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TECHNOLOGICAL CHALLENGES IN
MANAGING AND OPERATING A SMART
CITY: PLANNING FOR REAL WORLD
DR. BIPLAV SRIVASTAVA
A C M D I S T I N G U I S H E D S C I E N T I S T , A C M D I S T I N G U I S H E D
S P E A K E R
S E N I O R R E S E A R C H E R A N D M A S T E R I N V E N T O R ,
I B M R E S E A R C H – I N D I A
1Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Why This Talk? Main Messages
—  Sustainability is a key imperative of modern societies
—  Today, decision making is ad-hoc. We can change the
status-quo with automated decision techniques.
—  AI techniques like planning and optimization have
matured and have high potential to impact the world
—  But they need data which is not always available
—  Open data is often the most promising source to start
making quick impact
—  Eventual aim should be to scale innovations with
other data sources and reach production scale.
2Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Acknowledgements
All my collaborators over last 5 years, and especially those in:
—  Government agencies around the world
¡  City: Boston, USA; New York/ New Jersey area, USA; Silicon Valley, USA; Dubuque, IA; Dublin,
Ireland, Stockholm, Sweden; Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam; New Delhi, India; Bengaluru, India; Nairobi,
Kenya; Tokyo, Japan
¡  Country: India, Singapore
—  Academia
¡  India: IIT Delhi, IISc CiSTUP, IIIT Delhi, IIT BHU
¡  USA: Boston University, Wright State University, University of Southern California,
Arizona State University
¡  Vietnam: Ho Chi Minh University
—  IBM: Akshat Kumar, Anand Ranganathan, Raj Gupta, Ullas Nambiar, Srikanth Tamilselvam, L V Subramaniam, Chai Wah Wu,
Anand Paul, Milind Naphade, Jurij Paraszczak, Wei Sun, Laura Wynter, Olivier Verscheure, Eric Bouillet, Francesco Calabrese,
Tsuyoshi Ide, Xuan Liu, Arun Hampapur, Nithya Rajamani, Vivek Tyagi, Rauam Krishnapuram, Shivkumar Kalyanraman, Manish
Gupta, Nitendra Rajput, Krishna Kummamuru, Raymond Rudy, Brent Miller, Jane Xu, Steven Wysmuller, Alberto Giacomel, Vinod A
Bijlani, Pankaj D Lunia, Tran Viet Huan, Wei Xiong Shang, Chen WC Wang, Bob Schloss, Rosario Usceda-Sosa, Anton Riabov,
Magda Mourad, Alexey Ershov, Eitan Israeli, Evgenia Gyana R Parija, Ian Simpson, Jen-Yao Chung, Kohichi Kajitani, Larry L Light,
Lisa Amini, Marco Laumanns, Mary E Helander, Milind Naphade, Sebastien Blandin, Takayuki Osogami, Tony R Heritage, Ulysses
Mello, Wei CR Ding, Wei CR Sun, Xiang XF Fei, Yu Yuan, Bipin Joshi, Vishalaksh Agarwal, Pallan Madhavan, Ravindranath Kokku,
Mukundan Madhavan, Rashmi Mittal, Sandeep Sandha, Sukanya Randhawa, Karthik Vishweshvariah, Guruduth Banavar
For discussions, ideas and contributions. Apologies to anyone unintentionally missed.
Material gratefully taken from multiple sources. Apologies if any citation is unintentionally missed.
3Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Outline
—  Motivating Examples
—  Basics
¡  Smart City
÷  Challenges
÷  Innovation needs – value desired
÷  Critical considerations different from other applications
¡  AI:
÷  Planning and Scheduling
÷  The different shades of analytics
÷  Open Data for Analytics: introduction and issues
—  Applications
¡  Transportation
¡  Environment Pollution - Water
¡  Health
—  Discussion
4Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Examples
5Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
We All See Traffic Daily. An Illustration from Across the Globe
Source: Google map for New York City and New Delhi; Search done on Aug 20, 2010
Characteristics New York City,
USA
New Delhi,
India
Beijing, China Moscow, Russia Ho Chi Minh City,
Vietnam
Sao Paolo, Brazil
1 How is traffic pre-
dominantly managed
Automated control,
manual control
Manual
control
Automated control,
manual control
Automated,
manual control
Manual control Automated, manual
control, Rotation
system (# plate based)
2 How is data collected Inductive loops,
cops, video, GPS
Traffic
surveys, cops
Video, GPS, cops GPS, some video,
cops
Traffic surveys, cops Video, GPS, cops
3 How can citizens manage
their resources
GPS devices, alerts
on radio, web, road
signs (variable)
Alerts on
radio
alerts on radio,
road signs
(variable), mobile
alerts
GPS, radio, road
signs, mobile
alerts
Alerts on radio GPS devices, alerts
on radio, web
4 Traffic heterogeneity by
vehicle types(Low: <10;
Medium 10-25; High: >25)
Low High Low Low Medium Low
5 Driving habit maturity
(Low: <10 yrs; Medium:
10-20; High: > 20)
High Low Low Low Low Medium
6 Traffic movement Lane driving Chaotic Lane driving Lane driving Chaotic Lane Driving 6
Example –Traffic Management
—  Decision Value – To individuals, businesses, government
institutions
¡  Individuals Examples – Can I reach office on time? Where should I park if I take
my car?
¡  Govt Examples – How much overt-time does the city need to give today? Where
should I deploy my traffic cops today?
¡  Business Example – When should I service city’s buses?
—  Data – Quantitative as well as qualitative
¡  Volume – traffic count
¡  Speed on road
¡  City events
—  Access –
¡  Today, little and on city websites
¡  Facebook sites
Key Idea: Can we make insights available when needed and help
people make better decisions?
7Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
8
[India] Ganga – Local Ground Situation @ Varanasi (Assi/ Tulsi Ghats) + Patna
Photos of/ at Assi/ Tulsi Ghat, Varanasi on 25 March 2015 during 1700-1800 Hrs
Assi Ghat post recent cleanup Bathing on Tulsi Ghat
A nullah draining into Ganga
A manual powered boat
Photos at Gandhi Ghat, Patna on 18 March 2015 during 1700-1800 Hrs
Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Example –River Water Pollution
—  Decision Value – To individuals, businesses, government
institutions
¡  Individuals Examples – Can I take a bath? Will it cause me dysentery? What
crops should I grow?
¡  Govt Examples – How should govt spend money on sewage treatment for
maximum disease reduction? How should it inspect industries?
—  Data – Quantitative as well as qualitative
¡  Dissolved oxygen,
¡  pH,
¡  … 30+ measurable quantities of interest
—  Access –
¡  Today, little, and that too in water technical jargon
¡  In pdf documents, website
Key Idea: Can we make insights available when needed and help
people make better decisions?
9Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Basics: Smart City
10Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
What is a Smart City?
Smart city can mean one or more of the following:
—  As a resource optimization objective, it is to know and manage a
city's resources using data.
—  As a caring objective, it is about improving standard of life of citizens
with health, safety, etc indices and programs.
—  As a vitality objective, it is about generating employment and doing
sustainable growth.
A city leadership can choose among these or define their own objective(s)
and manage with measurements to pro-actively achieve it
11
See other FAQs at: https://sites.google.com/site/biplavsrivastava/research-1/intelligent-systems/scfaqs
Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Economists Estimate, that the World’s Systems Carry Inefficiencies of up
to $15 Tn, of Which $4 Tn Could be Eliminated
System inefficiency as % of total
economic value
Improvementpotentialas
%ofsysteminefficiency
Education
1,360
Building & Transport
Infrastructure
12,540
Healthcare
4,270
Government & Safety
5,210
Electricity
2,940
Financial
4,580
Food & Water
4,890
Transportation (Goods
& Passenger)
6,950
Leisure /
Recreation /
Clothing
7,800
Communication
3,960
Global economic value of ...
System-of-
systems
$54 Trillion
100% of WW 2008 GDP
Inefficiencies $15 Trillion
28% of WW 2008 GDP
Improvement
potential
$4 Trillion
7% of WW 2008 GDP
Analysis of inefficiencies in the
planet‘s system-of-systems
How to read the chart:
For example, the Healthcare system‘s
value is $4,270B. It carries an estimated
inefficiency of 42%. From that level of 42%
inefficiency, economists estimate that
~34% can be eliminated (= 34% x 42%).
Note: Size of the bubble indicate absolute
value of the system in USD Billions
$54,000,000,000,000
$15,000,000,000,000
$4,000,000,000,000
42%
34%
This chart shows ‘systems‘ (not ‘industries‘)
Source: IBM economists survey 2009; n= 480
12Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
13
Cities are traditionally built and governed by independent departments
operating as domains of functions
C i t y
I n f r a s t r u c t u r e
D a t a
Water Energy TransportSecurity Planning Food . . . Science Health ICT
City
Responsibility
Department
Responsibility
Project
Responsibility
Task
Responsibility
Typically lacking holistic view
OperationalSystems
Before
Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
14
DoIT
An integrated Smarter City Framework – a comprehensive management system
across all core systems, will anchor the vision to executable steps
I n f r a s t r u c t u r e
D a t a
City
Responsibility
Department
Responsibility
Project
Responsibility
Task
Responsibility
OperationalSystems
C i t y M a n a g e m e n t
Analytics, Insight, Visualization, Control Center, etc.
Water Energy TransportSecurity Planning Food . . . Science Health . . .
DoW
DoE
DoT
DoS
DoP
DoF
Do...
DoS
DoH
...
B u s i n e s s P r o c e s s e s a n d A p p l i c a t I o n s
Your
City
After
Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
15
Smarter Cities solution paths leverage a similar approach
Uniquevaluerealized
Use of Smarter Cities capabilities
Manage

Data1
Analyze

Patterns2
Optimize
Outcomes
3
Integrate service
information to
improve department
operations
Develop integrated
view to improve
outcomes and
compliance
	
