This document discusses resilience-based management approaches used in the US, Argentina, and Mongolia. It recognizes that ecosystem change is inevitable and the goal is to nudge systems towards desirable states and avoid undesirable losses of options. Regional collaborative groups are established to identify key concerns, develop models of ecosystem dynamics, and classify ecological potential. This supports long-term adaptive management and monitoring through knowledge sharing across institutional scales.
The document discusses the creation of ancillary materials to promote a music video for the song "Innocence" by the band Nero. Specifically, it describes the design of a CD digipak and advertisement that were meant to synergize with themes from the music video. Key elements like the black and white color scheme, costumes, and locations were carried over to link all three promotional platforms and clearly communicate the band and song being advertised. Feedback was gathered and changes were made to improve how the ancillary materials effectively promoted the music video and album.
The document outlines the rules for playing the card game UNO. Players are dealt seven cards to start and must pick up a card if they cannot match the color or number played. Players cannot see each other's cards and certain cards like 4+ and reverse result in picking up extra cards or changing the direction of play. Strategic play is allowed by not requiring an exact match on color or number.
To play UNO:
1. Each player is dealt 7-10 cards from the deck. The top card of the remaining deck is laid face-up to start the discard pile.
2. Players must match the color or number of the card on the discard pile by playing a card from their hand. If they cannot play, they draw from the deck.
3. The goal is to get rid of all cards in your hand by playing them on the discard pile. When a player has only one card left, they must shout "UNO" or draw two extra cards.
Unlimited Network of Opportunities International Corporation (UNO) is a network marketing company that offers a variety of health, wellness, and beauty products. It is led by experienced network marketers. To become a distributor, one must purchase a Platinum Product Package starting at P7,300. The packages include products worth P3,600, a P2,500 product certificate, family accident insurance, sales and business materials, and discounts. Distributors can then earn income by recruiting other distributors and receiving commissions on product sales.
The United Nations was formed in 1945 after World War II to promote international cooperation and prevent future conflicts. It was established officially on October 24, 1945 and is headquartered in New York City. The UN has 193 member states and works to maintain peace and security, protect human rights, deliver humanitarian aid, promote sustainable development, and uphold international law.
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
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The document discusses the creation of ancillary materials to promote a music video for the song "Innocence" by the band Nero. Specifically, it describes the design of a CD digipak and advertisement that were meant to synergize with themes from the music video. Key elements like the black and white color scheme, costumes, and locations were carried over to link all three promotional platforms and clearly communicate the band and song being advertised. Feedback was gathered and changes were made to improve how the ancillary materials effectively promoted the music video and album.
The document outlines the rules for playing the card game UNO. Players are dealt seven cards to start and must pick up a card if they cannot match the color or number played. Players cannot see each other's cards and certain cards like 4+ and reverse result in picking up extra cards or changing the direction of play. Strategic play is allowed by not requiring an exact match on color or number.
To play UNO:
1. Each player is dealt 7-10 cards from the deck. The top card of the remaining deck is laid face-up to start the discard pile.
2. Players must match the color or number of the card on the discard pile by playing a card from their hand. If they cannot play, they draw from the deck.
3. The goal is to get rid of all cards in your hand by playing them on the discard pile. When a player has only one card left, they must shout "UNO" or draw two extra cards.
Unlimited Network of Opportunities International Corporation (UNO) is a network marketing company that offers a variety of health, wellness, and beauty products. It is led by experienced network marketers. To become a distributor, one must purchase a Platinum Product Package starting at P7,300. The packages include products worth P3,600, a P2,500 product certificate, family accident insurance, sales and business materials, and discounts. Distributors can then earn income by recruiting other distributors and receiving commissions on product sales.
The United Nations was formed in 1945 after World War II to promote international cooperation and prevent future conflicts. It was established officially on October 24, 1945 and is headquartered in New York City. The UN has 193 member states and works to maintain peace and security, protect human rights, deliver humanitarian aid, promote sustainable development, and uphold international law.
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes (GADRI) aims to reduce disaster risk and increase resilience through interdisciplinary research. GADRI brings together institutions to support research efforts through cooperation instead of competition. It also guides new researchers and maintains institutional memory to build upon past work. Some challenges GADRI may face include coordinating a global alliance. Solutions include facilitating cooperative work between members and guiding the expanding field of disaster reduction research.
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2) It finds that as the duration of living as a refugee increases, the probability of returning to Syria decreases significantly, while the likelihood of migrating to another country increases.
3) Refugees who experienced greater damage, losses, or deaths due to the war in Syria are less likely to return and more likely to migrate internationally in search of asylum.
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6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
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6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
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The document discusses concepts related to ensuring a safe, secure, and sustainable energy supply. It introduces the concepts of risk assessment, resilience management, security of supply, sustainability, and multi-criteria decision analysis. It then presents a case study from the EU SECURE project that used these concepts to evaluate policy scenarios according to various environmental, economic, social, and security indicators. The study found that global climate policy scenarios generally performed best, though they were vulnerable to certain shocks like nuclear accidents or carbon capture failures. Overall policies that reduced fossil fuel use and led to greater diversification of energy sources and imports improved sustainability and security.
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
1) The document analyzes data from surveys of Syrian refugees in Turkey to understand their choices regarding returning to Syria, staying in Turkey, or migrating elsewhere.
2) It finds that as the duration of living as a refugee increases, the probability of returning to Syria decreases significantly, while the likelihood of migrating to another country increases.
3) Refugees who experienced greater damage, losses, or deaths due to the war in Syria are less likely to return and more likely to migrate internationally in search of asylum.
