Authors: Martin Foureaux Koppensteinery, Jesse Mathesonz, and Réka Plugor
This working paper will be/have been presented at SITE brown bag seminar 2020-11-03. Martin Foureaux Koppensteinery have given SITE the permission to upload and share the working paper on our website and social media channels.
Directed patrol and hot spots policing strategies involve directing police resources to areas and times that experience high levels of crime, based on analysis of crime data and calls for service. Hot spots policing specifically targets a small number of addresses or locations that account for a disproportionate amount of crime and disorder. Directed patrol and hot spot strategies are considered proactive approaches that can produce more information for police and increase citizens' sense of police watchfulness.
This audit report summarizes that while most high-risk offenders in Oregon are assessed for substance abuse problems, only about half receive treatment. The report estimates that if treatment had been provided to all 4,525 highest-risk offenders released from 2008 to 2011, Oregon taxpayers and victims could have avoided approximately $21.6 million in costs related to continued criminal activity. The report recommends that the Department of Corrections work to coordinate funding and track resources to provide substance abuse treatment for more highest-risk offenders where possible.
20140424-Essex-Police-Performance-Update-March-2014-V6-NarrativeMartin Smith
This document summarizes performance data for Essex Police in supporting victims of crime in March 2014. User satisfaction levels increased or stayed the same in most areas compared to the previous year, though some areas saw small decreases. The force's emergency response times improved compared to targets. Chief officers have discussed organizational improvements to better serve victims, such as a new public contact center. Overall, the data shows the force is generally meeting or exceeding targets for supporting victims of crime, though some areas still need further improvement.
1) If criminal justice policy was based on evidence of cost-effectiveness, there would be less spending on prisons and more on police, resulting in fewer serious crimes and less total harm to society while also reducing threats of state bankruptcy.
2) Evidence shows prisons have unknown effects on deterrence and rehabilitation but waste resources by incarcerating many low-risk offenders, while policing high-crime areas and high-risk offenders and individuals can more cost-effectively reduce crime.
3) Adopting risk-based policies could make the criminal justice system more cost-effective by allocating prison, police, and probation/parole resources according to offenders' risks of committing serious or frequent crimes.
Appropriate Training for Police Interactions With Citizens who have Mental Il...Cynthia Micholias
This essay was written in my first year of the behavioural psychology program. I covers complex topics such as police brutality and bias, mental illness, and addiction.
This study examines the impact of decriminalized and legalized medicinal cannabis on US labor force participation using a differences-in-differences model with state and year fixed effects. The results show that labor force participation initially decreases 0.5-0.7% after the passage of a medical marijuana law, likely due to an income effect as states experience increased tax revenues. However, the negative effect diminishes over time as the marijuana industry and state economy adjust. Higher median income is found to positively correlate with labor force participation. Overall, the findings suggest that while medical marijuana laws may initially reduce productivity, legalization provides long-term economic benefits to states and their citizens.
This document discusses substance use, abuse, and dependence in forensic and correctional populations. It reports that approximately 65-70% of offenders meet criteria for substance abuse and 40-45% meet criteria for substance dependence or addiction. The document then reviews how evidence of intoxication can in some cases reduce legal culpability through defenses like diminished capacity, insanity, or automatism. However, these defenses are difficult to establish and rarely apply to typical cases. The document concludes that drug or alcohol use rarely eliminates conscious intent, though it may increase reckless behavior, and that traditional substance abuse treatment has lower success rates for offenders than typically estimated. Programs integrating treatment and supervision are more effective at reducing substance use and crime.
Directed patrol and hot spots policing strategies involve directing police resources to areas and times that experience high levels of crime, based on analysis of crime data and calls for service. Hot spots policing specifically targets a small number of addresses or locations that account for a disproportionate amount of crime and disorder. Directed patrol and hot spot strategies are considered proactive approaches that can produce more information for police and increase citizens' sense of police watchfulness.
This audit report summarizes that while most high-risk offenders in Oregon are assessed for substance abuse problems, only about half receive treatment. The report estimates that if treatment had been provided to all 4,525 highest-risk offenders released from 2008 to 2011, Oregon taxpayers and victims could have avoided approximately $21.6 million in costs related to continued criminal activity. The report recommends that the Department of Corrections work to coordinate funding and track resources to provide substance abuse treatment for more highest-risk offenders where possible.
20140424-Essex-Police-Performance-Update-March-2014-V6-NarrativeMartin Smith
This document summarizes performance data for Essex Police in supporting victims of crime in March 2014. User satisfaction levels increased or stayed the same in most areas compared to the previous year, though some areas saw small decreases. The force's emergency response times improved compared to targets. Chief officers have discussed organizational improvements to better serve victims, such as a new public contact center. Overall, the data shows the force is generally meeting or exceeding targets for supporting victims of crime, though some areas still need further improvement.
1) If criminal justice policy was based on evidence of cost-effectiveness, there would be less spending on prisons and more on police, resulting in fewer serious crimes and less total harm to society while also reducing threats of state bankruptcy.
2) Evidence shows prisons have unknown effects on deterrence and rehabilitation but waste resources by incarcerating many low-risk offenders, while policing high-crime areas and high-risk offenders and individuals can more cost-effectively reduce crime.
3) Adopting risk-based policies could make the criminal justice system more cost-effective by allocating prison, police, and probation/parole resources according to offenders' risks of committing serious or frequent crimes.
Appropriate Training for Police Interactions With Citizens who have Mental Il...Cynthia Micholias
This essay was written in my first year of the behavioural psychology program. I covers complex topics such as police brutality and bias, mental illness, and addiction.
This study examines the impact of decriminalized and legalized medicinal cannabis on US labor force participation using a differences-in-differences model with state and year fixed effects. The results show that labor force participation initially decreases 0.5-0.7% after the passage of a medical marijuana law, likely due to an income effect as states experience increased tax revenues. However, the negative effect diminishes over time as the marijuana industry and state economy adjust. Higher median income is found to positively correlate with labor force participation. Overall, the findings suggest that while medical marijuana laws may initially reduce productivity, legalization provides long-term economic benefits to states and their citizens.
This document discusses substance use, abuse, and dependence in forensic and correctional populations. It reports that approximately 65-70% of offenders meet criteria for substance abuse and 40-45% meet criteria for substance dependence or addiction. The document then reviews how evidence of intoxication can in some cases reduce legal culpability through defenses like diminished capacity, insanity, or automatism. However, these defenses are difficult to establish and rarely apply to typical cases. The document concludes that drug or alcohol use rarely eliminates conscious intent, though it may increase reckless behavior, and that traditional substance abuse treatment has lower success rates for offenders than typically estimated. Programs integrating treatment and supervision are more effective at reducing substance use and crime.
Tim Minotas Federal Drug Mandatory Minimum Sentences Final PaperTimothy Minotas
This document discusses federal mandatory minimum sentences for drug offenses. It begins by explaining that in the 1980s, Congress passed laws requiring minimum prison terms for drug crimes to deter drug trafficking. However, these laws have led to overcrowded prisons filled with nonviolent, low-level drug offenders, costing taxpayers billions annually. The document then evaluates alternatives to reform these laws, including repealing mandatory minimums, expanding the safety valve exception, and applying sentencing reforms retroactively. It analyzes evidence on the impacts of these policy changes in various states, finding reductions in incarceration rates and costs without increases in crime.
1) Nearly 1 in 100 people aged 15-64 in Great Britain is considered a high-risk drug user, defined as injecting drugs or regular long-term use of opioids, cocaine, and/or amphetamines.
2) In 2013-14, there were 47,900 child assessments where alcohol or other drugs were a factor, and 435 children in foster care ran away due to substance misuse.
3) Prisoners have high rates of drug use and mental health problems, and older prisoners are more likely to have used Class A drugs before entering custody.
The document provides information about the Drug Court and DUI Court of Laramie County. It outlines their mission statements, goals, and authority. Statistics are presented showing high rates of alcohol and substance abuse involved crimes in the county. The Drug Court and DUI Court are shown to effectively reduce recidivism rates and keep participants in treatment and sober through intensive supervision and compliance. Performance is measured through retention rates, sobriety, recidivism, and units of service received.
PA 511 - Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) of the Justice Reinvestment ActJoseph H. Prater IV
This document summarizes the key issues that led North Carolina to pass the Justice Reinvestment Act in 2011. It notes that North Carolina's prison population was growing rapidly and projected to increase another 10% by 2020. Many non-violent offenders were being incarcerated, and over 50% of new prison admissions were probation violators. The Justice Reinvestment Act aimed to reduce recidivism and prison populations by implementing alternatives to incarceration like community supervision, swift sanctions for probation violations, and increased funding for treatment programs. Since passing the Act, North Carolina has seen reductions in recidivism rates, probation revocations, prison populations, and projected savings of $560 million.
Thinking Outside the Cell: Solutions for Public Safety, Victims, and Taxpayersmrmarclv
This presentation to lawmakers from across the nation highlights the growing evidence and public consensus supporting alternatives to incarceration that enhance public safety, empower and restore victims, and reduce the burden on taxpayers.
Methadone maintenance therapy (MMT) significantly reduces criminal behavior and recidivism according to multiple studies. Studies found crime rates reduced by 50-80% and fewer crimes committed the longer patients remained in treatment. MMT not only improved health outcomes by reducing HIV risk behaviors and mortality, but also led to dramatic declines in various criminal offenses like robbery, break-ins, and theft based on self-reports and official records. The cost savings to society from reduced criminal activity and imprisonment due to MMT were estimated to be over $55,000 per patient per year.
- The goal of the proposed research is to determine recidivism rates of drug court graduates compared to incarcerated individuals who did not participate in drug court.
- Drug court is an alternative program for non-violent drug offenders that aims to rehabilitate through treatment rather than incarceration. It consists of phases of inpatient treatment, halfway houses, and probation.
- Previous research has found drug courts significantly reduce recidivism by 8-26% on average compared to traditional case processing or probation, with average reductions of 10-15%. Three meta-analyses found drug courts reduce crime.
1) A total of 1,396 victims were supported by police victim support units (P-VSUs) in Malawi in November 2016, which was a 7% increase from the previous month. Most cases were related to emotional abuse.
2) Women comprised 65% of victims accessing P-VSU services. Defilement cases increased 22% compared to the previous month.
3) P-VSUs were assessed on quality standards such as facilities, resources, and links to other services. The average quality score was 2.45 out of 3. Availability of first aid kits received the lowest score of 1.23 out of 3.
Effective Strategies For Intervening With Drug Abusing Offenderslakatos
This document discusses the relationship between substance abuse and criminal offending. It finds that substance abuse is highly prevalent among correctional populations, with approximately 80% of inmates meeting criteria for substance involvement. The document reviews past public safety and public health strategies for intervening with drug-abusing offenders, finding that only integrated public health/public safety programs that combine treatment and criminal justice supervision have consistently reduced recidivism and drug use. It concludes by examining Proposition 36 and other policy initiatives, arguing they should be informed by empirical lessons from prior research.
Substance abuse has risen 68% in the last 10 years and is linked to crimes like anti-social behavior and violence. Studies show that 70% of offenders abused alcohol in the past and 50% still have issues with it. Age 16-24 year old males are most likely to abuse substances and commit crimes. Poverty and lack of education are also linked to higher rates of substance abuse and crime, as those suffering from social exclusion may turn to drugs or alcohol to cope or see dealing as their only means. Finally, regular cannabis use increases the risk of mental illness, which is in turn linked to criminal behavior.
1) The document evaluates the MNPD Drug Market Initiative which targeted an open air drug market on the 800 block of N. 2nd St in a transitional neighborhood.
2) The intervention included undercover drug buys, arrests, and call-in meetings for low-level dealers to encourage treatment over prosecution.
3) Statistical time series analysis found immediate and statistically significant declines in drug offenses, property and violent crime, and calls for service in the target area and adjacent neighborhoods, but not other parts of the city.
The document discusses trends in methamphetamine use and related harms across the United States based on data from national surveys and treatment centers. It finds that:
1) Methamphetamine use and overdose deaths more than doubled from 2010-2014, though rates remain lower than other drugs.
2) Treatment admissions for methamphetamine surpassed cocaine admissions from 2013-2015 and increased 17% from 2011-2015.
3) Over 70% of law enforcement agencies in the Pacific and West Central regions reported methamphetamine as the greatest drug threat in their areas.
An Evaluation Of The Nashville Dmi Pullipbohannon88
The document summarizes an evaluation of Nashville's Drug Market Initiative (DMI) that targeted open-air drug dealing in the McFerrin Park neighborhood. The DMI used a "pulling levers" strategy in four stages: 1) Identifying drug markets through crime data analysis; 2) Preparing law enforcement and community partners; 3) Notifying and offering services to less serious drug offenders; and 4) Delivering resources and follow-up support. The evaluation found the DMI was associated with statistically significant reductions in property crimes, narcotics offenses, and calls for police assistance in the target area, with smaller comparable declines in surrounding areas. The results suggest the DMI was effective at reducing drug-related
The document discusses rising rates of illegal drug use and drugged driving in the United States. Some key points:
- Illegal drug use is at its highest level in nearly a decade, with a 9% overall increase from 2008 to 2009, fueled by sharp rises in marijuana, ecstasy, and methamphetamine use.
- Drugged driving is also on the rise, implicated in 18% of traffic fatalities in 2008, compared to 13% in 2005. Common drugs found include marijuana, cocaine, heroin, and prescription medications.
- In response, the DEA issued emergency controls to ban five chemicals used to make "synthetic marijuana" products like "Spice" and "K2,"
This document summarizes:
1) New Trump administration regulations may pose challenges for finalizing regulations on substance use treatment disclosure and proposed supplemental regulations due to requirements for cost analysis and offsets.
2) A study found mood disorders like depression and bipolar disorder are associated with the highest risk of suicide within 90 days of discharge from psychiatric hospitalization.
3) An upcoming conference on mental health and addiction treatment will be held in Baltimore in April.
