SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 5
Download to read offline
First Half 2004 August 16, 2004
Jan Feb Mar 1Q04 Apr May June 2Q04 YTD
Long 2.1% 2.8% 2.1% 7.0% -4.3% 1.3% 1.8% -1.3% 5.7%
Short -0.1% -0.7% -1.0% -1.8% 1.2% -0.9% -0.5% -0.2% -2.0%
Total 2.0% 2.2% 1.0% 5.1% -3.0% 0.3% 1.3% -1.5% 3.6%
S&P 500 1.7% 1.2% -1.6% 1.3% -1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 2.6%
NASDAQ Composite 3.1% -1.8% -1.8% -0.5% -3.7% 3.5% 3.0% 2.6% 2.2%
Russell 2000 4.3% 0.8% 0.8% 5.9% -5.2% 1.5% 4.0% 0.2% 6.2%
Dow 0.3% 0.9% -2.1% -0.9% -1.3% -0.4% 2.4% 0.7% -0.2%
* Estimated returns are gross of all fees and expenses.
“The price of ability does not depend on merit, but on supply and demand.”
- George Bernard Shaw
Dear Partners:
Western Reserve Hedged Equity, LP (“WRHE”) declined 1.5% in the second quarter and
is up approximately 3.6% for the first half of the year. The quarter was dominated by
extreme volatility in the broader market and very poor performance in financial-related
stocks ahead of the first Fed rate hike in nearly five years.
April witnessed a sharp sell-off in Western Reserve’s real estate and financial services
holdings, WRHE’s highest recurring revenue investments, as the broad market focused
on interest rates. Job growth picked up significant steam in March after lagging (and
frightfully so) for much of the expansion. The sudden timetable shift forward for action
by the Federal Reserve in early April caused investors to rotate (we suspect over-rotate)
out of high recurring revenue financial-related investments into more counter cyclical,
large cap and staple investments (food e.g.). This is a normal knee-jerk reaction by the
investing public and many terrific companies (e.g. Citigroup in which the fund has never
held a position) were down over 10% during the second quarter. REITs were down 18%
at their trough by mid May.
Investors are struggling in 2004 to assess risk amid a very turbulent period for
macroeconomic factors including concerns over inflation, interest rates, the economy,
Iraq, the fall election, record nominal oil prices and terrorism (did we get all of them?).
Regardless, we continue to stick with our investment discipline and the inefficient
marketplace has afforded us highly attractive entry points in many stocks. Additionally,
some uniquely compelling late stage private equity opportunities have surfaced due to
hostile public market conditions.
100 Crescent Court, Suite 400 • Dallas, Texas 75201• (214)871-6720 • (214)871-6713 Fax
August 16, 2004
The partnership’s longs continued to see terrific fundamentals during April’s earnings
reporting season in the face of a steep decline in prices and this was repeated during the
July reporting season as well. Investor reaction to strong fundamentals can at best be
described as disappointing so far in 2004.
Perhaps an example of how distorted the risk premium in public market pricing has
become can readily be seen in some of the partnership’s larger long holdings.
As of June 30, 2004:
2005E
Price/Cash
Earnings
Cash Earnings
Growth Rate PEG
Implied Cash
Earnings Yield Dividend Yield
ACF 9x 20% 45% 12% N/A
AHM* 7x 15% 50% 13% 12%
COF 10x 18% 55% 10% N/A
CKFR 8x 20% 40% 17% N/A
NCEN* 5x 17% 30% 18% 15%
NDE 7x 18% 40% 13% 4%
Private A* 5x 20% 25% 16% 16%
S&P 500 20x 8% 250% 6% 2%
*pro forma for REIT conversion.
At the end of the second quarter, the fund’s long position P/E stood at an average of
10.7x our estimate for next twelve month’s earnings or operating cash flow equivalent
and an average cash earnings yield that exceeds 11% (almost double the broader market).
Conversely, we forecast long position growth of earnings or cash flow equivalent to
exceed 18% in the coming twelve months. That’s about as compelling a discount
(valuation and implied earnings yield) relative to growth as we have seen in other tough
periods, including crisis periods such as Long-Term Capital in 1998 and after 9/11.
Conversely, the partnership’s short positions carry a much higher 21x average P/E and
averages a far less compelling cash earnings yield of under 6%. Thus, any differentiation
by the market should be well rewarded down the road as more efficient conditions
resume.
We have high conviction in our growth rate assumptions for the partnership’s longs due
to our intense focus on high recurring revenue business models. For example, we did not
suffer a single estimate miss during the second quarter earnings period nor did a single
one of our longs call down future earnings or growth estimates while many increased
their forecast. Amid the malaise for most stocks, we are finding terrific bargains as a
result. While the rewards are not immediate given current market conditions, we are very
compelled by the growing number of opportunities we are seeing through our
fundamental research.
100 Crescent Court, Suite 400 • Dallas, Texas 75201• (214)871-6720 • (214)871-6713 Fax
August 16, 2004
In the first quarter 2004 letter, we discussed a few of WRHE’s winners. As we reflect
