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Ahmed Elyamany, PhD
October 31/November 3, 2010
•   •
•   •
•   •
•   •
•   •
•   •
•
   Write a short report (not less than 800 words) in
    one of the following topics:
    ◦   Egyptian Contractors Union
    ◦   Contractor prequalification
    ◦   Qualifications of Project Manager
    ◦   Software used in Estimating
   The report should include:
    ◦ Cover Page- Introduction- Discussion- Conclusion-
      References
   The evaluation criteria are:
    ◦ Organization 25%
    ◦ Discussion 50%
    ◦ References 25%.
 By the end of this lecture, you will:
1. Define the meaning and steps of Estimating.
2. Differentiate between Estimation and
   Calculation.
3. Estimate the cost of different construction
   activities.
4. Define the Method Statement.
5. Prepare a Method Statement for different
   construction items.


                                                 4
Definition:
 To judge approximately the value or produce the
  approximately cost of project.

Process:
 Planning and scheduling the estimate
 Project study - Collection of cost information and
  rates
 Preparation of method statement
 Assessing output of selected resources
 Calculation of the direct cost of each item
 Calculation of the site overhead
 Estimator report
Planning and scheduling the estimate




Project study                    Collection of cost information    Calculation of rates
                         -                                        - all-in labor rate
                                                              -
                         -                                   -    - all-in plant rate
                         -                                        - material cost
                                                             -
                         -                                        - sub-contractor cost
                          -

                             Preparation of method statement


            Assessing output of selected resources and elapsed time of resources


                         Calculation of the direct cost of each item


                                Calculation of the site overhead


                                    Estimator report













   Drawings
   Specifications
   Contract conditions
   Meeting with the owner and architect
   Site visit
   General description.
   Soil.
   Topography.
   Transportations.
   Utilities.
   Labors.
   Safety arrangements.
   Temporary buildings.
   Neighbors.
   Collection of cost information:
    ◦ Daily cost of labor.
    ◦ Daily cost of equipment.
    ◦ Cost of materials.

   Calculation of rates:
    ◦   All-in labor rate
    ◦   All-in plant rate
    ◦   Material cost
    ◦   Sub-contractor
   All-in labor rate (LE/day) =


                                       




      +        )–                      
                    (         +    +
   All-in plant rate (LE/day) =



                                           


    +       +       )–                     
                                   (   +
   A statement of the construction methods and
    resources to be employed in executing
    construction work. This statement is normally
    closely linked to the tender program

   Major factors in planning a method statement :
    ◦   Cost
    ◦   Time
    ◦   Resource availability
    ◦   Quality
    ◦   Health, Safety, and Environment
Alternative methods of construction
                     Alternative Sequence of work
                   Alternative rates of construction
                         Alternative site layout


                   Preferred method of construction


                   Pre-tender construction program



 Sequence of        Duration of       Duration of       Labor & plant
main activities    main activities   overall project      required
   Qualitative sequential screening for Alternative
    methods
Alternative methods   Acceptable to   Feasible   Adequate   Safety
                       consultant?                quality
Plywood                 √               √          √         √
Rough-swan              √               √          √         √
Steel                   √
Brick                   √               √          √
Corrugated iron
Corrugated asbestos     √               √          √          √
Trench sides
   Cost and time comparison for 3 shuttering
    methods that pass the previous screening process
     Cost / unit of shutter     plywood     Swan board   Asbestos
Material cost (LE)                 20          4           3
Off-site making cost (LE)
                             +     19          --          --
                             -
Residual value (LE)                4           --          --
Number of uses
                             /     10          3           1

On-site making cost (LE/use) +     8           9.5         10
                              {(20+19-4)/10} (4/3)+9.5    3+10
Total cost / use (LE/use)
                                +8 =11.5      =10.83       =13

   Methods of Estimating
    ◦ Unit method
                             

    ◦ Space method
                             

    ◦ Element method
                             

    ◦ Spot method
                             

    ◦ Detailed cost method
                             
   Detailed cost method
      Unit rate method



      Operational method
   Quantity of Plain concrete = 1080 m3
   1 m3 of P.C. consists of (250 kg cement + 0.8 m3 gravel +
    0.4 m3 sand)
   Vendor price of 1 m3 of P.C. =250 LE / m3
   Estimate Item price for plain concrete
Equipment crew
No.   Equipment          Production rate     All - in rate
1     Pump               30 m3/hr            650 LE/day
3     Truck mixer        9 m3/hr/one         520 LE/day/one
2     Vibrator           -------             150 LE/day/one