The document analyzes how smoking affects medical insurance costs, particularly for Meat&ChikenCo's branch in Arkansas. A regression analysis found smoking to be the single largest factor contributing to higher insurance costs, followed by gender. Medical costs were highest in Arkansas, which also had the highest smoking rates compared to other regions. Therefore, the high medical insurance expenditures for the Arkansas branch are primarily due to its higher number of smokers.
The document summarizes an independent review of the Lansing Police Department conducted in August 2021. It discusses three major challenges currently facing police departments: the COVID-19 pandemic, protests and unrest following George Floyd's death, and calls for police reform. The review was conducted by Legal Solutions and included interviews with various community stakeholders. It finds that the pandemic increased technological demands and reduced community engagement, while protests in Lansing in May 2020 turned destructive after an initial peaceful demonstration and damaged several buildings.
This document analyzes the relationship between substance abuse rates and various economic indicators in the United States from 1992-2012. Regression models were created relating substance abuse treatment data to real GDP, unemployment, and personal income. The results showed that alcohol, crack/cocaine, marijuana, heroin, and amphetamine usage were positively correlated with real GDP, while alcohol was positively correlated with unemployment. Marijuana in particular showed a strong positive relationship with real GDP and personal income. The analysis suggests substance abuse impacts economic indicators in complex ways that vary based on the specific substance.
This document summarizes drug use trends and state-level actions to address drug issues in Kentucky. It finds that Kentucky has high rates of illicit drug use and drug overdose deaths compared to national averages. The most commonly cited drug in treatment is opiates, and meth lab seizures in Kentucky increased substantially from 2007 to 2009. The document discusses state-level efforts to address these issues, including prescription drug monitoring programs, drug take-back programs, and considering a per se standard for drugged driving.
This article analyzes the effect of "Pay-to-Stay" jail policies, which require inmates to pay for some of their incarceration costs, on crime rates, incarceration rates, and jail expenditures using data from 11 counties in Michigan from 2000-2014. Regression analyses found that Pay-to-Stay significantly increased both crime and incarceration rates but did not significantly reduce jail expenditures. While Pay-to-Stay was intended to offset jail budgets, it may have instead increased costs by raising crime and incarceration.
This document summarizes a report on investigating victims' viewpoints on the police response to domestic abuse. It includes an acknowledgements section, executive summary, introduction, research methods, literature review, findings from primary research interviews with 27 victims, mini case studies, and conclusions. The research found that although mandatory arrest is the current protocol, domestic abuse is too diverse for a single response and policies around mandatory arrest need to change. Victims had different experiences with police and there needs to be minimum standards of communication and demeanor, but beyond that the response should be individualized.
The document discusses research on perceptions of involuntary police stops. It finds that involuntary stops generally result in less favorable attitudes toward police than voluntary encounters. Minorities are more likely to have involuntary encounters and perceive unfair treatment. A 2008 national study found most felt police acted properly, but minorities and those suspected of crimes had less positive views. Studies in Pasadena and Seattle also found minorities more likely to have involuntary stops and less satisfaction, especially if force was used. Improving procedural justice and community relations, especially for minorities, can increase trust in police.
Tim Minotas Federal Drug Mandatory Minimum Sentences Final PaperTimothy Minotas
This document discusses federal mandatory minimum sentences for drug offenses. It begins by explaining that in the 1980s, Congress passed laws requiring minimum prison terms for drug crimes to deter drug trafficking. However, these laws have led to overcrowded prisons filled with nonviolent, low-level drug offenders, costing taxpayers billions annually. The document then evaluates alternatives to reform these laws, including repealing mandatory minimums, expanding the safety valve exception, and applying sentencing reforms retroactively. It analyzes evidence on the impacts of these policy changes in various states, finding reductions in incarceration rates and costs without increases in crime.
1) Nearly 1 in 100 people aged 15-64 in Great Britain is considered a high-risk drug user, defined as injecting drugs or regular long-term use of opioids, cocaine, and/or amphetamines.
2) In 2013-14, there were 47,900 child assessments where alcohol or other drugs were a factor, and 435 children in foster care ran away due to substance misuse.
3) Prisoners have high rates of drug use and mental health problems, and older prisoners are more likely to have used Class A drugs before entering custody.
The document provides information about the Drug Court and DUI Court of Laramie County. It outlines their mission statements, goals, and authority. Statistics are presented showing high rates of alcohol and substance abuse involved crimes in the county. The Drug Court and DUI Court are shown to effectively reduce recidivism rates and keep participants in treatment and sober through intensive supervision and compliance. Performance is measured through retention rates, sobriety, recidivism, and units of service received.
PA 511 - Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) of the Justice Reinvestment ActJoseph H. Prater IV
This document summarizes the key issues that led North Carolina to pass the Justice Reinvestment Act in 2011. It notes that North Carolina's prison population was growing rapidly and projected to increase another 10% by 2020. Many non-violent offenders were being incarcerated, and over 50% of new prison admissions were probation violators. The Justice Reinvestment Act aimed to reduce recidivism and prison populations by implementing alternatives to incarceration like community supervision, swift sanctions for probation violations, and increased funding for treatment programs. Since passing the Act, North Carolina has seen reductions in recidivism rates, probation revocations, prison populations, and projected savings of $560 million.
Thinking Outside the Cell: Solutions for Public Safety, Victims, and Taxpayersmrmarclv
This presentation to lawmakers from across the nation highlights the growing evidence and public consensus supporting alternatives to incarceration that enhance public safety, empower and restore victims, and reduce the burden on taxpayers.
Methadone maintenance therapy (MMT) significantly reduces criminal behavior and recidivism according to multiple studies. Studies found crime rates reduced by 50-80% and fewer crimes committed the longer patients remained in treatment. MMT not only improved health outcomes by reducing HIV risk behaviors and mortality, but also led to dramatic declines in various criminal offenses like robbery, break-ins, and theft based on self-reports and official records. The cost savings to society from reduced criminal activity and imprisonment due to MMT were estimated to be over $55,000 per patient per year.
- The goal of the proposed research is to determine recidivism rates of drug court graduates compared to incarcerated individuals who did not participate in drug court.
- Drug court is an alternative program for non-violent drug offenders that aims to rehabilitate through treatment rather than incarceration. It consists of phases of inpatient treatment, halfway houses, and probation.
- Previous research has found drug courts significantly reduce recidivism by 8-26% on average compared to traditional case processing or probation, with average reductions of 10-15%. Three meta-analyses found drug courts reduce crime.
1) A total of 1,396 victims were supported by police victim support units (P-VSUs) in Malawi in November 2016, which was a 7% increase from the previous month. Most cases were related to emotional abuse.
2) Women comprised 65% of victims accessing P-VSU services. Defilement cases increased 22% compared to the previous month.
3) P-VSUs were assessed on quality standards such as facilities, resources, and links to other services. The average quality score was 2.45 out of 3. Availability of first aid kits received the lowest score of 1.23 out of 3.
Effective Strategies For Intervening With Drug Abusing Offenderslakatos
This document discusses the relationship between substance abuse and criminal offending. It finds that substance abuse is highly prevalent among correctional populations, with approximately 80% of inmates meeting criteria for substance involvement. The document reviews past public safety and public health strategies for intervening with drug-abusing offenders, finding that only integrated public health/public safety programs that combine treatment and criminal justice supervision have consistently reduced recidivism and drug use. It concludes by examining Proposition 36 and other policy initiatives, arguing they should be informed by empirical lessons from prior research.
Substance abuse has risen 68% in the last 10 years and is linked to crimes like anti-social behavior and violence. Studies show that 70% of offenders abused alcohol in the past and 50% still have issues with it. Age 16-24 year old males are most likely to abuse substances and commit crimes. Poverty and lack of education are also linked to higher rates of substance abuse and crime, as those suffering from social exclusion may turn to drugs or alcohol to cope or see dealing as their only means. Finally, regular cannabis use increases the risk of mental illness, which is in turn linked to criminal behavior.
1) The document evaluates the MNPD Drug Market Initiative which targeted an open air drug market on the 800 block of N. 2nd St in a transitional neighborhood.
2) The intervention included undercover drug buys, arrests, and call-in meetings for low-level dealers to encourage treatment over prosecution.
3) Statistical time series analysis found immediate and statistically significant declines in drug offenses, property and violent crime, and calls for service in the target area and adjacent neighborhoods, but not other parts of the city.
The document discusses trends in methamphetamine use and related harms across the United States based on data from national surveys and treatment centers. It finds that:
1) Methamphetamine use and overdose deaths more than doubled from 2010-2014, though rates remain lower than other drugs.
2) Treatment admissions for methamphetamine surpassed cocaine admissions from 2013-2015 and increased 17% from 2011-2015.
3) Over 70% of law enforcement agencies in the Pacific and West Central regions reported methamphetamine as the greatest drug threat in their areas.
An Evaluation Of The Nashville Dmi Pullipbohannon88
The document summarizes an evaluation of Nashville's Drug Market Initiative (DMI) that targeted open-air drug dealing in the McFerrin Park neighborhood. The DMI used a "pulling levers" strategy in four stages: 1) Identifying drug markets through crime data analysis; 2) Preparing law enforcement and community partners; 3) Notifying and offering services to less serious drug offenders; and 4) Delivering resources and follow-up support. The evaluation found the DMI was associated with statistically significant reductions in property crimes, narcotics offenses, and calls for police assistance in the target area, with smaller comparable declines in surrounding areas. The results suggest the DMI was effective at reducing drug-related
The document discusses rising rates of illegal drug use and drugged driving in the United States. Some key points:
- Illegal drug use is at its highest level in nearly a decade, with a 9% overall increase from 2008 to 2009, fueled by sharp rises in marijuana, ecstasy, and methamphetamine use.
- Drugged driving is also on the rise, implicated in 18% of traffic fatalities in 2008, compared to 13% in 2005. Common drugs found include marijuana, cocaine, heroin, and prescription medications.
- In response, the DEA issued emergency controls to ban five chemicals used to make "synthetic marijuana" products like "Spice" and "K2,"
This document summarizes:
1) New Trump administration regulations may pose challenges for finalizing regulations on substance use treatment disclosure and proposed supplemental regulations due to requirements for cost analysis and offsets.
2) A study found mood disorders like depression and bipolar disorder are associated with the highest risk of suicide within 90 days of discharge from psychiatric hospitalization.
3) An upcoming conference on mental health and addiction treatment will be held in Baltimore in April.
The document analyzes how smoking affects medical insurance costs, particularly for Meat&ChikenCo's branch in Arkansas. A regression analysis found smoking to be the single largest factor contributing to higher insurance costs, followed by gender. Medical costs were highest in Arkansas, which also had the highest smoking rates compared to other regions. Therefore, the high medical insurance expenditures for the Arkansas branch are primarily due to its higher number of smokers.
The document summarizes an independent review of the Lansing Police Department conducted in August 2021. It discusses three major challenges currently facing police departments: the COVID-19 pandemic, protests and unrest following George Floyd's death, and calls for police reform. The review was conducted by Legal Solutions and included interviews with various community stakeholders. It finds that the pandemic increased technological demands and reduced community engagement, while protests in Lansing in May 2020 turned destructive after an initial peaceful demonstration and damaged several buildings.
This document analyzes the relationship between substance abuse rates and various economic indicators in the United States from 1992-2012. Regression models were created relating substance abuse treatment data to real GDP, unemployment, and personal income. The results showed that alcohol, crack/cocaine, marijuana, heroin, and amphetamine usage were positively correlated with real GDP, while alcohol was positively correlated with unemployment. Marijuana in particular showed a strong positive relationship with real GDP and personal income. The analysis suggests substance abuse impacts economic indicators in complex ways that vary based on the specific substance.
This document summarizes drug use trends and state-level actions to address drug issues in Kentucky. It finds that Kentucky has high rates of illicit drug use and drug overdose deaths compared to national averages. The most commonly cited drug in treatment is opiates, and meth lab seizures in Kentucky increased substantially from 2007 to 2009. The document discusses state-level efforts to address these issues, including prescription drug monitoring programs, drug take-back programs, and considering a per se standard for drugged driving.
This article analyzes the effect of "Pay-to-Stay" jail policies, which require inmates to pay for some of their incarceration costs, on crime rates, incarceration rates, and jail expenditures using data from 11 counties in Michigan from 2000-2014. Regression analyses found that Pay-to-Stay significantly increased both crime and incarceration rates but did not significantly reduce jail expenditures. While Pay-to-Stay was intended to offset jail budgets, it may have instead increased costs by raising crime and incarceration.
This document summarizes a report on investigating victims' viewpoints on the police response to domestic abuse. It includes an acknowledgements section, executive summary, introduction, research methods, literature review, findings from primary research interviews with 27 victims, mini case studies, and conclusions. The research found that although mandatory arrest is the current protocol, domestic abuse is too diverse for a single response and policies around mandatory arrest need to change. Victims had different experiences with police and there needs to be minimum standards of communication and demeanor, but beyond that the response should be individualized.
The document discusses research on perceptions of involuntary police stops. It finds that involuntary stops generally result in less favorable attitudes toward police than voluntary encounters. Minorities are more likely to have involuntary encounters and perceive unfair treatment. A 2008 national study found most felt police acted properly, but minorities and those suspected of crimes had less positive views. Studies in Pasadena and Seattle also found minorities more likely to have involuntary stops and less satisfaction, especially if force was used. Improving procedural justice and community relations, especially for minorities, can increase trust in police.
This document discusses police and probation partnerships as a strategy to reduce recidivism. It begins by outlining the problems of increased incarceration and high recidivism rates in Massachusetts. It then discusses how partnerships between police and probation officers can help address issues like lackluster supervision and weak enforcement policies among probation officers. Examples are given of successful programs in Boston, Texas, and California where probation officers partnered with police officers for intensive supervision of high-risk offenders, which reduced crime and recidivism rates. The benefits and potential challenges of such partnerships are also examined.
Victim assistance in Ohio is provided primarily at the county level through victim witness assistance units. Efforts to assist victims vary between counties and include outreach through letters, community presentations, and partnerships with police. However, the number of victims served is inconsistent between counties. While most units wish to help more victims, challenges include limited resources. There is no single ideal model of victim assistance that can be applied to all counties. Recommendations to improve services include increased funding, a statewide evaluation system, and a task force to develop strategies to assist more victims of crime in Ohio.