upon the second quarter, it’s a good time to recap our core investment philosophy and
strategy given that the market is currently not focusing on fundamentals.
Western Reserve espouses a purely bottom-up fundamental and valuation discipline to
stock selection. We use strict sell/cover disciplines to avert material harm driven by
events outside our research scope and capabilities. Predicting oil prices, interest rates and
terrorism are among our more decidedly absent skill sets. If these issues were to become
a serious threat to portfolio positions, our disciplines would reduce these threats stock by
stock on volume, volatility and price movement measures we have employed for some
time.
The important point is that we invest in firms where their fundamentals are not dictated
by a commodity. The more a highly skilled management team and a superior business
strategy dictates fundamental outcome, the more interested we become as investors.
However, that does not preclude their stocks from trading like a commodity during
inefficient markets driven by sudden shifts in macro expectations and fear on the part of
the investing public.
We strongly believe the market will revert to trading on fundamentals. It always does.
Expectations, both local and global, will affect stocks in the short term, but only earnings
affect stock prices over time. Our highly disciplined valuation focus, which encompasses
both public and private market valuation metrics, is used to measure our entry and exit
points. Put succinctly, our earnings forecasts dictate our interest long and short and
valuation drives timing.
Thus, we see the investment landscape in a very simplified way: (i) get the earnings right
through intensive fundamental research and by focusing on superior business models; (ii)
hold for valuation by being disciplined not to over pay; and (iii) use strict sell/cover
disciplines to mitigate mistakes made in (i) or (ii).
Our short discipline is to identify companies that have fundamental business flaws which
prevent them from generating consistent earnings (and thus economic value), and whose
valuations are intrinsically high as a result.
If we remain focused upon our research and get the earnings right, the enormous disparity
between growth and valuation should take care of itself here in time.
So far, 2004 is a slugfest for stocks driven by macro forces. As such, we remain
disenfranchised (albeit not surprised) but not disengaged by the sheer top down nature of
the market so far. As Fed policy now has become a focus as more economic data is
digested and the election uncertainty gets discounted, investors again will turn to
fundamentals. What is important to our style of investing is not predicting macro shifts,
but rather staying on point by getting the fundamentals right while waiting for investors
to discount macro shifts and return to fundamental investing.
100 Crescent Court, Suite 400 • Dallas, Texas 75201• (214)871-6720 • (214)871-6713 Fax
August 16, 2004
Occasionally and despite our protest, we are reminded of something the great satirist and
Noble Laureate George Bernard Shaw said about merit when we apply it to the oft
delicate balance between supply and demand for stocks during controversial times - “The
price of ability does not depend on merit, but on supply and demand.” Stay the course.
Inefficiency, while frustrating at times, is more our friend than our foe.
Regards,
Michael P. Durante
Managing Partner
100 Crescent Court, Suite 400 • Dallas, Texas 75201• (214)871-6720 • (214)871-6713 Fax
August 16, 2004
Summary for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2004
Western Reserve Hedged Equity, LP
Positions Perf.
Ending
Exposure
Average
Exposure
Long 53 5.7% 88% 72%
Short 40 -2.0% 46% 38%
Total (Gross) 93 3.6% 134% 110%
Total (Net) (1)
2.3% 42% 31%
(1) Estimated performance net of expenses, management fee and prospective incentive allocation.
Composition by Sector (% of Capital)
Sector Long Short Gross Net
Business Services 8% -3% 11% 5%
Consumer 10% -8% 18% 2%
Financial Institutions 16% -15% 31% 1%
Financial Services 22% -9% 31% 13%
Healthcare 1% 0% 1% 1%
Industrial 0% 0% 0% 0%
Technology 3% 0% 3% 3%
Technology Services 16% -2% 18% 14%
Yield/Real Estate 12% -9% 21% 3%
88% -46% 134% 42%
Percent of Total Capital
Top 3 Winners Overall YTD
Long Short Long Short
Top 5 17% 10% Metris Companies CarMax
Top 10 31% 19% Alliance Data Services Bearing Point
Doral Financial Krispy Kreme
Attribution Analysis - Contribution to Total Return (gross)
Jan Feb Mar 1Q04 Apr May June 2Q04 YTD
Long 2.1% 2.8% 2.1% 7.0% -4.3% 1.3% 1.8% -1.3% 5.7%
Short -0.1% -0.7% -1.0% -1.8% 1.2% -0.9% -0.5% -0.2% -2.0%
Total 2.0% 2.2% 1.0% 5.1% -3.0% 0.3% 1.3% -1.5% 3.6%
S&P 500 1.7% 1.2% -1.6% 1.3% -1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 2.6%
NASDAQ Composite 3.1% -1.8% -1.8% -0.5% -3.7% 3.5% 3.0% 2.6% 2.2%
Russell 2000 4.3% 0.8% 0.8% 5.9% -5.2% 1.5% 4.0% 0.2% 6.2%
Dow 0.3% 0.9% -2.1% -0.9% -1.3% -0.4% 2.4% 0.7% -0.2%
Six Months
100 Crescent Court, Suite 400 • Dallas, Texas 75201• (214)871-6720 • (214)871-6713 Fax

