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The whole is greater than the
sum of its parts.
There's a word in Spanish
Italian and German
In sign language, morse code,
semaphore and gibberish . . .
Elvis Costello
If you want to go fast, go alone.
If you want to go far, go together.
Integrated Design Process
Architect
MEP
Structural
Civil
Landscape
G.C.
Subs
Officials
The 10 Decathlon Contests
1. Architecture 200 pts
2. Engineering 150 pts
3. Market Viability 150 pts
4. Communications 100 pts
5. Comfort Zone 100 pts
6. Appliances 100 pts
7. Hot Water 100 pts
8. Lighting 100 pts
9. Energy Balance 100 pts
10. Getting Around 100 pts
Client
BuilderDesign Lead
Struct. Eng.
Waste Sp.
Structural Sub.
Energy Modeler
Planner
Landscape Arch.
Mech Sub.
Habitat Sp.
M.E.P. Eng.
Civil Sub.
Millwork
Finish Subs.
Electrical Sub.
Commissioning Agent
And so on . . .
Composite Master Builder
Change begins with information.
Anita Roddick
You never change things by
fighting the existing reality. To
change something, build a new
reality that makes the existing
reality obsolete.
R. Buckminster Fuller
Boston, MA
Pop. 589,181
Boston, MA 3-meter sea level rise
Pop. 589,181
Source: Architecture 2030 and Google
Fossil Fuel Resources & CO2 Emissions
Source: Adapted from J. Hansen et al.: Dangerous Human-made Interference with Climate, 2007
20%
all buildings over 7 years
10 days
30 days
$500,000,000
300,000
Maryland Statistics
 34 MM tons CO2 emissions
 95% national average of
lbs/MWh generated
 40 states have lower
average retail price for
residential customers on a
cents/kWh basis
 39 states have lower retail
price across all sectors
(residential, commercial,
industrial)
61%
6%
2%
1%
30%
0%
0%
Coal Oil Gas Biomass
Nuclear Wind Solar
Maryland Generation
Resource Mix
Source: Leonardo-energy.org
Source: nwcommunityenergy.org
Source: Architecture 2030.org
Sokolow and Pacala, Carbon Mitigation Initiative
at Princeton University
http://www.princeton.edu/~cmi/resources/CMI_Re
sources_new_files/CMI_Stab_Wedges_Movie.swf
Energy Efficiency &
Conservation (4)
CO2 Capture
& Storage (3)
Stabilization
Triangle
Renewable Fuels
& Electricity (4)
Forest and Soil
Storage (2)
Fuel Switching
(1)
15 Wedge Strategies in 4 Categories
2007 2057
8 GtC/y
16 GtC/y
Triangle
Stabilization
Nuclear Fission (1)
Double the fuel efficiency of the
world’s cars or halve miles traveled Produce today’s electric capacity
with double today’s efficiency
Use best efficiency practices
in all residential and
commercial buildings
Replacing all the world’s
incandescent bulbs with CFL’s
would provide 1/4 of one wedge
There are about
600 million cars
today, with 2
billion projected
for 2055
Average coal plant efficiency is
32% today
Photos courtesy of Ford Motor Co., DOE, EPA
Efficiency
Install 1 million 2 MW
windmills to replace coal-
based electricity,
OR
Use 2 million windmills to
produce hydrogen fuel
Photo courtesy of DOE A wedge worth of wind electricity will
require increasing current capacity by
a factor of 30
Wind Electricity
Photos courtesy of DOE Photovoltaics Program
Install 20,000 square kilometers
for dedicated use by 2054
A wedge of solar electricity would mean
increasing current capacity 700 times
Solar Electricity
Source: Architecture 2030.org
Area
Lighting
16.4%
Task
Lighting
3.0%
Plug Loads
15.2%
Pumps
11.3%
Fans
8.7%
Gas Heat
15.8%
Gas DHW
0.2%
Tower
1.2%
DX Cooling
28.4%
ASHRAE 90.1-1999 Model
Total Cost: $131,902/yr
Normalized Cost: $1.889/sf/yr
Gas Heat
9.9%
Plug Loads
16.3%
Task
