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Epidemiology of
 Tuberculosis
  Dr P Raghavendra
        2nd year Post Graduate
     Dept of Community Medicine
           SMC, Vijayawada
Introduction
• Tuberculosis is a specific infection caused by
  M.Tuberculosis.
• Primarily affects lungs and causes Pulmonary
  tuberculosis.
• It is one of the oldest diseases known.
• In March 1882, Dr. Robert Koch discovered
  Mycobacterium Bacillus, in Germany.
Dr Robert Koch
The Mycobacterium tuberculosis belongs to the genus
Mycobacterium.


It is:
•aerobic,
•non motile,
•rod-shaped bacteria.


It has two distinguishing characteristics :
•acid alcohol-fastness (AAFB), so strongly resistant,
•slow growth.
• Extra-pulmonary             TB             (e.g.
  miliary, skeletal, meningeal, gastro-intestinal)
  also occur,
  – particularly in children,
  – immigrants from countries where TB is more
    common,
  – In people with impaired immunity.
• The risk of disease is highly dependent on:

  • the immune status of the host,

  • co infection with HIV,

  • HIV markedly increases the incidence of both
    forms of disease, that is primary and secondary
    forms of TB.
• Due to a combination of :

  •   economic decline,
  •   the breakdown of health systems,
  •   insufficient application of TB control measures,
  •   the spread of HIV/AIDS and
  •   the emergence of multidrug-resistant TB.


TB is on the rise in many developing and
  transitional economies.
• Between 2000 and 2020 ,it is estimated that
  nearly:

  • One billion people will be newly infected with TB,


  • 200 million people will become sick,


  • And TB will claim at least 35 million lives.
• Currently, the principal control strategy for
  those with TB is contact-tracing and DOT
  (Directly Observed Therapy, to ensure patients
  complete treatment).
• Between 1992 and 1997 following the
  introduction of DOT and other controls on
  treatment adherence, new cases of TB in New
  York decreased by 55% and MDRTB by 87%.
• DOT both maximizes cure-rates and minimizes
  the risk of encouraging drug-resistant strains
  of TB bacilli.
DOTS v/s Non-DOTS
Global Burden
of the disease
2009 Global estimates
Problem statement
• Tb remains a public heath problem, even after
  100     years     of    discovery   of      the
  microorganism, highly effective drugs and
  vaccine available.
• Spectacular results in developed countries.
• TB death rate in US: 199 (1900)  0.5 (1980)
  per lakh population.
• Changes started long before BCG and
  chemotherapy.
Problem statement - Global
• Change attributed to:
  – Improvements in standard of living
  – Improvements in quality of life
  – Application of available technical knowledge
  – Availability of health resources.
Global Burden of Disease
                 (2008 Estimates)
•   Incident cases    :   9.4 million
•   Prevalent cases   :   11.1 million
•   Tb among PLHA     :   1.4 million
•   Deaths            :   1.8 million
•   MDR-TB cases      :   0.5 million
•   MDR-TB deaths     :   0.15 million
•   XDR-TB cases      :   50,000
•   XDR-TB deaths     :   30,000
Achievements (1995 - 2008)
• 86% cure rate
• Cured 36 million cases
• Averted 6 million deaths due to DOTS (as
  compared to non-DOTS regimen)
• CFR decreased from 7.6% 4%
• Tuberculosis is the world's second commonest
  cause of death from infectious disease, after
  HIV/AIDS.
• TB is the world's leading killer among infectious
  diseases, with one person dying of it every 15 sec
  across the globe.
• Most cases (56 million) are in people aged 15 -
  49 years.
• Tuberculosis is the world's greatest infectious
  killer of women of reproductive age and the
  leading cause of death among people with
  HIV/AIDS.
Burden of the
disease -
India
Problem statement - INDIA
• India has the dubious distinction of being the
  highest TB burden country in the world
• Accounts for 20% of global and 66% of SEAR
  burden.
• 2 out of 5 Indians are infected.
• 50,000 people develop the disease everyday.
Every year in India,
• 1 diseased Indian infects 10-15 persons.
• 1.8 millions develop TB.
• 0.8 million new smear positive highly
  infectious cases.
• 3.2 lakh deaths.
• Annual risk of infection is 1.5%
TB Estimates of India (2008)
• Global rank                           :   1
• Incidence                             :   170
  (All cases per lakh population)
• Incidence                             :   75
  (new smear +ve cases/lakh pop/year)
• Prevalence                            :   185
  (all cases per lakh population)
• Mortality                             :   24
  (per lakh population per year)
TB Estimates of India (2008) contd
•   New TB cases HIV +ve     :   5%
•   New cases MDR            :   2%
•   Previously treated MDR   :   12-17%
•   Case detection rate      :   67%
•   Treatment success rate   :   87%
WHO estimates and GoI estimates
Epidemiol
ogical
Indices
Prevalence of infection
• Percentage of Individuals who show a positive
  reaction to standard tuberculin test.
• Age specific prevalence is a far more superior
  indicator than mere total +ve reactors.
• It represents a cumulative experience of a
  population to recent and remote infection.
• Limitations
  – Complicated interpretation
  – Cross sensitivity
Incidence of Infection
• Also known as Annual Rate of Infection and
  tuberculin conversion index.
• It is the percentage of population newly
  infected by M.tuberculosis among non-
  infected of the previous survey during the
  course of 1 year.
• Presents the annual risk of being infected with
  M.tb in a course of 1 year or the attacking
  force of TB in the community.
Contd..
• An ARI of 1% is said to correspond to 50 new
  cases per year per lakh population.
• One of the best indicators of the TB burden
  and its trend.
• Higher the rate, greater the problem.
• It was 1.5% in 2008.
Prevalence of the DISEASE
• Also called as case rate.
• It is the percentage of individuals whose
  sputum is positive for TB bacilli on microscopic
  examination.
• Best available practical index to estimate the
  case load in the community.
• Age-specific prevalence is more relavent
  index.
Incidence of new cases
• It is the percentage of new bacteriologically TB
  cases per 1000 population occurring during 1
  year.
• Is used to know the trend of the problem and
  for impact of control measures.
• Extremely difficult to measure.
• Can be done in countries where notification is
  reliable and where proportion of new cases is
  high
Mortality rate
• Number of deaths occurring in an year per
  1000 population.
• In the past it was used as an index for TB
  problem in the community.
• After introduction of chemotherapy and
  BCG, this has lost its importance as an index.
Case Detection Rate:
• Number of notified new and relapse cases in
  an year divided by estimated incidence of
  such cases.