More Related Content

What's hot

2017 Market Outlook - Emerging Markets Debt
2017 Market Outlook - Emerging Markets Debt2017 Market Outlook - Emerging Markets Debt
2017 Market Outlook - Emerging Markets DebtT. Rowe Price
 
2017 Market Outlook - Global Fixed Income
2017 Market Outlook - Global Fixed Income2017 Market Outlook - Global Fixed Income
2017 Market Outlook - Global Fixed IncomeT. Rowe Price
 
2017 Market Outlook - International Equity
2017 Market Outlook - International Equity 2017 Market Outlook - International Equity
2017 Market Outlook - International Equity T. Rowe Price
 
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016Duff & Phelps
 
Sprung investment management commentary 4th quarter, 2013
Sprung investment management commentary   4th quarter, 2013Sprung investment management commentary   4th quarter, 2013
Sprung investment management commentary 4th quarter, 2013Robert Champion
 
Getting Through a Volatile Market
Getting Through a Volatile MarketGetting Through a Volatile Market
Getting Through a Volatile MarketJLinneman
 
2010 LPL Financial Outlook
2010 LPL Financial Outlook2010 LPL Financial Outlook
2010 LPL Financial Outlookguestc5af6ef
 
Hyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly CommentaryHyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly Commentaryhyrejam
 
Capital Markets Insights - Q4 2016
Capital Markets Insights - Q4 2016Capital Markets Insights - Q4 2016
Capital Markets Insights - Q4 2016Duff & Phelps
 
NWAM investment outlook 12-31-18
NWAM investment outlook 12-31-18NWAM investment outlook 12-31-18
NWAM investment outlook 12-31-18Patrick Thuemmel
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q05 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q05 letterMichael Durante Western Reserve 2Q05 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q05 letterMichael Durante
 
Q3 2016 Review and Outlook
Q3 2016 Review and OutlookQ3 2016 Review and Outlook
Q3 2016 Review and Outlookgjohnsen
 
31002261 Mark Woodworth Pkf Consulting What Better Time
31002261 Mark Woodworth Pkf Consulting What Better Time31002261 Mark Woodworth Pkf Consulting What Better Time
31002261 Mark Woodworth Pkf Consulting What Better TimeDanilo Papaleo
 
Capital Markets Review Q1 2009
Capital Markets Review Q1 2009Capital Markets Review Q1 2009
Capital Markets Review Q1 2009dkeogh
 
FIRC Fixed Inocme, Rates, and Credit
FIRC Fixed Inocme, Rates, and CreditFIRC Fixed Inocme, Rates, and Credit
FIRC Fixed Inocme, Rates, and CreditMinyanville Media
 
2010 Lpl Outlook
2010 Lpl Outlook2010 Lpl Outlook
2010 Lpl Outlooktmardin
 

What's hot (20)

2017 Market Outlook - Emerging Markets Debt
2017 Market Outlook - Emerging Markets Debt2017 Market Outlook - Emerging Markets Debt
2017 Market Outlook - Emerging Markets Debt
 
2017 Market Outlook - Global Fixed Income
2017 Market Outlook - Global Fixed Income2017 Market Outlook - Global Fixed Income
2017 Market Outlook - Global Fixed Income
 
2017 Market Outlook - International Equity
2017 Market Outlook - International Equity 2017 Market Outlook - International Equity
2017 Market Outlook - International Equity
 
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016
 
Sprung investment management commentary 4th quarter, 2013
Sprung investment management commentary   4th quarter, 2013Sprung investment management commentary   4th quarter, 2013
Sprung investment management commentary 4th quarter, 2013
 
Ml inv rule_of100x
Ml inv rule_of100xMl inv rule_of100x
Ml inv rule_of100x
 
Getting Through a Volatile Market
Getting Through a Volatile MarketGetting Through a Volatile Market
Getting Through a Volatile Market
 
2010 LPL Financial Outlook
2010 LPL Financial Outlook2010 LPL Financial Outlook
2010 LPL Financial Outlook
 
Inr outlook june 2020
Inr outlook june 2020Inr outlook june 2020
Inr outlook june 2020
 
The Litmus test
The Litmus testThe Litmus test
The Litmus test
 
Hyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly CommentaryHyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly Commentary
 
Capital Markets Insights - Q4 2016
Capital Markets Insights - Q4 2016Capital Markets Insights - Q4 2016
Capital Markets Insights - Q4 2016
 
NWAM investment outlook 12-31-18
NWAM investment outlook 12-31-18NWAM investment outlook 12-31-18
NWAM investment outlook 12-31-18
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q05 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q05 letterMichael Durante Western Reserve 2Q05 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q05 letter
 
May 8th
May 8thMay 8th
May 8th
 
Q3 2016 Review and Outlook
Q3 2016 Review and OutlookQ3 2016 Review and Outlook
Q3 2016 Review and Outlook
 
31002261 Mark Woodworth Pkf Consulting What Better Time
31002261 Mark Woodworth Pkf Consulting What Better Time31002261 Mark Woodworth Pkf Consulting What Better Time
31002261 Mark Woodworth Pkf Consulting What Better Time
 
Capital Markets Review Q1 2009
Capital Markets Review Q1 2009Capital Markets Review Q1 2009
Capital Markets Review Q1 2009
 
FIRC Fixed Inocme, Rates, and Credit
FIRC Fixed Inocme, Rates, and CreditFIRC Fixed Inocme, Rates, and Credit
FIRC Fixed Inocme, Rates, and Credit
 
2010 Lpl Outlook
2010 Lpl Outlook2010 Lpl Outlook
2010 Lpl Outlook
 

Viewers also liked

Check valves
Check valvesCheck valves
Check valvesRobinsain
 
Ashcan Studio of Art: Art School Admissions
Ashcan Studio of Art: Art School Admissions  Ashcan Studio of Art: Art School Admissions
Ashcan Studio of Art: Art School Admissions Ashcan Studio
 
Seo and inbound marketing
Seo and inbound marketingSeo and inbound marketing
Seo and inbound marketingBrad Knutson
 
Garde shellfish-futures3
Garde shellfish-futures3Garde shellfish-futures3
Garde shellfish-futures3progressive01
 
Introduction to computer components
Introduction to computer componentsIntroduction to computer components
Introduction to computer componentsednviv01
 
Etrangesphotos
EtrangesphotosEtrangesphotos
EtrangesphotosFarenik
 
Nikolay karadjov-2013
Nikolay karadjov-2013Nikolay karadjov-2013
Nikolay karadjov-2013Sim Aleksiev
 