Leverage end-to-end
case management to
optimize service
delivery
Ç Improve service levels
È Reduce fraud and abuse
Ç Focus on the citizen
Ç Savings from overpayment
Ç Assistance with compliance
Ç Integrated case management
Ç Automation of citizen support
È Reduce operating costs
Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
India’s 100 Smart Cities
16Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Details: https://sites.google.com/site/biplavsrivastava/smart-cities-in-india
Comments on India’s 100 City Plans
—  A much-needed, much-delayed, start
¡  JNURM and earlier initiatives did not show impact
—  However selection criteria was non-technical
¡  Focus was on funding feasibility (center-state) and administrative
considerations
¡  No commitment on measurable improvement of any metric in any
city domain
—  Opportunity to impact India’s transformation
(theoretically)
¡  However, environment to try out India-specific, new innovations
needs to be created
¡  Focus has to be on improvement metrics; accountability for money
spent; quality outcomes
17Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Basics: AI
18Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Introduction to Planning & Scheduling
19
The Many Complexities of Planning
Environment
perception
Goals
(Static vs. Dynamic)
(Observable vs.
Partially Observable)
(perfect vs.
Imperfect)
(Deterministic vs.
Stochastic)
What action next?
(Instantaneous vs.
Durative)
(Full vs.
Partial satisfaction)
Slide adapted from Subbarao Kambhampati
20Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Static Deterministic Observable Instantaneous Propositional
“Classical Planning”
Dynamic
Replanning/
Situated
Plans
Partially
Observable
Contingent/Conformant
Plans,Interleaved
execution
Durative
Temporal
Reasoning
Continuous
NumericConstraint
reasoning(LP/ILP)
Stochastic
MDPPolicies
POMDPPolicies
Semi-MDP
Policies
Slide by Subbarao Kambhampati
21Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Underlying System Dynamics
Traditional Planning
OptimizationMetrics
Any (feasible) Plan
Shortest plan
Cheapest plan
Highest net-benefit
Multi-objective
PSPPlanning
Slide by Subbarao Kambhampati
22Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Plans and Planning: Types of Applications
¡  Choose among pre-determined plans (static plan evaluation
and static monitoring)
¡  Need plans to be synthesized (dynamic plan evaluation and
static monitoring)
¡  Need plans to be synthesized and monitored during execution;
re-planning (dynamic plan evaluation and dynamic monitoring)
23Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Shades of Analytics
24Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Advanced AI Techniques (Analytics) like Planning & Machine Learning
make use of data and models to provide insight to guide decisions
Models
Analytics
Data
Insight
Data sources:
Business automation
Instrumentation
Sensors
Web 2.0
Expert knowledge
“real world physics”
Model:
a mathematical or
algorithmic
representation of
reality intended to
explain or predict
some aspect of it
Decision executed
automatically or
by people
25Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Example: Talks
—  Are they useful? (Descriptive)
¡  Answering needs an assessment about the event
—  If it happens next time, how many will attend?
(Predictive)
¡  Above + Answering needs an assessment about unknowns
(e.g., future)
—  Should you attend? (Prescriptive)
¡  Above + Answering needs understanding the goals and current
status of the individual
26Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Analytics Landscape
Degree of Complexity
CompetitiveAdvantage
Standard Reporting
Ad hoc reporting
Query/drill down
Alerts
Simulation
Forecasting
Predictive modeling
Optimization
What exactly is the problem?
What will happen next if ?
What if these trends continue?
What could happen…. ?
What actions are needed?
How many, how often, where?
What happened?
Stochastic Optimization
Based on: Competing on Analytics, Davenport and Harris, 2007
Descriptive
Prescriptive
Predictive
How can we achieve the best outcome?
How can we achieve the best outcome
including the effects of variability?
27Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Real-World Applications of ICT Follow a Pattern
n Value (from Action, Decisions) – Providing
benefits that matter, to people most in need of, in a
timely and cost-efficient manner. Going beyond
technology to process and people aspects.
n Data + Insights – Available, Consumable with
Semantics, Visualization / Analysis
n Access - Apps (Applications), Usability - Human
Computer Interface, Application Programming
Interfaces (APIs)
28Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Basics: Open Data
29Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Open Data
—  Open data is the notion that data should not
be hidden, but made available to everyone.
The idea is not new.
—  Scientific publications follow this: “standing
on the shoulders of giants”
¡  Science stands for repeatability of results and
hence, sharing
¡  The scientific community asserts that open
data leads to increased pace of discovery.
(See: Ray P. Norris, How to Make the Dream Come True: The Astronomers' Data Manifesto, At
http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/dsj/6/0/6_S116/_article, Accessed 2 Apr, 2012)
—  Governments are the new source for open
data
¡  Data.gov efforts world-wide; 400+
governmental bodies, including 20+ national
agencies, including India, have opened data
¡  In India, additional movement is “Right to
Information Act”
30Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Not to Be Confused With Orthogonal Trend – Big Data
—  Volume
—  Variety
—  Velocity
—  Veracity
—  …
Cartoon critical of big data application,
by T. Gregorius.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b3/
Big_data_cartoon_t_gregorius.jpg/220px-
Big_data_cartoon_t_gregorius.jpg
31Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
400+Data Catalogs of Public Data
As on 21 July 2015
32Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Data.gov (USA)
As on 16 June 2015
33
Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems
City Level – Chicago, USA
34
As on 16 June 2015
Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Data.gov.in (India)
As on 16 June 2015
35
Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Peek into the Future - Amsterdam
http://citydashboard.waag.org/
36Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Illustration of Levels
Source: http://5stardata.info/
Does Opening Data Make It Reusable? No
1
2
3
4
5
37Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
India: Right to Information Act
—  Any citizen “may request information from a "public
authority" (a body of Government or "instrumentality of State")
which is required to reply expeditiously or within thirty days.”
¡  Passed by Parliament on 15 June 2005 and came fully into force on 13
October 2005. Citation Act No. 22 of 2005
—  Lauded and reviled
¡  Brought transparency
¡  Also,
÷  Increased bureaucracy
÷  Shortcomings in preventing corruption
—  More information
¡  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right_to_Information_Act
¡  http://rti.gov.in
38Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Data Quality in Public Data in India
—  Right to Information
¡  Not even 1*
¡  Information available to requester, but no one else
—  Data.gov.in
¡  2-3*
¡  Available in CSV, etc but not uniquely referenceable
—  Open data movements are moving to linked data
form for semantics
39Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Semantics for Published Data
40
Classify data in public domain. Use schema.org as illustration.
¡  Select an area (e.g., food, news events, crime, customs, diseases, …)
¡  Build + disseminate the catalog tags via a website
¡  Encourage publishers to use meta-data tags and enable search
Catalog/
ID
General
Logical
constraints
Terms/
glossary
Thesauri
“narrower
term”
relation
Formal
is-a
Frames
(properties)
Informal
is-a
Formal
instance
Value Restrs. Disjointness,
Inverse, part-of…
Credits:
Ontologies Come of Age McGuinness, 2001
From AAAI Panel 99 – McGuinness, Welty, Uschold, Gruninger, Lehmann
Plus basis of Ontologies Come of Age – McGuinness, 2003
Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Still Confused on Semantics? Start with Linked Data Glossary
41Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Open Data References
—  Concept
¡  Open Data, At http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_data,
¡  Open 311, At http://open311.org/
¡  Catalog of Open Data, At http://datacatalogs.org/dataset
¡  Data City Exchange: http://www.imperial.ac.uk/digital-city-exchange
—  India specific
¡  Open data report in India, At http://cis-india.org/openness/publications/ogd-report
—  Standards
¡  W3C, At http://www.w3.org/2011/gld/
¡  5 Star Linked Data ratings, At http://www.w3.org/DesignIssues/LinkedData.html
—  Applications and ecoystems
¡  Introduction to Corruption, Youth for Governance, Distance Learning Program, Module 3, World Bank
Publication. Accessed on June 15th 2011, At
http://info.worldbank.org/etools/docs/library/35970/mod03.pdf
¡  Dublinked, At http://dulbinked.ie
42Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
ML Reference
—  WEKA
¡  Website: http://www.cs.waikato.ac.nz/~ml/weka/index.html
¡  WEKATutorial:
÷  Machine Learning withWEKA: A presentation demonstrating all graphical user interfaces (GUI) in
Weka.
÷  A presentation which explains how to useWeka for exploratory data mining.
¡  WEKA Data Mining Book:
÷  Ian H.Witten and Eibe Frank, Data Mining: Practical Machine LearningTools and
Techniques (Second Edition)
÷  http://www.cs.waikato.ac.nz/ml/weka/book.html
¡  WEKAWiki: http://weka.sourceforge.net/wiki/index.php/Main_Page
—  Jiawei Han and Micheline Kamber, Data Mining: Concepts andTechniques, 2nd ed.
—  http://www.kdnuggets.com/2015/03/machine-learning-table-elements.html
43Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Smarter Transportation
Details: Boston (2012), New York, (2014), India – Delhi, Bangalore (2011-2015)
44Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Press on the IBM SCC Boston team work:
1. Boston Globe, June 29, 2012
http://www.boston.com/business/technology/articles/2012/06/29/
ibm_gives_advice_on_how_to_fix_boston_traffic__first_get_an_app/
(Alternative: http://bostonglobe.com/business/2012/06/28/ibm-gives-
advice-how-fix-boston-traffic-first-get-app/goxK84cWB9utHQogpsbd1N/
story.html)
2. Popular Science, 2 July 2012
http://www.popsci.com/technology/article/2012-07/bostons-ibm-built-
traffic-app-merges-multiple-data-streams-predict-ease-congestion
3. Others: National Public Radio (USA), and a range of local TV stations on
the work.
SCC Boston team with Mayor on June 27, 2012
Team at work – Source: Boston Globe article
45Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Boston	
  Transporta+on	
  :	
  Before	
  State	
  
GPS	
  
Manual	
  
Video	
  
Road	
  
Sensors	
  
Lots	
  of	
  Instrumenta+on…	
   Not	
  enough	
  interconnec+on…	
   Unexploited	
  Intelligence…	
  
Much	
  Data	
  
Isolated	
  in	
  
Silos	
  
Mul+ple	
  
Disconnected	
  
Camera	
  
Networks	
  
Inaccessible	
  
Data	
  
Manual	
  
Opera+ons	
  
Insufficient	
  
Data	
  
"  	
  Boston	
  is	
  forward-­‐	
  
	
  	
  	
  thinking	
  &	
  progressive	
  
"  	
  Boston	
  recognizes	
  
	
  	
  	
  climate	
  &	
  traffic	
  goals	
  
	
  	
  	
  are	
  interconnected	
  	
  
	
  
Boston	
  is	
  na)onally	
  
recognized	
  for	
  
innova)on	
  
46Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Ecosystem	
  Roadmap	
  
Ci$zens	
  
Sharing	
   Analyzing	
   Forward	
  Thinking	
   Consumer	
  
Value	
  
Unlocking	
  
Smarter
Transportation
Ecosystem
Industry	
  
Academics	
  
Government	
  
Induc$ve	
  
Loop	
  
Data	
  
Applications
Platform
Data
Ideas
Pneuma$c	
  
Tube	
  
Data	
  
Manual	
  	
  
Count	
  	
  
Data	
  
Automated	
  
Data	
  
Transfer	
  
Online	
  
Access	
  to	
  
Aggregated	
  
Data	
  
Privacy	
  
Considera$ons	
  
Ci$zen	
  
Online	
  
Access	
  
Smarter	
  
Traffic	
  
Infrastructure	
  
Environmental	
  
Es$mates	
  
Mul$ple	
  
Visualiza$ons	
  
City	
  
Benchmarks	
  
Exploit	
  
Video	
  
Camera	
  
Advanced	
  
Visualiza$ons	
  
Exploit	
  
More	
  Data	
  
Sources	
  
Advanced	
  
Analy$cs	
  
Deliverables	
  
"  	
  Running	
  Prototype	
  
"  	
  Recommenda+ons	
  
47Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Common Model
Standards Aligned,
Uniform format,
Uniform Error Semantics
Mapping to Source
Data
Transformation
Data Source
Metadata
A Snapshot of Common Model and
Mapping to Data Sources
Source Models
48Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Result	
  1:	
  Publicly	
  Available	
  Data	
  for	
  Mul+ple	
  Consumers	
  
"  	
  	
  Many	
  data	
  sources,	
  various	
  loca+ons	
  &	
  +mes	
  
"  	
  	
  Stakeholders	
  can	
  access	
  data	
  easily	
  &	
  intui+vely	
  	
  
"  	
  	
  Locate	
  available	
  data	
  sources	
  
"  	
  	
  Zoom	
  in	
  to	
  areas	
  of	
  interest	
  
"  	
  	
  Obtain	
  data	
  	
  
"  	
  	
  Drill	
  down	
  to	
  traffic	
  paUerns	
  
"  	
  	
  Assess	
  environmental	
  factors	
  	
  
"  	
  	
  See	
  what	
  happens	
  in	
  real	
  +me	
  
Researchers	
  
Prac++oners	
  
Planners	
  
Engineers	
  
Residents	
  
49Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
• 	
  Assign	
  different	
  traffic	
  
	
  	
  	
  light	
  paUerns	
  for	
  
	
  	
  	
  different	
  streets,	
  +mes	
  
• 	
  Schedule	
  public	
  works	
  
	
  	
  	
  projects	
  to	
  minimize	
  
	
  	
  	
  traffic	
  impact	
  
• 	
  Detect	
  changes	
  in	
  
	
  	
  	
  traffic	
  paUerns	
  to	
  drive	
  
	
  	
  	
  policy	
  changes	
  
	
  	
  	
  (parking,	
  lanes,	
  street)	
  
• 	
  Assess	
  traffic	
  impact	
  of	
  
	
  	
  	
  new	
  landmarks	
  
• 	
  Inform	
  businesses,	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  developers	
  
Result	
  2:	
  Street	
  Classifica+on	
  Based	
  on	
  Traffic	
  Volume	
  
Commuting
Going Home
Anomaly
Early-Bird
Night Owl Busy
Result	
  3:	
  Birds-­‐Eye	
  View	
  of	
  City	
  Traffic	
  from	
  Aggregated	
  Data	
  
51Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
New York: All Taxi Rides
taxi.imagework.com
NYC taxi trips
originate at various
NY airport terminals
(JFK and LGA) over
the holiday season
(Nov 15th to Dec
31st).
Data Source:
NYC Taxi &
Limousine
Commission Taxi
Trip & Fare Data
2013
Stats
173.2M Rows |
28.85GB
Tools
Hadoop | Mapbox |
Leaflet | jQuery | d3 |
polyline | MapQuest
Open Directions API
http://taxi.imagework.com/
52Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
New York: Single Taxi Ride
http://nyctaxi.herokuapp.com/
53Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Journey Planning
with Open Data
54Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Promoting Public Transportation: Before and After We Seek
Many cities around the world, and especially in India and emerging ones, are getting
their transportation infrastructure in shape.
–  They have multiple, fragmented, transportation agencies in a region (e.g., city)
–  They do not have instrumentation on their vehicles, like GPS, to know about their
operations in real-time
–  Schedule of public transportation is widely available in semi-structured form. They
are also beginning to invest in new, novel, sensing technologies
–  Cities give SMS-based alerts about events on the road.
Our approach seeks to accelerate time-to-value for such cities.
Kind of Information Today Available to
Bus User
With IRL-Transit+ Benefit
Bus Schedule (static) Available online and
pamphlets
Available from IT-enabled
devices( low-cost phones,
smart phones, web)
Increase accessibility
Bus Schedule Changes
(dynamic)
No information Infer from city updates Increase information
Analytics (Bus Selection
Decision Support)
No information Will be available (Transit) Increase information
Standardization of
information
No support Will be supported
(SCRIBE, Transit)
Increase information’s
interoperability
55Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
A Quick Review of Related Work
¡  Bay Area, USA has : http://511.org
÷  Multi-agency public authorities consortium, has advanced instrumentation
÷  It is the model to replicate
§  Google has state-of-the-art from any non-public organization. It has separate
services
¡  Maps for driving guidance
¡  Transit for public transport, more than 1 mode
¡  Gaps:
÷  Considers only time, not other factors like frequency, fare and waiting time
÷  Does not integrate across their services for different mode categories
÷  Does not publish their data
¡  Acknowledgement: We use their GTFS format to consolidate schedule data
§  Many experimental systems with capabilities less than Google,
¡  DMumbai: Go4Mumbai (portal)- A http://www.go4mumbai.com/
¡  Delhi: Disha on DIMTS (local agency) website by IIT-D, Mumbai Navigator by IIT-B; links no longer work
§  Shortest route finding algorithms from mapping companies
56Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Journey Planning Problem
—  Invariant Inputs:
¡  The person
÷  has a vehicle (e.g., car), and
÷  can also walk short distances
¡  The city has taxis, buses, metros, autos, rickshaws
÷  Buses and metros have published routes, frequency and stops
÷  Autos and rickshaws can be available at stands, or opportunistically, on the road
÷  Taxis can be ordered over the phone
—  Input:
¡  A person wants to travel from place A to B
—  Output
¡  Suggest which mode or combination of modes to select
—  Observation: Using preferences over factors that matter to users to keep
commuting convenient, while making best use of available public and para-transit
commute methods
57Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Background: Public Transportation
Schedule Information
—  Is widely available for public
transportation agencies around
the world
—  Gives the basic, static,
information about transportation
service
—  Usually in semi-structured format
with varying semantics
—  Can have errors, missing data
Delhi Bus and Metro Data
58Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Multi-Mode Commuting Recommender in Delhi And Bangalore
Highlights
• Published data of multiple
authorities used; repeatable
process
• Multiple modes searched
• Preference over modes, time,
hops and number of choices
supported; more extensions, like
fare possible
• Integration of results with map
as future work; already done as
part of other projects, viz.
SCRIBE-STAT
59Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Solution Steps
—  Use the widely available schedule information from individual operators
(agencies)
—  Clean and consolidate it across agencies and modes to get a multi-modal
view for the region
¡  Optionally: Convert it into a standard form
¡  Optionally: Enhance (fuse) it with any real-time updates about services
for the region
—  Perform what-if analysis on consolidated data
¡  Path finding using Djikstra’s algorithm
¡  Analyses can be pre-determined, analyses can also be user-created
and defined
—  Make analysis results available as a service
¡  On any device
¡  To any subscriber
60Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Handling Dynamic Updates
—  Invariant Inputs:
¡  The person
÷  has a vehicle (e.g., car), and
÷  can also walk short distances
¡  The city has taxis, buses, metros, autos, rickshaws
÷  Buses and metros have published routes, frequency and stops
÷  Autos and rickshaws can be available at stands, or opportunistically, on the road
÷  Taxis can be ordered over the phone
—  Input:
¡  A person wants to travel from place A to B
¡  [Optional] City provides updates on ongoing events, some may affect
traffic
—  Output
¡  Suggest which mode or combination of modes to select
—  Observation: Using preferences over factors that matter to users to keep
commuting convenient, while making best use of available public and para-transit
commute methods
City Notifications as a Data Source for Traffic Management, Pramod Anantharam, Biplav Srivastava, in 20th
ITS World Congress 2013, Tokyo
61Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Number of SMS messages for bus stops in Delhi
for 2 years (Aug 2010 – Aug 2012)*
• 344 stops
with updates
• 3931 total stops
* using Exact Matching
62Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
IRL – Transit in Aug 2012
Key Points
• SMS message from city
• Event and location identified
• Impact assessed
• Impact used in search
63Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Increase Accessibility and Availability of Bus Information to Passengers
Kind of
Information
Today
Available to
Bus Users
With Solution
over Phone
Mysore ITS (for
reference)*
Benefit
Bus Schedule (static) Available online
and pamphlets
Available from low-
cost phones (Spoken
Web – Static)
Available online and
pamphlets
Increase
accessibility
Bus Schedule
Changes (dynamic)
No information
today
Will be available
(Spoken Web -
Human)
No information but in
plan
Increase
information
Bus Location No information
today
Will be available
(GPS)
Will be available
(GPS)
Increase
information
Bus Condition No information
today
Will be available
(Spoken Web -
Human)
No information today Increase
information
Analytics (Bus
Selection Decision
Support)
No information
today
Will be available
(Transit)
No information but in
plan
Increase
information
Last –mile Connectivity
to/ from nearest stop
No information
today
Will be available
(Spoken Web -
Human)
No information today Increase
information
Standardization of
information
No support Will be supported
(SCRIBE, Transit)
Some support due to
GPS
Increase
information’s
interoperability
* Opinion based on only public information; Accurate as of Jan 2014.
Spoken Web is an Interactive IVR technology. SCRIBE is a ontology models for city events.
64Tutorial on 27 July 2015 @ IJCAI 2015
A Flexible Journey Plan
Pushing the Boundaries: Information to Commuters to Reach Destination in All Eventuality
Pilots	
  running	
  in	
  Dublin,	
  Ireland	
  
65
Docit: An Integrated System for Risk-Averse Multi-Modal Journey
Advising, Adi Botea, Michele Berlingerio, Stefano Braghin Eric
Bouillet, Francesco Calabrese, Bei Chen Yiannis Gkoufas, Rahul Nair,
Tim Nonner, Marco Laumanns, IBM Technical Report, 2014
Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
•  Traffic simulation is a promising tool to do what-if analysis impacting traffic
demand, supply or every-day business decisions
•  What is the congestion if everyone takes out their vehicles?
•  What is the impact if buses daily failure rate doubles?
•  What happens if visitors constituting 20% of city traffic come for an event?
•  However, simulators need to be setup with realistic road network, traffic patterns
and decision choices
•  Open data is an important source for
•  Road network (e.g., Open Street Maps)
•  Creating pattern (e.g., vehicle
Origin-Destination pairs, accidents)
•  Framing and interpreting decision choices
Using Open Data with Traffic Simulation
66Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
New Delhi Area Selection
Area selected from openstreetmap.org with (top)
(bottom)(left)(right) co-ordinates as (28.6022)
(28.5707)(77.1990)(77.2522) for our experiment.
67Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Office Timing Change Decision Choices
Last second of morning commute by different strategies
68Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Traffic References
—  Tutorial on AI-Driven Analytics In Traffic Management, in conjunction with International Joint
Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-13), Biplav Srivastava, Akshat Kumar, at Beijing, China,
Aug 3-5, 2013 (tutorial-slides).
—  Tutorial on Traffic Management and AI, in conjunction with 26th Conference of Association for
Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-12), Biplav Srivastava, Anand Ranganathan, at Toronto,
Canada, July 22-26, 2012 (tutorial-slides).
—  Making Public Transportation Schedule Information Consumable for Improved Decision Making, Raj
Gupta, Biplav Srivastava, Srikanth Tamilselvam, In 15th International IEEE Annual Conference on
Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC 2012), Anchorage, USA, Sep 16-19, 2012.
—  Mythologies, Metros & Future Urban Transport , by Prof. Dinesh Mohan, TRIPP, 2008
—  A new look at the traffic management problem and where to start, by Biplav Srivastava, In 18th ITS
Congress, Orlando, USA, Oct 16-20, 2011.
—  Arnott, Richard and K.A. Small, 1994, “The Economics of Traffic Congestion,” American Scientist, Vol.
82, No. 5, pp. 446-455.
—  Chengri Ding and Shunfeng Song , Paradoxes of Traffic Flow and Congestion Pricing,
69Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Environment Pollution
Details: Singapore (2012-2013), Varanasi (2015-)
70Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Water Cycle (aka Hydrological Cycle)
Source: Economist, May 20, 2010
71Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Fresh Water: Supply and Demand
Supply Demand
72Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Source: Economist, May 20, 2010
Water Challenges
—  Increasing demand due to
¡  Population
¡  Changing water-intensive lifestyle
¡  Industrial growth
—  Shrinking supplies
¡  Erratic rains due to climate change
¡  Sewage / effluent increase
—  Poor management
¡  Below cost, unsustainable, pricing
¡  Delayed or neglected maintenance
Water is the next flash point for wars
73Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
[India] Ganga – Local Ground Situation @ Varanasi (Assi/ Tulsi Ghats) + Patna
Photos of/ at Assi/ Tulsi Ghat, Varanasi on 25 March 2015 during 1700-1800 Hrs
Assi Ghat post recent cleanup Bathing on Tulsi Ghat
A nullah draining into Ganga
A manual powered boat
Photos at Gandhi Ghat, Patna on 18 March 2015 during 1700-1800 Hrs
74Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Value of Water Pollution Data
—  Government for business decisions
¡  Source attribution
¡  Sewage treatment
¡  Public Health
—  Individuals for personal decisions
¡  Bathing (Religious, Lifestyle)
¡  Recreation
¡  Community practices
75Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Example –River Water Pollution
—  Decision Value – To individuals, businesses, government
institutions
¡  Individuals Examples – Can I take a bath? Will it cause me dysentery? What
crops should I grow?
¡  Govt Examples – How should govt spend money on sewage treatment for
maximum disease reduction? How should it inspect industries?
—  Data – Quantitative as well as qualitative
¡  Dissolved oxygen,
¡  pH,
¡  … 30+ measurable quantities of interest
—  Access –
¡  Today, little, and that too in water technical jargon
¡  In pdf documents, website
Key Idea: Can we make insights available when needed and help
people make better decisions?
76Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Use-case: Individual
77
—  Name: which bathing site should
one use?
¡  Based on distance (cost of travel), risk of
disease, exposure to pollutants,
suitability to occasion
—  Total sites in Varanasi (ghats): 87
¡  Popular: 5
¡  #1 religious rites (puja):
Dashashwamedh Ghat
¡  Cremation (non-bathing) ghats: 2;
Manikarnika and Harishchandra Ghat
¡  Bathing ghats: All – cremation = 85
41.  Lali Ghat
42.  Lalita Ghat
43.  Mahanirvani Ghat
44.  Mana Mandira Ghat
45.  Manasarovara Ghat
46.  Mangala Gauri Ghat
47.  Manikarnika Ghat
48.  Mehta Ghat
49.  Meer Ghat
50.  Munshi Ghat
51.  Nandesavara Ghat
52.  Narada Ghat
53.  Naya Ghat
54.  Nepali Ghat
55.  Niranjani Ghat
56.  Nishad Ghat
57.  Old Hanumanana Ghat
58.  Pancaganga Ghat
59.  Panchkota
60.  Pandey Ghat
61.  Phuta Ghat
62.  Prabhu Ghat
63.  Prahalada Ghat
64.  Prayaga Ghat
65.  Raj Ghat built by Peshwa Amrutrao
66.  Raja Ghat / Lord Duffrin bridge /
Malaviya Bridge
67.  Raja Gwalior Ghat
68.  Rajendra Prasad Ghat
69.  Ram Ghat
70.  Rana Mahala Ghat
71.  Rewan Ghat
72.  Sakka Ghat
73.  Sankatha Ghat
74.  Sarvesvara Ghat
75.  Scindia Ghat
76.  Shivala Ghat
77.  Shitala Ghat
78.  Sitala Ghat
79.  Somesvara Ghat
80.  Telianala Ghat
81.  Trilochana Ghat
82.  Tripura Bhairavi Ghat
83.  Tulsi Ghat
84.  Vaccharaja Ghat
85.  Venimadhava Ghat
86.  Vijayanagaram Ghat
87.  Samne Ghat
1.  Mata Anandamai Ghat
2.  Assi Ghat
3.  Ahilya Ghat
4.  Adi Keshava Ghat
5.  Ahilyabai Ghat
6.  Badri Nayarana Ghat
7.  Bajirao Ghat
8.  Bauli /Umaraogiri / Amroha Ghat
9.  Bhadaini Ghat
10.  Bhonsale Ghat
11.  Brahma Ghat
12.  Bundi Parakota Ghat
13.  Chaowki Ghat
14.  Chausatthi Ghat
15.  Cheta Singh Ghat
16.  Dandi Ghat
17.  Darabhanga Ghat
18.  Dashashwamedh Ghat
19.  Digpatia Ghat
20.  Durga Ghat
21.  Ganga Mahal Ghat (I)
22.  Ganga Mahal Ghat (II)
23.  Gaay Ghat
24.  Gauri Shankar Ghat
25.  Genesha Ghat
26.  Gola Ghat
27.  Gularia Ghat
28.  Hanuman Ghat
29.  Hanumanagardhi Ghat
30.  Harish Chandra Ghat
31.  Jain Ghat
32.  Jalasayi Ghat
33.  Janaki Ghat
34.  Jatara Ghat
35.  Karnataka State Ghat
36.  Kedar Ghat
37.  Khirkia Ghat
38.  Shri Guru Ravidass Ghat[5]
39.  Khori Ghat
40.  Lala Ghat
Source:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
Ghats_in_Varanasi
Note: ghats are specialities of most cities along Ganga – Haridwar, Allahabad, Patna
77Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Pollu+on	
  Example:	
  Leather	
  Tanneries	
  in	
  Kanpur,	
  India	
  
•  > 700 tanneries in Kanpur
–  Employing > 100,000 people
–  Bringing > USD 1B revenue
•  Discharge water after leather processing to river or Sewage
treatment plants (STPs)
–  Requirement
•  Must have their own treatment facility
•  Or, have at least chrome recovery unit
–  But don’t due to costs which is a burden to main operations
•  Installation
•  Operations : electricity, manpower, technology upgrade, …
–  State pollution board is supposed to do inspections but doesn’t do effectively
•  Government’s STPs do not process chrome, the main pollutant
•  98 tanneries banned in Feb 2015 by National Green Tribunal; more
threatened
78Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Analytics: Potential Use Cases
S.
No.
Stakehol
der
Use case Data Analytical
techniques
1 IT Identifying and removing outliers,
data validation
Sensor data Data mining (outlier
detection)
2 Individual Which bathing site to use? Sensor data, ghat
data
Rule-based decision
support
3 Individual/
Economy
What crops can I grow that will
flourish in available water?
Sensor data, crop
data
Distributed data
integration, co-relation
4 Institution Determine trends/anomalies in
pollution levels
Sensor data,
weather data
Time series analysis,
anomaly detection
5 Institution Attribute source of pollution at a
location
Sensor data,
demographics,
industry data
Physical modeling,
inversion, inspection
planning
6 Institution Sewage treatment strategy and
operational planning
Sensor data,
demographics
data, STP data
Multi-objective
optimization
7 Institution Promoting wildlife/ dolphins with
patrolling and monitoring
Sensor data,
wildlife data
Rule-based decision
support
79Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
India/Ganga – Very Little Data
Data.gov.in
https://data.gov.in/catalog/water-quality-data-river-ganga
Sr.	
  No.	
   Sta$on-­‐Loca$on	
   Distance	
  in	
  Kms.	
  
