These slides use concepts from my (Jeff Funk) course entitled analyzing hi-tech opportunities to analyze the increasing economic feasibility of smart homes. Rapid improvements in sensors, integrated circuits, transceivers, displays, mobile phones, and wireless networks are causing the cost to fall and the performance to rise for smart home-related features. It is becoming increasingly inexpensive and easy to control a wide number of appliances with mobile phones and to embed intelligence in many of these appliances. Smart homes will have higher energy efficiencies, better safety, more convenience, and better security than existing homes as the improvements in various technologies make them economically feasible.
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Smart Homes: becoming a reality
1. SMART HOMES
The “Internet of Things”
A presentation for MT5009, Analyzing Hi-
technology opportunities, by
Henrik Nilsson, Aleksander Gora, Low Kang Nien
Ravi Raman, Abbin P Joy
For information on other technologies, please see Jeff Funk’s slide share account
(http://www.slideshare.net/Funk98/presentations) or his book with Chris Magee:
Exponential Change: What drives it? What does it tell us about the future?
http://www.amazon.com/Exponential-Change-drives-about-future-
ebook/dp/B00HPSAYEM/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1398325920&sr=8-
1&keywords=exponential+change
2. Outline
• Introduction
What is a “Smart Home” and why do we want them?
• Smart Devices
What features do they offer?
What are the underlying technologies?
Improvements in performance and cost
Diffusion of Smart Devices and their features
• The Future
“Do It Yourself” and Open Source
Healthcare
Energy efficiency
• Conclusions
2
3. What is a “Smart Home”?
“A home equipped with lighting,
heating, and electronic devices
that can be controlled remotely
by smartphone or computer.”
– Oxford dictionaries (2014)
"A dwelling incorporating a
communications network that
connects the key electrical
appliances and services, and
allows them to be remotely
controlled, monitored or
accessed.”
– UK Department of Trade and Industry (2003)
4. What is a “Smart Home”?
• An intelligent network capable
of connecting and controlling
various appliances throughout
your home.
• Can be controlled and
monitored remotely (e.g. with
your smartphone)
• Uses sensors to detect
movements and changes in the
physical state of your home.
• Utilize the “Internet of things”
5. Why do we want Smart Homes?
• Improve energy efficiency
Automatic lighting based on presence
Automatically regulated thermostats based on daily routine
• Improved accessibility and controllability
Voice, gesture and motion controlled lights, TVs, etc.
• Improved convenience
Automatically or remotely controlled thermostats, lights, multimedia
systems and other electrical appliances
• Enhanced security
Intelligent and programmable looking systems
• Increased resale value
“Smart Devices” add extra value to homes, which can be sold at a much
higher price that far exceeds the cost of the “Smart Devices”
5
6. What makes a “Smart Device”
smart?
• Generally includes…
Transceivers
• Allows for the device to communicate wirelessly
Sensors
• Can sense changes in the physical state of its surrounding
Motors and other actuators
• Can change the state of its surrounding
Communication Interfaces
• Touch screens, Voice command, Gesture control
• Requires enabling technologies such as…
ICs, telecommunications, MEMS and other sensor technologies
7. Smart Windows
What is a “Smart Window”?
• Control the flow of light through the window
Can replace traditional blinds and curtains
• Programmed to auto-tint based on temperature
• Automatically open/close on command
• Remotely controlled (e.g. with your smartphone)
• Saves energy by lessen the need for heating/cooling
Drivers of improvement
• New materials and processes
Glass panel vs. plastic sheet
Plastic sheets have less than half the price of electrochromic glass
• New processes
Electrochromic layer (e.g. tungsten oxide) between conducting oxide
Layer of conductive liquid-crystal polymer between layers of PET plastic
• MEMS and sensor technology, telecommunication
8. What is “Smart Lighting”?
• Amount of light emitted to be controlled
• Automatically regulates the amount of light emitted
Sensors for natural daylight, movements and presence
Programmed based on daily routine
Light up specific parts of a room individually
• Remotely controlled (e.g. with your smartphone)
• Uses up to 80% less energy than a traditional light bulb
• Can change color (through LEDs with different colors)
Drivers of improvements
• New materials for LEDs
• MEMS and sensor technology, telecommunication
Smart Lighting
9. Smart Thermostat
What is a “Smart Thermostat”?
• Automatic regulation of your AC system
• Self-programmable, i.e. “learns” form its surrounding
Using sensors for temperature, humidity, far/near-field activity
Auto schedule and tweak temperatures to fit your daily routine
• Remotely controlled (e.g. with your smartphone)
• Lower energy consumption by up to 20 %
Drivers of improvements
• MEMS and sensor technology
• Telecommunication
• ICs and Artificial intelligence
10. What is a “Smart Refrigerator”?
• Allows for more efficient food management
• Monitoring inventory and expiry dates
RFID to keep track of food
Scan grocery receipts or item barcodes
Image and voice recognition
LCD panel for information display and interaction
• Remotely monitored and controlled (e.g. with your smartphone)
• Recipe suggestion and communications to other cooking devices (LG)
Drivers of improvements
• MEMS and sensor technology, telecommunication
• ICs, RFID technology and human-computer interfaces (HCI)
Smart Refrigerators
11. Smart Bed
What is a “Smart Bed”?