IAI EXPO 2014 | 20-22 Feb
IAI EXPO 2014 | 20-22 FebIAI EXPO 2014 | 20-22 Feb
IAI EXPO 2014 | 20-22 FebPoultrymagazine
 
Presentation kls xi MTs Asyrofuddin
Presentation kls xi MTs AsyrofuddinPresentation kls xi MTs Asyrofuddin
Presentation kls xi MTs Asyrofuddineman sulaeman
 
Proactive Approaches for Building a Professional Network
Proactive Approaches for Building a Professional NetworkProactive Approaches for Building a Professional Network
Proactive Approaches for Building a Professional NetworkDonna Kridelbaugh
 
Menemukan konsep mengkonversi , Pembelajaran ingkuiri
Menemukan konsep mengkonversi , Pembelajaran ingkuiriMenemukan konsep mengkonversi , Pembelajaran ingkuiri
Menemukan konsep mengkonversi , Pembelajaran ingkuiriNuril anwar
 
Implications of Climate Change
Implications of Climate ChangeImplications of Climate Change
Implications of Climate ChangeTanmay Srivastava
 
программа «пять ролей менеджера компании франчайзора
программа  «пять ролей менеджера компании  франчайзорапрограмма  «пять ролей менеджера компании  франчайзора
программа «пять ролей менеджера компании франчайзораЕлена Виль-Вильямс
 
Pembelajaran pengayaan
Pembelajaran pengayaanPembelajaran pengayaan
Pembelajaran pengayaanNuril anwar
 
Correccion de ingles
Correccion de inglesCorreccion de ingles
Correccion de inglessanjoel
 
Oleg gochev-2014.eng-1
Oleg gochev-2014.eng-1Oleg gochev-2014.eng-1
Oleg gochev-2014.eng-1Sim Aleksiev
 

Viewers also liked (20)

Check valves
Check valvesCheck valves
Check valves
 
Ashcan Studio of Art: Art School Admissions
Ashcan Studio of Art: Art School Admissions  Ashcan Studio of Art: Art School Admissions
Ashcan Studio of Art: Art School Admissions
 
Seo and inbound marketing
Seo and inbound marketingSeo and inbound marketing
Seo and inbound marketing
 
Garde shellfish-futures3
Garde shellfish-futures3Garde shellfish-futures3
Garde shellfish-futures3
 
Introduction to computer components
Introduction to computer componentsIntroduction to computer components
Introduction to computer components
 
Etrangesphotos
EtrangesphotosEtrangesphotos
Etrangesphotos
 
Nikola gylev-2013
Nikola gylev-2013Nikola gylev-2013
Nikola gylev-2013
 
Nikolay karadjov-2013
Nikolay karadjov-2013Nikolay karadjov-2013
Nikolay karadjov-2013
 
IAI EXPO 2014 | 20-22 Feb
IAI EXPO 2014 | 20-22 FebIAI EXPO 2014 | 20-22 Feb
IAI EXPO 2014 | 20-22 Feb
 
Presentation kls xi MTs Asyrofuddin
Presentation kls xi MTs AsyrofuddinPresentation kls xi MTs Asyrofuddin
Presentation kls xi MTs Asyrofuddin
 
Proactive Approaches for Building a Professional Network
Proactive Approaches for Building a Professional NetworkProactive Approaches for Building a Professional Network
Proactive Approaches for Building a Professional Network
 
Sporting & buttonpath limited bruma
Sporting & buttonpath limited   brumaSporting & buttonpath limited   bruma
Sporting & buttonpath limited bruma
 
Mechano
MechanoMechano
Mechano
 
Menemukan konsep mengkonversi , Pembelajaran ingkuiri
Menemukan konsep mengkonversi , Pembelajaran ingkuiriMenemukan konsep mengkonversi , Pembelajaran ingkuiri
Menemukan konsep mengkonversi , Pembelajaran ingkuiri
 
Implications of Climate Change
Implications of Climate ChangeImplications of Climate Change
Implications of Climate Change
 
программа «пять ролей менеджера компании франчайзора
программа  «пять ролей менеджера компании  франчайзорапрограмма  «пять ролей менеджера компании  франчайзора
программа «пять ролей менеджера компании франчайзора
 
Pembelajaran pengayaan
Pembelajaran pengayaanPembelajaran pengayaan
Pembelajaran pengayaan
 
Opticsandlight
OpticsandlightOpticsandlight
Opticsandlight
 
Correccion de ingles
Correccion de inglesCorreccion de ingles
Correccion de ingles
 
Oleg gochev-2014.eng-1
Oleg gochev-2014.eng-1Oleg gochev-2014.eng-1
Oleg gochev-2014.eng-1
 

Similar to Michael Durante Western Reserve WRHE 2Q04 letter

Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q05
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q05Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q05
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q05Michael Durante
 
Pursuing a Better Investment Experience with Capital Associates
Pursuing a Better Investment Experience with Capital AssociatesPursuing a Better Investment Experience with Capital Associates
Pursuing a Better Investment Experience with Capital AssociatesRobUgiansky
 
True-Insight-Spring-2016-1
True-Insight-Spring-2016-1True-Insight-Spring-2016-1
True-Insight-Spring-2016-1Barrie Kent
 
Market Volatility - Fight or Flight
Market Volatility - Fight or FlightMarket Volatility - Fight or Flight
Market Volatility - Fight or FlightIan Po
 
Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015
Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015
Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015Alan Chu
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q04
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q04Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q04
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q04Michael Durante
 
Putnam Equity Income Fund Q&A Q2 2013
Putnam Equity Income Fund Q&A Q2 2013Putnam Equity Income Fund Q&A Q2 2013
Putnam Equity Income Fund Q&A Q2 2013Putnam Investments
 
