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This commentary is not intended as investment advice or an investment recommendation. It is solely the opinion or our investment managers 
at the time of writing. Nothing in the commentary should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no 
indication of future performance. Liquid securities, such as those held within DIAS portfolios, can fall in value. Global Financial Private 
Capital is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. All charts courtesy of Bloomberg. 
Thought for the Week (259): 
The DIAS Conservative Income Portfolio – Under the Hood 
Synopsis 
 The Conservative Income (CI) portfolio consists of both fixed income and equity holdings designed to preserve the capital base and deliver 5%+ in annual income. 
 Due to CI’s unique composition, its performance should not be compared against the S&P 500, The Dow Jones Industrial Index, or any other proxy for the stock market. 
 We see no end in sight to the Fed’s zero interest rate policy, so now more than ever is the time to be invested in CI – the ideal weapon to use in this war against seniors and savers. 
Let’s Look Under the Hood 
Conservative Income (CI) is a very unique product, designed from the ground up to deliver 5%+ annual income by investing in low risk assets to preserve the capital base. 
The long term returns for CI speak for themselves, but given the recent market volatility, we felt that it would be beneficial to look under the hood of CI to see what’s actually happening inside. 
So let’s start at the top by taking a look at the chart below which illustrates the overall composition of CI across three asset classes. 
The primary goal of CI is capital preservation, and this mandate requires us to only consider low risk securities in all asset allocation decisions. Currently we favor equities over fixed income, followed by a larger than normal cash balance for three key reasons:
This commentary is not intended as investment advice or an investment recommendation. It is solely the opinion or our investment managers 
at the time of writing. Nothing in the commentary should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no 
indication of future performance. Liquid securities, such as those held within DIAS portfolios, can fall in value. Global Financial Private 
Capital is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. All charts courtesy of Bloomberg. 
1. Bonds Look Expensive: Bond prices are high and yields are low (although many have started to rebound). While we still see opportunities in bonds, we prefer the prices in equities. 
2. Equities Offer Upside: We strongly believe that we are at the beginning of a secular bull market which could last well over a decade. The risk of owning equities is lower than years before, and additionally, some of the best low-risk yield opportunities exist in equities. 
3. Patiently Waiting: Back in April, we began selling stocks that we felt were overvalued in anticipation of a correction given the market’s meteoric rise experienced in the first quarter of 2013. As stocks continue to go on sale, we are here waiting to buy. 
Now that we have a broad overview of what’s inside CI, let’s dig deeper into both equities and bonds to see what we own and why. 
Equity Exposure 
A common question we have been asked lately is, “Why has CI underperformed the S&P 500 over the past few weeks?” To answer the question, we need to dig deeper inside that 56% slice in the pie chart above and compare it to the S&P 500. 
The chart below shows the industry breakdown of the equity allocation within CI (blue bars) and the S&P 500 (red bars). 
This comparison highlights some key differences between CI and the S&P 500: 
 Sector Weights are Different: CI is heavily concentrated in sectors known for income generation such as telecom, utilities, and energy. Furthermore, we have little to no exposure to financials, information technology, and consumer discretionary because these sectors offer very little opportunity for low risk income generation.
This commentary is not intended as investment advice or an investment recommendation. It is solely the opinion or our investment managers 
at the time of writing. Nothing in the commentary should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no 
indication of future performance. Liquid securities, such as those held within DIAS portfolios, can fall in value. Global Financial Private 
Capital is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. All charts courtesy of Bloomberg. 
 Stocks are Different: The stocks in CI look a lot like bonds (large revenues, clean balance sheets, steady and consistent dividends, etc.), and many of these stocks are not included in the S&P 500. For example, CI’s energy exposure is quite higher than the S&P 500 due to the use of MLPs to generate yield, and the S&P 500 does not contain a single MLP. 
 CI Changes More Frequently: Although not directly observable in this chart, we constantly add and remove stocks in CI. For example, we recently reduced our exposure to utilities by targeting stocks that appeared expensive. In contrast, changes to the S&P 500 occur infrequently. 
To summarize, the composition of CI is vastly different than the S&P 500, both in sector weights and individual securities, simply because CI’s goal is to preserve capital and generate income. 
Now you may ask yourself why we don’t just take the 56% allocation to equities in CI and buy an index fund that mirrors the S&P 500, thus saving the time and trouble of active management. There are two key reasons that active management of equities is absolutely critical for CI: 
1. Dividend Yield: If we simply used an index fund for the S&P 500, we would only achieve a 2.1% yield. The mandate of CI is to deliver 5%+ so we would not be able to achieve this goal. 
