Public Policy Analysis: An
Introduction
William N. Dunn
Associate Dean and Professor
University of Pittsburg
Dr. Dunn is a scholar, educator, and academic administrator. His
most well-known publication is Public Policy Analysis, 4th
ed.,which is one of the most widely cited books on the
methodology of policy research and analysis in print.
What is Policy Analysis: Definitions
 The use of reason and evidence to select the best policy
among a number of alternatives to address a particular policy
problem. (MacRae and Wilde).
 “An applied social science that utilizes multiple research
methods, in argumentation and debate contexts, to create,
estimate critically, and communicate knowledge that is
relevant to the policies.” (Dunn)
 A process through which one identifies and evaluates
“alternative policies or programs that are intended to lessen
or resolve social, economic or physical problems” (Patton &
Sawicki)
“Policy analysis is client oriented
advice relevant to public, or private,
decisions and informed by social
values”
Weiner & Vining
A good analysis or even a good
decision Does Not Guarantee that
the optimal solution will be selected
and / or implemented.
What Policy Analysis Can and Cannot
Do…….
Policy analysis can assist decision makers in choosing a
preferred course of action from complex alternatives
and under uncertain conditions.
Policy analysis is not a panacea or a substitute for
inadequate policymaking processes, defects of public
decisions, bad judgment on the part of analysts or
policymakers, an exact science or a tool for advocacy by
the analyst for his/her own views.
One way to look at the Analysis
The Problem & the Solution
“a problem well formulated is a problem half solved”
Defining the Policy Problem is easier said than
done…..
Not all Public Problems are amenable to
policy analysis, but when they.., the
analysis can support decision making to:
Determine whether a new policy is required to
addressthe problem
 I f a policy already exists, determine whether it needs to
be modified or terminated
Analyze one policy (retrospectively or prospectively)
Compare two or more policies that address a similar
problem
Assess future implications of current or new policies
Explore stages in the development of particular policies
We want to learn how to look at
problems from multiple
perspectives to achieve the best
problem definition and possible /
feasible solutions
Example:
Increasing rates of lung cancer among certain population
groups could be framed as:
 T h e failure of individuals to stop smoking,or
Failure of the health care providers to provide adequate
/ timely information, or
Failure of the Government to regulate smoking in
public places, or
Failure on the part of Government to take the
opportunity to improve research, to raise taxes by
increasing the price of cigarettes
 A l l of theabove
Increasing obesity among youngsters and among
certain population groups could be framed as:
 T h e failure of parents or individual will to change
their eating behaviors, or
 T h e inability of health care providers to
provideadequate and timely information, or
Failure of the government
to:Regulate health care dept.
Eliminate harmful substances from the general diet
Build more places for people to exercise
 A l l of theabove
Problem Definition
“There is a difference between a condition and a
problem…conditions become defined as problems
when we come to believe that we should do
something about them…the problem doesn’t have to
get any worse or better”.
Kingdon, 1984
Problem Definition in Decision Making
Problem definition depends on:
How issues are framed, portrayed
How obvious is the crisis that the problem evokes
How it is measured
Endless ways to look at a particular problem, yet
limited time, money and energy.
Hence, highly complex issues are simplified; focus on
certain aspects happens at the expense of other aspects
/ elements
Challenges of Public Policy problems
(Social problems)
 M a y show up in ways that are difficult toaddress
“Inherently multidimensional”, overlap & contradict
 A r e ill defined, so “wickedproblems”
 T h e consensus over social goals may beillusory
Decision-makers have different preferences and
values, often conflicting
 T h e definition of a policy problem is not
completely scientific or systematic: creativity,
sagacity, socially constructed
Situation that can be perceived as important
into a problem
Indicators reveal its existence, magnitude, severity
Events or crisis call attention on a problem
 T h e results of evaluations (or
monitoring/surveillance) show
Methodology of Policy Analysis: integrates
elements from Multiple disciplines
Political Science
Sociology
Psychology
Economics
Philosophy
Three Approaches to Policy Analysis
Approach Primary Question
Type of
Information
Empirical
Does it and will it exist?
(facts)
Descriptive and
predictive
Valuative
Of what worth is it?
(values)
Valuative
Normative What should be done?
(value- (action)
critical)
Prescriptive
Five types of Policy relevant information:
interrelated and interdependent
S. Types Importance
No.
