UC Davis EVE161 Lecture 8 - rRNA ecology - by Jonathan Eisen @phylogenomics
1. Lecture 8:
EVE 161:
Microbial Phylogenomics
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Lecture #8:
Era II: rRNA ecology
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UC Davis, Winter 2014
Instructor: Jonathan Eisen
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
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2. Where we are going and where we have been
• Previous lecture:
! 7: Era II: rRNA sequencing and analysis
• Current Lecture:
! 8: Era II: rRNA ecology
• Next Lecture:
! 9: rRNA Case Study - Built Environment
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
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3. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
6. Several statistical techniques have been developed to
use environmental 16S rRNA clone sequences to
compare microbial communities between samples.
Unfortunately, many of these techniques are limited
because they do not account for the different degrees
of similarity between sequences.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
7. Sequences are usually grouped if their 16S
rRNA genes are 95 to 99% identical (16, 30);
with a cutoff of 98%, such techniques would
treat sequences with 3% and 40% sequence
divergence equally.
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Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
8. Techniques with this limitation include the Sørenson and Jaccard
indices of group overlap (28), the LibShuff (40; http://
www.arches.uga.edu/whitman/libshuff.html) and f-LibShuff (39;
http://www .plantpath.wisc.edu/fac/joh/S-LibShuff.html)
methods, and hierarchical clustering and ordination of samples
based on the distribution of sequences belonging to different
groups (17).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
9. How to Fix?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
10. Phylogenetic distance measures can provide
far more power because they exploit the
degree of divergence between different
sequences.
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11. How to Use Phylogeny
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
12. Two phylogenetic approaches that assess
whether communities differ significantly in
composition, the P and FST tests, have recently
been developed (30). The P test uses
parsimony to determine whether the
distribution of modern sequences in different
environments reflects a history of fewer
changes between environments than would be
expected by chance. The FST test identifies
cases where more sequence variation exists
between two communities than within a single
community.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
14. Although these techniques greatly increase our
ability to test for differences between pairs of
communities, they have only been applied to
determining whether samples are significantly
different and have not been used to compare many
samples simultaneously with clustering or ordination
techniques. In addition, neither measure accounts for
branch length information when comparing samples.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
15. How to Fix?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
16. Here we introduce a new phylogenetic method,
called UniFrac, that measures the distance
between communities based on the lineages they
contain.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
17. Why is it Better?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
18. Here we introduce a new phylogenetic method, called UniFrac,
that measures the distance between communities based on the
lineages they contain. UniFrac can be used to compare many
samples simultaneously because it satisfies the technical
requirements for a distance metric (it is always positive, is
transitive, and satisfies the triangle inequality) and can thus be
used with standard multivariate statistics such as unweightedpair group method using average linkages (UPGMA) clustering
(9) and principal coordinate analysis (23). Similarly, UniFrac is
more powerful than nonphylogenetic distance measures
because it exploits the different degrees of similarity between
sequences. To demonstrate the utility of the UniFrac metric for
comparing multiple community samples and determining the
factors that explain the most variation, we compared bacterial
populations in different types of geographically dispersed marine
environments.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
19. Here we introduce a new phylogenetic method, called UniFrac,
that measures the distance between communities based on the
lineages they contain. UniFrac can be used to compare many
samples simultaneously because it satisfies the technical
requirements for a distance metric (it is always positive, is
transitive, and satisfies the triangle inequality) and can thus be
used with standard multivariate statistics such as unweightedpair group method using average linkages (UPGMA) clustering
(9) and principal coordinate analysis (23). Similarly, UniFrac is
more powerful than nonphylogenetic distance measures
because it exploits the different degrees of similarity
between sequences. To demonstrate the utility of the UniFrac
metric for comparing multiple community samples and
determining the factors that explain the most variation, we
compared bacterial populations in different types of
geographically dispersed marine environments.
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20. How is a UNIFRAC Distance Calculated?
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21. Unifrac calculation
FIG. 1.
Calculation of the UniFrac distance metric. Squares,
triangles, and circles denote sequences derived from
different communities. Branches attached to nodes are
colored black if they are unique to a particular environment
and gray if they are shared. (A) Tree representing
phylogenetically similar communities, where a significant
fraction of the branch length in the tree is shared (gray). (B)
Tree representing two communities that are maximally
different so that 100% of the branch length is unique to
either the circle or square environment. (C) Using the
UniFrac metric to determine if the circle and square
communities are significantly different. For n replicates (r),
the environment assignments of the sequences were
randomized, and the fraction of unique (black) branch
lengths was calculated. The reported P value is the fraction
of random trees that have at least as much unique branch
length as the true tree (arrow). If this P value is below a
defined threshold, the samples are considered to be
significantly different. (D) The UniFrac metric can be
calculated for all pairwise combinations of environments in a
tree to make a distance matrix. This matrix can be used with
standard multivariate statistical techniques such as UPGMA
and principal coordinate analysis to compare the biotas in
the environments.
Lozupone C , and Knight R Appl. Environ. Microbiol.
2005;71:8228-8235
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22. Sum of Length of All Unique Branches
Sum of Length of All Branches
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23. UniFrac metric.