Lighting
3.2%
Area
Lighting
15.2%
DX Cooling
20.5%
Savings
21.9%
Gas DHW
0.2%
Pumps
7.1%Fans
5.4%
Tower
0.3%
As-Designed Model
Total Cost: $102,988/yr
Normalized Cost: $1.475/sf/yr
Sustainable Development
To be sustained
 Nature: earth,
biodiversity,
ecosystems
 Life support:
ecosystem services,
resources,
environment
 Community: cultures,
groups, places
To be developed
 People: child survival,
life expectancy,
education, equity,
equal opportunity
 Economy: wealth,
productive sectors,
consumption
 Society: institutions,
social capital, states,
regions
T.E.Graedel, 2002
EconomyEconomy
Attract capital
Increase tax base
Create jobs
BiosphereBiosphere
Natural Capital:
Clean air, clean water,
soil, pollination
SocietySociety
Health
Culture & history
Social equity
The Three P’s: Planet,
Prosperity, People
Capacity of Living Systems
Margin for Action
Population and demand
Hitting the Wall of the Funnel
?• Habitat disruption
• Endangered species
• Human health risks
• Resource shortages
• Social disruption
• Government regulations
• Higher prices
• Climate change
RestorationNon-sustainable
activities
Effects:
Nature’s Operating System
From William McDonough and Paul Hawken
Waste = food
eliminate the concept of waste
Use current solar income
green plants can do it, we can
too
Respect diversity
value nature’s services – live off
interest, not capital
Gabrielli Design Studio, LLC
We have exactly enough time. . .
starting now.
Donella Meadows

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Solar competition, positive change, and energy efficiency

  • 1. The whole is greater than the sum of its parts.
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. There's a word in Spanish Italian and German In sign language, morse code, semaphore and gibberish . . . Elvis Costello
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. If you want to go fast, go alone. If you want to go far, go together.
  • 11.
  • 12. The 10 Decathlon Contests 1. Architecture 200 pts 2. Engineering 150 pts 3. Market Viability 150 pts 4. Communications 100 pts 5. Comfort Zone 100 pts 6. Appliances 100 pts 7. Hot Water 100 pts 8. Lighting 100 pts 9. Energy Balance 100 pts 10. Getting Around 100 pts
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Client BuilderDesign Lead Struct. Eng. Waste Sp. Structural Sub. Energy Modeler Planner Landscape Arch. Mech Sub. Habitat Sp. M.E.P. Eng. Civil Sub. Millwork Finish Subs. Electrical Sub. Commissioning Agent And so on . . . Composite Master Builder
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33. Change begins with information. Anita Roddick
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new reality that makes the existing reality obsolete. R. Buckminster Fuller
  • 40. Boston, MA Pop. 589,181 Boston, MA 3-meter sea level rise Pop. 589,181 Source: Architecture 2030 and Google
  • 41. Fossil Fuel Resources & CO2 Emissions Source: Adapted from J. Hansen et al.: Dangerous Human-made Interference with Climate, 2007
  • 42. 20% all buildings over 7 years 10 days 30 days $500,000,000 300,000
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. Maryland Statistics  34 MM tons CO2 emissions  95% national average of lbs/MWh generated  40 states have lower average retail price for residential customers on a cents/kWh basis  39 states have lower retail price across all sectors (residential, commercial, industrial) 61% 6% 2% 1% 30% 0% 0% Coal Oil Gas Biomass Nuclear Wind Solar Maryland Generation Resource Mix
  • 49.
