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A World in Transition

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"The best way to predict the future, is to create it". We live in very interesting times, of radical changes whilst we try, collectively, to design a society that doesn't have the profound contradictions which are becoming increasingly obvious. What are the alternatives that are being proposed and what do each have that is viable and desirable, and for whom?

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A World in Transition

  1. 1. Global change accelerates as contradictions deepen. We urgently need new ways of thinking, acting and being . But as surely as NEED is the stimulus which propels us toward a Great Transition, the historic OPPORTUNITY to give form to a just world of peace, liberty & sustainability .. is the magnet that attracts . This is the promise and the attraction of the 21st century. thinking: linear > systemic acting: individualist > collective being: atomised > holístic INTEGRITY Preface – The Great Transition: the promise & attraction of the future
  2. 2. CONFERENCES END . o f t h e Intro to Integral Permaculture Design Techniques Transition Care of People Energy & EcoTechnology Care of the Earth Eco Economics P D C + + +
  3. 3. <ul><li>A World in Transition </li></ul>Online Conference n.8 of 8 Evolution Includes & Transcends Options & Decisions Eros – the Evolutionary Impulse CoCreAtion & Supra-Sex
  4. 4. <ul><li>A World in Transition </li></ul>Online Conference n.8 of 8 Evolution Includes & Transcends Options & Decisions Eros – the Evolutionary Impulse CoCreAtion & Supra-Sex
  5. 5. Permaculture Designers develop an ability to see patterns (have good maps or models) P
  6. 6. H olons > Natural Succession Development of Social Forms Economic complexity Includes & Transcends Knowledge & Technologies Evolutionary patterns: DIRECTION & jumps
  7. 7. Psychological Development & complexity Includes & transcends in Power (ability to achieve things) Maturity Evolutionary patterns: DIRECTION & jumps H olons > Natural Succession Child >>> Adolescent >>> Adult >>> Citizen
  8. 8. Development of World-Views >> Socio-psychological complexity Includes & transcends Ideas(models) Ways of relating H olons > Natural Succession Evolutionary patterns: DIRECTION & jumps
  9. 9. Another Evolutionary Pattern Learning to think in a systemic way = seeing & thinking in terms of patterns ?
  10. 10. Mapamundi to scale in function of estimated oil reserves Another interesting pattern …
  11. 11. Extinction of biodiversity & The gray wave PEAK PETROL CLIMATE CHANGE Monetary instability & The information revolution 2000 2020 “ In times of extraordinary change, the problem does not lie in NOT realising all that we can dream, But in NOT dreaming all that we could achieve” (Dee Hock) In the last 20 yrs, the 500 largest companies in the world increased their production & sales 700% whilst REDUCING their labour force Now are alive 3/4 of the people of 65+ years of the whole of humanity . A fundamental economic problem of the 21st century. “ May you live in interesting times” (Bernard Lietaer)
  12. 12. Old models are …. TYPE 1 ERROR Points of internvention in a system 1) the menal models or paradigms from which flow the aims, rules, feedback structures (Dana Meadows) SYMPTOMS – Effects or Consequences (“system failure”) 1) 2) 3)
  13. 13. <ul><li>A World in Transition </li></ul>Online Conference n.8 of 8 Evolution Includes & Transcends Options & Decisions Eros – the Evolutionary Impulse CoCreAtion & Supra-Sex
  14. 14. 4 Options for the Future David Holmgren
  15. 15. Conscious Creation? David Holmgren DESIGN is conscious creAction
  16. 16. Mad Max etc. ... Apocaliptic cinema David Holmgren Credible, Desirable or Viable? The Book of Eli
  17. 17. The Jetsons etc. ... “high tech” David Holmgren Credible, Desirable or Viable? Venus Project
  18. 18. The Green Planet... Permaculture cinema? David Holmgren Credible, Desirable or Viable? Avatar