The unique fraction metric, or UniFrac, measures the
phylogenetic distance between sets of taxa in a
phylogenetic tree as the fraction of the branch length of
the tree that leads to descendants from either one
environment or the other, but not both (Fig. 1). This
measure thus captures the total amount of evolution that
is unique to each state, presumably reflecting adaptation
to one environment that would be deleterious in the
other. rRNA is used purely as a phylogenetic marker,
indicating the relative amount of sequence evolution that
has occurred in each environment.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
24. Intuitively, if two environments are similar, few
adaptations would be needed to transfer from one
community to the other. Consequently, most nodes in a
phylogenetic tree would have descendants from both
communities, and much of the branch length in the tree
would be shared (Fig. 1A). In contrast, if two
communities are so distinct that an organism adapted to
one could not survive in the other, then the lineages in
each community would be distinct, and most of the
branch length in the tree would lead to descendants from
only one of the two communities (Fig. 1B).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
25. Lozupone C , and Knight R Appl. Environ. Microbiol.
2005;71:8228-8235
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
26. Like the P test and the FST test, UniFrac can be used to
determine whether two communities differ significantly
by using Monte Carlo simulations. Two communities
are considered different if the fraction of the tree unique
to one environment is greater than would be expected
by chance. We performed randomizations by keeping
the tree constant and randomizing the environment that
was assigned to each sequence in the tree (Fig. 1C).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
27. Lozupone C , and Knight R Appl. Environ. Microbiol.
2005;71:8228-8235
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
28. UniFrac can also be used to produce a distance matrix
describing the pairwise phylogenetic distances
between the sets of sequences collected from many
different microbial communities (Fig. 1D). We
compared two samples by removing from the tree all
sequences that were not in either sample and
computing the UniFrac for each reduced tree. Standard
multivariate statistics, such as UPGMA clustering (9)
and principal coordinate analysis (23), can then be
applied to the distance matrix to allow comparisons
between the biotas in different environments (Fig. 1D).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
29. Lozupone C , and Knight R Appl. Environ. Microbiol.
2005;71:8228-8235
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
31. How does culturing affect similarities between
samples?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
32. How does culturing affect similarities between
samples?
Few organisms in environmental samples are culturable, but
it is unknown whether the cultured isolates from an
environment yield communities that resemble the
communities from the original habitat. We addressed this
issue by comparing gene libraries from both cultured
bacteria and uncultured environmental samples of marine
ice, water, and sediment to test whether the cultured
samples appeared more similar to uncultured samples from
the same environment or to each other.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
33. How cosmopolitan are bacterial lineages?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
34. How cosmopolitan are bacterial lineages?
Although many studies have suggested that bacteria are mostly
cosmopolitan (11, 13, 32, 45), others have suggested that for
certain habitats, such as the Arctic and Antarctic, geographical
separation plays a major role in structuring communities because
of difficulties in dispersal (in this case, of transferring psychrophilic
bacteria across the warm equatorial region) (2, 42). We addressed
this controversy by comparing marine ice and sediment from the
Arctic and Antarctic.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
35. Are marine ice, sediment, and seawater three distinct,
homogeneous habitats?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
36. Are marine ice, sediment, and seawater three distinct,
homogeneous habitats?
Marine ice, sediment, and water are generally treated in the
literature as distinct habitat types with distinct challenges. We
compared 16S rRNA libraries from geographically diverse marine
water, sediment, and ice samples to test whether these habitat
types harbor consistent bacterial communities that differ from one
another.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
38. Environmental samples.We analyzed 20 small-subunit-rRNA sequence libraries generated in 12
different studies of marine environments (Table 1). For studies reporting both cultured and
uncultured sequences or sampling from multiple environment types, we used sequence annotations
to distinguish the different sampling methods and to assign sequences to specific environmental
samples.
Three of the studies evaluated bacterial communities in Arctic and/or Antarctic sea ice based on
cultured isolates (3), environmental clones (7), or both (6). Five of the studies derived sequences
from the water columns of marine environments, including pelagic bacteria from the North Sea (8),
bacterioplankton assemblages from the Arctic Ocean (2), subsurface subtropical waters of the
Atlantic and Pacific oceans (11), and temperate coastal water in the Great South Bay in Long Island
(22) and from the marine end of the Plum Island Sound estuary in northeastern Massachusetts (1).
The remaining four studies examined marine sediment, including sediments from off the coast of
Spitzbergen in the Arctic Ocean (38), associated with Calyptogena communities in the deepest coldseep area in the Japan Trench (25), and from the Antarctic continental shelf (4, 5). While three of
the sediment papers reported sequences from multiple sediment cores in the same region (4, 25,
38), one reported sequences from three different depths within a single sediment core (5).
Sequences from the 12 studies were initially assigned to 23 samples. After the removal of
sequences with many sequencing errors and nonbacterial sequences, the samples contained
between 9 and 544 sequences. Small samples could produce misleading results because of
stochastic variation in the subset of the lineages sampled. To avoid these effects, we excluded from
the analysis three samples represented by 12 or fewer sequences. These included samples
containing 9 sequences from uncultured clones in the North Sea (8), 10 sequences from Arctic sea
ice (7), and 12 sequences from cultured isolates in Arctic seawater underlying sea ice (3). After the
removal of these sequences, each sample was represented by at least 17 sequences (Table 1).
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39. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
40. Data analysis.We implemented UniFrac and associated analyses in Python 2.3.4 and
ran all calculations on a Macintosh G4 computer running OSX 10.3.8. All code is
available at http://bayes.colorado.edu/unifrac.zip. We implemented UPGMA
clustering (9) and principal coordinate analysis (23) as described previously.
We downloaded small-subunit-rRNA sequences generated in the 12 different studies of
marine environments (Table 1) from GenBank, imported them into the Arb package
(26), and aligned them using a combination of the Arb auto-aligner and manual
curation. Because several studies used bacterium-specific primers, we excluded all
nonbacterial sequences from the analysis. We added the aligned sequences to a tree
representing a range of phylogenetic groups from the Ribosomal Database Project II
(29) by Phil Hugenholtz (15). This sequence addition used the parsimony insertion tool
and a lane mask (lanemaskPH) supplied in the same database so that only
phylogenetically conserved regions were considered. We exported the tree from Arb
and annotated each sequence with 1 of 20 sample designations (Table 1). We then
performed significance tests, UPGMA clustering, and principal coordinate analysis
using UniFrac.
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41. Jackknifing.We used jackknifing to determine how the number and evenness of
sequences in the different environments affected the UPGMA clustering results.