Asset Allocation And Your Portfolio
Asset Allocation And Your PortfolioAsset Allocation And Your Portfolio
Asset Allocation And Your PortfolioWilliamDeye
 
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINAL
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINALBMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINAL
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINALAdam Phillips
 
Market update - October 24, 2018
Market update -  October 24, 2018Market update -  October 24, 2018
Market update - October 24, 2018Dr. Nathaly Gagnon
 
DSP Equity Oppotunities Fund
DSP Equity Oppotunities FundDSP Equity Oppotunities Fund
DSP Equity Oppotunities FundDSP Mutual Fund
 
Gmo absolute return
Gmo absolute returnGmo absolute return
Gmo absolute returnLance Conn
 
Finance Market Performance
Finance Market PerformanceFinance Market Performance
Finance Market Performanceessaypro359
 
10 key trends changing investment management
10 key trends changing investment management10 key trends changing investment management
10 key trends changing investment managementtessat97
 

Similar to Michael Durante Western Reserve WRHE 2Q04 letter (20)

Dr. Αvi Sharon, ocin22
Dr. Αvi Sharon, ocin22Dr. Αvi Sharon, ocin22
Dr. Αvi Sharon, ocin22
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q05
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q05Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q05
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q05
 
Pursuing a Better Investment Experience with Capital Associates
Pursuing a Better Investment Experience with Capital AssociatesPursuing a Better Investment Experience with Capital Associates
Pursuing a Better Investment Experience with Capital Associates
 
True-Insight-Spring-2016-1
True-Insight-Spring-2016-1True-Insight-Spring-2016-1
True-Insight-Spring-2016-1
 
Inheritance, Retirement & Cash Flow
Inheritance, Retirement & Cash FlowInheritance, Retirement & Cash Flow
Inheritance, Retirement & Cash Flow
 
Market Volatility - Fight or Flight
Market Volatility - Fight or FlightMarket Volatility - Fight or Flight
Market Volatility - Fight or Flight
 
Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015
Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015
Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q04
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q04Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q04
Michael Durante Western Reserve 1Q04
 
2014 Global Macro Outlook - Nov 2013
2014 Global Macro Outlook - Nov 20132014 Global Macro Outlook - Nov 2013
2014 Global Macro Outlook - Nov 2013
 
Putnam Equity Income Fund Q&A Q2 2013
Putnam Equity Income Fund Q&A Q2 2013Putnam Equity Income Fund Q&A Q2 2013
Putnam Equity Income Fund Q&A Q2 2013
 
Asset Allocation And Your Portfolio
Asset Allocation And Your PortfolioAsset Allocation And Your Portfolio
Asset Allocation And Your Portfolio
 
US
USUS
US
 
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINAL
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINALBMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINAL
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINAL
 
Market update - October 24, 2018
Market update -  October 24, 2018Market update -  October 24, 2018
Market update - October 24, 2018
 
DSP Equity Oppotunities Fund
DSP Equity Oppotunities FundDSP Equity Oppotunities Fund
DSP Equity Oppotunities Fund
 
Asset allocation update
Asset allocation updateAsset allocation update
Asset allocation update
 
Gmo absolute return
Gmo absolute returnGmo absolute return
Gmo absolute return
 
1st Quarter 2009 Powerpoint
1st Quarter 2009 Powerpoint1st Quarter 2009 Powerpoint
1st Quarter 2009 Powerpoint
 
Finance Market Performance
Finance Market PerformanceFinance Market Performance
Finance Market Performance
 
10 key trends changing investment management
10 key trends changing investment management10 key trends changing investment management
10 key trends changing investment management
 

More from Michael Durante

Blackwall partners 2 qtr 2016- transient volatility part iii
Blackwall partners  2 qtr 2016- transient volatility part iiiBlackwall partners  2 qtr 2016- transient volatility part iii
Blackwall partners 2 qtr 2016- transient volatility part iiiMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings - BlackwallPartners
Michael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings - BlackwallPartnersMichael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings - BlackwallPartners
Michael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings - BlackwallPartnersMichael Durante
 
Valuation Analysis - EBITDA Shortcomings
Valuation Analysis - EBITDA Shortcomings Valuation Analysis - EBITDA Shortcomings
Valuation Analysis - EBITDA Shortcomings Michael Durante
 
Michael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings
Michael Durante EBITDA ShortcomingsMichael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings
Michael Durante EBITDA ShortcomingsMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve March 2011- Camel Race
Michael Durante Western Reserve March 2011- Camel RaceMichael Durante Western Reserve March 2011- Camel Race
Michael Durante Western Reserve March 2011- Camel RaceMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve Blackwall Partners 2011 outlook primer- final
Michael Durante Western Reserve Blackwall Partners   2011 outlook primer- finalMichael Durante Western Reserve Blackwall Partners   2011 outlook primer- final
Michael Durante Western Reserve Blackwall Partners 2011 outlook primer- finalMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 3Q07 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 3Q07 letterMichael Durante Western Reserve 3Q07 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 3Q07 letterMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q06 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q06 letterMichael Durante Western Reserve 2Q06 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q06 letterMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve Basel III western reserve- commentary
Michael Durante Western Reserve Basel III   western reserve- commentaryMichael Durante Western Reserve Basel III   western reserve- commentary
Michael Durante Western Reserve Basel III western reserve- commentaryMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve spring 2010 review
Michael Durante Western Reserve  spring 2010 reviewMichael Durante Western Reserve  spring 2010 review
Michael Durante Western Reserve spring 2010 reviewMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve research compilation
Michael Durante Western Reserve  research compilationMichael Durante Western Reserve  research compilation
Michael Durante Western Reserve research compilationMichael Durante
 
