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Supply Chain Strategy
and Financial Metrics
My name is Bram …My name is Bram …My name is Bram …My name is Bram …
• Academic
• 1998, Master in Mathematics, Gent
• 2002-2004, Executive MBA, Vlerick Business School, Gent
• 2006-2009, PhD in Operations Research, University Gent, “safety stock optimization in multi-echelon supply chains”
• 2010-…, Adjunct Professor at the Vlerick Business School, teaching ‘statistics’, ‘decision sciences’, ‘supply chain’ in Masters and
MBA courses
• 2010-…, Visiting Professor at Peking University, teaching ‘statistics’, ‘decision sciences’
• Business
• 1998 - 2003: IT manager, Arcelor-Mittal, Gent (Sidmar)
• 2003 - 2016: Partner Strategy – SupplyChain – Operations, MÖBIUS Consulting
• 2010 - …: CEO, Solventure, S&OP software and advanced analytics
• Sector experience: aftermarket, chemical/pharma, consumer goods, discrete/high-tech, metals, retail, recycling, SME's (+50
companies)
• Contact info
• bram_desmet@solventure.eu, +32.497.58.28.60
• be.linkedin.com/pub/bram-desmet/1/788/823/
• @bram_desmet
Available May 5th, 2018
More info on www.bramdesmet.com
On pre-order from Koganpage and Amazon websites
AgendaAgendaAgendaAgenda
• What is Supply Chain Management?
• How to link Supply Chain & Strategy?
• How to link Supply Chain & Finance?
• How to link Supply Chain, Strategy & Finance?
What is Supply Chain Management?
SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash
SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash
e.g. reduce cost by
sourcing in far East
SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash
e.g. increase market
share by extending
product portfolio
SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash
e.g. reduce inventory
by lowering safety
stocks
SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash
Focus/incentives in a
typical production
company …
SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash
Resulting pressure in
the triangle
BalancingBalancingBalancingBalancing thethethethe triangletriangletriangletriangle ==== optimizingoptimizingoptimizingoptimizing ROCEROCEROCEROCE
Aligning the supply
chain triangle is about
maximizing ROCE
Top-line
EBIT
ROCE
How to link Supply Chain & Strategy?
Market leaders are
‘extremely disciplined
and focused’ on 1 of 3
strategic options
Treacy & Wiersema,
1995
Operational Excellence Product Leadership Customer Intimacy
• ‘Best price’ and/or
• ‘Best access’ (‘fast, easy,
painless’)
• ‘Best product’ • ‘Best service’ and/or
• ‘Best connectivity’
(‘relationship orientation’)
• Efficiency through process
thinking
• Zero-defect service
• Best product through
continuous product innovation
• Clear innovation strategy:
where to place the bets?
• Understanding the broader
problem
• Having expertise about the
customer’s business
• Customers carefully selected
• The operations department
drives the company
• Attention is paid to process
speed and quality
• R&D is key: idea management
• Marketing is also key: educate
people with a missionary zeal
• Get engineers, designers, and
marketers systematically
together
• Demonstrate expertise and
experience
• Strengthen the relationship
• Build loyalty: focus on customer
retention
Product Leadership
highest cost in R&D, marketing, supply chain
Customer intimacy
the extra mile comes at an extra cost
Operational Excellence
cost leader in every fibre of the organization
service
inventory cost
Higher
turns
Lower
cost
Higher
service
Product Leadership
highest complexity, highest risk
Customer intimacy
controlled complexity
Operational Excellence
simplicity drives efficiency
service
inventory cost
Higher
turns
Lower
cost
Higher
service
Product Leadership
emotion beyond functional service
Customer intimacy
an extra mile for a premium
Operational Excellence
excel in the basics
service
inventory cost
Higher
turns
Lower
cost
Higher
service
Product Leadership
highest risk with highest potential payoff
Customer intimacy
an extra mile at an extra cost and premium
Operational Excellence
excel in cost and the service basics
service
inventory cost
Higher
turns
Lower
cost
Higher
service
Different strategies lead to different trade-offs in the Supply Chain Triangle!!!
How to link Supply Chain & Finance?