Specifically, we repeated the UniFrac analysis with trees that contained only a subset of
the sequences and measured the number of times we recovered each node that
occurred in the UPGMA tree from the full data set. In each simulation, we evaluated 100
reduced trees in which all of the environments were represented by the same specified
number of sequences, using sample sizes of 17, 20, 31, 36, 40, and 58 sequences.
These thresholds reflect the sample sizes from different environments in our original
data set. If an environment had more than the specified number of sequences, we
removed sequences at random; environments with fewer sequences were removed from
the tree entirely.
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44. We used UniFrac to determine which of the
microbial communities represented by the 20
different samples were significantly different
(Table 2)
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45. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
46. and as the basis for a distance matrix to cluster
the samples using UPGMA (Fig. 2)
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47. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
48. and to perform principal coordinate analysis (Fig.
3).
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49. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
50. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
51. We used jackknifing to assess confidence in the
nodes of the UPGMA tree (Table 3). The results
show biologically meaningful patterns that unite
many individual observations in the literature and
reveal several striking features of microbial
communities in marine environments.
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52. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
54. How does culturing affect similarities between
samples?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
55. Samples from cultured isolates resemble each other rather
than uncultured samples from the same environment.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
56. Samples from cultured isolates resemble each other rather
than uncultured samples from the same environment.Although
most bacteria in seawater and sediment cannot be cultivated with
standard techniques (8, 10, 18, 38), most bacteria in sea ice are
thought to be culturable, as sea ice samples have a high viable/
total count ratio (6, 14, 19) and considerable overlap in phylotypes
between cultured and uncultured samples (6, 7). To test this
hypothesis, we examined the relationship between cultured
isolates and environmental clone sequences derived from the
same locations for sediment (SNC4 and SNU3), seawater (WTC11
and WTU10), and ice from both the Arctic (IRC17 and IRU16) and
Antarctic (INC19 and INU18) (see Table 1 for an explanation of
sample abbreviations). We also included additional cultured
samples from seawater (WTC9) and cultured and uncultured
samples from ice (INC15 and INU20)
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
57. Cultured and uncultured sea ice bacteria cluster with
each other and with the other cultured isolates (Fig. 2).
This association is well supported by jackknife values
(Table 3). The node that groups the cultured and
uncultured ice samples together (Fig. 2, N10) is
recovered 100% of the time, with 58 sequences per
sample (note that at this point only five of the six ice
samples are still in the tree because one sample has
only 20 sequences). Pairwise significance tests for
differences between environments further support this
observation (Table 2). The cultured component of the
Antarctic ice sample (INC19) does not differ significantly
from environmental clones from the same sample
(INU18).
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58. In contrast, bacteria cultured from sediment (SNC4) and seawater
(WTC11 and WTC9) cluster with other cultured samples rather
than with environmental clones from the same studies (SNU3 and
WTU10) in the UPGMA tree. This observation is again supported
by jackknife values (Table 3). With 31 sequences, SNC4 clusters
with the other cultured sequences 64% of the time (Table 3, N9)
but never clusters with SNU3 or exclusively with the sediment
samples (data not shown). Likewise, with 36 sequences per
sample, WTC9 clusters with other cultured sequences 96% of the
time (Table 3, N10). In addition, pairwise significance tests (Table
2) show that the culturable components of a seawater sample
(WTC11) and a sediment sample (SNC4) differ significantly from
the environmental clone sequences from the same environment
(WTU10 and SNU3, respectively) but not from cultured samples
from different environments.
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59. The sequences of the culturable components of the seawater and
sediment samples most resemble the environmental clone sequences
from sea ice. This observation is best illustrated by principal coordinate
analysis (Fig. 3). In principal coordinate analysis, a distance matrix is
used to plot n samples in n-dimensional space. The vector through the
space that describes as much variation as possible is principal
coordinate 1. Orthogonal axes are subsequently assigned to explain as
much of the variation not yet explained by previously assigned axes as
possible. When few independent factors cause most of the variation, the
first two or three principal coordinates often explain most of the variation
in the data. In this case, the first four principal coordinates describe 41%
of the variation, suggesting that many independent factors cause
variation between samples (as might be expected for such diverse
environments). Strikingly, plots of the principal components produce
biologically meaningful clusters of samples, even though the individual
components account for little of the variation (Fig. 3).
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60. The first principal coordinate, which explains 17%
of the variation in the data, clearly separates all
samples of cultured isolates and uncultured ice
from all samples of uncultured sediment and
seawater (Fig. 3). This result suggests that
bacteria capable of growing either in sea ice or in
pure culture share some property, such as the
ability to grow rapidly in the absence of
symbionts, that is the largest factor contributing to
the variation between these samples.
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61. The first principal coordinate, which explains
17% of the variation in the data, clearly
separates all samples of cultured isolates and
uncultured ice from all samples of uncultured
sediment and seawater (Fig. 3). This result
suggests that bacteria capable of growing either
in sea ice or in pure culture share some property,
such as the ability to grow rapidly in the absence
of symbionts, that is the largest factor contributing
to the variation between these samples.
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62. How cosmopolitan are bacterial lineages?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
63. Geography plays a minor role in structuring communities compared to the
environment type.