  19. 19. PMI Analysis … (formulate good questions) David Holmgren DESIGN is conscious creAction Credible, Desirable or Viable?
  20. 20. <ul><li>A World in Transition </li></ul>Online Conference n.8 of 8 Evolution Includes & Transcends Options & Decisions Eros – the Evolutionary Impulse CoCreAtion & Supra-Sex
  21. 21. Integral PermaCulture <ul><li>Also works with </li></ul><ul><li>the “invisible” levels </li></ul><ul><li>eg. myths, tabús, culture ... </li></ul><ul><li>Which are very important & have to be included </li></ul><ul><li>IN A CONSCIOUS WAY </li></ul><ul><li>If we want to design in a holistic & effective way </li></ul>1) 2) 3) 4) Takes in to account all aspects (holistic) personal, physical, social, sistemic
  22. 22. Mythology Symbolic stories Maps of psychological development Comunications in ‘code’? The engine of Evolution? (& the 5th Force) Love - Fear Ken Wilber
  23. 23. <ul><li>Eros (God) </li></ul><ul><li>& Psyche (human) </li></ul>Eros – primordial fertility God, conceived by Abundance & Poverty on the birthday of Afrodite … or by Chaos & Gea (Cupid in Roman – desire ) – the creative impulse of perpetually flowering Nature, the primal Light that is responsible for the creation and order of all things in the Cosmos Desire.... or Pleasure-seeking?
  24. 24. Psyche abandoned
  25. 25. Desire .... or Addiction?
  26. 26. <ul><li>A World in Transition </li></ul>Online Conference n.8 of 8 Evolution Includes & Transcends Options & Decisions Eros – the Evolutionary Impulse CoCreAtion & Supra-Sex
  27. 27. H olons > Natural Succession Development of Social Forms Economic complexity Includes & Transcends Knowledge & Technologies Evolutionary patterns: DIRECTION & jumps
  28. 28. <ul><li>“ We need to create a myth, </li></ul><ul><li>a modern myth with which people can identify </li></ul><ul><li>& that really explains the future into which we are entering.” </li></ul><ul><li>Minister Eamon Ryan </li></ul>1) Visioning
  29. 29. On…... The Information Era Industrial Era Paradoxes The ‘leaves’ (hojas) between paradigms For the Great Change we need to learn (rapidly) new forms of thinking, doing & being “ Problems cannot be solved with the same kind of thinking that created them.” Einstein
  30. 30. The Work that Reconnects (Joanna Macey) Reconnected Empowered vital FEEL & discharge the fear, pain, rage, desperation ... Disconnection, disempowerment denial CHANGE!! We need to LIBERATE painful emotions in order to not be-live them & so re-create them
  31. 31. zzzzzz .. Comfort zone Challenge zone (& max. learning) Panic ! A model for action-learning
  32. 32. zzzzzz We can consciously amplify this learning zone with GOOD DESIGN MAPS In order to navigate an uncertain & changing future… & welcome surprises: the adventure “ the best way to predict the future is … design it”
  33. 33. The Transition Movement <ul><li>& THE ENERGY DESCENT </li></ul>www.TransitionNetwork.org & www.TransitionCulture.org
  34. 34. 10 principles of the Transition Movement <ul><li>1. Visualisation </li></ul><ul><li>2. Inclusion </li></ul><ul><li>3. Consciousness Raising </li></ul><ul><li>4. Resilience </li></ul><ul><li>5. Psychology </li></ul><ul><li>6. Apropiate & Credible Solutions </li></ul><ul><li>7. Transition Inside & Outside </li></ul><ul><li>8. Facilitate Sharing, get together </li></ul><ul><li>9. Subsidiarity: decisions at the apropiate levels </li></ul><ul><li>10. Openness to Feedback from Colleagues </li></ul>www.TransitionNetwork.org & www.TransitionCulture.org
  35. 35. A fleet of life-boats is not enough The Destructo-Culture the Titanic An excellent symbol of our actual society a. Enjoying their holiday, b. re-organising deck-chairs There are those who are .. c. Trying to persuade the captains ... on the Titanic
  36. 36. Historico-mythical precedent Re-designing a just, really evolutionary human society is too important a job to leave to the experts Remember that the ark was built by amateurs … & the Titanic by professionals PermaCultureScience.com
  37. 37. PermaCultureScience.com The PDC+++ art by Vladimir Kush Sail out 4th April

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