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When the fog falls -
information overload as a
challenge from the business
education perspective
Konya, 24 July 2010,
Dr Jan Fazlagić
Poznan University
of Economics, Poznan, Poland
E-mail: jan.fazlagic@ue.poznan.pl
1. Knowledge vs.information
2. The traditional approach to
(business) education)
3. What has changed recently?
4. What do we do about it?
• The natives were ingorant about boiling
water – why??
1. Didn’t know the word „to boil water”
2. Were not familiar with the concept of
time flow
3. Did not have time measuring devices „
• Intelligence/intellectal excellence is valued
• Intelligent, not creative students score
best
• Teaching is based on case studies and
hindsight analysis of past successes
• Problems are pre-defined
• The instructor knows the truth – the
student is to ‘get there’
The traditional approach to
(business) education
Why well-informed decisions
are a myth?
• 28 September 1998: a consortium of US
baks supervised by the US government is
bailing out the LTCM (Long-Term Capital
Management) equity fund;
• cost: billions of US dollars
LCTM in a nutshell:
• Two noble winners on board
• Above the average ROI
• Best traders on staff
• Innovations: 24/7 operations
• Huge IT investments
• US Army experience says clearly: „More
battlefield transparency does not guaranty
a better operational efficiency”
• The most intelligent decision makers will
never make the best decisions (due to the
intrinsic human irrationality)
Option acceleration
Does better information on the
targets affect the consumption
of ammunition?
• YES!
Does better information on the
targets affect the consumption
of ammunition?
• YES!
• The units in combat demaned 5 times more
ammunition then previously
• Result: a logistics nightmare
Information as a resource
• Abundant resources tend to be wasted
… an that includes information!
• Best-quality, on-time information tends to
be wasted
• Todays’ business must learn how to
operate in the information overload
• More information = more analysis
New challenges for business
education
• How to PROTECT organizations from
information?
• How to co-ordinate information = how to
manage knowledge?
• From „What do we know?” >> „What does
it mean for us?”
• What to analyse?
How to cope with a steady, day-to-day
stream of false information:
• Steve Jobs: „we will not enter the video
market”.
Lessons learned (US Army):
• As the value of information decreases, the value
of judgement, assumptions, aspirations and
mental models increases.
Business schools must start to
teach such news skills as (1):
• Information filtering
• Responsiveness to information
• Elasticity of thinking (changing
assumptions, mental models)
• Distinguishing creative from intelligent
not-so-creative ideas (and people)
• Quizzics: the art. of asking the right
questions
Business schools must start to
teach such news skills as (2):
• New focus for strategic management:
more information does not equal better
decisions
Capacity is no t the sam e as capability.
Thank you for your attention
Jan.fazlagic@ue.poznan.pl
Fazlagic.pl

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When the fog falls

  • 1. When the fog falls - information overload as a challenge from the business education perspective Konya, 24 July 2010, Dr Jan Fazlagić Poznan University of Economics, Poznan, Poland E-mail: jan.fazlagic@ue.poznan.pl
  • 2. 1. Knowledge vs.information 2. The traditional approach to (business) education) 3. What has changed recently? 4. What do we do about it?
  • 3. • The natives were ingorant about boiling water – why??
  • 4. 1. Didn’t know the word „to boil water” 2. Were not familiar with the concept of time flow 3. Did not have time measuring devices „
  • 5. • Intelligence/intellectal excellence is valued • Intelligent, not creative students score best • Teaching is based on case studies and hindsight analysis of past successes • Problems are pre-defined • The instructor knows the truth – the student is to ‘get there’ The traditional approach to (business) education
  • 6. Why well-informed decisions are a myth? • 28 September 1998: a consortium of US baks supervised by the US government is bailing out the LTCM (Long-Term Capital Management) equity fund; • cost: billions of US dollars
  • 7. LCTM in a nutshell: • Two noble winners on board • Above the average ROI • Best traders on staff • Innovations: 24/7 operations • Huge IT investments
  • 8. • US Army experience says clearly: „More battlefield transparency does not guaranty a better operational efficiency” • The most intelligent decision makers will never make the best decisions (due to the intrinsic human irrationality)
  • 10. Does better information on the targets affect the consumption of ammunition? • YES!
  • 11. Does better information on the targets affect the consumption of ammunition? • YES! • The units in combat demaned 5 times more ammunition then previously • Result: a logistics nightmare
  • 12. Information as a resource • Abundant resources tend to be wasted … an that includes information! • Best-quality, on-time information tends to be wasted • Todays’ business must learn how to operate in the information overload • More information = more analysis
  • 13. New challenges for business education • How to PROTECT organizations from information? • How to co-ordinate information = how to manage knowledge? • From „What do we know?” >> „What does it mean for us?” • What to analyse?
  • 14. How to cope with a steady, day-to-day stream of false information: • Steve Jobs: „we will not enter the video market”.
  • 15. Lessons learned (US Army): • As the value of information decreases, the value of judgement, assumptions, aspirations and mental models increases.
  • 16. Business schools must start to teach such news skills as (1): • Information filtering • Responsiveness to information • Elasticity of thinking (changing assumptions, mental models) • Distinguishing creative from intelligent not-so-creative ideas (and people) • Quizzics: the art. of asking the right questions
  • 17. Business schools must start to teach such news skills as (2): • New focus for strategic management: more information does not equal better decisions Capacity is no t the sam e as capability.
  • 18. Thank you for your attention Jan.fazlagic@ue.poznan.pl Fazlagic.pl