FACTORS OF HOMELESSNESS 1
Factors of Homelessness: An Annotated Bibliography Dedicated to the
Exploration of the Social Problem and Criminal Element
STUDENT NAME
Portland State University
FACTORS OF HOMELESSNESS 2
Introduction:
The intent of this bibliography was to explore the nature of homelessness with specific
attention to the population that has been involved with the criminal justice system. In the
City of Portland this population can be readily seen as they frequent the University
campus, and sleep unsheltered nearby. This topic became of interest to research because
of the visibility here on campus and the desire to change this behavior and lifestyle that
affects a small proportion of society. Wishing to achieve the greatest synthesis of the
criminal problem associated with homelessness, the research chosen for study provided
insight to the causes and factors of recidivism, and quantitative data from interviews and
surveys. This combination of research was chosen because it examined the reasons this
population enters and sometimes reenters the criminal system, as well as establishing
perspective. This scope does not account for crimes committed by the homeless, even
though it was a recurring topic in related research of the studies themselves. The research
question for this synthesis is what is the criminal problem associated with homelessness
and what factors have been found that influences this behavior?
This synthesis of research developed insight into the aggravating factors of homelessness
in states such as Minnesota, Arizona, Nevada, and also overseas in Milan, Italy. The
Recurring trends in the research suggest that though there is a small proportion of the
population that is actively involved with the court and legal systems, homelessness
provides for an overwhelming factor to recidivism. The community or condition that an
offender released to played a significant role on their desistance in criminal activity.
Further mediated through substance use and victimization, homelessness adds a
significant strain on those that experience it. The type of social interactions with other
homeless was also tested for effect on the topic, and it was found that interactions with
previous offenders also show signs of correlation. Because of the survivability aspect of
the lifestyle, and the frequent inability to secure food or shelter, this population
commonly is charged or arrested with crimes such as trespassing or other property crimes
because of their situation. Further analysis to the kind of crimes committed could further
detail the specific homeless problem for the city or places studied, but would probably be
different because this may be impacted by the resources for the population of the
concerned location.
FACTORS OF HOMELESSNESS 3
Annotations:
Clark V.A. (2014). Predicting two .
This document provides a framework called CLEAR (Communication, Legal Authority, Emotional Intelligence, Adaptive Decision Making, Respect Unconditionally) to enhance officer safety and performance during interactions with citizens. It discusses trends of increased violence against law enforcement and increased scrutiny of police training. The document emphasizes effective communication, understanding of legal authority during encounters, managing emotions, decision making, and applying unconditional respect. It also examines a Supreme Court of Ohio case study about a citizen lawfully carrying a firearm on a walk.
Journal of-Criminal Justice, Vol. 7, pp. 217-241 (1979). Per.docxpriestmanmable
Journal of-Criminal Justice, Vol. 7, pp. 217-241 (1979).
Pergamon Press. Printed in U.S.A.
0047-2352’79/030217-26s2.WO
Copyright @ 1979 Pergamon Press Ltd
INFORMATION, APPREHENSION, AND DETERRENCE:
EXPLORING THE LIMITS OF POLICE PRODUCTIVITY
WESLEY G. SKOGAN
Department of Political Science and Center for Urban Affairs
Northwestern University
Evanston. Illinois 60201
GEORGE E. ANTUNES
Department of Political Science
University of Houston
Houston, Texas 77004
and
Workshop in Political Theory and Policy Analysis
Indiana University
Bloomington, Indiana 47401
ABSTRACT
The capacity of police departments to solve crimes and
apprehend offenders is low for many types of crime, particu-
larly crimes of profit. This article reviews a variety of studies
of police apprehension and hypothesizes that an important
determinant of the ability of the police to apprehend crimi-
nals is information. The complete absence of information for
many types of crime places fairly clear upper bounds on the
ability of the police to effect solutions.
To discover whether these boundaries are high or low we
analyzed data from the 1973 National Crime Panel about the
types and amount of information potentially available to po-
lice through victim reports and patrol activities. The evidence
suggests that if the police rely on information made readily
217
218 WESLEY G. SKOGAN and GEORGE E. ANTUNES
available to them, they will never do much better than they
are doing now. On the other hand, there appears to be more
information available to bystanders and passing patrols than
currently is being used, which suggests that surveillance
strategies and improved police methods for eliciting, record-
ing, and analyzing information supplied by victims and wit-
nesses might increase the probability of solving crimes and
making arrests. In light of this we review a few possibly help-
ful innovations suggested in the literature on police produc-
tivity and procedure.
Some characteristics of the crime itself, or of events surrounding the crime, that are
beyond the control of investigators, determine whether it will be cleared in most in-
stances. (Greenwood et al., 1975: 65)
There is no feasible way to solve most crimes except by securing the cooperation of
citizens to link a person to the crime. (Reiss, 1971: 105)
INTRODUCTION
A recent spate of studies of crime and the deterrent effectiveness of the criminal
justice system has raised anew a question as old as Bentham: Does raising the cost of
criminal activity signiticantly reduce the level of crime in a community? In these studies,
the cost of criminal activity has been conceptualized in two ways: as the loss of time and
opportunity attendant to apprehension (measured by the certainty of arrest or punish-
ment), and as the stigma, discomfort, and loss of opportunity that come with conviction
by the courts (measured by the severity of punishment). Indicators of the di ...
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Dr. Delphine Collin-Vezina
Director
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Overview and analysis on the economics model of crime by Becker (1968). Including a case study on the Three Strikes Law in California, USA, using differences in differences methodology
Controlling or Coercive Behaviour in Relationships: Making Legislation Work M...IBB Law
Mention domestic abuse and many will immediately think of visible bruises, scars and marks on a victim. Yet domestic abuse is not only physical. Psychological, emotional and financial abuse are all types of domestic abuse categorised under coercive or controlling behaviour. Each can result in a victim being isolated from their friends and family; being controlled over aspects of their everyday life, such as where they can go, who they can see, what they can wear and when they can sleep; and controlling their finances.
For more information on the topic raised in this report please contact IBB Law's Family and Matrimonial legal experts via the link below:
https://www.ibblaw.co.uk/service/family-matrimonial
Divorce and Matrimonial Team
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The 24 Hour Contact Initiative aims to hold family violence offenders accountable and restore victims. It involves home visits by advocates and investigators within 24 hours of an arrest to assess victim needs and provide resources. Cases are then reviewed by a multidisciplinary team led by the District Attorney, who makes recommendations for prosecution. The evaluation assessed the program's impact, effectiveness, services provided, strengthened prosecution and collaboration, challenges, and strengths. It utilized literature reviews, observations, interviews, case file reviews, and surveys with victims. Key findings included a paradigm shift in viewing family violence as a serious crime, increased victim support and access to resources, strengthened collaborations, enhanced prosecution through improved evidence gathering, and mixed reactions to victimless prosecution.
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Controlling or Coercive Behaviour in Relationships: Making Legislation Work M...IBB Law
Mention domestic abuse and many will immediately think of visible bruises, scars and marks on a victim. Yet domestic abuse is not only physical. Psychological, emotional and financial abuse are all types of domestic abuse categorised under coercive or controlling behaviour. Each can result in a victim being isolated from their friends and family; being controlled over aspects of their everyday life, such as where they can
go, who they can see, what they can wear and when they can sleep; and controlling their finances.
For more information on the topic raised in this report please contact IBB Solicitors family and matrimonial legal experts via the link below:
https://www.ibblaw.co.uk/service/family-matrimonial
Divorce and Matrimonial Team
IBB Solicitors
The Bury
Chesham, Buckinghamshire
HP5 1JE
Tel: 03456 381381
Effectiveness of Crime Control Measures in NigeriaGabriel Ken
This document summarizes a research study on the effectiveness of crime control measures in Nigeria. The study assessed the role of citizens in crime prevention and identified the causes and impacts of crime. A descriptive survey design was used and questionnaires were distributed to 150 respondents. The findings showed that citizens play active roles in crime control, but more still needs to be done. It is recommended that the government better equip formal security agencies for effective crime prevention and that informal and formal sectors collaborate more closely to improve crime prevention and control efforts.
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Concluding remarks
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Public Services Access and Domestic Violence Lessons from a Randomized Controlled Trial
1. Public Services Access and Domestic Violence
Lessons from a Randomized Controlled Trial
∗
Martin Foureaux Koppensteiner
†
Jesse Matheson
‡
Réka Plugor
Ÿ
October 15, 2020
Abstract
This paper studies the eect of improving access to support services for victims of
domestic violence. For this purpose, we conducted a randomized controlled trial of
an intervention designed to assist victims in accessing non-police services. We built a
unique dataset from a victim survey and administrative records. The intervention led
to an 19% decrease in the provision of statements by victims to police, but no signicant
change in criminal justice outcomes against perpetrators. We argue that the treatment
response in statements came from victims for whom a statement was relatively less
eective for pursuing criminal sanctions. For example, relative to the control group,
statements provided by the treatment group were 84% less likely to be withdrawn. We
also nd that over a two-year period, reported domestic violence outcomes do not dier
signicantly between the treatment and control group. We provide suggestive evidence
for the interpretation of these results.
Keywords: Public services, domestic violence, RCT, allocative eciency
JEL Codes: I18, J12, H75
∗
We are grateful for comments provided by Soa Amaral, Dan Anderberg, Orazio Attanasio, Herb Emery,
Gianni De Fraja, Esther Duo, Mark Hoekstra, Pamela Jervis, Magne Mogstad, Krzysztof Karbownik,
Melanie Khamis, Tom Kirchmaier, Bettina Siinger, Chris Wallace, Tanya Wilson, and seminar participants
at the Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society, the Bristol Workshop on Economic Policy Interventions
and Behaviour, the Essen Health Conference, Warsaw Ce
2
workshop, Royal Holloway UL, IZA Workshop on
Family and Gender Economics, and the Royal Economic Society Meeting. Eliot Button, Corinne Crosbourne,
Pooja Pattni, and Chloe Rawson provided excellent research assistance. We thank Leicestershire Police, the
Oce of the Leicestershire Police and Crime Commissioner, and Leicester City Council for enabling the
evaluation as a randomized controlled trial and for data access. We gratefully acknowledge funding from the
UK Ministry of Justice PCC Fund.
†
School of Economics, University of Surrey (m.koppensteiner@surrey.ac.uk)
‡
Department of Economics, University of Sheeld (j.matheson@sheeld.ac.uk)
ŸSchool of Business, University of Leicester (rp234@le.ac.uk)
2. 1 Introduction
Domestic violence1 is a problem of rst order importance across the world. In 2018, there
were 1.2 million reports of domestic incidents to police in England and Wales, leading to
approximately one-third of all arrests made by police forces (Home Oce 2019, ONS 2019).
These numbers do not include the many more cases never reported to the police and it is
estimated that up to one in three women experience domestic abuse in their lifetime. Of those
cases reported to police, less than six percent resulted in the conviction of a perpetrator.
While the scale of the problem of DV is vast, progress in identifying interventions to reduce
the incidence of DV and improve the well-being of victims has been modest.
The large number of DV cases is partly due to repeat incidents involving the same house-
holds, so that a small number of repeat-violence households disproportionately contribute to
the overall number of police reports. This comes amid the availability of a number of public
and private non-prot organizations to help victims of domestic violence to address long-
term abuse by providing services and opportunities for change of personal circumstances.2
One potential problem that has received a great deal of policy attention is that victims are
unaware of these services, or nd it dicult to access them.3
In this paper, we provide randomized evidence on whether improving victim access to
existing services will lead to better DV outcomes. For this purpose, we worked with a
large UK police force to implement a randomized controlled trial (RCT) of an intervention
specically designed to improve access to non-police support services.4 The trial focused
1Domestic violence (DV), as used here, refers to both intimate partner violence and violence between
family members.
2These include the provision of temporary housing and women's shelters, help with permanent housing,
designing of and helping to implement escape plans to leave a violent partner, legal aid, among other forms
of support to leave a perpetrator.
3This was highlighted in a report on the policing of domestic violence by the UK police watchdog (HMIC,
2014) and Fugate et al. (2005) show that information barriers are a signicant deterrent for victims of
domestic violence in the United States.
4The programme is known as Project 360, reecting the role of the caseworker in taking a 360-degree
look at victims' needs and the corresponding available services.
1
3. on households that have experienced multiple reports of DV over a period of 365 days.
The intervention provided victims of police-reported DV with a caseworker who oered
information about and support in accessing support services. The trial lasted for six months
and randomization took place at the level of individual victims. The nal sample of over
one thousand households constitutes one of the largest RCTs on DV to date. Our analysis
is based on a unique dataset that we constructed by linking information from local police
administrative records, the UK Police National Database, and a victim follow-up survey.
These extraordinarily rich data, collected over a two-year period, allow us to follow the
lifecycle of every case in our sample, from the time a case is opened to the time a perpetrator
is sentenced in court.
Three important ndings come forth from this study. First, treatment group victims were
signicantly less likely to provide police with a statement.5 We nd that the intervention
led to an intention-to-treat eect of a 5.8 percentage point decrease (19.4% relative to the
control group mean) in statement provision. Using information on the precise timing of
when statements are provided to police, we show that while there is no dierence in the
number of statements provided during the initial police callout (before treatment status is
assigned), the number of statements made after the treated group received the intervention
diers signicantly. Using data collected through a victim survey one month following the
intervention, we also nd that the treatment group is more likely than the control group to
report using non-police support services. Taken together, these results are consistent with
the victims in this study using non-police support services and police services as substitutes.
Second, despite the decrease in statements, we do not nd an eect of the intervention
on criminal sanctions against a perpetrator (specically, arrest by the police, charges by
the Crown Prosecution Service, and sentencing by the courts). This is surprising, as the
5In our context, providing a statement to police would be analogous to what is commonly called pressing
charges in the North American context.