Dissolved	
  Oxygen	
  
during	
  1986	
  (mg/
l)	
  
Biological	
  Oxygen	
  
Demand	
  in	
  1986	
  
(mg/l)	
  
Dissolved	
  Oxygen	
  
during	
  2011	
  (mg/
l)	
  
Biological	
  Oxygen	
  
demand	
  during	
  
2011	
  (mg/l)	
  
1	
   Rishikesh	
   0	
   8.1	
   1.7	
   7.6	
   1.4	
  
2	
   Hardwar	
  D/s	
   30	
   8.1	
   1.8	
   7.4	
   1.6	
  
3	
   Garhmukteshwar	
   175	
   7.8	
   2.2	
   7.5	
   1.7	
  
4	
   Kannauj	
  U/S	
   430	
   7.2	
   5.5	
   7.9	
   1.7	
  
6	
   Kanpur	
  U/S	
   530	
   7.2	
   7.2	
   7.7	
   3.3	
  
7	
   Kanpur	
  D/S	
   548	
   6.7	
   8.6	
   7.6	
   3.8	
  
8	
   Allahabad	
  U/S	
   733	
   6.4	
   11.4	
   7.8	
   5.3	
  
9	
   Allahabad	
  D/S	
   743	
   6.6	
   15.5	
   7.8	
   5.1	
  
10	
   Varanasi	
  U/S	
   908	
   5.6	
   10.1	
   8	
   2.9	
  
11	
   Varanasi	
  D/S	
   916	
   5.9	
   10.6	
   8	
   4.3	
  
12	
   Patna	
  U/S	
   1188	
   8.4	
   2	
   7	
   1.8	
  
13	
   Patna	
  D/S	
   1198	
   8.1	
   2.2	
   7.1	
   2.5	
  
80Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Creek Watch – Crowd Sourced Water Information Collection
As on 14 Oct 2014
81Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Location: http://creekwatch.researchlabs.ibm.com/call_table.php
~3120 data points in 4 years from around the world
As on 14 Oct 2014
82Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Health
Details: Africa (2014-), India (2013-)
83Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Two Tales from (Public) Health
Cutting-edge Technical
Progress
•  Enormous improvement in our
understanding of diseases. E.g.,
Computational epidemiology
•  Enormous advances in treating
diseases are being made
÷  We are living longer - A baby girl born
in 2012 can expect to live an average of
72.7 years, and a baby boy to 68.1
years. This is 6 years longer than the
average global life expectancy for a
child born in 1990. (Source: WHO 2014
Health Statistics)
•  Data on disease outbreaks is
more available than ever before
thanks to open data movement
(E.g., data.gov, data.gov.in)
Stone-age Ground Reality
—  Half of the top 20 causes of deaths
in the world are infectious diseases,
and maternal, neonatal and
nutritional causes, while the other
half are due to noncommunicable
diseases (NCDs) or injuries. (Source:
WHO 2014 Health Statistics)
—  Worse – Indifference,
mismanagement in response to
communicable diseases - late
response to known diseases, in
known period of the year
¡  E.g.: Japanese Encephalitis (JE) has been
prevalent for ~3 decades in some parts of
India killing 600+ every year
¡  District level health experience is not
reused over time and in similar regions
84Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
IT Played a Major Role in
Tackling Ebola
Crowd sourced
Online
National Government
International Bodies
85Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Ideas for Public Health in India
—  Decision support to administration for tackling
seasonal diseases
—  Crowdsourced disease treatment recipes
86Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Case Study: Dengue (Mosquito-borne)
—  Overall cost of a Dengue case is US$ 828 (Sabchareon et al 2012).
—  From 9 countries in 1960s, it has spread to more than 110 countries now
—  Prevention methods
COMMUNITY
1.  Mosquito Coils & Candles: The use of mosquito coils, candles & vapor mats indoors and outdoors of homes to combat
mosquitoes.
2.  Window screens & Bed Nets: The use of window screens in homes and bed nets in bedrooms to keep mosquitos out.
3.  Insecticide Application: Application of insecticide to kill mosquitos that invade homes and surrounding areas.
4.  Larviciding at Home: Application of larvicide in homes to kill larvae that live in stagnant water breeding sites like small
ponds, gutters, cisterns, barrels, jars, and urns.
5.  Household/Community Cleanup: Organize cleanups within communities in the surrounding housing areas and
individual homes to recycle potential breeding sites like discarded plastic bottles, cans, old tyres, and any trash that can hold
water for mosquitoes to breed in.
GOVERNMENT
6.  Surveillance For Mosquitoes: Conduct periodical surveillance in hotspot areas and other communities to look for signs of
mosquitoes.
7.  Medical Reporting: To collate and compile reports of dengue cases and statistics to prioritize and focus dengue and vector
mosquito control efforts and actions for best results.
8.  Effective Publicity & Campaigns: To foster and champion effective campaigns amongst communities and create adequate
public awareness of combating dengue.
9.  Enforcement: Support and enforce the public and communities to practice effective dengue vector elimination under
existing laws and implement new laws as appropriate for public health.
10.  Insecticide Fogging: Conduct fogging in areas that have mosquitoes and dengue outbreak hotspots to kill adult mosquitoes.
11.  Public Education:  Foster, promote, and participate in public education in schools and  all possible public meeting places to
inform communities how to eliminate dengue vector mosquitoes, recognize early symptoms of the disease, and proper medical
care and reporting.
CORPORATE
12.  Education: To undertake community service initiatives and campaigns through marketing expertise and the media of TV,
radio, and newspapers.
13.  PR/CSR: To use public relations and customer service relations to reach communities on the fight against dengue.
14.  Adult Mosquito Traps: To provide adult mosquito traps and other measures within the work areas to protect employees
and workers from mosquitoes bites that transmit dengue.
15.  Mosquito Repellants: Provide mosquito repellants to employees and workers within the work areas for further protection.
16.  Mosquito Control Materials, Methods, and Agents:  To provide the tools to the public and government that are
necessary for dengue mosquito vector control like pesticides, biocontrol agents,  mosquito traps, repellants, and other means 
to prevent dengue by eliminating the mosquito vectors.
WHO, 2013, Dengue Control. At http://www.who.int/Denguecontrol/research/en/, Accessed 21 June 2013.
Entogenex, 2013, Integrated Mosquito Management. At
http://www.entogenex.com/what-is-integrated-mosquito- management.html, Accessed 21 June 2013. 87Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
So, Do We Control Dengue
Effectively? NO
Source: http://nvbdcp.gov.in/den-cd.html
Data for India
•  Increasing
number of
states every
year
•  No consistent
reduction of
cases
1"
10"
100"
1000"
10000"
100000"
C" C" C" C" C" C"
2008" 2009" 2010" 2011" 2012" 2013*"
Andhra"Pradesh"
Arunachal"Pradesh"
Assam"
Bihar"
Cha9sgarh"
Goa"
Gujarat"
Haryana"
Himachal"Pd."
J"&"K"
Jharkhand"
Karnataka"
Kerala"
Madhya"Pd."
Meghalaya"
Maharashtra"
Manipur"
Mizoram"
Nagaland"
Orissa"
Punjab"
Rajasthan"
Sikkim"
Tamil"Nadu"
Tripura"
UPar"Pradesh"
UPrakhand"
West"Bengal"
A&"N"Island"
Chandigarh"
88Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Challenge: Prescribe Methods to Use for a
Hypothetical, Illustrative Area - Sundarpur
—  City is Sundarpur
¡  Made up of 10 districts
¡  10,000 people in each district.
—  Disease control
¡  Each district allocates $10,000 per annum to prevent disease.
¡  The city has a district-level health administrator per district and then an
overall citywide public health administrator.
—  What approach/ method should the district health officer use? What should
the city health officer recommend?
¡  a mix of control methods to produce the maximum reduction feasible.
¡  Default option is to do nothing. This is unfortunately followed a lot!
89Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
(ROI) Metrics
—  Expense for disease control
¡  $/person spent: How much money (in $) is spent for a given method divided by the population
of the region. Lower is better.
—  Impact of a disease control method
¡  Reduction: What is the magnitude of reduction in disease cases due to a method, expressed as
a percentage, in a time period (e.g., year, disease season)? Higher is better.
¡  Cases/ person: How many reported cases of a disease occurred in a time period divided by the
population of the region when a method was adopted? Lower is better.
—  Cost-effectiveness:
¡  Cases / $: how many cases were reported for a disease per dollar spent on controlling it in a
given time period? Lower is better.
90Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Major Methods to Tackle Dengue
—  M1: Public awareness campaigns: to prevent
conditions conducive to disease propagation, to
improve reporting
—  M2: Chemical Control: Aerosol space spray
—  M3: Biological Control: Use of biocides
—  M4: Distributing equipments: bednets, insecticide-
treated curtains
—  M5: Vaccination against the disease
91Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Dengue Control Case Studies from Literature
•  An approach
may use 1 or
more method(s)
•  They incur
different costs
per person
•  Their efficacy is
subject to
various factors
Still, can we
reuse these
results in new
areas?
Details:
Vandana Srivastava and Biplav Srivastava, Towards Timely Public Health Decisions to
Tackle Seasonal Diseases With Open Government Data , International Workshop on the
World Wide Web and Public Health Intelligence (W3PHI-2014), AAAI 2014
92Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Cost-benefits for Different Approaches
* represents assumption made to compensate for missing data.
93Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Prescription for Sundarpur
—  Best tactical option for administrators at Sundarpur (at district and the whole city
level)
¡  is O1_A1 since it brings the maximum reduction.
¡  If the administrators are interested to cover the maximum number of people in the given
budget, the best method is still O1_A1.
¡  If the administrators are interested to show maximum reduction in cases for a pocket of the
city (sub- district level which may be more prone to the disease), they may choose O4_A4 but it
costs maximum and thus can be perceived as taking resources away from the not- directed
areas.
—  Strategic option
¡  Select top-2 (O1_A1 and O2_A2), and try them in 5 districts each in one year. It hedges risk of
variability between Sundarpur and old location of previous studies.
¡  Based on efficacy, decide the single best option for Sundarpur in subsequent year.
¡  She may also use the vaccine option only when the disease outbreak is above certain
threshold.
Details:
Vandana Srivastava and Biplav Srivastava, Towards Timely Public Health Decisions to
Tackle Seasonal Diseases With Open Government Data , International Workshop on the
World Wide Web and Public Health Intelligence (W3PHI-2014), AAAI 2014
94Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
New Data Practices
—  Find correlation among methods (positive or negative)
¡  We assumed independence
¡  Needs: Historic Data, Experiment Design
—  Learn rate of return for approaches and methods (new combinations not
tried in health literature)
¡  Need: Collect data on efficacy of method individually
—  Find similarity among regions
¡  Data Need: Spatio-temporal modeling/ STEM
—  Multi-objective optimization
¡  Examples: Effectiveness of approach, Reduction of case, people coverage
¡  Needs: Data about approaches tried historically
95Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Request to Medical Community on Data
—  Report both cost and effectiveness of approaches and
methods
¡  Overlooking one hampers reuse of results
—  Interact with AI community to learn and try mixed
approaches that reduce cost and improve overall
effectiveness
¡  All combinations cannot be tried on the ground due to practical
constraints
¡  Get more effective approaches rolled out faster targeted to new
regions
96Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Planning Idea: Crowdsourced Health Treatment Plans
—  Human Information Sourcing
¡  Pros: Ease of acceptance (social), Easy to understand by humans
¡  Cons: Biased by contributors, possible incompleteness
—  Automated Generation
¡  Pros: Very efficient methods available
¡  Cons: Needs model of the world, goal specification
—  Idea: Bridge the two leveraging
¡  India’s educated crowd (sourcing, critiquing) on a social platform and
¡  new innovations in AI/planning on model learning and plan ranking to handling
uncertainty
97Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Discussion
98Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Smart City Challenges
—  From resource angle, decrease waste/ inefficiency while
improving service delivery to citizens
—  Problems are old but accentuated today by population
growth and reducing resources
—  Open Data, effectiveness of AI methods hold promise
—  Challenges
¡  Provide value quickly
¡  Use value synergies from different domains (e.g., health,
environment, traffic, corruption …)
¡  Grow to scale
99Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Common Analytics Patterns,
Accelerated with Open Data
—  Correlation of outcomes, across
¡  Data sources in same domain
¡  Different domains
—  Return of investment analysis
¡  Money invested v/s Metrics to measure improvement in
domain
¡  Comparison of performance with history
¡  Comparison of performance with other regions
100Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
AI Planning Offers Innovation Opportunities
In talk, showed
—  Transportation
¡  Journey Planning (demand) – plan synthesis
¡  Route (supply) optimization – plan analysis
—  Environment
¡  Bathing – plan synthesis
¡  Source attribution – plan analysis
—  Health
¡  Public health – decision-theoretic optimization
¡  Treatment recipes – Crowdsourced planning
101Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Employing All Data – Data Fusion
—  Open Data is one source
¡  Often easiest to get but with issues (e.g., at aggregate level, with gaps,
imprecise semantics)
—  Social is another promising data
¡  People are anyway generating it (People-as-sensors)
¡  However, social sites have varying data reuse permissions,
license costs, access limits
¡  Big data techniques already being used here
—  Use sensor data if available
¡  Internet of Things (IoT) and big data techniques are relevant
¡  Most prevalent in health, environment and transportation
—  Key is to release the fused data also for reuse
102Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Building Community for Innovations
—  Multi-disciplinary
¡  In AI
¡  In Computer Science
¡  In science: domain (health, transport, …), techniques (CS, engg.) and
evaluation (public policy, …)
—  Multi-stakeholder
¡  Citizens
¡  Government
¡  Academia
¡  Business/ Industry
¡  Non-profits, …
—  Getting to scale is key
103Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Building a Technical Environment Problem Solving Community
104Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
Thank You
Merci
Grazie
Gracias
Obrigado
Danke
Japanese
French
Russian
German
Italian
Spanish
Portuguese
Arabic
Traditional Chinese
Simplified Chinese
Hindi
Romanian
Korean
Multumesc
Turkish
Teşekkür ederim
English
Dr. Biplav Srivastava,
sbiplav@in.ibm.com
http://www.research.ibm.com/people/b/biplav/
105Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015

