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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
13 January 2016
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
APR 9976 10028 9802 9832 -1.68 9080
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
9747
SUPP. 2
9661
PIVOT
9887
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9973
RES. 2
10113
CORIANDER
APR 7590 7650 7353 7439 -2.58 5190
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
7311
SUPP. 2
7184
PIVOT
7481
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7608
RES. 2
7778
GUARGUM
FEB 5910 6200 5860 6200 +3.85 23790
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
5973
SUPP. 2
5747
PIVOT
6087
Guargum short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6313
RES. 2
6427
CASTORSEED
FEB 3625 3631 3537 3565 -2.11 47700
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3524
SUPP. 2
3484
PIVOT
3578
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3618
RES. 2
3672
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3496 3564 -1.91
CHANA 4873 4879 -0.12
CORIANDER 7015 7148 -1.86
GUARGUM 6130 5900 +3.90
JEERA 13550 13435 +0.06
MUSTARD
SEED
4374 4426 -1.17
SOYABEAN 3626 3595 +0.86
TURMERIC 9832 10000 -1.68
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CORIANDER 20-01-2016 7015.00 -135.00 -1.89%
TURMERIC 20-04-2016 9832.00 -178.00 -1.78%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-01-2016 3496.00 -61.00 -1.71%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-01-2016 1985.00 -26.00 -1.29%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-01-2016 4374.00 -37.00 -0.84%
JEERA 20-01-2016 13550.00 -50.00 -0.37%
CHANA 20-01-2016 4873.00 -2.00 -0.04%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
SOYABEAN 20-01-2016 3626.00 30.00 0.83%
BARLEY 20-01-2016 1325.00 6.00 0.45%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Government's rice procurement may surpass last year's level of 32
million tonnes in the 2015-16 marketing year despite prospect of lower
production due to deficient monsoon.As per the latest data, rice
procurement has risen by 31 per cent to 20 MT so far in the 2015-16
marketing year that started from October, from 15.29 MT in the year-ago
period.The Centre's nodal procurement agency Food Corporation of India (
FCI) and state government-owned agencies undertake procurement
operations. The Centre has kept a rice procurement target of 30 MT for the
this year."Despite the Agriculture Ministry's first estimate of lower
production, somehow rice procurement has been higher so far in most
states. If the current trend continues, the overall rice procurement in 2015-
16 would surpass last year's level," a senior Food Ministry official told a
leading newspaper.Higher rice procurement was mainly due to fall in
prices of common variety in most mandis after basmati rice rates declined
sharply, the official said.At present, procurement has been completed in
Punjab and Haryana, while the operations are in full swing in Uttar
Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. Winter rice will be
procured from Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, Telangana and Odisha.As
per the latest data, rice procurement in Punjab rose to 9.34 MT in 2015-16
from 7.78 MT in the last year. Similarly, rice purchase in Haryana
increased to 2.85 MT from 2.01 MT in the review period.Rice procurement
in Andhra Pradesh has more doubled to 1.2 MT so far this year as against
5,58,573 tonnes in the year-ago period, while neighbouring Telangana state
procured only 9,07,180 tonnes as against 1.28 MT in the said period.In
Chattishgarh, the procurement was up at 2.53 MT from 1.56 MT, while in
Uttar Pradesh the purchases rose to 1 MT from 6,05,000 tonnes in the said
period, the data showed.Rice procurement in Odisha increased to 7,36,945
tonnes so far this year from 1,59,793 tonnes in the year-ago period.In its
first estimate, the Agriculture Ministry has projected a fall in kharif rice
production to 90.61 MT in the 2015-16 crop year (July-June) from 90.86
MT in the year-ago period due to 14 per cent fall in monsoon rains.The
agencies buy paddy from the farmers and give to millers for conversion
into rice.
Lack of export demand amidst improved reports on the sowing front
and high arrivals in the mandis kept trend down for Jeera even as
traders feel present rates to be on the lower side. Short term trend still
looks very volatile with traders anticipating the export demand to rise
in coming weeks.Cool weather is beneficial for crop growth, while a
warmer weather may damage the standing crop also. With prices at
very low levels, moderate recovery is not ruled out on expected pick up
in exports in coming days. With harvesting still months away, the
depleting existing stock could prevent any major fall in rates.In
Gujarat, current year till end Dec, sowing completed 2.68 lakh
ha.Normal area is 3.52 lakh ha. Last year sowing was reported at 2.67
lakh ha. As per sources, delayed sowing due to low rains in Gujarat
could also lead to delayed arrivals of the crop—firming up prices
further.As per 4th advanced crop estimate, production in 2014-15 (Oct-
Sep) in Gujarat was pegged at 1.58 lakh tons, lower by 54% year on
year. However latest 2014-15 production estimates have been revised
up at 1.97 lakh tons.
There was no strong report on Guar, but it did find some support at
these lower levels. Lack of exports amidst falling Crude oil prices still
prevented any major recovery in prices—even at these lower levels.
