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Measuring Development Process Resilience:
A Test from Northern Kenya
Lance W. Robinson, Jonathan Davies,
Polly J. Ericksen, and Simon Mugatha
Building Resilience for
Food Nutrition and Security
Addis Ababa
May 2014
Social-Ecological Resilience
“The capacity of a system to absorb
disturbance and reorganize while undergoing
change so as to still retain essentially the same
function, structure, identity, and feedbacks.”
(Walker et al., 2004, p. 5).
Not necessarily desirable.
(e.g., poverty traps)
Development Resilience
“The ability of a household to keep with a
certain level of well-being (i.e. being food
secure) by withstanding shocks and stresses”
(FAO, 2010).
“The capacity to cope with adverse
stressors/shocks without adverse development
consequences .” (Resilience Measurement Technical Working Group)
Development Resilience
In the face of recurring drought:
• The DRR community focuses on maintaining
well-being in the short-term, and
• The development community focuses on
interested in improving well-being in the longer
term.
Measurement of
Development Resilience
Some Key Principles for Resilience
Measurement
 Distinguish outcomes of resilience from
determinants of resilience
 Development resilience is not simply
o The inverse of vulnerability
o Coping with shocks
 More and better data vs. economy and realism --
need for a balance
Resilience Measurement:
Three Main Types of Data
We need measures of:
• The state of human development
(indicators of well-being, and their changes
over time),
• Shocks (measures of the extent and
severity of shocks such as droughts), and
• Broader social and ecological conditions
(indicators of determinants of resilience).
Response of Well-Being To Drought
Drought A
B
C
D
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Well-Being
Poverty Line
Drought
Well-BeingIndex
What Development Resilience IS NOT
Incidence-% Marsabit, Kenya
Global Acute Malnutrition Among Children
Moderate Drought
Severe Drought
Extreme Drought
Based on SMART Nutrition Survey Data
Suggested Conceptualization
(mWB after shock x severity of shock) ƒ RD1, RD2, RD3….
mWB before shock
WB = Well-being
RD = Resilience determinant
Some final thoughts
• A local-level HDI would have great value
• Resilience thinking (system resilience)
has much to offer – let’s not lose sight of
its insights
This work contributes to the CGIAR Research Program on
Dryland Systems.
It is supported by the Technical Consortium (TC) for
Ending Drought Emergencies and Building Resilience
to Drought1 in the Horn of Africa.
Acknowledgements
The presentation has a Creative Commons license. You are free to re-use or distribute this work, provided credit is given to ILRI.
better lives through livestock
ilri.org

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Measuring development process resilience: a test from Northern Kenya

  • 1. Measuring Development Process Resilience: A Test from Northern Kenya Lance W. Robinson, Jonathan Davies, Polly J. Ericksen, and Simon Mugatha Building Resilience for Food Nutrition and Security Addis Ababa May 2014
  • 2. Social-Ecological Resilience “The capacity of a system to absorb disturbance and reorganize while undergoing change so as to still retain essentially the same function, structure, identity, and feedbacks.” (Walker et al., 2004, p. 5). Not necessarily desirable. (e.g., poverty traps)
  • 3. Development Resilience “The ability of a household to keep with a certain level of well-being (i.e. being food secure) by withstanding shocks and stresses” (FAO, 2010). “The capacity to cope with adverse stressors/shocks without adverse development consequences .” (Resilience Measurement Technical Working Group)
  • 4. Development Resilience In the face of recurring drought: • The DRR community focuses on maintaining well-being in the short-term, and • The development community focuses on interested in improving well-being in the longer term.
  • 6. Some Key Principles for Resilience Measurement  Distinguish outcomes of resilience from determinants of resilience  Development resilience is not simply o The inverse of vulnerability o Coping with shocks  More and better data vs. economy and realism -- need for a balance
  • 7. Resilience Measurement: Three Main Types of Data We need measures of: • The state of human development (indicators of well-being, and their changes over time), • Shocks (measures of the extent and severity of shocks such as droughts), and • Broader social and ecological conditions (indicators of determinants of resilience).
  • 8. Response of Well-Being To Drought Drought A B C D
  • 9. 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Well-Being Poverty Line Drought Well-BeingIndex What Development Resilience IS NOT
  • 10. Incidence-% Marsabit, Kenya Global Acute Malnutrition Among Children Moderate Drought Severe Drought Extreme Drought Based on SMART Nutrition Survey Data
  • 11. Suggested Conceptualization (mWB after shock x severity of shock) ƒ RD1, RD2, RD3…. mWB before shock WB = Well-being RD = Resilience determinant
  • 12. Some final thoughts • A local-level HDI would have great value • Resilience thinking (system resilience) has much to offer – let’s not lose sight of its insights
  • 13. This work contributes to the CGIAR Research Program on Dryland Systems. It is supported by the Technical Consortium (TC) for Ending Drought Emergencies and Building Resilience to Drought1 in the Horn of Africa. Acknowledgements
  • 14. The presentation has a Creative Commons license. You are free to re-use or distribute this work, provided credit is given to ILRI. better lives through livestock ilri.org