Filip Pieczyński
@
      mobile       market          market
     internet       size        characteristics




       !
      what        research          main
     we know    opportunities    conclusions


02
What is a mobile internet?

an extension of the internet on mobile devices
which allows the users to access internet
even while they are on a move



     mobile browsers      applications           mobile websites




03
What is a mobile device?




04
What is the result?


         it takes more time than we expected



     evolution of communication
            but it takes place right now




05
@
      mobile       market          market
     internet       size        characteristics




       !
      what        research          main
     we know    opportunities    conclusions


06
Mobile internet: how big is it?
                   Global mobile data traffic by type (tetabyte per month)


                                                                                              19%
mobile data
                                                                                              10%
traffic to rise
66x by 2013E
                                                                                              64%

video driving
a rapid growth
in mobile                                                                                      7%
internet traffic

                                                              Source: Morgan Stanley, „The Mobile Internet Report” (December 2009).
                           Data provider: Cisco, „Visual Networking Index – Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2008-2013” (February 2009).




07
Mobile internet: how big is it?
                                             Worldwide mobile adspends by objective (mm $)


                            15,000
advertisers start                                                                              Mobile
investing in                                                                                   direct




                                                                           12,654.3
                                                                                               response
mobile ads                  10,000                                                             adspends


             Total mobile
         adspends (mm$)                                                                        Mobile
                             5,000
2006            1,547.8                                                                        brand
2007            2,773.1                                                                        adspends




                                                                           3,569.2
2008            4,057.3
2009            7,470.3
2010           11,448.9         0
2011           16,223.5              2006   2007   2008    2009   2010    2011



                                                                              Source: eMarketer (October 2007).




08
Mobile internet: how big is it?
                        CEE – share of page views generated by visitors using mobile devices and PC computers

                                                                                                           0.99%
  Russia                                                           1.58%                  Czech Republic           Slovakia                            1.87%




                                                                                          Denmark          2.20%   Ukraine                            0.87%




                Page views - mobile devices
                Page views - PC computers and other


Nokia = 53,34%                                 Apple = 15,03%
website-averaged percentage share of page views generated by Nokia and Apple products                                  Source of data: gemiusTraffic (September 2010).




09
Mobile internet: is it really so tiny niche?


            usage patterns are different



                     not quite…
 great need for mobile audience measurement




010
@
       mobile       market          market
      internet       size        characteristics




        !
       what        research          main
      we know    opportunities    conclusions


011
iPhone – the big boost…
  CEE – growth of average share of page views generated by iPhone by type all mobile per month)
                                         Global mobile data traffic among (tetabyte page views


                            40%
                                       34%
iPhone – strong             30%
                                                      26%
influence on the
development                 20%
of mobile internet…
                            10%
                                                                     3%                            3%
  its growth
…but                         0%
                                     ∆ 6 months     ∆ 6 months     ∆ 6 months               ∆ 6 months
weakens                             (1Q-2Q 2008)   (3Q-4Q 2008)   (1Q-2Q 2009)            (3Q - 4Q 2009)



                                                                          Source: gemiusTraffic (January 2008 – March 2010).




012
Mobile internet = high engagement
Slovakia – total time spent by users (cookies) using mobile devices and visiting websites monitored by Gemius (H)


                                500,000
                                                                                                                         443,981
                                450,000
                                400,000
                                350,000
 mobile users                   300,000

 spend consistently             250,000                                     221,391
                                200,000
 more and
                                150,000
 more time                                      97,763
                                100,000

 surfing                         50,000
                                      0
 the web                                         01.2008                         01.2009                                     01.2010




                                                                Source: gemiusTraffic, AIMmonitor – AIM, Mediaresearch & Gemius (January 2008 – January 2010).