2. Too Risky: The primary goal of CI is to preserve the capital base and the S&P 500 carries too much risk to capital preservation. We only select stocks that have “bond-like” characteristics. 
Fixed Income Exposure 
Over the last three years, we have dramatically reduced our fixed income exposure from approximately 70% down to 28% today. This mix shift has been a direct result of our concern over an imminent correction in the bond market given that yields had fallen to levels that we felt were unsustainable. 
However, that’s not to say that you should not own bonds. A balanced and diversified portfolio warrants some exposure to bonds and we feel that there is still opportunity in select, low-risk subsectors: 
 High Yield: The higher the coupon rate of a bond, the more money the investor receives each pay period that can then be reinvested at higher rates. Hence, higher coupon bonds are less impacted by rising interest rates. 
 Short Maturity: In rising interest rate environments, the faster investors can get their money back to reinvest at higher rates, the better. Hence, short maturity bonds are also less impacted by rising interest rates. 
 Minimal Default Risk: Default risk is a primary concern for firms that pay higher yields, however we do not believe that the Fed will raise interest rates until the economy is stronger. Any improvement in the overall economy should only improve company fundamentals and reduce default risk even further. 
NOTE: We have had no exposure to Treasuries for the last 18 months because although many investors deem these government backed securities to be “riskless”, we felt that there was substantial risk in these assets. The recent sell-off confirmed our fears. 
Lastly, it’s important to understand how we maintain exposure to fixed income assets. We use exchange traded funds (ETFs) instead of holding physical bonds for three key reasons: 
1. Customization: ETFs allow us to play out our themes in a very cost efficient manner. For example, our preference for high yield and short maturity bonds can be achieved by buying 2 separate ETFs specifically tailored to these criteria.
This commentary is not intended as investment advice or an investment recommendation. It is solely the opinion or our investment managers 
at the time of writing. Nothing in the commentary should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no 
indication of future performance. Liquid securities, such as those held within DIAS portfolios, can fall in value. Global Financial Private 
Capital is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. All charts courtesy of Bloomberg. 
2. Flexibility/Liquidity: ETFs are very easy to buy and sell which lowers the risk of ownership and affords us the flexibility to effortlessly manage changes to asset allocation. 
3. Diversification: A single ETF can hold several hundred bonds so you gain immediate diversification to prevent any substantial loss from a single default. 
The Benchmark is Zero 
Hopefully we have explained why CI occasionally reacts differently than the S&P 500 and other popular benchmarks. Subsequently, these indices are inappropriate benchmarks for CI. 
For example, imagine if a portfolio manager who invested in small cap growth stocks was measured against the S&P 500, and one year he returned 15% when the S&P 500 was up 12%. Here, the manager appears to have delivered stellar returns, but small cap stocks don’t exist in the S&P 500 so it’s a lot like comparing a minivan to a sports car. 
Let’s assume that during this same year, the Russell 2000 Growth Index, a popular benchmark for small cap managers, returned 20%. Given that this index more closely resembles the stocks that our manager would buy, we now see that our manager materially underperformed an index of similar holdings. 
Well if we can’t use the S&P 500 or any other index out there because CI is so unique in its composition, then how do we evaluate its performance? 
The answer is actually quite straightforward when we go back and look at the goal of CI – preserve capital and deliver 5%+ in annual income. Capital is preserved when there are no losses to the principal and therefore, the benchmark for CI is 0% each year. 
NOTE: Hopefully it goes without saying that we do attempt to deliver some capital appreciation as long as we can manage the risk accordingly to ensure that the capital base is preserved over the long run. 
Time Horizon is Critical 
The idea behind CI and the way it is constructed requires an investor to be patient and maintain a long- term investment horizon. Due to the equity component, cyclicality will cause movement in the capital base in the short term. Furthermore, we continually adjust the composition of CI in anticipation of market changes and often times these changes take time to play out. 
Simply put, measuring CI over any time period less than a year is inappropriate and we strongly recommend that investors view returns over an 18 month period at the very minimum. 
CI is Your Best Weapon 
The Fed’s zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) appears to be going nowhere for at least another four years, and as a result, the war on seniors and savers continues. 
Traditional income producing securities simply will not help you win this war. Keeping your cash in a bank generates no income. Government bonds barely meet inflation and tie up your principal for decades in the face of rising rates (yes one day in the distant future we will see interest rates rise). Equities offer plenty of dividend yield, but finding stocks with “bond-like” characteristics gets more difficult by the day. 