2
4. correlation between the provision of a statement and criminal sanctions against a perpetrator
is positive and strong. This suggests that for victims who forgo making a statement in
treatment, the eect of their statement on criminal sanctions is low relative to other victims.
One plausible mechanism underlying this result is statement retraction by victims. Relative
to the control group, treatment group statements are 10.3 percentage points, or 84%, less
likely to be retracted. We interpret this result as the intervention increasing the eciency of
police service utilization by removing ineective statements from the service load of police
ocers.
Third, dierent from previous secondary responder programmes, of which some reported
an increase in repeat victimization, we do not nd a signicant eect on repeat police-
reported household violence over a two-year period. Specically, treatment group households
are as likely as control group households to experience a repeat police callout (77.8% and
74.9% respectively), and have approximately the same number of repeats (3.0 and 2.7 on
average). Furthermore, duration analysis suggests that the timing of repeat reporting does
not signicantly dier between the two groups. Across several measures that reect the
severity of future cases, we nd suggestive evidence that treatment group cases are less
severe. For example, the average risk assessment score assigned to the treatment group is
7% lower for the treatment group than for the control group. While these dierences are
not statistically signicant, the magnitude is consistent with the intervention leading to an
increase in willingness of victims to report to police.
This interpretation is supported by estimates using supplementary data specically col-
lected through a victim survey one month following the intervention to study outcomes not
found in administrative records. Using the victim survey data, we nd an increase in the
willingness to report any future incidents to police. We also nd that the treatment group
has an overall lower risk of repeat victimization. In particular, we nd that individuals in the
treatment group are more likely to report no longer being in contact with the perpetrator.
3
5. Finally, we nd that the treatment group is more likely than the control group to report
using non-police support services. Despite these positive ndings of the intervention on the
safety of the victim, we nd that reported measures of stress for treatment group individu-
als are higher than for control group victims one-month after the initial incident, possibly
indicating the increase in stress associated with changes in the personal circumstances of the
victim engaging with DV services.
The theoretical basis for the intervention design is based on a household bargaining model
(Aizer, 2010; Anderberg and Rainer, 2013; Anderberg, Rainer, Wadsworth and Wilson, 2016;
Bobonis, Gonzalez-Brenes, and Catro, 2013; Farmer and Tiefenthaler, 1996). If support
services improve the outside options available to victims of household violence, we expect
that making these support services easier to access will lead to a decrease in violence. As it is
not possible to observe violence in the household directly, we must attempt to infer changes
based on reporting behaviour and our survey response. Our results are consistent with the
intervention leading to an increase in willingness to report future incidents, with the number
of reported incidents increasing and the severity of reported incidents decreasing.
This paper contributes to two strands of literature. The rst is a literature studying the
role of public policy to improve domestic violence outcomes. In particular, there is a number
of studies using experimental designs to analyse secondary responder programmes, in which
police ocers or ocer/social worker teams follow-up on households after an initial report
of violence (Davis and Taylor, 1997; Davis, Weisburd and Hamilton, 2010; Hovell, Seid and
Liles, 2006; Casey, et al, 2007; Stover, Poole and Marans, 2009; Stover, Berkman, Desai
and Marans, 2010). These studies unanimously nd that secondary responder programmes,
at best, do not lead to a change in household violence and may even increase household
violence. The intervention studied here diers from previous research in a number of impor-
tant ways. The intervention was designed with the primary goal of making support services
more accessible to victims. Steps are taken to ensure this is done without involving the
4
6. perpetrator. The intervention caseworkers were domestic abuse specialist, with extensive
local knowledge and experience with accessing existing services, rather than police ocers
as in previous secondary responder programmes. Because the caseworkers were embedded
within the police, they still beneted from access to police intelligence. The study also diers
from previous work in ways that improve our ability to infer programme eects. First, the
RCT design here does not allow for any override of random assignment to treatment. Previ-
ous RCTs (Davis and Taylor, 1997; Davis, Weisburd and Hamilton, 2010) involved a small
number of treatment assignment overrides by the police, which may have lead to estimation
biases. Second, the RCT studied here has a sample size more than double that of previous
RCTs. This allows us to estimate signicantly smaller eects that previous studies may have
missed. Third, the dataset built for our analysis is based primarily on police administrative
records over a two-year period. These records provide us with a standardized measure of
the severity of each incident. This allows us to answer the question whether the intervention
reduced repeat incidents and/or changed reporting patterns by looking at the severity of the
attended subsequent incidents.
This paper both contributes to and is informed by a second strand of the literature study-
ing nudges to overcome information barriers in general service choice. Examples from
previous work nd that simplifying information on public school performance leads parents
to select higher performing schools for their children (Hastings and Weinstein, 2008), that
providing information on the cost and benets of education changes students' intention to
stay in non-compulsory education (McGuigan, McNally, and Wyness, 2016), that personal-
ized prescription drug plan information makes Medicare users more likely to switch to lower
cost plans (Kling, Mullainathan, Shar, Vermeulen, and Wrobel, 2012), and that assistance
for lling out complex college aid applications leads to a signicant increase in college en-
rolment (Bettinger, Long, Oreopoulos, and Sanbonmatsu, 2012). These studies demonstrate
that even small bureaucratic barriers or costs to obtain and process information lead to
5
7. distortions in choice relative to what is chosen absent these barriers. Our study is similar
in spirit, considering a relatively simple and inexpensive change to the way that victims of
DV receive assistance following a police-reported incident. If victims of DV nd it dicult
to access services, or determine which services are best suited for their needs, then they may
rely on simple heuristics, such as utilizing police services with which they already interact.
Unlike in these previous studies, we consider service users who choose among dierent, non-
exclusive services. Potential service users can, and do, choose more than one service. Because
services are not explicitly priced, users do not internalize the cost of service provision and
may allocate themselves in such a way that service costs outweigh the private benets. This
is a general problem with any publicly available service.6 Our results suggest that the ser-
vice users who forgo police services when provided with the intervention, are those who, on
average, benet the least from police services. If the cost of providing police services is high
relative to non-police services, then the intervention is likely to improve allocative eciency.
This is particularly important for services related to DV because of their frequency and rel-
evance for policing. In the UK, domestic violence and abuse account for approximately 11%
of all crimes reported to police,7 creating very substantial service demand on police forces in
the country.
There are limitations to the interpretation of our results. Specically, we do not generalise
beyond the selection criteria for our subject pool, focused on households with previous police
reported domestic incidents. We do not attempt to draw any conclusions about the use or
eectiveness of public support services for households going through their rst police reported
domestic violence, or households with unreported domestic violence. Also, the households
in our subject pool received treatment at most once. We cannot draw any conclusions about
whether repeated access to the programme would have dierent results.
6This problem may, for example, show up in the case of school selection or attendance, as in Hastings
and Weinstein (2008) or Bettinger, Long, Oreopoulos, and Sanbonmatsu (2012).
7This number is based on ocial statistics provided in ONS 2018a and ONS 2018b.
6
8. The paper is structured as follows. Section 2 provides the contextual background infor-
mation for the experiment. Section 3 provides details of RCT design and implementation,
followed by data sources and data collection. The main results of the paper are presented in
Section 4. This is followed by a discussion and interpretation of results in Section 5. Section
6 summarizes the ndings and puts them in a wider context.
2 Background
Non-police services available to victims of DV
In the UK, DV support services are available through a number of publicly funded and
voluntary service providers. In the police force area we study (Leicestershire, UK)8, and the
time of the intervention, 24 dierent agencies provided various domestic violence support. In
Appendix G we provide detailed information about the available services including a table
summarizing all DV service providers, a list of the categories of services most accessed by the
treatment group in this study, and the service information pamphlet that police provided to
all victims following a domestic incident.
Barriers exist that make it costly for victims to access these services.9 These barriers can
arise from four non-exclusive sources: rst, victims may lack information about the existence
and availability of these services or the process to access them; second, barriers may arise
from the complexity of choice over the often large set of services, similar to that explored
in Hastings and Weinstein (2008) and Kling, et al. (2012); third, barriers may originate at
the individual level from psychological and/or language barriers; fourth, service providers
often put formal barriers in place, with the purpose of ensuring the safety of the users and
8This police force area covers three local councils, roughly comparable to US counties, Leicester city,
Leicestershire and Rutland.
9In Appendix A we provide a stylized conceptual framework to guide our thinking about the relationship
between access barriers and the choice between various DV services.
7
9. to restrict the use of scarce resources.
While we do not explicitly distinguish between dierent sources of barriers, they are
widely recognised as an impediment to service uptake.10 The intervention we study is specif-
ically designed to help victims of DV overcome any of these barriers and reduce the cost
of victims to access services by providing information on existing services, by signposting
victims to the appropriate service, by helping them overcome psychological and language
barriers, and by providing referrals to these services.
Police services available to victims of DV
We refer to police attending a domestic violence incident in response to an emergency call
made by a victim or a third party as the initial callout. When police ocers attend an initial
callout, they have two tasks. The rst task is to defuse the immediate, and potentially
volatile, situation and ensure the safety of all individuals involved. Police have the power
to arrest and temporarily detain a perpetrator for up to 24 hours solely for this purpose.11
The second task is to collect evidence within the initial investigation to determine whether
to initiate further investigations for the purpose of pursuing criminal sanctions against the
perpetrator. Evidence can be direct, such as police observing and recording a physical
assault, for example, through body-worn cameras. More often, however, evidence is indirect
in the form of statements made by witnesses. A statement is a recorded recollection of events
by a witness that can be used as evidence in court.
We use police services to refer to the further investigative work undertaken to pursue
10Her Majesty's Inspectorate of Constabulary (HMIC 2014) reports anecdotal evidence, based on victim
interviews, that victims of DV felt that they did not know where to turn for help after an initial callout.
These barriers to services are not unique to the UK context. In the US and Canada, Jae et al. (2002)
nd that women reported feeling let down and confused by the [community and social services support]
process. They nd that many women removed their application for services out of frustration with the
number of barriers. In interviews with DV victims in Chicago, Fugate et al. (2005) nd that perceived
barriers to access, particularly lack of information, are an important explanation for whether or not victims
contact social and counselling services, but not important for explaining why they contact police services.
11This arrest may be made for 24 hours independent of the victim's willingness to make a statement. After
24 hours, the Crown Prosecution Service must press charges, or the perpetrator must be released.
8
10. criminal sanctions against a perpetrator. In contrast to the two tasks outlined above, which
are performed at every initial callout, further investigative police services are only performed
if there is reason to believe that there will be sucient evidence for the Crown Prosecution
Service (CPS) to pursue charges. The CPS makes a decision whether to charge the per-
petrator for the purpose of pursuing criminal sanctions on the strength of the available
evidence.12
Figure 1 about here
The decision to provide a statement is a mechanism through which the victim can inu-
ence the progression of the case towards criminal sanctions against the perpetrator. In the
majority of DV cases, the victim is the primary witness, and the victim's statement is the
major piece of available evidence. A victim can provide a statement at the initial callout (in
our data, 50.1% of victims who provide a statement do so at the initial callout), or a victim
can contact the police and provide a statement any time after the initial callout. Once a
statement is provided, the victim may decide to withdraw the statement at any time (in our
data, 17.0% of all statements are withdrawn). If this happens, the statement cannot be used
as evidence in the case against the perpetrator.13
The correlation between victim statement provision and perpetrator arrest and charge is
strong (see Figure 1). In the 743 cases for which no statement was provided, the perpetrator
was subsequently arrested in 10.0% of cases and charged in 3.0% of cases. In the 272 cases
for which a statement was provided, the perpetrator was arrested in 68.2% and charged in
37.6%. Of course, this does not tell us anything about the causal eect of statements on
12Evidence of this is found in that data (Figure 1). In cases where charges are laid, 62.9% result in
sentencing by the courts (including prison time (24.7%), nes (43.6%), restraining orders (39.7%), and
mandatory rehabilitation programmes (17.6%)). There is no signicant dierence for cases in which a
statement is made (63.7% versus 59.0%). This is consistent with the role of the CPS in ltering cases that
proceed to the courts based on the strength of the evidence.
13Advice for victims provided by the charity Rights of Women states, in reference to victim statement
provision in domestic violence cases, Without a witness statement from you it is unlikely that the police
will continue. (Rights of Women, 2013).
9
11. arrests and charges; victims may select into making a statement based on their subjective
expectation of probability of an arrest. However, this correlation provides evidence on the
importance of statement provision in pursuing punitive action against a perpetrator.
3 Experimental design and data
We set up a randomized controlled trial in the Leicestershire Police Force area (Leicestershire
hereafter), UK, jointly with Leicestershire Police and the three local authorities in Leices-
tershire.14 Leicestershire (see Figure 2 for map) covers a population of approximately one
million people, and Leicestershire Police is one of 43 police forces in England. One-third of
the population in Leicestershire is concentrated in the city of Leicester, with the remaining
population distributed across approximately 300 towns and villages. The experiment ran
between November 2014 and April 2015.
Figure 2 about here
3.1 Allocation of cases into the subject pool
We worked with the Leicestershire Police IT services team to design an automated computer
application for selecting the subject pool and for assigning treatment.
After responding to a domestic incident, ocers register the case, recorded as a domestic
incident report, in the Leicestershire Police database. Our automated application performed
a daily scheduled search through all newly recorded incidents and recovered domestic incident
cases that met several conditions: 1) the report was led as a domestic incident; 2) in the
previous 365 days, the victim had shown up in at least three DV reports (including the
current one) and fewer than seven DV reports;15 3) the victim was not in the subject pool
14Leicester City Council, Leicestershire County Council, and Rutland County Council.
15The initial interest of this intervention was to assist victims of repeat domestic violence. The minimum
10
12. previously (as either treatment or control); and 4) the victim was not assessed by responding
ocers as high risk.16 All cases that met these criteria were assigned to the subject pool.
The application automatically allocated subject pool cases to treatment or control groups,
each with a 50% probability. During the trial period, more than fty reported domestic
incidents were recorded daily with seven, on average, qualifying for the subject pool. For
the purpose of examining statements and conducting the survey, the person labelled victim
in each case report was assigned as the subject.