013
@
       mobile       market          market
      internet       size        characteristics




        !
       what        research          main
      we know    opportunities    conclusions


014
Signs of change: browsers
      Russia – top 7 web browsers by share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius




                                              MSIE                                                      34.0%
dedicated                                     Opera                                                     28.7%
browsers                                      Firefox                                                   27.3%
for mobile
devices are                                   Chrome                                                       6.8%
becoming                                      OperaMini                                                    1.5%
more visible
                                              Safari                                                       1.1%
on CEE markets
                                              SafariMobile                                                 0.2%

                                                                      Source: gemiusTraffic (September 27, 2010 – October 03, 2010).




015
Signs of change: systems
  Russia – top 9 operating systems by share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius



                                               Windows XP                                               66.7%
                                               Windows 7                                                19.6%
                                               Windows Vista                                            10.0%
the most popular                               Mac OS X                                                  1.1%
operating systems –
                                               Linux                                                     0.7%
the emergence
                                               Windows 2003                                              0.7%
of mobile products
                                               Windows 2000                                              0.6%
                                               Symbian                                                   0.4%
                                               iPhoneOS                                                  0.1%

                                                                      Source: gemiusTraffic (September 27, 2010 – October 03, 2010).




016
Daily activity of mobile internet users
       8 selected CEE markets – average daily distribution of mobile and non-mobile page views


we observe                  8%

mobile users                7%

very closely                6%

                            5%

                            4%

they get up                 3%

                            2%
earlier and
                            1%
go to bed later             0%
than traditional                  0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

internet users                   Hourly share of all page views made from mobile devices within selected day
                                 Hourly share of all page views made from other devices within selected day

                                           Source: gemiusTraffic: Denmark, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Russia, Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia (December 2, 2009).




017
Preferences of mobile internet users: devices
                                 CEE – top 5 mobile devices (models) by website-averaged
              percentage share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius



                                                                                      2.7%                   2.5%
                                                            3.5%

                                       9.3%




                                                                                          Apple iPod
                                                                Nokia 5800




                                                                                                                Nokia 5130 XpressMusic
                                       Apple iPad


      19.7%
      Apple iPhone


                                                            Source: gemiusTraffic (October 04, 2010 – October 10, 2010).




018
Preferences of mobile internet users: devices
                                         Russia – top 5 mobile devices (models) by website-averaged
                         percentage share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius



                                                                              3.6%                                  3.5%
                             6.5%                    6.0%
  8.1%



                                                         Nokia 6300




                                                                                                                        Nokia N73
                                Apple iPhone




                                                                                   Nokia 5800
      Apple iPad




                                                                       Source: gemiusTraffic (October 04, 2010 – October 10, 2010).




019
@
       mobile       market          market
      internet       size        characteristics




        !
       what        research          main
      we know    opportunities    conclusions


020
Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience

 gate-way                                 mobile socio-
 data from                                -demographic
 operators                                       panel




               site-centric measurement

021
Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience

 gate-way                                                   mobile socio-
 data from                                                  -demographic
 operators                                                         panel
 key indicators:

    page impressions
    visits
    time spent
    users
    technical
     information
        device type
        device producer                                 measurement based
        browser                         on tags implemented on the mobile
        operating system                websites participating in the project

022
Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience

 anonymised                                          mobile socio-
 and aggregated                                      -demographic
 data provided
 by operators                                               panel
 and processed
 by Gemius


 logs from servers:
  time
  URL address
  user ID
  (eg. hashed MSISDN)
  technical data
  (eg. mobile device,
  browser)
                          site-centric measurement

023
Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience

 gate-way                                          operator
                                          link to the recruitment
 data from                                  survey (matched with
 operators                                ID number of the user)



                                                          user
                                                        survey
                                             consent to deliver
                                                internet activity
                                                 logs to Gemius



                                                     Gemius
                                           data saved in Gemius
                                               central database
               site-centric measurement

024
Implementation: option I
                                       Measurement based on traffic data
 PUBLISHER

                                     PANELIST
                                      (COOKIE)
                        SCRIPT




                                                            GEMIUS
               GEMIUS                                       SERVERS
  ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE




