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Problem Tree Analysis1 
What is it? 
Problem tree analysis helps to illustrate the linkages between a set of complex issues or 
relationships by fitting them into a hierarchy of related factors. It is used for: 
 Link together the various issues or factors which may contribute to an institutional 
problem 
 Help to identify the underlying or root causes of an institutional problem 
The major assumption underlying the problem tree is the hierarchical relationship between 
cause and effect. 
How do I use it? 
1. Identify the major existing problem/issues based on available information (e.g. by 
brainstorming) 
2. Select one focal problem for the analysis e.g. poor communications to staff 
3. Develop the problem tree beginning with the substantial and direct causes of the focal 
problem e.g. hierarchical and autocratic management culture 
The following figure illustrates the process: 
Developing the Problem Tree 
Effects 
Causes 
FOCAL PROBLEM 
1 Promoting Institutional&Organisational Development. A Source Book of Tools and Techniques. DFID. March 2003
This process can help to distinguish the underlying or root of an institutional problem from 
their effects and guide advisers towards the critical issues that need to be tackled in 
institutional development. For example, poor budgetary processes or late arrival of funds in 
a Ministry may be effects of poor or non-existent Public Expenditure Management process 
or poorly articulated priorities –or no money. 
PROBLEM ANALYSIS: Bus Example 
Effects 
Core Problem 
Causes 
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS: Bus Example 
Effects 
Core Problem 
Causes 
Passengers hurt or 
killed 
Loss of confidence 
in bus company 
People are late 
Frequent Bus Accidents 
Drivers not careful 
enough 
Bad conditions of 
vehicles 
Bad road conditions 
Vehicles too old No ongoing 
maintenance 
Frequent Bus Accidents 
Greatly Reduced 
Drivers drive carefully 
and responsibly 
Vehicles kept in good 
conditions 
Road conditions 
improved 
Old vehicles are 
regularly replaced 
Vehicles regularly 
maintained and 
checked 
Fewer passengers hurt Customers have better 
image of bus company 
Passengers arrive on 
time

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Problem tree analysis

  • 1. Problem Tree Analysis1 What is it? Problem tree analysis helps to illustrate the linkages between a set of complex issues or relationships by fitting them into a hierarchy of related factors. It is used for:  Link together the various issues or factors which may contribute to an institutional problem  Help to identify the underlying or root causes of an institutional problem The major assumption underlying the problem tree is the hierarchical relationship between cause and effect. How do I use it? 1. Identify the major existing problem/issues based on available information (e.g. by brainstorming) 2. Select one focal problem for the analysis e.g. poor communications to staff 3. Develop the problem tree beginning with the substantial and direct causes of the focal problem e.g. hierarchical and autocratic management culture The following figure illustrates the process: Developing the Problem Tree Effects Causes FOCAL PROBLEM 1 Promoting Institutional&Organisational Development. A Source Book of Tools and Techniques. DFID. March 2003
  • 2. This process can help to distinguish the underlying or root of an institutional problem from their effects and guide advisers towards the critical issues that need to be tackled in institutional development. For example, poor budgetary processes or late arrival of funds in a Ministry may be effects of poor or non-existent Public Expenditure Management process or poorly articulated priorities –or no money. PROBLEM ANALYSIS: Bus Example Effects Core Problem Causes OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS: Bus Example Effects Core Problem Causes Passengers hurt or killed Loss of confidence in bus company People are late Frequent Bus Accidents Drivers not careful enough Bad conditions of vehicles Bad road conditions Vehicles too old No ongoing maintenance Frequent Bus Accidents Greatly Reduced Drivers drive carefully and responsibly Vehicles kept in good conditions Road conditions improved Old vehicles are regularly replaced Vehicles regularly maintained and checked Fewer passengers hurt Customers have better image of bus company Passengers arrive on time