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64. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
65. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
66. Geography plays a minor role in structuring communities compared to the
environment type.Our analyses support the hypothesis that geography plays a
minimal role in structuring bacterial communities and that bacterial types are
dispersed widely in similar habitat types across the globe (11, 13, 32). Sea ice
samples from the Arctic (IRU16 and IRC17) did not separate from those from
the Antarctic (INC15, INU18, INC19, and INU20) in either the UPGMA or
principal coordinate clusters (Fig. 2 and 3). Similarly, bacterial community
samples from Antarctic sediment (SNU3 and -5 to -7) cluster with those from
sediments from the Arctic (SRU1) and Japan (STU2) (Fig. 2). This result shows
that, as expected, the environment type (ice, seawater, or sediment) dominates
the differences between communities. Within an environment type, we found no
support for the hypothesis that samples from each pole would form a discrete
cluster. This result may indicate that other differences between the samples had
a greater impact on bacterial composition than being located on opposite sides
of the earth and contradicts the prediction that the communities in the Arctic and
Antarctic would differ because of difficulties in dispersing psychrophilic bacteria
across the warm equatorial region (42). However, the poor jackknife values for
resolving these nodes (Table 2, nodes N3, N14, and N16) may indicate that
more sequences and more samples are needed to resolve this issue
definitively.
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67. Uncultured bacterial communities in sediment and ice form
distinct clusters, but communities in seawater samples do
not.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
68. Are marine ice, sediment, and seawater three distinct,
homogeneous habitats?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
69. Uncultured bacterial communities in sediment and ice form
distinct clusters, but communities in seawater samples do
not.Finally, our analyses support the hypothesis that each marine
sediment and ice community analyzed here forms a distinct group.
Environmental clone libraries from each of these types of
environment cluster together by UPGMA (Fig. 2), even though
they were retrieved from very different locations (Table 1). In
addition, uncultured sediment samples always differ significantly
from seawater and ice samples but differ little from each other
(Table 2). For instance, bacteria in sediment cores from the
Antarctic continental shelf (SNU3), the Arctic coastal region
(SRU1), and the deepest cold-seep area of the Japan Trench
(STU2) did not significantly differ, despite large differences in
depth, proximity to land, and geographical location. With 58
sequences, the four remaining sediment samples grouped
together 63% of the time (Table 3, N2).
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70. In contrast, seawater samples do not all cluster together but are grouped
in biologically meaningful ways. For instance, an Arctic seawater sample
(WRU8) clusters with an Arctic sea ice sample in the UPGMA cluster
(Fig. 2). Nutrient-rich coastal seawater communities (WTU10 and
WTU12) cluster together, as do oligotrophic open ocean communities
(WPU13 and WPU14) (Fig. 2 and 3). These associations are often
supported by jackknife values. For instance, with only 17 sequences,
WPU12 and WPU14 group together 97% of the time (Table 2, N18), and
with 58 sequences, WTU12 groups with WTU10 50% of the time (Table
2, N17) and with WRU8 49% of the time (data not shown). In contrast,
nodes that group all of the seawater samples together are only rarely
observed (5% of the time for groups with 17 sequences and 4% of the
time for groups with 40 sequences). Thus, there are major differences in
bacterial communities between different types of seawater, suggesting
that, unlike marine sediment and ice, seawater should not be considered
a distinct, homogeneous environment.
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71. The bacterial community in the Arctic seawater sample (WRU8)
appears to be more similar to those in coastal water (WTU10 and
WTU12) than to those in open ocean seawater (WPU13 and
WPU14). This community clusters closer to the coastal
communities in both UPGMA and principal coordinate analyses
(Fig. 2 and 3). One possible explanation is that like the coastal
communities, the Arctic Ocean has high inputs of terrigenous
matter: it is estimated that 25% of the dissolved organic carbon in
the Arctic Ocean is derived from river runoff (44). The terrestrially
impacted seawater communities (WTU10, WTU12, and WRU8)
also resemble the communities in sediment samples. This is most
clearly shown in principal coordinate analyses, where they cluster
near each other in PC1 and PC2 but clearly separate along PC3
(Fig. 3).
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73. The detection of biologically meaningful patterns of variation
between marine samples illustrates the utility of UniFrac for
explaining the distribution of bacterial lineages in the environment.
The ability of UniFrac to integrate sequence data from many
diverse studies makes it suitable for large-scale comparisons
between environments. The ability of UniFrac to integrate
sequence data from many diverse studies makes it suitable for
large-scale comparisons, between environments despite variability
in data collection techniques. For instance, different studies used
different sequencing primers, and thus little of the 16S rRNA
molecule was present in all sequences in the alignment. This
made it impossible to use algorithms that require the same
sequence region to create the phylogenetic tree for analysis.
Potential imperfections in the Arb parsimony insertion tool for
creating the phylogeny, however, were not great enough to
confound the detection of biologically meaningful patterns of
variation.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
74. The detection of biologically meaningful patterns of variation
between marine samples illustrates the utility of UniFrac for
explaining the distribution of bacterial lineages in the environment.
The ability of UniFrac to integrate sequence data from many
diverse studies makes it suitable for large-scale
comparisons, between environments despite variability in
data collection techniques. For instance, different studies used
different sequencing primers, and thus little of the 16S rRNA
molecule was present in all sequences in the alignment. This
made it impossible to use algorithms that require the same
sequence region to create the phylogenetic tree for analysis.
Potential imperfections in the Arb parsimony insertion tool for
creating the phylogeny, however, were not great enough to
confound the detection of biologically meaningful patterns of
variation.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
75. Those who performed the previous studies also chose clones for sequencing
using different methods: some screened clones with restriction enzyme-based
techniques (6-8, 22, 25, 38) or denaturing gradient gel electrophoresis (2, 4)
prior to sequencing, while some sequenced samples directly (1, 5, 11). Since
UniFrac does not count the number of times each sequence is observed, these
data can still be compared, although the “evenness” component that is a
standard measure of diversity (27) is not currently represented in UniFrac.