The nal sample consists of 1,017 cases, with each case referring to a unique victim. Of
these, two cases were dropped due to restrictions on access to police data.17 There were a
small number of cases for which we do not have information on all control variables. For
the purpose of the regression analysis, these missing values will be given a value of 0 and a
variable-specic dummy will be used to indicate missing values.18 The nal dataset for our
analysis consists of 1,015 unique cases. Of these, 510 cases are in the treatment group and
505 are in the control group.
3.2 Control
All cases in the subject pool received standard police procedure as described in Section 4.2.
Upon attending the initial callout, responding ocers left a pamphlet with victims that
lists, describes and provides contact information for some of the available DV services in
Leicestershire (see Appendix G). Victims were able to contact the services on this pamphlet
at any point. Victims were also invited to provide a statement to police at any point during
of three oences was based on predicted capacity constraints of the trial. If there were more than seven
DV incidents in the households, the case is classied as high-risk and was referred to a Multi-Agency Risk
Assessment Conference that provides a separate intervention as standard procedure.
16Cases categorized as High were excluded as these are transferred to a multi agency risk assessment
conference (MARAC) and treated separately.
17This would happen in the case in which individuals in the case are under investigation for a serious
oence such as sexual assault involving a minor.
18All reported results are robust to the exclusion of missing variables from the analysis.
11
13. or after the initial callout.
3.3 Treatment
Cases in the treatment group were assigned to a caseworker. Cases were allocated non-
randomly among the caseworkers according to workload and availability. Three dedicated
caseworkers were employed for the trial. The caseworkers were female and between the ages
of 25 and 35. Caseworkers all had previous training and experience as domestic abuse support
workers. Specically, all had previous experience in working with DV support services in
Leicestershire and had specialized knowledge of the various local services available and how
to access them. They also received training specic to the service provided through the
intervention in this study.19 Caseworkers were provided with desk space and IT support in
a large Leicestershire Police station.
The caseworker attempted to contact subjects via telephone within 24 hours20 of the
initial police report. Once contact was made, the caseworker described to the subject the
publicly provided support services that are available locally. If the subject expressed a wish
to access a specic support service, the caseworker assisted in initiating access. This included
organizing initial contact with the relevant support service, helping complete any paperwork,
and providing a referral when necessary. All contacted subjects were oered a face-to-face
meeting with the caseworker to go through the options available. If the victim expressed an
interest to leave the perpetrator, the caseworker also assisted in preparing an escape plan.
The intervention ended when either the victim declined to participate in the intervention or
a relevant support service had taken up the case.
Although the specic content of each interaction varied by case, important features of
19One of this study's authors was present during these training sessions.
20While caseworkers were on duty and attempted to make contact on Saturdays, victims of incidents
occurring between Saturday evening and Monday morning were all contacted on Monday, thus extending
the period of rst contact to 3648 hours in these cases.
12
14. the intervention were common to all cases. First, a caseworker attempted initial contact
with victims within a short time period (24 hours) after the police report of the incident
was led. Second, caseworkers had access to all police information about both victim and
perpetrators, including historical police records. Third, subjects were informed of available
non-police services, and, if they wished to move forward, caseworkers provided assistance in
accessing these services.
We dene a victim as having engaged with the intervention if they were successfully
contacted by a caseworker and they accepted some form of assistance, ranging from the
provision of advice during a one-time phone conversation to face-to-face follow-up meetings.
While an eort was made to deliver the intervention to all 501 victims assigned to the
treatment group, 240 (48%) of treatment group victims did not engage.21 Of these, 143
victims were contacted by a caseworker by telephone but refused both phone-based assistance
and a face-to-face meeting. For the remaining 97 victims, caseworkers were unable to make
contact given the available contact information.22
Among victims whom the caseworkers were able to contact, the engagement rate was
65%.23 Considering that caseworkers cold-called the victims, this is a notable take-up
rate. Of the 261 victims who did engage, 128, or 49%, had at least one face-to-face meeting
with the caseworker. Just under 35% of all home visits took place within 24 hours of the
initial callout (the same day that caseworkers made rst contact), with another 20% taking
place within three days. In all, 33% of home visits took place after three days but within a
week, and the remaining 13% took place more than one week after the initial callout.24
21A maximum of 5 attempts, at dierent times of the day across 5 days, was made to contact victims by
phone.
22For the victims' safety, the caller ID was not displayed, which may have led some victims to not answer
the call.
23In Appendix C we provide correlates between victim, perpetrator and household characteristics, and
treatment uptake.
24In Appendix E we provide and test an alternative rationalization of our main results based on the
timing between the initial callout and the visit by the engagement worker creating a cooling o period,
which decreases statement provision. We show that the data do not support this rationalization.
13
15. 3.4 Internal validity
Several design features of the trial safeguard the internal validity of this study. Most impor-
tantly, all assignments to the treatment and control groups were automated and randomized.
Unlike previous RCTs of similar second responder interventions (Davis and Taylor, 1997;
Davis, Weisburd, and Hamilton, 2007), caseworkers or police ocers could not override
assignment to treatment.25 Furthermore, the timing of treatment statusafter the initial
calloutensures that the actions taken by police at the initial callout were not inuenced
by knowledge of treatment assignment.
Caseworkers only received information on cases in the treatment group. While casework-
ers could have theoretically searched police reports for other reported DV cases on their
own initiative, we are condent this did not happen. Every access to a report in the police
information system is recorded and monitored, and unauthorized access to cases not in the
treatment group by the caseworkers might have resulted in disciplinary action.
3.5 Data
This study is built around a unique and innovative data set that we constructed from three
sources, briey discussed below.
Leicestershire Police Database
We matched cases in the subject pool with Leicestershire Police administrative records, from
a number of internal databases (detailed in Appendix F), using a unique crime reference
number. The administrative records from these databases provide information on the initial
incident (date, time, location, attending police ocers, risk assessment score, provision of a
25Police ocers did not have access to information on the treatment status of victims of DV. Furthermore,
based on informal discussions with members of Leicestershire Police, most ocers responding to DV calls
were not aware of the intervention during the trial.
14
16. statement by victim, and actions taken by police) and a wealth of information on the victim
and perpetrator, including demographic characteristics, household information, and previous
and subsequent police records.
We used personal identiers, including name, date of birth, and address, to link informa-
tion for victims and perpetrators across dierent cases over time. We collected information
for reported incidents, involving victims in the subject pool, over a two year period follow-
ing the intervention. For each reported case we collected information reecting the timing,
actions taken by police ocers and the risk assessment score provided by responding ocers.
The information was collected by three research assistants who did not have informa-
tion on the treatment status of individual cases.26 A fourth research assistant checked the
recorded information for consistency and accuracy from a random draw of approximately
30% of the cases.
Police National Database
Outcomes of the criminal justice process are not contained in the administrative records of
Leicestershire Police. This information is only available from the Police National Database
(PND), designed to share intelligence across all police forces and criminal justice agencies
throughout the UK. The PND holds over 3.5 billion searchable records with information
about individuals who have been arrested, charged, and convicted. The nationwide cover-
age allows us to track individuals beyond the Leicestershire Police Force area and access
information on all convictions of individuals.
The unique crime reference number given to each case allows us to link information from
Leicestershire Police records to information from the PND. These linkages were cross-checked
26IT and data protection training was provided by Leicestershire Police to the research assistants and
the authors over a three-day workshop prior to data collection. Because of the sensitive nature of the data
accessed in these databases, research assistants and the authors went through police vetting and criminal
background checks. All research assistants were undergraduate students at the University of Leicester with
a background in law or criminology.
15
17. by the recorded date of the incident. We collected information on whether a perpetrator was
arrested by police during or following a DV incident, whether the perpetrator was charged
by the CPS, and whether a perpetrator was sentenced in court for the incident (along with
details of the sentencing). Prosecution and court information was accessed more than 24
months after the randomized intervention took place, to allow for criminal justice proceedings
to be completed.
Because access to the PND is highly restricted, even within the police force, the data
were collected by a specially trained and licensed police ocer for whom every access to the
PND was authorized for the research project. This ocer was blind to the treatment status
of individual cases.
Victim survey
Outcomes of interest relating to victim safety, well-being and non-police service use are
not available from administrative sources. For this reason, we designed a victim survey to
collect supplementary information.27 However, there were important practical and ethical
implications for the repeated collection of sensitive survey information from domestic violence
victims. For this reason, our data collection was limited to a single application of the survey
one month after the intervention.
The victim survey was conducted by the Leicestershire Police Information Services Unit
using researchers specically trained in surveying victims of crime. Interviewers conducted
the survey blind to the treatment status of the interviewee. Surveys were administered
approximately one month following the initial callout and completed over the telephone
using the safe number provided to police at the initial callout.28 The survey was administered
27The full survey can be found on the project website, https://prj360.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/
04/P360_VictimSurvey.pdf
28Researchers followed strict procedure to ensure the safety of victims of DV, and conducted the interview
only if the interviewee ensured the researcher that the perpetrator was not in the premises and after the
location of the victim had been recorded. In case the connection to the victim's mobile phone was interrupted,
16
18. to a 25% random sample of the full subject pool.29 From this sample, we received an 84%
response rate, resulting in complete surveys for 105 treatment group subjects and 109 control
group subjects.
3.6 Descriptive statistics and treatment/control group balance
We test the random assignment of cases by comparing mean characteristics between the
treatment and control groups (Table 1). Based on the reported characteristics, treatment
and control are well-balanced; most observables do not dier signicantly between the two
groups.30 Some important characteristics reecting incident severity and the state of house-
hold violence are worth highlighting. Specically, the average number of cases over the last
year (2.33 and 2.26) and the responding ocer's victim risk assessment score (1.28 and 1.28)
do not dier signicantly between treatment and control. Furthermore, we do not observe a
signicant dierence of intimate partner status of victim and perpetrator or the presence of
children in the household. We therefore interpret Table 1 as evidence that allocation to the
treatment or control group was random.
Table 1 about here
The descriptive statistics for this sample are consistent with the picture about demo-
graphic characteristics of victims and perpetrators based on previous studies. In total, 87%
of victims versus 14% of perpetrators are female. On average, victims are slightly older
than perpetrators (34.5 years versus 33.2 years). The victim and perpetrator are intimate
a rapid response police unit was sent to the premises to ensure safety of the interviewee.
29This sample was negotiated with the Leicestershire Police Information Services Unit based on their
resource constraints.
30Two exceptions should be noted. First, at the time of the initial callout, perpetrators in the treatment
group have 1.16 more registered instances of domestic violence than do perpetrators in the control group.
Second, victims and perpetrators are 6 percentage points more likely to be living together in the treatment
group than in the control group. At the 5% and 10% levels of signicance, the number of signicant
dierences is roughly what one would expect to occur by chance. The remaining dierences are both
statistically insignicant and small in magnitude.
17
19. partners in 77% of cases, and cohabiting at the time of the initial callout in 55% of cases.
In all, 58% of the sample households with children have an average of 1.95 children each.
4 Results
In this section, we present results for a number of outcomes reecting various stages of the
case life-cycle. We start with outcomes reecting the eect of the intervention on victim
use of police and non-police services, and short-run measures of self-reported well-being. We
then look at the eect of the intervention on the frequency and severity of repeat police-
reported domestic violence over a two-year period. Finally, we look at intermediate outcomes
for arrest, charges and conviction of the perpetrator.
Estimates are interpreted as an intention to treat (ITT), denoted by γ1 in the linear
probability regression (1).
Si = γ0 + γ1treati + XiΓ + ei (1)
Si reects the outcome measure under consideration. treati is an indicator equal to 1 if i
was assigned to the treatment group and 0 if i was assigned to the control group. Xi denotes
a vector of variables including victim and perpetrator sex, victim and perpetrator age, a
white race indicator for victim and perpetrator, an indicator for cohabitation, an indicator
for children being present in the household, and the number of police-reported domestic
incidents in the previous year.31 ei captures all other inuences on the respective outcome
yi that are unobserved by the researchers. ei and the randomly assigned treati are assumed
to be uncorrelated.
31Some of these variables contain a small number of missing values. In these cases we set the missing
equal to 0, and include a corresponding missing dummy equal to 1 for missing values and 0 otherwise. Xi
includes the full set of these dummy variables.
18
20. 4.1 Programme eect on statement provision and police service use
In Table 2, we report the estimated treatment eects for the provision of victim statements
to police. The unconditional dierence between treatment and control (Column 1) shows
that there is a 6.2 percentage point decrease in statement provision between the treatment
and control group. The coecient is very similar when control variables are added, and this
eect indicates that the intervention lead to a 5.8 percentage point decrease in the provision
of statements by victims to the police. This corresponds to a 19.3% decrease relative to
statement provision in the control group.
The LATE estimate suggests that victims who engaged with the intervention are 11.2
percentage points less likely to provide a statement to the police. This is a large eect, and
corresponds to a 37.5% decrease relative to statement provision by the control group.32
Table 2 about here
Given the timing of the intervention, we should not observe an eect on statements that
are provided to the police prior to contact with the caseworker. We test this by estimating
the ITT for making a statement during the initial police callout (t = 0, before treatment) and
(conditional on no statement at t = 0) making a statement at least one day after the initial
police callout (t 0, after treatment). As expected, the treatment and control group make
statements at t = 0 at the same frequency (Column 4, Table 2). The estimated treatment
eect is a statistically insignicant dierence of -0.3 percentage points. The treatment group
is less likely than the control group to make a statement at t 0 (Column 5, Table 2).
The estimated treatment eect is -5.8 percentage points, conrming that the dierence in
statement making estimated earlier arises solely from any dierence arising after the initial
police callout as expected.
32Of course, we cannot determine how large this eect is relative to statement provision among the unob-
servable subset of the control group that would take up the intervention had they been oered.
19
21. Figure 3 about here
We examine the timing of statements further in Figure 3 by estimating a treatment eect
relative to days, t = {0, 1, ..., 10}, since the initial callout (t = 0). In Figure 3(a), we plot the
probability of a statement (conditional on no statement in previous days) against days since
the initial incident. In Figure 3(b), we plot the treatment eect corresponding to each day.
