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ERICH MORISSE
Director, Management Strategy
@emorisse
emorisse@redhat.com
ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM
WHAT’S THE TCO FOR AN OPENSTACK
CLOUD?
ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM
WHAT’S THE TCO FOR AN OPENSTACK
CLOUD?
ERICH MORISSE
Director, Management Strategy
@emorisse
emorisse@redhat.com
WHY DID WE NEED
AN OPENSTACK
TCO MODEL?
HOW IS THIS TCO
DIFFERENT?
WE CREATED THE MOST COMPREHENSIVE AND MOST
ACCURATE TCO MODEL WE CAN FIND
FULL ACCOUNTING IMPACT ACROSS CASH FLOW,
INCOME STATEMENT, AND BALANCE SHEET
SUPPORTS MULTIPLE DISJOINT BUYING CYCLES OF
HARDWARE, SOFTWARE, AND HIRING
DESIGNED FOR COMPARATIVE DECISION MAKING
HOW WE BUILT IT
SHOW ME THE MONEY!!!!
OPENSTACK IS THE LOWEST COST
PRIVATE CLOUD ON THE MARKET.
OPENSTACK IS THE LOWEST COST
PRIVATE CLOUD ON THE MARKET.
NO MATTER HOW YOU GROW,
OPENSTACK REMAINS THE
LEAST EXPENSIVE OPTION
NO MATTER HOW YOU GROW,
OPENSTACK REMAINS THE
LEAST EXPENSIVE OPTION
YEAR 1 2 3
WE LOOKED AT A LOT OF GROWTH CURVES
VIRTUALMACHINES
YEAR 1 2 3 YEAR 1 2 3YEAR 1 2 3
YEAR 1 2 3
WE LOOKED AT A LOT OF GROWTH CURVES
VIRTUALMACHINES
YEAR 1 2 3 YEAR 1 2 3YEAR 1 2 3
OPENSTACK VS. ?
OPENSTACK AGAINST NON-OPENSTACK-BASED SOLUTIONS FOR
PRIVATE CLOUD COMPUTING (e.g., server virtualization + automation)
UPSTREAM AGAINST COMMERCIAL DISTRIBUTION
SOFTWARE
PEOPLE
HARDWARE
COSTS CONSIDERED
SERVER ADMINISTRATORS
SERVER ENGINEERS
STORAGE ADMINS
NETWORKING STAFF
SUBSCRIPTIONS
LICENSES
COSTS CONSIDERED
SERVERS
STORAGE
NETWORKING
CLOUD SOLUTION
IT AUTOMATION
VM DENSITY
SOFTWARE
PEOPLE
HARDWARE
HOW COSTS ARE MITIGATED
Configuration and Change Management
Virtual Infrastructure
Capacity and Performance Management
Chargeback
Self-Service Provisioning and Service Catalog
Orchestration
ExternalCloudBrokering
Cloud Management Platform
Virtual Infrastructure
Manager
IaaS Cloud
Manager
https://www.redhat-cloudstrategy.com/when-and-why-openstack-needs-a-cloud-management-platform/
Red Hat Cloud Infrastructure $12,374 $6,869 $5,089 $4,556 $4,164 $4,006
Non-OpenStack Cloud $14,663 $8,307 $6,392 $5,824 $5,379 $5,281
Red Hat Cloud Infrastructure $1.2M $2.6M $4.6M $8M $15M $27.8M
Non-OpenStack Cloud $1.3M $2.8M $5.1M $9.3M $17.1M $32.3M
$200,400 $250,400 $436,000 $853,600 $1,611,200 $3,392,000
$200,400 $450,800 $886,800 $1,740,400 $3,351,600 $6,743,600
OPENSTACK CAN SAVE YOU
MILLIONS OF DOLLARS
SO, HOW TO OBTAIN THE MOST
FROM OPENSTACK?
SO, HOW TO OBTAIN THE MOST
FROM OPENSTACK?