1
Policy Problems Conceptualizing problem from different
angles-viable solutions
2
Policy Futures Identifying consequences of future course of
action
3
Policy Actions Forecasting & evaluating consequences of
action based on different alternatives
4
Policy Ensuring an observed consequences of policy
Outcomes actions
Policy Finding the degree of value contributed by
5 Performance policy outcome (useful in forecasting policy
future)
Five Info is obtained by the means of - Policy
Analysis Process of Inquiry
S. No. Procedure Information
1 Definition (Problem
Structuring)
Conditions giving rise to a policy
problem
2
Prediction
(Forecasting)
Future consequences of acting on policy
alternatives, including doing nothing
3
Prescription
(Recommendation)
Future course of action
4
Description
(Monitoring)
Present and Past causes and
consequences of acting on policy
alternatives
5 Evaluation
Value or worth of consequences in
solving the problem
Process of Policy Communication: 4
Stage Process
Policy
Analyst
1
Policy
Analysis
2
Materials
Development
4
Knowledge
Utilization
3
Interactive
Communication
Knowledge:
Policy Problems
Policy Futures
Policy Actions
Policy Performance
Presentations:
Conversations
Conferences
Meetings
Briefings
Hearings
Stakeholders:
Agenda Setting
Policy Formulation
Policy Adoption
Policy Implemen.
Policy Assessment
Documents:
Policy Memo
Policy Issue
Papers
Exe. Summary
Appendices
News Release
Three Elements of Policy System
Policy
Stakeholders
Public Policy
Policy
Environment
Crime
Inflation
Unemployment
Discrimination
Policy Analysts
Citizens’ Groups
Labor Unions
Law Enforcement
Economic
Welfare
Parties Personnel
Urban Squalor Agencies Urban
Source: Adapted from Thomas R. Dye, Understanding Public Policy 3rd ed.
Six Elements of Policy Arguments: the main
vehicle for conducting debates about PP
Issues
1. Policy
Relevant
Information
(Therefore)
6. Qualifier
2. Policy
Claim
(Bcoz)
4. Backing
(Since)
3. Warrant
(Unless)
5.
Rebuttal
(Bcoz)
Backing
Probably
Nuclear power is two or three
Times more efficient than
Conventional Power Sources
Production of Nuclear energy is
The only way to ensure continuing growth
Of the economy
Arab Countires can continue
To embargo oil. Other sources
Are limited
This is the conclusion of panel of experts
Govt. should invest in
The construction of
Nuclear power plants
Solar Energy can be developed
On a large scale
Dunn’s Integrated Framework: Problem Centered
Policy Analysis
Problem
Structuring
Problem
Structuring
Policy
Problems
Forecasting
Monitoring
Evaluation
Recommendation
Policy
Outcomes
Policy Actions
Policy Futures
Policy
Performance
The process of policy analysis is a series of
intellectual activities carried out within a process
comprised of activities that are essentially political
Reconstructed Logic Vs. Logic-in-Use
Reconstructed Logic Logic-in-Use
Process – problem
centered policy analysis
Variation can occur due to personal
characteristics of analysts and the
institutional setting
Designed for
methodological purposes
ie. For studying the
strengths and
weaknesses of different
methods & techniques
of Policy Analysis
Factors that Influence variation:
•Cognitive Style: diff. Knowledge
•Analytical Roles: Entrep, Politicians and
Technicians
•Institutional Incentive system: Different
orientation – humanistic & scientific; quality
control also differs
•Institutional time constraints: expedite
•Professional Socialization: varied
orientation (traditional/basic & applied)
Forms of Policy Analysis
Prospective
Policy Analysis
Retrospective
Policy Analsis
Integrated
Policy
Analysis
Three major forms of Policy Analysis:
Prospective PolicyAnalysis:
Involves the production and transformation of
information before policy actions are initiated and
implemented.
Tends to Characterize the operating styles of
economists, systems analysts, and operations
researchers.
Synthesizes information to draw policy alternatives
and preferences.
Prospective Analysis often creates large gap
Preferred
Solutions to
Problems
Efforts of
Govt. to
resolve the
problem
Gaps
Retrospective Policy Analysis
Confined to the production and transformation of
information after policy actions have been taken.
