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DEPARTMENT OF
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print(“PYTHON")
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TOPIC: Probability and Python
WHAT IS PROBABILITY?
Probability means percentage of possibility.
1/7/20XX 3
PROBABILITY TREE DIAGRAM
1/7/20XX 4
PROBABILITY TERMS AND DEFINITION
COMPETITORS
TERM DEFINITION EXAMPLE
SAMPLE SPACE
The set of all the possible outcomes to
occur in any trial.
1. Tossing a coin, Sample Space(S)= {H,T}
1. Rolling a die, Sample Space(S)=
{1,2,3,4,5,6}
SAMPLE POINT It is one of the possible results
In a deck of cards:
1. 4 of hearts is a sample point
2. The queen of clubs is a point
EXPERIMENT OR
TRIAL
A series of actions where the outcomes are
always uncertain.
The tossing of a coin, Selecting a card from
a deck of cards, throwing a dice.
OUT COME
It is a single outcome of an experiment Getting a Heads while tossing a coin is an
event
Possible results of a trail/experiment Tail is a possible outcome when coin is
tossed.
EVENT
5
PROBABILI Y FORMULA
PROBABILITY
OF AN EVENT
OCCURING
NUMBER OF WAYS
IT CAN OCCUR
TOTAL NUMBER
OF OUTCOMES
• THEORETICAL PROBABILITY
TYPES OF PROBABILITIES
1/7/20XX 6
• EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY
The theoretical probability is mainly based on the reasoning behind probability.
• AXIOMATIC PROBABILITY
With the axiomatic approach to probability, the chances of occurrence or non-
occurrence of the events can be quantified
The experimental probability can be calculated based on the number of
possible outcomes by the total number of trials
PROBABILITY OF AN EVENT
7
Assume an event E can occur in r ways out of a sum of n probable or possible equally
likely ways. Then the probability of happening of the event or its success is
expressed as;
P(E) = r/n
The probability that the event will not occur or known as its failure is expressed as:
P(E’) = (n-r)/n = 1-(r/n)
E’ represents that the event will not occur.
Therefore, now we can say;
P(E) + P(E’) = 1
This means that the total of all the probabilities in any random test or experiment is
equal to 1.
• Number of ways it can happen: 1 (there is only face with a “4” on it
• Total number of outcome: 6( there are 6 faces altogether
so the probability =1/6
MATHEMATICAL
8
2. THERE ARE 5 MARBLES
IN A BAG: 4 ARE BLUE, AND
1 IS RED. WHAT IS THE
PROBABILITY THAT A BLUE
MARBLE GETS PICKED?
• Number of ways it can happen: 4 (there are 4 blues)
• Total number of outcomes: 5 (there are 5 marbles in total
so the probability = 4/5 = 0.8
3. TWO DICE ARE ROLLED
SIMULTANEOUSLY. CALCULATE
THE PROBABILITY OF GETTING
THE SUM OF THE NUMBERS ON
THE TWO DICE IS 6.
1. FIND THE PROBABILITY
OF GETTING 4 ON
ROLLING A DIE
Favourable outcomes = {(1, 5), (2, 4), (3, 3), (4, 2) and (5, 1)}
n(E) = 5
Using, P(A) = n(E) / n(S)
P(Getting sum of numbers on two dice 6) = 5/ 36
SOLUTIONS
• It is used for risk assessment and modelling in various
industries
1/7/20XX 9
APPLICATIONS OF PROBABILITY
• Flipping a coin
•Throwing a dice in the air
•Pulling a red ball out of a bucket of red and white ball
Winning a lucky draw
• Weather forecasting or prediction of weather changes
• It is used for risk assessment and modelling in various
industries
• Probability of a team winning in a sport based on players
and strength of team
In the share market, chances of getting the hike of share prices
• WHAT IS PYTHON?
Python is an interpreted, object-oriented, high-level
programming language with dynamic semantics.
10
python
WHY python?
HIGH-LEVEL
BUILT IN
DATA
STRUCTURES
SUPPORTS
MODULES
AND
PACKAGES
DYNAMIC
TYPING AND
DYNAMIC
BINDING
EASY AND
SIMPLE TO
USE
a program in python that simulates 100 coin tosses and gives the
total number of tosses with the total number of heads and tails.