Are bean counters to blame
Are bean counters to blameAre bean counters to blame
Are bean counters to blameMichael Durante
 
Study on mark to-market accounting
Study on mark to-market accountingStudy on mark to-market accounting
Study on mark to-market accountingMichael Durante
 
Michael Western Reserve financial reform primer- march 2010
Michael Western Reserve  financial reform primer- march 2010Michael Western Reserve  financial reform primer- march 2010
Michael Western Reserve financial reform primer- march 2010Michael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve research analysis- camel example
Michael Durante Western Reserve  research analysis- camel exampleMichael Durante Western Reserve  research analysis- camel example
Michael Durante Western Reserve research analysis- camel exampleMichael Durante
 
Michael Western Reserve spring 2010 review
Michael Western Reserve  spring 2010 reviewMichael Western Reserve  spring 2010 review
Michael Western Reserve spring 2010 reviewMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve research compilation
Michael Durante Western Reserve  research compilationMichael Durante Western Reserve  research compilation
Michael Durante Western Reserve research compilationMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2009 review and 2010 outlook
Michael Durante Western Reserve  2009 review and 2010 outlookMichael Durante Western Reserve  2009 review and 2010 outlook
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2009 review and 2010 outlookMichael Durante
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2009 review and 2010 outlook
Michael Durante Western Reserve  2009 review and 2010 outlookMichael Durante Western Reserve  2009 review and 2010 outlook
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2009 review and 2010 outlookMichael Durante
 

More from Michael Durante (20)

Blackwall partners 2 qtr 2016- transient volatility part iii
Blackwall partners  2 qtr 2016- transient volatility part iiiBlackwall partners  2 qtr 2016- transient volatility part iii
Blackwall partners 2 qtr 2016- transient volatility part iii
 
EBITDA Shortcomings
EBITDA ShortcomingsEBITDA Shortcomings
EBITDA Shortcomings
 
Michael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings - BlackwallPartners
Michael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings - BlackwallPartnersMichael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings - BlackwallPartners
Michael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings - BlackwallPartners
 
Valuation Analysis - EBITDA Shortcomings
Valuation Analysis - EBITDA Shortcomings Valuation Analysis - EBITDA Shortcomings
Valuation Analysis - EBITDA Shortcomings
 
Michael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings
Michael Durante EBITDA ShortcomingsMichael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings
Michael Durante EBITDA Shortcomings
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve March 2011- Camel Race
Michael Durante Western Reserve March 2011- Camel RaceMichael Durante Western Reserve March 2011- Camel Race
Michael Durante Western Reserve March 2011- Camel Race
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve Blackwall Partners 2011 outlook primer- final
Michael Durante Western Reserve Blackwall Partners   2011 outlook primer- finalMichael Durante Western Reserve Blackwall Partners   2011 outlook primer- final
Michael Durante Western Reserve Blackwall Partners 2011 outlook primer- final
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 3Q07 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 3Q07 letterMichael Durante Western Reserve 3Q07 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 3Q07 letter
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q06 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q06 letterMichael Durante Western Reserve 2Q06 letter
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2Q06 letter
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve Basel III western reserve- commentary
Michael Durante Western Reserve Basel III   western reserve- commentaryMichael Durante Western Reserve Basel III   western reserve- commentary
Michael Durante Western Reserve Basel III western reserve- commentary
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve spring 2010 review
Michael Durante Western Reserve  spring 2010 reviewMichael Durante Western Reserve  spring 2010 review
Michael Durante Western Reserve spring 2010 review
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve research compilation
Michael Durante Western Reserve  research compilationMichael Durante Western Reserve  research compilation
Michael Durante Western Reserve research compilation
 
Are bean counters to blame
Are bean counters to blameAre bean counters to blame
Are bean counters to blame
 
Study on mark to-market accounting
Study on mark to-market accountingStudy on mark to-market accounting
Study on mark to-market accounting
 
Michael Western Reserve financial reform primer- march 2010
Michael Western Reserve  financial reform primer- march 2010Michael Western Reserve  financial reform primer- march 2010
Michael Western Reserve financial reform primer- march 2010
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve research analysis- camel example
Michael Durante Western Reserve  research analysis- camel exampleMichael Durante Western Reserve  research analysis- camel example
Michael Durante Western Reserve research analysis- camel example
 
Michael Western Reserve spring 2010 review
Michael Western Reserve  spring 2010 reviewMichael Western Reserve  spring 2010 review
Michael Western Reserve spring 2010 review
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve research compilation
Michael Durante Western Reserve  research compilationMichael Durante Western Reserve  research compilation
Michael Durante Western Reserve research compilation
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2009 review and 2010 outlook
Michael Durante Western Reserve  2009 review and 2010 outlookMichael Durante Western Reserve  2009 review and 2010 outlook
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2009 review and 2010 outlook
 
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2009 review and 2010 outlook
Michael Durante Western Reserve  2009 review and 2010 outlookMichael Durante Western Reserve  2009 review and 2010 outlook
Michael Durante Western Reserve 2009 review and 2010 outlook
 

Recently uploaded

Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfIntro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfpollardmorgan
 
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear RegressionRegression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear RegressionRavindra Nath Shukla
 
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...Dipal Arora
 
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024christinemoorman
 
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,noida100girls
 
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitProgress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitHolger Mueller
 
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.Aaiza Hassan
 
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptx
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptxNon Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptx
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptxAbhayThakur200703
 
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023Neil Kimberley
 
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth MarketingTech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth MarketingShawn Pang
 
