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CREATING THE FUTURE
 The Importance of Individual and
  Co!ective Strategic Foresight
                 Frank Spencer, MSF
                    KedgeForward
          www.forwardonline.wordpress.com
               fwspencer4@gmail.com
           www.twitter.com/frankspencer
The Future is Unfolding,
and the Future Desires to Emerge!

             “You must give birth to your
              images; they are the future
               within you wanting to be
             born... The future enters into
               us, in order to transform
               itself in us, long before it
             happens.” Rainer Maria Rilke/
                German Poet, Novelist
Why Should We Care
        About the Future?
It is our responsibility to shape the future, rather than
leaving it to chance, fate, or predetermined outcomes.
Our story about the future determines what actions we
will take in the present (as well as in the future.)
 If we don’t intentionally shape the future, something
(or somebody) else will!
Integrated Timeline
                   Our view of the
 Our view of
                “present” is shaped by
  the “past”
                 our stories about the
 is shaped by
  our stories
                 “past” and “future.”    Future
   about the
“present” and
   “future.”
                                         Our view of
                    Present              the “future”
                                         is shaped by
 Past                                     our stories
                                           about the
                                          “past” and
                                          “present.”
Humanity’s study of the future is
            well-documented...
      but a better futures-oriented
    discipline and focus is necessary.
                                                                   Brain Science,
                                                                       Human
                                                                 Behavior, How we
                                            Including History,       learn, etc.
                                              Anthropology,
                                               Civilizations,
                                               Sociology...




                         “Whatever
                     one man is capable
                     of conceiving, other
                     men will be able to
Yes, this is me ;)         achieve.”
                          Jules Verne
Human Futures
                 What We Do...

    See: The Past, the Present, and Trends
       Wonder: What Might Happen?
    Fear: Past Disasters, and Future Crises
   Desire: Past Successes and Future Goals
     Believe: Who/What Makes Change
DO: Who/What Could Help Us Create Change?
           Copyright Wendy Schultz, Infinite Futures, 2002
WHERE DOES THE FUTURE COME FROM?
    Politics                           Chaos
                                                 Conflict
               Technology




                            Ideation
Networking




                                          Complexity
The Future Comes From... You and Me
         (The Path of Creating the Future)

 Being            Thinking                   Doing
And... Futures Come From the Collective “One.”
   Ah,                                             Collaboration!
inclusion!




 Integral
 Futures!
                                                   Ask me about
                                                       the
                                                   “Noosphere!”


                                     I never
                                    realized
                                  Professional
                Is this             Futurists
             Holopticism?         could be so...

                                      hot!
What Is Strategic Foresight?
(Manifesting the Future That Wants to Emerge
   - Creating the Future We Want to See.)

We often think of the future as something that
 just happens to us. But, we also know that the
  future is created by the choices we make... By
choosing, you create one future. By not choosing,
 you create another. (Futurist Glen Hiemstra)

Strategic Foresight is about the interplay of the Probable Futures
   (what would happen if we made no choices), Possible Futures
           (how each choice shaped the future differently),
     and Preferable Futures (which is the best choice for us).
The Three Futures




Thank you Dr. Jay Gary, Professor and Program Director (Master of Strategic Foresight), Regent University
Open


Ideal
        =             ?
            Futures
Cone of Possibilities
The Futures Landscape
                              (Auditing where we are in life.)
           Do you
        have a vision?
Strategy to move forward?
  Can you see alternative
      futures, different                                                                          The “Big Picture,”
   assumptions of how
                                                                                                 broader context we
     the world works?
                                                                                                  find ourselves in.




        The “dog-eat-
        dog,” goal is to                                                                     Strategy
                                                                                            enhances
           survive.
                                                                                       effectiveness, clear
                                                                                      about goals, creating
                                                                                           responsive
                                                                                               lives.
                                                 Copyright, Sohail Inayatullah, Metafuture.org
Creating the Future Through
      S-Curve Thinking
                                                 Breakdown

                                                                        New
Breakpoint                                                             Growth
                                                                       Curve


                                         Creative Transformation
                                       (We must think and act creatively
                                        well before the “breakdown” and
                                      death of the current growth curve if
                                      we want to avoid crisis and develop
                                                 new pathways.
             Breakthrough
                             Special thanks to Dr. Jay Gary, Professor and
                                          Program Director,
                            Master of Strategic Foresight, Regent University
Inner Essence Models
(How we see the world, and how to see it in a bigger way.)
      Spiral Profiling               Integral Modeling
“The
  Ladder
    of
Inference”
 (The Creation of
   Our Biases.)
Causal Layers
 (Uncovering Biases/Assumptions and Expanding Our Universal “Stories”)
                                          Litany (The “facts” as we “see” them.)


                                                  Social System and Structure
                                                (Who do we believe is forming the litany?)


