The penultimate week of the year 2011 brought some sigh of relief for the Indian benchmark indices as they finally managed to halt the declining streak of two previous weeks and amassed around one and half a percentage points in the period. Despite settling only twice in the green zone out the five sessions trading week,the key gauges negotiated a positive finish by the end. However, the broader markets failed to match the fervor with which their larger peers traded and underperformed them, suffering losses of around one and half a percent. The week was characterized by high amount of volatility as the frontline indices traded in a broad range and even tried hard to sail beyond the 15,900 (Sensex) and 4,750 (Nifty) levels but it seemed like the bears had the last say as they stalled the resurgence of the benchmarks and took profits off the table. Market participants also rejoiced as government released weekly inflation data which showed that India's food inflation plunged to a near four-year low to 1.81% for the week ended December 10 from 4.35% in the previous week.
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Weekly Market Outlook 24.12.11
1. Weekly Market Outlook 24 Dec 2011
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SNAPSHOT
DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK
The penultimate week of the year 2011 brought some sigh of relief for the Indian benchmark indices
19th Dec 2011 - 23rd Dec 2011 as they finally managed to halt the declining streak of two previous weeks and amassed around one
and half a percentage points in the period. Despite settling only twice in the green zone out the five
sessions trading week,the key gauges negotiated a positive finish by the end. However, the broader
Weekly Markets markets failed to match the fervor with which their larger peers traded and underperformed them,
suffering losses of around one and half a percent. The week was characterized by high amount of
Sensex 15,739 1.60%
volatility as the frontline indices traded in a broad range and even tried hard to sail beyond the
Nifty 4,714 1.33% 15,900 (Sensex) and 4,750 (Nifty) levels but it seemed like the bears had the last say as they stalled the
resurgence of the benchmarks and took profits off the table. Market participants also rejoiced as
Gold(US$/oz) 1,608.5 0.44% government released weekly inflation data which showed that India's food inflation plunged to a
near four-year low to 1.81% for the week ended December 10 from 4.35% in the previous week.
Re/US$ 52.78 0.55%
Dow 12,294 3.61% 2000 Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Dec 2011) 31
30
Nasdaq 2,619 2.50% 1500 29
28
FX Res (US$ Bn) 302.100 -1.52% 1000
27
500 26
25
Net FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr)
0 24
Upto 23.12.11 FIIs DIIs 12-Dec 13-Dec 14-Dec 15-Dec 16-Dec 19-Dec 20-Dec 21-Dec 22-Dec 23-Dec
Total Dec 2011 -1602.4 649.1 *NSE
Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %
Total 2011 -26,088 27,536
S o urce: bs eindia.co m
Weekly Sector Movement
Sectors Close %
Auto 8,274 2.06
Bankex 9,527 1.13
CD 5,326 1.91
CG 8,225 -2.40
FMCG 4,085 3.12
Healthcare 5,863 -0.17
IT 5,651 -1.07
Metal 9,533 -1.55
Oil & Gas 7,951 3.58
Domestic sentiments also got boosted by growing evidence of a rebound in the US economy as reports showed
PSU 6,426 -0.05 US initial jobless claims fell last week to their lowest in more than 3-1/2 years while consumer sentiment there
improved in December to its highest level in six months, also US housing starts unexpectedly jumped in
Realty 1,426 -1.50
November.
WEEK AHEAD
However, volatility is expected to remain at the forefront for the coming week as traders are expected to settle their position with expiry of
December F&O contracts on Thursday, December 29, 2011. Meanwhile, the government on December 29, 2011 will unveil data on some
wholesale price indices viz. the food price index, the primary articles index and the fuel price index for the year through December 17, 2011. Also
aviation stocks are expected to hog some limelight in the coming week. Few media reports suggested that government could soon help the
financially pressed aviation sector by allowing airlines to import fuel directly. Meanwhile, movement of Indian rupee would too be watched by
investor's. On the global front, investor's will be eyeing few economic data from US, starting from Consumer Confidence data on December 27,
2011, Jobless Claim data and finally the Pending Home Sales Index data on December 29, 2011. On the whole 4515-4860 could be the trading
range for the upcoming week however volume will remain sluggish due to x-mas holidays. HAPPY TRADING & MERRY CHRISTMAS…
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report For Private circulation Only For Our Clients Only
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FORTHCOMING CORPORATE ACTIONS
Ex-Date Company Name NSE- Symbol Purpose
26-Dec-11 Alfa Laval (India) Limited ALFALAVAL INTERIM DIVIDED - RS.30/- PER SHARE
26-Dec-11 Gujarat State Financial Corporation GUJSTATFIN ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
26-Dec-11 Ahmednagar Forgings Limited AHMEDFORGE AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE
26-Dec-11 Amtek Auto Limited AMTEKAUTO AGM AND DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE
26-Dec-11 Coral Hub Limited CORAL-HUB ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
26-Dec-11 Sarthak Industries Limited SARTHAKIND ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
26-Dec-11 JHS Svendgaard Laboratories Limited JHS DIVIDEND-RE.0.75 PER SHARE
26-Dec-11 Amtek India Limited AMTEKINDIA AGM AND DIVIDEND RE.0.40 PER SHARE
26-Dec-11 Shri Lakshmi Cotsyn Limited SHLAKSHMI AGM / DIVIDEND RS 3 PER SHARE
27-Dec-11 Tricom India Limited TRICOM AGM AND DIVIDEND RE.0.20 PER SHARE
27-Dec-11 Neha International Limited NEHAINT ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
27-Dec-11 Ashco Niulab Industries Limited ASHCONIUL ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
28-Dec-11 K S Oils Limited KSOILS ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
28-Dec-11 Clutch Auto Limited CLUTCHAUTO ANNUAL BOOK CLOSURE
29-Dec-11 Munjal Auto Industries Limited MUNJALAU FACE VALUE SPLIT FROM RS.10/- TO RS.2/-
3-Jan-12 Oil India Limited OIL INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.25/- PER SHARE
5-Jan-12 S.E. Investments Limited SEINV SCHEME OF ARRANGEMENT
6-Jan-12 Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited ONGC INTERIM DIVIDEND
11-Jan-12 NELCO Limited NELCO ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
12-Jan-12 Automotive Axles Limited AUTOAXLES DIVIDEND-RS.10/- PER SHARE
16-Jan-12 Siemens Limited SIEMENS DIVIDEND - RS.6/- PER SHARE
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Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /NSE: INB230781431
Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 PMS Regn No. INP000002387
Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com
Website: www.moneysukh.com
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EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 23rd Dec 2011
Total No. of Calls Profitable Calls Positional/Hold Exit/Stop Loss Success Rate
23 20 0 3 86.96%
NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL
Varun Gupta Head - Research varungupta@moneysukh.com
Pashupati Nath Jha Research Analyst pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com
Vikram Singh Research Analyst vikram_research@moneysukh.com
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Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 / NSE: INB230781431
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