    Labor crew
                        No.                  All – in rate
    Foreman             1                    90 LE/day
    Laborer             5                    55 LE/day/one
Material cost
Assume allowable for (Handling + wastage + price
 increase + discount) = 22 %
Cost of 1 m3 of PC = 250 x 1.22 = 305 LE/m3
Material cost = 1080 x 305 = 329,400 LE

Labor cost
Labor crew cost / day = 1 x 90 + 5 x 55 =365 LE/day
Production rate = 30 OR 3 x 9 = 27 Choose 27 m3/hr
Duration = 1080 27 = 40 hr
Assume: one day = 8 hr
Duration = 40      8 = 5 days
Labor cost = 5days x 365 LE/day = 1,825 LE
Equipment cost
Equipment crew cost = 650 +3 x 520 + 2 x 150
                      = 2,510 LE/day
Duration = 5 days
Equipment cost = 5days x 2,510 LE/day = 12,550 LE
Item cost
Total item cost =329,400 +1,825 +12,550 =343,775
Assume price factor = 1.25
Item price = 343,775 x 1.25 = 429,718.75 LE
Item unit price = 429,718.75 LE  1080 m3
                = 397.89 LE/m3
Definition :
 A sum of money to cover costs which are
  forecasted but are difficult or impossible to
  identify when proposing.
Example
 If you know that site overheads = 10% direct cost
                 and mark-up = 15% construction cost

Calculate :
1) Total direct cost, construction cost, tender price, and unit
  price of each item for the project assuming no contingency is
  added to the total cost estimate

2) The amount of contingency to be added to the total
  construction cost estimate using the expected net risk
  analysis method

3) The final cost estimate and final tender price assuming
  uniform distribution of contingency
Direct cost                Maximum       %
No.          Item     Unit Quantity
                                                                              cost    probability
                                      Material Equipment   labor    S/C

1     LEFT ABUTMENT   m3     120      9,000     3,000      4,000     -      19,000       14%

2     CENTER PIER     m3     100      7,000      200       1,000     -      10,000       12%

3     RIGHT ABUTMENT m3      120      9,000     4,000      2,000     -      19,000       19%

4     DECK            m3     140      12,000    3,500      1,500     -      20,000       13%

5     PRE-CAST SPAN   m3     job        -         -            -   10,000   12,000        6%

6     FINISHES        m3     job        -         -            -   50,000   60,000       12%
Solution:
Construction cost = direct cost * 1.10
Tender price       = construction cost * 1.15
                   = 1.10 * 1.15 * direct cost
1) tender price = 1.265 D.C.
                                                          X 1.1             X 1.15
   total direct cost       = 116,200
   construction cost       = 127,820                         case 1
   tender price            = 146,993               Direct    construction       item
                                          No.
                                                   cost            cost         price
                                           1      16,000          17,600       20,240
                                           2       8,200           9,020       10,373
                                           3      15,000          16,500       18,975
                                           4      17,000          18,700       21,505
                                           5      10,000          11,000       12,650
                                           6      50,000          55,000       63,250
                                         Totals   116,200         127,820      146,993
Contingency calculation

                    -
         construction
         construction
                          max
                          max
                                     x case 2
                                  max.
                                  max.
                                       case 2
                                            %
                                            %
                                                  net
                                                   net
                                                            expected     final item
No.
No.          cost         cost     risk   prob.   risk        Cost         price
             cost         cost     risk   prob.   risk
 1         17,600       19,000    1,400    14%    196      17,822.73    20,496.14
 1         17,600        19,000   1,400    14%    196
 2          9,020       10,000    980     12%     117.6     9,134.15    10,504.27

 3         16,500       19,000    2,500   19%      475     16,708.81    19,215.13

 4         18,700       20,000    1,300   13%      169     18,936.65    21,777.15
 5         11,000       12,000    1,000    6%      60      11,139.21    12,810.09
 6         55,000       60,000    5,000   12%      600     55,696.03    64,050.43
 Total    127,820                                 1617.6   129,437.56   148,853.20

From the table above
amount of contingency to be added = 1617.6
contingency as % of total construction cost = (1617.6/127,820)*100 = 1.265 %
Total cost with contingency = 127,820 * 1.012655      = 129,437.56
Tender price with contingency = 129,437.56 * 1.15 = 148,53.2
Q1-Select the best answer for each of the following sentences:

1. The invitation to bidding should include:
    A)Drawings. B)Specifications. C)Initial and final bond. D)Bill of Quantity

2. In a certain highway project, the contractor decided to add site
  overhead equal to 15% of direct cost, general overhead equal to
  5% of construction cost, and profit & risk equal to 5% of net cost.
  The price factor should equal:
    A)1.25      B) 1.0    C) 1.2678          D)25%

3.The Profit & Risk is added to the project cost by the:
    A)Estimator. B)Owner. C)Architect/Engineer. D)Senior manager.