These gures draw attention to several points. First, both the treatment and the control
group exhibit a similar pattern of the propensity of early statement making that dissipates
rapidly over time. By t = 4, the propensity to make a statement on a given day is less than
1%. Second, consistent with Table 2, we do not observe a signicant dierence at t = 0, the
day with most statements made. Third, a negative treatment-control statement gap persists
from t = 1 to t = 4 days following the initial callout; we do not observe a distinguishable
statement dierence in days for which statement making is relatively infrequent (t 4).
4.2 Programme eect on non-police service use, re-victimization
risk, and wellbeing
Non-police services cover a number of dierent forms of assistance. For treatment group
subjects who engaged with the intervention, we have detailed information on service use
following the initial incident.33 The most common services include refuge (9.2% uptake),
registering with a general practitioner (12.3% uptake), counselling services (48.4% uptake)
and personal safety planning (60.5% uptake).
As discussed in Section 2, non-police services are administered by a large number of
independent agencies, making the collection of administrative data for our sample infeasible.
To estimate the eect of treatment on the use of non-police services we use information
from the one-month follow-up survey, in which subjects self-report service uptake (Panel A,
33This information, taken from caseworker reports for the 261 subjects who engaged with the intervention,
is summarized in Table G2 of the supplementary appendix.
20
22. Figure 4).
Treatment eect estimates for use of non-police services are positive and non-trivial in
magnitude.34 The treatment group is 10.5 percentage points (36%) more likely than the
control to state they have visited their general practitioner as a result of the initial incident.
The treatment group is also 4.2 percentage points (100%) more likely to have attended
accidents and emergency department following the incident. Subjects in the treatment group
are 10.6 percentage points (18%) more likely to state they used a non-police service other
than health services. We summarize these results with an index of service uptake (following
Anderson, 2008). Overall, the intervention had a strong positive eect on service uptake
beyond what was provided directly through the intervention.
Figure 4 about here
We also asked victims, whether their personal safety had improved since the initial inci-
dence. The survey results suggest that the programme had a positive eect on the perceived
risk of the subject being exposed to future domestic violence (Panel B, Figure 4). Victims
in the treatment group are 20.1 percentage points (48%) less likely to be in contact with the
perpetrator of the initial incident. Treatment group subjects report being 10.4 percentage
points (28%) more willing to report a future incident, and are 4.6 percentage points (8.8%)
more likely to say that their personal safety has improved since the initial incident. Overall,
the repeat victimization risk index suggests a signicant decrease in risk for the treatment
group relative to the control group.
We also investigate changes relative to the initial incident in a variety of well-being
measures (Panel C of Figure 4). We nd that the treatment had a positive, but small and
insignicant, eect on reported quality of life and control over life. However, other measures
34However, our ability to get precise estimates is limited by the survey's sample size. Given the sample
of 214, for variables with a mean of 50%, we require a treatment eect of over 11 percentage points to be
statistically signicant at the 10% level.
21
23. suggest that perceived well-being for treatment group subjects decreased, relative to the
control group, in the weeks following the initial incident. The treatment group was 20.3
percentage points (40.6%) less likely to report an improved stress level since the incident.
We nd very small, but negative, eects on subject-reported mental health and quality of
sleep. The overall index suggests that the intervention had a negative (although relatively
small) impact on the well-being of subjects in the weeks following the intervention.
It should be noted that a short-run decrease in well-being, particularly as measured
through stress, is not inconsistent with a decrease in victimization risk as measured here.
For example, leaving an abusive partner, while likely reducing the risk of future abuse, may
introduce new problems for the subject. An abusive partner, for example, may have a role in
the household as a provider of income, and assist in productive household activities. Leaving
such a partner is likely to introduce household nance problems, which, in the short-run,
some subjects may nd more stressful than living with an abusive partner.
4.3 Programme eect on repeat police-reported domestic violence
In the previous section, we investigated the eect the intervention had on the perceived
risk of future victimization using survey data. In this section, we expand on this using
police data on repeat victimization and ask whether the intervention had an eect on future
police-reported incidents.
We start by looking at the probability that at least one police-reported repeat incident
is observed over this two year period. The estimated treatment eects are positive, but
statistically insignicant (columns 12, Table 3). The treatment group is 2.2 percentage
points more likely than the control group to have reported a repeat domestic incident; a
2.9 percent increase over the control group mean. The results for the number of reported
domestic incidents are similar, coecients are positive but not statistically signicant. Over
a two year period, the treatment group reported 0.217 more domestic incidents. This is a
22
24. 8.1 percent increase over the control group mean of 2.681 domestic incidents. Results are
similar when we condition on at least observing one repeat incident over the two year period
reducing the coecient on the treatment eect slightly (columns 56, Table 3).
Table 3 about here
The challenge in using future repeats to draw conclusions about the state of violence in
the household is that treatment may impact reporting, as we saw with the victim survey.
If this is the case, then we may expect the treatment group to report incidents that are
less severe than they would absent the treatment.35 We look at three measures reecting
the severity of the reported incidents.36 These will allow us to examine whether subsequent
police reports for DV dier in their quality by treatment status. It should be noted that if
the treatment leads to an increase in reporting, then γ1, from the Equation (1) regression of
severity, cannot be interpreted as a treatment eect. Observed changes in incident severity
may mechanically arise through the eect of treatment on the composition of the sample
observed in a repeat incident.
The rst measure is the risk assessment score provided by the ocers who respond to
the initial incident. This score is based on a standardised tool used across UK police forces
to assess the risk of escalation in domestic violence situations.37 A higher risk assessment
score (out of a possible 20) means that the victim meets more of the criteria on which risk
is assessed. We interpret a higher risk score as a more severe incident. The second measure
that we look at is the probability that a victim is identied as high-risk by police following a
repeat incident. A victim is identied as high risk if either they have a risk assessment score
of fourteen or higher, or if they have had at least seven police-reported incidents over a 365-
day period. The nal measure of the severity that we consider is the arrest of a perpetrator
35This assumes that the likelihood of reporting is increasing in incident severity.
36Severity measures are observed for the rst ve repeats in the rst year following the intervention.
37This tool is formally known as the Domestic Abuse, Stalking and Honour-Based (DASH) violence as-
sessment. It is based on a series of twenty yes/no questions that the responding ocer asks victims. We
provide an example of the DASH assessment tool in the supplementary Appendix H.
23
25. by the responding ocers, where we assume that incidents where the perpetrator is arrested
are of a more severe nature.
Table 4 about here
The treatment group had a risk assessment score 0.42 points lower than the control group
(Table 4). While this estimate is not signicant, it represents a non-trivial magnitude of a
7.0% reduction compared to the control group mean. Results are similar for proportion
of reported repeat incidents that are identied as high risk (the treatment group is 1.2
percentage points less likely to be reporting a high risk incident) and arrests (arrest is 3.9
percentage points less likely for the treatment group).
Estimates across all measures of severity are negative, indicating that reported incidents
in the treated group are of lower severity, but the coecients are statistically insignicant.
Given these results, we cannot rule out that the increased propensity to report future in-
cidents lead to less severe cases being reported to police, in line with the results on the
increased willingness to report from the victim survey. This would suggest that the very
small, positive, but insignicant eects on repeat incidents may result from an increased
propensity to report lower severity incidents.38 Given the low fraction of domestic violence
cases reported to police, any increase in reporting can be seen as a positive outcome from the
intervention. Given the small sample sizes limiting our ability to estimate statistically sig-
nicant eects, we nevertheless do not want to overinterpret these eects, but we can likely
rule out large signicant eects of the treatment on repeat victimization in either direction.
4.4 Programme eect on perpetrator arrest, charge, and sentencing
Finally, we consider outcomes that mediate one side of the relationship between statement
provision and repeat incidents. Given the decrease in statement provision due to the inter-
38It is possible that a reduction in incidents is concealed by a large increase in reporting of minor cases
previously not reported to police
24
26. vention, one might be concerned that this also leads to a reduction in punitive actions taken
against the perpetrator. We examine this possibility here for subsequent perpetrator arrest
by police, charges by the Crown Prosecution Service, and sentencing by the courts. Table 5
reports the estimates.
Table 5 about here
For each outcome, we estimate a negative eect that is small in magnitude, and no
estimate is statistically signicant. Treatment is linked to a 1.2 percentage point reduction
in arrest, a 0.7 percentage point reduction in the perpetrator being charged, and a 0.4
percentage point reduction in sentencing of the perpetrator. These magnitudes correspond
to a 4.5%, 5.3%, and 4.8% decrease relative to the respective outcomes. These results suggest
that there was little eect of the reduction in statement provision on punitive outcomes
against the perpetrator.
5 Discussion and interpretation of results
There are two overarching concerns that a programme such as the one in this intervention
is trying to address. The rst, and most important, is the long-term safety and well-being
of victims of domestic violence. The second concern regards the most ecient use of public
services available to victims of DV. Specically, did the intervention lead to a better allocation
of service use between police and non-police services?
Eect of the intervention on victim outcomes
Taken together, the results from the one-month survey indicate that the intervention had the
expected eect on victims, in particular regarding engagement with specialist DV services
and personal safety (Figure 4). Victims in the treatment group are more likely to have used
25
27. health and non-health services one month following the initial incident and appear to be
less exposed to repeat victimization, largely driven by reduced contact with the perpetrator.
We also document that the intervention increased stress levels. This is consistent with the
victims in the treatment group engaging with services and making changes in their personal
circumstances, which ultimately may improve their safety but may also increase short-term
stress levels.
Despite the positive eects on safety of victims documented using the survey results,
we do not nd an eect of the intervention on the longer-term quantity of police reported
domestic incidents. One possible explanation for this is that the intervention did not actually
lead to a change in household violence. This interpretation contrasts with recent work in the
economics literature that emphasises the role of outside options in reducing household abuse
(Aizer, 2010; Bobonis, González-Brenes, and Castro, 2013; Anderberg, Rainer, Wadsworth,
and Wilson, 2016). By making support services easier to access, the victim's outside options
away from the relationship are improved, and the threat of leaving the perpetrator is more
salient (Farmer and Tiefenthaler 1996).
Exploring this explanation, one can speculate as to why improving support service access
might not work. A possible explanation is that the services which are available do not address
the specic needs of these repeat-victims. There is a small number of empirical studies that
look at the eectiveness of individual support services and repeat violence. Stover, Meadows
and Kaufman (2009) review the literature that looks at specic victim-support services, and
conclude that there is little evidence that these services lead to a fall in rates of repeat
victimization. For example, it is possible that the mix of available services simply does meet
the needs of these victims. This contrasts nevertheless with our ndings that the intervention
lead to an increased uptake of specialist DV services documented in our survey results.
An alternative interpretation of the our results, is that the intervention reduced violence
within the household, but also increased the victim's willingness to report a future incident,
26
28. hence leading the quantity of repeat incidents to appear unaected by the intervention. We
explored this channel by looking at measures which reect the severity of the repeat police
callouts. The consistently lower measures of severity for treatment group victims, although
not statistically dierent from zero, is consistent with this interpretation. These eects are
also in line with the results from the victim survey, where we nd that treated victims
are more likely to report future incidents to police. The magnitude of the estimates on
the severity of subsequent repeat incidents are worthy of further consideration: for treated
victims, repeat incidents are at least 2.2 percentage points (2.9%) more likely to be reported,
and the likelihood a reported incident is high-risk decreases by 1.2 percentage points (5.6%).
It would be reasonable to consider this as an improvement in welfare for repeat DV victims.
Our lack of power makes both of these interpretations highly speculative. However,
we are condent that the intervention did not lead to a worsening of safety for victims of
DV. This is in contrast to previous studies (e.g. Davis, Weisburd and Hamilton 2010) and
likely attributable to the careful design of the intervention ensuring victim contact was made
without perpetrator involvement.
Productivity in the use of police services
Above we argue that the intervention did not lead to a deterioration of the safety of victims
of DV, and possibly led to an improvement. Here we discuss the results showing a signicant
decrease in statement provision, but no signicant change in perpetrator arrest or charge.
These results might be surprising, given the strong positive correlation between victim state-
ment provision and perpetrator arrest. Once a statement is made, it requires investigative
eorts on the part of police to determine whether to build a case for prosecution. In this way,
the correlation between statements and arrests, charges or sentencing provides a measure of
productivity. With this interpretation, the results are consistent with the intervention lead-
ing to a non-random change in statement provision; victims who forgo statement provision
27
29. due to the treatment have, on average, a lower statement productivity than other victims.39
In Appendix B we introduce a formal framework, dening victim types according to
whether or not they change their statement provision upon receiving the treatment. Under
the assumptions that a) the probability of a perpetrator arrest or charge is weakly increasing
in statement provision, and b) conditional on statement provision the intervention is uncorre-
lated with perpetrator arrest, a decrease in statement without a change in arrest means that
police services are being used more eciently. Specically, for victims who forgo statement
provision due to treatment, either their statement is less eective in resulting in criminal
justice outcomes than for those who make statements due to treatment, or the probability
their statements lead to a criminal justice outcome is close to zero.
We explore this interpretation further by comparing changes in outcomes for those victims
who provided a statement to police. Changes in these outcomes are consistent with the
intervention having aected the composition of the statement providers, as we argue in
Appendix B.
Table 6 about here
Statement retraction is a plausible channel through which the ndings presented in sec-
tions 4.1 and 4.4 may arise. If a victim retracts his or her statement, it is inadmissible as
evidence against the perpetrator. We nd a signicant decrease in the retraction of state-
ments that are provided after the initial callout, (Statements at t 0, Panel A, Table 6).
This suggests that statements made after the initial callout are 10.3 percentage points less
likely to be retracted in the treatment group than they are in the control group. Consider-
ing retraction of these statements for the control group is 12.2%, this is an 84% reduction,
leaving treatment group statement retractions at only 1.9%. Furthermore, we do not see a
39We say that a statement A is more productive than statement B if the probability of A leading to an
arrest and other actions by police is higher than B.