• Can measure average breathing and heart rate and
movements
Create and present (e.g. in your smartphone) a sleeping profile
• Adjust firmness and elevation of any part of the bed
Change the shape of the bed to prevent snoring
Can be programmed with several profiles
• Remotely controlled
Using remote control, smartphone, voice commands
• Perform massage
• Advice on optimum firmness levels and how to improve
sleeping patterns
Drivers of improvements
• MEMS and sensor technology, telecommunication
• ICs, Artificial intelligence and HCI
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2535859/Solving-insomnia-21st-century-5-000-smart-bed-monitors-movement-breathing-heart-rate-perfect-nights-sleep.html#ixzz2yUrfTtDe
12. Smart TV
What is a “Smart TV”?
• More advanced computing ability and connectivity
• Allows your TV to act as a computer
Browse websites
Use internet-based services (VOD, VOIP, social networking etc.)
Interact with other multimedia devices
• Remotely controlled (e.g. with your smartphone)
• Can support voice, motion and face recognition
Drivers of improvements
• MEMS and sensor technology, telecommunication
• ICs, HCI and operating systems
13. Smart Lock
What is a “Smart Lock”?
• Remotely controlled and monitored (e.g. with your smartphone)
• Can be programmed to allow access to outsiders during a certain times
• Connected to and control other Smart Devices (e.g. Smart Lights)
• Sense if someone is knocking on the door and alerts residents
• Take and send photos of what is in front of the door
• Monitor lock/unlock activity
• LED indication of lock status
Drivers of improvements
• MEMS and sensor technology
• Telecommunication
14. Smart Household Appliances
What are “Smart Household Appliances”?
• “Smart Cookware” includes appliances such as…
Ovens
Coffee/tea makers
Vacuum cleaners
Washing machines
• Can be programmed to start automatically
• Remotely controlled and monitored (e.g. with your smartphone)
• Alert the user when the program is finished
Food/drink is ready
Cleaning/washing program is finished
Drivers of improvements
• MEMS and sensor technology, telecommunication
15. Improvements in cost across all
Smart Devices
• Scaling
Increased demand
• Two estimates that both represents a CAGR of about 17 %
– $17 billion (2013) to $52 billion (2020)
– $33 billion (2013) to $71 billion (2018)
• Leads to larger production volume
Lower production costs
• Improvements in enabling technologies such as…
ICs, MEMS and sensor technologies
Telecommunication
Artificial intelligence and HCI
…which all experience very rapid rates of improvements
16. Improvements in cost of
Smart Devices
Smart Device 2014 2018 2022 Comment
Smart Window 2900 2552 2230 ~ 20 % reduction in 4 years
Smart Lighting (10 units) 400 200 100 ~ 50 % reduction in 4 years
Smart Thermostat 250 122 60 ~ 50 % reduction in 4 years
Smart Refrigerator 3500 2730 2130 ~ 20 % reduction in 4 years
Smart Bed 8000 4000 2000 ~ 50 % reduction in 4 years
Smart TV 550 275 138 ~ 50 % reduction in 4 years
Smart Lock 200 100 50 ~ 50 % reduction in 4 years
Smart Oven 1300 1040 832 ~ 20 % reduction in 4 years
Smart Coffee/Tea Maker 160 128 103 ~ 20 % reduction in 4 years
Smart Vacuum Cleaner 1100 610 353 ~ 50 % reduction in 4 years
Smart Washing Machines 1800 900 450 ~ 50 % reduction in 4 years
Total 20160 12657 8446 ~ 35 % reduction in 4 years
17. How does a “Smart” Device add
value to your home/life?
• Simplicity
Is it easy and intuitive to use?
• Convenience
Does it significantly enhance your everyday life?
• Efficiency and reliability
Can you trust it enough to fully take care of certain tasks?
• Customizability
Can it be customized to your specific needs?
• Sustainability
Does it provide long-term value or will it quickly become obsolete?
18. Why some products will diffuse
faster than others?
• The added value can come from…
Hardware, e.g. processors, sensors, displays
Software, e.g. artificial intelligence
Or a combination of hardware and software
• If the Smart Device…
Requires little effort to attain the benefits from the “Smart” features
• Need of human interaction
Assist you in “essential” everyday tasks or provides additional value
• …it will provide greater added value
Requires high levels of automation and advanced software
19. Which Smart Devices are most
likely to diffuse first?
Smart Device
Need of human
interaction?
