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Chapter 18: Data Analysis and
           Mining




          Database System Concepts, 1 st Ed.
  ©VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 221002
          See www.vnsispl.com for conditions on re-use
Chapter 18: Data Analysis and Mining

               s Decision Support Systems
               s Data Analysis and OLAP
               s Data Warehousing
               s Data Mining




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.         18.2 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Decision Support Systems

               s Decision-support systems are used to make business decisions, often
                    based on data collected by on-line transaction-processing systems.
               s Examples of business decisions:
                      q   What items to stock?
                      q   What insurance premium to change?
                      q   To whom to send advertisements?
               s Examples of data used for making decisions
                      q      Retail sales transaction details
                      q      Customer profiles (income, age, gender, etc.)




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                    18.3 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Decision-Support Systems: Overview
           s Data analysis tasks are simplified by specialized tools and SQL
                extensions
                 q   Example tasks
                          For each product category and each region, what were the total
                           sales in the last quarter and how do they compare with the same
                           quarter last year
                          As above, for each product category and each customer category
           s Statistical analysis packages (e.g., : S++) can be interfaced with
                databases
                 q   Statistical analysis is a large field, but not covered here
           s Data mining seeks to discover knowledge automatically in the form of
                statistical rules and patterns from large databases.
           s A data warehouse archives information gathered from multiple sources,
                and stores it under a unified schema, at a single site.
                 q   Important for large businesses that generate data from multiple
                     divisions, possibly at multiple sites
                 q   Data may also be purchased externally


Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.4 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Data Analysis and OLAP
             s Online Analytical Processing (OLAP)
                    q   Interactive analysis of data, allowing data to be summarized and
                        viewed in different ways in an online fashion (with negligible delay)
             s Data that can be modeled as dimension attributes and measure
                  attributes are called multidimensional data.
                    q   Measure attributes
                            measure some value
                            can be aggregated upon
                            e.g. the attribute number of the sales relation
                    q   Dimension attributes
                            define the dimensions on which measure attributes (or
                             aggregates thereof) are viewed
                            e.g. the attributes item_name, color, and size of the sales
                             relation



Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                    18.5 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Cross Tabulation of sales by item-
                         name and color




      s The table above is an example of a cross-tabulation (cross-tab), also
           referred to as a pivot-table.
             q   Values for one of the dimension attributes form the row headers
             q   Values for another dimension attribute form the column headers
             q   Other dimension attributes are listed on top
             q   Values in individual cells are (aggregates of) the values of the
                 dimension attributes that specify the cell.

Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                18.6 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Relational Representation of Cross-
                              tabs

      s Cross-tabs can be represented
           as relations
             s We use the value all is used to
                 represent aggregates
             s The SQL:1999 standard
                 actually uses null values in
                 place of all despite confusion
                 with regular null values




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.               18.7 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Data Cube
      s A data cube is a multidimensional generalization of a cross-tab
      s Can have n dimensions; we show 3 below
      s Cross-tabs can be used as views on a data cube




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.      18.8 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Online Analytical Processing
         s Pivoting: changing the dimensions used in a cross-tab is called
         s Slicing: creating a cross-tab for fixed values only
                q   Sometimes called dicing, particularly when values for multiple
                    dimensions are fixed.
         s Rollup: moving from finer-granularity data to a coarser granularity
         s Drill down: The opposite operation - that of moving from coarser-
              granularity data to finer-granularity data




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                18.9 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Hierarchies on Dimensions
          s Hierarchy on dimension attributes: lets dimensions to be
               viewed at different levels of detail
                 5 E.g. the dimension DateTime can be used to aggregate by hour of
                   day, date, day of week, month, quarter or year




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.             18.10 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Cross Tabulation With Hierarchy
           s Cross-tabs can be easily extended to deal with hierarchies
                 5 Can drill down or roll up on a hierarchy




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.               18.11 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
OLAP Implementation
         s The earliest OLAP systems used multidimensional arrays in memory to
              store data cubes, and are referred to as multidimensional OLAP
              (MOLAP) systems.
         s OLAP implementations using only relational database features are called
              relational OLAP (ROLAP) systems
         s Hybrid systems, which store some summaries in memory and store the
              base data and other summaries in a relational database, are called
              hybrid OLAP (HOLAP) systems.




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.             18.12 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
OLAP Implementation (Cont.)
         s Early OLAP systems precomputed all possible aggregates in order to
              provide online response
                q   Space and time requirements for doing so can be very high
                         2n combinations of group by
                q   It suffices to precompute some aggregates, and compute others on
                    demand from one of the precomputed aggregates
                         Can compute aggregate on (item-name, color) from an aggregate
                          on (item-name, color, size)
                           – For all but a few “non-decomposable” aggregates such as
                             median
                           – is cheaper than computing it from scratch
         s Several optimizations available for computing multiple aggregates
                q   Can compute aggregate on (item-name, color) from an aggregate on
                    (item-name, color, size)
                q   Can compute aggregates on (item-name, color, size),
                    (item-name, color) and (item-name) using a single sorting
                    of the base data

Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                18.13 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Extended Aggregation in SQL:1999
      s The cube operation computes union of group by’s on every subset of the
           specified attributes
      s E.g. consider the query
                    select item-name, color, size, sum(number)
                    from sales
                    group by cube(item-name, color, size)
            This computes the union of eight different groupings of the sales relation:
              { (item-name, color, size), (item-name, color),
                (item-name, size),        (color, size),
                (item-name),              (color),
                (size),                   ()}
            where ( ) denotes an empty group by list.
      s For each grouping, the result contains the null value
           for attributes not present in the grouping.