Since we compared environments on a large scale, the ability of particular
lineages of organisms to survive in each environment is more likely to represent
the relevant aspects of similarity between environments than the relative
abundance of each surviving lineage. However, although the practice of
predicting abundance from environmental clone data is sometimes questioned
because of PCR bias and differences in genomic DNA extraction methods and
rRNA copy numbers (21, 43), such data can be useful, especially on smaller
spatial and temporal scales (20, 24, 31, 41). We have thus also developed a
variant of the algorithm that weights the phylogenetic differences according to
the abundance of each lineage, which will allow questions about evenness to
be addressed.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
76. Those who performed the previous studies also chose clones for sequencing
using different methods: some screened clones with restriction enzyme-based
techniques (6-8, 22, 25, 38) or denaturing gradient gel electrophoresis (2, 4)
prior to sequencing, while some sequenced samples directly (1, 5, 11). Since
UniFrac does not count the number of times each sequence is observed,
these data can still be compared, although the “evenness” component
that is a standard measure of diversity (27) is not currently represented in
UniFrac. Since we compared environments on a large scale, the ability of
particular lineages of organisms to survive in each environment is more likely to
represent the relevant aspects of similarity between environments than the
relative abundance of each surviving lineage. However, although the practice of
predicting abundance from environmental clone data is sometimes questioned
because of PCR bias and differences in genomic DNA extraction methods and
rRNA copy numbers (21, 43), such data can be useful, especially on smaller
spatial and temporal scales (20, 24, 31, 41). We have thus also developed a
variant of the algorithm that weights the phylogenetic differences according to
the abundance of each lineage, which will allow questions about evenness to
be addressed.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
77. Jackknifing the UPGMA tree revealed that surprisingly small
sample sizes can be sufficient to detect associations between
groups of samples. For example, the oligotrophic seawater
samples WPU13 and WPU14 cluster together stably with
only 17 sequences. However, samples that are more diverse,
such as those from sediments, or less distinct, such as the
Antarctic and Arctic ice samples, require more sequences for
robust conclusions to be drawn. We recently demonstrated
that UniFrac is robust even for very similar samples when the
sample size is large. We were able to detect an association
between kinship and gut microbial community structure in
related mice, using sequence sets of 200 to 500 per mouse
(24). We thus expect that the utility of UniFrac will increase
as larger environmental samples become available.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
78. Our analysis provides a unified framework for explaining previous
observations in the literature, such as the observation that
culturing affects the observed diversity in seawater and sediment
but not that in ice. It also allows broader conclusions, such as the
observation that terrestrially impacted seawater samples from
polar and temperate climates resemble each other and sediment
samples but differ greatly from tropical oligotrophic seawater
samples. Terrestrially impacted seawater probably resembles
sediment more than oligotrophic seawater for reasons other than
relative nutrient availability, since one sediment sample (STU2)
was obtained from 6,400 m below sea level and received low
inputs of organic carbon (25). The resemblance may instead arise
because terrestrially impacted seawater has a higher
concentration of particles, and particle-associated and freely
suspended marine bacteria are known to differ (12)
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
79. The large differences between different seawater
communities are surprising, since the ubiquity of certain
bacterial lineages in pelagic systems, such as SAR11 and
SAR86, has been taken as evidence that much of the ocean
harbors similar bacteria (11, 22). In contrast, the different
sediment samples are remarkably similar. This supports the
hypothesis that large portions of the sea floor have similar
biotas because of similar environmental conditions such as
nutrient availability and temperature (e.g., 90% of the sea
floor has temperatures below 4°C) and similar processes
such as sulfate reduction (7, 38).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
81. Conclusion.The utility of UniFrac for making broad
comparisons between the biotas of different environments
based on 16S rRNA sequences has enormous potential to
shed light on biological factors that structure microbial
communities. The vast wealth of 16S rRNA sequences in
GenBank and of environmental information about these
sequences in the literature, combined with powerful
phylogenetic tools, will greatly enhance our understanding of
how microbial communities adapt to unique environmental
challenges.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
82. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
84. All biologists who sample natural communities are
plagued with the problem of how well a sample
reflects a community's “true” diversity. New genetic
techniques have revealed extensive microbial
diversity that was previously undetected with
culture-dependent methods and morphological
identification (reviewed in references 2 and 46), but
exhaustive inventories of microbial communities still
remain impractical. As a result, we must rely on
samples to inform us about the actual diversity of
microbial communities.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
85. Ecologists studying the diversity of
macroorganisms also face this estimation
problem and have designed tools to deal with the
problems of sampling (14, 25, 36). Sparked by the
availability of microbial diversity data, interest is
emerging in applying these tools to microbes.
Reliable estimates of microbial diversity would
offer a means to address once intractable
questions, such as what processes control
microbial diversity? How do microbial
communities affect ecosystem functioning? How
are human beings affecting microbial
communities?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
86. Several microbial studies have used diversity
indices (39, 44), estimated species richness (33,
43), and compared sample diversity with
rarefaction curves (19, 40). Still others have
proposed new diversity statistics specific to
microbial samples (69). Despite the recent
interest, however, the success of these tools has
not yet been evaluated for microbial
communities, and other potential approaches
remain to be explored.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
87. Here we compare the utility of various statistical approaches for
assessing the diversity of microbial communities. First, we show
examples of communities in which macroorganisms are as diverse
as some microbial communities, suggesting that diversity
estimation methods developed for macroorganisms may be
appropriate for microbial samples. Second, we review these
methods and discuss how to evaluate the success of diversity
estimators for microbial communities for which the true diversity
is unknown. We argue that even without knowing the “truth,” it is
possible to rigorously compare relative diversity among
communities. Finally, we apply some of these diversity measures
to microbial data sets and examine how the confidence of the
measures changes with sample size.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
88. Throughout the paper, we use the term diversity to mean
richness, or the number of types. We also use the term
microbial with bacteria in mind, although much of the
discussion is applicable to other microbes. For clarity, we
will often refer to species as the measured unit of
diversity, but our discussion can be applied to any
operational taxonomic units (OTUs), such as the number
of unique terminal restriction fragments (35) or number
of 16S ribosomal DNA (rDNA) sequence similarity
groups (41). Finally, we are concerned here with
estimating richness and do not address how this diversity
is related to functional diversity (1).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
89. ARE MICROBES TOO DIVERSE
TO COUNT?
