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Daniel L Sandars, Eric Audsley
Centre for Environmental Risks and Futures
Dept. of Environmental Science and Technology
School of Applied Science
Analysing the efficiency of
energy use on farms using
Data Envelopment Analysis
(DEA)
43rd Meeting of the
Agricultural Research Modellers’ Group
15th April, 2011
The Royal Society, 6-9 Carlton House Terrace, London
Research question
• Are some farms using fertiliser or diesel or
feed more efficiently than others?
• We used Data Envelopment Analysis
(DEA) as a method to quantify the
technical efficiency with which inputs
are converted into useful economic
activity within a sample of the UK
agricultural industry
Environmental efficiency
j
ijij
j
Energy
Outputsweights
E
}{}{
InputOutputEfficiency /
inputsweightedoutputsweightedEfficiency _/_
outputsunwantedinputsinputswantedoutputsEfficiency _/_
The DEA concepts
• Let each DMU chose its best weights to give it an
efficiency of 1,
• subject to those same weights applied to any other
DMU must not result
• in an efficiency >1. If your best weights give you an
efficiency of <1 then some DMU
• is doing a similar job better. That is quite damning
evidence.
• In DEA we think of Decision Making Units (DMU)
and here they are farms + farmers
DEA frontier and virtual composite
DMUs
2007/08 Defra FBS Energy Module
• Fuels used on farm?
• Fertilisers usage?
• Contracting operations?
• Purchased animal feed?
• Purchased fodder & straw?
• Purchased bale wrap and silage
sheet?
• Woodland area?
• Grassland area
ploughed/planted?
• Organic manures
imported/exported?
• Baling of silage and straw
(proportion)?
• Ventilation of housing
(proportion)?
• Inventory of self-powered
machinery?
http://www.farmbusinesssurvey.co.uk/index.html
Activity data to emissions and energy
usage
• Cranfield’s David Parsons,
Kerry Pearn & Adrian Williams
extracted and processed the
raw data into useable values for:
• Direct and indirect Energy, MJ
• Direct and indirect Global Warming Potential (GWP
100 years) kg CO2 eqv.
• The method used life cycle thinking and thus includes
upstream energy and emissions sequestered in farm
inputs -www.agrilca.org
Output Vectors
• Cereals (t),
Oilseeds (t),
Combinable legumes (t),
Potatoes (t),
Sugar beet (t),
Horticultural revenue (£)*,
Milk (hectolitres),
Eggs (no),
Cattle Liveweight (kg),
Sheep Liveweight (kg),
Pig Liveweight (kg), and
Poultry Liveweight (kg).
Energy Module, farm numbers
Farm Type Large Medium Small
Very small
(part-time) Grand Total
Organic? FALSE TRUE FALSE TRUE FALSE TRUE FALSE
Cereals 31 1 29 21 1 83
Dairy 28 6 24 3 16 77
General cropping 41 2 23 2 9 77
Horticulture 73 15 12 2 2 104
LFA grazing livestock 9 1 6 2 1 19
Lowland grazing livestock 18 2 13 1 4 2 1 41
Mixed 20 1 11 2 11 2 47
Other 1 1
Specialist pigs 6 5 9 20
Specialist poultry 16 1 12 1 9 2 1 42
Grand Total 243 14 138 9 93 7 7 511
Energy Module, farm numbers
Farm Type
East
Midlands
East of
England
North
East
North
West
South
East
South
West
West
Midlands
Yorkshire
& the
Humber
Grand
Total
Cereals 14 23 6 2 18 6 4 10 83
Dairy 8 3 3 16 6 23 11 7 77
General cropping 17 27 4 6 6 7 10 77
Horticulture 13 24 6 29 17 7 8 104
LFA grazing
livestock 1 7 3 3 1 4 19
Lowland grazing
livestock 3 4 2 2 8 13 7 2 41
Mixed 6 5 2 4 7 10 8 5 47
Other 1 1
Specialist pigs 2 6 1 2 2 2 5 20
Specialist poultry 1 11 1 5 4 9 7 4 42
Grand Total 65 103 21 44 80 89 54 55 511
The spread of efficiencies amongst
farms
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Numberoffarms
DEA techical input efficiencies: histogram category, mid-points
GWP100
Energy
The efficient set
DMU No. Type Organic No. times a model
336 Cereals 6
359 Cereals 18
441 Cereals 162
283 General cropping 4
222 General cropping 7
196 General cropping 12
333 General cropping 15
215 General cropping 36
426 General cropping 39
320 Horticulture 23
381 Horticulture 104
47 LFA grazing livestock Y 67
62 Lowland grazing livestock 38
332 Lowland grazing livestock 128
304 Mixed 26
214 Mixed 48
303 Specialist poultry 20
321 Specialist poultry 26
An inefficient DMU and its models
Peer Energy Cattle Sheep
DMU No proportion GJ t lwt t lwt
145 660 19 12
332 0.73 170 18 0
47 0.48 320 13 25
145′ 280 19 12
This is the projection of 145 onto the efficient frontier using its two model farms
An inefficient DMU and its peers
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
32197 35653 + 2970
Energy,MJ(scaled)
DMU (332 and 47 are efficient and scaled to 145)
Purchased Sheep
Purchased OtherCattle
Bought feeds
FertWrap
Contracting operations
manufacturing costs
Implied manufacturing costs of
farm machinery
Contracting operations diesel
RedDiesel
Fossil fuels (-red diesel)
Electricity
Wonder?