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  • 1. TECHNOLOGICAL CHALLENGES IN MANAGING AND OPERATING A SMART CITY: PLANNING FOR REAL WORLD DR. BIPLAV SRIVASTAVA A C M D I S T I N G U I S H E D S C I E N T I S T , A C M D I S T I N G U I S H E D S P E A K E R S E N I O R R E S E A R C H E R A N D M A S T E R I N V E N T O R , I B M R E S E A R C H – I N D I A 1Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 2. Why This Talk? Main Messages —  Sustainability is a key imperative of modern societies —  Today, decision making is ad-hoc. We can change the status-quo with automated decision techniques. —  AI techniques like planning and optimization have matured and have high potential to impact the world —  But they need data which is not always available —  Open data is often the most promising source to start making quick impact —  Eventual aim should be to scale innovations with other data sources and reach production scale. 2Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 3. Acknowledgements All my collaborators over last 5 years, and especially those in: —  Government agencies around the world ¡  City: Boston, USA; New York/ New Jersey area, USA; Silicon Valley, USA; Dubuque, IA; Dublin, Ireland, Stockholm, Sweden; Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam; New Delhi, India; Bengaluru, India; Nairobi, Kenya; Tokyo, Japan ¡  Country: India, Singapore —  Academia ¡  India: IIT Delhi, IISc CiSTUP, IIIT Delhi, IIT BHU ¡  USA: Boston University, Wright State University, University of Southern California, Arizona State University ¡  Vietnam: Ho Chi Minh University —  IBM: Akshat Kumar, Anand Ranganathan, Raj Gupta, Ullas Nambiar, Srikanth Tamilselvam, L V Subramaniam, Chai Wah Wu, Anand Paul, Milind Naphade, Jurij Paraszczak, Wei Sun, Laura Wynter, Olivier Verscheure, Eric Bouillet, Francesco Calabrese, Tsuyoshi Ide, Xuan Liu, Arun Hampapur, Nithya Rajamani, Vivek Tyagi, Rauam Krishnapuram, Shivkumar Kalyanraman, Manish Gupta, Nitendra Rajput, Krishna Kummamuru, Raymond Rudy, Brent Miller, Jane Xu, Steven Wysmuller, Alberto Giacomel, Vinod A Bijlani, Pankaj D Lunia, Tran Viet Huan, Wei Xiong Shang, Chen WC Wang, Bob Schloss, Rosario Usceda-Sosa, Anton Riabov, Magda Mourad, Alexey Ershov, Eitan Israeli, Evgenia Gyana R Parija, Ian Simpson, Jen-Yao Chung, Kohichi Kajitani, Larry L Light, Lisa Amini, Marco Laumanns, Mary E Helander, Milind Naphade, Sebastien Blandin, Takayuki Osogami, Tony R Heritage, Ulysses Mello, Wei CR Ding, Wei CR Sun, Xiang XF Fei, Yu Yuan, Bipin Joshi, Vishalaksh Agarwal, Pallan Madhavan, Ravindranath Kokku, Mukundan Madhavan, Rashmi Mittal, Sandeep Sandha, Sukanya Randhawa, Karthik Vishweshvariah, Guruduth Banavar For discussions, ideas and contributions. Apologies to anyone unintentionally missed. Material gratefully taken from multiple sources. Apologies if any citation is unintentionally missed. 3Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 4. Outline —  Motivating Examples —  Basics ¡  Smart City ÷  Challenges ÷  Innovation needs – value desired ÷  Critical considerations different from other applications ¡  AI: ÷  Planning and Scheduling ÷  The different shades of analytics ÷  Open Data for Analytics: introduction and issues —  Applications ¡  Transportation ¡  Environment Pollution - Water ¡  Health —  Discussion 4Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 5. Examples 5Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 6. We All See Traffic Daily. An Illustration from Across the Globe Source: Google map for New York City and New Delhi; Search done on Aug 20, 2010 Characteristics New York City, USA New Delhi, India Beijing, China Moscow, Russia Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam Sao Paolo, Brazil 1 How is traffic pre- dominantly managed Automated control, manual control Manual control Automated control, manual control Automated, manual control Manual control Automated, manual control, Rotation system (# plate based) 2 How is data collected Inductive loops, cops, video, GPS Traffic surveys, cops Video, GPS, cops GPS, some video, cops Traffic surveys, cops Video, GPS, cops 3 How can citizens manage their resources GPS devices, alerts on radio, web, road signs (variable) Alerts on radio alerts on radio, road signs (variable), mobile alerts GPS, radio, road signs, mobile alerts Alerts on radio GPS devices, alerts on radio, web 4 Traffic heterogeneity by vehicle types(Low: <10; Medium 10-25; High: >25) Low High Low Low Medium Low 5 Driving habit maturity (Low: <10 yrs; Medium: 10-20; High: > 20) High Low Low Low Low Medium 6 Traffic movement Lane driving Chaotic Lane driving Lane driving Chaotic Lane Driving 6
  • 7. Example –Traffic Management —  Decision Value – To individuals, businesses, government institutions ¡  Individuals Examples – Can I reach office on time? Where should I park if I take my car? ¡  Govt Examples – How much overt-time does the city need to give today? Where should I deploy my traffic cops today? ¡  Business Example – When should I service city’s buses? —  Data – Quantitative as well as qualitative ¡  Volume – traffic count ¡  Speed on road ¡  City events —  Access – ¡  Today, little and on city websites ¡  Facebook sites Key Idea: Can we make insights available when needed and help people make better decisions? 7Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 8. 8 [India] Ganga – Local Ground Situation @ Varanasi (Assi/ Tulsi Ghats) + Patna Photos of/ at Assi/ Tulsi Ghat, Varanasi on 25 March 2015 during 1700-1800 Hrs Assi Ghat post recent cleanup Bathing on Tulsi Ghat A nullah draining into Ganga A manual powered boat Photos at Gandhi Ghat, Patna on 18 March 2015 during 1700-1800 Hrs Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 9. Example –River Water Pollution —  Decision Value – To individuals, businesses, government institutions ¡  Individuals Examples – Can I take a bath? Will it cause me dysentery? What crops should I grow? ¡  Govt Examples – How should govt spend money on sewage treatment for maximum disease reduction? How should it inspect industries? —  Data – Quantitative as well as qualitative ¡  Dissolved oxygen, ¡  pH, ¡  … 30+ measurable quantities of interest —  Access – ¡  Today, little, and that too in water technical jargon ¡  In pdf documents, website Key Idea: Can we make insights available when needed and help people make better decisions? 9Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 10. Basics: Smart City 10Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 11. What is a Smart City? Smart city can mean one or more of the following: —  As a resource optimization objective, it is to know and manage a city's resources using data. —  As a caring objective, it is about improving standard of life of citizens with health, safety, etc indices and programs. —  As a vitality objective, it is about generating employment and doing sustainable growth. A city leadership can choose among these or define their own objective(s) and manage with measurements to pro-actively achieve it 11 See other FAQs at: https://sites.google.com/site/biplavsrivastava/research-1/intelligent-systems/scfaqs Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 12. 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Economists Estimate, that the World’s Systems Carry Inefficiencies of up to $15 Tn, of Which $4 Tn Could be Eliminated System inefficiency as % of total economic value Improvementpotentialas %ofsysteminefficiency Education 1,360 Building & Transport Infrastructure 12,540 Healthcare 4,270 Government & Safety 5,210 Electricity 2,940 Financial 4,580 Food & Water 4,890 Transportation (Goods & Passenger) 6,950 Leisure / Recreation / Clothing 7,800 Communication 3,960 Global economic value of ... System-of- systems $54 Trillion 100% of WW 2008 GDP Inefficiencies $15 Trillion 28% of WW 2008 GDP Improvement potential $4 Trillion 7% of WW 2008 GDP Analysis of inefficiencies in the planet‘s system-of-systems How to read the chart: For example, the Healthcare system‘s value is $4,270B. It carries an estimated inefficiency of 42%. From that level of 42% inefficiency, economists estimate that ~34% can be eliminated (= 34% x 42%). Note: Size of the bubble indicate absolute value of the system in USD Billions $54,000,000,000,000 $15,000,000,000,000 $4,000,000,000,000 42% 34% This chart shows ‘systems‘ (not ‘industries‘) Source: IBM economists survey 2009; n= 480 12Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 13. 13 Cities are traditionally built and governed by independent departments operating as domains of functions C i t y I n f r a s t r u c t u r e D a t a Water Energy TransportSecurity Planning Food . . . Science Health ICT City Responsibility Department Responsibility Project Responsibility Task Responsibility Typically lacking holistic view OperationalSystems Before Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 14. 14 DoIT An integrated Smarter City Framework – a comprehensive management system across all core systems, will anchor the vision to executable steps I n f r a s t r u c t u r e D a t a City Responsibility Department Responsibility Project Responsibility Task Responsibility OperationalSystems C i t y M a n a g e m e n t Analytics, Insight, Visualization, Control Center, etc. Water Energy TransportSecurity Planning Food . . . Science Health . . . DoW DoE DoT DoS DoP DoF Do... DoS DoH ... B u s i n e s s P r o c e s s e s a n d A p p l i c a t I o n s Your City After Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 15. 15 Smarter Cities solution paths leverage a similar approach Uniquevaluerealized Use of Smarter Cities capabilities Manage
 Data1 Analyze
 Patterns2 Optimize Outcomes 3 Integrate service information to improve department operations Develop integrated view to improve outcomes and compliance Leverage end-to-end case management to optimize service delivery Ç Improve service levels È Reduce fraud and abuse Ç Focus on the citizen Ç Savings from overpayment Ç Assistance with compliance Ç Integrated case management Ç Automation of citizen support È Reduce operating costs Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 16. India’s 100 Smart Cities 16Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015 Details: https://sites.google.com/site/biplavsrivastava/smart-cities-in-india
  • 17. Comments on India’s 100 City Plans —  A much-needed, much-delayed, start ¡  JNURM and earlier initiatives did not show impact —  However selection criteria was non-technical ¡  Focus was on funding feasibility (center-state) and administrative considerations ¡  No commitment on measurable improvement of any metric in any city domain —  Opportunity to impact India’s transformation (theoretically) ¡  However, environment to try out India-specific, new innovations needs to be created ¡  Focus has to be on improvement metrics; accountability for money spent; quality outcomes 17Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 18. Basics: AI 18Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 19. Introduction to Planning & Scheduling 19
  • 20. The Many Complexities of Planning Environment perception Goals (Static vs. Dynamic) (Observable vs. Partially Observable) (perfect vs. Imperfect) (Deterministic vs. Stochastic) What action next? (Instantaneous vs. Durative) (Full vs. Partial satisfaction) Slide adapted from Subbarao Kambhampati 20Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 21. Static Deterministic Observable Instantaneous Propositional “Classical Planning” Dynamic Replanning/ Situated Plans Partially Observable Contingent/Conformant Plans,Interleaved execution Durative Temporal Reasoning Continuous NumericConstraint reasoning(LP/ILP) Stochastic MDPPolicies POMDPPolicies Semi-MDP Policies Slide by Subbarao Kambhampati 21Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 22. Underlying System Dynamics Traditional Planning OptimizationMetrics Any (feasible) Plan Shortest plan Cheapest plan Highest net-benefit Multi-objective PSPPlanning Slide by Subbarao Kambhampati 22Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 23. Plans and Planning: Types of Applications ¡  Choose among pre-determined plans (static plan evaluation and static monitoring) ¡  Need plans to be synthesized (dynamic plan evaluation and static monitoring) ¡  Need plans to be synthesized and monitored during execution; re-planning (dynamic plan evaluation and dynamic monitoring) 23Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 24. Shades of Analytics 24Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 25. Advanced AI Techniques (Analytics) like Planning & Machine Learning make use of data and models to provide insight to guide decisions Models Analytics Data Insight Data sources: Business automation Instrumentation Sensors Web 2.0 Expert knowledge “real world physics” Model: a mathematical or algorithmic representation of reality intended to explain or predict some aspect of it Decision executed automatically or by people 25Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 26. Example: Talks —  Are they useful? (Descriptive) ¡  Answering needs an assessment about the event —  If it happens next time, how many will attend? (Predictive) ¡  Above + Answering needs an assessment about unknowns (e.g., future) —  Should you attend? (Prescriptive) ¡  Above + Answering needs understanding the goals and current status of the individual 26Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 27. Analytics Landscape Degree of Complexity CompetitiveAdvantage Standard Reporting Ad hoc reporting Query/drill down Alerts Simulation Forecasting Predictive modeling Optimization What exactly is the problem? What will happen next if ? What if these trends continue? What could happen…. ? What actions are needed? How many, how often, where? What happened? Stochastic Optimization Based on: Competing on Analytics, Davenport and Harris, 2007 Descriptive Prescriptive Predictive How can we achieve the best outcome? How can we achieve the best outcome including the effects of variability? 27Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 28. Real-World Applications of ICT Follow a Pattern n Value (from Action, Decisions) – Providing benefits that matter, to people most in need of, in a timely and cost-efficient manner. Going beyond technology to process and people aspects. n Data + Insights – Available, Consumable with Semantics, Visualization / Analysis n Access - Apps (Applications), Usability - Human Computer Interface, Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) 28Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 29. Basics: Open Data 29Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 30. Open Data —  Open data is the notion that data should not be hidden, but made available to everyone. The idea is not new. —  Scientific publications follow this: “standing on the shoulders of giants” ¡  Science stands for repeatability of results and hence, sharing ¡  The scientific community asserts that open data leads to increased pace of discovery. (See: Ray P. Norris, How to Make the Dream Come True: The Astronomers' Data Manifesto, At http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/dsj/6/0/6_S116/_article, Accessed 2 Apr, 2012) —  Governments are the new source for open data ¡  Data.gov efforts world-wide; 400+ governmental bodies, including 20+ national agencies, including India, have opened data ¡  In India, additional movement is “Right to Information Act” 30Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 31. Not to Be Confused With Orthogonal Trend – Big Data —  Volume —  Variety —  Velocity —  Veracity —  … Cartoon critical of big data application, by T. Gregorius. http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b3/ Big_data_cartoon_t_gregorius.jpg/220px- Big_data_cartoon_t_gregorius.jpg 31Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 32. 400+Data Catalogs of Public Data As on 21 July 2015 32Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 33. Data.gov (USA) As on 16 June 2015 33 Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems
  • 34. City Level – Chicago, USA 34 As on 16 June 2015 Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 35. Data.gov.in (India) As on 16 June 2015 35 Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 36. Peek into the Future - Amsterdam http://citydashboard.waag.org/ 36Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 37. Illustration of Levels Source: http://5stardata.info/ Does Opening Data Make It Reusable? No 1 2 3 4 5 37Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 38. India: Right to Information Act —  Any citizen “may request information from a "public authority" (a body of Government or "instrumentality of State") which is required to reply expeditiously or within thirty days.” ¡  Passed by Parliament on 15 June 2005 and came fully into force on 13 October 2005. Citation Act No. 22 of 2005 —  Lauded and reviled ¡  Brought transparency ¡  Also, ÷  Increased bureaucracy ÷  Shortcomings in preventing corruption —  More information ¡  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right_to_Information_Act ¡  http://rti.gov.in 38Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 39. Data Quality in Public Data in India —  Right to Information ¡  Not even 1* ¡  Information available to requester, but no one else —  Data.gov.in ¡  2-3* ¡  Available in CSV, etc but not uniquely referenceable —  Open data movements are moving to linked data form for semantics 39Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 40. Semantics for Published Data 40 Classify data in public domain. Use schema.org as illustration. ¡  Select an area (e.g., food, news events, crime, customs, diseases, …) ¡  Build + disseminate the catalog tags via a website ¡  Encourage publishers to use meta-data tags and enable search Catalog/ ID General Logical constraints Terms/ glossary Thesauri “narrower term” relation Formal is-a Frames (properties) Informal is-a Formal instance Value Restrs. Disjointness, Inverse, part-of… Credits: Ontologies Come of Age McGuinness, 2001 From AAAI Panel 99 – McGuinness, Welty, Uschold, Gruninger, Lehmann Plus basis of Ontologies Come of Age – McGuinness, 2003 Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 41. Still Confused on Semantics? Start with Linked Data Glossary 41Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 42. Open Data References —  Concept ¡  Open Data, At http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_data, ¡  Open 311, At http://open311.org/ ¡  Catalog of Open Data, At http://datacatalogs.org/dataset ¡  Data City Exchange: http://www.imperial.ac.uk/digital-city-exchange —  India specific ¡  Open data report in India, At http://cis-india.org/openness/publications/ogd-report —  Standards ¡  W3C, At http://www.w3.org/2011/gld/ ¡  5 Star Linked Data ratings, At http://www.w3.org/DesignIssues/LinkedData.html —  Applications and ecoystems ¡  Introduction to Corruption, Youth for Governance, Distance Learning Program, Module 3, World Bank Publication. Accessed on June 15th 2011, At http://info.worldbank.org/etools/docs/library/35970/mod03.pdf ¡  Dublinked, At http://dulbinked.ie 42Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 43. ML Reference —  WEKA ¡  Website: http://www.cs.waikato.ac.nz/~ml/weka/index.html ¡  WEKATutorial: ÷  Machine Learning withWEKA: A presentation demonstrating all graphical user interfaces (GUI) in Weka. ÷  A presentation which explains how to useWeka for exploratory data mining. ¡  WEKA Data Mining Book: ÷  Ian H.Witten and Eibe Frank, Data Mining: Practical Machine LearningTools and Techniques (Second Edition) ÷  http://www.cs.waikato.ac.nz/ml/weka/book.html ¡  WEKAWiki: http://weka.sourceforge.net/wiki/index.php/Main_Page —  Jiawei Han and Micheline Kamber, Data Mining: Concepts andTechniques, 2nd ed. —  http://www.kdnuggets.com/2015/03/machine-learning-table-elements.html 43Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 44. Smarter Transportation Details: Boston (2012), New York, (2014), India – Delhi, Bangalore (2011-2015) 44Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 45. Press on the IBM SCC Boston team work: 1. Boston Globe, June 29, 2012 http://www.boston.com/business/technology/articles/2012/06/29/ ibm_gives_advice_on_how_to_fix_boston_traffic__first_get_an_app/ (Alternative: http://bostonglobe.com/business/2012/06/28/ibm-gives- advice-how-fix-boston-traffic-first-get-app/goxK84cWB9utHQogpsbd1N/ story.html) 2. Popular Science, 2 July 2012 http://www.popsci.com/technology/article/2012-07/bostons-ibm-built- traffic-app-merges-multiple-data-streams-predict-ease-congestion 3. Others: National Public Radio (USA), and a range of local TV stations on the work. SCC Boston team with Mayor on June 27, 2012 Team at work – Source: Boston Globe article 45Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 46. Boston  Transporta+on  :  Before  State   GPS   Manual   Video   Road   Sensors   Lots  of  Instrumenta+on…   Not  enough  interconnec+on…   Unexploited  Intelligence…   Much  Data   Isolated  in   Silos   Mul+ple   Disconnected   Camera   Networks   Inaccessible   Data   Manual   Opera+ons   Insufficient   Data   "    Boston  is  forward-­‐        thinking  &  progressive   "    Boston  recognizes        climate  &  traffic  goals        are  interconnected       Boston  is  na)onally   recognized  for   innova)on   46Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 47. Ecosystem  Roadmap   Ci$zens   Sharing   Analyzing   Forward  Thinking   Consumer   Value   Unlocking   Smarter Transportation Ecosystem Industry   Academics   Government   Induc$ve   Loop   Data   Applications Platform Data Ideas Pneuma$c   Tube   Data   Manual     Count     Data   Automated   Data   Transfer   Online   Access  to   Aggregated   Data   Privacy   Considera$ons   Ci$zen   Online   Access   Smarter   Traffic   Infrastructure   Environmental   Es$mates   Mul$ple   Visualiza$ons   City   Benchmarks   Exploit   Video   Camera   Advanced   Visualiza$ons   Exploit   More  Data   Sources   Advanced   Analy$cs   Deliverables   "    Running  Prototype   "    Recommenda+ons   47Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 48. Common Model Standards Aligned, Uniform format, Uniform Error Semantics Mapping to Source Data Transformation Data Source Metadata A Snapshot of Common Model and Mapping to Data Sources Source Models 48Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 49. Result  1:  Publicly  Available  Data  for  Mul+ple  Consumers   "      Many  data  sources,  various  loca+ons  &  +mes   "      Stakeholders  can  access  data  easily  &  intui+vely     "      Locate  available  data  sources   "      Zoom  in  to  areas  of  interest   "      Obtain  data     "      Drill  down  to  traffic  paUerns   "      Assess  environmental  factors     "      See  what  happens  in  real  +me   Researchers   Prac++oners   Planners   Engineers   Residents   49Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 50. •   Assign  different  traffic        light  paUerns  for        different  streets,  +mes   •   Schedule  public  works        projects  to  minimize        traffic  impact   •   Detect  changes  in        traffic  paUerns  to  drive        policy  changes        (parking,  lanes,  street)   •   Assess  traffic  impact  of        new  landmarks   •   Inform  businesses,          developers   Result  2:  Street  Classifica+on  Based  on  Traffic  Volume   Commuting Going Home Anomaly Early-Bird Night Owl Busy
  • 51. Result  3:  Birds-­‐Eye  View  of  City  Traffic  from  Aggregated  Data   51Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 52. New York: All Taxi Rides taxi.imagework.com NYC taxi trips originate at various NY airport terminals (JFK and LGA) over the holiday season (Nov 15th to Dec 31st). Data Source: NYC Taxi & Limousine Commission Taxi Trip & Fare Data 2013 Stats 173.2M Rows | 28.85GB Tools Hadoop | Mapbox | Leaflet | jQuery | d3 | polyline | MapQuest Open Directions API http://taxi.imagework.com/ 52Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 53. New York: Single Taxi Ride http://nyctaxi.herokuapp.com/ 53Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 54. Journey Planning with Open Data 54Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 55. Promoting Public Transportation: Before and After We Seek Many cities around the world, and especially in India and emerging ones, are getting their transportation infrastructure in shape. –  They have multiple, fragmented, transportation agencies in a region (e.g., city) –  They do not have instrumentation on their vehicles, like GPS, to know about their operations in real-time –  Schedule of public transportation is widely available in semi-structured form. They are also beginning to invest in new, novel, sensing technologies –  Cities give SMS-based alerts about events on the road. Our approach seeks to accelerate time-to-value for such cities. Kind of Information Today Available to Bus User With IRL-Transit+ Benefit Bus Schedule (static) Available online and pamphlets Available from IT-enabled devices( low-cost phones, smart phones, web) Increase accessibility Bus Schedule Changes (dynamic) No information Infer from city updates Increase information Analytics (Bus Selection Decision Support) No information Will be available (Transit) Increase information Standardization of information No support Will be supported (SCRIBE, Transit) Increase information’s interoperability 55Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 56. A Quick Review of Related Work ¡  Bay Area, USA has : http://511.org ÷  Multi-agency public authorities consortium, has advanced instrumentation ÷  It is the model to replicate §  Google has state-of-the-art from any non-public organization. It has separate services ¡  Maps for driving guidance ¡  Transit for public transport, more than 1 mode ¡  Gaps: ÷  Considers only time, not other factors like frequency, fare and waiting time ÷  Does not integrate across their services for different mode categories ÷  Does not publish their data ¡  Acknowledgement: We use their GTFS format to consolidate schedule data §  Many experimental systems with capabilities less than Google, ¡  DMumbai: Go4Mumbai (portal)- A http://www.go4mumbai.com/ ¡  Delhi: Disha on DIMTS (local agency) website by IIT-D, Mumbai Navigator by IIT-B; links no longer work §  Shortest route finding algorithms from mapping companies 56Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 57. Journey Planning Problem —  Invariant Inputs: ¡  The person ÷  has a vehicle (e.g., car), and ÷  can also walk short distances ¡  The city has taxis, buses, metros, autos, rickshaws ÷  Buses and metros have published routes, frequency and stops ÷  Autos and rickshaws can be available at stands, or opportunistically, on the road ÷  Taxis can be ordered over the phone —  Input: ¡  A person wants to travel from place A to B —  Output ¡  Suggest which mode or combination of modes to select —  Observation: Using preferences over factors that matter to users to keep commuting convenient, while making best use of available public and para-transit commute methods 57Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 58. Background: Public Transportation Schedule Information —  Is widely available for public transportation agencies around the world —  Gives the basic, static, information about transportation service —  Usually in semi-structured format with varying semantics —  Can have errors, missing data Delhi Bus and Metro Data 58Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 59. Multi-Mode Commuting Recommender in Delhi And Bangalore Highlights • Published data of multiple authorities used; repeatable process • Multiple modes searched • Preference over modes, time, hops and number of choices supported; more extensions, like fare possible • Integration of results with map as future work; already