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what
happened to
newspapers?
what
happened to
newspapers?
In
10slides
and
2minutes
Peter Winter
blastofwinter.com
1
Each local newspaper
operated a monopoly
defined by how far its
trucks could get by sunrise
1
Each local newspaper
operated a monopoly
defined by how far its
trucks could get by sunrise
and placed a hefty
premium on distribution
into the market
it controlled
2
As with any highly
profitable monopoly,
the status quo and the
short-term ruled
2
The extra ‘circus rate’
levy imposed on out-
of-town advertisers in
the early 1900s is still
imposed on national
advertisers today
As with any highly
profitable monopoly,
the status quo and the
short-term ruled
3
But the Internet blew
up the comfortable
monopoly
3
But the Internet blew
up the comfortable
monopoly
Digital insurgents
invaded local markets
and quickly fragmented
the newspaper audience
4
The Internet also blew up the
mass advertising model where
everyone always looks the same
4
Digital advertising offers
greater efficiencies
through data-driven
targeting and analysis
The Internet also blew up the
mass advertising model where
everyone always looks the same
5
The Internet blew up the product model
of broad, bundled content, too
5
The Internet blew up the product model
of broad, bundled content, too
The world is no longer horizontal.
It’s vertical.
6
So the challenge was to create
whole new digital products,
born on the web
6
So the challenge was to create
whole new digital products,
born on the web
and create a whole new
product cycle
7
But the culture had grown
risk-averse and afraid of
where innovation might lead
7
But the culture had grown
risk-averse and afraid of
where innovation might lead
So all it could offer
was the newspaper,
online. No search.
No social.
No stream.
No voice.
No nuttin.’
8
It was not enough
to persuade users
to stay around or
come back often
20 years old 60 years old
8
It was not enough
to persuade users
to stay around or
come back often
And it was not
enough to
attract a younger
replacement
audience attractive
to advertisers
Nomorereplacementreaders
9
So while print revenues collapsed,
Source: Newspaper Association of America
$ billions
Annual Newspaper Advertising Sales Print
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
$47 $47
$42
$35
$25
$23
$21
$19
$17
9
So while print revenues collapsed,
digital revenues never
met expectations
Source: Newspaper Association of America
$ billions
Annual Newspaper Advertising Sales Print
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
$47 $47
$42
$35
$25
$23
$21
$19
$17
$2 $3 $3 $3 $3$3 $3 $3 $3
Digital
10
Newspapers are dead, but a rich
and exciting era of digital news and
media has begun
10
Newspapers are dead, but a rich
and exciting era of digital news and
media has begun
The moral of the story:
- Success Can Kill
- Don’t constrain a new
business with the interests
of its parent
- Failure is fine if it
changes behavior
- The Internet is direct
marketing on steroids, the
user database is everything
- Digital news is a commodity
if it is not differentiated
blastofwinter.com
Peter Winter
The moral of the story:
- Success Can Kill
- Don’t constrain a new
business with the interests
of its parent
- Failure is fine if it
changes behavior
- The Internet is direct
marketing on steroids, the
user database is everything
- Digital news is a commodity
if it is not differentiated
blastofwinter.com
Peter Winter
- Neither the creator nor the distributor is king.
The user rules all

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Newspapers, a case study in disruption, in 10 slides and 2 minutes

  • 3. 1 Each local newspaper operated a monopoly defined by how far its trucks could get by sunrise
  • 4. 1 Each local newspaper operated a monopoly defined by how far its trucks could get by sunrise and placed a hefty premium on distribution into the market it controlled
  • 5. 2 As with any highly profitable monopoly, the status quo and the short-term ruled
  • 6. 2 The extra ‘circus rate’ levy imposed on out- of-town advertisers in the early 1900s is still imposed on national advertisers today As with any highly profitable monopoly, the status quo and the short-term ruled
  • 7. 3 But the Internet blew up the comfortable monopoly
  • 8. 3 But the Internet blew up the comfortable monopoly Digital insurgents invaded local markets and quickly fragmented the newspaper audience
  • 9. 4 The Internet also blew up the mass advertising model where everyone always looks the same
  • 10. 4 Digital advertising offers greater efficiencies through data-driven targeting and analysis The Internet also blew up the mass advertising model where everyone always looks the same
  • 11. 5 The Internet blew up the product model of broad, bundled content, too
  • 12. 5 The Internet blew up the product model of broad, bundled content, too The world is no longer horizontal. It’s vertical.
  • 13. 6 So the challenge was to create whole new digital products, born on the web
  • 14. 6 So the challenge was to create whole new digital products, born on the web and create a whole new product cycle
  • 15. 7 But the culture had grown risk-averse and afraid of where innovation might lead
  • 16. 7 But the culture had grown risk-averse and afraid of where innovation might lead So all it could offer was the newspaper, online. No search. No social. No stream. No voice. No nuttin.’
  • 17. 8 It was not enough to persuade users to stay around or come back often
  • 18. 20 years old 60 years old 8 It was not enough to persuade users to stay around or come back often And it was not enough to attract a younger replacement audience attractive to advertisers Nomorereplacementreaders
  • 19. 9 So while print revenues collapsed, Source: Newspaper Association of America $ billions Annual Newspaper Advertising Sales Print 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $47 $47 $42 $35 $25 $23 $21 $19 $17
  • 20. 9 So while print revenues collapsed, digital revenues never met expectations Source: Newspaper Association of America $ billions Annual Newspaper Advertising Sales Print 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $47 $47 $42 $35 $25 $23 $21 $19 $17 $2 $3 $3 $3 $3$3 $3 $3 $3 Digital
  • 21. 10 Newspapers are dead, but a rich and exciting era of digital news and media has begun
  • 22. 10 Newspapers are dead, but a rich and exciting era of digital news and media has begun
  • 23. The moral of the story: - Success Can Kill - Don’t constrain a new business with the interests of its parent - Failure is fine if it changes behavior - The Internet is direct marketing on steroids, the user database is everything - Digital news is a commodity if it is not differentiated blastofwinter.com Peter Winter
  • 24. The moral of the story: - Success Can Kill - Don’t constrain a new business with the interests of its parent - Failure is fine if it changes behavior - The Internet is direct marketing on steroids, the user database is everything - Digital news is a commodity if it is not differentiated blastofwinter.com Peter Winter - Neither the creator nor the distributor is king. The user rules all