The document discusses a solar resource lab where students learn to:
1. Forecast seasonal and daily solar insolation levels using clear-sky models and validate with measurements.
2. Estimate errors in their models by comparing to pyrheliometer and pyranometer readings.
3. Identify sources of error and derive optimal parameter estimates to improve their models.
1. Solar Resource Lab
Learning Goal
• Students will be able to understand sources of
variation in insolation, construct insolation
forecasting models, validate these models with solar
radiation measurements, and gain an appreciation
for solar forecasting as an intriguing challenge for the
design of renewable energy systems.
Learning Outcome
• Forecast seasonal and daily variation in insolation on
a collector surface using clear-sky insolation theory.
• Estimate model error using pyrheliometer and
pyranometer measurements.
• Propose plausible sources of error in model and
derive optimal parameter estimates.
• Predict the quantity and timing of insolation losses
due to obstructions using site maps and sun-path
diagrams.
2. P1) The component of insolation that
has the most insolation during clear-
sky conditions is
1. Diffuse
2. Direct-beam
3. Reflected
3. P2) Solar altitude angle is
1. The angle between the incoming direct sunlight and
a plane normal to the earth’s surface.
2. The angle between the incoming direct sunlight and
the equator.
3. The angle between due south and the location of an
obstruction to a solar collector.
4. P3) Applying clear-sky insolation
theory during cloudy conditions
1. may underestimate optical depth and result in an
overestimate of direct insolation.
2. may underestimate the sky diffuse factor and result
in an underestimate of diffuse insolation.
3. may overestimate the air mass ratio and result in
an underestimate of direct insolation.
4. Both 1 and 2.
5. P4) The pyrheliometer measurements (blue line)
represent what component(s) of insolation ?
1. Direct
2. Diffuse
3. Direct + Diffuse + Reflected
14. Tools and Data
• Clear-sky insolation theory (Masters, 2004)
• Google maps : 37.414319,-122.0579 Lat / Lon
http://maps.google.com/?ie=UTF8&ll=37.414319,-122.057944&spn=0.000392,0.000603&t=h&z=21
• Sun path diagram (Appendix B)
• UCSC Tracker
– Online tracker controller (Use from my computer)
– Archived daily insolation (10/15/10, 10/17/10)
15. 1. Compare the archived insolation data on 10/15/2010 with your
prediction based on clear-sky insolation calculations. Complete the
table below (each team pick a different time) and discuss the
differences.
2. Discuss which parameters could be adjusted to improve the fit of the
model. Adjust these parameters in your model for solar noon to
improve fit to the data and report the optimal adjustment.
3. Compare the observations and calculations from #1 with expected
values based on insolation data in the appendix of Masters (2004).
Quantity Symbol
Day Number n
Latitude, deg. L
Collector azimuth, deg φc
Collector tilt Σ
Solar time, 24 hr ST
Hour angle H
Declination,deg δ
Altitude angle β
Solar azimuth φs
Air mass ratio m
Appar.ET fluxW/m2 A
Optical depth k
Beam radiation, W/m2 IB
Incidence angle cos(θ)
Beam on collector, W/m2 IBC
Sky diffuse factor C
Diffuse rad on collector, W/m2 IDC
Adding Reflected
Reflectance ρ
Reflec. Rad on collector W/m2 IRC
Total I (IBC+IDC+IRC) W/m2 IC
16. 4. Use Google maps and a sun-path diagram to estimate the timing of
obstructions in the afternoon.
5. Does your sun-path diagram analysis agree with the measured data?
6. What percent of the potentially collected energy is lost during January,
June and October in the afternoon?
17. 1. Compare the archived insolation data on 10/15/2010 with what insolation
values you would predict from calculations by completing the following
table.
18. Measured vs. Predicted
• Total insolation is similar between measurements and predictions
• However the model does a poor job of predicting the partitioning to direct and
diffuse insolation
0
200
400
600
800
1000
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Appendix
Simulated Direct
Simulated Total
Class - Total
Class - Direct
19. 2. Comment on the reason for the difference and on what parameter
adjustments might be required to obtain a better match.