      Prevalence of drug resistance cases:
• Prevalence of patients with ATT drug resistant
  tuberculosis bacilli.
• Directly related to Chemotherapy
India’s TB profile – 2011

(Global tuberculosis control: WHO report 2011)
Estimation of burden
Treatment success rates
MDR TB
Incidence – Trends
Prevalence – Trends
TB- HIV co-infection
References and further reading
• Park’s textbook of Preventive and Social
  Medicine, K.Park, 21/e, 2011 , Bhanot publications
• WHO (2010), Weekly Epidemiological Record, No.12, 19-03-2010
• WHO (2010), Weekly Epidemiological Record, No.9, 26-02-2010
• WHO (2010), Tuberculosis Control in SEAR, Regional Report, 2010
• TB INDIA 2011 Revised National TB Control Programme: Annual
  Status Report
• Global tuberculosis control: WHO report 2011.
• Tuberculosis, Surendra K Sharma, 2/e, 2009, Jaypee Publications
• Textbook of Community Medicine, Brig. Rajvir Singh et
  al, 2/e, 2009, AFMC Pune.
• National Health Programs of India, Jugal
  Kishore, 10/e, 2012, Century Publications
• www.who.int/tb
Tb burden of disease

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Tb burden of disease

  • 1. Epidemiology of Tuberculosis Dr P Raghavendra 2nd year Post Graduate Dept of Community Medicine SMC, Vijayawada
  • 2. Introduction • Tuberculosis is a specific infection caused by M.Tuberculosis. • Primarily affects lungs and causes Pulmonary tuberculosis. • It is one of the oldest diseases known. • In March 1882, Dr. Robert Koch discovered Mycobacterium Bacillus, in Germany.
  • 4. The Mycobacterium tuberculosis belongs to the genus Mycobacterium. It is: •aerobic, •non motile, •rod-shaped bacteria. It has two distinguishing characteristics : •acid alcohol-fastness (AAFB), so strongly resistant, •slow growth.
  • 5. • Extra-pulmonary TB (e.g. miliary, skeletal, meningeal, gastro-intestinal) also occur, – particularly in children, – immigrants from countries where TB is more common, – In people with impaired immunity.
  • 6. • The risk of disease is highly dependent on: • the immune status of the host, • co infection with HIV, • HIV markedly increases the incidence of both forms of disease, that is primary and secondary forms of TB.
  • 7. • Due to a combination of : • economic decline, • the breakdown of health systems, • insufficient application of TB control measures, • the spread of HIV/AIDS and • the emergence of multidrug-resistant TB. TB is on the rise in many developing and transitional economies.
  • 8. • Between 2000 and 2020 ,it is estimated that nearly: • One billion people will be newly infected with TB, • 200 million people will become sick, • And TB will claim at least 35 million lives.
  • 9. • Currently, the principal control strategy for those with TB is contact-tracing and DOT (Directly Observed Therapy, to ensure patients complete treatment). • Between 1992 and 1997 following the introduction of DOT and other controls on treatment adherence, new cases of TB in New York decreased by 55% and MDRTB by 87%. • DOT both maximizes cure-rates and minimizes the risk of encouraging drug-resistant strains of TB bacilli.
  • 13. Problem statement • Tb remains a public heath problem, even after 100 years of discovery of the microorganism, highly effective drugs and vaccine available. • Spectacular results in developed countries. • TB death rate in US: 199 (1900)  0.5 (1980) per lakh population. • Changes started long before BCG and chemotherapy.
  • 14. Problem statement - Global • Change attributed to: – Improvements in standard of living – Improvements in quality of life – Application of available technical knowledge – Availability of health resources.
  • 15. Global Burden of Disease (2008 Estimates) • Incident cases : 9.4 million • Prevalent cases : 11.1 million • Tb among PLHA : 1.4 million • Deaths : 1.8 million • MDR-TB cases : 0.5 million • MDR-TB deaths : 0.15 million • XDR-TB cases : 50,000 • XDR-TB deaths : 30,000
  • 16. Achievements (1995 - 2008) • 86% cure rate • Cured 36 million cases • Averted 6 million deaths due to DOTS (as compared to non-DOTS regimen) • CFR decreased from 7.6% 4%