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
91. In any community, the number of types of organisms
observed increases with sampling effort until all types
are observed. The relationship between the number of
types observed and sampling effort gives information
about the total diversity of the sampled community. This
pattern can be visualized by plotting an accumulation or
a rank-abundance curve.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
92. An accumulation curve is a plot of the cumulative number of types
observed versus sampling effort. Figure1
1 shows the accumulation curves for samples from five
communities: bacteria from a human mouth (33), soil bacteria (6),
tropical moths (56), tropical birds (J. B. Hughes, unpublished
data), and temperate forests (26). We standardized the data sets
by the number of individuals collected to compare the shapes of
the curves. Differences in the richness and relative abundances of
species in the sampled communities underlie the differences in the
shape of the curves. Because all communities contain a finite
number of species, if the surveyors continued to sample, the
curves would eventually reach an asymptote at the actual
community richness (number of types). Thus, the curves contain
information about how well the communities have been sampled
(i.e., what fraction of the species in the community have been
detected). The more concave-downward the curve, the better
sampled the community.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
93. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
94. The idea that microbial diversity cannot be estimated comes from
the fact that many microbial accumulation curves are linear or
close to linear because of high diversity, small sample sizes, or
both. Indeed, the accumulation curve of East Amazonian soil
bacteria represents the worst-case scenario (Fig.
(Fig.1).
1). Every individual identified was a different type; therefore, this
sample supplies no information about how well the community
has been sampled. At the other extreme, the plant and bird
communities plotted in Fig.
Fig.1
1 are well sampled, and the samples therefore contain considerable
information about total richness. The two intermediate curves
provide the most telling comparison, however. Even though the
moth sample is much larger than the mouth bacteria sample
(4,538 versus 264 individuals), the shape of the curves is similar.
In other words, the communities have been sampled with roughly
equivalent intensity relative Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 to their overall richness.
96. Another way to compare how well communities have been
sampled is to plot their rank-abundance curves. The species are
ordered from most to least abundant on the x axis, and the
abundance of each type observed is plotted on the y axis. The moth
and soil bacteria communities exhibit a similar pattern (Fig.
(Fig.2),
2), one that is typical of superdiverse communities such as tropical
insects. A few species in the sample are abundant, but most are
rare, producing the long right-hand tail on the rank-abundance
curve.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
97. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
98. If these organisms were sampled on the same spatial scale, there is
no doubt that soil bacterial diversity would be higher than moth
diversity. These comparisons suggest, however, that our ability to
sample bacterial diversity in a human mouth or in a few grams of
some soils may be similar to our ability to sample moth diversity
in a few hundred square kilometers of tropical forest. Thus, at least
for some communities, microbiologists may be able to coopt
techniques that ecologists use to estimate and compare the
richness of macroorganisms.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
99. Ultimately, microbes—like tropical insects—are too diverse to
count exhaustively. While it would be useful to know the actual
diversity of different microbial communities, most diversity
questions address how diversity changes across biotic and abiotic
gradients, such as disturbance, productivity, area, latitude, and
resource heterogeneity. The answers to these questions require
knowing only relative diversities among sites, over time, and under
different treatment regimens. Using this approach, the
relationships between insect diversity and many environmental
variables have been well studied (50, 57, 63, 64), even though
estimates of the total number of insect species range over three
orders of magnitude (22, 54).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
100. SOME POSSIBLE TOOLS:
RAREFACTION AND RICHNESS
ESTIMATORS
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
101. A variety of statistical approaches have been
developed to compare and estimate species
richness from samples of macroorganisms. In this
section, we consider the suitability of four
approaches for microbial diversity studies.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
104. The first approach, rarefaction, has been adopted
recently by a number of microbiologists (4, 19,
40). Rarefaction compares observed richness
among sites, treatments, or habitats that have
been unequally sampled. A rarefied curve results
from averaging randomizations of the observed
accumulation curve (25). The variance around the
repeated randomizations allows one to compare
the observed richness among samples, but it is
distinct from a measure of confidence about the
actual richness in the communities.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
105. The first approach, rarefaction, has been adopted
recently by a number of microbiologists (4, 19,
40). Rarefaction compares observed
richness among sites, treatments, or
habitats that have been unequally
sampled. A rarefied curve results from averaging
randomizations of the observed accumulation
curve (25). The variance around the repeated
randomizations allows one to compare the
observed richness among samples, but it is
distinct from a measure of confidence about the
actual richness in the communities.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
107. In contrast to rarefaction, richness estimators
estimate the total richness of a community from a
sample, and the estimates can then be compared
across samples. These estimators fall into three
main classes: extrapolation from accumulation
curves, parametric estimators, and nonparametric
estimators (14, 23, 47). To date, we have found
only two studies that apply richness estimators to
microbial data (33, 43).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
109. Most curve extrapolation methods use the observed accumulation
curve to fit an assumed functional form that models the process of
observing new species as sampling effort increases. The asymptote
of this curve, or the species richness expected at infinite effort, is
then estimated. These models include the Michaelis-Menten
equation (13, 51) and the negative exponential function (61). The
benefit of estimating diversity with such extrapolation methods is
that once a species has been counted, it does not need to be
counted again. Hence, a surveyor can focus effort on identifying
new, generally rarer, species. The downside is that for diverse
communities in which only a small fraction of species is detected,
several curves often fit equally well but predict very different
asymptotes (61). This approach therefore requires data from
relatively well sampled communities, so at present curve
extrapolation methods do not seem promising for estimating
microbial diversity in most natural environments.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