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.               18.14 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Extended Aggregation (Cont.)
        s Relational representation of cross-tab that we saw earlier, but with null in
             place of all, can be computed by
                     select item-name, color, sum(number)
                     from sales
                     group by cube(item-name, color)
        s The function grouping() can be applied on an attribute
               q   Returns 1 if the value is a null value representing all, and returns 0 in all
                   other cases.
             select item-name, color, size, sum(number),
                  grouping(item-name) as item-name-flag,
                  grouping(color) as color-flag,
                  grouping(size) as size-flag,
             from sales
             group by cube(item-name, color, size)
        s Can use the function decode() in the select clause to replace
             such nulls by a value such as all
               q   E.g. replace item-name in first query by
                     decode( grouping(item-name), 1, ‘all’, item-name)


Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.15 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Extended Aggregation (Cont.)
         s The rollup construct generates union on every prefix of specified list of
              attributes
         s E.g.
                      select item-name, color, size, sum(number)
                      from sales
                      group by rollup(item-name, color, size)
               Generates union of four groupings:
                    { (item-name, color, size), (item-name, color), (item-name), ( ) }
         s Rollup can be used to generate aggregates at multiple levels of a
              hierarchy.
         s E.g., suppose table itemcategory(item-name, category) gives the
              category of each item. Then
                        select category, item-name, sum(number)
                        from sales, itemcategory
                        where sales.item-name = itemcategory.item-name
                        group by rollup(category, item-name)
              would give a hierarchical summary by item-name and by category.


Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                 18.16 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Extended Aggregation (Cont.)
       s Multiple rollups and cubes can be used in a single group by clause
              q   Each generates set of group by lists, cross product of sets gives overall
                  set of group by lists
       s E.g.,
                    select item-name, color, size, sum(number)
                    from sales
                    group by rollup(item-name), rollup(color, size)
            generates the groupings
               {item-name, ()} X {(color, size), (color), ()}
                    = { (item-name, color, size), (item-name, color), (item-name),
                        (color, size), (color), ( ) }




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.17 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Ranking
       s Ranking is done in conjunction with an order by specification.
       s Given a relation student-marks(student-id, marks) find the rank of each
            student.
            select student-id, rank( ) over (order by marks desc) as s-rank
            from student-marks
       s An extra order by clause is needed to get them in sorted order
            select student-id, rank ( ) over (order by marks desc) as s-rank
            from student-marks
            order by s-rank
       s Ranking may leave gaps: e.g. if 2 students have the same top mark, both
            have rank 1, and the next rank is 3
              q   dense_rank does not leave gaps, so next dense rank would be 2




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.               18.18 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Ranking (Cont.)
         s Ranking can be done within partition of the data.
         s “Find the rank of students within each section.”
              select student-id, section,
                   rank ( ) over (partition by section order by marks desc)
                     as sec-rank
              from student-marks, student-section
              where student-marks.student-id = student-section.student-id
              order by section, sec-rank
         s Multiple rank clauses can occur in a single select clause
         s Ranking is done after applying group by clause/aggregation




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.            18.19 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Ranking (Cont.)
             s Other ranking functions:
                    q   percent_rank (within partition, if partitioning is done)
                    q   cume_dist (cumulative distribution)
                             fraction of tuples with preceding values
                    q   row_number (non-deterministic in presence of duplicates)
             s SQL:1999 permits the user to specify nulls first or nulls last
                   select student-id,
                         rank ( ) over (order by marks desc nulls last) as s-rank
                  from student-marks




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                    18.20 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Ranking (Cont.)
             s For a given constant n, the ranking the function ntile(n) takes the
                  tuples in each partition in the specified order, and divides them into n
                  buckets with equal numbers of tuples.
             s E.g.:
                  select threetile, sum(salary)
                  from (
                       select salary, ntile(3) over (order by salary) as threetile
                       from employee) as s
                  group by threetile




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                18.21 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Windowing
         s Used to smooth out random variations.
         s E.g.: moving average: “Given sales values for each date, calculate for each
              date the average of the sales on that day, the previous day, and the next
              day”
         s Window specification in SQL:
                q   Given relation sales(date, value)
                  select date, sum(value) over
                       (order by date between rows 1 preceding and 1
              following)
                   from sales
         s Examples of other window specifications:
                q   between rows unbounded preceding and current
                q   rows unbounded preceding
                q   range between 10 preceding and current row
                         All rows with values between current row value –10 to current value
                q   range interval 10 day preceding
                         Not including current row
Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                   18.22 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Windowing (Cont.)
             s Can do windowing within partitions
             s E.g. Given a relation transaction (account-number, date-time, value),
                  where value is positive for a deposit and negative for a withdrawal
                    q   “Find total balance of each account after each transaction on the
                        account”
                        select account-number, date-time,
                           sum (value ) over
                                  (partition by account-number
                                  order by date-time
                                  rows unbounded preceding)
                          as balance
                        from transaction
                        order by account-number, date-time




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                 18.23 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Data Warehousing
             s Data sources often store only current data, not historical data
             s Corporate decision making requires a unified view of all organizational
                  data, including historical data
             s A data warehouse is a repository (archive) of information gathered
                  from multiple sources, stored under a unified schema, at a single site
                    q   Greatly simplifies querying, permits study of historical trends
                    q   Shifts decision support query load away from transaction
                        processing systems




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.24 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Data Warehousing




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.          18.25 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Design Issues
             s When and how to gather data
                    q   Source driven architecture: data sources transmit new information
                        to warehouse, either continuously or periodically (e.g. at night)
                    q   Destination driven architecture: warehouse periodically requests
                        new information from data sources
                    q   Keeping warehouse exactly synchronized with data sources (e.g.
                        using two-phase commit) is too expensive
                            Usually OK to have slightly out-of-date data at warehouse
                            Data/updates are periodically downloaded form online
                             transaction processing (OLTP) systems.
             s What schema to use
                    q   Schema integration




