UK Spectrum Policy Forum Richard Peckham, Business Development Director UK, Airbus Defence and Space The Case for Space: The commercial, societal and macro-economic case for satellite spectrum See more at: http://www.techuk.org/about/uk-spectrum-policy-forum All Rights Reserved

1. The Case for Space
The commercial, societal and macro-economic
case for satellite spectrum
Richard Peckham
UKspace

2. Global Space market 2012 - US$ 305 Billion
Commercial
products &
services,
$116, 38%
Commercial
infrastructure
& support
$110, 36%
US
Government,
$48, 16%
Other
Government,
$31, 10%
Global Space Market US$ billion
Source: The Space report 2013
The Space Foundation
$0.00
$50.00
$100.00
$150.00
$200.00
$250.00
$300.00
$350.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Year
Growth in Global Space Market
• Strong growth of 8% per annum
average over last decade
• Same pace predicted for next decade
as new applications come on stream
Of which:
$89B DTH TV broadcast
$21B Satellite communications
Of which:
$101B Ground stations & Equipment
$5B Satellite manufacturing

3. UK Industry Momentum
Source: “Size & Health of the
UK Space Industry 2011”
UK Space Agency

4. Joint Industry / Government “Innovation &
Growth Strategy” ambition of £40bn by 2030
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Year (2010 - 2030)
Turnover£mns(2009prices)
Sat Telecoms
Earth Observation & Services
Navigation & Services
Space Transportation
Space Science
Other Services
Sat Broadcasting
On track 2011
£9.1bn
• Satellite telecommunications
• Earth Observations and climate services
• Position & timing applications & products
• Satellite broadcasting continues
as the largest sector
• Security applications

5. 2013 Space Growth Action Plan
Market analysis
Space Plane technologies
Indoor satellite navigation
Ultra low-cost platforms
High resolution remote sensing from GEO
Large integrated constellations in LEO
Miniaturised antennas for consumer/m2m devices
Fractionated satellites
High altitude atmospheric platforms (HAP/HALE)
In-orbit power generation & transmission
Game changing technologies
& infrastructure
Game changing
services
e-Connectivity
More efficient public
sector services
Climate & Environmental
Services
Maritime geospatial services
Secure satellite communications
Galileo PRS
Polar infrastructure for shipping & exploration
Disaster & emergency response
Space robustness services
Maritime surveillance
Maritime environment monitoring
Removing space debris
Space weather
Space situational awareness
Multi-modal transport management
Smart cities/urban services for local govt.
Energy infrastructure services
Space tourism and small payload launch
Space planes
Low-cost LEO launch vehicles
Low cost access to space
Persistent surveillance
Power from space IGS
Markets
Insurance & finance
Agriculture & food security
Environmental services
Weather forecasting
Climate applications
Carbon monitoring & modelling
Environmental policy
Direct to home TV
Fixed satellite broadband
e4: broadband to ships
e3: broadband to aircraft
Ubiquitous m2m
Location based services [ gaming/synthetic environments
Managing unmanned vehicles (RPVs) and hosted payloads
Seamless personal communications
Energy use monitoring & management
transport
Backhaul (mobile, fixed, broadcast)
Telemedicine & assisted living
Road transport
Air traffic
Rail transport

6. The Space Value Chain (supply-side)
1.8
1.5
7
30
55
TELECOMMUNICATIONS EARTH
OBSERVATION NAVIGATION
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.5
1.5
4.82
Satellite Manufacturing 1
<20 companies
Launch service
provision 1
<10 companies
Lease or sale
of satellite capacity
User ground equipments
and terminals
Satellite based services
Large number of
companies, some global
1. Market values at space launch date 2. With meteorological-related funding (not only satellite)
7
21
<50 companies,
highly concentrated
Many companies
incl. consumer
electronics
leaders
<10 companies,
highly concentrated
Few companies,
often “space
primes”
No commercial
companies
Few companies,
usually electronics
and aerospace
contractors
Values € bn 2007
Source Euroconsult

