The weekly market outlook document provides the following information: 1) Indian stock markets declined for the second consecutive week, with the Sensex and Nifty falling 1.6% and 1.29% respectively, as bears took control of Dalal Street. 2) Volatility is expected to continue in the coming weeks due to upcoming state election results and the union budget. 3) The document provides technical analysis for 30 Sensex stocks and 50 Nifty midcap stocks, identifying support and resistance levels.

1. Weekly Market Outlook 03 Mar 2012
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SNAPSHOT
DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK
Bulls of the markets continued to doze off as bears controlled the Dalal Street for the second successive
27th Feb 2012 - 2nd Mar 2012 week and pummeled the benchmark equity indices by around one and half a percentage points. Despite
settling only twice in the negative terrain out of the five sessions, the stock markets still failed to reverse
the hefty losses in the passing week. After the rejuvenated performance since the start of the New Year
Weekly Markets which saw the bourses rally for seven consecutive weeks, the markets seem to have drifted into correction
Sensex 17,637 -1.60% mode. The next two weeks too are likely to bring volatility to the table as apart from the results of all
important assembly elections, the keenly awaited union budget 2012-13 will be presented by the
Nifty 5,359 -1.29% government.Though the markets recovered some part of losses in the last regular trading session of the
week however that was too little too late to undo the damage that was already done in the week. But the
Gold(US$/oz) 1,711.9 -3.54% resilient mid cap index from the broader markets remained the only counter which bucked the pessimistic
Re/US$ 49.51 1.04% trend and concluded the week with gains of three fourth of a percent and outperformed their larger peers
by a fat margin.
Dow 12,978 -0.04%
3000 Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Feb & Mar 2012) 30
Nasdaq 2,976 0.40%
2500 28
FX Res (US$ Bn) 295.047 0.55% 2000
26
1500
24
Net FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr) 1000
500 22
Upto 02.03.12 FIIs DIIs
0 20
Total Mar 2012 452.0 -80.0 17-Feb 21-Feb 22-Feb 23-Feb 24-Feb 27-Feb 28-Feb 29-Feb 1-Mar 2-Mar
Total 2012 33,157 -18,351 *NSE
Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %
Weekly Sector Movement
Sectors Close %
Auto 9,876 -1.57
Bankex 11,997 -0.59
CD 6,521 -0.35
CG 10,317 -2.31
FMCG 4,130 -1.42
Healthcare 6,405 2.00
IT 6,103 -3.27
Metal 11,970 -0.86
Oil & Gas 8,600 -0.61
India VIX, a gauge for market's short term expectation of volatility gain 0.61% at 27.84 from its previous close
PSU 7,656 0.23 of 27.67 on Thursday. Meanwhile India's trade deficit widened to $14.7 billion in January 2012 as compared to
Realty 1,846 -4.28 $10.3 billion in January 2011. Cumulative value of exports for the period April-January 2011 -12 registered a
growth of 23.47% in dollar terms.
WEEK AHEAD
However, the markets in the coming week are expected to be no different as market men will be keenly watching out for cues on forthcoming
budget, RBI's mid-quarter monetary policy review. Further, even there could be exaggerated effect of state election results on equity markets on
either side. Additionally, investors will closely watch movement in crude oil prices as India imports two-thirds of its oil consumption, so a
further increase in oil prices will hurt its fiscal balance substantially. On the global front, investor's will be eying few important data from US,
starting from Jobless Claims data on March 8, 2012, followed by Employment Situation and International trade data on March 9,2012. Hence we
are expecting slightly negative bias in the spot index ranging between 5150-5160 to 5580-5630 though volumes may remain subdued for the next
two weeks. HAPPY TRADING...
