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Predict Your App Uninstalls
Webinar hosted by Tatvic Analytics
Speakers
Aditi M Buch
Ambassador of Buzz
Bismayy Mohapatra
Product Manager
Type your comments
and questions here
@Tatvic
Agenda
Uninstall Stats
Why do Users Uninstall
Predicting Uninstalls - PredictN Model
Use Case - Ecommerce App
But
Only
And
Ouch
A Kantar/ITR study from showed that an average of 26% of app installs are uninstalled in the first hour. That uninstall rate rises to 38% in the first day, 64% in
the first month, and about 89% over 12 months. Those figures represent the average across all app types.
Agenda
Uninstall Stats
Why do Users Uninstall
Predicting Uninstalls - PredictN Model
Use Case - Ecommerce App
Why do Users Uninstall?
77%
Memory space on your
phone is very less
65%
App takes too much
time to load
53%
Too many push
notifications a day
74%
I show you a lot of
Ads
*Results of survey done at Tatvic Analytics with 150 respondents during May 2017
More Reasons..
App UI/UX is
complicated
App consumes
too much of
internet data
App drains your
battery faster
Another app
which gives
same service
App crashes
again and again
What makes you uninstall an App?
https://goo.gl/forms/p7ist3mfYmxrIziP2
Agenda
Uninstall Stats
Why do Users Uninstall
Predicting Uninstalls - PredictN Model
Use Case - Ecommerce App
Scenario*
1 Mn+ Downloads on Google Play
2 K Daily Active
Users
0.5 K Daily Uninstalls
CPI (Cost Per
Install) > $ 1
Avg. Life Span < 10 days
* Figures are for representational purposes
Problem
Cost of
Acquisition
Cost of Man hours
spent in App Dev
Cost of Uninstall
Tracking Tool
Cost of Acquisition
Campaigns
>> LifeTime
Value
Frequency of
Transactions
Average
Transaction Value
Marketer gets
to know only
after App is
Uninstalled
&
Solution - PredictN Model
Predict the uninstall
probability of an app
user and determine
whether the user will
uninstall within the
next ‘n’ days
15 More
Attributes
Device
Details
Data
Connection
Memory
Space
Days since
Last Visit
Avg Visit
Duration
Count of
Visits
Device
Identifiers
Note: Analytics Tool & Tatvic’s Uninstall Library are
Data Sources for Model
Process
CONNECT
COLLECT IMPLEMENT
MODEL ANALYZE
Connect Analytics with
PredictN
Install Uninstall Library &
Collect Attributes data
Predict App users who
will Uninstall
Target the Probable
churning App Users
Build PredictN
Uninstall Model
Action
Segment the App Users who are highly probable to Uninstall
Retarget the segment by Push Notifications & Email Offers
Prevent App Users from Churning & Improve Retention Rate
Agenda
Uninstall Stats
Why do Users Uninstall
Predicting Uninstalls - PredictN Model
Use Case - Ecommerce App
Use Case - Ecommerce App
New Users Cohort
2.4 Mn
Time Period
1st May - 15th May 2017
Dataiku for POC
Tools Used
Big Query for GA 360
Uninstall Library Logs
from AWS Server
PredictN Model Results
Model Accuracy
87%
Churn Predicted
0.2 Mn
Avg Sessions Count
1.0 (15 day)
Avg Revenue
430 INR
Avg Transactions
0.13 (15 day)
Channel
Direct (62%)
Avg Session Time
574 sec
Connect to Marketing Tools and Prevent Churning
0.2 Mn
Users
Retarget using paid display/ search
ads on PlayStore
Send personalized push
notifications to drive users back
Run mailer campaigns with
promotional offers
Predicted to
Uninstall
within the
next 15 days
How to interact today?
Type your comments and
questions here
@Tatvic
A Token of Gratitude
Thank You for Staying With Us
Avail Your Free Demo GA Audit Today!
Coupon Code: WEBN_PREDICTN_FREE_GA_AUDIT
What’s Next?