  • 17. • Tuberculosis is the world's second commonest cause of death from infectious disease, after HIV/AIDS. • TB is the world's leading killer among infectious diseases, with one person dying of it every 15 sec across the globe. • Most cases (56 million) are in people aged 15 - 49 years. • Tuberculosis is the world's greatest infectious killer of women of reproductive age and the leading cause of death among people with HIV/AIDS.
  • 19. Problem statement - INDIA • India has the dubious distinction of being the highest TB burden country in the world • Accounts for 20% of global and 66% of SEAR burden. • 2 out of 5 Indians are infected. • 50,000 people develop the disease everyday.
  • 20.
  • 21. Every year in India, • 1 diseased Indian infects 10-15 persons. • 1.8 millions develop TB. • 0.8 million new smear positive highly infectious cases. • 3.2 lakh deaths. • Annual risk of infection is 1.5%
  • 22. TB Estimates of India (2008) • Global rank : 1 • Incidence : 170 (All cases per lakh population) • Incidence : 75 (new smear +ve cases/lakh pop/year) • Prevalence : 185 (all cases per lakh population) • Mortality : 24 (per lakh population per year)
  • 23. TB Estimates of India (2008) contd • New TB cases HIV +ve : 5% • New cases MDR : 2% • Previously treated MDR : 12-17% • Case detection rate : 67% • Treatment success rate : 87%
  • 24. WHO estimates and GoI estimates
  • 26. Prevalence of infection • Percentage of Individuals who show a positive reaction to standard tuberculin test. • Age specific prevalence is a far more superior indicator than mere total +ve reactors. • It represents a cumulative experience of a population to recent and remote infection. • Limitations – Complicated interpretation – Cross sensitivity
  • 27. Incidence of Infection • Also known as Annual Rate of Infection and tuberculin conversion index. • It is the percentage of population newly infected by M.tuberculosis among non- infected of the previous survey during the course of 1 year. • Presents the annual risk of being infected with M.tb in a course of 1 year or the attacking force of TB in the community.
  • 28. Contd.. • An ARI of 1% is said to correspond to 50 new cases per year per lakh population. • One of the best indicators of the TB burden and its trend. • Higher the rate, greater the problem. • It was 1.5% in 2008.
  • 29. Prevalence of the DISEASE • Also called as case rate. • It is the percentage of individuals whose sputum is positive for TB bacilli on microscopic examination. • Best available practical index to estimate the case load in the community. • Age-specific prevalence is more relavent index.
  • 30. Incidence of new cases • It is the percentage of new bacteriologically TB cases per 1000 population occurring during 1 year. • Is used to know the trend of the problem and for impact of control measures. • Extremely difficult to measure. • Can be done in countries where notification is reliable and where proportion of new cases is high
  • 31. Mortality rate • Number of deaths occurring in an year per 1000 population. • In the past it was used as an index for TB problem in the community. • After introduction of chemotherapy and BCG, this has lost its importance as an index.
  • 32. Case Detection Rate: • Number of notified new and relapse cases in an year divided by estimated incidence of such cases. Prevalence of drug resistance cases: • Prevalence of patients with ATT drug resistant tuberculosis bacilli. • Directly related to Chemotherapy
  • 33. India’s TB profile – 2011 (Global tuberculosis control: WHO report 2011)
  • 40. References and further reading • Park’s textbook of Preventive and Social Medicine, K.Park, 21/e, 2011 , Bhanot publications • WHO (2010), Weekly Epidemiological Record, No.12, 19-03-2010 • WHO (2010), Weekly Epidemiological Record, No.9, 26-02-2010 • WHO (2010), Tuberculosis Control in SEAR, Regional Report, 2010 • TB INDIA 2011 Revised National TB Control Programme: Annual Status Report • Global tuberculosis control: WHO report 2011. • Tuberculosis, Surendra K Sharma, 2/e, 2009, Jaypee Publications • Textbook of Community Medicine, Brig. Rajvir Singh et al, 2/e, 2009, AFMC Pune. • National Health Programs of India, Jugal Kishore, 10/e, 2012, Century Publications • www.who.int/tb