Traders however anticipate further fall to be limited due to current low
rates.Even as Technicals looks slight down, short term trend could
remain very volatile for the counter.Falling Crude Oil prices have kept
export demand from US, China and the EU nations low. Low exports,
higher arrivals of new crop amidst high stocks and falling crude oil
prices have been keeping prices down for last few months, with low
signs of recovery. Markets are unable to reverse the trend in present
term, despite having fallen from above 13000 to nearly 6000
levels.Last 2 years of higher production have ensured higher stocks for
Guar this year, thus keeping prices down.Due to Economic crisis in
China, US and EU nations, exports of Guargum have not picked up as
yet.
5
Fundamental Watch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
Datagro predicted Brazil’s C.S region to produce 610 - 630 MT of sugarcane
in 2016 -17 which in turn could generate 33.5 – 34.5 MT of sugar thereon.
Indian sugar export fell down by 12% this week as the country exported 0.94
lakh tons of sugar during the week (ending on 03rd January, 2016) compared
to 1.07 lakh tons of sugar the previous week.
Brazil’s raw sugar export rose by 9.12% in the month of December as the
country exported 2.18 MT of sugar during the month compared to 2.00 MT of
sugar last month.
Bihar, Haryana, Punjab, Uttarakhand and M.P had produced 1.40 lakh tons,
1.00 lakh tons, 0.95 lakh tons, 0.70 lakh tons and 0.75 lakh tons of sugar in
2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 31st Dec, 2015).
The combined sugar production of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana stood at
2.15 lakh tons sugar in 2015 -16 (till 31st Dec, 2015) which was 16.02% less
than the production made last year during the same interval.
Sugar production this year almost remained the same as of previous year in
Tamil Nadu which had produced 0.80 lakh tons of sugar both in 2014-15 and
2015 -16 (till 31st December).
Sugar production rose by 13.4% in Gujarat which had produced 4.40 lakh
tons of sugar in in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 31st Dec, 2015) compared to
3.88 lakh tons of production in 2014-15 (01st Oct, 2014 – 31st Dec, 2014).
CENTER 12-Jan-15 11-Jan-15 Change
DELHI 3180 3180 UNCH
MUMBAI 3256 3256 UNCH
VIJAYWADA 3400 3400 UNCH
NAGPUR 3080 3100 -20
CHENNAI 3100 3100 UNCH
AMBIKAPUR 2835 2835 UNCH
DHAMPUR 3010 3010 UNCH
Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 7410 TARGET 7365 7215 SL
ABOVE 7475
BUY GUARGUM FEB ABOVE 6260 TARGET 6310 6380 SL
BELOW 6200
SELL TURMERIC APRIL BELOW 9800 TARGET 9756 9696 SL
ABOVE 9860
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 3545 TARGET 3520 3490 SL
ABOVE 3570
Disclaimer
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 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
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Epic research daily agri report 13 jan 2016

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 13 January 2016 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC APR 9976 10028 9802 9832 -1.68 9080 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 9747 SUPP. 2 9661 PIVOT 9887 Turmeric short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 9973 RES. 2 10113 CORIANDER APR 7590 7650 7353 7439 -2.58 5190 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 7311 SUPP. 2 7184 PIVOT 7481 Coriander short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7608 RES. 2 7778 GUARGUM FEB 5910 6200 5860 6200 +3.85 23790 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 5973 SUPP. 2 5747 PIVOT 6087 Guargum short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 6313 RES. 2 6427 CASTORSEED FEB 3625 3631 3537 3565 -2.11 47700 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3524 SUPP. 2 3484 PIVOT 3578 Castorseed short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming day.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3618 RES. 2 3672
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 3496 3564 -1.91 CHANA 4873 4879 -0.12 CORIANDER 7015 7148 -1.86 GUARGUM 6130 5900 +3.90 JEERA 13550 13435 +0.06 MUSTARD SEED 4374 4426 -1.17 SOYABEAN 3626 3595 +0.86 TURMERIC 9832 10000 -1.68 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % CORIANDER 20-01-2016 7015.00 -135.00 -1.89% TURMERIC 20-04-2016 9832.00 -178.00 -1.78% CASTOR SEED NEW 20-01-2016 3496.00 -61.00 -1.71% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-01-2016 1985.00 -26.00 -1.29% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-01-2016 4374.00 -37.00 -0.84% JEERA 20-01-2016 13550.00 -50.00 -0.37% CHANA 20-01-2016 4873.00 -2.00 -0.04% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % SOYABEAN 20-01-2016 3626.00 30.00 0.83% BARLEY 20-01-2016 1325.00 6.00 0.45%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS Government's rice procurement may surpass last year's level of 32 million tonnes in the 2015-16 marketing year despite prospect of lower production due to deficient monsoon.As per the latest data, rice procurement has risen by 31 per cent to 20 MT so far in the 2015-16 marketing year that started from October, from 15.29 MT in the year-ago period.The Centre's nodal procurement agency Food Corporation of India ( FCI) and state government-owned agencies undertake procurement operations. The Centre has kept a rice procurement target of 30 MT for the this year."Despite the Agriculture Ministry's first estimate of lower production, somehow rice procurement has been higher so far in most states. If the current trend continues, the overall rice procurement in 2015- 16 would surpass last year's