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1. Weekly Market Outlook 26 May 2012
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SNAPSHOT
DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK
The south bound journey of stock markets in India finally came to a halt after three straight weeks of
21st May 2012 - 25th May 2012 decline as the frontline equity indices snapped the week with around half a percent gains. The benchmark
gauges negotiated only two positive closes in the five sessions and managed to go only slightly higher
Weekly Markets than last week's closing levels as issues like Euro-zone worries and depreciating rupee kept investors on
their toes. Investors grew increasingly nervous over the beleaguered currency's slide as they feared that
Sensex 16,218 0.40% Indian Reserve Bank is expending the already scanty forex reserves for a losing cause. However, the local
markets showed a stupendous performance on Thursday with the benchmark equity indices vehemently
Nifty 4,920 0.59% rallying by close to two percent, registering the highest intraday gains seen since March 30. Sentiments got
Gold(US$/oz) 1,573.1 -1.19% buttressed amid speculations that RBI took measures to rein the depreciating run of the beleaguered
Indian currency, which recovered from the historically low levels. Besides, the government's decision to
Re/US$ 55.36 1.75% hike prices of petrol by as high as Rs 7.50 per litre instilled some hopes among market participants that the
government would bite more bullets and take certain bold steps to lift sentiments in the markets.
Dow 12,455 0.70%
Nasdaq 2,838 2.12% 2000 Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - May 2012) 30
25
FX Res (US$ Bn) 290.000 -0.62% 1500
20
1000 15
Net FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr) 10
500
Upto 25.05.12 FIIs DIIs 5
0 0
Total May 2012 -2279.1 1187.9
14-May 15-May 16-May 17-May 18-May 21-May 22-May 23-May 24-May 25-May
Total 2012 36,953 -20,574 *NSE
Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %
Weekly Sector Movement
Sectors Close %
Auto 9,239 0.09
Bankex 10,899 1.61
CD 6,301 -1.86
CG 8,863 1.66
FMCG 4,590 -2.29
Healthcare 6,640 0.33
IT 5,523 0.20
Metal 10,089 0.11
Oil & Gas 7,578 1.51
PSU 6,729 1.32 The S&P CNX Nifty rose by 28.95 points or 0.59% to 4920.40. On the National Stock Exchange (NSE),
Bank Nifty up 146.05 points or 1.57% to 9456.30, CNX IT up 14.40 points or 0.25% to 5879.85 while CNX
Realty 1,572 1.05
mid- cap up 47.00 points or 0.68% to 6914.30 and CNX Nifty Junior up 41.60 points or 0.44% to 9519.15.
WEEK AHEAD
Volatility is expected to be at the fore in the coming week as traders are expected will roll over their position with expiry of May F&O contracts
on Thursday May 31, 2012. Since the coming week marks the start of the new month, investor's will see a lot of economic data pouring in. Auto
and cement stocks will be in the focus as both Indian automobile and cement industry will report their sales number for the month of May 2012.
Also India's export data for the month of April 2012 would be announced next week. India's manufacturing PMI data is also due to be released
on June 1, 2012. Importantly, India's GDP data, due to be released on May 31, 2012, too would be eagerly watched out by market-men after two
influential global brokerage firms, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America-Merrill Lynch downgraded their growth forecasts for India. Hence we
are expecting quite a sluggish outlook for upcoming weak though 4760-4780 could be key support levels to watch. Any heavy downfall below
this level may create some panic among traders and we might see 4500-4510 in a short span of time. On the flip side any positive outcome may
reap indices towards 5030-5055 where “sell on rally' is highly advisable. HAPPY TRADING...