Value adding or
“essential” task
Improvements
in cost
Smart Window Low Value adding Moderate
Smart Lighting (10 units) Low “essential” High
Smart Thermostat Low “essential” High
Smart Refrigerator High Value adding Moderate
Smart Bed Low Value adding High
Smart TV High Value adding High
Smart Lock Medium “essential” High
Smart Oven Medium Value adding Moderate
Smart Coffee/Tea Maker Medium Value adding Moderate
Smart Vacuum Cleaner Low “essential” High
Smart Washing Machines Medium Value adding High
20. The future of Smart TVs and
computers
• As smart TVs are becoming more powerful and add
greater freedom to what they can do, the gap
between computers and the Smart TVs is reduced
• It is likely that in the future there will be no distinction
between TVs and computers
• Our homes will be filled with these displays that are
all interconnected and can view and do anything you
want it to do
21. Features most likely to diffuse
first across all Smart Devices
1. Remotely monitored and controlled
The Smart Devices can be monitored and controlled from anywhere for your
convenience
• All Smart Devices
2. Energy efficiency and power saving features
Smart Devices will, over time, use less energy than its related “non-smart” devices
Reduce the overall energy consumption of you home
• E.g. Smart Windows, Thermostats, Lighting
3. Automation
The Smart Devices completely and automatically take care of some tasks for you
• E.g. Smart Windows, Thermostats, Lighting, Vacuum Cleaner
4. Status updates
Log and send information about it status to the user
• E.g. Smart Beds, Locks, Household Appliances
22. Market Trend for Smart Devices
• Many smaller startups emerge
Using open-source and sharing communities
Require more extensive assembly and/or
programming/software installation
More customizable systems and freedom
• Appealing to tech-savvy hobbyists
“Do it yourself” mentality (DIY)
Build and set up your own customized Smart Home
Causes even more systems to emerge
23. DIY and Open Source:
Raspberry Pi
• Credit card sized single-board computer
Initial intention to promote teaching of basic computer
science in schools
• Can be used as a controller
for Smart Devices
Wirelessly connect with
• Sensors
• Motors
• Servers
• Etc.
24. DIY and Open Source:
Wunderbar
• Bundle including a central controller and six sensors
WiFi and Bluetooth connections
Can easily be programmed to do anything you want
Add additional sensors
• Light, proximity, humidity, temperature,
accelerometer, gyroscope, infrared transmitter
www.youtube.com/watch?v=mmLY7sOssg0
25. DIY and Open Source:
Arduino
• Single-board computer (preassembled or disaggregated)
Can be connected with a wide variety of sensors, motor and
other actuators to sense and control the environment
Control lights, screens and basically anything that you plug into
a wall socket
Hundreds of clone and innovation freely available to download
26. DIY and Open Source:
Sensors
Temperature
Gyroscopes
Hall sensors
Termistors
Tilt sensors
Touch sensors
Joysticks
Displays
Static color
identification
sensors
Heart rate sensors,
Buzzers,
Vibrating sensors
Gas sensors
Ethanol sensors
Photosensitive
sensors
Ultrasound sensors
Soil moisture
sensors
Leds modules
• There is a wide array of sensors available for
these Open Source systems
• Increased freedom to customize your own
Smart Home
Possibility to create devices and features not
currently offered in existing solutions
27. Markets where Smart Devices
will have great impact on society
• Energy efficiency
We are becoming increasingly aware about our energy
consumption
Smart Devices can help lower our consumption
• Healthcare
Smart Devices can improve the life quality of elderly or patients
suffering from chronic diseases
• Automate certain everyday tasks they cannot do or struggle to perform
themselves
• Reduce the need for personal assistance
28. Smart Healthcare
• Connect and collect data from Smart Devices
throughout the home
Embedded health systems can integrate sensors and
microprocessors into appliances, furniture and clothing
• Data is stored in database and can be send to
physicians for monitoring
30. What is a “Smart Grid”?
• Enhanced electric distribution network that connects electrical providers, power
delivery systems and consumers using of wireless communications and network
technology and associated sensors and software
• Features of a “Smart Grid” includes
Demand monitoring and response
Distributed generation management
Electrical and thermal storage management
Transmission management
Power outage and restoration detection
Power quality management
Distribution automation
• Connect energy harvesting systems to serve as backup source if grid the fails
Smart Energy Consumption
31. Smart Grid for Smart Homes
• Currently in prototyping and pilot phase but expected to be
in use by 2019 in selective states in the U.S.
32. Final thoughts on Smart Homes
• Major challenges for the emergence of Smart Homes
Lack of standardization of communication protocols, i.e. data
transmission, collection, processing and storage
• Results in too many different remote controls or apps in your smartphone
Consumer distrust regarding the security issues of the increased
collection and processing of private data
• A movement towards the “Internet of Things”
Refers to the idea of all objects being uniquely identified and
integrated into a single information network where they can be
monitored and interact with each other
33. Emergence of Management and
Control Systems
• To address the lack of interconnectivity, many new “Smart
Integrators” has emerged
Connects with all your Smart Devices
Control all your Smart Devices from a single point of contact
Remotely monitored and controlled (e.g. with your smartphone)
Can be programmed to automatically control your Smart Devices
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