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...lizamodels9
 
GD Birla and his contribution in management
GD Birla and his contribution in managementGD Birla and his contribution in management
GD Birla and his contribution in managementchhavia330
 
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...anilsa9823
 
Pharma Works Profile of Karan Communications
Pharma Works Profile of Karan CommunicationsPharma Works Profile of Karan Communications
Pharma Works Profile of Karan Communicationskarancommunications
 
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...Paul Menig
 
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdfRenandantas16
 
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdfCatalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdfOrient Homes
 
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service DewasVip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewasmakika9823
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfIntro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
 
Forklift Operations: Safety through Cartoons
Forklift Operations: Safety through CartoonsForklift Operations: Safety through Cartoons
Forklift Operations: Safety through Cartoons
 
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear RegressionRegression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
 
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
 
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
 
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
 
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitProgress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
 
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
 
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptx
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptxNon Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptx
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptx
 
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023
 
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth MarketingTech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
 
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
 
GD Birla and his contribution in management
GD Birla and his contribution in managementGD Birla and his contribution in management
GD Birla and his contribution in management
 
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...
 
Pharma Works Profile of Karan Communications
Pharma Works Profile of Karan CommunicationsPharma Works Profile of Karan Communications
Pharma Works Profile of Karan Communications
 
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
 
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
 
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdfCatalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdf
 
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service DewasVip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
 