110. Most curve extrapolation methods use the observed accumulation
curve to fit an assumed functional form that models the process of
observing new species as sampling effort increases. The asymptote
of this curve, or the species richness expected at infinite effort, is
then estimated. These models include the Michaelis-Menten
equation (13, 51) and the negative exponential function (61). The
benefit of estimating diversity with such extrapolation methods is
that once a species has been counted, it does not need to be
counted again. Hence, a surveyor can focus effort on identifying
new, generally rarer, species. The downside is that for diverse
communities in which only a small fraction of species is detected,
several curves often fit equally well but predict very different
asymptotes (61). This approach therefore requires data
from relatively well sampled communities, so at present
curve extrapolation methods do not seem promising for
estimating microbial diversity in most natural
environments.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
112. Parametric estimators are another class of estimation methods.
These methods estimate the number of unobserved species in the
community by fitting sample data to models of relative species
abundances. These models include the lognormal (49) and Poisson
lognormal (7). For instance, Pielou (48) derived an estimator that
assumes species abundances are distributed lognormally; that is, if
species are assigned to log abundance classes, the distribution of
species among these classes is normal. By fitting sample data to
the lognormal distribution, the parameters of the curve can be
evaluated. Pielou's estimator uses these parameter values to
estimate the number of species that remain unobserved and
thereby estimate the total number of species in the community.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
113. Parametric estimators are another class of estimation methods.
These methods estimate the number of unobserved species in the
community by fitting sample data to models of relative
species abundances. These models include the lognormal (49)
and Poisson lognormal (7). For instance, Pielou (48) derived an
estimator that assumes species abundances are distributed
lognormally; that is, if species are assigned to log abundance
classes, the distribution of species among these classes is normal.
By fitting sample data to the lognormal distribution, the
parameters of the curve can be evaluated. Pielou's estimator uses
these parameter values to estimate the number of species that
remain unobserved and thereby estimate the total number of
species in the community.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
114. There are three main impediments to using parametric estimators
for any community.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
115. There are three main impediments to using parametric estimators
for any community. First, data on relative species abundances are
needed. For macroorganisms, often only the presence or absence
of a species in a sample or quadrat is recorded. In contrast, data on
relative OTU abundances of microbes are often collected (see
discussion below about potential biases). Second, one has to make
an assumption about the true abundance distribution of a
community. Although most communities of macroorganisms seem
to display a lognormal pattern of species abundance (17, 36, 66),
there is still controversy as to which models fit best (24, 30). In the
absence of a variety of large microbial data sets, it is not clear
which, if any, of the proposed distribution models describe
microbial communities. Finally, even if one of these models is a
good approximation of relative abundances in microbial
communities, parametric estimators require large data sets to
evaluate the distribution parameters. The largest microbial data
sets currently available include only a few hundred individuals.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
117. The final class of estimation methods, nonparametric estimators,
is the most promising for microbial studies. These estimators are
adapted from mark-release-recapture (MRR) statistics for
estimating the size of animal populations (32, 59). Nonparametric
estimators based on MRR methods consider the proportion of
species that have been observed before (“recaptured”) to those that
are observed only once. In a very diverse community, the
probability that a species will be observed more than once will be
low, and most species will only be represented by one individual in
a sample. In a depauperate community, the probability that a
species will be observed more than once will be higher, and many
species will be observed multiple times in a sample.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
118. The final class of estimation methods, nonparametric estimators,
is the most promising for microbial studies. These estimators
are adapted from mark-release-recapture (MRR)
statistics for estimating the size of animal populations
(32, 59). Nonparametric estimators based on MRR methods
consider the proportion of species that have been observed before
(“recaptured”) to those that are observed only once. In a very
diverse community, the probability that a species will be observed
more than once will be low, and most species will only be
represented by one individual in a sample. In a depauperate
community, the probability that a species will be observed more
than once will be higher, and many species will be observed
multiple times in a sample.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
119. CHAO vs ACE
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
120. The Chao1 and abundance-based coverage
estimators (ACE) use this MRR-like ratio to
estimate richness by adding a correction factor to
the observed number of species (9, 11). (For
reviews of these and other nonparametric
estimators, see Colwell and Coddington [14] and
Chazdon et al. [12].)
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
121. CHAO
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
122. For instance, Chao1 estimates total species richness as where Sobs
is the number of observed species, n1 is the number of singletons
(species captured once), and n2 is the number of doubletons
(species captured twice) (9). Chao (9) noted that this index is
particularly useful for data sets skewed toward the low-abundance
classes, as is likely to be the case with microbes.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
123. ACE
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
124. The ACE (10) incorporate data from all species with fewer than 10 individuals, rather than just singletons
and doubletons. ACE estimates species richness as
where Srare is the number of rare samples (sampled abundances
≤10) and Sabund is the number of abundant species (sampled
abundances >10). Note that Srare + Sabund equals the total
number of species observed. CACE = 1 − F1/Nrare estimates the
sample coverage, where F1 is the number of species with i
individuals and Finally
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
125. which estimates the coefficient of variation of the Fi's (R. Colwell, User's Guide to EstimateS 5 [http://
viceroy.eeb.uconn.edu/estimates]).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
127. Both Chao1 and ACE underestimate true richness at low sample
sizes. For example, the maximum value of SChao1 is (S2obs + 1)/2
when one species in the sample is a doubleton and all others are
singletons. Thus, SChao1 will strongly correlate with sample size
until Sobs reaches at least the square root of twice the total
richness (14).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
128. BIAS
Bias describes the difference between the expected value of the
estimator and the true, unknown richness of the community being
sampled (in other words, whether the estimator consistently
under- or overestimates the true richness).