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
16000000
18000000
20000000
35647 35621
EnergyMJ(scaled)
DMU (321 is efficient and scaled to 331)
Purchased Poultry
Bought feeds
Implied manufacturing
costs of farm
machinery
Fossil fuels (-red
diesel)
RedDiesel
Electricity331 321
Positives
• Empowerment – DEA does help to make these
issues more tractable
• Wonder – DEA does find interesting questions -
Chance? Outlier? –we are naturally curious (if not
stressed)
• Acceptance & Belonging DEA shows that many
farmers seem to have something to learn and to
improve and DEA helps identify appropriate models.
• Affirmation – DEA could identify you and your farm
as a peer to many others
Some challenges
• Onerous data demands and access to IT –more
burdensome for some farmers
• Heterogeneity – making it hard to identify true like for like
comparators – farms are more than can be measured!
• Another shove on the technology treadmill – with the
financial benefits of win-wins soon negated in the market
place.
• Non disclosivity - making it hard to literally identify and
approach your farm’s peers
• Wonder turning to Frustration - not finding the answers
• Implied Criticism at the farmer - ‘tough love messages’
The End -Thanks
• This work was funded by Defra Project code RMP
5465 http://www.defra.gov.uk/
• For further information contact:
Daniel Sandars, Cranfield University
+44(0)1234 750111 ext 2742
Daniel.sandars@cranfield.ac.uk
DEA by 2 stage Linear Programme
Take a set of N DMUs (j=1….N) using m inputs to generate r outputs where xij and
yrj are the levels of the ith input and rth output respectively. The technical efficiency
of DMU j0 is defined as k0 and is determined by the following linear programming
model:
Where λj is weight each DMU (j=1…N) will have in calculating the inputs and
outputs of the composite DMU j0*. Each of the criteria can have a slack
denoted by and ,which represents the distance from the constraint
The End -thanks
Centre for Environmental Risks and Futures,
Building 42a>>>>>
http://www.cranfield.ac.uk/
Daniel.sandars@cranfield.ac.uk
This work was funded
by Defra
Project code RMP 5465
http://www.defra.gov.uk/
Global warming, mitigation & climate
change
Complex world
• More history - the consequences of past choices catch
up
• Know more about the relationships, interactions,
causes and effects
• More stakeholders.
• = A more challenging decision environment
That matters to people

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2011 Presentation to Agricultural Research Modellers

  • 1. Daniel L Sandars, Eric Audsley Centre for Environmental Risks and Futures Dept. of Environmental Science and Technology School of Applied Science Analysing the efficiency of energy use on farms using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) 43rd Meeting of the Agricultural Research Modellers’ Group 15th April, 2011 The Royal Society, 6-9 Carlton House Terrace, London
  • 2. Research question • Are some farms using fertiliser or diesel or feed more efficiently than others? • We used Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) as a method to quantify the technical efficiency with which inputs are converted into useful economic activity within a sample of the UK agricultural industry
  • 4. The DEA concepts • Let each DMU chose its best weights to give it an efficiency of 1, • subject to those same weights applied to any other DMU must not result • in an efficiency >1. If your best weights give you an efficiency of <1 then some DMU • is doing a similar job better. That is quite damning evidence. • In DEA we think of Decision Making Units (DMU) and here they are farms + farmers
  • 5. DEA frontier and virtual composite DMUs
  • 6. 2007/08 Defra FBS Energy Module • Fuels used on farm? • Fertilisers usage? • Contracting operations? • Purchased animal feed? • Purchased fodder & straw? • Purchased bale wrap and silage sheet? • Woodland area? • Grassland area ploughed/planted? • Organic manures imported/exported? • Baling of silage and straw (proportion)? • Ventilation of housing (proportion)? • Inventory of self-powered machinery? http://www.farmbusinesssurvey.co.uk/index.html
  • 7. Activity data to emissions and energy usage • Cranfield’s David Parsons, Kerry Pearn & Adrian Williams extracted and processed the raw data into useable values for: • Direct and indirect Energy, MJ • Direct and indirect Global Warming Potential (GWP 100 years) kg CO2 eqv. • The method used life cycle thinking and thus includes upstream energy and emissions sequestered in farm inputs -www.agrilca.org
  • 8. Output Vectors • Cereals (t), Oilseeds (t), Combinable legumes (t), Potatoes (t), Sugar beet (t), Horticultural revenue (£)*, Milk (hectolitres), Eggs (no), Cattle Liveweight (kg), Sheep Liveweight (kg), Pig Liveweight (kg), and Poultry Liveweight (kg).