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.26 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
More Warehouse Design Issues
             s Data cleansing
                    q   E.g. correct mistakes in addresses (misspellings, zip code errors)
                    q   Merge address lists from different sources and purge duplicates
             s How to propagate updates
                    q   Warehouse schema may be a (materialized) view of schema from
                        data sources
             s What data to summarize
                    q   Raw data may be too large to store on-line
                    q   Aggregate values (totals/subtotals) often suffice
                    q   Queries on raw data can often be transformed by query optimizer
                        to use aggregate values




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.27 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Warehouse Schemas
             s Dimension values are usually encoded using small integers and
                  mapped to full values via dimension tables
             s Resultant schema is called a star schema
                    q   More complicated schema structures
                            Snowflake schema: multiple levels of dimension tables
                            Constellation: multiple fact tables




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                    18.28 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Data Warehouse Schema




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.     18.29 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Data Mining
        s Data mining is the process of semi-automatically analyzing large
             databases to find useful patterns
        s Prediction based on past history
               q   Predict if a credit card applicant poses a good credit risk, based on
                   some attributes (income, job type, age, ..) and past history
               q   Predict if a pattern of phone calling card usage is likely to be
                   fraudulent
        s Some examples of prediction mechanisms:
               q   Classification
                       Given a new item whose class is unknown, predict to which class
                        it belongs
               q   Regression formulae
                       Given a set of mappings for an unknown function, predict the
                        function result for a new parameter value




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                 18.30 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Data Mining (Cont.)
             s Descriptive Patterns
                    q   Associations
                            Find books that are often bought by “similar” customers. If a
                             new such customer buys one such book, suggest the others
                             too.
                    q   Associations may be used as a first step in detecting causation
                            E.g. association between exposure to chemical X and cancer,
                    q   Clusters
                            E.g. typhoid cases were clustered in an area surrounding a
                             contaminated well
                            Detection of clusters remains important in detecting epidemics




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                   18.31 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Classification Rules

         s Classification rules help assign new objects to classes.
                q   E.g., given a new automobile insurance applicant, should he or she
                    be classified as low risk, medium risk or high risk?
         s Classification rules for above example could use a variety of data, such
              as educational level, salary, age, etc.
                q   ∀ person P, P.degree = masters and P.income > 75,000
                                                                    ⇒ P.credit = excellent
                q   ∀ person P, P.degree = bachelors and
                                (P.income ≥ 25,000 and P.income ≤ 75,000)
                                                             ⇒ P.credit = good
         s Rules are not necessarily exact: there may be some misclassifications
         s Classification rules can be shown compactly as a decision tree.




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.               18.32 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Decision Tree




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.        18.33 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Construction of Decision Trees
          s Training set: a data sample in which the classification is already
               known.
          s Greedy top down generation of decision trees.
                 q   Each internal node of the tree partitions the data into groups
                     based on a partitioning attribute, and a partitioning
                     condition for the node
                 q   Leaf node:
                          all (or most) of the items at the node belong to the same class,
                           or
                          all attributes have been considered, and no further partitioning
                           is possible.




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                   18.34 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Best Splits
     s Pick best attributes and conditions on which to partition
     s The purity of a set S of training instances can be measured quantitatively in
          several ways.
           q    Notation: number of classes = k, number of instances = |S|,
                fraction of instances in class i = pi.
     s The Gini measure of purity is defined as
     [                                        k
                               Gini (S) = 1 - ∑ p2i
                                             i- 1

           q    When all instances are in a single class, the Gini value is 0
           q    It reaches its maximum (of 1 –1 /k) if each class the same number of
                instances.




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                   18.35 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Best Splits (Cont.)
      s Another measure of purity is the entropy measure, which is defined as
                                                 k
                                 entropy (S) = – ∑ pilog2 pi
                                                 i- 1

      s When a set S is split into multiple sets Si, I=1, 2, …, r, we can measure the
           purity of the resultant set of sets as:
                                                 r
                                                        |Si|
                   purity(S1, S2, … Sr) = ∑
                                   ..,                         purity (Si)
                                                i= 1 |S|

      s The information gain due to particular split of S into Si, i = 1, 2, …., r
               Information-gain (S, {S1, S2, …., Sr) = purity(S ) – purity (S1, S2, … Sr)




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                            18.36 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Best Splits (Cont.)
         s Measure of “cost” of a split:                                       r |S |
                                                                                   i            |Si|
                       Information-content (S, {S1, S2, ….., Sr})) = – ∑                 log2
                                                                              i- 1 |S|          |S|

         s Information-gain ratio = Information-gain (S, {S1, S2, ……, Sr})
                                             Information-content (S, {S1, S2, ….., Sr})
         s The best split is the one that gives the maximum information gain ratio




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.37 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Finding Best Splits
             s Categorical attributes (with no meaningful order):
                    q   Multi-way split, one child for each value
                    q   Binary split: try all possible breakup of values into two sets, and
                        pick the best
             s Continuous-valued attributes (can be sorted in a meaningful order)
                    q   Binary split:
                            Sort values, try each as a split point
                              – E.g. if values are 1, 10, 15, 25, split at ≤1, ≤ 10, ≤ 15
                            Pick the value that gives best split
                    q   Multi-way split:
                            A series of binary splits on the same attribute has roughly
                             equivalent effect




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                    18.38 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Decision-Tree Construction
                                     Algorithm
                Procedure GrowTree (S )
                 Partition (S );

                Procedure Partition (S)
                 if ( purity (S ) > δp or |S| < δs ) then
                      return;
                 for each attribute A
                      evaluate splits on attribute A;
                 Use best split found (across all attributes) to partition
                      S into S1, S2, … Sr,
                                        .,
                 for i = 1, 2, ….., r
                       Partition (Si );




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.            18.39 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Other Types of Classifiers
         s Neural net classifiers are studied in artificial intelligence and are not covered
              here
         s Bayesian classifiers use Bayes theorem, which says
                                      p (cj | d ) = p (d | cj ) p (cj )
                                                      p(d)
              where
                        p (cj | d ) = probability of instance d being in class cj,
                        p (d | cj ) = probability of generating instance d given class cj,