To test for bias, one needs to know the true richness to compare
against the sample estimates. As yet, this comparison is impossible
for microbes, because no communities have been exhaustively
sampled. The bias of richness estimators has only been tested in a
few natural communities in which the exact abundance of every
species in an area is known (12, 14, 15, 26, 47).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
129. PRECISION
Precision describes the variation of the estimates from all possible
samples that can be taken from the population
In contrast, precision is a relatively simple property to assess. With
multiple samples (or one large sample) from a microbial
community, the variance of microbial richness estimates can be
calculated and compared. Moreover, most ecological questions
require only comparisons of relative diversity. For these questions,
an estimator that is consistent with repeated sampling (is precise)
is often more useful than one that on average correctly predicts
true richness (has the lowest bias). Thus, if we use diversity
measures for relative comparisons, we avoid the problem of not
being able to measure bias. (This assumes that the bias of an
estimator does not differ so radically among communities that it
disrupts the relative order of the estimates. In the absence of
alternative evidence, this initial assumption seems appropriate.)
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
130. Chao (8) derives a closed-form solution for the variance of SChao1:
This formula estimates the precision of Chao1; that is, it estimates
the variance of richness estimates that one expects from multiple
samples. A closed-form solution of variance for the ACE has not
yet been derived.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
131. FOUR DATA SETS
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
132. Human Mouth and Gut
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
133. Human Mouth and Gut
Two of the best-sampled microbial communities are from human
habitats. Kroes et al. (33) sampled subgingival plaque from a
human mouth. They used PCR to amplify the bacterial 16S rDNA,
created clone libraries from the amplified DNA, and then
sequenced 264 clones. Kroes et al. defined an OTU as a 16S rDNA
sequence group in which sequences differed by ≤1%. By this
definition, they found 59 distinct OTUs from their sample of 264
16S rDNA sequences. Although the accumulation curve does not
reach an asymptote, it is not linear (Fig.
(Fig.3).
3). Thus, we can try to estimate total OTU richness. For these data,
the Chao1 estimator levels off at 123 OTUs, suggesting that, after
that point, the Chao1 estimate is relatively independent of sample
size. In contrast, the ACE does not plateau as sample size
increases, indicating that the estimate is not independent of
sample size. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
134. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
135. Suau et al. (65) investigated the diversity of bacteria in a human gut. Similar to
Kroes et al. (33), they amplified, cloned, and sequenced 16S rDNA fragments.
Their definition of an OTU differed slightly from that in the Kroes et al. study,
however; they define an OTU as a 16S rDNA sequence group in which sequences
differed by ≤2%. With this definition, they identified 82 OTUs from 284 clones.
Because the two studies use slightly different definitions of an OTU, the data for
the mouth and gut bacteria are not entirely comparable. Their contrast does
demonstrate the application of these approaches, however. After an initial
increase, the mean Chao1 estimate for both communities is relatively level as
sample size increases, and therefore we can compare the estimates at the
highest sample size for each community (Fig.
(Fig.4).
4). We used a log transformation to calculate the confidence intervals (CIs)
because the distribution of estimates is not normal (8). Given the OTU
definitions, total richness of the mouth and gut bacterial communities is not
significantly different, as estimated by Chao1. Chao1 estimates that the mouth
community has 123 OTUs (95% CIs, 93 and 180), and the gut community has
135 OTUs (95% CIs, 110 and 170).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
136. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
137. What do the CIs say about the Chao1 estimate? The CIs estimate the precision of
the richness estimates. In other words, 95% of new samples of 264 clones from
the same person's mouth are predicted to yield Chao1 estimates that fall within
this range. Because the CIs overlap, one cannot reject the null hypothesis at the
significance level of 0.05 that there is no difference between the richness of the
mouth and gut communities. The CIs do not address how close the estimates are
to the true total richness (i.e., bias) or whether these samples are representative
of other people's mouths or guts.
Another question is how much more sampling is needed to detect a significant
difference between two estimates, which in this case differ by only 12 OTUs. The
range of the CIs initially increases with sample size, peaks, and then decreases
exponentially. To obtain a rough idea of how much further sampling would be
needed to detect a statistically significant difference, we estimated the size of the
CIs for larger samples by extrapolating from the decreasing portion of these
curves. Negative exponential curves for both the mouth [f(x) = 270e−0.0046x]
and gut [f(x) = 120e−0.0026x] data fit well (r2 = 0.90 and r2 = 0.87,
respectively). From these curves, it appears that a sample of about 1,000 clones
(four times the original number) would be needed to detect a significant
difference between these communities (Fig.
(Fig.5).
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
138. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
139. Rarefaction curves yield the same pattern of relative diversity as
Chao1; significantly more OTUs are observed in the gut sample
than the mouth sample (Fig.
(Fig.6).
6). At the highest shared sample size (264 clones), 79 OTUs are
observed in the gut versus 59 OTUs in the mouth, and the 95% CIs
do not overlap. As discussed in the previous section, however,
rarefaction curves do not address the precision of the observed
species richness. Thus, although the rarefaction curves suggest
that the gut community is more diverse than the mouth
community, we cannot address the statistical significance of this
evidence with rarefaction curves
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
140. Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
147. In conclusion, while microbiologists should be cautious about
sampling biases and use clear OTU definitions, our results suggest
that comparisons among estimates of microbial diversity are
possible. Nonparametric estimators show particular promise for
microbial data and in some habitats may require sample sizes of
only 200 to 1,000 clones to detect richness differences of only tens
of species. While daunting less than a decade ago, sequencing this
number of clones is reasonable with the development of highthroughput sequencing technology. Augmenting this new
technology with statistical approaches borrowed from “macrobial”
biologists offers a powerful means to study the ecology and
evolution of microbial diversity in natural environments.
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014
148. Because of inconsistencies in how diversity is
measured in individual studies, e.g., how operational
taxonomic units (OTUs) are selected or which region
of the rRNA gene is sequenced, it is only by
integrating information from these studies into a
single phylogenetic context that these important
questions can be addressed
Slides for UC Davis EVE161 Course Taught by Jonathan Eisen Winter 2014