done as part of other projects, viz. SCRIBE-STAT 59Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 60. Solution Steps —  Use the widely available schedule information from individual operators (agencies) —  Clean and consolidate it across agencies and modes to get a multi-modal view for the region ¡  Optionally: Convert it into a standard form ¡  Optionally: Enhance (fuse) it with any real-time updates about services for the region —  Perform what-if analysis on consolidated data ¡  Path finding using Djikstra’s algorithm ¡  Analyses can be pre-determined, analyses can also be user-created and defined —  Make analysis results available as a service ¡  On any device ¡  To any subscriber 60Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 61. Handling Dynamic Updates —  Invariant Inputs: ¡  The person ÷  has a vehicle (e.g., car), and ÷  can also walk short distances ¡  The city has taxis, buses, metros, autos, rickshaws ÷  Buses and metros have published routes, frequency and stops ÷  Autos and rickshaws can be available at stands, or opportunistically, on the road ÷  Taxis can be ordered over the phone —  Input: ¡  A person wants to travel from place A to B ¡  [Optional] City provides updates on ongoing events, some may affect traffic —  Output ¡  Suggest which mode or combination of modes to select —  Observation: Using preferences over factors that matter to users to keep commuting convenient, while making best use of available public and para-transit commute methods City Notifications as a Data Source for Traffic Management, Pramod Anantharam, Biplav Srivastava, in 20th ITS World Congress 2013, Tokyo 61Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 62. Number of SMS messages for bus stops in Delhi for 2 years (Aug 2010 – Aug 2012)* • 344 stops with updates • 3931 total stops * using Exact Matching 62Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 63. IRL – Transit in Aug 2012 Key Points • SMS message from city • Event and location identified • Impact assessed • Impact used in search 63Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 64. Increase Accessibility and Availability of Bus Information to Passengers Kind of Information Today Available to Bus Users With Solution over Phone Mysore ITS (for reference)* Benefit Bus Schedule (static) Available online and pamphlets Available from low- cost phones (Spoken Web – Static) Available online and pamphlets Increase accessibility Bus Schedule Changes (dynamic) No information today Will be available (Spoken Web - Human) No information but in plan Increase information Bus Location No information today Will be available (GPS) Will be available (GPS) Increase information Bus Condition No information today Will be available (Spoken Web - Human) No information today Increase information Analytics (Bus Selection Decision Support) No information today Will be available (Transit) No information but in plan Increase information Last –mile Connectivity to/ from nearest stop No information today Will be available (Spoken Web - Human) No information today Increase information Standardization of information No support Will be supported (SCRIBE, Transit) Some support due to GPS Increase information’s interoperability * Opinion based on only public information; Accurate as of Jan 2014. Spoken Web is an Interactive IVR technology. SCRIBE is a ontology models for city events. 64Tutorial on 27 July 2015 @ IJCAI 2015
  • 65. A Flexible Journey Plan Pushing the Boundaries: Information to Commuters to Reach Destination in All Eventuality Pilots  running  in  Dublin,  Ireland   65 Docit: An Integrated System for Risk-Averse Multi-Modal Journey Advising, Adi Botea, Michele Berlingerio, Stefano Braghin Eric Bouillet, Francesco Calabrese, Bei Chen Yiannis Gkoufas, Rahul Nair, Tim Nonner, Marco Laumanns, IBM Technical Report, 2014 Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 66. •  Traffic simulation is a promising tool to do what-if analysis impacting traffic demand, supply or every-day business decisions •  What is the congestion if everyone takes out their vehicles? •  What is the impact if buses daily failure rate doubles? •  What happens if visitors constituting 20% of city traffic come for an event? •  However, simulators need to be setup with realistic road network, traffic patterns and decision choices •  Open data is an important source for •  Road network (e.g., Open Street Maps) •  Creating pattern (e.g., vehicle Origin-Destination pairs, accidents) •  Framing and interpreting decision choices Using Open Data with Traffic Simulation 66Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 67. New Delhi Area Selection Area selected from openstreetmap.org with (top) (bottom)(left)(right) co-ordinates as (28.6022) (28.5707)(77.1990)(77.2522) for our experiment. 67Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 68. Office Timing Change Decision Choices Last second of morning commute by different strategies 68Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 69. Traffic References —  Tutorial on AI-Driven Analytics In Traffic Management, in conjunction with International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-13), Biplav Srivastava, Akshat Kumar, at Beijing, China, Aug 3-5, 2013 (tutorial-slides). —  Tutorial on Traffic Management and AI, in conjunction with 26th Conference of Association for Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-12), Biplav Srivastava, Anand Ranganathan, at Toronto, Canada, July 22-26, 2012 (tutorial-slides). —  Making Public Transportation Schedule Information Consumable for Improved Decision Making, Raj Gupta, Biplav Srivastava, Srikanth Tamilselvam, In 15th International IEEE Annual Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC 2012), Anchorage, USA, Sep 16-19, 2012. —  Mythologies, Metros & Future Urban Transport , by Prof. Dinesh Mohan, TRIPP, 2008 —  A new look at the traffic management problem and where to start, by Biplav Srivastava, In 18th ITS Congress, Orlando, USA, Oct 16-20, 2011. —  Arnott, Richard and K.A. Small, 1994, “The Economics of Traffic Congestion,” American Scientist, Vol. 82, No. 5, pp. 446-455. —  Chengri Ding and Shunfeng Song , Paradoxes of Traffic Flow and Congestion Pricing, 69Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 70. Environment Pollution Details: Singapore (2012-2013), Varanasi (2015-) 70Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 71. Water Cycle (aka Hydrological Cycle) Source: Economist, May 20, 2010 71Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 72. Fresh Water: Supply and Demand Supply Demand 72Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015 Source: Economist, May 20, 2010
  • 73. Water Challenges —  Increasing demand due to ¡  Population ¡  Changing water-intensive lifestyle ¡  Industrial growth —  Shrinking supplies ¡  Erratic rains due to climate change ¡  Sewage / effluent increase —  Poor management ¡  Below cost, unsustainable, pricing ¡  Delayed or neglected maintenance Water is the next flash point for wars 73Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 74. [India] Ganga – Local Ground Situation @ Varanasi (Assi/ Tulsi Ghats) + Patna Photos of/ at Assi/ Tulsi Ghat, Varanasi on 25 March 2015 during 1700-1800 Hrs Assi Ghat post recent cleanup Bathing on Tulsi Ghat A nullah draining into Ganga A manual powered boat Photos at Gandhi Ghat, Patna on 18 March 2015 during 1700-1800 Hrs 74Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 75. Value of Water Pollution Data —  Government for business decisions ¡  Source attribution ¡  Sewage treatment ¡  Public Health —  Individuals for personal decisions ¡  Bathing (Religious, Lifestyle) ¡  Recreation ¡  Community practices 75Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 76. Example –River Water Pollution —  Decision Value – To individuals, businesses, government institutions ¡  Individuals Examples – Can I take a bath? Will it cause me dysentery? What crops should I grow? ¡  Govt Examples – How should govt spend money on sewage treatment for maximum disease reduction? How should it inspect industries? —  Data – Quantitative as well as qualitative ¡  Dissolved oxygen, ¡  pH, ¡  … 30+ measurable quantities of interest —  Access – ¡  Today, little, and that too in water technical jargon ¡  In pdf documents, website Key Idea: Can we make insights available when needed and help people make better decisions? 76Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 77. Use-case: Individual 77 —  Name: which bathing site should one use? ¡  Based on distance (cost of travel), risk of disease, exposure to pollutants, suitability to occasion —  Total sites in Varanasi (ghats): 87 ¡  Popular: 5 ¡  #1 religious rites (puja): Dashashwamedh Ghat ¡  Cremation (non-bathing) ghats: 2; Manikarnika and Harishchandra Ghat ¡  Bathing ghats: All – cremation = 85 41.  Lali Ghat 42.  Lalita Ghat 43.  Mahanirvani Ghat 44.  Mana Mandira Ghat 45.  Manasarovara Ghat 46.  Mangala Gauri Ghat 47.  Manikarnika Ghat 48.  Mehta Ghat 49.  Meer Ghat 50.  Munshi Ghat 51.  Nandesavara Ghat 52.  Narada Ghat 53.  Naya Ghat 54.  Nepali Ghat 55.  Niranjani Ghat 56.  Nishad Ghat 57.  Old Hanumanana Ghat 58.  Pancaganga Ghat 59.  Panchkota 60.  Pandey Ghat 61.  Phuta Ghat 62.  Prabhu Ghat 63.  Prahalada Ghat 64.  Prayaga Ghat 65.  Raj Ghat built by Peshwa Amrutrao 66.  Raja Ghat / Lord Duffrin bridge / Malaviya Bridge 67.  Raja Gwalior Ghat 68.  Rajendra Prasad Ghat 69.  Ram Ghat 70.  Rana Mahala Ghat 71.  Rewan Ghat 72.  Sakka Ghat 73.  Sankatha Ghat 74.  Sarvesvara Ghat 75.  Scindia Ghat 76.  Shivala Ghat 77.  Shitala Ghat 78.  Sitala Ghat 79.  Somesvara Ghat 80.  Telianala Ghat 81.  Trilochana Ghat 82.  Tripura Bhairavi Ghat 83.  Tulsi Ghat 84.  Vaccharaja Ghat 85.  Venimadhava Ghat 86.  Vijayanagaram Ghat 87.  Samne Ghat 1.  Mata Anandamai Ghat 2.  Assi Ghat 3.  Ahilya Ghat 4.  Adi Keshava Ghat 5.  Ahilyabai Ghat 6.  Badri Nayarana Ghat 7.  Bajirao Ghat 8.  Bauli /Umaraogiri / Amroha Ghat 9.  Bhadaini Ghat 10.  Bhonsale Ghat 11.  Brahma Ghat 12.  Bundi Parakota Ghat 13.  Chaowki Ghat 14.  Chausatthi Ghat 15.  Cheta Singh Ghat 16.  Dandi Ghat 17.  Darabhanga Ghat 18.  Dashashwamedh Ghat 19.  Digpatia Ghat 20.  Durga Ghat 21.  Ganga Mahal Ghat (I) 22.  Ganga Mahal Ghat (II) 23.  Gaay Ghat 24.  Gauri Shankar Ghat 25.  Genesha Ghat 26.  Gola Ghat 27.  Gularia Ghat 28.  Hanuman Ghat 29.  Hanumanagardhi Ghat 30.  Harish Chandra Ghat 31.  Jain Ghat 32.  Jalasayi Ghat 33.  Janaki Ghat 34.  Jatara Ghat 35.  Karnataka State Ghat 36.  Kedar Ghat 37.  Khirkia Ghat 38.  Shri Guru Ravidass Ghat[5] 39.  Khori Ghat 40.  Lala Ghat Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ Ghats_in_Varanasi Note: ghats are specialities of most cities along Ganga – Haridwar, Allahabad, Patna 77Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 78. Pollu+on  Example:  Leather  Tanneries  in  Kanpur,  India   •  > 700 tanneries in Kanpur –  Employing > 100,000 people –  Bringing > USD 1B revenue •  Discharge water after leather processing to river or Sewage treatment plants (STPs) –  Requirement •  Must have their own treatment facility •  Or, have at least chrome recovery unit –  But don’t due to costs which is a burden to main operations •  Installation •  Operations : electricity, manpower, technology upgrade, … –  State pollution board is supposed to do inspections but doesn’t do effectively •  Government’s STPs do not process chrome, the main pollutant •  98 tanneries banned in Feb 2015 by National Green Tribunal; more threatened 78Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 79. Analytics: Potential Use Cases S. No. Stakehol der Use case Data Analytical techniques 1 IT Identifying and removing outliers, data validation Sensor data Data mining (outlier detection) 2 Individual Which bathing site to use? Sensor data, ghat data Rule-based decision support 3 Individual/ Economy What crops can I grow that will flourish in available water? Sensor data, crop data Distributed data integration, co-relation 4 Institution Determine trends/anomalies in pollution levels Sensor data, weather data Time series analysis, anomaly detection 5 Institution Attribute source of pollution at a location Sensor data, demographics, industry data Physical modeling, inversion, inspection planning 6 Institution Sewage treatment strategy and operational planning Sensor data, demographics data, STP data Multi-objective optimization 7 Institution Promoting wildlife/ dolphins with patrolling and monitoring Sensor data, wildlife data Rule-based decision support 79Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 80. India/Ganga – Very Little Data Data.gov.in https://data.gov.in/catalog/water-quality-data-river-ganga Sr.  No.   Sta$on-­‐Loca$on   Distance  in  Kms.   