The Climate is Changing
    From Cape Town to Durban and Beyond
Advancing Tourism’s Response to Climate Change




Hilton Trollip              Responsible Tourism Launch
Energy and Climate Change   29 September 2011
City of Cape Town
The Inter‐Governmental Panel on Climate Change
Warming of the global
climate system is
“unequivocal”.
Climate change now
firmly entrenched in
the global agenda.
Critical negotiations for
a greenhouse gas
emissions framework
continue in Durban in
November 2011 during
COP 17.
South Africa ranks in the top 20 for
    greenhouse gas emissions,
contributing 8% to global emissions,
   and is responsible for 42% of
 emissions on the African continent
In Cape Town we face a triple challenge:
 A high carbon footprint – per capita carbon emissions on par with
 London, New York and Beijing.
 Poor energy security – highly dependent on electricity from coal
 power stations nearly 2000 km away.
 Vulnerability to the impacts of climate change – a sprawling city
 dependent on private vehicles where the poor generally live far from
 opportunities.
Cape Town Carbon Emissions in a Global Context
                        (per capita)
8
                                                     7.1
                                               6.9
7
                                         6.4
                                  6.18                               São Paulo (2003)
6                                                                    Delhi (2000)

                                                                     Rio de Janeiro (1998)
5                           4.8
                                                                     Barcelona (1996)

                        4                                            Mexico City (2000)
4                 3.6                                                Stokholm (2005)
            3.4
                                                                     Tokyo (1998)
3
                                                                     London (2006)

                                                                     Cape Town (metro,
2                                                                    2004)
                                                                     Beijing (1998)

                                                                     New York City (2005)
1


0
                        1

                        Cape Town                    Source: Urban Areas Carbon and Climate
                                                       Governance Patricia Romero Lankao
Carbon Emissions per sector in Cape Town, 2007


              Transport
                 27%                              Residential
                                                     29%




Local Government
       1%




             Industrial
                15%

                                     Commercial
                                        28%
Why should we be concerned about
climate change in Cape Town?
Within the next 25 years there is a
85% probability of 60,9 km2
(2% of metro area) being covered by
sea for a short period.

Sea-level rise could induce tourism
losses of R20 billion over 25 years.

“The sovereign risk of sea-level rise for the City of
Cape Town is significant and will increase in the
next 25 years regardless of reductions in
greenhouse gas”.
                            City sea-level rise risk study 2008
City’s 2008 adaptation study - potential storm event damage
and infrastructure at risk for 2.5, 4.5 and 6 meter rise in sea levels
City’s 2008 adaptation study– inundation at 10m level
Why be concerned about Tourism and
Climate Change
                • Tourism is a vector of climate change
                  accounts for approx 5% of global carbon
                  dioxide emissions.

                • Tourists will quickly switch their choice
                  of destination when the results of climate
                  change impact on their enjoyment.

                • The tourism sector depends heavily on a
                  natural and cultural heritage.

                • Careful management of climate related
                  impacts would be essential in order to
                  safeguard positive destination image in
                  the long term.
The tourism sector is highly
climate sensitive as climate defines
the length and quality of tourism
seasons, affects tourism operations,
and influences environmental
conditions that both attract and deter
visitors.

Africa is one of the tourism regions
thought to be most at risk.

Climate change adaptation will
ensure that individuals, communities
and nations continue to receive the
benefits of tourism.


A CHANGING CLIMATE WILL HAVE
CONSIDERABLE IMPACTS ON TOURISM
The Davos Declaration on Climate Change and Tourism


  An International Conference on Climate Change
  and Tourism was held in Davos, Switzerland in 2007.

The Davos Declaration included firm recommendations
a clear commitment for action.

Four key areas were agreed upon:

  Mitigate transport and accommodation emissions
  Adapt tourism businesses and destinations
  Apply existing and new efficient technologies
  Secure financial resources to assist poorer
  regions and countries.
Tourism & climate change: a 2-way relationship

  Determinant of tourist decision‐making
 Weather is an intrinsic component of the travel experience and influences tourist
 spending and holiday satisfaction.