                                                                  Worldview


                                                                           Myth and
                                                                           Metaphor
                                                                          (Our universal
                                                                             story.)
Taking a break
     at the
 “Mannequins
   and the
    Future”
 Conference. ;)
DEVELOPING PERSONAL
        STRATEGIC FORESIGHT
  The most fundamental work in the 21st Century for all persons,
organizations, and whole societies is to become conscious architects
 and intentional co-creators of new ways of living that truly fit the
     unique conditions that are emerging in the 21st Century.

  Everyone has an innate foresight capacity to think about the future.
  We do it every day, but usua!y we don’t recognize it. To develop an
   individual foresight capacity, we first have to recognize that we
                  have it, and that we need to use it.
Hi, I’m Frank Spencer! Who Am I?
                                               I’m a evolutionary by nature, approaching everything I see and do in a creative, emergent, and visionary
                                               fashion. In today’s environment of rapid change, strategic evolution, and constant innovation, this type of
                                               mindset is necessary in order to create short and long-term strategic and human success. In short, no one
                                               can afford to not be “future-fit!” Armed with the tool of Strategic Thinking and Foresight, you will move from
                                               anticipating the next decision that simply keeps your “head above water,” to acting upon aspirations that put
                                               you on the cutting edge of your market, industry, and social endeavor. Remember: “The future belongs to
                                               those who create it!”

                                               What Does a Professional Futurist Do?

 
Strategic Foresight has been defined as the meta-discipline of the 21st Century, because the domains of society, culture, technology, economics,
politics, ecology, environmental sustainability, and idea creation are constantly changing and effecting one another, needing expert examination and
evaluation in order to propose and navigate the possible, probable, and preferable futures.

Professional Futurists help individuals, organizations, and social institutions anticipate trends and envision positive outcomes in every domain, allowing
them to operate in confident participation of the future instead of a passive or fatalistic acceptance of what may happen. Strategic Foresight combines the
ideology and theoretical evaluation of Futures Studies with the application of Strategic Leadership. This is necessary in order to actively pursue preferable
futures and aspirations, as well as implementing the change that occurs within organizations or society as intentional action is taken to pursue those
futures.

Now, the personal stuff!
I have been married for 22 years to my wonderful and beautiful wife Sherry, with four fantastic children (Daniel, 18; Nathan, 14; Hope, 11; and Destiny, 9). I
worked for 15 years as a leadership coach and developer with faith communities and social networking initiatives, helping to create an online community
dedicated to the advancement of human development, global innovation, and social enterprise among non-profits and small businesses. I graduated with a
Master of Arts in Strategic Foresight from Regent University in May 2008, receiving the award for ”Outstanding Graduate” from the School of Global
Leadership and Entrepreneurship, as well as being inducted into Who’s Who Among Students in American Universities and Colleges. I currently live in
Savannah, Georgia, but you can find me on Twitter (@frankspencer), Facebook, Myspace, The Foresight Network, and LinkedIn!

Looking forward to meeting you, engaging in productive conversation, and working together to create the future!