  • 50. Sokolow and Pacala, Carbon Mitigation Initiative at Princeton University
  • 52. Energy Efficiency & Conservation (4) CO2 Capture & Storage (3) Stabilization Triangle Renewable Fuels & Electricity (4) Forest and Soil Storage (2) Fuel Switching (1) 15 Wedge Strategies in 4 Categories 2007 2057 8 GtC/y 16 GtC/y Triangle Stabilization Nuclear Fission (1)
  • 53. Double the fuel efficiency of the world’s cars or halve miles traveled Produce today’s electric capacity with double today’s efficiency Use best efficiency practices in all residential and commercial buildings Replacing all the world’s incandescent bulbs with CFL’s would provide 1/4 of one wedge There are about 600 million cars today, with 2 billion projected for 2055 Average coal plant efficiency is 32% today Photos courtesy of Ford Motor Co., DOE, EPA Efficiency
  • 54. Install 1 million 2 MW windmills to replace coal- based electricity, OR Use 2 million windmills to produce hydrogen fuel Photo courtesy of DOE A wedge worth of wind electricity will require increasing current capacity by a factor of 30 Wind Electricity
  • 55. Photos courtesy of DOE Photovoltaics Program Install 20,000 square kilometers for dedicated use by 2054 A wedge of solar electricity would mean increasing current capacity 700 times Solar Electricity
  • 57.
  • 58. Area Lighting 16.4% Task Lighting 3.0% Plug Loads 15.2% Pumps 11.3% Fans 8.7% Gas Heat 15.8% Gas DHW 0.2% Tower 1.2% DX Cooling 28.4% ASHRAE 90.1-1999 Model Total Cost: $131,902/yr Normalized Cost: $1.889/sf/yr Gas Heat 9.9% Plug Loads 16.3% Task Lighting 3.2% Area Lighting 15.2% DX Cooling 20.5% Savings 21.9% Gas DHW 0.2% Pumps 7.1%Fans 5.4% Tower 0.3% As-Designed Model Total Cost: $102,988/yr Normalized Cost: $1.475/sf/yr
  • 59.
  • 60. Sustainable Development To be sustained  Nature: earth, biodiversity, ecosystems  Life support: ecosystem services, resources, environment  Community: cultures, groups, places To be developed  People: child survival, life expectancy, education, equity, equal opportunity  Economy: wealth, productive sectors, consumption  Society: institutions, social capital, states, regions T.E.Graedel, 2002
  • 61. EconomyEconomy Attract capital Increase tax base Create jobs BiosphereBiosphere Natural Capital: Clean air, clean water, soil, pollination SocietySociety Health Culture & history Social equity The Three P’s: Planet, Prosperity, People
  • 62.
  • 63. Capacity of Living Systems Margin for Action Population and demand Hitting the Wall of the Funnel ?• Habitat disruption • Endangered species • Human health risks • Resource shortages • Social disruption • Government regulations • Higher prices • Climate change RestorationNon-sustainable activities Effects:
  • 64. Nature’s Operating System From William McDonough and Paul Hawken Waste = food eliminate the concept of waste Use current solar income green plants can do it, we can too Respect diversity value nature’s services – live off interest, not capital Gabrielli Design Studio, LLC
  • 65. We have exactly enough time. . . starting now. Donella Meadows

Editor's Notes

  1. <number>
  2. Notice some name changes Elements of Refrigeration, Hot Water, and Home Business combined into Appliances Contest New Dwelling Contest (to be discussed on Contest 2: Dwelling slide)
  3. Avoiding reciprocal ignorance
  4. Home Depot is funding the planting of 300,000 trees in cities across the US to help absorb carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions... The CO2 emissions from only one medium-sized (500 MW) coal-fired power plant, in just 10 days of operation, will negate this entire effort. Wal-Mart is investing a half billion dollars to reduce the energy consumption and CO2 emissions of their existing buildings by 20% over the next seven years. If every Wal-Mart Supercenter met this target… The CO2 emissions from only one medium-sized coal-fired power plant, in just one month of operation each year, would negate this entire effort. NY, ME, VT, NH, MA, CT, RI, PA, NJ, DE, MD The Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) is a cooperative effort by 11 Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic states to reduce their CO2 emissions to 1990 levels by 2014... The CO2 emissions from just 13 medium-sized coal-fired power plants each year will negate this entire effort.