28
30. similar reduction for statements made at the initial callout (Statements at t = 0, Panel A,
Table 6), for which estimates are smaller in magnitude and are not statistically signicant.
The correlation between statement and perpetrator arrest is 10.5 percentage points higher
for the treatment group relative to the control group (Any statement, Panel B, Table 6).
Consistent with previous ndings, this is due to a 15.6 percentage point increase in the
correlation for statements made after the initial callout (Statement at t 0, Panel A, Table
6). We nd no signicant dierence between the treatment group and control group in this
correlation for statements made at the initial callout.
We also look at dierences of treatment and control in the correlation between statement
provision and perpetrator charges and sentencing (panels C and D, Table 6). The estimated
dierences between treatment and control are similar in size compared to the estimates for
arrest, but not statistically dierent from zero.
This result indicates an increase in the correlation between statements and arrest follow-
ing the intervention, which we interpret as an increase in the productivity of police services.
Note that this arises purely from the composition of statement-makers in treatment and
control.
6 Conclusions
The experimental evidence on improving access to domestic violence support services pre-
sented here leads to three key results. First, improving support service access for repeat
victims led to an 18% reduction in statements to police. This suggests that, on the margin,
victims in our subject pool treat police and non-police services as substitutes (see Appendix
A). This is generally important; when service users view two dierent services as imper-
fect substitutes, barriers to access in one service (non-police services) may have a negative
externality on the other service (police services).
29
31. Second, despite this decrease in statement provision, we do not see a corresponding de-
crease in punitive actions against perpetrators. We argue that this is consistent with the
intervention having led to a more ecient use of police services by victims. For example,
treatment group statements are 84% less likely to be withdrawn than control group state-
ments. Therefore, making non-police services easier for victims to access will alleviate some
of the pressure on scarce police services. A back-of-the-envelope calculation (assuming a
conservative 10 investigative hours per statement)40 suggests that this intervention freed up
550 hours of police time to be allocated elsewhere.41
Third, unlike previous studies, we do not nd evidence of an increase in household violence
following the intervention. This is signicant; the importance of the eciency conclusion
is moot if it comes at the expense of victim well-being. In fact, this study oers weak
evidence that improving access to support services may improve outcomes for victims overall
as evidenced by the lower risk of victimization from the victim survey.
The ndings have general implications for the provision of public services, when indi-
viduals decide between dierent alternative services for which ease of access diers. Several
relevant examples involve public health services. For example, the choice of seeking help for
an acute health problem using general practitioner services versus emergency services and
dierences in ease of access based on the provision on weekdays compared to the weekend.
This study also highlights the diculty in designing policy to address persistent domestic
violence. Despite a signicant improvement in the accessibility of domestic violence support
services, we nd little change in future victimization. These results serve as reminder of the
exceptional complexity of the underlying root causes of DV and the limitations of interven-
40Because of the large variation in the time spent on further investigation of DV cases, it is dicult to
quantify the average number of hours spent by the DV investigative team. Leicestershire police provided us
with a benchmark based on their professional experience of an average of 20 hours investigative time per
further investigation.
41An important limitation of this study is our imperfect view of non-police services. We cannot calculate
service-specic eects of the treatment. Therefore, it is not possible to talk about the general distributional
eciency across all public services from a cost-benet perspective.
30
32. tions in breaking the persistent cycle of repeat victimization.
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36. Table 1: Descriptive statistics
Treatment Control Dierence N
A. Victim characteristics
Female 0.888 0.857 0.031 1015
(0.021)
Age 33.929 34.984 -1.055 1015
(0.768)
White 0.844 0.835 0.008 991
(0.023)
Domestic cases (365 days) 2.330 2.259 0.071 1015
(0.096)
Registered domestic cases 11.720 10.721 0.999 1015
(0.684)
Risk assessment score 1.275 1.280 -0.005 955
(0.035)
B. Perpetrator characteristics
Female 0.139 0.138 0.001 1004
(0.022)
Age 33.028 33.392 -0.364 1004
(0.744)
White 0.803 0.819 -0.016 925
(0.026)
Domestic cases (365 days) 2.226 2.248 -0.022 1004
(0.124)
Registered domestic cases 11.891 10.727 1.163 1004
(0.650)
C. Household characteristics
Same victim and perpetrator† 0.422 0.471 -0.049 1004
(0.031)
Intimate partner 0.761 0.798 -0.036 983
(0.026)
Cohabitation 0.532 0.593 -0.060 982
(0.032)
Children in the household 0.586 0.570 0.016 1009
(0.031)
Number of children‡ 1.923 1.983 -0.060 583
(0.082)
35
37. Notes: This table reports variable means for cases in the treatment and control groups. Column dierence
reports the dierence in group means; the corresponding standard error on dierence is reported in
parenthesis, , , and indicate statistical signicance at a 10%, 5% and 1%.
†
Binary variable equal to 1 if the same perpetrator is observed for the same victim, 0 otherwise.
‡
Number of children conditional on having at least one child.
36
38. Table 2: Treatment eect for victim providing a statement to police
Treatment eects Falsication test
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
t=0 t0
Treatment -0.062∗∗
-0.058∗∗
-0.003 -0.058∗∗
(0.028) (0.026) (0.021) (0.023)
Engagement -0.112∗∗
(0.051)
Victim female -0.007 -0.004 -0.008 0.003
(0.043) (0.043) (0.035) (0.037)
Perp female -0.070∗
-0.080∗
-0.051 -0.026
(0.042) (0.043) (0.034) (0.036)
Victim white 0.114∗∗
0.110∗∗
0.064∗
0.068
(0.046) (0.046) (0.037) (0.043)
Perp white -0.092∗∗
-0.097∗∗
-0.067∗
-0.048
(0.045) (0.045) (0.036) (0.042)
Cohabitation 0.124∗∗∗
0.127∗∗∗
-0.023 0.158∗∗∗
(0.027) (0.027) (0.022) (0.024)
Child in household -0.006 -0.001 0.020 -0.021
(0.027) (0.027) (0.022) (0.024)
Previous DV -0.005 -0.006 -0.001 -0.005
(0.009) (0.009) (0.007) (0.008)
Risk assessment 0.268∗∗∗
0.274∗∗∗
0.172∗∗∗
0.177∗∗∗
(0.025) (0.025) (0.020) (0.025)
Constant 0.299∗∗∗
-0.170∗∗
-0.179∗∗
-0.111 -0.154∗∗
(0.020) (0.086) (0.086) (0.069) (0.076)
N 1015 1015 1015 1015 878
R2
0.005 0.173 0.148 0.092 0.150
Notes: This table reports estimates from a linear probability model for a binary outcome, equal to
1 if the person identied as victim provided police with a statement, and 0 otherwise. Columns
(1) and (2) report OLS estimates, unconditional and conditioning on the reported control variables.
Column (3) reports two-stage least square estimates, where assignment to the treatment group is
an instrument for programme uptake (excluded F = 537, R2
=0.367). In Column (4), the outcome
is equal to 1 if a statement is provided within 24 hours of the initial police callout, and 0 otherwise.
In Column (5), the sample excludes cases where a statement is provided within 24 hours of the
initial police callout. Estimates in columns (2)(5) include victim and perpetrator age and binary
indicators corresponding to missing variables (coded as 0). Robust standard errors are reported in
parentheses. , , and indicate statistical signicance at a 10%, 5% and 1% level.
37
39. Table 3: Repeat police-reported D.V., two-years following initial incident
Repeats ≥ 1 Total repeats Total repeats,
conditional on ≥ 1
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Treatment 0.030 0.022 0.270 0.217 0.209 0.186
(0.027) (0.027) (0.213) (0.213) (0.247) (0.246)
Victim female 0.077 0.300 0.029
(0.049) (0.350) (0.441)
Perp female -0.046 -0.255 -0.085
(0.046) (0.326) (0.386)
Victim white 0.071 -0.084 -0.457
(0.044) (0.403) (0.441)
Perp white 0.011 0.381 0.405
(0.041) (0.376) (0.400)
Cohabitation -0.062∗∗
-0.705∗∗∗
-0.561∗∗
(0.028) (0.232) (0.265)
Child in household 0.029 -0.204 -0.416
(0.028) (0.239) (0.283)
Previous DV 0.015∗
0.272∗∗∗
0.271∗∗∗
(0.008) (0.077) (0.088)
Risk assessment -0.018 -0.078 -0.043
(0.026) (0.205) (0.242)
Constant 0.749∗∗∗
0.624∗∗∗
2.681∗∗∗
2.780∗∗∗
3.582∗∗∗
4.334∗∗∗
(0.019) (0.092) (0.141) (0.693) (0.177) (0.847)
N 1015 1015 1015 1015 775 775
R2
0.001 0.034 0.002 0.041 0.001 0.044
Notes: This table reports estimates for the regression of repeat police-reported domestic violence
outcomes on treatment status. A repeat is dened as an incident recorded by the police involving
the person identied as the victim in the initial incident. All outcomes are collected over a period
of two years from the time of the initial call-out. The outcome in columns (1) and (2) is a binary
variable equal to 1 if at least one repeat is observed, and 0 otherwise. The outcome in columns
(3) and (4) is the total number of repeat police callouts for domestic violence. The outcome in
columns (5) and (6) is the total number of repeat police callouts for domestic violence, conditional
on at least one. Estimates include victim and perpetrator age and binary indicators corresponding
to missing control variables (coded as 0). Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses. ,
, and indicate statistical signicance at a 10%, 5% and 1% level.
38
40. Table 4: Incident severity at repeat police callouts
Risk level High risk Perpetrator arrested
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Treatment -0.410 -0.419 -0.014 -0.012 -0.031 -0.039
(0.358) (0.336) (0.035) (0.035) (0.039) (0.040)
Victim female 0.606 -0.056 0.012
(0.532) (0.076) (0.069)
Perp female -1.695∗∗∗
-0.131∗∗
-0.075
(0.526) (0.057) (0.064)
Victim white -0.862 -0.261∗∗∗
-0.115∗
(0.596) (0.068) (0.067)
Perp white 0.779 0.137∗∗
0.033
(0.526) (0.056) (0.066)
Cohabitation 0.774∗∗
0.013 0.027
(0.352) (0.036) (0.042)
Child in household 0.862∗∗
-0.036 0.056
(0.355) (0.038) (0.041)
Previous DV -0.101 0.017 0.017
(0.101) (0.012) (0.012)
Risk assessment 1.832∗∗∗
0.095∗∗
0.046
(0.365) (0.040) (0.039)
Constant 6.039∗∗∗
3.984∗∗∗
0.215∗∗∗
0.317∗∗
0.457∗∗∗
0.490∗∗∗
(0.255) (1.195) (0.025) (0.143) (0.028) (0.139)
N 522 522 535 535 639 639
R2
0.003 0.164 0.000 0.088 0.001 0.042
Notes: This table reports estimates for the regression of outcomes reecting the severity of repeat
domestic incidents. The dependant variable in columns (1) and (2) is the DASH risk assessment
score left by the responding ocer. The dependant variable in columns (3) and (4) is a binary
variable equal to 1 if the victim is identied as high-risk, and 0 otherwise. The dependant variable
in columns (5) and (6) is a binary variable equal to 1 if the perpetrator was arrested by the police
during at least one callout, and 0 otherwise. Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses.
, , and indicate statistical signicance at a 10%, 5% and 1% level.
39
41. Table 5: Treatment eect for perpetrator arrest, arrest with charges and conviction
Arrested Charged Sentenced
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Treatment -0.016 -0.012 -0.009 -0.007 -0.009 -0.004
(0.027) (0.026) (0.021) (0.020) (0.017) (0.017)
Victim female 0.046 -0.003 -0.035
(0.039) (0.033) (0.028)
Perp female -0.103∗∗∗
-0.033 -0.057∗∗∗
(0.037) (0.029) (0.019)
Victim white 0.056 0.041 0.021
(0.047) (0.036) (0.030)
Perp white -0.093∗
-0.034 -0.013
(0.048) (0.038) (0.032)
Cohabitation 0.092∗∗∗
0.079∗∗∗
0.058∗∗∗
(0.027) (0.020) (0.016)
Child in household -0.020 0.006 0.012
(0.027) (0.021) (0.017)
Previous DV -0.005 -0.005 -0.006
(0.009) (0.007) (0.005)
Risk assessment 0.238∗∗∗
0.150∗∗∗
0.084∗∗∗
(0.028) (0.026) (0.022)
Constant 0.263∗∗∗
-0.084 0.133∗∗∗
-0.068 0.083∗∗∗
-0.011
(0.020) (0.083) (0.015) (0.066) (0.012) (0.049)
N 1014 1014 1015 1015 1015 1015
R2
0.000 0.134 0.000 0.092 0.000 0.058
Notes: This table reports linear probability estimates for three binary outcomes. Outcome Arrest is
equal to 1 if the person identied as perpetrator is arrested by police, and 0 otherwise. Outcome
Charged is equal to 1 if the person identied as perpetrator is charged by the Crown Prosecution
Service, and 0 otherwise. Outcome Sentenced is equal to 1 if the person identied as perpetrator
is convicted (ne, probation, or prison sentence) by the courts, and 0 otherwise. Alternate columns
report estimates of the intention to treat, unconditional and conditioning on the reported control
variables. Estimates also include victim and perpetrator age and binary indicators corresponding
to missing control variables (coded 0). Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses, , ,
and indicate statistical signicance at a 10%, 5%, and 1% level.
