of 1,960 lots.In a similar fashion, the commodity for delivery in July contracts traded higher by Rs 24, or 0.53 per cent, to Rs 4,512 per quintal in 1,44,870 lots.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Cotton COTTON ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKET National Market Update Cotton consumption in India is likely to increase by around 5.09% in the coming season i.e. 2015-16 to 5.606 million tones as compared to 5.334 million tones in the current season, said USDA. Consumption on global front too is likely to increase by around 3.44% to 25.10 million tones in 2015-16 as compared to 24.27 million tones in current season. Cotton Corporation of India (CCI) has started floating the global tender for cotton export to Bangladesh. The tender earlier did not attract the mush attention as the prices quoted by CCI was 76-77 cents whereas the working price of the exporters is 68-70 cents since the Rupee has appreciated to 62.15 from 62.70 against the dollar. CCI is now working on the better and revised pricing strategy to drag down the price to 70 cents for the overseas buyers. Around 14.3 lakh hectares of cotton has been sown so far throughout the country, as on 12 June this year, which is around 17.5% lower when compared to the sowing progress of last season during the corresponding period which was 17.34 lakh hectares, according to Ministry of Agriculture. World cotton production estimates for the season 2015-16 has been upwardly revised by USDA. Cotton production on global front is likely to stand around 24.238 million tons in the coming season around 0.07% higher when compared to the estimates of previous month which was 24.222 million tons and around 6.34% lower when compared to the production of current month. In its June estimates, USDA lowered the world cotton exports estimates for the season 2015-16 by around 0.42% to 7.36 million tons as compared to the estimates of previous month which was 7.329 million tons. CENTER 16-June-15 15-June-15 Change RAJKOT 4570 4620 -50 BHIWANI 4670 4670 UNCH ADAMPUR 4770 4800 -30 AHMEDABAD 4550 4600 -50 GONDAL 4560 4555 5 GUNTUR 4050 3825 225 RAICHUR NA 4679 -
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 BUY CORIANDER JULY ABOVE 12543 TARGET 12568 12608 SL BELOW 12513 SELL GUARGUM JULY BELOW 10600 TARGET 10550 10490 SL ABOVE 10660 SELL TURMERIC JULY BELOW 7000 TARGET 6960 6900 SL ABOVE 7060 SELL CASTORSEED JULYBELOW 4043 TARGET 4018 3988 SL ABOVE 4073
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.