                             p (cj ) = probability of occurrence of class cj, and
                             p (d ) = probability of instance d occuring




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                             18.40 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Naï ve Bayesian Classifiers
             s Bayesian classifiers require
                    q   computation of p (d | cj )
                    q   precomputation of p (cj )
                    q   p (d ) can be ignored since it is the same for all classes
             s To simplify the task, naï ve Bayesian classifiers assume
                  attributes have independent distributions, and thereby estimate
                          p (d | cj) = p (d1 | cj ) * p (d2 | cj ) * ….* (p (dn | cj )
                    q   Each of the p (di | cj ) can be estimated from a histogram on di
                        values for each class cj
                             the histogram is computed from the training instances
                    q   Histograms on multiple attributes are more expensive to compute
                        and store




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                         18.41 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Regression
         s Regression deals with the prediction of a value, rather than a class.
                q   Given values for a set of variables, X1, X2, …, Xn, we wish to predict the
                    value of a variable Y.
         s One way is to infer coefficients a0, a1, a1, …, an such that
                       Y = a0 + a1 * X1 + a2 * X2 + … + an * Xn
         s Finding such a linear polynomial is called linear regression.
                q   In general, the process of finding a curve that fits the data is also called
                    curve fitting.
         s The fit may only be approximate
                q   because of noise in the data, or
                q   because the relationship is not exactly a polynomial
         s Regression aims to find coefficients that give the best possible fit.




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.42 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Association Rules
         s Retail shops are often interested in associations between different items
              that people buy.
                q   Someone who buys bread is quite likely also to buy milk
                q   A person who bought the book Database System Concepts is quite
                    likely also to buy the book Operating System Concepts.
         s Associations information can be used in several ways.
                q   E.g. when a customer buys a particular book, an online shop may
                    suggest associated books.
         s Association rules:
                 bread ⇒ milk           DB-Concepts, OS-Concepts ⇒ Networks
                q   Left hand side: antecedent,      right hand side: consequent
                q   An association rule must have an associated population; the
                    population consists of a set of instances
                         E.g. each transaction (sale) at a shop is an instance, and the set
                          of all transactions is the population



Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                   18.43 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Association Rules (Cont.)
        s Rules have an associated support, as well as an associated confidence.
        s Support is a measure of what fraction of the population satisfies both the
             antecedent and the consequent of the rule.
              q    E.g. suppose only 0.001 percent of all purchases include milk and
                   screwdrivers. The support for the rule is milk ⇒ screwdrivers is low.
        s Confidence is a measure of how often the consequent is true when the
             antecedent is true.
              q    E.g. the rule bread ⇒ milk has a confidence of 80 percent if 80
                   percent of the purchases that include bread also include milk.




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                18.44 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Finding Association Rules

               s     We are generally only interested in association rules with reasonably
                     high support (e.g. support of 2% or greater)
               s     Naï ve algorithm
                      1.   Consider all possible sets of relevant items.
                      2.   For each set find its support (i.e. count how many transactions
                           purchase all items in the set).
                            5    Large itemsets: sets with sufficiently high support
                      3.   Use large itemsets to generate association rules.
                                 From itemset A generate the rule A - {b } ⇒b for each b ∈ A.
                                      Support of rule = support (A).
                                      Confidence of rule = support (A ) / support (A - {b })




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                      18.45 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Finding Support
        s Determine support of itemsets via a single pass on set of transactions
               q   Large itemsets: sets with a high count at the end of the pass
        s If memory not enough to hold all counts for all itemsets use multiple passes,
             considering only some itemsets in each pass.
        s Optimization: Once an itemset is eliminated because its count (support) is too
             small none of its supersets needs to be considered.
        s The a priori technique to find large itemsets:
               q   Pass 1: count support of all sets with just 1 item. Eliminate those items
                   with low support
               q   Pass i: candidates: every set of i items such that all its i-1 item subsets
                   are large
                        Count support of all candidates
                        Stop if there are no candidates




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.46 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Other Types of Associations
         s Basic association rules have several limitations
         s Deviations from the expected probability are more interesting
                q   E.g. if many people purchase bread, and many people purchase cereal,
                    quite a few would be expected to purchase both
                q   We are interested in positive as well as negative correlations between
                    sets of items
                         Positive correlation: co-occurrence is higher than predicted
                         Negative correlation: co-occurrence is lower than predicted
         s Sequence associations / correlations
                q   E.g. whenever bonds go up, stock prices go down in 2 days
         s Deviations from temporal patterns
                q   E.g. deviation from a steady growth
                q   E.g. sales of winter wear go down in summer
                         Not surprising, part of a known pattern.
                         Look for deviation from value predicted using past patterns


Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                   18.47 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Clustering
         s Clustering: Intuitively, finding clusters of points in the given data such that
              similar points lie in the same cluster
         s Can be formalized using distance metrics in several ways
                q   Group points into k sets (for a given k) such that the average distance
                    of points from the centroid of their assigned group is minimized
                         Centroid: point defined by taking average of coordinates in each
                          dimension.
                q   Another metric: minimize average distance between every pair of
                    points in a cluster
         s Has been studied extensively in statistics, but on small data sets
                q   Data mining systems aim at clustering techniques that can handle very
                    large data sets
                q   E.g. the Birch clustering algorithm (more shortly)




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.48 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Hierarchical Clustering
        s Example from biological classification
               q   (the word classification here does not mean a prediction mechanism)

                                       chordata
                            mammalia                 reptilia
                   leopards humans                snakes crocodiles
        s Other examples: Internet directory systems (e.g. Yahoo, more on this later)
        s Agglomerative clustering algorithms
               q   Build small clusters, then cluster small clusters into bigger clusters, and
                   so on
        s Divisive clustering algorithms
               q   Start with all items in a single cluster, repeatedly refine (break) clusters
                   into smaller ones