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Creating The Future

  • 1. CREATING THE FUTURE The Importance of Individual and Co!ective Strategic Foresight Frank Spencer, MSF KedgeForward www.forwardonline.wordpress.com fwspencer4@gmail.com www.twitter.com/frankspencer
  • 2. The Future is Unfolding, and the Future Desires to Emerge! “You must give birth to your images; they are the future within you wanting to be born... The future enters into us, in order to transform itself in us, long before it happens.” Rainer Maria Rilke/ German Poet, Novelist
  • 3. Why Should We Care About the Future? It is our responsibility to shape the future, rather than leaving it to chance, fate, or predetermined outcomes. Our story about the future determines what actions we will take in the present (as well as in the future.) If we don’t intentionally shape the future, something (or somebody) else will!
  • 4. Integrated Timeline Our view of the Our view of “present” is shaped by the “past” our stories about the is shaped by our stories “past” and “future.” Future about the “present” and “future.” Our view of Present the “future” is shaped by Past our stories about the “past” and “present.”
  • 5. Humanity’s study of the future is well-documented... but a better futures-oriented discipline and focus is necessary. Brain Science, Human Behavior, How we Including History, learn, etc. Anthropology, Civilizations, Sociology... “Whatever one man is capable of conceiving, other men will be able to Yes, this is me ;) achieve.” Jules Verne
  • 6. Human Futures What We Do... See: The Past, the Present, and Trends Wonder: What Might Happen? Fear: Past Disasters, and Future Crises Desire: Past Successes and Future Goals Believe: Who/What Makes Change DO: Who/What Could Help Us Create Change? Copyright Wendy Schultz, Infinite Futures, 2002
  • 7. WHERE DOES THE FUTURE COME FROM? Politics Chaos Conflict Technology Ideation Networking Complexity
  • 8. The Future Comes From... You and Me (The Path of Creating the Future) Being Thinking Doing
  • 9. And... Futures Come From the Collective “One.” Ah, Collaboration! inclusion! Integral Futures! Ask me about the “Noosphere!” I never realized Professional Is this Futurists Holopticism? could be so... hot!
  • 10. What Is Strategic Foresight? (Manifesting the Future That Wants to Emerge - Creating the Future We Want to See.) We often think of the future as something that just happens to us. But, we also know that the future is created by the choices we make... By choosing, you create one future. By not choosing, you create another. (Futurist Glen Hiemstra) Strategic Foresight is about the interplay of the Probable Futures (what would happen if we made no choices), Possible Futures (how each choice shaped the future differently), and Preferable Futures (which is the best choice for us).
  • 11. The Three Futures Thank you Dr. Jay Gary, Professor and Program Director (Master of Strategic Foresight), Regent University
  • 12. Open Ideal = ? Futures
  • 14. The Futures Landscape (Auditing where we are in life.) Do you have a vision? Strategy to move forward? Can you see alternative futures, different The “Big Picture,” assumptions of how broader context we the world works? find ourselves in. The “dog-eat- dog,” goal is to Strategy enhances survive. effectiveness, clear about goals, creating responsive lives. Copyright, Sohail Inayatullah, Metafuture.org
  • 15. Creating the Future Through S-Curve Thinking Breakdown New Breakpoint Growth Curve Creative Transformation (We must think and act creatively well before the “breakdown” and death of the current growth curve if we want to avoid crisis and develop new pathways. Breakthrough Special thanks to Dr. Jay Gary, Professor and Program Director, Master of Strategic Foresight, Regent University
  • 16. Inner Essence Models (How we see the world, and how to see it in a bigger way.) Spiral Profiling Integral Modeling
  • 17. “The Ladder of Inference” (The Creation of Our Biases.)
  • 18. Causal Layers (Uncovering Biases/Assumptions and Expanding Our Universal “Stories”) Litany (The “facts” as we “see” them.) Social System and Structure (Who do we believe is forming the litany?) Worldview Myth and Metaphor (Our universal story.) Taking a break at the “Mannequins and the Future” Conference. ;)
  • 19. DEVELOPING PERSONAL STRATEGIC FORESIGHT The most fundamental work in the 21st Century for all persons, organizations, and whole societies is to become conscious architects and intentional co-creators of new ways of living that truly fit the unique conditions that are emerging in the 21st Century. Everyone has an innate foresight capacity to think about the future. We do it every day, but usua!y we don’t recognize it. To develop an individual foresight capacity, we first have to recognize that we have it, and that we need to use it.
  • 20. Hi, I’m Frank Spencer! Who Am I? I’m a evolutionary by nature, approaching everything I see and do in a creative, emergent, and visionary fashion. In today’s environment of rapid change, strategic evolution, and constant innovation, this type of mindset is necessary in order to create short and long-term strategic and human success. In short, no one can afford to not be “future-fit!” Armed with the tool of Strategic Thinking and Foresight, you will move from anticipating the next decision that simply keeps your “head above water,” to acting upon aspirations that put you on the cutting edge of your market, industry, and social endeavor. Remember: “The future belongs to those who create it!” What Does a Professional Futurist Do?   Strategic Foresight has been defined as the meta-discipline of the 21st Century, because the domains of society, culture, technology, economics, politics, ecology, environmental sustainability, and idea creation are constantly changing and effecting one another, needing expert examination and evaluation in order to propose and navigate the possible, probable, and preferable futures. Professional Futurists help individuals, organizations, and social institutions anticipate trends and envision positive outcomes in every domain, allowing them to operate in confident participation of the future instead of a passive or fatalistic acceptance of what may happen. Strategic Foresight combines the ideology and theoretical evaluation of Futures Studies with the application of Strategic Leadership. This is necessary in order to actively pursue preferable futures and aspirations, as well as implementing the change that occurs within organizations or society as intentional action is taken to pursue those futures. Now, the personal stuff! I have been married for 22 years to my wonderful and beautiful wife Sherry, with four fantastic children (Daniel, 18; Nathan, 14; Hope, 11; and Destiny, 9). I worked for 15 years as a leadership coach and developer with faith communities and social networking initiatives, helping to create an online community dedicated to the advancement of human development, global innovation, and social enterprise among non-profits and small businesses. I graduated with a Master of Arts in Strategic Foresight from Regent University in May 2008, receiving the award for ”Outstanding Graduate” from the School of Global Leadership and Entrepreneurship, as well as being inducted into Who’s Who Among Students in American Universities and Colleges. I currently live in Savannah, Georgia, but you can find me on Twitter (@frankspencer), Facebook, Myspace, The Foresight Network, and LinkedIn! Looking forward to meeting you, engaging in productive conversation, and working together to create the future!