4.The supplementary conditions may include:
    A)Project duration. B)Payment system. C)Claims and change orders
      system. D)All the above.

5. Contract documents do not include:
    A)Drawings. B)Priced Bill of Quantity. C)Letter of offer. D)Contract
      conditions.
Questions?



             28

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Project Cost Estimation Report

  • 1. Ahmed Elyamany, PhD October 31/November 3, 2010
  • 2. • • • • • • • • • • • •
  • 3. Write a short report (not less than 800 words) in one of the following topics: ◦ Egyptian Contractors Union ◦ Contractor prequalification ◦ Qualifications of Project Manager ◦ Software used in Estimating  The report should include: ◦ Cover Page- Introduction- Discussion- Conclusion- References  The evaluation criteria are: ◦ Organization 25% ◦ Discussion 50% ◦ References 25%.
  • 4.  By the end of this lecture, you will: 1. Define the meaning and steps of Estimating. 2. Differentiate between Estimation and Calculation. 3. Estimate the cost of different construction activities. 4. Define the Method Statement. 5. Prepare a Method Statement for different construction items. 4
  • 5. Definition:  To judge approximately the value or produce the approximately cost of project. Process:  Planning and scheduling the estimate  Project study - Collection of cost information and rates  Preparation of method statement  Assessing output of selected resources  Calculation of the direct cost of each item  Calculation of the site overhead  Estimator report
  • 6. Planning and scheduling the estimate Project study Collection of cost information Calculation of rates - - all-in labor rate - - - - all-in plant rate - - material cost - - - sub-contractor cost - Preparation of method statement Assessing output of selected resources and elapsed time of resources Calculation of the direct cost of each item Calculation of the site overhead Estimator report
  • 8. Drawings  Specifications  Contract conditions  Meeting with the owner and architect  Site visit
  • 9. General description.  Soil.  Topography.  Transportations.  Utilities.  Labors.  Safety arrangements.  Temporary buildings.  Neighbors.
  • 10. Collection of cost information: ◦ Daily cost of labor. ◦ Daily cost of equipment. ◦ Cost of materials.  Calculation of rates: ◦ All-in labor rate ◦ All-in plant rate ◦ Material cost ◦ Sub-contractor
  • 11. All-in labor rate (LE/day) =  + )–  ( + +
  • 12. All-in plant rate (LE/day) =  + + )–  ( +
  • 13. A statement of the construction methods and resources to be employed in executing construction work. This statement is normally closely linked to the tender program  Major factors in planning a method statement : ◦ Cost ◦ Time ◦ Resource availability ◦ Quality ◦ Health, Safety, and Environment
  • 14. Alternative methods of construction Alternative Sequence of work Alternative rates of construction Alternative site layout Preferred method of construction Pre-tender construction program Sequence of Duration of Duration of Labor & plant main activities main activities overall project required
  • 15. Qualitative sequential screening for Alternative methods Alternative methods Acceptable to Feasible Adequate Safety consultant? quality Plywood √ √ √ √ Rough-swan √ √ √ √ Steel √ Brick √ √ √ Corrugated iron Corrugated asbestos √ √ √ √ Trench sides
  • 16. Cost and time comparison for 3 shuttering methods that pass the previous screening process Cost / unit of shutter plywood Swan board Asbestos Material cost (LE) 20 4 3 Off-site making cost (LE) + 19 -- -- - Residual value (LE) 4 -- -- Number of uses / 10 3 1 On-site making cost (LE/use) + 8 9.5 10 {(20+19-4)/10} (4/3)+9.5 3+10 Total cost / use (LE/use) +8 =11.5 =10.83 =13
  • 17.   Methods of Estimating ◦ Unit method  ◦ Space method  ◦ Element method  ◦ Spot method  ◦ Detailed cost method 
  • 18. Detailed cost method  Unit rate method  Operational method