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                 18.49 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Clustering Algorithms
             s Clustering algorithms have been designed to handle very large
                  datasets
             s E.g. the Birch algorithm
                    q   Main idea: use an in-memory R-tree to store points that are being
                        clustered
                    q   Insert points one at a time into the R-tree, merging a new point
                        with an existing cluster if is less than some δ distance away
                    q   If there are more leaf nodes than fit in memory, merge existing
                        clusters that are close to each other
                    q   At the end of first pass we get a large number of clusters at the
                        leaves of the R-tree
                            Merge clusters to reduce the number of clusters




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                  18.50 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Collaborative Filtering
             s Goal: predict what movies/books/… a person may be interested in, on
                  the basis of
                    q   Past preferences of the person
                    q   Other people with similar past preferences
                    q   The preferences of such people for a new movie/book/…
             s One approach based on repeated clustering
                    q   Cluster people on the basis of preferences for movies
                    q   Then cluster movies on the basis of being liked by the same
                        clusters of people
                    q   Again cluster people based on their preferences for (the newly
                        created clusters of) movies
                    q   Repeat above till equilibrium
             s Above problem is an instance of collaborative filtering, where
                  users collaborate in the task of filtering information to find information
                  of interest



Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                     18.51 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
Other Types of Mining
             s Text mining: application of data mining to textual documents
                    q   cluster Web pages to find related pages
                    q   cluster pages a user has visited to organize their visit history
                    q   classify Web pages automatically into a Web directory
             s Data visualization systems help users examine large volumes of
                  data and detect patterns visually
                    q   Can visually encode large amounts of information on a single
                        screen
                    q   Humans are very good a detecting visual patterns




Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed.                   18.52 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100