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report For Private circulation Only For Our Clients Only
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2. Weekly Market Outlook
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SENSEX 30-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 9th March Feb 2012
SUPPORT CLOSE PRICE RESISTANCE
SCRIP 3rd 2nd 1st 02.03.12 1st 2nd 3rd INCLINATION
Bajaj Auto Ltd 1637 1698 1724 1749.35 1785 1821 1883 Neutral
Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. 274 286 291 296.60 303 309 320 Negative
Bharti Airtel Ltd. 334 341 346 350.20 353 356 363 Positive
Cipla Ltd. 307 312 314 315.60 318 321 326 Neutral
Coal India Ltd. 318 325 328 330.70 335 338 345 Neutral
DLF Ltd. 185 195 199 203.85 209 215 225 Negative
GAIL (India) Ltd. 361 367 369 370.95 375 378 384 Neutral
HDFC Bank Ltd. 484 501 510 518.30 526 534 550 Neutral
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. 1840 1895 1917 1938.95 1972 2005 2060 Neutral
Hindalco Industries Ltd. 133 141 145 147.85 153 159 168 Neutral
Hindustan Unilever Ltd. 367 374 378 382.55 385 388 395 Neutral
Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. 644 657 664 671.35 677 682 695 Neutral
ICICI Bank Ltd. 819 858 881 902.75 920 937 976 Neutral
Infosys Ltd. 2746 2794 2820 2846.60 2869 2891 2940 Negative
ITC Ltd. 198 202 203 205.10 207 209 213 Negative
Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. 550 568 578 587.80 595 603 621 Neutral
Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 1202 1249 1274 1299.25 1322 1345 1392 Negative
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. 652 667 673 679.85 688 696 710 Negative
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. 1265 1293 1308 1323.15 1337 1350 1379 Positive
NTPC Ltd. 171 175 177 178.60 181 182 186 Neutral
Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd. 262 272 277 281.45 286 291 300 Negative
Reliance Industries Ltd. 788 800 807 814.35 820 825 837 Neutral
State Bank Of India 2048 2142 2194 2245.70 2289 2332 2426 Neutral
Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. 116 120 122 124.35 126 128 132 Neutral
Sun Pharmaceutical Inds. Ltd. 524 543 555 565.90 574 581 600 Positive
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. 1172 1195 1206 1217.15 1229 1241 1264 Negative
Tata Motors Ltd. 254 261 264 267.45 271 275 283 Positive
Tata Power Company Ltd. 105 110 112 114.35 117 119 124 Positive
Tata Steel Ltd. 442 454 460 465.95 472 478 490 Neutral
Wipro Ltd. 409 417 423 427.80 431 435 444 Neutral
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3. Weekly Market Outlook
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NSE MIDCAP 50-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 9th March 2012
SUPPORT CLOSE PRICE RESISTANCE Market Cap
SCRIP 3rd 2nd 1st 02.03.12 1st 2nd 3rd (Rs Crore)
Adani Power Ltd. 70 73 75 76.50 79 81 85 16677
Aditya Birla Nuvo Ltd. 845 862 868 874.05 884 894 910 9922
Allahabad Bank 178 184 187 189.70 194 198 204 9034
Alstom Projects India Ltd. 347 358 363 367.70 373 379 390 2464
Andhra Bank 119 123 125 126.90 129 132 136 7101
Ashok Leyland Ltd. 26 27 28 28.65 29 30 31 7623
Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. 92 104 112 120.15 125 130 142 3498
Bajaj Hindusthan Ltd. 32 33 34 34.40 35 35 37 2200
BEML Ltd. 630 647 655 662.45 671 679 696 2759
Bharat Forge Ltd. 272 289 296 302.90 313 324 341 7051
CESC Ltd. 252 259 263 265.85 270 274 282 3321
Cummins India Ltd. 409 438 449 459.65 478 496 525 12741
DiviS Laboratories Ltd. 715 728 733 738.85 747 754 767 9805
Educomp Solutions Ltd. 196 204 208 211.10 215 220 227 2028
Great Eastern Shipping Company Ltd. 216 226 231 236.75 241 245 255 3605
GVK Power & Infrastructure Ltd. 16 17 18 17.95 18 19 20 2835
Hindustan Construction Company Ltd. 25 27 28 28.65 30 31 33 1738
Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd. 91 99 102 104.70 109 114 122 4387
IDBI Bank Ltd 98 105 109 112.80 116 119 126 11107
India Cements Ltd. 93 97 99 100.35 102 104 108 3083
Indian Bank 222 227 230 232.00 235 238 244 9971
Indian Hotels Company Ltd. 63 66 66 67.30 69 70 73 5111
IVRCL Ltd. 51 53 54 55.05 56 58 60 1470
Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. 97 101 103 104.60 107 110 114 4238
JSW Steel Ltd. 737 764 775 786.35 803 819 846 17545
Lanco Infratech Ltd. 19 20 20 20.80 21 22 23 5008
Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. 29 31 32 32.25 33 35 37 2032
Mphasis Ltd. 259 326 359 392.80 426 459 525 8250
NCC Ltd. 54 57 59 61.00 62 64 67 1565
Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd 2369 2502 2552 2601.65 2685 2768 2901 21841
Patel Engineering Ltd. 100 105 107 108.75 111 113 118 759
Petronet LNG Ltd. 159 162 164 165.00 167 169 172 12375
Piramal Healthcare Ltd. 435 441 444 447.55 450 453 459 7723
Praj Industries Ltd. 75 78 79 79.90 81 83 85 1454
Punj Lloyd Ltd. 53 55 56 56.80 58 59 61 1886
Rolta India Ltd. 90 96 98 100.50 104 107 113 1621
Shipping Corpn. Of India Ltd. 64 67 68 69.10 71 73 76 3219
Sintex Industries Ltd. 79 82 83 84.80 86 88 91 2315
Syndicate Bank 102 106 108 109.65 112 114 118 6286
Tata Chemicals Ltd. 340 349 352 355.60 361 366 375 9059
Tata Global Beverages Ltd 113 117 119 120.55 123 126 130 7455
Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. 15 15 15 15.60 16 16 17 2960
Tech Mahindra Ltd. 573 587 592 597.90 606 615 628 7620
Titan Industries Ltd. 216 223 226 229.50 233 236 243 20375
Ultratech Cement Ltd. 1376 1400 1412 1424.55 1437 1449 1473 39041
Unitech Ltd. 28 30 31 31.50 33 34 36 8241
United Phosphorus Ltd. 121 129 133 135.80 141 147 156 6271
Vijaya Bank Ltd 56 59 60 61.80 63 65 68 2921
Voltas Ltd. 101 109 113 116.25 121 125 134 3847
Welspun Corp Ltd. 130 138 141 143.95 148 153 160 3279
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4. Weekly Market Outlook
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FORTHCOMING CORPORATE ACTIONS
Ex-Date Company Name NSE- Symbol Purpose
6-Mar-12 Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.2.72 PER SHARE
7-Mar-12 Standard Chartered PLC STAN DIVIDEND
7-Mar-12 Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG INTERIM DIVIDEND
9-Mar-12 GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Healthcare Ltd GSKCONS AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.35/- PER SHARE
9-Mar-12 The Andhra Pradesh Paper Mills Limited APPAPER ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
9-Mar-12 Goldman Sachs Nifty Exchange Traded S NIFTYBEES DIVIDEND-RS.10 PER UNIT
9-Mar-12 Goldman Sachs Banking Index Exchange TS BANKBEES DIVIDEND-RS.11 PER UNIT
12-Mar-12 ACC Limited ACC DIVIDEND RS.17/- PER SHARE
13-Mar-12 K.M.Sugar Mills Limited KMSUGAR ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
13-Mar-12 Eicher Motors Limited EICHERMOT DIVIDEND-RS.16 PER SHARE
13-Mar-12 CRISIL Limited CRISIL DIVIDEND - RS. 2.75/- PER SHARE
13-Mar-12 KPIT Cummins Infosystems Limited KPIT BONUS 1:1
14-Mar-12 Spanco Limited SPANCO AGM/ DIVIDEND RE. 1/- PER SHARE
15-Mar-12 Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited KKCL 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.6/- PER SHARE
15-Mar-12 Coal India Limited COALINDIA INTERIM DIVIDEND
16-Mar-12 Gujarat Gas Company Limited GUJRATGAS SPECIAL DIVIDEND - RS. 12/- PER SHARE
19-Mar-12 Modi Rubber Limited MODIRUBBER ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
19-Mar-12 Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited ONGC INTERIM DIVIDEND
20-Mar-12 TVS Motor Company Limited TVSMOTOR INTERIM DIVIDEND
21-Mar-12 Foseco India Limited FOSECOIND AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.7/- PER SHARE
21-Mar-12 Helios And Matheson Information Tech Ltd HELIOSMATH AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.1.50 PER SHARE
21-Mar-12 Nestle India Limited NESTLEIND AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.12.50/- PER SHARE
21-Mar-12 Lakshmi Energy and Foods Limited LAKSHMIEFL AGM AND DIVIDEND RE.0.20 PER SHARE
22-Mar-12 Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited COLPAL INTERIM DIVIDEND
26-Mar-12 KSB Pumps Limited KSBPUMPS AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.3/- PER SHARE
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5. Weekly Market Outlook
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EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 2nd Mar 2012
Total No. of Calls Profitable Calls Positional/Hold Exit/Stop Loss Success Rate
25 14 6 5 73.68%
NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL
Varun Gupta Head - Research varungupta@moneysukh.com
Pashupati Nath Jha Research Analyst pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com
Vikram Singh Research Analyst vikram_research@moneysukh.com
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