Operating styles of three major groups of analysts:
1.Discipline oriented analysts
2.Problem oriented analysts
3.Application oriented analysts
Discipline Oriented
Analysis
Problem Oriented
Analysis
Application Oriented
Analysis
Political Scientists & Political Scientists & Also persons from social
Sociologists – seeks to Sociologists - seeks to work, public
develop and test describe the causes and administration &
discipline based theories. consequences of policies. evaluation research. Seeks
to describe causes & consq
Describe the causes and Less concerned with the Not concerned with dev.
consequences of the development and testing of And testing of discipline
policies. theories. Discipline based theories.
Oriented Analysis
What affected the policies
Seldom attempts to Seldom provides info about They are concerned with
identity specific goals and specific goals and the identification of goals
objectives of policymakers objectives of policymakers. and objectives of policy
(does not distinguish Coz the problem they makers and other
“policy variables”). analyze are usually of stakeholders. Good info for
general nature. evaluating policy outcome.
Prospective Policy
Analysis
Suffers from inadequate &
unreliable info. About changes in
values , goals and objectives
which occur after policies have
been implemented.
Integrated Policy Analysis
Builds on the strengths of both
Prospective & Retrospective
Analysis – multidisciplinary in
full sense of the world
Multidisciplinary framework, concerns
with the production & transformation
of information both before and after
policy actions have been taken.
Provides methodology for policy
analysis (rules & procedures)
Retrospective Policy
Analysis
Suffers from its nature i.e.
confined with passive reporting
of information about the
consequences of implemented
policies
Integrated Policy Analysis
An Integrated Framework
Policy
Performance
Policy Actions
Policy
Outcomes
Policy
Futures
Policy
Problems
Forecasting
Monitoring
Evaluation
Recommend
ation
P. S.
P.S.
Retrospective
What happened?
After action
Prospective
What will happen?
Before action
Methodology of Policy Analysis: Distinction
between theories
Descriptive Decision Theory: set of logically consistent
propositions that describe action. Primary aim is to
understand a policy problem rather than to solve it.
Normative Decision Theory: set of logically consistent
propositions that provide a basis for improving the
consequences of action. Appropriate for predicting and
recommending different courses of action before they
have occurred. Aim is to solve the problem - “Problem
Solving” methodology.
Summary

A
combination and transformation of the
substance and methods of several disciplines,
intends to produce policy relevant information
to resolve the problems
Knowledge of what is (fact), what is right
(values) and what to do (action) requires /
demands the use of multiple methods of
inquiry
Policy analysis has 3 main forms: prospective,
retrospective & integrated
Thank you

Public policy analysis

  • 1.
    Public Policy Analysis:An Introduction William N. Dunn Associate Dean and Professor University of Pittsburg Dr. Dunn is a scholar, educator, and academic administrator. His most well-known publication is Public Policy Analysis, 4th ed.,which is one of the most widely cited books on the methodology of policy research and analysis in print.
  • 2.
    What is PolicyAnalysis: Definitions  The use of reason and evidence to select the best policy among a number of alternatives to address a particular policy problem. (MacRae and Wilde).  “An applied social science that utilizes multiple research methods, in argumentation and debate contexts, to create, estimate critically, and communicate knowledge that is relevant to the policies.” (Dunn)  A process through which one identifies and evaluates “alternative policies or programs that are intended to lessen or resolve social, economic or physical problems” (Patton & Sawicki)
  • 3.
    “Policy analysis isclient oriented advice relevant to public, or private, decisions and informed by social values” Weiner & Vining
  • 4.
    A good analysisor even a good decision Does Not Guarantee that the optimal solution will be selected and / or implemented.
  • 5.
    What Policy AnalysisCan and Cannot Do……. Policy analysis can assist decision makers in choosing a preferred course of action from complex alternatives and under uncertain conditions. Policy analysis is not a panacea or a substitute for inadequate policymaking processes, defects of public decisions, bad judgment on the part of analysts or policymakers, an exact science or a tool for advocacy by the analyst for his/her own views.
  • 6.
    One way tolook at the Analysis The Problem & the Solution “a problem well formulated is a problem half solved” Defining the Policy Problem is easier said than done…..
  • 7.
    Not all PublicProblems are amenable to policy analysis, but when they.., the analysis can support decision making to: Determine whether a new policy is required to addressthe problem  I f a policy already exists, determine whether it needs to be modified or terminated Analyze one policy (retrospectively or prospectively) Compare two or more policies that address a similar problem Assess future implications of current or new policies Explore stages in the development of particular policies
  • 8.
    We want tolearn how to look at problems from multiple perspectives to achieve the best problem definition and possible / feasible solutions
  • 9.
