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Weekly market outlook 28.01.12
1. Weekly Market Outlook 28 Jan 2012
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SNAPSHOT
DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK
Exuberance seems to be returning back to the Indian stock markets in the year 2012 which is evident from
23rd Jan 2012 - 27th Jan 2012 the fact that the benchmark equity indices kept up the tempo since the start of New Year and have
amassed massive gains of over eleven percentage points in January so far. Boisterous bulls continued to
re-conquer one crucial bastion after another in every passing days taking the key gauges beyond the
Weekly Markets psychological 5,200 (Nifty) and 17,200 (Sensex) levels. After showcasing a close to four percent rally in the
Sensex 17,234 2.96% previous week, the benchmarks consolidated their position on the first trading session of the holiday
shortened F&O expiry week. The highlight of the week remained RBI's quarterly monetary policy review,
Nifty 5,205 3.09% RBI untouched repo & repo rate at 8.5% & 7.5% while a major surprise for the market was that it decided to
cut the CRR to 5.5% from 6%, which underscores a cut of 50 basis points. The BSE Sensex surged by 494.97
Gold(US$/oz) 1,737.5 4.23% points or 2.96%, S&P CNX Nifty soared by 156.10 points or 3.09% to 5204.7, BSE Mid-cap index was up by
Re/US$ 49.39 -1.65% 192.29 points or 3.39% to 5872.36, while the Small-cap index up by 214.42 points or 3.42% to 6491.69.
Dow 12,660 -0.47%
2500 Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Jan 2012) 25
Nasdaq 2,827 1.44% 2000 24
FX Res (US$ Bn) 293.257 0.25% 23
1500
22
1000
21
Net FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr) 500 20
Upto 27.01.12 FIIs DIIs 0 19
Total Jan 2012 1240.2 -708.5 13-Jan 16-Jan 17-Jan 18-Jan 19-Jan 20-Jan 23-Jan 24-Jan 25-Jan 27-Jan
*NSE
Total 2012 9,047 -5,954 Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %
Weekly Sector Movement
Sectors Close %
Auto 9,197 4.29
Bankex 11,282 3.39
CD 6,000 3.43
CG 10,360 5.64
FMCG 4,064 0.72
Healthcare 6,261 1.49
IT 5,722 4.04
Metal 11,576 3.38
Oil & Gas 8,541 2.59
India's weekly food inflation, measured by the Wholesale Price Index (WPI), continued to remain in the
PSU 7,409 2.52 negative terrain for the fourth consecutive week in the week ended January 14, 2012 as it moderated to -1.03 from
Realty 1,703 -0.29 its previous levels of -0.42% for the week ended January 7. The decline in inflation can largely be attributed to
drop in the price of vegetables, especially onions and potatoes and wheat.
WEEK AHEAD
After rallying, for the all-4 session in the last week reclaiming 17200 (Sensex) and 5200 level (Nifty) bastions respectively, now for the upcoming
week, investors will be watching out for recommendations from a committee established to study deregulation of the sugar sector, which could
be as early as next week. From the result front, investor's would be awaiting quarterly results from Allahabad Bank, Balrampur Chini, LIC
Housing Finance, Havells India, Glenmark Pharmaceuticals, Oriental Bank, United Phosphorus, Indiabulls Financial Services, National
Fertilizers and Indian Bank. However, for the last trading session, investor's morale got a further push on hopes that Greece was nearing an
agreement on restructuring its debt, with the ease in the weekly food inflation number to acting a booster. While On the global front, traders will
be eyeing data starting Personal Income and Outlays on January 30, 2011 followed by ISM Mfg Index, Jobless Claims and finally the
Employment Situation data on February 3, 2011. On Technical View Point, for the upcoming week, 5078.37 followed by 4952.03 are likely to be
good support levels for the Nifty, while the index may face resistance at 5274.02 and 5343.33 levels. HAPPY TRADING...