level," a senior Food Ministry official told a leading newspaper.Higher rice procurement was mainly due to fall in prices of common variety in most mandis after basmati rice rates declined sharply, the official said.At present, procurement has been completed in Punjab and Haryana, while the operations are in full swing in Uttar Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. Winter rice will be procured from Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, Telangana and Odisha.As per the latest data, rice procurement in Punjab rose to 9.34 MT in 2015-16 from 7.78 MT in the last year. Similarly, rice purchase in Haryana increased to 2.85 MT from 2.01 MT in the review period.Rice procurement in Andhra Pradesh has more doubled to 1.2 MT so far this year as against 5,58,573 tonnes in the year-ago period, while neighbouring Telangana state procured only 9,07,180 tonnes as against 1.28 MT in the said period.In Chattishgarh, the procurement was up at 2.53 MT from 1.56 MT, while in Uttar Pradesh the purchases rose to 1 MT from 6,05,000 tonnes in the said period, the data showed.Rice procurement in Odisha increased to 7,36,945 tonnes so far this year from 1,59,793 tonnes in the year-ago period.In its first estimate, the Agriculture Ministry has projected a fall in kharif rice production to 90.61 MT in the 2015-16 crop year (July-June) from 90.86 MT in the year-ago period due to 14 per cent fall in monsoon rains.The agencies buy paddy from the farmers and give to millers for conversion into rice. Lack of export demand amidst improved reports on the sowing front and high arrivals in the mandis kept trend down for Jeera even as traders feel present rates to be on the lower side. Short term trend still looks very volatile with traders anticipating the export demand to rise in coming weeks.Cool weather is beneficial for crop growth, while a warmer weather may damage the standing crop also. With prices at very low levels, moderate recovery is not ruled out on expected pick up in exports in coming days. With harvesting still months away, the depleting existing stock could prevent any major fall in rates.In Gujarat, current year till end Dec, sowing completed 2.68 lakh ha.Normal area is 3.52 lakh ha. Last year sowing was reported at 2.67 lakh ha. As per sources, delayed sowing due to low rains in Gujarat could also lead to delayed arrivals of the crop—firming up prices further.As per 4th advanced crop estimate, production in 2014-15 (Oct- Sep) in Gujarat was pegged at 1.58 lakh tons, lower by 54% year on year. However latest 2014-15 production estimates have been revised up at 1.97 lakh tons. There was no strong report on Guar, but it did find some support at these lower levels. Lack of exports amidst falling Crude oil prices still prevented any major recovery in prices—even at these lower levels. Traders however anticipate further fall to be limited due to current low rates.Even as Technicals looks slight down, short term trend could remain very volatile for the counter.Falling Crude Oil prices have kept export demand from US, China and the EU nations low. Low exports, higher arrivals of new crop amidst high stocks and falling crude oil prices have been keeping prices down for last few months, with low signs of recovery. Markets are unable to reverse the trend in present term, despite having fallen from above 13000 to nearly 6000 levels.Last 2 years of higher production have ensured higher stocks for Guar this year, thus keeping prices down.Due to Economic crisis in China, US and EU nations, exports of Guargum have not picked up as yet.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Sugar SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update Datagro predicted Brazil’s C.S region to produce 610 - 630 MT of sugarcane in 2016 -17 which in turn could generate 33.5 – 34.5 MT of sugar thereon. Indian sugar export fell down by 12% this week as the country exported 0.94 lakh tons of sugar during the week (ending on 03rd January, 2016) compared to 1.07 lakh tons of sugar the previous week. Brazil’s raw sugar export rose by 9.12% in the month of December as the country exported 2.18 MT of sugar during the month compared to 2.00 MT of sugar last month. Bihar, Haryana, Punjab, Uttarakhand and M.P had produced 1.40 lakh tons, 1.00 lakh tons, 0.95 lakh tons, 0.70 lakh tons and 0.75 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 31st Dec, 2015). The combined sugar production of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana stood at 2.15 lakh tons sugar in 2015 -16 (till 31st Dec, 2015) which was 16.02% less than the production made last year during the same interval. Sugar production this year almost remained the same as of previous year in Tamil Nadu which had produced 0.80 lakh tons of sugar both in 2014-15 and 2015 -16 (till 31st December). Sugar production rose by 13.4% in Gujarat which had produced 4.40 lakh tons of sugar in in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 31st Dec, 2015) compared to 3.88 lakh tons of production in 2014-15 (01st Oct, 2014 – 31st Dec, 2014). CENTER 12-Jan-15 11-Jan-15 Change DELHI 3180 3180 UNCH MUMBAI 3256 3256 UNCH VIJAYWADA 3400 3400 UNCH NAGPUR 3080 3100 -20 CHENNAI 3100 3100 UNCH AMBIKAPUR 2835 2835 UNCH DHAMPUR 3010 3010 UNCH
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 7410 TARGET 7365 7215 SL ABOVE 7475 BUY GUARGUM FEB ABOVE 6260 TARGET 6310 6380 SL BELOW 6200 SELL TURMERIC APRIL BELOW 9800 TARGET 9756 9696 SL ABOVE 9860 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 3545 TARGET 3520 3490 SL ABOVE 3570
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