Cost
Direct Material
Direct Labour
Indirect labour
COGS
Sales
Logistics
Write-Offs
SG&A
Cash / Capital Employed
DSO
DPO
DIOH
Working Capital
Investments
Fixed Assets
Depreciation
Service/Strategy/Value
Order LT
(Responsiveness)
OTIF
(Reliability)
Flexibility/Adaptability
(Agility)
Product
Access
Price
Service
Specifications vs Avg
Satisfaction Rate
Pricepoint vs Avg
Experience
ProductPortfolio (#SKU)
Cost
Cash / Capital Employed
Direct Material
Direct Labour
Indirect labour
COGS
DSO
DPO
DIOH
Working Capital
Investments
Fixed Assets
Depreciation
Sales
Logistics
Write-Offs
SG&A
Service/Strategy/Value
Order LT
(Responsiveness)
OTIF
(Reliability)
Flexibility/Adaptability
(Agility)
Product
Access
Price
Service
Specifications vs Avg
Pricepoint vs Avg
ProductPortfolio (#SKU)
Bottom-line
Gross Profit
EBIT
Net Profit
Bottom-line
Return
ROCE
ROA
ROE
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
Top-line
Net Sales
Market Share
Sales Price
Top-line Growth
Top-line
Bottom-line
Return
Cost
Cash / Capital Employed
Process / Diagnostic
Net Sales
Market Share
Sales Price
Gross Profit
EBIT
Net Profit
ROCE
ROA
ROE
Direct Material
Direct Labour
Indirect labour
COGS
DSO
DPO
DIOH
Working Capital
Investments
Fixed Assets
Depreciation
Sales
Logistics
Write-Offs
SG&A
Product Development
Order Fulfillment
Order Generation
After Sales
# NPI
Orderbook
Forecast Accuracy Bias (MPE)
Accuracy
(1-MAPE)
OEE
Cycle Time
First Pass Yield
#returns
# Components
# Promo’s
Plan Adherence
Supplier
Performance
Order LT
OTIF
# Order Lines
Production
Performance
Logistics
Performance
# Pickings
# Shipments
Service/Strategy/Value
Order LT
(Responsiveness)
OTIF
(Reliability)
Flexibility/Adaptability
(Agility)
Product
Access
Price
Service
Specifications vs Avg
Pricepoint vs Avg
ProductPortfolio (#SKU)
ROCE
EBIT
Net Sales
1041M€
144M€ vs Y-1
41M€ vs budget
7,53%
2,49% vs Y-1
0,47% vs budget
13,49%
5,17% vs Y-1
0,40% vs budget
%SalesOfNew
33%
8%
Price Point
+23%
2%
COGS
69,95%
1,95%
SG&A
23,84%
0,16%
CCC
127d
23d
Fixed Assets
271M€
1M€
DIOH 117d 13d
DSO 66d 4d
DPO 56d 6d
On time in full
90%
5%
Lead Time
3wk
1wk
Sale 0M€
Depr 10M 0M
Inve 11M 1M
G&A 4,82% ,16%
S&M 11,81% ,31%
R&D 7,20% ,30%
IL 9,55% ,45%
DL 17,9% 1%
DM 42,5% 3%
#NPI
43
2
Supplier OTIF
77%
18%
OEE
88%
10%
Cycle Time
3
1
OEE
88%
10%
Orderbook
222Mi
22Mi
How to link Supply Chain, Strategy &
Finance?
Market leaders are
‘extremely disciplined
and focused’ on 1 of 3
strategic options
Treacy & Wiersema,
1995
Operational Excellence Customer Intimacy Product Leadership
• Hard Discounters • Supermarkets • Fresh food markets
• Good quality at low cost • Mix of quality and price • The best, highest quality,
healthiest
• Lots of private label • Mix of A and B • Locally grown
• Limited Assortment • Everything you daily need • Quality over Quantity
Gross Margin HighMediumLow
Cost HighMediumLow
EBIT HighMediumLow
Capital Employed HighMediumLow
ROCE High High High
Service
Cost
Cash/Capital
Employed
Turnover
Margin
Return
Process /
Diagnostic
=
OE
CI
PL
=
OE
CI
PL
=
OE
CI
PL
=
OE
CI
PL
OE
CI
PL
Product Leadership (PL)
Customer Intimacy (CI)
Operational Excellence (OE)
Strategy Supply Chain
Financial Metrics
ExampleExampleExampleExample DataDataDataData
(Fixed Asset Turns = Turnover / Fixed Assets)
ExampleExampleExampleExample DataDataDataData
Company Gross Profit% EBIT Fixed Asset Turns ROCE
30%+ gross profit 33% 4,46% 3,29 16,28%
20-29% gross profit 24% 3,84% 4,22 17,11%
<20% gross profit 12% 0,95% 7,42 12,02%
• We seem to find some evidence that different strategies are different
ways to drive value for the shareholder
• They have a different balance in the supply chain triangle
ConclusionConclusionConclusionConclusion
• What is Supply Chain Management?
• Supply Chain Management is about balancing the triangle of Service, Cost and Capital
Employed
• How to link Supply Chain & Strategy?