 Changing and more extreme weather patterns
  Difficulty in tourism planning and operations
 Natural disasters
  Harms infrastructure, natural/cultural heritage & host communities

 Climate-induced changes in general health conditions
  Visitor safety and insurance practices

 Gradual sea level rise and more regular ‘sea storm/surge’ events
  Threat to coastal destinations/marine sites, biodiversity, wildlife

 Altered hydrological cycle
      Destinations in arid and drought prone areas (water availability)
       and flood prone areas
 Food security problems
  Difficulty in tourism planning and operations
Tourism identified in Climate Change Response White Paper

 South Africa has developed a White Paper on
 Climate Change Response.

 The Paper identifies tourism as a sector that
 contributes to and will be affected by
 Climate Change.

 Recommends that tourism develop an
 Action Plan to address the adaptation and
 mitigation issues raised in the Paper.

 A Tourism & Climate Change Task Team
 comprising of government, business,
 NGOs and academia was established in
 December 2010 to assist with the
 development of a National Tourism and
 Climate Change Action Plan.
National Tourism and Climate Change Action Plan

A Draft Tourism and Climate Change Action Plan has been developed.
The aim of the Action Plan is to ensure that the tourism sector responds
effectively to the challenge of climate change.
The Action Plan seeks to achieve the following outcomes:
    Adaptation: Improved understanding of the vulnerabilities of tourism to the
    physical impacts of climate change in order to build resilience and adaptive
    capacity of the industry.
    Mitigation: Reduced tourism related greenhouse gas emissions.
    Awareness: A fully informed tourism industry through consistent and effective
    industry outreach and communications.
    Coordination: A nationally consistent, inclusive and cooperative approach to
    implementation.
The actions in the plan will be delivered over
the next three years (2012 – 2014).
COP 17 in Durban
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
(UNFCCC) sets an overall framework for intergovernmental efforts to
tackle climate change.
The Conference of the Parties (COP) is the "supreme body”
The 17th COP in Durban from 28 November to 9 December 2011.
192 countries. A primary focus is to secure a global climate agreement
because the Kyoto Protocol’s commitment period will end in 2012.
SA Exhibition Pavilion to showcase responsible tourism practices and
products.
Climate Smart Cape Town will also have a Pavilion and will be good for
tourism to be included.
“Those who react astutely and nimbly to the
imperatives of the low-carbon transition will
prosper, while those who seek to hold back the
tides, or pretend that the tides aren’t even there,
will look back in sorrow.
Countries and cities that sink their treasure now
into a dirty coal infrastructure, high-carbon
production methods and development which is
not energy efficient are not only jeopardizing the
health of the planet, they are jeopardizing their
own economic future.”


     Adapted from Tod Stern, US Climate Action Symposium, March 2009.
Tourism and climate change