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report For Private circulation Only For Our Clients Only
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Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 / NSE: INB230781431
Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 PMS Regn No. INP000002387
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4. Weekly Market Outlook
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FORTHCOMING CORPORATE ACTIONS
Ex-Date Company Name NSE- Symbol Purpose
30-Jan-12 MRF Limited MRF DIVIDEND RS 19 PER SHARE
30-Jan-12 Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP 3RD INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE
30-Jan-12 Rural Electrification Corporation Limited RECLTD INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.5/- PER SHARE
31-Jan-12 Supreme Industries Limited SUPREMEIND INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.1.50 PER SHARE
31-Jan-12 IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited IRB INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.1.80 PER SHARE
31-Jan-12 NTPC Limited NTPC INTERIM DIVIDEND
1-Feb-12 Sesa Goa Limited SESAGOA INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE
1-Feb-12 Aptech Limited APTECHT INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.1.50 PER SHARE
1-Feb-12 Polaris Financial Technology Limited POLARIS INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE
1-Feb-12 Bharat Electronics Limited BEL INTERIM DIVIDEND
1-Feb-12 Sundaram Finance Limited SUNDARMFIN INTERIM DIVIDEND
1-Feb-12 Walchandnagar Industries Limited WALCHANNAG DIVIDEND-RE.1/- PER SHARE
2-Feb-12 Bajaj Hindusthan Limited BAJAJHIND AGM /DIVIDEND RE 0.40 PER SHARE
2-Feb-12 Edelweiss Financial Services Limited EDELWEISS INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.0.30 PER SHARE
2-Feb-12 Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.4/- PER SHARE
2-Feb-12 Hyderabad Industries Limited HYDRBADIND INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.6/- PER SHARE
2-Feb-12 Zensar Technologies Limited ZENSARTECH INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.3/- PER SHARE
2-Feb-12 D.B.Corp Limited DBCORP INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.1.75 PER SHARE
3-Feb-12 Crompton Greaves Limited CROMPGREAV INTERIM DIVIDEND
3-Feb-12 Triveni Engineering & Industries Limited TRIVENI DIVIDEND-RE.0.20 PER SHARE
3-Feb-12 Selan Exploration Technology Limited SELAN INTERIM DIVIDEND
3-Feb-12 Greaves Cotton Limited GREAVESCOT 3RD INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.0.40 PER SHARE
6-Feb-12 Aarti Industries Limited AARTIIND INTERIM DIVIDEND
6-Feb-12 Rane Engine Valve Limited RANEENGINE INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.7.50 PER SHARE
6-Feb-12 Jamna Auto Industries Limited JAMNAAUTO 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND
6-Feb-12 Aarti Drugs Limited AARTIDRUGS INTERIM DIVIDEND
7-Feb-12 IPCA Laboratories Limited IPCALAB 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND
7-Feb-12 Austral Coke & Projects Limited AUSTRAL ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
7-Feb-12 HCL Infosystems Limited HCL-INSYS 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND
8-Feb-12 Power Finance Corporation Limited PFC INTERIM DIVIDEND
9-Feb-12 Financial Technologies (India) Limited FINANTECH 3RD INTERIM DIVIDEND
9-Feb-12 BF Utilities Limited BFUTILITIE ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
10-Feb-12 KCP Limited KCP INTERIM DIVIDEND
13-Feb-12 Power Grid Corporation of India Limited POWERGRID INTERIM DIVIDEND
15-Feb-12 Page Industries Limited PAGEIND 3RD INTERIM DIVIDEND
16-Feb-12 Steel Authority of India Limited SAIL INTERIM DIVIDEND
16-Feb-12 MphasiS Limited MPHASIS DIVIDEND-RS.6.50 PER SHARE
16-Feb-12 Symphony Limited SYMPHONY FACE VALUE SPLIT RS.10/- TO RS.2/-
16-Feb-12 MOIL Limited MOIL INTERIM DIVIDEND
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Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /NSE: INB230781431
Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 PMS Regn No. INP000002387
Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com
Website: www.moneysukh.com
5. Weekly Market Outlook
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EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 27th Jan 2012
Total No. of Calls Profitable Calls Positional/Hold Exit/Stop Loss Success Rate
15 12 0 3 80.00%
NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL
Varun Gupta Head - Research varungupta@moneysukh.com
Pashupati Nath Jha Research Analyst pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com
Vikram Singh Research Analyst vikram_research@moneysukh.com
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Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 / NSE: INB230781431
Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 PMS Regn No. INP000002387
Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com
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