• Different strategies lead to a different balance int he triangle
• How to link Supply Chain & Finance?
• Service is a driver for top-line, cost and top-line combine into bottom-line, bottom-line over
capital employed leads to return
• Operational metrics indicate where the financial metrics will be going
• How to link Supply Chain, Strategy & Finance?
• Different strategies are different routes to deliver Return on Capital Employed
Supply chain strategy and financial metrics 20180314

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Supply chain strategy and financial metrics 20180314

  • 1. Supply Chain Strategy and Financial Metrics
  • 2. My name is Bram …My name is Bram …My name is Bram …My name is Bram … • Academic • 1998, Master in Mathematics, Gent • 2002-2004, Executive MBA, Vlerick Business School, Gent • 2006-2009, PhD in Operations Research, University Gent, “safety stock optimization in multi-echelon supply chains” • 2010-…, Adjunct Professor at the Vlerick Business School, teaching ‘statistics’, ‘decision sciences’, ‘supply chain’ in Masters and MBA courses • 2010-…, Visiting Professor at Peking University, teaching ‘statistics’, ‘decision sciences’ • Business • 1998 - 2003: IT manager, Arcelor-Mittal, Gent (Sidmar) • 2003 - 2016: Partner Strategy – SupplyChain – Operations, MÖBIUS Consulting • 2010 - …: CEO, Solventure, S&OP software and advanced analytics • Sector experience: aftermarket, chemical/pharma, consumer goods, discrete/high-tech, metals, retail, recycling, SME's (+50 companies) • Contact info • bram_desmet@solventure.eu, +32.497.58.28.60 • be.linkedin.com/pub/bram-desmet/1/788/823/ • @bram_desmet
  • 3. Available May 5th, 2018 More info on www.bramdesmet.com On pre-order from Koganpage and Amazon websites
  • 4. AgendaAgendaAgendaAgenda • What is Supply Chain Management? • How to link Supply Chain & Strategy? • How to link Supply Chain & Finance? • How to link Supply Chain, Strategy & Finance?
  • 5. What is Supply Chain Management?
  • 6. SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash
  • 7. SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash e.g. reduce cost by sourcing in far East
  • 8. SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash e.g. increase market share by extending product portfolio
  • 9. SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash e.g. reduce inventory by lowering safety stocks
  • 10. SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash Focus/incentives in a typical production company …
  • 11. SCM =SCM =SCM =SCM = balancingbalancingbalancingbalancing thethethethe SCSCSCSC triangletriangletriangletriangle of service,of service,of service,of service, costcostcostcost and cashand cashand cashand cash Resulting pressure in the triangle
  • 12. BalancingBalancingBalancingBalancing thethethethe triangletriangletriangletriangle ==== optimizingoptimizingoptimizingoptimizing ROCEROCEROCEROCE Aligning the supply chain triangle is about maximizing ROCE Top-line EBIT ROCE
  • 13. How to link Supply Chain & Strategy?
  • 14. Market leaders are ‘extremely disciplined and focused’ on 1 of 3 strategic options Treacy & Wiersema, 1995 Operational Excellence Product Leadership Customer Intimacy • ‘Best price’ and/or • ‘Best access’ (‘fast, easy, painless’) • ‘Best product’ • ‘Best service’ and/or • ‘Best connectivity’ (‘relationship orientation’) • Efficiency through process thinking • Zero-defect service • Best product through continuous product innovation • Clear innovation strategy: where to place the bets? • Understanding the broader problem • Having expertise about the customer’s business • Customers carefully selected • The operations department drives the company • Attention is paid to process speed and quality • R&D is key: idea management • Marketing is also key: educate people with a missionary zeal • Get engineers, designers, and marketers systematically together • Demonstrate expertise and experience • Strengthen the relationship • Build loyalty: focus on customer retention
  • 15. Product Leadership highest cost in R&D, marketing, supply chain Customer intimacy the extra mile comes at an extra cost Operational Excellence cost leader in every fibre of the organization service inventory cost Higher turns Lower cost Higher service
  • 16. Product Leadership highest complexity, highest risk Customer intimacy controlled complexity Operational Excellence simplicity drives efficiency service inventory cost Higher turns Lower cost Higher service
  • 17. Product Leadership emotion beyond functional service Customer intimacy an extra mile for a premium Operational Excellence excel in the basics service inventory cost Higher turns Lower cost Higher service
  • 18. Product Leadership highest risk with highest potential payoff Customer intimacy an extra mile at an extra cost and premium Operational Excellence excel in cost and the service basics service inventory cost Higher turns Lower cost Higher service Different strategies lead to different trade-offs in the Supply Chain Triangle!!!
  • 19.
