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Why it is so hard to
change minds…
Affective polarization will impact you,
even if you think it isn’t going to.
Especially if you think it isn’t going to.
Alex Chesterfield
Behavioural scientist
Worked for consultancies, not-for-profits
and regulators
Mum of two, married to Will
Lives in Guildford, England
Grew up going to local schools
Conservative, former politician
Laura Osborne
Comms expert
Lives in Kent, husband and two kids
Worked in commercial and government
organisations
Director at business lobby group
Board member
Started out in left-wing think tank, first person in
family to go to university
The Psychology
of Polarization
Affective
Polarization
Issue
Polarization
“Divisions formed
around one or more
policy positions or
issues”
“Divisions formed around our
social/group identity with
increasing distrust and dislike
of people from the opposing
side.”
Affective polarisation – a new phenomenon?
Democratic attitudes about
the Republican Party
Republican attitudes about
the Democratic Party
100%100%
68%
82%
Unfavorable
17%
43%
Unfavorable
57%
79%
Unfavorable
16%
38%
Unfavorable
2014199420141994
Source: 2014 Political Polarization in the American Public
Note: Republicans include Republican-leaning independents; Democrats include Democratic-leaning independents
PEW Research Center
Perception of Remainers
Closed-minded
Hypocritical
Selfish
Honest
Open-minded
Intelligent
Agreement
54321
Perception of Leavers
Closed-minded
Hypocritical
Selfish
Honest
Open-minded
Intelligent
Agreement
54321
Remainer ID Leaver ID
We like to put people into in and out groups
and that alters how we behave towards them
Do you think you would feel the same effects?
Bad news: there is some evidence that if you are more educated and liberal you
are particularly likely to be affected
Supporter
joins a
campaign
Get them to
take a
second
action
quickly
Ask them to
share on
social media
Get them to
sign up
others
Claim victory,
and that they
made the
difference
ONE OF
US
Why does this matter for communicators and
campaigners?
If you need to persuade people, affective polarization makes it harder to win
Credit: Adapted from Canvas (Center for Applied Nonviolent Action and Strategies)
Sorting
Decline of cross-
cutting identities
Media
Political campaigns
Increasing
homogeneity of
networks
Questions
and thoughts?
In summary:
• The world is polarizing. And it is getting worse
• Campaigning is (probably) contributing to the problem
• Need to question simple messages and narratives that create goodies and baddies
• This is hard, really really hard to solve
• So what can you do?
A basic experiment...
Outcomes for both groups
are measured
Population is divided into two
groups at random
Control
Intervention
Be open to changing your mind.
Your perceptions may be wrong.
Try and think of something substantive you’ve changed your mind on…
It can be a *great* way to start a conversation.
Alex Chesterfield
Alex@depolarizationproject.com
T: @alxchesterfield
Laura Osborne
Laura@depolarizationproject.com
T: @losborne14
5 March 2020
Conference: Changing hearts and
minds: social science insights for
communicators
Visit the CharityComms website to view
slides from past events, see what events
we have coming up and to check out
what else we do:
www.charitycomms.org.uk

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Why it's so hard to change minds

  • 1. Why it is so hard to change minds…
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Affective polarization will impact you, even if you think it isn’t going to. Especially if you think it isn’t going to.
  • 6. Alex Chesterfield Behavioural scientist Worked for consultancies, not-for-profits and regulators Mum of two, married to Will Lives in Guildford, England Grew up going to local schools Conservative, former politician
  • 7. Laura Osborne Comms expert Lives in Kent, husband and two kids Worked in commercial and government organisations Director at business lobby group Board member Started out in left-wing think tank, first person in family to go to university
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 13. Affective Polarization Issue Polarization “Divisions formed around one or more policy positions or issues” “Divisions formed around our social/group identity with increasing distrust and dislike of people from the opposing side.”
  • 14. Affective polarisation – a new phenomenon? Democratic attitudes about the Republican Party Republican attitudes about the Democratic Party 100%100% 68% 82% Unfavorable 17% 43% Unfavorable 57% 79% Unfavorable 16% 38% Unfavorable 2014199420141994 Source: 2014 Political Polarization in the American Public Note: Republicans include Republican-leaning independents; Democrats include Democratic-leaning independents PEW Research Center Perception of Remainers Closed-minded Hypocritical Selfish Honest Open-minded Intelligent Agreement 54321 Perception of Leavers Closed-minded Hypocritical Selfish Honest Open-minded Intelligent Agreement 54321 Remainer ID Leaver ID
  • 15. We like to put people into in and out groups and that alters how we behave towards them
  • 16. Do you think you would feel the same effects? Bad news: there is some evidence that if you are more educated and liberal you are particularly likely to be affected
  • 17. Supporter joins a campaign Get them to take a second action quickly Ask them to share on social media Get them to sign up others Claim victory, and that they made the difference ONE OF US
  • 18. Why does this matter for communicators and campaigners? If you need to persuade people, affective polarization makes it harder to win
  • 19. Credit: Adapted from Canvas (Center for Applied Nonviolent Action and Strategies)
  • 20. Sorting Decline of cross- cutting identities Media Political campaigns Increasing homogeneity of networks
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. In summary: • The world is polarizing. And it is getting worse • Campaigning is (probably) contributing to the problem • Need to question simple messages and narratives that create goodies and baddies • This is hard, really really hard to solve • So what can you do?
  • 25.
  • 26. A basic experiment... Outcomes for both groups are measured Population is divided into two groups at random Control Intervention
  • 27.
  • 28. Be open to changing your mind. Your perceptions may be wrong. Try and think of something substantive you’ve changed your mind on… It can be a *great* way to start a conversation.
  • 29. Alex Chesterfield Alex@depolarizationproject.com T: @alxchesterfield Laura Osborne Laura@depolarizationproject.com T: @losborne14
  • 30. 5 March 2020 Conference: Changing hearts and minds: social science insights for communicators
  • 31. Visit the CharityComms website to view slides from past events, see what events we have coming up and to check out what else we do: www.charitycomms.org.uk