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“Electricity Options for the
            Future" - where will WA's power
                     come from…..

                                                      GAS
                                                             Jason Waters
                                                             General Manager Trading & Fuel

Presentation to Australian Engineering Week Public Forum –
5 August 2009
Power Systems 101
 Summer Demand Curve
Power Systems 101…
  Winter Demand Curve
Power Systems 101…

Ancillary Services…
• Frequency control (maintaining “in vs. out”)
• Spinning reserve (Instant back-up)
• Fast start reserve (Delayed back up – 15 mins)

Other Terminology…
• Capacity (MW)
• Energy (MWh)
• Intermittent Generators
What type of Plant?

Three major forms of gas fired
generating plant…

• Open Cycle Gas Turbines
• Cogeneration
• Combined Cycle
Open Cycle GT
Open Cycle GT

• Efficiency Range 25% - 40%
• Low cost ($1000/kW approx)
• Short construction lead times
  (2 years)
• Peaking/mid merit supply
• Excellent ancillary service
  provision
Cogeneration
Cogeneration

• Excellent total efficiency (80%)
• Electricity generation efficiency as
  per OC GT
• Construction time 2-3 years
• Require steam customer
• Baseload supply - inflexible
Combined Cycle
Combined Cycle


• Efficiency 45% - 55%
• Cost $1500/kW approx
• Construction time 2-3 years
• Baseload supply
• Can provide ancillary services but
  expensive
Gas in summary
                                     Generating Efficiencies (HHV)
80




70




60




50




40




30




20




10




 0
     Coal Fired Ultra-   Coal Fired Supercritical   Coal fired sub-critical   Cogeneration   Combined Cycle GT   Open Cycle GT
      Supercritical
Gas in summary

Carbon Intensity…

• Coal 0.8 – 1.0 tCO2/MWh
• Open Cycle GT’s 0.45 – 0.7 tCO2/MWh
• Combined Cycle – 0.4 tCO2/MWh

Gas is not “clean” but is the best currently
available – clean coal still some years away.
Gas in summary…

The Good…

• Relatively low carbon intensity
• High efficiency – good resource use
• Construction cost ($1000/kW -
  $1500/kW)
• Delivery / construction lead times
• Ancillary Service Provision
• Dual fuel capability
Gas in summary…

The not so good…

• Price – not sustainable for power
  generation
• Availability
• Security – Varanus Incident 2008
Role in the SWIS
Role in the SWIS…

Current installed capacity


         Renewable
            4%       Coal
                     34%



   Gas
   62%
Role in the SWIS…

The opportunity…
• Market requires additional 2000 MW by
  2020
• Security issues need addressing through
  dual fuel capability and gas storage
• Fuel price/availability and carbon role
• Flexibility – ancillary services
• “Enabler” of intermittent renewable
  generation
Role in the SWIS…

What are we likely to see…
• OCGT providing capacity
• Likely to see continued peaking and mid
  merit use
• Cogeneration application tied to value of
  steam
• Limited combined cycle use until Carbon
  >$90/tonne
Where Will W As Power Come From   Gas By Jason Waters

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Where Will W As Power Come From Gas By Jason Waters

  • 1. “Electricity Options for the Future" - where will WA's power come from….. GAS Jason Waters General Manager Trading & Fuel Presentation to Australian Engineering Week Public Forum – 5 August 2009
  • 2. Power Systems 101 Summer Demand Curve
  • 3. Power Systems 101… Winter Demand Curve
  • 4. Power Systems 101… Ancillary Services… • Frequency control (maintaining “in vs. out”) • Spinning reserve (Instant back-up) • Fast start reserve (Delayed back up – 15 mins) Other Terminology… • Capacity (MW) • Energy (MWh) • Intermittent Generators
  • 5. What type of Plant? Three major forms of gas fired generating plant… • Open Cycle Gas Turbines • Cogeneration • Combined Cycle
  • 7. Open Cycle GT • Efficiency Range 25% - 40% • Low cost ($1000/kW approx) • Short construction lead times (2 years) • Peaking/mid merit supply • Excellent ancillary service provision
  • 9. Cogeneration • Excellent total efficiency (80%) • Electricity generation efficiency as per OC GT • Construction time 2-3 years • Require steam customer • Baseload supply - inflexible
  • 11. Combined Cycle • Efficiency 45% - 55% • Cost $1500/kW approx • Construction time 2-3 years • Baseload supply • Can provide ancillary services but expensive
  • 12. Gas in summary Generating Efficiencies (HHV) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Coal Fired Ultra- Coal Fired Supercritical Coal fired sub-critical Cogeneration Combined Cycle GT Open Cycle GT Supercritical
  • 13. Gas in summary Carbon Intensity… • Coal 0.8 – 1.0 tCO2/MWh • Open Cycle GT’s 0.45 – 0.7 tCO2/MWh • Combined Cycle – 0.4 tCO2/MWh Gas is not “clean” but is the best currently available – clean coal still some years away.
  • 14. Gas in summary… The Good… • Relatively low carbon intensity • High efficiency – good resource use • Construction cost ($1000/kW - $1500/kW) • Delivery / construction lead times • Ancillary Service Provision • Dual fuel capability
  • 15. Gas in summary… The not so good… • Price – not sustainable for power generation • Availability • Security – Varanus Incident 2008
  • 16. Role in the SWIS
  • 17. Role in the SWIS… Current installed capacity Renewable 4% Coal 34% Gas 62%
  • 18. Role in the SWIS… The opportunity… • Market requires additional 2000 MW by 2020 • Security issues need addressing through dual fuel capability and gas storage • Fuel price/availability and carbon role • Flexibility – ancillary services • “Enabler” of intermittent renewable generation
  • 19. Role in the SWIS… What are we likely to see… • OCGT providing capacity • Likely to see continued peaking and mid merit use • Cogeneration application tied to value of steam • Limited combined cycle use until Carbon >$90/tonne