  • 20. How to link Supply Chain & Finance?
  • 21. Cost Direct Material Direct Labour Indirect labour COGS Sales Logistics Write-Offs SG&A Cash / Capital Employed DSO DPO DIOH Working Capital Investments Fixed Assets Depreciation Service/Strategy/Value Order LT (Responsiveness) OTIF (Reliability) Flexibility/Adaptability (Agility) Product Access Price Service Specifications vs Avg Satisfaction Rate Pricepoint vs Avg Experience ProductPortfolio (#SKU)
  • 22. Cost Cash / Capital Employed Direct Material Direct Labour Indirect labour COGS DSO DPO DIOH Working Capital Investments Fixed Assets Depreciation Sales Logistics Write-Offs SG&A Service/Strategy/Value Order LT (Responsiveness) OTIF (Reliability) Flexibility/Adaptability (Agility) Product Access Price Service Specifications vs Avg Pricepoint vs Avg ProductPortfolio (#SKU) Bottom-line Gross Profit EBIT Net Profit Bottom-line Return ROCE ROA ROE Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) Top-line Net Sales Market Share Sales Price Top-line Growth
  • 23. Top-line Bottom-line Return Cost Cash / Capital Employed Process / Diagnostic Net Sales Market Share Sales Price Gross Profit EBIT Net Profit ROCE ROA ROE Direct Material Direct Labour Indirect labour COGS DSO DPO DIOH Working Capital Investments Fixed Assets Depreciation Sales Logistics Write-Offs SG&A Product Development Order Fulfillment Order Generation After Sales # NPI Orderbook Forecast Accuracy Bias (MPE) Accuracy (1-MAPE) OEE Cycle Time First Pass Yield #returns # Components # Promo’s Plan Adherence Supplier Performance Order LT OTIF # Order Lines Production Performance Logistics Performance # Pickings # Shipments Service/Strategy/Value Order LT (Responsiveness) OTIF (Reliability) Flexibility/Adaptability (Agility) Product Access Price Service Specifications vs Avg Pricepoint vs Avg ProductPortfolio (#SKU)
  • 24. ROCE EBIT Net Sales 1041M€ 144M€ vs Y-1 41M€ vs budget 7,53% 2,49% vs Y-1 0,47% vs budget 13,49% 5,17% vs Y-1 0,40% vs budget %SalesOfNew 33% 8% Price Point +23% 2% COGS 69,95% 1,95% SG&A 23,84% 0,16% CCC 127d 23d Fixed Assets 271M€ 1M€ DIOH 117d 13d DSO 66d 4d DPO 56d 6d On time in full 90% 5% Lead Time 3wk 1wk Sale 0M€ Depr 10M 0M Inve 11M 1M G&A 4,82% ,16% S&M 11,81% ,31% R&D 7,20% ,30% IL 9,55% ,45% DL 17,9% 1% DM 42,5% 3% #NPI 43 2 Supplier OTIF 77% 18% OEE 88% 10% Cycle Time 3 1 OEE 88% 10% Orderbook 222Mi 22Mi
  • 25. How to link Supply Chain, Strategy & Finance?
  • 26. Market leaders are ‘extremely disciplined and focused’ on 1 of 3 strategic options Treacy & Wiersema, 1995 Operational Excellence Customer Intimacy Product Leadership • Hard Discounters • Supermarkets • Fresh food markets • Good quality at low cost • Mix of quality and price • The best, highest quality, healthiest • Lots of private label • Mix of A and B • Locally grown • Limited Assortment • Everything you daily need • Quality over Quantity Gross Margin HighMediumLow Cost HighMediumLow EBIT HighMediumLow Capital Employed HighMediumLow ROCE High High High
  • 29. ExampleExampleExampleExample DataDataDataData Company Gross Profit% EBIT Fixed Asset Turns ROCE 30%+ gross profit 33% 4,46% 3,29 16,28% 20-29% gross profit 24% 3,84% 4,22 17,11% <20% gross profit 12% 0,95% 7,42 12,02% • We seem to find some evidence that different strategies are different ways to drive value for the shareholder • They have a different balance in the supply chain triangle
  • 30. ConclusionConclusionConclusionConclusion • What is Supply Chain Management? • Supply Chain Management is about balancing the triangle of Service, Cost and Capital Employed • How to link Supply Chain & Strategy? • Different strategies lead to a different balance int he triangle • How to link Supply Chain & Finance? • Service is a driver for top-line, cost and top-line combine into bottom-line, bottom-line over capital employed leads to return • Operational metrics indicate where the financial metrics will be going • How to link Supply Chain, Strategy & Finance? • Different strategies are different routes to deliver Return on Capital Employed