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report For Private circulation Only For Our Clients Only
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2. Weekly Market Outlook
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SENSEX 30-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 1st June 2012
SUPPORT CLOSE PRICE RESISTANCE
SCRIP 3rd 2nd 1st 25.05.12 1st 2nd 3rd INCLINATION
Bajaj Auto Ltd 1417 1459 1478 1496.35 1520 1543 1586 Neutral
Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. 201 205 207 208.40 210 213 216 Neutral
Bharti Airtel Ltd. 288 294 296 298.65 302 305 311 Neutral
Cipla Ltd. 303 306 308 309.15 311 312 316 Neutral
Coal India Ltd. 299 305 309 313.25 316 318 325 Neutral
DLF Ltd. 177 182 185 188.45 191 193 198 Neutral
GAIL (India) Ltd. 301 317 327 336.30 343 350 366 Neutral
HDFC Bank Ltd. 486 493 497 500.35 504 507 515 Neutral
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. 1785 1811 1826 1842.00 1852 1863 1889 Neutral
Hindalco Industries Ltd. 102 106 109 111.80 114 116 120 Neutral
Hindustan Unilever Ltd. 405 414 417 420.95 426 432 440 Negative
Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. 637 647 652 656.85 662 667 677 Neutral
ICICI Bank Ltd. 778 797 806 815.90 825 834 853 Neutral
Infosys Ltd. 2304 2337 2354 2372.00 2387 2402 2434 Neutral
ITC Ltd. 221 227 229 231.75 235 238 244 Neutral
Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. 432 446 451 456.45 465 474 488 Neutral
Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 1115 1147 1167 1186.40 1198 1210 1241 Neutral
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. 605 624 631 638.15 650 662 681 Neutral
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. 1044 1084 1101 1117.05 1141 1165 1206 Neutral
NTPC Ltd. 139 140 141 141.80 143 144 145 Neutral
Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd. 242 249 253 257.10 260 264 271 Neutral
Reliance Industries Ltd. 676 684 688 692.00 696 701 709 Neutral
State Bank Of India 1870 1931 1968 2005.00 2029 2052 2113 Neutral
Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. 91 94 95 96.80 98 99 102 Neutral
Sun Pharmaceutical Inds. Ltd. 549 561 566 571.05 578 585 597 Neutral
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. 1187 1203 1212 1221.55 1228 1235 1251 Positive
Tata Motors Ltd. 249 259 264 269.35 273 277 286 Neutral
Tata Power Company Ltd. 85 87 88 89.15 90 91 93 Neutral
Tata Steel Ltd. 377 391 400 408.25 413 418 432 Neutral
Wipro Ltd. 379 385 389 393.55 396 399 406 Negative
2
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3. Weekly Market Outlook
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NSE MIDCAP 50-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 1st June 2012
SUPPORT CLOSE PRICE RESISTANCE Market Cap
SCRIP 3rd 2nd 1st 25.05.12 1st 2nd 3rd (Rs Crore)
ABB Ltd. 694 709 717 725.10 732 738 753 15365
Adani Power Ltd. 48 49 50 50.85 52 52 54 11085
Aditya Birla Nuvo Ltd. 708 731 746 760.15 769 778 802 8629
Allahabad Bank 132 135 136 137.35 139 140 143 6868
Alstom Projects India Ltd. 347 354 358 361.80 365 367 374 2425
Andhra Bank 101 103 104 104.20 105 106 107 5831
Ashok Leyland Ltd. 23 24 24 24.10 25 25 26 6412
Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. 103 110 113 117.00 120 122 128 3406
Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd 735 750 755 760.70 769 778 792 8466
BEML Ltd. 431 444 450 455.90 463 471 484 1899
Bharat Electronics Ltd. 1204 1223 1232 1241.65 1252 1262 1281 9933
Bharat Forge Ltd. 297 303 307 309.75 312 315 321 7211
CESC Ltd. 263 266 268 269.35 271 273 277 3365
Cummins India Ltd. 378 401 413 425.20 435 445 467 11787
DiviS Laboratories Ltd. 927 937 943 948.15 952 956 966 12585
Educomp Solutions Ltd. 132 139 143 145.90 150 153 160 1409
Great Eastern Shipping Company Ltd. 233 239 241 243.65 247 251 257 3711
GVK Power & Infrastructure Ltd. 11 12 12 11.80 12 12 13 1863
Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd. 58 60 62 62.80 64 65 67 2631
IDBI Bank Ltd 84 85 86 87.10 88 89 90 13444
India Cements Ltd. 69 72 74 76.45 78 79 83 2348
Indian Bank 165 169 171 172.75 175 178 182 7424
Indian Hotels Company Ltd. 55 56 56 57.00 58 58 59 4329
Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. 65 68 70 71.75 73 75 78 2907
JSW Steel Ltd. 543 573 590 607.35 620 632 662 13551
Lanco Infratech Ltd. 11 12 12 12.25 13 13 13 2950
Mphasis Ltd. 360 367 370 373.65 377 381 388 7848
NCC Ltd. 29 30 30 31.10 32 32 34 798
NHPC Ltd. 16 18 18 18.90 20 20 21 23248
Oil India Ltd 440 446 448 450.65 454 458 464 27090
Opto Circuits (India) Ltd. 162 164 165 166.35 168 169 172 4031
Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd 2283 2351 2391 2430.30 2459 2487 2555 20409
Oriental Bank Of Commerce 213 218 221 223.50 226 228 233 6521
Petronet LNG Ltd. 124 127 129 129.95 132 134 137 9746
Piramal Healthcare Ltd. 395 407 413 418.60 425 432 444 7223
Punj Lloyd Ltd. 43 44 45 45.85 47 47 49 1523
Reliance Capital Ltd. 304 312 316 320.10 324 328 336 7863
Reliance Power Ltd 89 91 92 93.15 94 96 98 26130
Shipping Corpn. Of India Ltd. 51 53 54 54.85 56 56 58 2555
Sintex Industries Ltd. 49 52 53 55.10 56 58 61 1504
Syndicate Bank 84 86 88 89.10 90 91 94 5363
Tata Chemicals Ltd. 306 308 310 311.05 312 313 316 7924
Tata Global Beverages Ltd 104 106 107 107.95 109 110 113 6676
Tech Mahindra Ltd. 635 650 659 666.90 674 682 697 8505
Union Bank Of India 193 198 202 205.40 208 210 216 11308
Unitech Ltd. 20 21 21 21.40 22 22 23 5599