7. TV and Media
Live from anywhere, direct to home
or distribution to terrestrial transmitter
Ground
Stations
Studio
Live sports
events / outside
broadcast
Live news
report from
“front line”
IntelsatInmarsat
Hotbird
YOUR HOME

8. Satellite Position & Time
PNT is now embedded in thousands of
applications from mobile phones and
power distribution to prisoner tagging
and dementia patient tracking
GALILEO (MEO)

9. Global Mobile
Communications
Satellite phones mean you can always be
in contact in the middle of the desert, the
ocean or the mountains
INMARSAT 4
IRIDIUM

10. Satellite Broadband
Direct to home, business or local hub, broadband
satellites can now connect you anywhere, anytime.
Millions of people in developing countries rely on satellite
communications for education and medical treatment
HYLAS 1
Ka-SAT

11. Weather Forecasting
Satellites now provide THE most
important source of data for
producing our weather forecasts:
Wind speeds, air and surface
temperatures, cloud cover, moisture
content…..
3.1
15.3
13.2
9.9
5.9
7.9
20.4
24.3
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Relative Observation Impact[%]
ObservationTypes
Relative Contribution of Observations to NWP forecast
METOP
NOAA
OTHER LEO
GEO
AIRCRAFT
SONDE
SFC LAND
SFC SEA
Source UK
Met Office

12. Operations
Ground stations
Skynet 4 Skynet 5
AIRFORCE
ARMY
Forward HQ
ARMY
NAVY
Military Communications
Keeping our armed forces
connected wherever they are

13. Security from Space
- Food and water security
- Crop monitoring, crop type detection
- Natural resource prospecting
- Maritime security, boarder protection
Radar Satellite
Optical Satellite

14. Climate Change
- Monitoring
- Adaption
- Mitigation
High accuracy
Atlantic sea
surface
temperature
Oct 2008 Antarctic
ozone hole
Nitrogen dioxide pollution
Protection of forests
against illegal logging
Sea ice thickness

15. Natural Disasters
Space helping to assess the damage and
manage the response
Pakistan earthquakeGreek bush fires
Indian Ocean tsunami before/after
Tewkesbury floods
Darfur refugee camp

16. ? ??
Space value chain – societal and macro economic
1.8
1.5
7
30
55
TELECOMMUNICATIONS EARTH
OBSERVATION NAVIGATION
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.5
1.5
4.82
Satellite Manufacturing 1
<20 companies
Launch service
provision 1
<10 companies
Lease or sale
of satellite capacity
User ground equipments
and terminals
Satellite based services
Large number of
companies, some global
1. Market values at space launch date 2. With meteorological-related funding (not only satellite)
7
21
<50 companies,
highly concentrated
Many companies
incl. consumer
electronics
leaders
<10 companies,
highly concentrated
Few companies,
often “space
primes”
No commercial
companies
Few companies,
usually electronics
and aerospace
contractors
Values € bn 2007
Source Euroconsult
User and societal
benefits, both
qualitative and
quantitative
Very large but hard to quantify as applications are so diverse

17. OECD Socio-economic impact assessment
“The Space Economy at a Glance”
– OECD 2011
• Presents a methodology for
assessment
• Confirms the diversity of
applications makes it near
impossible
• Proposes a number of case
studies and is continuing
evaluation of some
• Precision agriculture
• Climate change
• Fisheries
• Transport
• Education
• Weather forecasting
• All can be shown to be
multi £billions
New commercial
activities (new
products and services)
Productivity/efficiency
gains in diverse
economic sectors
National/regional
economic growth
Cost avoidance
- Indirect industrial effects
- New mass market products
& services
- New products outside
the space sector
- E.g. precision farming,
fisheries and transport
- Indirect impact on the
economy derived from the
enduring presence of the
space industry
- E.g. costs avoided and lives
saved thanks to flood
prediction
Enduring Impacts

18. Thank you