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VNSISPL_DBMS_Concepts_ch18

  • 1. Chapter 18: Data Analysis and Mining Database System Concepts, 1 st Ed. ©VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 221002 See www.vnsispl.com for conditions on re-use
  • 2. Chapter 18: Data Analysis and Mining s Decision Support Systems s Data Analysis and OLAP s Data Warehousing s Data Mining Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.2 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 3. Decision Support Systems s Decision-support systems are used to make business decisions, often based on data collected by on-line transaction-processing systems. s Examples of business decisions: q What items to stock? q What insurance premium to change? q To whom to send advertisements? s Examples of data used for making decisions q Retail sales transaction details q Customer profiles (income, age, gender, etc.) Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.3 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 4. Decision-Support Systems: Overview s Data analysis tasks are simplified by specialized tools and SQL extensions q Example tasks  For each product category and each region, what were the total sales in the last quarter and how do they compare with the same quarter last year  As above, for each product category and each customer category s Statistical analysis packages (e.g., : S++) can be interfaced with databases q Statistical analysis is a large field, but not covered here s Data mining seeks to discover knowledge automatically in the form of statistical rules and patterns from large databases. s A data warehouse archives information gathered from multiple sources, and stores it under a unified schema, at a single site. q Important for large businesses that generate data from multiple divisions, possibly at multiple sites q Data may also be purchased externally Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.4 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 5. Data Analysis and OLAP s Online Analytical Processing (OLAP) q Interactive analysis of data, allowing data to be summarized and viewed in different ways in an online fashion (with negligible delay) s Data that can be modeled as dimension attributes and measure attributes are called multidimensional data. q Measure attributes  measure some value  can be aggregated upon  e.g. the attribute number of the sales relation q Dimension attributes  define the dimensions on which measure attributes (or aggregates thereof) are viewed  e.g. the attributes item_name, color, and size of the sales relation Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.5 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 6. Cross Tabulation of sales by item- name and color s The table above is an example of a cross-tabulation (cross-tab), also referred to as a pivot-table. q Values for one of the dimension attributes form the row headers q Values for another dimension attribute form the column headers q Other dimension attributes are listed on top q Values in individual cells are (aggregates of) the values of the dimension attributes that specify the cell. Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.6 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 7. Relational Representation of Cross- tabs s Cross-tabs can be represented as relations s We use the value all is used to represent aggregates s The SQL:1999 standard actually uses null values in place of all despite confusion with regular null values Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.7 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 8. Data Cube s A data cube is a multidimensional generalization of a cross-tab s Can have n dimensions; we show 3 below s Cross-tabs can be used as views on a data cube Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.8 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 9. Online Analytical Processing s Pivoting: changing the dimensions used in a cross-tab is called s Slicing: creating a cross-tab for fixed values only q Sometimes called dicing, particularly when values for multiple dimensions are fixed. s Rollup: moving from finer-granularity data to a coarser granularity s Drill down: The opposite operation - that of moving from coarser- granularity data to finer-granularity data Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.9 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 10. Hierarchies on Dimensions s Hierarchy on dimension attributes: lets dimensions to be viewed at different levels of detail 5 E.g. the dimension DateTime can be used to aggregate by hour of day, date, day of week, month, quarter or year Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.10 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 11. Cross Tabulation With Hierarchy s Cross-tabs can be easily extended to deal with hierarchies 5 Can drill down or roll up on a hierarchy Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.11 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 12. OLAP Implementation s The earliest OLAP systems used multidimensional arrays in memory to store data cubes, and are referred to as multidimensional OLAP (MOLAP) systems. s OLAP implementations using only relational database features are called relational OLAP (ROLAP) systems s Hybrid systems, which store some summaries in memory and store the base data and other summaries in a relational database, are called hybrid OLAP (HOLAP) systems. Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.12 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 13. OLAP Implementation (Cont.) s Early OLAP systems precomputed all possible aggregates in order to provide online response q Space and time requirements for doing so can be very high  2n combinations of group by q It suffices to precompute some aggregates, and compute others on demand from one of the precomputed aggregates  Can compute aggregate on (item-name, color) from an aggregate on (item-name, color, size) – For all but a few “non-decomposable” aggregates such as median – is cheaper than computing it from scratch s Several optimizations available for computing multiple aggregates q Can compute aggregate on (item-name, color) from an aggregate on (item-name, color, size) q Can compute aggregates on (item-name, color, size), (item-name, color) and (item-name) using a single sorting of the base data Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.13 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 14. Extended Aggregation in SQL:1999 s The cube operation computes union of group by’s on every subset of the specified attributes s E.g. consider the query select item-name, color, size, sum(number) from sales group by cube(item-name, color, size) This computes the union of eight different groupings of the sales relation: { (item-name, color, size), (item-name, color), (item-name, size), (color, size), (item-name), (color), (size), ()} where ( ) denotes an empty group by list. s For each grouping, the result contains the null value for attributes not present in the grouping. Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.14 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 15. Extended Aggregation (Cont.) s Relational representation of cross-tab that we saw earlier, but with null in place of all, can be computed by select item-name, color, sum(number) from sales group by cube(item-name, color) s The function grouping() can be applied on an attribute q Returns 1 if the value is a null value representing all, and returns 0 in all other cases. select item-name, color, size, sum(number), grouping(item-name) as item-name-flag, grouping(color) as color-flag, grouping(size) as size-flag, from sales group by cube(item-name, color, size) s Can use the function decode() in the select clause to replace such nulls by a value such as all q E.g. replace item-name in first query by decode( grouping(item-name), 1, ‘all’, item-name) Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.15 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 16. Extended Aggregation (Cont.) s The rollup construct generates union on every prefix of specified list of attributes s E.g. select item-name, color, size, sum(number) from sales group by rollup(item-name, color, size) Generates union of four groupings: { (item-name, color, size), (item-name, color), (item-name), ( ) } s Rollup can be used to generate aggregates at multiple levels of a hierarchy. s E.g., suppose table itemcategory(item-name, category) gives the category of each item. Then select category, item-name, sum(number) from sales, itemcategory where sales.item-name = itemcategory.item-name group by rollup(category, item-name) would give a hierarchical summary by item-name and by category. Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.16 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 17. Extended Aggregation (Cont.) s Multiple rollups and cubes can be used in a single group by clause q Each generates set of group by lists, cross product of sets gives overall set of group by lists s E.g., select item-name, color, size, sum(number) from sales group by rollup(item-name), rollup(color, size) generates the groupings {item-name, ()} X {(color, size), (color), ()} = { (item-name, color, size), (item-name, color), (item-name), (color, size), (color), ( ) } Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.17 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 18. Ranking s Ranking is done in conjunction with an order by specification. s Given a relation student-marks(student-id, marks) find the rank of each student. select student-id, rank( ) over (order by marks desc) as s-rank from student-marks s An extra order by clause is needed to get them in sorted order select student-id, rank ( ) over (order by marks desc) as s-rank from student-marks order by s-rank s Ranking may leave gaps: e.g. if 2 students have the same top mark, both have rank 1, and the next rank is 3 q dense_rank does not leave gaps, so next dense rank would be 2 Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.18 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 19. Ranking (Cont.) s Ranking can be done within partition of the data. s “Find the rank of students within each section.” select student-id, section, rank ( ) over (partition by section order by marks desc) as sec-rank from student-marks, student-section where student-marks.student-id = student-section.student-id order by section, sec-rank s Multiple rank clauses can occur in a single select clause s Ranking is done after applying group by clause/aggregation Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.19 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 20. Ranking (Cont.) s Other ranking functions: q percent_rank (within partition, if partitioning is done) q cume_dist (cumulative distribution)  fraction of tuples with preceding values q row_number (non-deterministic in presence of duplicates) s SQL:1999 permits the user to specify nulls first or nulls last select student-id, rank ( ) over (order by marks desc nulls last) as s-rank from student-marks Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.20 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 21. Ranking (Cont.) s For a given constant n, the ranking the function ntile(n) takes the tuples in each partition in the specified order, and divides them into n buckets with equal numbers of tuples. s E.g.: select threetile, sum(salary) from ( select salary, ntile(3) over (order by salary) as threetile from employee) as s group by threetile Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.21 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 22. Windowing s Used to smooth out random variations. s E.g.: moving average: “Given sales values for each date, calculate for each date the average of the sales on that day, the previous day, and the next day” s Window specification in SQL: q Given relation sales(date, value) select date, sum(value) over (order by date between rows 1 preceding and 1 following) from sales s Examples of other window specifications: q between rows unbounded preceding and current q rows unbounded preceding q range between 10 preceding and current row  All rows with values between current row value –10 to current value q range interval 10 day preceding  Not including current row Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.22 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 23. Windowing (Cont.) s Can do windowing within partitions s E.g. Given a relation transaction (account-number, date-time, value), where value is positive for a deposit and negative for a withdrawal q “Find total balance of each account after each transaction on the account” select account-number, date-time, sum (value ) over (partition by account-number order by date-time rows unbounded preceding) as balance from transaction order by account-number, date-time Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.23 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 24. Data Warehousing s Data sources often store only current data, not historical data s Corporate decision making requires a unified view of all organizational data, including historical data s A data warehouse is a repository (archive) of information gathered from multiple sources, stored under a unified schema, at a single site q Greatly simplifies querying, permits study of historical trends q Shifts decision support query load away from transaction processing systems Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.24 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 25. Data Warehousing Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.25 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 26. Design Issues s When and how to gather data q Source driven architecture: data sources transmit new information to warehouse, either continuously or periodically (e.g. at night) q Destination driven architecture: warehouse periodically requests new information from data sources q Keeping warehouse exactly synchronized with data sources (e.g. using two-phase commit) is too expensive  Usually OK to have slightly out-of-date data at warehouse  Data/updates are periodically downloaded form online transaction processing (OLTP) systems. s What schema to use q Schema integration Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.26 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 27. More Warehouse Design Issues s Data cleansing q E.g. correct mistakes in addresses (misspellings, zip code errors) q Merge address lists from different sources and purge duplicates s How to propagate updates q Warehouse schema may be a (materialized) view of schema from data sources s What data to summarize q Raw data may be too large to store on-line q Aggregate values (totals/subtotals) often suffice q Queries on raw data can often be transformed by query optimizer to use aggregate values Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.27 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 28. Warehouse Schemas s Dimension values are usually encoded using small integers and mapped to full values via dimension tables s Resultant schema is called a star schema q More complicated schema structures  Snowflake schema: multiple levels of dimension tables  Constellation: multiple fact tables Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.28 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 29. Data Warehouse Schema Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.29 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 30. Data Mining s Data mining is the process of semi-automatically analyzing large databases to find useful patterns s Prediction based on past history q Predict if a credit card applicant poses a good credit risk, based on some attributes (income, job type, age, ..) and past history q Predict if a pattern of phone calling card usage is likely to be fraudulent s Some examples of prediction mechanisms: q Classification  Given a new item whose class is unknown, predict to which class it belongs q Regression formulae  Given a set of mappings for an unknown function, predict the function result for a new parameter value Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.30 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 31. Data Mining (Cont.) s Descriptive Patterns q Associations  Find books that are often bought by “similar” customers. If a new such customer buys one such book, suggest the others too. q Associations may be used as a first step in detecting causation  E.g. association between exposure to chemical X and cancer, q Clusters  E.g. typhoid cases were clustered in an area surrounding a contaminated well  Detection of clusters remains important in detecting epidemics Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.31 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 32. Classification Rules s Classification rules help assign new objects to classes. q E.g., given a new automobile insurance applicant, should he or she be classified as low risk, medium risk or high risk? s Classification rules for above example could use a variety of data, such as educational level, salary, age, etc. q ∀ person P, P.degree = masters and P.income > 75,000 ⇒ P.credit = excellent q ∀ person P, P.degree = bachelors and (P.income ≥ 25,000 and P.income ≤ 75,000) ⇒ P.credit = good s Rules are not necessarily exact: there may be some misclassifications s Classification rules can be shown compactly as a decision tree. Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.32 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 33. Decision Tree Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.33 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 34. Construction of Decision Trees s Training set: a data sample in which the classification is already known. s Greedy top down generation of decision trees. q Each internal node of the tree partitions the data into groups based on a partitioning attribute, and a partitioning condition for the node q Leaf node:  all (or most) of the items at the node belong to the same class, or  all attributes have been considered, and no further partitioning is possible. Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.34 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 35. Best Splits s Pick best attributes and conditions on which to partition s The purity of a set S of training instances can be measured quantitatively in several ways. q Notation: number of classes = k, number of instances = |S|, fraction of instances in class i = pi. s The Gini measure of purity is defined as [ k Gini (S) = 1 - ∑ p2i i- 1 q When all instances are in a single class, the Gini value is 0 q It reaches its maximum (of 1 –1 /k) if each class the same number of instances. Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.35 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 36. Best Splits (Cont.) s Another measure of purity is the entropy measure, which is defined as k entropy (S) = – ∑ pilog2 pi i- 1 s When a set S is split into multiple sets Si, I=1, 2, …, r, we can measure the purity of the resultant set of sets as: r |Si| purity(S1, S2, … Sr) = ∑ .., purity (Si) i= 1 |S| s The information gain due to particular split of S into Si, i = 1, 2, …., r Information-gain (S, {S1, S2, …., Sr) = purity(S ) – purity (S1, S2, … Sr) Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.36 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 37. Best Splits (Cont.) s Measure of “cost” of a split: r |S | i |Si| Information-content (S, {S1, S2, ….., Sr})) = – ∑ log2 i- 1 |S| |S| s Information-gain ratio = Information-gain (S, {S1, S2, ……, Sr}) Information-content (S, {S1, S2, ….., Sr}) s The best split is the one that gives the maximum information gain ratio Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.37 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 38. Finding Best Splits s Categorical attributes (with no meaningful order): q Multi-way split, one child for each value q Binary split: try all possible breakup of values into two sets, and pick the best s Continuous-valued attributes (can be sorted in a meaningful order) q Binary split:  Sort values, try each as a split point – E.g. if values are 1, 10, 15, 25, split at ≤1, ≤ 10, ≤ 15  Pick the value that gives best split q Multi-way split:  A series of binary splits on the same attribute has roughly equivalent effect Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.38 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 39. Decision-Tree Construction Algorithm Procedure GrowTree (S ) Partition (S ); Procedure Partition (S) if ( purity (S ) > δp or |S| < δs ) then return; for each attribute A evaluate splits on attribute A; Use best split found (across all attributes) to partition S into S1, S2, … Sr, ., for i = 1, 2, ….., r Partition (Si ); Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.39 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 40. Other Types of Classifiers s Neural net classifiers are studied in artificial intelligence and are not covered here s Bayesian classifiers use Bayes theorem, which says p (cj | d ) = p (d | cj ) p (cj ) p(d) where p (cj | d ) = probability of instance d being in class cj, p (d | cj ) = probability of generating instance d given class cj, p (cj ) = probability of occurrence of class cj, and p (d ) = probability of instance d occuring Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.40 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 41. Naï ve Bayesian Classifiers s Bayesian classifiers require q computation of p (d | cj ) q precomputation of p (cj ) q p (d ) can be ignored since it is the same for all classes s To simplify the task, naï ve Bayesian classifiers assume attributes have independent distributions, and thereby estimate p (d | cj) = p (d1 | cj ) * p (d2 | cj ) * ….* (p (dn | cj ) q Each of the p (di | cj ) can be estimated from a histogram on di values for each class cj  the histogram is computed from the training instances q Histograms on multiple attributes are more expensive to compute and store Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.41 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 42. Regression s Regression deals with the prediction of a value, rather than a class. q Given values for a set of variables, X1, X2, …, Xn, we wish to predict the value of a variable Y. s One way is to infer coefficients a0, a1, a1, …, an such that Y = a0 + a1 * X1 + a2 * X2 + … + an * Xn s Finding such a linear polynomial is called linear regression. q In general, the process of finding a curve that fits the data is also called curve fitting. s The fit may only be approximate q because of noise in the data, or q because the relationship is not exactly a polynomial s Regression aims to find coefficients that give the best possible fit. Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.42 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 43. Association Rules s Retail shops are often interested in associations between different items that people buy. q Someone who buys bread is quite likely also to buy milk q A person who bought the book Database System Concepts is quite likely also to buy the book Operating System Concepts. s Associations information can be used in several ways. q E.g. when a customer buys a particular book, an online shop may suggest associated books. s Association rules: bread ⇒ milk DB-Concepts, OS-Concepts ⇒ Networks q Left hand side: antecedent, right hand side: consequent q An association rule must have an associated population; the population consists of a set of instances  E.g. each transaction (sale) at a shop is an instance, and the set of all transactions is the population Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.43 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 44. Association Rules (Cont.) s Rules have an associated support, as well as an associated confidence. s Support is a measure of what fraction of the population satisfies both the antecedent and the consequent of the rule. q E.g. suppose only 0.001 percent of all purchases include milk and screwdrivers. The support for the rule is milk ⇒ screwdrivers is low. s Confidence is a measure of how often the consequent is true when the antecedent is true. q E.g. the rule bread ⇒ milk has a confidence of 80 percent if 80 percent of the purchases that include bread also include milk. Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.44 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 45. Finding Association Rules s We are generally only interested in association rules with reasonably high support (e.g. support of 2% or greater) s Naï ve algorithm 1. Consider all possible sets of relevant items. 2. For each set find its support (i.e. count how many transactions purchase all items in the set). 5 Large itemsets: sets with sufficiently high support 3. Use large itemsets to generate association rules. From itemset A generate the rule A - {b } ⇒b for each b ∈ A. Support of rule = support (A). Confidence of rule = support (A ) / support (A - {b }) Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.45 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 46. Finding Support s Determine support of itemsets via a single pass on set of transactions q Large itemsets: sets with a high count at the end of the pass s If memory not enough to hold all counts for all itemsets use multiple passes, considering only some itemsets in each pass. s Optimization: Once an itemset is eliminated because its count (support) is too small none of its supersets needs to be considered. s The a priori technique to find large itemsets: q Pass 1: count support of all sets with just 1 item. Eliminate those items with low support q Pass i: candidates: every set of i items such that all its i-1 item subsets are large  Count support of all candidates  Stop if there are no candidates Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.46 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 47. Other Types of Associations s Basic association rules have several limitations s Deviations from the expected probability are more interesting q E.g. if many people purchase bread, and many people purchase cereal, quite a few would be expected to purchase both q We are interested in positive as well as negative correlations between sets of items  Positive correlation: co-occurrence is higher than predicted  Negative correlation: co-occurrence is lower than predicted s Sequence associations / correlations q E.g. whenever bonds go up, stock prices go down in 2 days s Deviations from temporal patterns q E.g. deviation from a steady growth q E.g. sales of winter wear go down in summer  Not surprising, part of a known pattern.  Look for deviation from value predicted using past patterns Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.47 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 48. Clustering s Clustering: Intuitively, finding clusters of points in the given data such that similar points lie in the same cluster s Can be formalized using distance metrics in several ways q Group points into k sets (for a given k) such that the average distance of points from the centroid of their assigned group is minimized  Centroid: point defined by taking average of coordinates in each dimension. q Another metric: minimize average distance between every pair of points in a cluster s Has been studied extensively in statistics, but on small data sets q Data mining systems aim at clustering techniques that can handle very large data sets q E.g. the Birch clustering algorithm (more shortly) Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.48 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 49. Hierarchical Clustering s Example from biological classification q (the word classification here does not mean a prediction mechanism) chordata mammalia reptilia leopards humans snakes crocodiles s Other examples: Internet directory systems (e.g. Yahoo, more on this later) s Agglomerative clustering algorithms q Build small clusters, then cluster small clusters into bigger clusters, and so on s Divisive clustering algorithms q Start with all items in a single cluster, repeatedly refine (break) clusters into smaller ones Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.49 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 50. Clustering Algorithms s Clustering algorithms have been designed to handle very large datasets s E.g. the Birch algorithm q Main idea: use an in-memory R-tree to store points that are being clustered q Insert points one at a time into the R-tree, merging a new point with an existing cluster if is less than some δ distance away q If there are more leaf nodes than fit in memory, merge existing clusters that are close to each other q At the end of first pass we get a large number of clusters at the leaves of the R-tree  Merge clusters to reduce the number of clusters Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.50 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 51. Collaborative Filtering s Goal: predict what movies/books/… a person may be interested in, on the basis of q Past preferences of the person q Other people with similar past preferences q The preferences of such people for a new movie/book/… s One approach based on repeated clustering q Cluster people on the basis of preferences for movies q Then cluster movies on the basis of being liked by the same clusters of people q Again cluster people based on their preferences for (the newly created clusters of) movies q Repeat above till equilibrium s Above problem is an instance of collaborative filtering, where users collaborate in the task of filtering information to find information of interest Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.51 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100
  • 52. Other Types of Mining s Text mining: application of data mining to textual documents q cluster Web pages to find related pages q cluster pages a user has visited to organize their visit history q classify Web pages automatically into a Web directory s Data visualization systems help users examine large volumes of data and detect patterns visually q Can visually encode large amounts of information on a single screen q Humans are very good a detecting visual patterns Database System Concepts – 1 st Ed. 18.52 © VNS InfoSolutions Private Limited, Varanasi(UP), India 22100