    Example: Increasing rates oflung cancer among certain population groups could be framed as:  T h e failure of individuals to stop smoking,or Failure of the health care providers to provide adequate / timely information, or Failure of the Government to regulate smoking in public places, or Failure on the part of Government to take the opportunity to improve research, to raise taxes by increasing the price of cigarettes  A l l of theabove
  • 10.
    Increasing obesity amongyoungsters and among certain population groups could be framed as:  T h e failure of parents or individual will to change their eating behaviors, or  T h e inability of health care providers to provideadequate and timely information, or Failure of the government to:Regulate health care dept. Eliminate harmful substances from the general diet Build more places for people to exercise  A l l of theabove
  • 11.
    Problem Definition “There isa difference between a condition and a problem…conditions become defined as problems when we come to believe that we should do something about them…the problem doesn’t have to get any worse or better”. Kingdon, 1984
  • 12.
    Problem Definition inDecision Making Problem definition depends on: How issues are framed, portrayed How obvious is the crisis that the problem evokes How it is measured Endless ways to look at a particular problem, yet limited time, money and energy. Hence, highly complex issues are simplified; focus on certain aspects happens at the expense of other aspects / elements
  • 13.
    Challenges of PublicPolicy problems (Social problems)  M a y show up in ways that are difficult toaddress “Inherently multidimensional”, overlap & contradict  A r e ill defined, so “wickedproblems”  T h e consensus over social goals may beillusory Decision-makers have different preferences and values, often conflicting  T h e definition of a policy problem is not completely scientific or systematic: creativity, sagacity, socially constructed
  • 14.
    Situation that canbe perceived as important into a problem Indicators reveal its existence, magnitude, severity Events or crisis call attention on a problem  T h e results of evaluations (or monitoring/surveillance) show
  • 15.
    Methodology of PolicyAnalysis: integrates elements from Multiple disciplines Political Science Sociology Psychology Economics Philosophy
  • 16.
    Three Approaches toPolicy Analysis Approach Primary Question Type of Information Empirical Does it and will it exist? (facts) Descriptive and predictive Valuative Of what worth is it? (values) Valuative Normative What should be done? (value- (action) critical) Prescriptive
  • 17.
    Five types ofPolicy relevant information: interrelated and interdependent S. Types Importance No. 1 Policy Problems Conceptualizing problem from different angles-viable solutions 2 Policy Futures Identifying consequences of future course of action 3 Policy Actions Forecasting & evaluating consequences of action based on different alternatives 4 Policy Ensuring an observed consequences of policy Outcomes actions Policy Finding the degree of value contributed by 5 Performance policy outcome (useful in forecasting policy future)
  • 18.
    Five Info isobtained by the means of - Policy Analysis Process of Inquiry S. No. Procedure Information 1 Definition (Problem Structuring) Conditions giving rise to a policy problem 2 Prediction (Forecasting) Future consequences of acting on policy alternatives, including doing nothing 3 Prescription (Recommendation) Future course of action 4 Description (Monitoring) Present and Past causes and consequences of acting on policy alternatives 5 Evaluation Value or worth of consequences in solving the problem
  • 19.
    Process of PolicyCommunication: 4 Stage Process Policy Analyst 1 Policy Analysis 2 Materials Development 4 Knowledge Utilization 3 Interactive Communication Knowledge: Policy Problems Policy Futures Policy Actions Policy Performance Presentations: Conversations Conferences Meetings Briefings Hearings Stakeholders: Agenda Setting Policy Formulation Policy Adoption Policy Implemen. Policy Assessment Documents: Policy Memo Policy Issue Papers Exe. Summary Appendices News Release
  • 20.
    Three Elements ofPolicy System Policy Stakeholders Public Policy Policy Environment Crime Inflation Unemployment Discrimination Policy Analysts Citizens’ Groups Labor Unions Law Enforcement Economic Welfare Parties Personnel Urban Squalor Agencies Urban Source: Adapted from Thomas R. Dye, Understanding Public Policy 3rd ed.
  • 21.
    Six Elements ofPolicy Arguments: the main vehicle for conducting debates about PP Issues 1. Policy Relevant Information (Therefore) 6. Qualifier 2. Policy Claim (Bcoz) 4. Backing (Since) 3. Warrant (Unless) 5. Rebuttal (Bcoz) Backing Probably Nuclear power is two or three Times more efficient than Conventional Power Sources Production of Nuclear energy is The only way to ensure continuing growth Of the economy Arab Countires can continue To embargo oil. Other sources Are limited This is the conclusion of panel of experts Govt. should invest in The construction of Nuclear power plants Solar Energy can be developed On a large scale
  • 22.