  • 19. Quantity of Plain concrete = 1080 m3  1 m3 of P.C. consists of (250 kg cement + 0.8 m3 gravel + 0.4 m3 sand)  Vendor price of 1 m3 of P.C. =250 LE / m3  Estimate Item price for plain concrete Equipment crew No. Equipment Production rate All - in rate 1 Pump 30 m3/hr 650 LE/day 3 Truck mixer 9 m3/hr/one 520 LE/day/one 2 Vibrator ------- 150 LE/day/one Labor crew No. All – in rate Foreman 1 90 LE/day Laborer 5 55 LE/day/one
  • 20. Material cost Assume allowable for (Handling + wastage + price increase + discount) = 22 % Cost of 1 m3 of PC = 250 x 1.22 = 305 LE/m3 Material cost = 1080 x 305 = 329,400 LE Labor cost Labor crew cost / day = 1 x 90 + 5 x 55 =365 LE/day Production rate = 30 OR 3 x 9 = 27 Choose 27 m3/hr Duration = 1080 27 = 40 hr Assume: one day = 8 hr Duration = 40 8 = 5 days Labor cost = 5days x 365 LE/day = 1,825 LE
  • 21. Equipment cost Equipment crew cost = 650 +3 x 520 + 2 x 150 = 2,510 LE/day Duration = 5 days Equipment cost = 5days x 2,510 LE/day = 12,550 LE Item cost Total item cost =329,400 +1,825 +12,550 =343,775 Assume price factor = 1.25 Item price = 343,775 x 1.25 = 429,718.75 LE Item unit price = 429,718.75 LE 1080 m3 = 397.89 LE/m3
  • 22. Definition :  A sum of money to cover costs which are forecasted but are difficult or impossible to identify when proposing.
  • 23. Example  If you know that site overheads = 10% direct cost and mark-up = 15% construction cost Calculate : 1) Total direct cost, construction cost, tender price, and unit price of each item for the project assuming no contingency is added to the total cost estimate 2) The amount of contingency to be added to the total construction cost estimate using the expected net risk analysis method 3) The final cost estimate and final tender price assuming uniform distribution of contingency
  • 24. Direct cost Maximum % No. Item Unit Quantity cost probability Material Equipment labor S/C 1 LEFT ABUTMENT m3 120 9,000 3,000 4,000 - 19,000 14% 2 CENTER PIER m3 100 7,000 200 1,000 - 10,000 12% 3 RIGHT ABUTMENT m3 120 9,000 4,000 2,000 - 19,000 19% 4 DECK m3 140 12,000 3,500 1,500 - 20,000 13% 5 PRE-CAST SPAN m3 job - - - 10,000 12,000 6% 6 FINISHES m3 job - - - 50,000 60,000 12%
  • 25. Solution: Construction cost = direct cost * 1.10 Tender price = construction cost * 1.15 = 1.10 * 1.15 * direct cost 1) tender price = 1.265 D.C. X 1.1 X 1.15 total direct cost = 116,200 construction cost = 127,820 case 1 tender price = 146,993 Direct construction item No. cost cost price 1 16,000 17,600 20,240 2 8,200 9,020 10,373 3 15,000 16,500 18,975 4 17,000 18,700 21,505 5 10,000 11,000 12,650 6 50,000 55,000 63,250 Totals 116,200 127,820 146,993
  • 26. Contingency calculation - construction construction max max x case 2 max. max. case 2 % % net net expected final item No. No. cost cost risk prob. risk Cost price cost cost risk prob. risk 1 17,600 19,000 1,400 14% 196 17,822.73 20,496.14 1 17,600 19,000 1,400 14% 196 2 9,020 10,000 980 12% 117.6 9,134.15 10,504.27 3 16,500 19,000 2,500 19% 475 16,708.81 19,215.13 4 18,700 20,000 1,300 13% 169 18,936.65 21,777.15 5 11,000 12,000 1,000 6% 60 11,139.21 12,810.09 6 55,000 60,000 5,000 12% 600 55,696.03 64,050.43 Total 127,820 1617.6 129,437.56 148,853.20 From the table above amount of contingency to be added = 1617.6 contingency as % of total construction cost = (1617.6/127,820)*100 = 1.265 % Total cost with contingency = 127,820 * 1.012655 = 129,437.56 Tender price with contingency = 129,437.56 * 1.15 = 148,53.2
  • 27. Q1-Select the best answer for each of the following sentences: 1. The invitation to bidding should include: A)Drawings. B)Specifications. C)Initial and final bond. D)Bill of Quantity 2. In a certain highway project, the contractor decided to add site overhead equal to 15% of direct cost, general overhead equal to 5% of construction cost, and profit & risk equal to 5% of net cost. The price factor should equal: A)1.25 B) 1.0 C) 1.2678 D)25% 3.The Profit & Risk is added to the project cost by the: A)Estimator. B)Owner. C)Architect/Engineer. D)Senior manager. 4.The supplementary conditions may include: A)Project duration. B)Payment system. C)Claims and change orders system. D)All the above. 5. Contract documents do not include: A)Drawings. B)Priced Bill of Quantity. C)Letter of offer. D)Contract conditions.