1/7/20XX Pitch deck 12
THANK YOU

Probability and Python.pptx

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3.
    WHAT IS PROBABILITY? Probabilitymeans percentage of possibility. 1/7/20XX 3 PROBABILITY TREE DIAGRAM
  • 4.
    1/7/20XX 4 PROBABILITY TERMSAND DEFINITION COMPETITORS TERM DEFINITION EXAMPLE SAMPLE SPACE The set of all the possible outcomes to occur in any trial. 1. Tossing a coin, Sample Space(S)= {H,T} 1. Rolling a die, Sample Space(S)= {1,2,3,4,5,6} SAMPLE POINT It is one of the possible results In a deck of cards: 1. 4 of hearts is a sample point 2. The queen of clubs is a point EXPERIMENT OR TRIAL A series of actions where the outcomes are always uncertain. The tossing of a coin, Selecting a card from a deck of cards, throwing a dice. OUT COME It is a single outcome of an experiment Getting a Heads while tossing a coin is an event Possible results of a trail/experiment Tail is a possible outcome when coin is tossed. EVENT
  • 5.
    5 PROBABILI Y FORMULA PROBABILITY OFAN EVENT OCCURING NUMBER OF WAYS IT CAN OCCUR TOTAL NUMBER OF OUTCOMES
  • 6.
    • THEORETICAL PROBABILITY TYPESOF PROBABILITIES 1/7/20XX 6 • EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY The theoretical probability is mainly based on the reasoning behind probability. • AXIOMATIC PROBABILITY With the axiomatic approach to probability, the chances of occurrence or non- occurrence of the events can be quantified The experimental probability can be calculated based on the number of possible outcomes by the total number of trials
  • 7.
    PROBABILITY OF ANEVENT 7 Assume an event E can occur in r ways out of a sum of n probable or possible equally likely ways. Then the probability of happening of the event or its success is expressed as; P(E) = r/n The probability that the event will not occur or known as its failure is expressed as: P(E’) = (n-r)/n = 1-(r/n) E’ represents that the event will not occur. Therefore, now we can say; P(E) + P(E’) = 1 This means that the total of all the probabilities in any random test or experiment is equal to 1.
  • 8.
    • Number ofways it can happen: 1 (there is only face with a “4” on it • Total number of outcome: 6( there are 6 faces altogether so the probability =1/6 MATHEMATICAL 8 2. THERE ARE 5 MARBLES IN A BAG: 4 ARE BLUE, AND 1 IS RED. WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY THAT A BLUE MARBLE GETS PICKED? • Number of ways it can happen: 4 (there are 4 blues) • Total number of outcomes: 5 (there are 5 marbles in total so the probability = 4/5 = 0.8 3. TWO DICE ARE ROLLED SIMULTANEOUSLY. CALCULATE THE PROBABILITY OF GETTING THE SUM OF THE NUMBERS ON THE TWO DICE IS 6. 1. FIND THE PROBABILITY OF GETTING 4 ON ROLLING A DIE Favourable outcomes = {(1, 5), (2, 4), (3, 3), (4, 2) and (5, 1)} n(E) = 5 Using, P(A) = n(E) / n(S) P(Getting sum of numbers on two dice 6) = 5/ 36 SOLUTIONS
  • 9.
    • It isused for risk assessment and modelling in various industries 1/7/20XX 9 APPLICATIONS OF PROBABILITY • Flipping a coin •Throwing a dice in the air •Pulling a red ball out of a bucket of red and white ball Winning a lucky draw • Weather forecasting or prediction of weather changes • It is used for risk assessment and modelling in various industries • Probability of a team winning in a sport based on players and strength of team In the share market, chances of getting the hike of share prices
  • 10.
    • WHAT ISPYTHON? Python is an interpreted, object-oriented, high-level programming language with dynamic semantics. 10 python WHY python? HIGH-LEVEL BUILT IN DATA STRUCTURES SUPPORTS MODULES AND PACKAGES DYNAMIC TYPING AND DYNAMIC BINDING EASY AND SIMPLE TO USE
  • 11.
    a program inpython that simulates 100 coin tosses and gives the total number of tosses with the total number of heads and tails.
  • 12.
    1/7/20XX Pitch deck12 THANK YOU