  5. Home Depot is funding the planting of 300,000 trees in cities across the US to help absorb carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions... The CO2 emissions from only one medium-sized (500 MW) coal-fired power plant, in just 10 days of operation, will negate this entire effort. Wal-Mart is investing a half billion dollars to reduce the energy consumption and CO2 emissions of their existing buildings by 20% over the next seven years. If every Wal-Mart Supercenter met this target… The CO2 emissions from only one medium-sized coal-fired power plant, in just one month of operation each year, would negate this entire effort. NY, ME, VT, NH, MA, CT, RI, PA, NJ, DE, MD The Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) is a cooperative effort by 11 Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic states to reduce their CO2 emissions to 1990 levels by 2014... The CO2 emissions from just 13 medium-sized coal-fired power plants each year will negate this entire effort.
  6. America's proposed "Bold Energy Plan" would supply a meager three percent of the 118 QBtu of energy that the Energy Information Administration projects America will consume in 2030. The 2030 Blueprint, a three-pronged solution centered on building energy efficiency, homeowner choices and renewable energy, would supply as much as 37% of America's total energy consumption, replace 100% of its fossil-fuel-generated electricity and reduce its imported oil by as much as 89%.
  7. America's proposed "Bold Energy Plan" would supply a meager three percent of the 118 QBtu of energy that the Energy Information Administration projects America will consume in 2030. The 2030 Blueprint, a three-pronged solution centered on building energy efficiency, homeowner choices and renewable energy, would supply as much as 37% of America's total energy consumption, replace 100% of its fossil-fuel-generated electricity and reduce its imported oil by as much as 89%.
  8. Source: Economist magazine, June 2, 2007 Special Report on Business and Climate Change; page 9. (Vattenfall, a Swedish power utility, produced the chart.) The measures below the horizontal line have a negative abatement cost – in other words, by carrying them out, people and companies could both cut emissions and save money. At a macroeconomic level they would boost, rather than reduce, economic growth. Why isn’t more policy geared towards these sure winners? Possible explanations: the savings are too small; the numbers of people involved to carry them out are too large; developers would have to pay higher capital costs up front, but are not paying for the electricity in the long run; people buy houses for the view not for the insulation.
  9. <number>
  10. <number> “E,T, H” = can be applied to electric, transport, or heating sectors, $=rough indication of cost (on a scale of $ to $$$)
  11. <number> “E,T, H” = can be applied to electric, transport, or heating sectors, $-$$=rough indication of cost (on a scale of $ to $$$)
  12. <number> “E” = can be applied to electric sector, $$$=rough indication of cost (on a scale of $ to $$$)
  13. Source: Economist magazine, June 2, 2007 Special Report on Business and Climate Change; page 9. (Vattenfall, a Swedish power utility, produced the chart.) The measures below the horizontal line have a negative abatement cost – in other words, by carrying them out, people and companies could both cut emissions and save money. At a macroeconomic level they would boost, rather than reduce, economic growth. Why isn’t more policy geared towards these sure winners? Possible explanations: the savings are too small; the numbers of people involved to carry them out are too large; developers would have to pay higher capital costs up front, but are not paying for the electricity in the long run; people buy houses for the view not for the insulation.
  14. <number>
  15. Natural capital, in other words, ecosystem services upon which all life on earth depends. Our human economies depend on these services. Human enterprise has tended to see nature as a source of raw materials to be exploited. This has the effect of spending our capital, instead of living off the interest. Any investment advisor would tell you this is not smart. The three priorities must be balanced – no one is more important than the other
  16. <number> Earth Overshoot Day
  17. What does this mean to a business or community? * We are now seeing a decline in living systems: soil, fisheries, forests. * This means resources and ecosystem services on which our businesses and communities depend are diminishing. * At same time demands on biosphere are increasing. * Population may double in next 50-60 years from 5.8B to 12B. * Third world countries aspire to consumption level we have. * Technology is making us more labor efficient but increasing our use of natural resources and energy. * Margin for action is narrowing.