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Anomalous
Behavior
Unit 3
Climate of Change
InTeGrate Module
Cynthia M. Fadem
Earlham College
Russian River Valley, CA, USA
Goals
• Understand the mechanics of the El Niño
Southern Oscillation.
• Diagram an El Niño event.
• Recall examples of how ocean surface
oscillations impact ecosystems and people.
ENSO
Normal
Condition
Trade winds and strong equatorial currents flow toward the west. This
process, along with an intense Peruvian current, causes the upwelling of
cold bottom-water along the west coast of South America.
Cool
water,
strong
Peruvian
current
Equatorial current
The Southern
Oscillation (ENSO)
• Shifts in tropical Pacific SST and
precipitation affect wind patterns
over much of the globe.
• ENSO can have both positive and
negative impacts in different parts
of the world — often resulting in
worldwide socioeconomic
consequences (ranging from an
increased flood risk in some
regions of the US to warm, dry
conditions in others).
-National Oceanic & Atmospheric
Administration, 2006
• At the onset, tradewinds
maintain warm equatorial
currents toward the east.
• As El Niño begins, the tradewinds
weaken, and the equatorial
countercurrent strengthens.
• This creates Kelvin waves, surges
of warm water moving eastward.
• When a Kelvin wave reaches the
Americas, it divides and travels
north and south along the west
coast.
ENSO Positive
Condition (El Niño)
Capturing
ENSO
Capturing ENSO
Geology of
ENSO
Fires in Canberra, Brindabella Range,
Australia, 2003
Dried
fields,
Australia
Immediate
Effects
Global Effects
Global Effects
Still Discovering
El Niño…
“For years, scientists have tracked the
intensity of the El Niño Southern
Oscillation by measuring the strength of
the sea surface temperature anomaly. El
Niños occur when warmer ocean water
wells up toward the eastern equatorial
Pacific. But the strength of the
temperature anomaly may not be the only
important factor in predicting El Niño-
related weather events. Our researchers
found that the location of sea-surface
warming appears to be just as critical. For
instance, El Niños that develop near the
central equatorial Pacific appear to cause
drought during the Indian Monsoon,
whereas warm waters near the eastern
equatorial Pacific may have no impact on
monsoon rains.”
- Cooperative Institute for Research in
Environmental Sciences (CIRES), 2012
ENSO
POSITIVE PHASE
NEGATIVE PHASE
When the trade winds shift and
push warm water from the
western pacific to the eastern
Pacific, the jet streams change,
changing the weather patterns
and climate.
La Niña is characterized by unusually cold
ocean temperatures in the central equatorial
Pacific. The colder than normal water is
depicted in this image in blue. During a La Niña
stronger than normal trade winds bring cold
water up to the surface of the ocean.

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Unit 3 Lecture

  • 1. Anomalous Behavior Unit 3 Climate of Change InTeGrate Module Cynthia M. Fadem Earlham College Russian River Valley, CA, USA
  • 2. Goals • Understand the mechanics of the El Niño Southern Oscillation. • Diagram an El Niño event. • Recall examples of how ocean surface oscillations impact ecosystems and people.
  • 3. ENSO Normal Condition Trade winds and strong equatorial currents flow toward the west. This process, along with an intense Peruvian current, causes the upwelling of cold bottom-water along the west coast of South America. Cool water, strong Peruvian current Equatorial current
  • 4. The Southern Oscillation (ENSO) • Shifts in tropical Pacific SST and precipitation affect wind patterns over much of the globe. • ENSO can have both positive and negative impacts in different parts of the world — often resulting in worldwide socioeconomic consequences (ranging from an increased flood risk in some regions of the US to warm, dry conditions in others). -National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration, 2006
  • 5. • At the onset, tradewinds maintain warm equatorial currents toward the east. • As El Niño begins, the tradewinds weaken, and the equatorial countercurrent strengthens. • This creates Kelvin waves, surges of warm water moving eastward. • When a Kelvin wave reaches the Americas, it divides and travels north and south along the west coast. ENSO Positive Condition (El Niño)
  • 8. Geology of ENSO Fires in Canberra, Brindabella Range, Australia, 2003 Dried fields, Australia
  • 12. Still Discovering El Niño… “For years, scientists have tracked the intensity of the El Niño Southern Oscillation by measuring the strength of the sea surface temperature anomaly. El Niños occur when warmer ocean water wells up toward the eastern equatorial Pacific. But the strength of the temperature anomaly may not be the only important factor in predicting El Niño- related weather events. Our researchers found that the location of sea-surface warming appears to be just as critical. For instance, El Niños that develop near the central equatorial Pacific appear to cause drought during the Indian Monsoon, whereas warm waters near the eastern equatorial Pacific may have no impact on monsoon rains.” - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), 2012
  • 13. ENSO POSITIVE PHASE NEGATIVE PHASE When the trade winds shift and push warm water from the western pacific to the eastern Pacific, the jet streams change, changing the weather patterns and climate. La Niña is characterized by unusually cold ocean temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific. The colder than normal water is depicted in this image in blue. During a La Niña stronger than normal trade winds bring cold water up to the surface of the ocean.