Dissolved  Oxygen   during  1986  (mg/ l)   Biological  Oxygen   Demand  in  1986   (mg/l)   Dissolved  Oxygen   during  2011  (mg/ l)   Biological  Oxygen   demand  during   2011  (mg/l)   1   Rishikesh   0   8.1   1.7   7.6   1.4   2   Hardwar  D/s   30   8.1   1.8   7.4   1.6   3   Garhmukteshwar   175   7.8   2.2   7.5   1.7   4   Kannauj  U/S   430   7.2   5.5   7.9   1.7   6   Kanpur  U/S   530   7.2   7.2   7.7   3.3   7   Kanpur  D/S   548   6.7   8.6   7.6   3.8   8   Allahabad  U/S   733   6.4   11.4   7.8   5.3   9   Allahabad  D/S   743   6.6   15.5   7.8   5.1   10   Varanasi  U/S   908   5.6   10.1   8   2.9   11   Varanasi  D/S   916   5.9   10.6   8   4.3   12   Patna  U/S   1188   8.4   2   7   1.8   13   Patna  D/S   1198   8.1   2.2   7.1   2.5   80Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 81. Creek Watch – Crowd Sourced Water Information Collection As on 14 Oct 2014 81Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 82. Location: http://creekwatch.researchlabs.ibm.com/call_table.php ~3120 data points in 4 years from around the world As on 14 Oct 2014 82Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 83. Health Details: Africa (2014-), India (2013-) 83Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 84. Two Tales from (Public) Health Cutting-edge Technical Progress •  Enormous improvement in our understanding of diseases. E.g., Computational epidemiology •  Enormous advances in treating diseases are being made ÷  We are living longer - A baby girl born in 2012 can expect to live an average of 72.7 years, and a baby boy to 68.1 years. This is 6 years longer than the average global life expectancy for a child born in 1990. (Source: WHO 2014 Health Statistics) •  Data on disease outbreaks is more available than ever before thanks to open data movement (E.g., data.gov, data.gov.in) Stone-age Ground Reality —  Half of the top 20 causes of deaths in the world are infectious diseases, and maternal, neonatal and nutritional causes, while the other half are due to noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) or injuries. (Source: WHO 2014 Health Statistics) —  Worse – Indifference, mismanagement in response to communicable diseases - late response to known diseases, in known period of the year ¡  E.g.: Japanese Encephalitis (JE) has been prevalent for ~3 decades in some parts of India killing 600+ every year ¡  District level health experience is not reused over time and in similar regions 84Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 85. IT Played a Major Role in Tackling Ebola Crowd sourced Online National Government International Bodies 85Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 86. Ideas for Public Health in India —  Decision support to administration for tackling seasonal diseases —  Crowdsourced disease treatment recipes 86Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 87. Case Study: Dengue (Mosquito-borne) —  Overall cost of a Dengue case is US$ 828 (Sabchareon et al 2012). —  From 9 countries in 1960s, it has spread to more than 110 countries now —  Prevention methods COMMUNITY 1.  Mosquito Coils & Candles: The use of mosquito coils, candles & vapor mats indoors and outdoors of homes to combat mosquitoes. 2.  Window screens & Bed Nets: The use of window screens in homes and bed nets in bedrooms to keep mosquitos out. 3.  Insecticide Application: Application of insecticide to kill mosquitos that invade homes and surrounding areas. 4.  Larviciding at Home: Application of larvicide in homes to kill larvae that live in stagnant water breeding sites like small ponds, gutters, cisterns, barrels, jars, and urns. 5.  Household/Community Cleanup: Organize cleanups within communities in the surrounding housing areas and individual homes to recycle potential breeding sites like discarded plastic bottles, cans, old tyres, and any trash that can hold water for mosquitoes to breed in. GOVERNMENT 6.  Surveillance For Mosquitoes: Conduct periodical surveillance in hotspot areas and other communities to look for signs of mosquitoes. 7.  Medical Reporting: To collate and compile reports of dengue cases and statistics to prioritize and focus dengue and vector mosquito control efforts and actions for best results. 8.  Effective Publicity & Campaigns: To foster and champion effective campaigns amongst communities and create adequate public awareness of combating dengue. 9.  Enforcement: Support and enforce the public and communities to practice effective dengue vector elimination under existing laws and implement new laws as appropriate for public health. 10.  Insecticide Fogging: Conduct fogging in areas that have mosquitoes and dengue outbreak hotspots to kill adult mosquitoes. 11.  Public Education:  Foster, promote, and participate in public education in schools and  all possible public meeting places to inform communities how to eliminate dengue vector mosquitoes, recognize early symptoms of the disease, and proper medical care and reporting. CORPORATE 12.  Education: To undertake community service initiatives and campaigns through marketing expertise and the media of TV, radio, and newspapers. 13.  PR/CSR: To use public relations and customer service relations to reach communities on the fight against dengue. 14.  Adult Mosquito Traps: To provide adult mosquito traps and other measures within the work areas to protect employees and workers from mosquitoes bites that transmit dengue. 15.  Mosquito Repellants: Provide mosquito repellants to employees and workers within the work areas for further protection. 16.  Mosquito Control Materials, Methods, and Agents:  To provide the tools to the public and government that are necessary for dengue mosquito vector control like pesticides, biocontrol agents,  mosquito traps, repellants, and other means  to prevent dengue by eliminating the mosquito vectors. WHO, 2013, Dengue Control. At http://www.who.int/Denguecontrol/research/en/, Accessed 21 June 2013. Entogenex, 2013, Integrated Mosquito Management. At http://www.entogenex.com/what-is-integrated-mosquito- management.html, Accessed 21 June 2013. 87Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 88. So, Do We Control Dengue Effectively? NO Source: http://nvbdcp.gov.in/den-cd.html Data for India •  Increasing number of states every year •  No consistent reduction of cases 1" 10" 100" 1000" 10000" 100000" C" C" C" C" C" C" 2008" 2009" 2010" 2011" 2012" 2013*" Andhra"Pradesh" Arunachal"Pradesh" Assam" Bihar" Cha9sgarh" Goa" Gujarat" Haryana" Himachal"Pd." J"&"K" Jharkhand" Karnataka" Kerala" Madhya"Pd." Meghalaya" Maharashtra" Manipur" Mizoram" Nagaland" Orissa" Punjab" Rajasthan" Sikkim" Tamil"Nadu" Tripura" UPar"Pradesh" UPrakhand" West"Bengal" A&"N"Island" Chandigarh" 88Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 89. Challenge: Prescribe Methods to Use for a Hypothetical, Illustrative Area - Sundarpur —  City is Sundarpur ¡  Made up of 10 districts ¡  10,000 people in each district. —  Disease control ¡  Each district allocates $10,000 per annum to prevent disease. ¡  The city has a district-level health administrator per district and then an overall citywide public health administrator. —  What approach/ method should the district health officer use? What should the city health officer recommend? ¡  a mix of control methods to produce the maximum reduction feasible. ¡  Default option is to do nothing. This is unfortunately followed a lot! 89Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 90. (ROI) Metrics —  Expense for disease control ¡  $/person spent: How much money (in $) is spent for a given method divided by the population of the region. Lower is better. —  Impact of a disease control method ¡  Reduction: What is the magnitude of reduction in disease cases due to a method, expressed as a percentage, in a time period (e.g., year, disease season)? Higher is better. ¡  Cases/ person: How many reported cases of a disease occurred in a time period divided by the population of the region when a method was adopted? Lower is better. —  Cost-effectiveness: ¡  Cases / $: how many cases were reported for a disease per dollar spent on controlling it in a given time period? Lower is better. 90Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 91. Major Methods to Tackle Dengue —  M1: Public awareness campaigns: to prevent conditions conducive to disease propagation, to improve reporting —  M2: Chemical Control: Aerosol space spray —  M3: Biological Control: Use of biocides —  M4: Distributing equipments: bednets, insecticide- treated curtains —  M5: Vaccination against the disease 91Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 92. Dengue Control Case Studies from Literature •  An approach may use 1 or more method(s) •  They incur different costs per person •  Their efficacy is subject to various factors Still, can we reuse these results in new areas? Details: Vandana Srivastava and Biplav Srivastava, Towards Timely Public Health Decisions to Tackle Seasonal Diseases With Open Government Data , International Workshop on the World Wide Web and Public Health Intelligence (W3PHI-2014), AAAI 2014 92Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 93. Cost-benefits for Different Approaches * represents assumption made to compensate for missing data. 93Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 94. Prescription for Sundarpur —  Best tactical option for administrators at Sundarpur (at district and the whole city level) ¡  is O1_A1 since it brings the maximum reduction. ¡  If the administrators are interested to cover the maximum number of people in the given budget, the best method is still O1_A1. ¡  If the administrators are interested to show maximum reduction in cases for a pocket of the city (sub- district level which may be more prone to the disease), they may choose O4_A4 but it costs maximum and thus can be perceived as taking resources away from the not- directed areas. —  Strategic option ¡  Select top-2 (O1_A1 and O2_A2), and try them in 5 districts each in one year. It hedges risk of variability between Sundarpur and old location of previous studies. ¡  Based on efficacy, decide the single best option for Sundarpur in subsequent year. ¡  She may also use the vaccine option only when the disease outbreak is above certain threshold. Details: Vandana Srivastava and Biplav Srivastava, Towards Timely Public Health Decisions to Tackle Seasonal Diseases With Open Government Data , International Workshop on the World Wide Web and Public Health Intelligence (W3PHI-2014), AAAI 2014 94Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 95. New Data Practices —  Find correlation among methods (positive or negative) ¡  We assumed independence ¡  Needs: Historic Data, Experiment Design —  Learn rate of return for approaches and methods (new combinations not tried in health literature) ¡  Need: Collect data on efficacy of method individually —  Find similarity among regions ¡  Data Need: Spatio-temporal modeling/ STEM —  Multi-objective optimization ¡  Examples: Effectiveness of approach, Reduction of case, people coverage ¡  Needs: Data about approaches tried historically 95Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 96. Request to Medical Community on Data —  Report both cost and effectiveness of approaches and methods ¡  Overlooking one hampers reuse of results —  Interact with AI community to learn and try mixed approaches that reduce cost and improve overall effectiveness ¡  All combinations cannot be tried on the ground due to practical constraints ¡  Get more effective approaches rolled out faster targeted to new regions 96Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 97. Planning Idea: Crowdsourced Health Treatment Plans —  Human Information Sourcing ¡  Pros: Ease of acceptance (social), Easy to understand by humans ¡  Cons: Biased by contributors, possible incompleteness —  Automated Generation ¡  Pros: Very efficient methods available ¡  Cons: Needs model of the world, goal specification —  Idea: Bridge the two leveraging ¡  India’s educated crowd (sourcing, critiquing) on a social platform and ¡  new innovations in AI/planning on model learning and plan ranking to handling uncertainty 97Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 98. Discussion 98Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 99. Smart City Challenges —  From resource angle, decrease waste/ inefficiency while improving service delivery to citizens —  Problems are old but accentuated today by population growth and reducing resources —  Open Data, effectiveness of AI methods hold promise —  Challenges ¡  Provide value quickly ¡  Use value synergies from different domains (e.g., health, environment, traffic, corruption …) ¡  Grow to scale 99Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 100. Common Analytics Patterns, Accelerated with Open Data —  Correlation of outcomes, across ¡  Data sources in same domain ¡  Different domains —  Return of investment analysis ¡  Money invested v/s Metrics to measure improvement in domain ¡  Comparison of performance with history ¡  Comparison of performance with other regions 100Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 101. AI Planning Offers Innovation Opportunities In talk, showed —  Transportation ¡  Journey Planning (demand) – plan synthesis ¡  Route (supply) optimization – plan analysis —  Environment ¡  Bathing – plan synthesis ¡  Source attribution – plan analysis —  Health ¡  Public health – decision-theoretic optimization ¡  Treatment recipes – Crowdsourced planning 101Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 102. Employing All Data – Data Fusion —  Open Data is one source ¡  Often easiest to get but with issues (e.g., at aggregate level, with gaps, imprecise semantics) —  Social is another promising data ¡  People are anyway generating it (People-as-sensors) ¡  However, social sites have varying data reuse permissions, license costs, access limits ¡  Big data techniques already being used here —  Use sensor data if available ¡  Internet of Things (IoT) and big data techniques are relevant ¡  Most prevalent in health, environment and transportation —  Key is to release the fused data also for reuse 102Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 103. Building Community for Innovations —  Multi-disciplinary ¡  In AI ¡  In Computer Science ¡  In science: domain (health, transport, …), techniques (CS, engg.) and evaluation (public policy, …) —  Multi-stakeholder ¡  Citizens ¡  Government ¡  Academia ¡  Business/ Industry ¡  Non-profits, … —  Getting to scale is key 103Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 104. Building a Technical Environment Problem Solving Community 104Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015
  • 105. Thank You Merci Grazie Gracias Obrigado Danke Japanese French Russian German Italian Spanish Portuguese Arabic Traditional Chinese Simplified Chinese Hindi Romanian Korean Multumesc Turkish Teşekkür ederim English Dr. Biplav Srivastava, sbiplav@in.ibm.com http://www.research.ibm.com/people/b/biplav/ 105Talk at IEEE Bangalore Workshop, Technologies for Planning and Acting in Real World Systems, Sep 4, 2015