United Phosphorus Ltd. 110 112 113 114.50 116 118 120 5288
Vijaya Bank Ltd 51 52 53 53.30 54 54 56 2641
Voltas Ltd. 74 86 94 101.45 106 111 123 3357
Welspun Corp Ltd. 108 114 117 119.45 123 126 132 2721
3
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Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-
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FORTHCOMING CORPORATE ACTIONS
Ex-Date Company Name NSE- Symbol Purpose
28-May-12 Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited RIIL AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.3.50 PER SHARE
30-May-12 MM Forgings Limited MMFL INTERIM DIVIDEND RS 3 PER SHARE
30-May-12 VTM Limited VTMLTD AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.4/- PER SHARE
31-May-12 Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.8.50 PER SHARE
31-May-12 ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.16.50 PER SHARE
31-May-12 Sutlej Textiles and Industries Limited SUTLEJTEX DIVIDEND RS 5 PER SHARE
31-May-12 SIL Investments Limited SILINV DIVIDEND RS 1.25 PER SHARE
1-Jun-12 R Systems International Limited RSYSTEMS SPECIAL DIVIDEND RS 16 PER SHARE (PURPOSE REVISED)
1-Jun-12 Hindustan Construction Company Limited HCC ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
4-Jun-12 Oriental Bank of Commerce ORIENTBANK AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.7.90 PER SHARE
4-Jun-12 TVS Motor Company Limited TVSMOTOR 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND - RE.0.70 PER SHARE
5-Jun-12 Page Industries Limited PAGEIND INTERIM DIVIDEND
6-Jun-12 Gruh Finance Limited GRUH AGM /DIVIDEND RS 11.50 PER SHARE
6-Jun-12 Thomas Cook (India) Limited THOMASCOOK DIVIDEND - RS.0.375/- PER SHARE
7-Jun-12 AVT Natural Products Limited AVTNPL FACE VALUE SPLIT FROM RS 10 TO RE 1
7-Jun-12 Idea Cellular Limited IDEA ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
7-Jun-12 Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.30.50 PER SHARE
7-Jun-12 Advanta India Limited ADVANTA ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
7-Jun-12 Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR FINAL DIVID RS.6.50 P/S & SPECIAL DIVID RS.60 P/S
8-Jun-12 Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited KANSAINER AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.11/- PER SHARE
8-Jun-12 Sesa Goa Limited SESAGOA AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE
11-Jun-12 Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM AGM /DIVIDEND RS 2.50 PER SHARE
12-Jun-12 MRO-TEK Limited MRO-TEK ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
12-Jun-12 Indo Rama Synthetics (India) Limited INDORAMA AGM AND DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE
13-Jun-12 Elnet Technologies Limited ELNET AGM /DIV RS.1.20/- PER SHARE
14-Jun-12 Torrent Power Limited TORNTPOWER DIVIDEND - RS.3.50 PER SHARE
14-Jun-12 Bank of Maharashtra MAHABANK AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS. 2.20 PER SHARE
14-Jun-12 United Bank of India UNITEDBNK AGM /DIVIDEND RS 2.40 PER SHARE
14-Jun-12 Value Industries Limited VALUEIND ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
14-Jun-12 HOV Services Limited HOVS ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
14-Jun-12 JSW Energy Limited JSWENERGY AGM AND DIVIDEND RE.0.50 PER SHARE
14-Jun-12 ING Vysya Bank Limited INGVYSYABK AGM /DIVIDEND RS 4 PER SHARE
14-Jun-12 Axis Bank Limited AXISBANK AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.16/- PER SHARE
14-Jun-12 Punjab National Bank PNB AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.22/- PER SHARE
15-Jun-12 Corporation Bank CORPBANK AGM /DIVIDEND RS 20.50 PER SHARE
15-Jun-12 Prism Cement Limited PRISMCEM AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.0.50 PER SHARE
15-Jun-12 VST Industries Limited VSTIND AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.65/- PER SHARE
15-Jun-12 Century Enka Limited CENTENKA AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.5/- PER SHARE
19-Jun-12 CMC Limited CMC AGM & DIVIDEND RS.12.50 P/S (BC END DATE REVISED)
20-Jun-12 Universal Cables Limited UNIVCABLES ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
20-Jun-12 TTK Prestige Limited TTKPRESTIG AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.15/- PER SHARE
21-Jun-12 Union Bank of India UNIONBANK AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.8/- PER SHARE
21-Jun-12 De Nora India Limited DENORA DIVIDEND RS 6 PER SHARE
21-Jun-12 Atul Limited ATUL AGM /DIVIDEND RS 4.50 PER SHARE
21-Jun-12 Sobha Developers Limited SOBHA AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.5/- PER SHAR
4
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Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-
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Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com
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5. Weekly Market Outlook
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EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 25th May 2012
Total No. of Calls Profitable Calls Positional/Hold Exit/Stop Loss Success Rate
18 13 0 5 72.22%
NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL
Varun Gupta Head - Research varungupta@moneysukh.com
Pashupati Nath Jha Research Analyst pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com
Vikram Singh Research Analyst vikram_research@moneysukh.com
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