1. Larger optical depth (k) to get less direct.
2. Larger sky diffuse factor (C) to get more diffuse
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Measured Model (k = 0.171, C = 0.092) Model (k = 0.45, C = 0.75)
Insolation(W/m^2)
Total
Direct
Diffuse
20. 3. Compare the observations and calculations from #1 with expected values
based on Appendix of your text book. 996 kW/m2 (Appendix C: Hourly
clear-sky Insolation Tables).
0
200
400
600
800
1000
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Appendix
Simulated Direct
Simulated Total
21. 4. Use Google maps and a sun-path diagram to estimate the timing of
obstructions in the afternoon.
Azimuth of obstruction (φ): Altitude angle of obstruction (β):
φ = -tan-1(Y/X) = -58°
φX
Y
Z
Height (H) roughly 9 meters
β = tan-1(H/Z) = 72°
22. 4. Use Google maps and a sun-path diagram to estimate the timing of
obstructions in the afternoon.
5. Does your sun-path diagram analysis agree with the measured data?
23. 6. What percent of the potentially collected energy is lost during October
and June due to obstructions in the afternoon?
October: 10% loss in daily energy due to afternoon obstructions
June: 45% loss in daily energy due to afternoon obstructions
24. The component of insolation that has
the most insolation during clear-sky
conditions is
1. Diffuse
2. Direct-beam
3. Reflected
25. Solar altitude angle is
1. The angle between the incoming direct sunlight and
a plane normal to the earth’s surface.
2. The angle between the incoming direct sunlight and
the equator.
3. The angle between due south and the location of an
obstruction to a solar collector.
26. Applying clear-sky insolation theory
during cloudy conditions
1. may underestimate optical depth and result in an
overestimate of direct insolation.
2. may underestimate the sky diffuse factor and result
in an underestimate of diffuse insolation.
3. may overestimate the air mass ratio and result in
an underestimate of direct insolation.
4. Both 1 and 2.
27. The pyrheliometer measurements (blue line)
represent what component(s) of insolation ?
1. Direct
2. Diffuse
3. Direct + Diffuse + Reflected
Remind students of motivation. Urgently need to develop models for forecasting solar insolation as a critical component of designing renewable energy systems. Forecasting models are required at multiple temporal scales (second, hours, days, years, decades) to design and operate renewable energy systems. While this class focuses on clear-sky insolation theory we have also discussed more complex models that are being developed at the frontiers of sustainable energy research.
Julie Shattuck is conducting assessment
Total insolation stays constant but the fraction of diffuse and of direct are highly variable
Note different scales on y-axis
Real-time data*Image: what does the sky look like? A little cloudy.*Azimuth (φS)is 153… but civil time is 10:33. Does this seem correct? *ask them def of solar azimuth *but in REEPS it is defined as degrees away from due south with degrees in east direction as positive and degrees in west direction as negative *so based on REEPS def what would you expect the solar azimuth to be at 10:33 in mountain view, California… 20 degrees … this doesn’t agree with 153. *reason is that alternative definition is angle from due north in clockwise direction. *If the north/clockwise definition is used for 153 then what angle would that be with our south definition? 153-180 = -27; UCSC-180 = REEPS*Altitude: altitude angle (β). *Currently is two-axis tracker but can adjust the orientation by enter new values in the boxes.*PSP: Pyranometer measurements in W/m^2 . Psp stands for precision spectral pyranometer. Thermopile sensor. What does this measure? Total radiation on the collector surface (direct + diffuse + reflected)*NIP: Pyrheliometer in W/m^2. NIP stands for Normal Incidence Pyrheliometer. Thermopile sensor. What does it measure? Direct sunlight. *IV Curve is something we cover in the next section of course.
Make a table on the board that has: solar time, collector azimuth, collector title, altitude angle, solar azimuth, air mass ratio, direct normal, direct collector, diffuse collectorWhen walking around the room have the students check their calculator with the sample data provided in 7.15 which is one of their HW questionsWrite students results on this plot
Small between calculations and appendix due to slightly different latitude and date from appendix.
Check the beta calc… in class we found tree is 48 ft and z = 43 ft and beta of 48 deg
Should agree… we see obstruction around 3:30 until sunset in sun path and 3pm in measurements. If we had used the edge of the tree instead of the center of the tree then probably would have much closer agreement.Draw the box on the sun-path diagram
Discuss the 30min gap between blockage of diffuse and blockage of total.