    Dunn’s Integrated Framework:Problem Centered Policy Analysis Problem Structuring Problem Structuring Policy Problems Forecasting Monitoring Evaluation Recommendation Policy Outcomes Policy Actions Policy Futures Policy Performance
  • 23.
    The process ofpolicy analysis is a series of intellectual activities carried out within a process comprised of activities that are essentially political
  • 24.
    Reconstructed Logic Vs.Logic-in-Use Reconstructed Logic Logic-in-Use Process – problem centered policy analysis Variation can occur due to personal characteristics of analysts and the institutional setting Designed for methodological purposes ie. For studying the strengths and weaknesses of different methods & techniques of Policy Analysis Factors that Influence variation: •Cognitive Style: diff. Knowledge •Analytical Roles: Entrep, Politicians and Technicians •Institutional Incentive system: Different orientation – humanistic & scientific; quality control also differs •Institutional time constraints: expedite •Professional Socialization: varied orientation (traditional/basic & applied)
  • 25.
    Forms of PolicyAnalysis Prospective Policy Analysis Retrospective Policy Analsis Integrated Policy Analysis
  • 26.
    Three major formsof Policy Analysis: Prospective PolicyAnalysis: Involves the production and transformation of information before policy actions are initiated and implemented. Tends to Characterize the operating styles of economists, systems analysts, and operations researchers. Synthesizes information to draw policy alternatives and preferences.
  • 27.
    Prospective Analysis oftencreates large gap Preferred Solutions to Problems Efforts of Govt. to resolve the problem Gaps
  • 28.
    Retrospective Policy Analysis Confinedto the production and transformation of information after policy actions have been taken. Operating styles of three major groups of analysts: 1.Discipline oriented analysts 2.Problem oriented analysts 3.Application oriented analysts
  • 29.
    Discipline Oriented Analysis Problem Oriented Analysis ApplicationOriented Analysis Political Scientists & Political Scientists & Also persons from social Sociologists – seeks to Sociologists - seeks to work, public develop and test describe the causes and administration & discipline based theories. consequences of policies. evaluation research. Seeks to describe causes & consq Describe the causes and Less concerned with the Not concerned with dev. consequences of the development and testing of And testing of discipline policies. theories. Discipline based theories. Oriented Analysis What affected the policies Seldom attempts to Seldom provides info about They are concerned with identity specific goals and specific goals and the identification of goals objectives of policymakers objectives of policymakers. and objectives of policy (does not distinguish Coz the problem they makers and other “policy variables”). analyze are usually of stakeholders. Good info for general nature. evaluating policy outcome.
  • 30.
    Prospective Policy Analysis Suffers frominadequate & unreliable info. About changes in values , goals and objectives which occur after policies have been implemented. Integrated Policy Analysis Builds on the strengths of both Prospective & Retrospective Analysis – multidisciplinary in full sense of the world Multidisciplinary framework, concerns with the production & transformation of information both before and after policy actions have been taken. Provides methodology for policy analysis (rules & procedures) Retrospective Policy Analysis Suffers from its nature i.e. confined with passive reporting of information about the consequences of implemented policies Integrated Policy Analysis
  • 31.
    An Integrated Framework Policy Performance PolicyActions Policy Outcomes Policy Futures Policy Problems Forecasting Monitoring Evaluation Recommend ation P. S. P.S. Retrospective What happened? After action Prospective What will happen? Before action
  • 32.
    Methodology of PolicyAnalysis: Distinction between theories Descriptive Decision Theory: set of logically consistent propositions that describe action. Primary aim is to understand a policy problem rather than to solve it. Normative Decision Theory: set of logically consistent propositions that provide a basis for improving the consequences of action. Appropriate for predicting and recommending different courses of action before they have occurred. Aim is to solve the problem - “Problem Solving” methodology.
  • 33.
    Summary  A combination and transformationof the substance and methods of several disciplines, intends to produce policy relevant information to resolve the problems Knowledge of what is (fact), what is right (values) and what to do (action) requires / demands the use of multiple methods of inquiry Policy analysis has 3 main forms: prospective, retrospective & integrated
  • 34.