40
42. Table 6: Outcomes conditioning on statement provided by victim
Treatment Control Dierence
A. Statement retracted by victim
Any statement 0.140 0.192 -0.052
(0.045)
Statement at t = 0 0.235 0.275 -0.040
(0.075)
Statement at t 0 0.019 0.122 -0.103
(0.041)
B. Perpetrator arrested by the police
Any statement 0.744 0.636 0.108
(0.056)
Statement at t = 0 0.765 0.725 0.040
(0.075)
Statement at t 0 0.717 0.561 0.156
(0.083)
C. Perpetrator charged by the CPS
Any statement 0.397 0.371 0.026
(0.060)
Statement at t = 0 0.382 0.406 -0.023
(0.084)
Statement at t 0 0.415 0.341 0.074
(0.086)
D. Perpetrator sentenced in court
Any statement 0.240 0.245 -0.005
(0.052)
Statement at t = 0 0.221 0.290 -0.069
(0.075)
Statement at t 0 0.264 0.207 0.057
(0.076)
Notes: This table depicts the dierence between treatment and control group for perpetrator
arrests, charges laid against the perpetrator and victim retraction of statements, conditioning on
the provision of a statement by the victim. Columns labelled treatment and control report the
mean for each conditional outcome for the treatment and control groups; column dierence reports
the dierence between these two values. Rows labelled Statements at t = 0 condition on statement
provided within the rst 24 hours following the initial police visit, rows labelled Statements at
t 0 condition on statement provided after 24 hours period. N = 272, with 137 for statement at
t = 0 and 135 for statement at t 0. Robust standard errors on dierence reported in parenthesis.
, , and indicate dierence is statistically signicant at a 10%, 5% and 1% level of signicance.
41
43. Figure 1: Tree representing the life of a case
Sentenced
(63.7%)
End
Statement
Yes
(27.0%)
No
(73.0%)
End
No further action
(31.3%)
Arrest and charge
(37.6%)
Arrest only (30.6%)
Sentenced
(59.0%)
End
End
No further action
(89.5%)
Arrest and charge
(3.0%)
Arrest only (7.0%)
Notes: Percentages correspond to the probability of the event conditional on position in the tree, based on
subject pool data. End nodes indicate that no further action is taken with respect to the case.
42
44. Figure 2: Leicestershire Police Force area
Notes: Map sections indicate counties for England. Area in red is the Leicester Police Force area.
43
45. Figure 3: Probability of victim statement by days since initial callout and treatment
(a) Probability of statement, conditional on no previous
(b) Treatment eect, statement provided by days since initial callout†
Notes: These gures show a) the probability a statement is provided on day t, conditional on not having
provided a statement previously, and b) the corresponding treatment eect by days since the initial callout.
Treatment eect estimates are intention to treat, corresponding to equation (2) in the main text.
†
Bars reect 90% condence interval.
44
46. Figure 4: Non-police services and victim well-being, one-month survey
Notes: This gure reports results from selected questions on the one-month victim follow up survey.
The complete survey questionnaire is available from the authors. Outcomes for each question are
transformed into binary variables equal to 1 if the answer is armative, and 0 otherwise. Points
show the dierence between the treatment and control group for armative responses. Bars
reect 90% condence interval on the dierence. Mean outcome for the control group reported in
parenthesis. N = 214, with 105 in treatment and 109 in control. Services are dened as any non-
police services, excluding health services (GP or AE), available specically for domestic violence.
*Index variables are calculated following Anderson (2008).
45
47. For Online Publication
Appendices to accompany Public Services Access Barriers and Domestic Vio-
lence: Lessons from a Randomized Controlled Trial
Martin Foureaux Koppensteiner, Jesse Matheson, and Reka Plugor
14 October 2020
Appendix A Conceptual framework
In this section, we present a stylized conceptual framework to guide our thinking about the
relationship between access barriers and the choice between various services for victims of
DV.
Consider a model in which individuals, denoted by i, choose between police and non-
police services. Each service results in individual-specic benets denoted by pi ≥ 0 from
the police services and ni ≥ 0 from the non-police services. If both services are accessed,
individuals also receive an incremental benet of b, which may be positive or negative (i.e.,
services may be complements or substitutes), but which is common to all users. Barriers are
reected by a composite cost to the individual of accessing each service, cp
and cn
, common
to all users. Costs and benets are additively separable, and utility with no service use is
normalized to 0. The utility for an individual i, denoted Ui, can be written as:
Ui = (pi − cp
) × 1[policei] + (ni − cn
) × 1[non-policei] + b × 1[bothi] (A.1)
where 1[·] is an indicator function equal to 1 if the service in the argument is accessed and
0 otherwise. Individuals choose the service or services that provide them with the greatest
utility. In Figure A.1, we depict service utilization at dierent values of pi and ni in the case
when b is positive (A.1a, A.1b) and when b is negative (A.1c, A.1d). Figures A.1a and A.1c
show the possible outcomes absent the intervention. Observed use within the population
will depend on the distribution of individuals across the possible values pi and ni.
Consider the eect of an intervention that works by decreasing the cost of accessing non-
police services, with no change in the cost of access to police services. This is depicted in
A.1b and A.1d by a movement from cn
to cn
. In both cases, b 0 and b 0, there will
be an unambiguous increase in the use of non-police services, shown by areas A, B, and C.
However, the impact on the use of police services depends on the sign of b. If b is positive,
then the use of police services will increase; this is due to users with preferences in area B of
1
48. Figure A.1: Access frictions and service use
Only non-police
Only police
Both
Neither
𝑝𝑖
𝑛𝑖𝑐 𝑛
𝑐 𝑝
(a) Without intervention, b 0
Only non-police
𝑝𝑖
𝑛𝑖𝑐 𝑛′
𝑐 𝑝
Only police
Both
Neither
𝑐 𝑛
A
B
C
(b) With intervention, b 0
Only police
Only non-police
Both
Neither
𝑝𝑖
𝑛𝑖𝑐 𝑛
𝑐 𝑝
(c) Without intervention, b 0
Only police
Only non-police
Both
Neither
𝑝𝑖
𝑛𝑖𝑐 𝑛′
𝑐 𝑝
A
B
C
𝑐 𝑛
(d) With intervention, b 0
Notes: These gures are based on equation (A.1).
Figure A.1b. If b is negative, then the use of police services will decrease relative to before
the intervention; this is due to users with preferences in area B of Figure A.1d. Note that,
the observed variation in non-police services is attributable to individuals who have a value
of pi that is low, relative to other service users. This highlights the benet of focusing on
police services. In examining the demand for police services, we learn about the sign of b,
reecting whether the two types of services are complements or substitutes.
2
49. Appendix B Theoretical framework on statement mak-
ing and productivity of police services
In our framework, victims can be classied into four types according to their statement
making response to treatment (corresponding to the familiar label of compliers and deers),
labelled d ∈ {−1, 0+
, 0−
, 1}. A d = −1 type provides a statement in the control but not in
the treatment group. A d = 1 type provides a statement in the treatment but not in the
control group. A d = 0+
type always provides a statement, and d = 0−
type never provides a
statement. We assume that a) the probability of a perpetrator arrest (charge or sentencing)
is weakly increasing in statement provision, and b) conditional on statement provision, the
intervention is uncorrelated with perpetrator arrest (charge or sentencing).
1
The relationship
between the intervention and a perpetrator arrest (ignoring control variables) can be written
as
Pid(treati) = αd
0 + αd
1Sd(treati) + µid (B.1)
where i denotes the case and d denotes the victim type. Pid, is a binary indicator equal to 1 if
the relevant punitive action (arrest, charge, sentencing) is taken against the perpetrator, and
0 otherwise. Sd is a binary variable equal to 1 of the victim provides a statement to police,
and 0 otherwise, and is a function of treatment status and type. µid reects unobserved
heterogeneity in the outcome. From assumption b) above, we know that E(µid|treati, Sd) =
0, treatment aects Pid only through statement provision.
2
The coecient αd
1 reects the
type-specic eect of statements on punitive actions.
3
From assumption a) above, we know
that αd
1 ≥ 0. This implies that Pid is a weakly monotonic, increasing function of victim
statement provision.
Where wd
is the proportion of type d victims in the sample, such that w−1
+w0−
+w0+
+
1Assumption a) follows from the argument in Section 4.1 that statements provide evidence in building
a case against a perpetrator. It rules out, for example, that a caseworker coaches the victim in a way that
improves the statement. Assumption b) follows from arrests being made on the basis of the evidence needed
for the CPS to press charges. This requires that the intervention inuences arrest only through a victim's
statement provision. Caseworkers are required not to interfere in the statement making process because the
facts of a case might be distorted in the process.
2This rules out, for example, caseworkers directly inuencing the decision of police to make an arrest.
3It is tempting to use treati as an instrument for statement provision in the above equation. However,
the possibility of both d = 1 type or d = −1 types means that we cannot assume monotonicity.
3
50. w1
= 1, the ITT corresponding to equation (B.1) can be written as:
E(P(1)) − E(P(0)) = (α1
1 − α−1
1 )w1
+ α−1
1 (w1
− w−1
) (B.2)
Notice that w1
−w−1
is the change in the proportion of cases for which a statement is provided
due to the intervention. In other words, w1
− w−1
= γ1 from equation (1) in the main text
when the outcome is statement provision. α1
1 − α−1
1 is the dierence in the treatment eect
of a statement on yid between d = 1 and d = −1 types.
The estimates reported in Table 2 suggest that w1
− w−1
0. Given that αd
1 ≥ 0, if
E(P(1)) − E(P(0)) = 0, it follows that either α1
1 − α−1
1 0, or αd
1 = 0 for d = {−1, 1}.
That is, either statements have no eect on punitive actions for the d = {−1, 1} types, or
statements have a greater eect for the d = 1 types than for the d = −1 types.
Appendix C Supplementary analysis
C.1 Intervention engagement and victim characteristics
For the treatment group sample, we regress an indicator variable, equal to 1 if the victim
engaged with the intervention and 0 otherwise, on characteristics of the victim, perpetrator
and household. The resulting coecients are reported in gure C.1 (all variables in standard
deviations). Few of the variables have signicant predictive power for engagement. How-
ever, those that are signicant are relatively large in magnitude. The risk assessment score
provided by the responding ocer is a signicant predictor of victim willingness to engage;
a one standard deviation increase is associated with a 6.3 percentage point increase in the
probability of engaging. Victims for whom the perpetrator is female are signicantly less
likely to engage than for cases where perpetrator is male. Children in the household are
positively associated with victim engagement.
4
51. Figure C.1: Engagement and victim, perpetrator and household characteristics
Victim female
Perp. female
Victim age
Perp. age
Victim white
Perp. white
Cohabitation
Children in household
Previous DV (365 days)
Risk assessment
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15
Percentage point change in engagement
Notes: N = 504, treatment group only. Points reect coecients from the regression of intervention
uptake on all variables deviated by their sample standard deviation (R2
= 0.0828). Bars denote
95% condence interval.
C.2 Timing of repeat domestic incidents
It is possible that the intervention led to a temporary change in the pattern of reported
repeat domestic incidents. To examine this we look at the timing of repeat incidents across
the treatment and control group.
We employ two methods to test for treatment-control dierences in the timing of repeat
incidents. First, in Figure C.2 we examine the timing of a repeat domestic incident across
the treatment and control group using Kaplan-Meier estimates of the survivor function for
the treatment and control groups. In this framework a fail is identied by the rst repeat
police-incident. The survivor functions suggest that the treatment group has repeats sooner
5
52. Figure C.2: Kaplan-Meier estimates of the time to repeat from initial incident
Notes: This gure displays estimated Kaplan-Meier survival functions for the treatment group and
the control group. A fail is identied by the rst repeat police-incident. A log-rank test fails to
reject the equality of the null hypothesis that the survival function is the same for treatment and
control groups (χ2
(1) = 1.61).
than the control group, and over the two year period is more likely to have a repeat incident.
However, a log-rank test fails to reject the equality of the two curves for the treatment group
and the control group (χ2
(1) = 1.61).
As a second method, we look for dierences in the timing between subsequent reported
domestic instances, for the rst ve reports over the two-year period. We report the mean
number of days between reported incidents in Figure C.3, for all repeats (left panel) and for
victims that experience at least ve repeats (right panel). Dierences between the treatment
and control group in timing of repeats are small and statistically insignicant. Furthermore,
6
53. there does not appear to be a systematic dierence in the direction of these dierences.
Based on this analysis, we are unable to detect any dierences in the timing of police-
reported domestic incidents between the treatment and the control group.
Figure C.3: Number of days to next repeat, rst ve repeats
Notes: This gure documents the average number of days between police-reported incidents by
treatment status. The left gure shows the average number of days between each incident for all
reported cases. Observations are 753, 552, 402, 289, and 210 for repeats 15 respectively. The
right gure includes only cases for which we observe at least ve repeats in the two-year period.
210 observations for all days.
Appendix D Investigating an alternative hypothesis
In the main text of this article, we propose that the intervention led victims of DV to
substitute away from using police services and toward using non-police services. However, a
7
54. model of time inconsistent preferences (TIP) might alternatively also rationalize the results
reported in Table 2. Here we briey explain and test this alternative rationalization. We
conclude that the data do not support this alternative theory.
During their initial phone contact with the caseworker, some victims choose to schedule
a face-to-face visit for further assistance (127 treatment group victims altogether). This
meeting often takes place several days after the phone call (see Table D.1). If victims put-o
making a statement until the face-to-face meeting, the passage of time between the phone
call and the meeting may create a cooling o period, decreasing the willingness of victims
to provide a statement. This is consistent with the qualitative ndings in Ford (1983) who
looks at the eect of judicially imposed cooling o periods in domestic violence cases. This
suggests that the decrease in statements may be driven by time TIP, similar to Aizer and
Dal Bo (2009).
We propose two tests of TIP using our data. First, if TIP is driving the change in
statements, we expect to see a negative correlation between the length of time between the
cooling o period (time between the phone call and the meeting) and statement provision. In
Table D.1, we report the frequency of statements conditional on the length of time between
the initial incident and the meeting with the caseworker.
4
We fail to reject the null hypothesis
that the proportion of statements observed in columns (1) to (6) are statistically equivalent
(F-test 1 = 0.430), suggesting statement probability does not vary with meeting times.
We also fail to reject that the proportion of statements for 1-day meetings and 47 day
meetings, the lengths of time with the most observations, are equivalent (F-test 2 = 1.130).
If anything, we see an increase in the magnitude of statement making at 47 days relative
to 1-day.
We can also check, among victims who make statements, if scheduling later face-to-face
meetings means their statement is made later. If this is true, we expect to see a positive
4All estimates are conditional on being in the treatment group and having a face-to-face meeting.
8