025
Implementation: option II
                                             Measurement using CATI method
 PUBLISHER                                                 CATI STUDIO



                        SCRIPT   PANELIST
                                  (COOKIE)




                                                               GEMIUS
               GEMIUS                                          SERVERS
  ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE




026
Implementation: option III
                                        Measurement involving mobile operators
 PUBLISHER                                                      OPERATOR



                        SCRIPT   PANELIST
                                  (COOKIE)




                                                                  GEMIUS
               GEMIUS                                             SERVERS
  ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE




027
@
       mobile       market          market
      internet       size        characteristics




        !
       what        research          main
      we know    opportunities    conclusions


028
Main conclusions


                       behavior
        Why?                         Who?
                       real users
         growth                      advertisers

        potential                    marketers
                       What?
      characteristic                  analysts




029
Thank you!


Filip Pieczyński

The future is mobile_gemiusMobile_presentation_10.2010

  • 1.
  • 2.
    @ mobile market market internet size characteristics ! what research main we know opportunities conclusions 02
  • 3.
    What is amobile internet? an extension of the internet on mobile devices which allows the users to access internet even while they are on a move mobile browsers applications mobile websites 03
  • 4.
    What is amobile device? 04
  • 5.
    What is theresult? it takes more time than we expected evolution of communication but it takes place right now 05
  • 6.
    @ mobile market market internet size characteristics ! what research main we know opportunities conclusions 06
  • 7.
    Mobile internet: howbig is it? Global mobile data traffic by type (tetabyte per month) 19% mobile data 10% traffic to rise 66x by 2013E 64% video driving a rapid growth in mobile 7% internet traffic Source: Morgan Stanley, „The Mobile Internet Report” (December 2009). Data provider: Cisco, „Visual Networking Index – Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2008-2013” (February 2009). 07
  • 8.
    Mobile internet: howbig is it? Worldwide mobile adspends by objective (mm $) 15,000 advertisers start Mobile investing in direct 12,654.3 response mobile ads 10,000 adspends Total mobile adspends (mm$) Mobile 5,000 2006 1,547.8 brand 2007 2,773.1 adspends 3,569.2 2008 4,057.3 2009 7,470.3 2010 11,448.9 0 2011 16,223.5 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: eMarketer (October 2007). 08
  • 9.
    Mobile internet: howbig is it? CEE – share of page views generated by visitors using mobile devices and PC computers 0.99% Russia 1.58% Czech Republic Slovakia 1.87% Denmark 2.20% Ukraine 0.87% Page views - mobile devices Page views - PC computers and other Nokia = 53,34% Apple = 15,03% website-averaged percentage share of page views generated by Nokia and Apple products Source of data: gemiusTraffic (September 2010). 09
  • 10.
    Mobile internet: isit really so tiny niche? usage patterns are different not quite… great need for mobile audience measurement 010
  • 11.
    @ mobile market market internet size characteristics ! what research main we know opportunities conclusions 011
  • 12.
    iPhone – thebig boost… CEE – growth of average share of page views generated by iPhone by type all mobile per month) Global mobile data traffic among (tetabyte page views 40% 34% iPhone – strong 30% 26% influence on the development 20% of mobile internet… 10% 3% 3% its growth …but 0% ∆ 6 months ∆ 6 months ∆ 6 months ∆ 6 months weakens (1Q-2Q 2008) (3Q-4Q 2008) (1Q-2Q 2009) (3Q - 4Q 2009) Source: gemiusTraffic (January 2008 – March 2010). 012
  • 13.
    Mobile internet =high engagement Slovakia – total time spent by users (cookies) using mobile devices and visiting websites monitored by Gemius (H) 500,000 443,981 450,000 400,000 350,000 mobile users 300,000 spend consistently 250,000 221,391 200,000 more and 150,000 more time 97,763 100,000 surfing 50,000 0 the web 01.2008 01.2009 01.2010 Source: gemiusTraffic, AIMmonitor – AIM, Mediaresearch & Gemius (January 2008 – January 2010). 013