AUTOMATION HAS THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON COST
AUTOMATION HAS THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON COST
HIGH AUTOMATION
DOUBLES OS INSTANCES PER ADMIN
DOUBLE YOUR SERVICE WITHOUT KILLING YOUR ADMINS
!
“Server Support Staffing Ratios,” Computer Economics, Inc.
28
DEMAND ON SYSADMINS IS INCREASING
EXPONENTIALLY
7,721,175 NEW
LOGICAL SERVERS
11,250 NEW JOBS FOR
COMPUTER ADMINS
IDC: Worldwide Cloud IT Infrastructure Hardware Spending Forecast, 2015–2019
Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2016-17 Edition
(probably a lot worse because does not include containers)
Upstream $15,998 $9,666 $7,951 $7,258 $6,788 $6,649
Commercial Distribution $13,609 $8,043 $6,264 $5,909 $5,340 $5,200
Commercial with CMP $12,374 $6,869 $5,089 $4,556 $4,164 $4,006
AUTOMATION COSTS AN
ADDITIONAL $53 PER VM
BUT GIVES 20x ROI (OR MORE)
EVEN IN A MATURE CLOUD
(YEAR 5 SHOWN)
RHELOSP
RHCI
AUTOMATION COST
$53
$1,229
SAVINGS
PERVMLOADEDCOST
https://www.redhat-cloudstrategy.com/why-did-red-hat-acquire-ansible/
VM COST IS A BETTER INDICATOR OF
HEALTH OF CLOUD THAN TOTAL COSTS
VM COSTS DEPEND ON TIMING
33
YEAR ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17 ‘18
TOTAL COSTS HIDE VM COST IMPROVEMENTS
YOU ARE SUCCESSFUL IF
VM COSTS DECREASE
AND
CLOUD COSTS RISE
YOU ARE SUCCESSFUL IF
VM COSTS DECREASE
AND
CLOUD COSTS RISE
LOWERING VM COSTS WILL
INCREASE USAGE AND
INCREASE TOTAL COSTS
LOWERING VM COSTS WILL
INCREASE USAGE AND
INCREASE TOTAL COSTS
$$$ $$$$$$$
$$$ $$$$$$$
$$$ $$$$$$$
$$$ $$$$$$$
$$$ $$$$$$$
$$$ $$$$$$$
$$$ $$$$$$$
$$$ $$$$$$$
$$$ $$$$$$$
$$$ $$$$$$$
REDUCING PRICE CAUSES MORE USE
AND HIGHER TOTAL COSTS
$1
$1
$0.20
DENSITY HAS A
LOW IMPACT
ON VM COST
DENSITY HAS A
LOW IMPACT
ON VM COST
INCREASING DENSITY MEANS
BUYING LESS HARDWARE
=
COSTPERVM
YOU DID WELL, OPENSTACK IS A
GOOD CHOICE!
NOW YOU HAVE TO DO YOUR
HOMEWORK...
IMPLEMENT AUTOMATION. IT’S MORE
IMPORTANT THAN DENSITY
MEASURE AND TRACK VM COSTS
EXPECT GROWTH, NOT SAVINGS
WHAT CAN YOU CHANGE IN THE
MODEL?
ASSUMPTIONS
1. VM as unit for cost
2. 3 year, straight-line
depreciation
3. salaries are identical by job
across technologies
4. Server specs
5. Recruiting vs internal hire
ratio
1. Software costs at list
2. VM/admin & VM/server ratios
3. Automation benefits
4. Server and VM costs
5. Employment time
6. Salary and loaded salary
bands
7. Network ports per admin
8. Storage per admin
INDUSTRY DATA
So, Um. What if we “Open Sourced” This?
WANT TO HELP CREATE THE WHOLE MODEL?
WANT A REUSABLE, TUNABLE, TOOL SHOWING THE VALUE OF
PRIVATE CLOUD TO YOU?
LET US KNOW HOW YOU’D LIKE TO CONTRIBUTE!
https://www.redhat-cloudstrategy.com/opentco
MORE THAN JUST LINUX.