Upcoming Webinar:
The Power of Remarketing when Google Analytics 360 joins force with
PredictN
When: July 06, 2017 | Time: 8.30 PM IST
Speaker: Bismayy Mohapatra, Product Manager
Register Here: https://goo.gl/Nx5LKE
Thank You!For More Details, Write to Us at marketing@tatvic.com

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[Webinar] Predict Your App Uninstalls and Prevent your Churning Users using Machine Learning

  • 1. Predict Your App Uninstalls Webinar hosted by Tatvic Analytics
  • 2. Speakers Aditi M Buch Ambassador of Buzz Bismayy Mohapatra Product Manager
  • 3. Type your comments and questions here @Tatvic
  • 4. Agenda Uninstall Stats Why do Users Uninstall Predicting Uninstalls - PredictN Model Use Case - Ecommerce App
  • 5. But
  • 7. And
  • 9. A Kantar/ITR study from showed that an average of 26% of app installs are uninstalled in the first hour. That uninstall rate rises to 38% in the first day, 64% in the first month, and about 89% over 12 months. Those figures represent the average across all app types.
  • 10.
  • 11. Agenda Uninstall Stats Why do Users Uninstall Predicting Uninstalls - PredictN Model Use Case - Ecommerce App
  • 12. Why do Users Uninstall? 77% Memory space on your phone is very less 65% App takes too much time to load 53% Too many push notifications a day 74% I show you a lot of Ads *Results of survey done at Tatvic Analytics with 150 respondents during May 2017
  • 13. More Reasons.. App UI/UX is complicated App consumes too much of internet data App drains your battery faster Another app which gives same service App crashes again and again
  • 14. What makes you uninstall an App? https://goo.gl/forms/p7ist3mfYmxrIziP2
  • 15. Agenda Uninstall Stats Why do Users Uninstall Predicting Uninstalls - PredictN Model Use Case - Ecommerce App
  • 16. Scenario* 1 Mn+ Downloads on Google Play 2 K Daily Active Users 0.5 K Daily Uninstalls CPI (Cost Per Install) > $ 1 Avg. Life Span < 10 days * Figures are for representational purposes
  • 17. Problem Cost of Acquisition Cost of Man hours spent in App Dev Cost of Uninstall Tracking Tool Cost of Acquisition Campaigns >> LifeTime Value Frequency of Transactions Average Transaction Value Marketer gets to know only after App is Uninstalled &
  • 18. Solution - PredictN Model Predict the uninstall probability of an app user and determine whether the user will uninstall within the next ‘n’ days 15 More Attributes Device Details Data Connection Memory Space Days since Last Visit Avg Visit Duration Count of Visits Device Identifiers Note: Analytics Tool & Tatvic’s Uninstall Library are Data Sources for Model
  • 19.
  • 20. Process CONNECT COLLECT IMPLEMENT MODEL ANALYZE Connect Analytics with PredictN Install Uninstall Library & Collect Attributes data Predict App users who will Uninstall Target the Probable churning App Users Build PredictN Uninstall Model
  • 21. Action Segment the App Users who are highly probable to Uninstall Retarget the segment by Push Notifications & Email Offers Prevent App Users from Churning & Improve Retention Rate
  • 22. Agenda Uninstall Stats Why do Users Uninstall Predicting Uninstalls - PredictN Model Use Case - Ecommerce App
  • 23. Use Case - Ecommerce App New Users Cohort 2.4 Mn Time Period 1st May - 15th May 2017 Dataiku for POC Tools Used Big Query for GA 360 Uninstall Library Logs from AWS Server
  • 24. PredictN Model Results Model Accuracy 87% Churn Predicted 0.2 Mn Avg Sessions Count 1.0 (15 day) Avg Revenue 430 INR Avg Transactions 0.13 (15 day) Channel Direct (62%) Avg Session Time 574 sec
  • 25. Connect to Marketing Tools and Prevent Churning 0.2 Mn Users Retarget using paid display/ search ads on PlayStore Send personalized push notifications to drive users back Run mailer campaigns with promotional offers Predicted to Uninstall within the next 15 days
  • 26. How to interact today? Type your comments and questions here @Tatvic
  • 27. A Token of Gratitude Thank You for Staying With Us Avail Your Free Demo GA Audit Today! Coupon Code: WEBN_PREDICTN_FREE_GA_AUDIT
  • 28. What’s Next? Upcoming Webinar: The Power of Remarketing when Google Analytics 360 joins force with PredictN When: July 06, 2017 | Time: 8.30 PM IST Speaker: Bismayy Mohapatra, Product Manager Register Here: https://goo.gl/Nx5LKE
  • 29. Thank You!For More Details, Write to Us at marketing@tatvic.com