  • 14.
    @ mobile market market internet size characteristics ! what research main we know opportunities conclusions 014
  • 15.
    Signs of change:browsers Russia – top 7 web browsers by share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius MSIE 34.0% dedicated Opera 28.7% browsers Firefox 27.3% for mobile devices are Chrome 6.8% becoming OperaMini 1.5% more visible Safari 1.1% on CEE markets SafariMobile 0.2% Source: gemiusTraffic (September 27, 2010 – October 03, 2010). 015
  • 16.
    Signs of change:systems Russia – top 9 operating systems by share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius Windows XP 66.7% Windows 7 19.6% Windows Vista 10.0% the most popular Mac OS X 1.1% operating systems – Linux 0.7% the emergence Windows 2003 0.7% of mobile products Windows 2000 0.6% Symbian 0.4% iPhoneOS 0.1% Source: gemiusTraffic (September 27, 2010 – October 03, 2010). 016
  • 17.
    Daily activity ofmobile internet users 8 selected CEE markets – average daily distribution of mobile and non-mobile page views we observe 8% mobile users 7% very closely 6% 5% 4% they get up 3% 2% earlier and 1% go to bed later 0% than traditional 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 internet users Hourly share of all page views made from mobile devices within selected day Hourly share of all page views made from other devices within selected day Source: gemiusTraffic: Denmark, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Russia, Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia (December 2, 2009). 017
  • 18.
    Preferences of mobileinternet users: devices CEE – top 5 mobile devices (models) by website-averaged percentage share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 9.3% Apple iPod Nokia 5800 Nokia 5130 XpressMusic Apple iPad 19.7% Apple iPhone Source: gemiusTraffic (October 04, 2010 – October 10, 2010). 018
  • 19.
    Preferences of mobileinternet users: devices Russia – top 5 mobile devices (models) by website-averaged percentage share of page views generated on websites monitored by Gemius 3.6% 3.5% 6.5% 6.0% 8.1% Nokia 6300 Nokia N73 Apple iPhone Nokia 5800 Apple iPad Source: gemiusTraffic (October 04, 2010 – October 10, 2010). 019
  • 20.
    @ mobile market market internet size characteristics ! what research main we know opportunities conclusions 020
  • 21.
    Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience gate-way mobile socio- data from -demographic operators panel site-centric measurement 021
  • 22.
    Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience gate-way mobile socio- data from -demographic operators panel key indicators:  page impressions  visits  time spent  users  technical information  device type  device producer measurement based  browser on tags implemented on the mobile  operating system websites participating in the project 022
  • 23.
    Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience anonymised mobile socio- and aggregated -demographic data provided by operators panel and processed by Gemius logs from servers:  time  URL address  user ID (eg. hashed MSISDN)  technical data (eg. mobile device, browser) site-centric measurement 023
  • 24.
    Methodology: gemiusMobileAudience gate-way operator link to the recruitment data from survey (matched with operators ID number of the user) user  survey  consent to deliver internet activity logs to Gemius Gemius data saved in Gemius central database site-centric measurement 024
  • 25.
    Implementation: option I Measurement based on traffic data PUBLISHER PANELIST (COOKIE) SCRIPT GEMIUS GEMIUS SERVERS ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE 025
  • 26.
    Implementation: option II Measurement using CATI method PUBLISHER CATI STUDIO SCRIPT PANELIST (COOKIE) GEMIUS GEMIUS SERVERS ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE 026
  • 27.
    Implementation: option III Measurement involving mobile operators PUBLISHER OPERATOR SCRIPT PANELIST (COOKIE) GEMIUS GEMIUS SERVERS ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE 027
  • 28.
    @ mobile market market internet size characteristics ! what research main we know opportunities conclusions 028
  • 29.
    Main conclusions behavior Why? Who? real users growth advertisers potential marketers What? characteristic analysts 029
  • 30.