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What's the TCO for an OpenStack Cloud?

  • 1. ERICH MORISSE Director, Management Strategy @emorisse emorisse@redhat.com ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM WHAT’S THE TCO FOR AN OPENSTACK CLOUD? ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM WHAT’S THE TCO FOR AN OPENSTACK CLOUD? ERICH MORISSE Director, Management Strategy @emorisse emorisse@redhat.com
  • 2. WHY DID WE NEED AN OPENSTACK TCO MODEL?
  • 3. HOW IS THIS TCO DIFFERENT?
  • 4. WE CREATED THE MOST COMPREHENSIVE AND MOST ACCURATE TCO MODEL WE CAN FIND FULL ACCOUNTING IMPACT ACROSS CASH FLOW, INCOME STATEMENT, AND BALANCE SHEET SUPPORTS MULTIPLE DISJOINT BUYING CYCLES OF HARDWARE, SOFTWARE, AND HIRING DESIGNED FOR COMPARATIVE DECISION MAKING HOW WE BUILT IT
  • 5. SHOW ME THE MONEY!!!!
  • 6. OPENSTACK IS THE LOWEST COST PRIVATE CLOUD ON THE MARKET. OPENSTACK IS THE LOWEST COST PRIVATE CLOUD ON THE MARKET.
  • 7. NO MATTER HOW YOU GROW, OPENSTACK REMAINS THE LEAST EXPENSIVE OPTION NO MATTER HOW YOU GROW, OPENSTACK REMAINS THE LEAST EXPENSIVE OPTION
  • 8. YEAR 1 2 3 WE LOOKED AT A LOT OF GROWTH CURVES VIRTUALMACHINES YEAR 1 2 3 YEAR 1 2 3YEAR 1 2 3
  • 9. YEAR 1 2 3 WE LOOKED AT A LOT OF GROWTH CURVES VIRTUALMACHINES YEAR 1 2 3 YEAR 1 2 3YEAR 1 2 3
  • 10. OPENSTACK VS. ? OPENSTACK AGAINST NON-OPENSTACK-BASED SOLUTIONS FOR PRIVATE CLOUD COMPUTING (e.g., server virtualization + automation) UPSTREAM AGAINST COMMERCIAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 12. SERVER ADMINISTRATORS SERVER ENGINEERS STORAGE ADMINS NETWORKING STAFF SUBSCRIPTIONS LICENSES COSTS CONSIDERED SERVERS STORAGE NETWORKING
  • 13. CLOUD SOLUTION IT AUTOMATION VM DENSITY SOFTWARE PEOPLE HARDWARE HOW COSTS ARE MITIGATED
  • 14.
  • 15. Configuration and Change Management Virtual Infrastructure Capacity and Performance Management Chargeback Self-Service Provisioning and Service Catalog Orchestration ExternalCloudBrokering Cloud Management Platform Virtual Infrastructure Manager IaaS Cloud Manager https://www.redhat-cloudstrategy.com/when-and-why-openstack-needs-a-cloud-management-platform/
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Red Hat Cloud Infrastructure $12,374 $6,869 $5,089 $4,556 $4,164 $4,006 Non-OpenStack Cloud $14,663 $8,307 $6,392 $5,824 $5,379 $5,281
  • 21. Red Hat Cloud Infrastructure $1.2M $2.6M $4.6M $8M $15M $27.8M Non-OpenStack Cloud $1.3M $2.8M $5.1M $9.3M $17.1M $32.3M
  • 22. $200,400 $250,400 $436,000 $853,600 $1,611,200 $3,392,000
  • 23. $200,400 $450,800 $886,800 $1,740,400 $3,351,600 $6,743,600
  • 24. OPENSTACK CAN SAVE YOU MILLIONS OF DOLLARS
  • 25. SO, HOW TO OBTAIN THE MOST FROM OPENSTACK? SO, HOW TO OBTAIN THE MOST FROM OPENSTACK?