Michael Durante Western Reserve WRHE 2Q04 letter

  • 1. First Half 2004 August 16, 2004 Jan Feb Mar 1Q04 Apr May June 2Q04 YTD Long 2.1% 2.8% 2.1% 7.0% -4.3% 1.3% 1.8% -1.3% 5.7% Short -0.1% -0.7% -1.0% -1.8% 1.2% -0.9% -0.5% -0.2% -2.0% Total 2.0% 2.2% 1.0% 5.1% -3.0% 0.3% 1.3% -1.5% 3.6% S&P 500 1.7% 1.2% -1.6% 1.3% -1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 2.6% NASDAQ Composite 3.1% -1.8% -1.8% -0.5% -3.7% 3.5% 3.0% 2.6% 2.2% Russell 2000 4.3% 0.8% 0.8% 5.9% -5.2% 1.5% 4.0% 0.2% 6.2% Dow 0.3% 0.9% -2.1% -0.9% -1.3% -0.4% 2.4% 0.7% -0.2% * Estimated returns are gross of all fees and expenses. “The price of ability does not depend on merit, but on supply and demand.” - George Bernard Shaw Dear Partners: Western Reserve Hedged Equity, LP (“WRHE”) declined 1.5% in the second quarter and is up approximately 3.6% for the first half of the year. The quarter was dominated by extreme volatility in the broader market and very poor performance in financial-related stocks ahead of the first Fed rate hike in nearly five years. April witnessed a sharp sell-off in Western Reserve’s real estate and financial services holdings, WRHE’s highest recurring revenue investments, as the broad market focused on interest rates. Job growth picked up significant steam in March after lagging (and frightfully so) for much of the expansion. The sudden timetable shift forward for action by the Federal Reserve in early April caused investors to rotate (we suspect over-rotate) out of high recurring revenue financial-related investments into more counter cyclical, large cap and staple investments (food e.g.). This is a normal knee-jerk reaction by the investing public and many terrific companies (e.g. Citigroup in which the fund has never held a position) were down over 10% during the second quarter. REITs were down 18% at their trough by mid May. Investors are struggling in 2004 to assess risk amid a very turbulent period for macroeconomic factors including concerns over inflation, interest rates, the economy, Iraq, the fall election, record nominal oil prices and terrorism (did we get all of them?). Regardless, we continue to stick with our investment discipline and the inefficient marketplace has afforded us highly attractive entry points in many stocks. Additionally, some uniquely compelling late stage private equity opportunities have surfaced due to hostile public market conditions. 100 Crescent Court, Suite 400 • Dallas, Texas 75201• (214)871-6720 • (214)871-6713 Fax
  • 2. August 16, 2004 The partnership’s longs continued to see terrific fundamentals during April’s earnings reporting season in the face of a steep decline in prices and this was repeated during the July reporting season as well. Investor reaction to strong fundamentals can at best be described as disappointing so far in 2004. Perhaps an example of how distorted the risk premium in public market pricing has become can readily be seen in some of the partnership’s larger long holdings. As of June 30, 2004: 2005E Price/Cash Earnings Cash Earnings Growth Rate PEG Implied Cash Earnings Yield Dividend Yield ACF 9x 20% 45% 12% N/A AHM* 7x 15% 50% 13% 12% COF 10x 18% 55% 10% N/A CKFR 8x 20% 40% 17% N/A NCEN* 5x 17% 30% 18% 15% NDE 7x 18% 40% 13% 4% Private A* 5x 20% 25% 16% 16% S&P 500 20x 8% 250% 6% 2% *pro forma for REIT conversion. At the end of the second quarter, the fund’s long position P/E stood at an average of 10.7x our estimate for next twelve month’s earnings or operating cash flow equivalent and an average cash earnings yield that exceeds 11% (almost double the broader market). Conversely, we forecast long position growth of earnings or cash flow equivalent to exceed 18% in the coming twelve months. That’s about as compelling a discount (valuation and implied earnings yield) relative to growth as we have seen in other tough periods, including crisis periods such as Long-Term Capital in 1998 and after 9/11. Conversely, the partnership’s short positions carry a much higher 21x average P/E and averages a far less compelling cash earnings yield of under 6%. Thus, any differentiation by the market should be well rewarded down the road as more efficient conditions resume. We have high conviction in our growth rate assumptions for the partnership’s longs due to our intense focus on high recurring revenue business models. For example, we did not suffer a single estimate miss during the second quarter earnings period nor did a single one of our longs call down future earnings or growth estimates while many increased their forecast. Amid the malaise for most stocks, we are finding terrific bargains as a result. While the rewards are not immediate given current market conditions, we are very compelled by the growing number of opportunities we are seeing through our fundamental research. 100 Crescent Court, Suite 400 • Dallas, Texas 75201• (214)871-6720 • (214)871-6713 Fax
  • 3. August 16, 2004 In the first quarter 2004 letter, we discussed a few of WRHE’s winners. As we reflect upon the second quarter, it’s a good time to recap our core investment philosophy and strategy given that the market is currently not focusing on fundamentals. Western Reserve espouses a purely bottom-up fundamental and valuation discipline to stock selection. We use strict sell/cover disciplines to avert material harm driven by events outside our research scope and capabilities. Predicting oil prices, interest rates and terrorism are among our more decidedly absent skill sets. If these issues were to become a serious threat to portfolio positions, our disciplines would reduce these threats stock by stock on volume, volatility and price movement measures we have employed for some time. The important point is that we invest in firms where their fundamentals are not dictated by a commodity. The more a highly skilled management team and a superior business strategy dictates fundamental outcome, the more interested we become as investors. However, that does not preclude their stocks from trading like a commodity during inefficient markets driven by sudden shifts in macro expectations and fear on the part of the investing public. We strongly believe the market will revert to trading on fundamentals. It always does. Expectations, both local and global, will affect stocks in the short term, but only earnings affect stock prices over time. Our highly disciplined valuation focus, which encompasses both public and private market valuation metrics, is used to measure our entry and exit points. Put succinctly, our earnings forecasts dictate our interest long and short and valuation drives timing. Thus, we see the investment landscape in a very simplified way: (i) get the earnings right through intensive fundamental research and by focusing on superior business models; (ii) hold for valuation by being disciplined not to over pay; and (iii) use strict sell/cover disciplines to mitigate mistakes made in (i) or (ii). Our short discipline is to identify companies that have fundamental business flaws which prevent them from generating consistent earnings (and thus economic value), and whose valuations are intrinsically high as a result. If we remain focused upon our research and get the earnings right, the enormous disparity between growth and valuation should take care of itself here in time. So far, 2004 is a slugfest for stocks driven by macro forces. As such, we remain disenfranchised (albeit not surprised) but not disengaged by the sheer top down nature of the market so far. As Fed policy now has become a focus as more economic data is digested and the election uncertainty gets discounted, investors again will turn to fundamentals. What is important to our style of investing is not predicting macro shifts, but rather staying on point by getting the fundamentals right while waiting for investors to discount macro shifts and return to fundamental investing. 100 Crescent Court, Suite 400 • Dallas, Texas 75201• (214)871-6720 • (214)871-6713 Fax
  • 4. August 16, 2004 Occasionally and despite our protest, we are reminded of something the great satirist and Noble Laureate George Bernard Shaw said about merit when we apply it to the oft delicate balance between supply and demand for stocks during controversial times - “The price of ability does not depend on merit, but on supply and demand.” Stay the course. Inefficiency, while frustrating at times, is more our friend than our foe. Regards, Michael P. Durante Managing Partner 100 Crescent Court, Suite 400 • Dallas, Texas 75201• (214)871-6720 • (214)871-6713 Fax
  • 5. August 16, 2004 Summary for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2004 Western Reserve Hedged Equity, LP Positions Perf. Ending Exposure Average Exposure Long 53 5.7% 88% 72% Short 40 -2.0% 46% 38% Total (Gross) 93 3.6% 134% 110% Total (Net) (1) 2.3% 42% 31% (1) Estimated performance net of expenses, management fee and prospective incentive allocation. Composition by Sector (% of Capital) Sector Long Short Gross Net Business Services 8% -3% 11% 5% Consumer 10% -8% 18% 2% Financial Institutions 16% -15% 31% 1% Financial Services 22% -9% 31% 13% Healthcare 1% 0% 1% 1% Industrial 0% 0% 0% 0% Technology 3% 0% 3% 3% Technology Services 16% -2% 18% 14% Yield/Real Estate 12% -9% 21% 3% 88% -46% 134% 42% Percent of Total Capital Top 3 Winners Overall YTD Long Short Long Short Top 5 17% 10% Metris Companies CarMax Top 10 31% 19% Alliance Data Services Bearing Point Doral Financial Krispy Kreme Attribution Analysis - Contribution to Total Return (gross) Jan Feb Mar 1Q04 Apr May June 2Q04 YTD Long 2.1% 2.8% 2.1% 7.0% -4.3% 1.3% 1.8% -1.3% 5.7% Short -0.1% -0.7% -1.0% -1.8% 1.2% -0.9% -0.5% -0.2% -2.0% Total 2.0% 2.2% 1.0% 5.1% -3.0% 0.3% 1.3% -1.5% 3.6% S&P 500 1.7% 1.2% -1.6% 1.3% -1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 2.6% NASDAQ Composite 3.1% -1.8% -1.8% -0.5% -3.7% 3.5% 3.0% 2.6% 2.2% Russell 2000 4.3% 0.8% 0.8% 5.9% -5.2% 1.5% 4.0% 0.2% 6.2% Dow 0.3% 0.9% -2.1% -0.9% -1.3% -0.4% 2.4% 0.7% -0.2% Six Months 100 Crescent Court, Suite 400 • Dallas, Texas 75201• (214)871-6720 • (214)871-6713 Fax