Tourism and climate change

  • 1.
    The Climate isChanging From Cape Town to Durban and Beyond Advancing Tourism’s Response to Climate Change Hilton Trollip Responsible Tourism Launch Energy and Climate Change 29 September 2011 City of Cape Town
  • 3.
    The Inter‐Governmental Panelon Climate Change Warming of the global climate system is “unequivocal”. Climate change now firmly entrenched in the global agenda. Critical negotiations for a greenhouse gas emissions framework continue in Durban in November 2011 during COP 17.
  • 4.
    South Africa ranksin the top 20 for greenhouse gas emissions, contributing 8% to global emissions, and is responsible for 42% of emissions on the African continent
  • 5.
    In Cape Townwe face a triple challenge: A high carbon footprint – per capita carbon emissions on par with London, New York and Beijing. Poor energy security – highly dependent on electricity from coal power stations nearly 2000 km away. Vulnerability to the impacts of climate change – a sprawling city dependent on private vehicles where the poor generally live far from opportunities.
  • 6.
    Cape Town CarbonEmissions in a Global Context (per capita) 8 7.1 6.9 7 6.4 6.18 São Paulo (2003) 6 Delhi (2000) Rio de Janeiro (1998) 5 4.8 Barcelona (1996) 4 Mexico City (2000) 4 3.6 Stokholm (2005) 3.4 Tokyo (1998) 3 London (2006) Cape Town (metro, 2 2004) Beijing (1998) New York City (2005) 1 0 1 Cape Town Source: Urban Areas Carbon and Climate Governance Patricia Romero Lankao
  • 7.
    Carbon Emissions persector in Cape Town, 2007 Transport 27% Residential 29% Local Government 1% Industrial 15% Commercial 28%
  • 8.
    Why should webe concerned about climate change in Cape Town? Within the next 25 years there is a 85% probability of 60,9 km2 (2% of metro area) being covered by sea for a short period. Sea-level rise could induce tourism losses of R20 billion over 25 years. “The sovereign risk of sea-level rise for the City of Cape Town is significant and will increase in the next 25 years regardless of reductions in greenhouse gas”. City sea-level rise risk study 2008
  • 9.
    City’s 2008 adaptationstudy - potential storm event damage and infrastructure at risk for 2.5, 4.5 and 6 meter rise in sea levels
  • 10.
    City’s 2008 adaptationstudy– inundation at 10m level
  • 12.
    Why be concernedabout Tourism and Climate Change • Tourism is a vector of climate change accounts for approx 5% of global carbon dioxide emissions. • Tourists will quickly switch their choice of destination when the results of climate change impact on their enjoyment. • The tourism sector depends heavily on a natural and cultural heritage. • Careful management of climate related impacts would be essential in order to safeguard positive destination image in the long term.
  • 13.
    The tourism sectoris highly climate sensitive as climate defines the length and quality of tourism seasons, affects tourism operations, and influences environmental conditions that both attract and deter visitors. Africa is one of the tourism regions thought to be most at risk. Climate change adaptation will ensure that individuals, communities and nations continue to receive the benefits of tourism. A CHANGING CLIMATE WILL HAVE CONSIDERABLE IMPACTS ON TOURISM
  • 14.
    The Davos Declarationon Climate Change and Tourism An International Conference on Climate Change and Tourism was held in Davos, Switzerland in 2007. The Davos Declaration included firm recommendations a clear commitment for action. Four key areas were agreed upon: Mitigate transport and accommodation emissions Adapt tourism businesses and destinations Apply existing and new efficient technologies Secure financial resources to assist poorer regions and countries.
  • 15.
    Tourism & climatechange: a 2-way relationship  Determinant of tourist decision‐making Weather is an intrinsic component of the travel experience and influences tourist spending and holiday satisfaction. Changing and more extreme weather patterns  Difficulty in tourism planning and operations Natural disasters  Harms infrastructure, natural/cultural heritage & host communities Climate-induced changes in general health conditions  Visitor safety and insurance practices Gradual sea level rise and more regular ‘sea storm/surge’ events  Threat to coastal destinations/marine sites, biodiversity, wildlife Altered hydrological cycle  Destinations in arid and drought prone areas (water availability) and flood prone areas Food security problems  Difficulty in tourism planning and operations
  • 16.
    Tourism identified inClimate Change Response White Paper South Africa has developed a White Paper on Climate Change Response. The Paper identifies tourism as a sector that contributes to and will be affected by Climate Change. Recommends that tourism develop an Action Plan to address the adaptation and mitigation issues raised in the Paper. A Tourism & Climate Change Task Team comprising of government, business, NGOs and academia was established in December 2010 to assist with the development of a National Tourism and Climate Change Action Plan.
  • 17.
    National Tourism andClimate Change Action Plan A Draft Tourism and Climate Change Action Plan has been developed. The aim of the Action Plan is to ensure that the tourism sector responds effectively to the challenge of climate change. The Action Plan seeks to achieve the following outcomes: Adaptation: Improved understanding of the vulnerabilities of tourism to the physical impacts of climate change in order to build resilience and adaptive capacity of the industry. Mitigation: Reduced tourism related greenhouse gas emissions. Awareness: A fully informed tourism industry through consistent and effective industry outreach and communications. Coordination: A nationally consistent, inclusive and cooperative approach to implementation. The actions in the plan will be delivered over the next three years (2012 – 2014).
  • 18.
    COP 17 inDurban The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) sets an overall framework for intergovernmental efforts to tackle climate change. The Conference of the Parties (COP) is the "supreme body” The 17th COP in Durban from 28 November to 9 December 2011. 192 countries. A primary focus is to secure a global climate agreement because the Kyoto Protocol’s commitment period will end in 2012. SA Exhibition Pavilion to showcase responsible tourism practices and products. Climate Smart Cape Town will also have a Pavilion and will be good for tourism to be included.
  • 19.
    “Those who reactastutely and nimbly to the imperatives of the low-carbon transition will prosper, while those who seek to hold back the tides, or pretend that the tides aren’t even there, will look back in sorrow. Countries and cities that sink their treasure now into a dirty coal infrastructure, high-carbon production methods and development which is not energy efficient are not only jeopardizing the health of the planet, they are jeopardizing their own economic future.” Adapted from Tod Stern, US Climate Action Symposium, March 2009.