  • 26. AUTOMATION HAS THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON COST AUTOMATION HAS THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON COST
  • 27. HIGH AUTOMATION DOUBLES OS INSTANCES PER ADMIN DOUBLE YOUR SERVICE WITHOUT KILLING YOUR ADMINS ! “Server Support Staffing Ratios,” Computer Economics, Inc.
  • 28. 28 DEMAND ON SYSADMINS IS INCREASING EXPONENTIALLY 7,721,175 NEW LOGICAL SERVERS 11,250 NEW JOBS FOR COMPUTER ADMINS IDC: Worldwide Cloud IT Infrastructure Hardware Spending Forecast, 2015–2019 Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2016-17 Edition (probably a lot worse because does not include containers)
  • 29. Upstream $15,998 $9,666 $7,951 $7,258 $6,788 $6,649 Commercial Distribution $13,609 $8,043 $6,264 $5,909 $5,340 $5,200 Commercial with CMP $12,374 $6,869 $5,089 $4,556 $4,164 $4,006
  • 30. AUTOMATION COSTS AN ADDITIONAL $53 PER VM BUT GIVES 20x ROI (OR MORE) EVEN IN A MATURE CLOUD (YEAR 5 SHOWN) RHELOSP RHCI AUTOMATION COST $53 $1,229 SAVINGS PERVMLOADEDCOST
  • 32. VM COST IS A BETTER INDICATOR OF HEALTH OF CLOUD THAN TOTAL COSTS
  • 33. VM COSTS DEPEND ON TIMING 33 YEAR ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17 ‘18
  • 34.
  • 35. TOTAL COSTS HIDE VM COST IMPROVEMENTS
  • 36. YOU ARE SUCCESSFUL IF VM COSTS DECREASE AND CLOUD COSTS RISE YOU ARE SUCCESSFUL IF VM COSTS DECREASE AND CLOUD COSTS RISE
  • 37. LOWERING VM COSTS WILL INCREASE USAGE AND INCREASE TOTAL COSTS LOWERING VM COSTS WILL INCREASE USAGE AND INCREASE TOTAL COSTS
  • 38. $$$ $$$$$$$ $$$ $$$$$$$ $$$ $$$$$$$ $$$ $$$$$$$ $$$ $$$$$$$ $$$ $$$$$$$ $$$ $$$$$$$ $$$ $$$$$$$ $$$ $$$$$$$ $$$ $$$$$$$ REDUCING PRICE CAUSES MORE USE AND HIGHER TOTAL COSTS $1 $1 $0.20
  • 39. DENSITY HAS A LOW IMPACT ON VM COST DENSITY HAS A LOW IMPACT ON VM COST
  • 42. YOU DID WELL, OPENSTACK IS A GOOD CHOICE! NOW YOU HAVE TO DO YOUR HOMEWORK...
  • 43. IMPLEMENT AUTOMATION. IT’S MORE IMPORTANT THAN DENSITY MEASURE AND TRACK VM COSTS EXPECT GROWTH, NOT SAVINGS
  • 44. WHAT CAN YOU CHANGE IN THE MODEL?
  • 45. ASSUMPTIONS 1. VM as unit for cost 2. 3 year, straight-line depreciation 3. salaries are identical by job across technologies 4. Server specs 5. Recruiting vs internal hire ratio 1. Software costs at list 2. VM/admin & VM/server ratios 3. Automation benefits 4. Server and VM costs 5. Employment time 6. Salary and loaded salary bands 7. Network ports per admin 8. Storage per admin INDUSTRY DATA
  • 46. So, Um. What if we “Open Sourced” This? WANT TO HELP CREATE THE WHOLE MODEL? WANT A REUSABLE, TUNABLE, TOOL SHOWING THE VALUE OF PRIVATE CLOUD TO YOU? LET US KNOW HOW YOU’D LIKE TO CONTRIBUTE! https://www.redhat-cloudstrategy.com/opentco
  • 47. MORE THAN JUST LINUX.