The bottom line is that active management is absolutely critical in times like these, and to win this war, you need a weapon like CI – one that delivers 5%+ annual income and capital preservation.

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Thought for the_week_-_259

  • 1. This commentary is not intended as investment advice or an investment recommendation. It is solely the opinion or our investment managers at the time of writing. Nothing in the commentary should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no indication of future performance. Liquid securities, such as those held within DIAS portfolios, can fall in value. Global Financial Private Capital is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. All charts courtesy of Bloomberg. Thought for the Week (259): The DIAS Conservative Income Portfolio – Under the Hood Synopsis  The Conservative Income (CI) portfolio consists of both fixed income and equity holdings designed to preserve the capital base and deliver 5%+ in annual income.  Due to CI’s unique composition, its performance should not be compared against the S&P 500, The Dow Jones Industrial Index, or any other proxy for the stock market.  We see no end in sight to the Fed’s zero interest rate policy, so now more than ever is the time to be invested in CI – the ideal weapon to use in this war against seniors and savers. Let’s Look Under the Hood Conservative Income (CI) is a very unique product, designed from the ground up to deliver 5%+ annual income by investing in low risk assets to preserve the capital base. The long term returns for CI speak for themselves, but given the recent market volatility, we felt that it would be beneficial to look under the hood of CI to see what’s actually happening inside. So let’s start at the top by taking a look at the chart below which illustrates the overall composition of CI across three asset classes. The primary goal of CI is capital preservation, and this mandate requires us to only consider low risk securities in all asset allocation decisions. Currently we favor equities over fixed income, followed by a larger than normal cash balance for three key reasons:
  • 2. This commentary is not intended as investment advice or an investment recommendation. It is solely the opinion or our investment managers at the time of writing. Nothing in the commentary should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no indication of future performance. Liquid securities, such as those held within DIAS portfolios, can fall in value. Global Financial Private Capital is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. All charts courtesy of Bloomberg. 1. Bonds Look Expensive: Bond prices are high and yields are low (although many have started to rebound). While we still see opportunities in bonds, we prefer the prices in equities. 2. Equities Offer Upside: We strongly believe that we are at the beginning of a secular bull market which could last well over a decade. The risk of owning equities is lower than years before, and additionally, some of the best low-risk yield opportunities exist in equities. 3. Patiently Waiting: Back in April, we began selling stocks that we felt were overvalued in anticipation of a correction given the market’s meteoric rise experienced in the first quarter of 2013. As stocks continue to go on sale, we are here waiting to buy. Now that we have a broad overview of what’s inside CI, let’s dig deeper into both equities and bonds to see what we own and why. Equity Exposure A common question we have been asked lately is, “Why has CI underperformed the S&P 500 over the past few weeks?” To answer the question, we need to dig deeper inside that 56% slice in the pie chart above and compare it to the S&P 500. The chart below shows the industry breakdown of the equity allocation within CI (blue bars) and the S&P 500 (red bars). This comparison highlights some key differences between CI and the S&P 500:  Sector Weights are Different: CI is heavily concentrated in sectors known for income generation such as telecom, utilities, and energy. Furthermore, we have little to no exposure to financials, information technology, and consumer discretionary because these sectors offer very little opportunity for low risk income generation.