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6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
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The document summarizes the Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes (GADRI). GADRI is a global network of over 100 disaster research institutes that aims to enhance disaster risk reduction through knowledge sharing. It holds symposia, workshops, and other events on topics like flash floods, earthquakes, and geohazards. Notable upcoming events include the Third Global Summit of Research Institutes for Disaster Risk Reduction in 2017. GADRI's goals are to establish collaborative research initiatives, form international working groups, and disseminate findings to influence disaster policy.
The document discusses capacity development for disaster risk reduction at the national and local levels. It explores strengths and weaknesses of current DRR capacity development efforts, and presents UNITAR's contribution through a new K4Resilience hub initiative. The initiative aims to strengthen DRR capacity development at national and sub-national levels by transferring knowledge and technology, advocating for positive change, achieving economies of scale in training, and facilitating peer-to-peer learning and mainstreaming of knowledge through strategies at the national and sub-national levels.
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A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
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Brandon T. BESTELMEYER, Jeffrey E HERRICK "A general approach for resilience-based management in the US, Argentina, and Mongolia"
1. A general approach for resilience-
based management in the US,
Argentina, and Mongolia
Brandon T. Bestelmeyer, Jeffrey E. Herrick
USDA-ARS Jornada Experimental Range
www.jornada.nmsu.edu
2. Changes of the past
Black grama (Bouteloua eriopoda) grassland
3. Changes of the past
1936
“…some overgrazing may be tolerated during
infrequent emergencies without damage to the range.”
--Jornada Annual Report, 1949
4. Changes of the past
1956
“December closed a year which in many respects was the
most disastrous in Jornada history”
--Jornada Monthy Report, December 1951
5. Changes of the past
Now
“A transition to an alternative state”
“Persistent degradation”
“Difficult to restore”
7. What we learned from the era steady-state
management
• Tipping points are unpredictable, sometimes inevitable
• Even with foreknowledge that dramatic change was possible,
managers were unable to prevent it
• We recognized the gradually changing vulnerability only in
retrospect
• The forces resulting in vulnerability have social and ecological
origins, are complex, and sometimes cannot be directly
controlled
8. Resilience-based management (RBM)
• Recognize that change is inevitable
• Nudge trajectories such that undesirable changes are
avoided—specifically a loss of options
• Make broadly available information about ecological
processes and services for specific places
• Work collaboratively, at different institutional scales, to test
and reevaluate decisions
• Innovate and learn from what we do
9. How do we develop knowledge systems that enable societies to
direct ecosystems toward desirable states or to adapt to
irreversibly changed conditions?
Livestock numbers
Erosion
Fire/Thicketization
10. Developing a method of RBM
Regional/landscape
collaborative groups
Classifications of
Models of
ecological potential
ecosystem dynamics
and heterogeneity
Ecosystem service
bundles provided by
ecological states Long-term adaptive
management and
monitoring
Knowledge systems
11. Establish regional stakeholder organizations to identify key state change/resilience
concerns
Organizations comprise one or more
Major Land Resource Areas
Invasive plant-fire driven
Drought-triggered
state change
forest dieback
43A 43A 52 53A 55A
56
8
53
55
7 B
B
58A 54 143
3
A
90A
102
2
12 43B 32 63A 94A
58
143
55
103
10
B
C
95B
10
5
98
23
4
2C
10
65
10
5 21 25 34A 140
7
139
7B
12
71 7
14
47
24
75 109
10
B 72
28A
28
67
27
6
6
B
12
48
73
22
A
74
3
121
11
A
2
69 79
11
29
36 116A 12
5
80A
77A
35
78C
B
17
30 130 6
13
70C
78B 119
77C
131A
38
31
86A
40
3B
41 13
42 85 133A 3A
15
81B
Nonnative woody
Desertification 150
A
plant invasion
Thicketization
of woody plants
• National regulatory and assistance agencies
• NGOs, landholders
• Common concepts and databases
• Research groups as “bridging organizations”
12. Develop ecological models to describe how changes in state can occur
• Capture general mechanisms of state change
• Integrate science results/local knowledge
• Biophysical and social processes, indicators
• Guidance for more specific models
13. Ecological sites filter the general models based on soil, climate, and
landscape processes
Can soil databases serve as the core of
a spatially-explicit knowledge system?
14. Similar classification concepts outside US
Ecological sites-Great Britain (Ray 2001)
Biogeoclimatic Ecosystem Classification-Canada (Green and
Klinka 1994)
Land systems-Australia (van Gool and Moore 1999)
http://www.publish.csiro.au/nid/289/aid/16090.htm
Landscape units-Germany, Netherlands (Bastian 2000)
16. Describe ecosystem service bundles provided by different states
Ecological states and services of Sandy ecological site: MLRA 42.2
Native perennial Savanna Shrubland Exotic perennial
grassland grassland
-excellent forage -biodiversity -sustained NPP -grassland functions
-soil stabilization elements during prolonged given warmer climate
-“nativeness” drought
17. Map ecological sites and states then specify where different interventions
are desired, and the expected consequences
18. Spatially-explicit management prescriptions and monitoring
States of sandy ecological site, Dona Ana
County, New Mexico
0 5 10 20 Kilometers
Black grama grassland [manage stocking rates]
Altered grassland type [maintain adequate cover]
Shrub-invaded type [shrub removal]
Shrubland [rest or alternative uses]
19. Institutional needs for RBM
Support the organization of regional or landscape collaborative groups via
“bridging organizations”
Promote structured monitoring and databasing assocaited with
expenditures on land management
Develop national databases to serve as durable, logical knowledge systems
Direct or support scientists to work with collaborative groups in addition to
performing other, general research
Bestelmeyer and Briske (2012), Rangeland Ecology and Management 65:543-544
www.jornada.nmsu.edu
Editor's Notes
At the risk of being a bit too prescriptive, here are some key elements we feel are needed
These contain the details needed to formulate management decisions