  • 9. Energy Module, farm numbers Farm Type Large Medium Small Very small (part-time) Grand Total Organic? FALSE TRUE FALSE TRUE FALSE TRUE FALSE Cereals 31 1 29 21 1 83 Dairy 28 6 24 3 16 77 General cropping 41 2 23 2 9 77 Horticulture 73 15 12 2 2 104 LFA grazing livestock 9 1 6 2 1 19 Lowland grazing livestock 18 2 13 1 4 2 1 41 Mixed 20 1 11 2 11 2 47 Other 1 1 Specialist pigs 6 5 9 20 Specialist poultry 16 1 12 1 9 2 1 42 Grand Total 243 14 138 9 93 7 7 511
  • 10. Energy Module, farm numbers Farm Type East Midlands East of England North East North West South East South West West Midlands Yorkshire & the Humber Grand Total Cereals 14 23 6 2 18 6 4 10 83 Dairy 8 3 3 16 6 23 11 7 77 General cropping 17 27 4 6 6 7 10 77 Horticulture 13 24 6 29 17 7 8 104 LFA grazing livestock 1 7 3 3 1 4 19 Lowland grazing livestock 3 4 2 2 8 13 7 2 41 Mixed 6 5 2 4 7 10 8 5 47 Other 1 1 Specialist pigs 2 6 1 2 2 2 5 20 Specialist poultry 1 11 1 5 4 9 7 4 42 Grand Total 65 103 21 44 80 89 54 55 511
  • 11. The spread of efficiencies amongst farms 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 Numberoffarms DEA techical input efficiencies: histogram category, mid-points GWP100 Energy
  • 12. The efficient set DMU No. Type Organic No. times a model 336 Cereals 6 359 Cereals 18 441 Cereals 162 283 General cropping 4 222 General cropping 7 196 General cropping 12 333 General cropping 15 215 General cropping 36 426 General cropping 39 320 Horticulture 23 381 Horticulture 104 47 LFA grazing livestock Y 67 62 Lowland grazing livestock 38 332 Lowland grazing livestock 128 304 Mixed 26 214 Mixed 48 303 Specialist poultry 20 321 Specialist poultry 26
  • 13. An inefficient DMU and its models Peer Energy Cattle Sheep DMU No proportion GJ t lwt t lwt 145 660 19 12 332 0.73 170 18 0 47 0.48 320 13 25 145′ 280 19 12 This is the projection of 145 onto the efficient frontier using its two model farms
  • 14. An inefficient DMU and its peers 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 800000 32197 35653 + 2970 Energy,MJ(scaled) DMU (332 and 47 are efficient and scaled to 145) Purchased Sheep Purchased OtherCattle Bought feeds FertWrap Contracting operations manufacturing costs Implied manufacturing costs of farm machinery Contracting operations diesel RedDiesel Fossil fuels (-red diesel) Electricity
  • 15. Wonder? 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 8000000 10000000 12000000 14000000 16000000 18000000 20000000 35647 35621 EnergyMJ(scaled) DMU (321 is efficient and scaled to 331) Purchased Poultry Bought feeds Implied manufacturing costs of farm machinery Fossil fuels (-red diesel) RedDiesel Electricity331 321
  • 16. Positives • Empowerment – DEA does help to make these issues more tractable • Wonder – DEA does find interesting questions - Chance? Outlier? –we are naturally curious (if not stressed) • Acceptance & Belonging DEA shows that many farmers seem to have something to learn and to improve and DEA helps identify appropriate models. • Affirmation – DEA could identify you and your farm as a peer to many others
  • 17. Some challenges • Onerous data demands and access to IT –more burdensome for some farmers • Heterogeneity – making it hard to identify true like for like comparators – farms are more than can be measured! • Another shove on the technology treadmill – with the financial benefits of win-wins soon negated in the market place. • Non disclosivity - making it hard to literally identify and approach your farm’s peers • Wonder turning to Frustration - not finding the answers • Implied Criticism at the farmer - ‘tough love messages’
  • 18. The End -Thanks • This work was funded by Defra Project code RMP 5465 http://www.defra.gov.uk/ • For further information contact: Daniel Sandars, Cranfield University +44(0)1234 750111 ext 2742 Daniel.sandars@cranfield.ac.uk
  • 19. DEA by 2 stage Linear Programme Take a set of N DMUs (j=1….N) using m inputs to generate r outputs where xij and yrj are the levels of the ith input and rth output respectively. The technical efficiency of DMU j0 is defined as k0 and is determined by the following linear programming model: Where λj is weight each DMU (j=1…N) will have in calculating the inputs and outputs of the composite DMU j0*. Each of the criteria can have a slack denoted by and ,which represents the distance from the constraint
  • 20. The End -thanks Centre for Environmental Risks and Futures, Building 42a>>>>> http://www.cranfield.ac.uk/ Daniel.sandars@cranfield.ac.uk
  • 21. This work was funded by Defra Project code RMP 5465 http://www.defra.gov.uk/
  • 22. Global warming, mitigation & climate change
  • 23. Complex world • More history - the consequences of past choices catch up • Know more about the relationships, interactions, causes and effects • More stakeholders. • = A more challenging decision environment
  • 24. That matters to people