  • 3. This commentary is not intended as investment advice or an investment recommendation. It is solely the opinion or our investment managers at the time of writing. Nothing in the commentary should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no indication of future performance. Liquid securities, such as those held within DIAS portfolios, can fall in value. Global Financial Private Capital is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. All charts courtesy of Bloomberg.  Stocks are Different: The stocks in CI look a lot like bonds (large revenues, clean balance sheets, steady and consistent dividends, etc.), and many of these stocks are not included in the S&P 500. For example, CI’s energy exposure is quite higher than the S&P 500 due to the use of MLPs to generate yield, and the S&P 500 does not contain a single MLP.  CI Changes More Frequently: Although not directly observable in this chart, we constantly add and remove stocks in CI. For example, we recently reduced our exposure to utilities by targeting stocks that appeared expensive. In contrast, changes to the S&P 500 occur infrequently. To summarize, the composition of CI is vastly different than the S&P 500, both in sector weights and individual securities, simply because CI’s goal is to preserve capital and generate income. Now you may ask yourself why we don’t just take the 56% allocation to equities in CI and buy an index fund that mirrors the S&P 500, thus saving the time and trouble of active management. There are two key reasons that active management of equities is absolutely critical for CI: 1. Dividend Yield: If we simply used an index fund for the S&P 500, we would only achieve a 2.1% yield. The mandate of CI is to deliver 5%+ so we would not be able to achieve this goal. 2. Too Risky: The primary goal of CI is to preserve the capital base and the S&P 500 carries too much risk to capital preservation. We only select stocks that have “bond-like” characteristics. Fixed Income Exposure Over the last three years, we have dramatically reduced our fixed income exposure from approximately 70% down to 28% today. This mix shift has been a direct result of our concern over an imminent correction in the bond market given that yields had fallen to levels that we felt were unsustainable. However, that’s not to say that you should not own bonds. A balanced and diversified portfolio warrants some exposure to bonds and we feel that there is still opportunity in select, low-risk subsectors:  High Yield: The higher the coupon rate of a bond, the more money the investor receives each pay period that can then be reinvested at higher rates. Hence, higher coupon bonds are less impacted by rising interest rates.  Short Maturity: In rising interest rate environments, the faster investors can get their money back to reinvest at higher rates, the better. Hence, short maturity bonds are also less impacted by rising interest rates.  Minimal Default Risk: Default risk is a primary concern for firms that pay higher yields, however we do not believe that the Fed will raise interest rates until the economy is stronger. Any improvement in the overall economy should only improve company fundamentals and reduce default risk even further. NOTE: We have had no exposure to Treasuries for the last 18 months because although many investors deem these government backed securities to be “riskless”, we felt that there was substantial risk in these assets. The recent sell-off confirmed our fears. Lastly, it’s important to understand how we maintain exposure to fixed income assets. We use exchange traded funds (ETFs) instead of holding physical bonds for three key reasons: 1. Customization: ETFs allow us to play out our themes in a very cost efficient manner. For example, our preference for high yield and short maturity bonds can be achieved by buying 2 separate ETFs specifically tailored to these criteria.
  • 4. This commentary is not intended as investment advice or an investment recommendation. It is solely the opinion or our investment managers at the time of writing. Nothing in the commentary should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no indication of future performance. Liquid securities, such as those held within DIAS portfolios, can fall in value. Global Financial Private Capital is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. All charts courtesy of Bloomberg. 2. Flexibility/Liquidity: ETFs are very easy to buy and sell which lowers the risk of ownership and affords us the flexibility to effortlessly manage changes to asset allocation. 3. Diversification: A single ETF can hold several hundred bonds so you gain immediate diversification to prevent any substantial loss from a single default. The Benchmark is Zero Hopefully we have explained why CI occasionally reacts differently than the S&P 500 and other popular benchmarks. Subsequently, these indices are inappropriate benchmarks for CI. For example, imagine if a portfolio manager who invested in small cap growth stocks was measured against the S&P 500, and one year he returned 15% when the S&P 500 was up 12%. Here, the manager appears to have delivered stellar returns, but small cap stocks don’t exist in the S&P 500 so it’s a lot like comparing a minivan to a sports car. Let’s assume that during this same year, the Russell 2000 Growth Index, a popular benchmark for small cap managers, returned 20%. Given that this index more closely resembles the stocks that our manager would buy, we now see that our manager materially underperformed an index of similar holdings. Well if we can’t use the S&P 500 or any other index out there because CI is so unique in its composition, then how do we evaluate its performance? The answer is actually quite straightforward when we go back and look at the goal of CI – preserve capital and deliver 5%+ in annual income. Capital is preserved when there are no losses to the principal and therefore, the benchmark for CI is 0% each year. NOTE: Hopefully it goes without saying that we do attempt to deliver some capital appreciation as long as we can manage the risk accordingly to ensure that the capital base is preserved over the long run. Time Horizon is Critical The idea behind CI and the way it is constructed requires an investor to be patient and maintain a long- term investment horizon. Due to the equity component, cyclicality will cause movement in the capital base in the short term. Furthermore, we continually adjust the composition of CI in anticipation of market changes and often times these changes take time to play out. Simply put, measuring CI over any time period less than a year is inappropriate and we strongly recommend that investors view returns over an 18 month period at the very minimum. CI is Your Best Weapon The Fed’s zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) appears to be going nowhere for at least another four years, and as a result, the war on seniors and savers continues. Traditional income producing securities simply will not help you win this war. Keeping your cash in a bank generates no income. Government bonds barely meet inflation and tie up your principal for decades in the face of rising rates (yes one day in the distant future we will see interest rates rise). Equities offer plenty of dividend yield, but finding stocks with “bond-like” characteristics gets more difficult by the day. The bottom line is that active management is absolutely critical in times like these, and to win this war, you need a weapon like CI – one that delivers 5%+ annual income and capital preservation.