Presentation by Patrick Grady, Pacific Islands Climate Change Cooperative

1. 1
Recent Climate Change Data
Collections
Patrick Grady
GIS/Data Manager
patrick.grady@piccc.net
(808) 687-6175
www.piccc.net

2. Hawaii a center of plant
endangerment and extinction
• 110 historical plant extinctions
• ~300 of 1100 native plants threatened/ endangered
– 37% of all endangered plant species in US
• 201 species having fewer than 50 known individuals
Source: http://hawaii.gov/dlnr/dofaw/rpc/pep-program
2

3. Hawaiian native plant vulnerability
assessment (VA)
• Goal: Evaluate the vulnerability of Main Hawaiian Island
terrestrial plant species to climate change
– All Main Hawaiian Island terrestrial native plants
(~1100) are initially considered
• Iterative process
– First iteration a landscape based analysis
– Resulting framework potentially applied to other
species groups, other resource types
3

4. Tetraplasandra hawaiensis
('Ohe)
4

5. Current climate envelope

6. 6
Future* (2100) climate envelope
*Using temperature
(MAT) and
precipitation
projections (MAP)
based on A1B
emission scenario

7. Response zones

8. Range shifts (2000 to 2100) and
vulnerability
8

9. 55 species have no climate compatible
area left by 2100
9
Chamaesyce rockii
(Akoko)

10. Chamaesyce rockii
(Akoko)

11. Landscape-based results for habitat
prioritization
‘Warmer’ colored areas are where more native plant
species are likely to suffer range loss
11
More
species
Less
species

12. 12
Hawai’i Akepa
SPECIES DISTRIBUTION SHIFTS
BY 2100

13. 13
SPECIES DISTRIBUTION SHIFTS
BY 2100
Maui Parrotbill

14. 14
Hawai’i Akepa
SPECIES DISTRIBUTION SHIFTS
BY 2100

15. 15
Vulnerability maps for James Campbell NWR

16. 16
Projected 21st century global thermal and ocean acidification impact for coral reefs
http://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/climate/projections/piccc_oa_and_bleaching/index.php

17. 17
Recent Climate Change Data
Collections
Patrick Grady
GIS/Data Manager
patrick.grady@piccc.net
(808) 687-6175
www.piccc.net