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Epic research daily agri report 13 jan 2016
1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
13 January 2016
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
APR 9976 10028 9802 9832 -1.68 9080
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
9747
SUPP. 2
9661
PIVOT
9887
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9973
RES. 2
10113
CORIANDER
APR 7590 7650 7353 7439 -2.58 5190
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
7311
SUPP. 2
7184
PIVOT
7481
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7608
RES. 2
7778
GUARGUM
FEB 5910 6200 5860 6200 +3.85 23790
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
5973
SUPP. 2
5747
PIVOT
6087
Guargum short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6313
RES. 2
6427
CASTORSEED
FEB 3625 3631 3537 3565 -2.11 47700
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3524
SUPP. 2
3484
PIVOT
3578
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3618
RES. 2
3672
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3496 3564 -1.91
CHANA 4873 4879 -0.12
CORIANDER 7015 7148 -1.86
GUARGUM 6130 5900 +3.90
JEERA 13550 13435 +0.06
MUSTARD
SEED
4374 4426 -1.17
SOYABEAN 3626 3595 +0.86
TURMERIC 9832 10000 -1.68
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CORIANDER 20-01-2016 7015.00 -135.00 -1.89%
TURMERIC 20-04-2016 9832.00 -178.00 -1.78%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-01-2016 3496.00 -61.00 -1.71%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-01-2016 1985.00 -26.00 -1.29%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-01-2016 4374.00 -37.00 -0.84%
JEERA 20-01-2016 13550.00 -50.00 -0.37%
CHANA 20-01-2016 4873.00 -2.00 -0.04%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
SOYABEAN 20-01-2016 3626.00 30.00 0.83%
BARLEY 20-01-2016 1325.00 6.00 0.45%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Government's rice procurement may surpass last year's level of 32
million tonnes in the 2015-16 marketing year despite prospect of lower
production due to deficient monsoon.As per the latest data, rice
procurement has risen by 31 per cent to 20 MT so far in the 2015-16
marketing year that started from October, from 15.29 MT in the year-ago
period.The Centre's nodal procurement agency Food Corporation of India (
FCI) and state government-owned agencies undertake procurement
operations. The Centre has kept a rice procurement target of 30 MT for the
this year."Despite the Agriculture Ministry's first estimate of lower
production, somehow rice procurement has been higher so far in most
states. If the current trend continues, the overall rice procurement in 2015-
16 would surpass last year's level," a senior Food Ministry official told a
leading newspaper.Higher rice procurement was mainly due to fall in
prices of common variety in most mandis after basmati rice rates declined
sharply, the official said.At present, procurement has been completed in
Punjab and Haryana, while the operations are in full swing in Uttar
Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. Winter rice will be
procured from Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, Telangana and Odisha.As
per the latest data, rice procurement in Punjab rose to 9.34 MT in 2015-16
from 7.78 MT in the last year. Similarly, rice purchase in Haryana
increased to 2.85 MT from 2.01 MT in the review period.Rice procurement
in Andhra Pradesh has more doubled to 1.2 MT so far this year as against
5,58,573 tonnes in the year-ago period, while neighbouring Telangana state
procured only 9,07,180 tonnes as against 1.28 MT in the said period.In
Chattishgarh, the procurement was up at 2.53 MT from 1.56 MT, while in
Uttar Pradesh the purchases rose to 1 MT from 6,05,000 tonnes in the said
period, the data showed.Rice procurement in Odisha increased to 7,36,945
tonnes so far this year from 1,59,793 tonnes in the year-ago period.In its
first estimate, the Agriculture Ministry has projected a fall in kharif rice
production to 90.61 MT in the 2015-16 crop year (July-June) from 90.86
MT in the year-ago period due to 14 per cent fall in monsoon rains.The
agencies buy paddy from the farmers and give to millers for conversion
into rice.
Lack of export demand amidst improved reports on the sowing front
and high arrivals in the mandis kept trend down for Jeera even as
traders feel present rates to be on the lower side. Short term trend still
looks very volatile with traders anticipating the export demand to rise
in coming weeks.Cool weather is beneficial for crop growth, while a
warmer weather may damage the standing crop also. With prices at
very low levels, moderate recovery is not ruled out on expected pick up
in exports in coming days. With harvesting still months away, the
depleting existing stock could prevent any major fall in rates.In
Gujarat, current year till end Dec, sowing completed 2.68 lakh
ha.Normal area is 3.52 lakh ha. Last year sowing was reported at 2.67
lakh ha. As per sources, delayed sowing due to low rains in Gujarat
could also lead to delayed arrivals of the crop—firming up prices
further.As per 4th advanced crop estimate, production in 2014-15 (Oct-
Sep) in Gujarat was pegged at 1.58 lakh tons, lower by 54% year on
year. However latest 2014-15 production estimates have been revised
up at 1.97 lakh tons.
There was no strong report on Guar, but it did find some support at
these lower levels. Lack of exports amidst falling Crude oil prices still
prevented any major recovery in prices—even at these lower levels.
Traders however anticipate further fall to be limited due to current low
rates.Even as Technicals looks slight down, short term trend could
remain very volatile for the counter.Falling Crude Oil prices have kept
export demand from US, China and the EU nations low. Low exports,
higher arrivals of new crop amidst high stocks and falling crude oil
prices have been keeping prices down for last few months, with low
signs of recovery. Markets are unable to reverse the trend in present
term, despite having fallen from above 13000 to nearly 6000
levels.Last 2 years of higher production have ensured higher stocks for
Guar this year, thus keeping prices down.Due to Economic crisis in
China, US and EU nations, exports of Guargum have not picked up as
yet.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
Datagro predicted Brazil’s C.S region to produce 610 - 630 MT of sugarcane
in 2016 -17 which in turn could generate 33.5 – 34.5 MT of sugar thereon.
Indian sugar export fell down by 12% this week as the country exported 0.94
lakh tons of sugar during the week (ending on 03rd January, 2016) compared
to 1.07 lakh tons of sugar the previous week.
Brazil’s raw sugar export rose by 9.12% in the month of December as the
country exported 2.18 MT of sugar during the month compared to 2.00 MT of
sugar last month.
Bihar, Haryana, Punjab, Uttarakhand and M.P had produced 1.40 lakh tons,
1.00 lakh tons, 0.95 lakh tons, 0.70 lakh tons and 0.75 lakh tons of sugar in
2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 31st Dec, 2015).
The combined sugar production of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana stood at
2.15 lakh tons sugar in 2015 -16 (till 31st Dec, 2015) which was 16.02% less
than the production made last year during the same interval.
Sugar production this year almost remained the same as of previous year in
Tamil Nadu which had produced 0.80 lakh tons of sugar both in 2014-15 and
2015 -16 (till 31st December).
Sugar production rose by 13.4% in Gujarat which had produced 4.40 lakh
tons of sugar in in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 31st Dec, 2015) compared to
3.88 lakh tons of production in 2014-15 (01st Oct, 2014 – 31st Dec, 2014).
CENTER 12-Jan-15 11-Jan-15 Change
DELHI 3180 3180 UNCH
MUMBAI 3256 3256 UNCH
VIJAYWADA 3400 3400 UNCH
NAGPUR 3080 3100 -20
CHENNAI 3100 3100 UNCH
AMBIKAPUR 2835 2835 UNCH
DHAMPUR 3010 3010 UNCH
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